EX-99.2 3 a04-5810_1ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

Quarterly Operating Supplement

First Quarter 2004

March 31, 2004

 

 

This report is for informational purposes only.  It should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our IPO prospectus dated April 22, 2004.

 

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this quarterly operating supplement reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements.  The  Company’s forward-looking statements also could be affected by rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s new business strategy, a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe losses or more frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserve, changes in regulation or tax laws, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, and changes in general economic conditions, as well as management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made.  The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

1



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Selected Financial Highlights

(dollars in thousands except per share amounts)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended
March 31,
2004

 

Quarter Ended
March 31,
2003

 

Percentage
Change vs.
1Q 2003

 

 

Premium analysis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1)

Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written (“PVP”)

 

$

82,500

 

$

59,300

 

39

%

 

Present value of installment premiums written in period

 

(47,900

)

(36,400

)

32

%

 

Upfront gross premiums writen

 

34,600

 

22,900

 

51

%

 

Installment gross premiums written

 

43,408

 

20,857

 

108

%

 

Financial guaranty gross premiums written

 

$

78,008

 

$

43,757

 

78

%

 

Mortgage guaranty

 

14,007

 

8,114

 

73

%

 

Other

 

(93,558

)

60,864

 

NMF

 

 

Total gross premiums written

 

$

(1,543

)

$

112,735

 

NMF

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

46,892

 

$

31,751

 

48

%

 

less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments

 

31

 

1,297

 

NMF

 

 

less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives

 

3,143

 

(289

)

NMF

 

(2)

Operating income

 

$

43,718

 

$

30,743

 

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value

 

$

1,510,072

 

$

1,437,624

 

5

%

 

Net UPR less DAC - after-tax

 

216,129

 

177,680

 

22

%

 

Net present value of installment premiums in-force - after-tax

 

252,200

 

205,700

 

23

%

 

Adjusted book value

 

$

1,978,401

 

$

1,821,004

 

9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ROE, excluding FAS 115

 

13.6

%

10.1

%

35

%

 

less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments

 

0.0

%

0.4

%

NMF

 

 

less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives

 

0.9

%

-0.1

%

NMF

 

(2)

Operating ROE, excluding FAS 115

 

12.6

%

9.7

%

30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average basic shares outstanding  *

 

75,000,000

 

75,000,000

 

0

%

 

Average fully diluted shares outstanding  *

 

75,000,000

 

75,000,000

 

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per fully-diluted share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

0.63

 

$

0.42

 

50

%

 

less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments

 

 

0.02

 

NMF

 

 

less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives

 

0.04

 

 

NMF

 

 

Operating income

 

$

0.58

 

$

0.41

 

41

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value

 

$

20.13

 

$

19.17

 

5

%

 

Net UPR less DAC - after-tax

 

2.88

 

2.37

 

22

%

 

Net present value of installment premiums in-force - after-tax

 

3.36

 

2.74

 

23

%

(3)

Adjusted book value

 

$

26.38

 

$

24.28

 

9

%

 


*  Represents shares issued upon the IPO closing

 

(1)          PVP, which is a non-GAAP measure, represents gross premiums related to financial guaranty contracts written in the current period, including the full amount of upfront installment premiums received and the present value of all installment premiums, discounted at 6% per year.  Management, equity analysts and investors use this non-GAAP measure to evaluate the value of new financial guaranty business production for Assured Guaranty, as the GAAP gross premiums written measure does not adequately measure the value of installment premiums on new contracts underwritten in a reporting period.

 

(2)          Operating income is defined as net income excluding after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments.  Operating ROE represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholder’s equity, excluding FAS 115.  We believe the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business.  We exclude net realized gains (losses) on investments and net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments because the amount of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates in part according to, the market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict.  This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).

 

(3)          Adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP measure, is derived by beginning with shareholder’s equity (book value) and adding or subtracting the after-tax value of: the financial guaranty net unearned premium reserve; deferred acquisition costs and the present value of estimated net future installment premiums (discounted at 6%).  The adjustments described above will not be realized until future periods and may differ materially from the amounts used in determining adjusted book value.  Management, investors and analysts use the calculation of adjusted book value to evaluate the net present value of the Company’s in-force premium and capital base.

 

2



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated Income Statements

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

2004

 

2003

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross written premiums

 

$

(1,543

)

$

112,735

 

NMF

 

Net written premiums

 

(6,871

)

104,073

 

NMF

 

Net earned premiums

 

$

86,667

 

$

63,588

 

36

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

24,385

 

24,101

 

1

%

Other income

 

532

 

557

 

-4

%

Total revenues

 

$

111,584

 

$

88,246

 

26

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

23,668

 

23,188

 

2

%

Profit commission expenses

 

5,486

 

2,969

 

85

%

Acquisition costs

 

13,108

 

11,843

 

11

%

Other operating expenses

 

12,623

 

11,635

 

8

%

Goodwill expense

 

1,645

 

 

NMF

 

Interest expense

 

1,434

 

1,434

 

0

%

Total expenses

 

$

57,964

 

$

51,069

 

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before provision for income taxes

 

53,620

 

37,177

 

44

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total provision for income taxes

 

9,902

 

6,434

 

54

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income excluding after-tax realized gains on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments

 

$

43,718

 

$

30,743

 

42

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

After-tax net realized gains on investments

 

31

 

1,297

 

—98

%

After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments

 

3,143

 

(289

)

NMF

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

46,892

 

$

31,751

 

48

%

 

3



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

As of

 

 

 

March 31,
2004

 

December 31,
2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity securities available for sale, at fair value

 

$

2,065,948

 

$

2,052,217

 

Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates market

 

154,355

 

137,517

 

Total investments

 

2,220,303

 

2,189,734

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

36,254

 

32,365

 

Accrued investment income

 

24,302

 

23,758

 

Deferred acquisition costs

 

186,267

 

178,673

 

Premium receivable

 

35,133

 

63,997

 

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

 

17,012

 

10,974

 

Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses

 

106,131

 

122,124

 

Due from affiliate

 

 

115,000

 

Value of reinsurance business assumed

 

11,915

 

14,226

 

Goodwill

 

85,417

 

87,062

 

Other assets

 

26,490

 

19,954

 

Total assets

 

$

2,749,224

 

$

2,857,867

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Unearned premium reserve

 

$

537,930

 

$

625,429

 

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

431,297

 

522,593

 

Profit commissions payable

 

56,805

 

71,237

 

Deferred federal income taxes payable

 

73,865

 

55,637

 

Unrealized losses on derivative financial instruments

 

1,209

 

8,558

 

Funds held by Company under reinsurance contracts

 

9,289

 

9,635

 

Long-term debt

 

75,000

 

75,000

 

Other liabilities

 

53,757

 

52,154

 

Total liabilities

 

$

1,239,152

 

$

1,420,243

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholder’s equity

 

 

 

 

 

Common Stock

 

16,403

 

16,403

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

961,853

 

955,490

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

99,405

 

81,185

 

Unearned stock grant compensation

 

(4,506

)

(5,479

)

Retained earnings

 

436,917

 

390,025

 

Total shareholder’s equity

 

$

1,510,072

 

$

1,437,624

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities & shareholder’s equity

 

$

2,749,224

 

$

2,857,867

 

 

4



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Segment Results

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended March 31, 2004

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance(1)

 

Mortgage
Guaranty

 

Subtotal

 

Other

 

Total

 

Present value of gross premiums written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

42.3

 

 

 

$

42.3

 

 

 

$

42.3

 

Structured finance

 

7.9

 

32.3

 

 

 

40.2

 

 

 

40.2

 

Total

 

$

7.9

 

$

74.6

 

 

 

$

82.5

 

 

 

$

82.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

 

$

25.6

 

$

52.4

 

$

14.0

 

$

92.0

 

$

(93.6

)

$

(1.5

)

Net premiums written

 

25.3

 

52.4

 

14.0

 

91.7

 

(98.5

)

(6.9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

40.7

 

20.4

 

8.4

 

69.5

 

17.2

 

86.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

13.4

 

3.9

 

(1.2

)

16.1

 

7.5

 

23.7

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

0.1

 

5.0

 

5.1

 

0.4

 

5.5

 

Acquisition costs

 

1.4

 

7.1

 

0.9

 

9.4

 

3.6

 

13.0

 

Operating expenses

 

3.3

 

4.1

 

1.7

 

9.2

 

3.5

 

12.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain (loss)

 

$

22.6

 

$

5.1

 

$

2.0

 

$

29.7

 

$

2.1

 

$

31.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio

 

33.0

%

19.3

%

-14.6

%

23.2

%

43.8

%

27.3

%

Expense ratio

 

11.5

%

55.6

%

90.7

%

34.0

%

43.7

%

35.9

%

Combined ratio

 

44.5

%

74.8

%

76.1

%

57.2

%

87.5

%

63.2

%

 

 

 

Quarter Ended March 31, 2003

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance(1)

 

Mortgage
Guaranty

 

Subtotal

 

Other

 

Total

 

Present value of gross premiums written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

26.8

 

 

 

$

26.8

 

 

 

$

26.8

 

Structured finance

 

20.7

 

11.8

 

 

 

32.5

 

 

 

32.5

 

Total

 

$

20.7

 

$

38.6

 

 

 

$

59.3

 

 

 

$

59.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income statement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

 

$

14.0

 

$

29.8

 

$

8.1

 

$

51.9

 

$

60.9

 

$

112.7

 

Net premiums written

 

13.8

 

29.1

 

8.1

 

51.0

 

53.1

 

104.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

14.7

 

16.9

 

9.6

 

41.2

 

22.4

 

63.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

 

2.0

 

1.8

 

1.2

 

5.0

 

18.2

 

23.2

 

Profit commission expense

 

 

0.1

 

3.2

 

3.3

 

(0.3

)

3.0

 

Acquisition costs

 

 

5.4

 

1.0

 

6.4

 

5.4

 

11.8

 

Operating expenses

 

2.7

 

3.1

 

1.8

 

7.5

 

4.1

 

11.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting gain (loss)

 

$

10.1

 

$

6.5

 

$

2.5

 

$

19.0

 

$

(5.0

)

$

14.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio

 

13.3

%

10.9

%

12.0

%

12.0

%

81.6

%

36.5

%

Expense ratio

 

18.3

%

50.9

%

62.3

%

41.9

%

40.8

%

41.6

%

Combined ratio

 

31.6

%

61.7

%

74.4

%

53.9

%

122.4

%

78.1

%

 


(1) Due to the timing of receipts of reports prepared by our ceding companies, present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written, par written and par outstanding in our Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

 

5



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended March 31, 2004

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Total

 

Present value of gross premiums written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

42.3

 

$

42.3

 

Structured finance

 

7.9

 

32.3

 

40.2

 

Total

 

$

7.9

 

$

74.6

 

$

82.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

1,933

 

$

1,933

 

Structured finance

 

1,488

 

1,153

 

2,641

 

Total

 

$

1,488

 

$

3,086

 

$

4,574

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par outstanding:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

4,698

 

$

49,219

 

$

53,917

 

Structured finance

 

21,573

 

14,099

 

35,671

 

Total

 

$

26,271

 

$

63,318

 

$

89,589

 

 

 

 

Quarter Ended March 31, 2003

 

 

 

Financial
Guaranty
Direct

 

Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance

 

Total

 

Present value of gross premiums written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

26.8

 

$

26.8

 

Structured finance

 

20.7

 

11.8

 

32.5

 

Total

 

$

20.7

 

$

38.6

 

$

59.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par written:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

 

$

1,279

 

$

1,279

 

Structured finance

 

1,212

 

1,264

 

2,476

 

Total

 

$

1,212

 

$

2,543

 

$

3,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par outstanding:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Municipal

 

$

2,120

 

$

47,238

 

$

49,358

 

Structured finance

 

17,709

 

13,089

 

30,798

 

Total

 

$

19,829

 

$

60,327

 

$

80,156

 

 

6



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Fixed Income Investment Portfolio

as of March 31, 2004

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

Amortized
Cost

 

Fair Value

 

Pre-Tax
Yield

 

Duration

 

Annualized
Investment
Income

 

Fixed maturity securities available for sale:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

 

$

233,878

 

$

252,866

 

5.13

%

5.5

 

$

12,972

 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

 

817,827

 

887,965

 

4.83

%

7.8

 

42,889

 

Corporate securities

 

284,311

 

308,174

 

5.97

%

4.8

 

18,398

 

Mortgage-backed securities

 

526,279

 

543,935

 

4.95

%

2.7

 

26,925

 

Asset-backed securities

 

70,277

 

73,008

 

5.68

%

5.4

 

4,147

 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

 

1,932,572

 

2,065,948

 

5.10

%

5.3

 

105,330

 

Short-term investments

 

154,354

 

154,355

 

0.75

%

 

 

1,158

 

Total investments available for sale

 

$

2,086,926

 

$

2,220,303

 

4.80

%

5.3

 

$

106,488

 

 

Maturity Schedule:

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

Due within one year

 

$

22,770

 

1.1

%

Due in one to five years

 

257,919

 

12.5

%

Due in five to ten years

 

337,217

 

16.3

%

Due in greater than ten years

 

904,107

 

43.8

%

Mortgage-backed securities

 

543,935

 

26.3

%

Total

 

$

2,065,948

 

100.0

%

 

Quality Distribution:

 

Fair Value

 

%

 

Treasury

 

$

29,767

 

1.4

%

Agency

 

223,099

 

10.8

%

AAA

 

1,261,068

 

61.0

%

AA

 

327,091

 

15.8

%

A

 

208,134

 

10.1

%

BBB

 

16,789

 

0.8

%

Total

 

$

2,065,948

 

100.0

%

 

7



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Guaranty Profile

(dollars in millions)

 

 

 

Gross Par Written (7)

 

Outstanding as of March 31, 2004

 

Sector

 

Q1 2004

 

Q1 2003

 

Net Par

 

%

 

Avg. Rating

 

Municipal Finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax backed

 

$

822

 

$

469

 

$

21,611

 

24.1

%

A+

 

Municipal utilities

 

161

 

320

 

11,157

 

12.5

%

A+

 

Special revenue

 

207

 

228

 

9,078

 

10.1

%

A

 

Healthcare

 

507

 

137

 

6,028

 

6.7

%

A

 

Structured municipal (1)

 

 

 

3,266

 

3.6

%

AAA

 

Other municipal (2)

 

236

 

124

 

2,777

 

3.1

%

A-

 

Total Municipal

 

$

1,933

 

$

1,279

 

$

53,917

 

60.2

%

A+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Finance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Senior layer CDO’s (3)

 

$

67

 

$

852

 

$

15,780

 

17.6

%

AA+

 

Consumer receivables (4)

 

2,037

 

1,053

 

10,602

 

11.8

%

A+

 

Single name corporate CDS

 

 

100

 

2,086

 

2.3

%

A+

 

Commercial Receivables (5)

 

292

 

343

 

5,428

 

6.1

%

AA-

 

Other structured finance (6)

 

246

 

128

 

1,775

 

2.0

%

A+

 

Total Structured Finance

 

$

2,641

 

$

2,476

 

$

35,671

 

39.8

%

AA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Exposure

 

$

4,574

 

$

3,755

 

$

89,589

 

100.0

%

AA-

 

 


(1)          Structured Municipal: includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits where the Company attached in excess of the AAA rating level.

(2)          Other Municipal: primarily includes first mortgage bonds on investor-owned utilities and government-sponsored project finance.

(3)          Collateralized debt obligations (CDO’s) are structured financings backed by a pool of investment grade assets. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.

(4)          Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables, residential mortgage-backed securities and credit card receivables.

(5)          Commercial Receivables: principally includes equipment leases and commercial mortgage-backed securities.

(6)          Other structured Finance: predominantly trade receivable securitization, secured structured lending, and future flow transactions.

(7)          Gross par approximates net par as the company is a net line writer.

 

Note - Ratings are internally determined based on rating agency guidelines

 

8



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Ratings and Geographic Distribution

(dollars in millions)

 

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 

Ratings

 

3/31/2004
Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

12/31/2003
Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

AAA

 

$

26,907

 

30.0

%

$

26,245

 

30.0

%

AA

 

18,419

 

20.6

%

17,557

 

20.1

%

A

 

30,144

 

33.6

%

29,924

 

34.2

%

BBB

 

12,595

 

14.1

%

12,290

 

14.0

%

Below investment grade

 

1,524

 

1.7

%

1,507

 

1.7

%

 

 

$

89,589

 

100

%

$

87,523

 

100

%

 

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio, as of March 31, 2004

 

 

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

%

 

U.S.:

 

 

 

 

 

California

 

$

7,269

 

8.1

%

New York

 

5,580

 

6.2

%

Texas

 

3,273

 

3.7

%

Illinois

 

2,824

 

3.2

%

Florida

 

2,810

 

3.1

%

New Jersey

 

2,216

 

2.5

%

Pennsylvania

 

2,039

 

2.3

%

Massachusetts

 

1,698

 

1.9

%

Puerto Rico

 

1,503

 

1.7

%

Washington

 

1,333

 

1.5

%

Other - Muni

 

19,128

 

21.4

%

Other - Non Muni

 

32,617

 

36.4

%

Total U.S.

 

$

82,290

 

91.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International:

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom

 

$

3,749

 

4.2

%

Australia

 

532

 

0.6

%

Brazil

 

352

 

0.4

%

France

 

324

 

0.4

%

Netherlands

 

295

 

0.3

%

Other

 

2,047

 

2.3

%

Total International

 

$

7,299

 

8.1

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

89,589

 

100.0

%

 

9



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

25 Largest Municipal Exposures

as of March 31, 2004

(dollars in millions)

 

Revenue Source

 

Net Par
In Force *

 

Rating

 

California State General Obligation & Leases

 

$

900

 

BBB

 

New Jersey State General Obligation & Leases

 

724

 

AA

 

Long Island Power Authority

 

720

 

A-

 

New York City General Obligation

 

695

 

A

 

Denver Colorado Airport System

 

632

 

A

 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

 

607

 

A

 

Chicago Illinois General Obligation

 

589

 

A+

 

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

 

555

 

A-

 

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

 

548

 

AA

 

New York State Metro Trans Auth - Trans Revenue

 

539

 

A

 

Massachusetts State GO & Bay Transportation & Leases

 

516

 

AA-

 

San Francisco California Airport

 

505

 

A+

 

Energy Northwest (FKA WPPSS)

 

469

 

AA-

 

New York State General Obligation

 

448

 

AA

 

Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases

 

430

 

A-

 

Houston Texas Water & Sewer System

 

393

 

A+

 

Los Angeles County Metro Trans - Sales Tax - 1st

 

365

 

AA

 

Dade County Florida Water & Sewer System

 

327

 

A

 

Mental Health Services Facilities - New York

 

320

 

AA-

 

Intermountain Power Agency

 

320

 

A+

 

Illinois State General Obligation & Leases

 

307

 

AA

 

Puerto Rico Government Development Bank

 

300

 

AAA

 

Chicago Illinois Public Building - Board of Education

 

300

 

A+

 

New Jersey State Turnpike

 

298

 

A

 

District of Columbia General Obligation

 

297

 

A-

 

 


* Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty companies

 

10



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

25 Largest Structured Finance Exposures

as of March 31, 2004

(dollars in millions)

 

Revenue Source

 

Net Par
In Force *

 

Rating

 

SALS 2002-6 - Synthetic CDO

 

$

740

 

AAA

 

Argent Securities Inc. 2003-W6

 

736

 

AAA

 

Absolute CDO OF ABS

 

594

 

AAA

 

Triplas CDO OF ABS

 

584

 

AAA

 

Taurus 2001-06 - Synthetic CDO

 

571

 

A+

 

Sears Credit Card Master Trust 2002-3 Class A - Credit Cards

 

550

 

AAA

 

Dresdner 2001 - 1 - Synthetic CDO

 

500

 

AAA

 

Houston CDO Portfolio 2000-1

 

470

 

AA

 

Stars 2001-3 - Synthetic CDO

 

440

 

AAA

 

Merrill Lynch Synthetic CDO Taurus 8

 

440

 

AAA

 

Merrill Lynch Dots 4 - Synthetic CDO

 

430

 

AAA

 

SALS 2003-9 - Synthetic CDO

 

410

 

AAA

 

Providian Gateway Master Trust

 

392

 

BB-

 

Magrathea V - Synthetic CDO

 

360

 

AAA

 

Lehman Sprint 2001-1 Super Senior - Synthetic CDO

 

360

 

AAA

 

Taurus 2001-01 - Synthetic CDO

 

347

 

AAA

 

Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2003-1 Cl A-1

 

344

 

AAA

 

ING Equity Trust (Pilgrim Principal Protection)

 

322

 

AAA

 

Europa II Limited Class A1 - Synthetic CDO

 

301

 

AAA

 

Bistro 2000-07 Class A-1 - Synthetic CDO

 

300

 

AAA

 

Hights 2001-1 - Synthetic CDO

 

295

 

BBB+

 

Metris Master Credit Card Trust

 

281

 

BB

 

CDO ^2 - CDO of CDOs

 

281

 

AAA

 

Halcyon Synthetic CDO

 

278

 

AAA

 

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter 2003-NC9 Class A1

 

276

 

AAA

 

 


* Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty companies

 

11



 

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Largest Single Name Corporate / Sovereign CDS Exposures

as of March 31, 2004

(dollars in millions)

 

Obligor

 

Net Par
In Force *

 

Rating

 

General Electric Company

 

$

60

 

AAA

 

ABN AMRO Bank NV

 

53

 

AA-

 

Fortis NV

 

52

 

A+

 

Japan Republic Sovereign Obligation

 

50

 

AA-

 

American International Group, Inc. (AIG)

 

50

 

AAA

 

FNMA - Fannie Mae

 

45

 

AAA

 

Allianz AG

 

41

 

AA-

 

France Telecom

 

40

 

BBB+

 

Deutsche Telekom AG

 

40

 

BBB+

 

Citigroup, Inc.

 

39

 

AA-

 

 

Single Name Corporate CDS by Rating

 

1Q 2004

 

Gross Par  Written **
1Q 2003

 

Net Par
Outstanding

 

AAA

 

$

 

$

30

 

420

 

AA

 

 

10

 

377

 

A

 

 

50

 

1,020

 

BBB

 

 

10

 

270

 

Below investment grade

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

 

$

100

 

$

2,086

 

 

 

 

Outstanding Net Par

 

Single Name Corporate CDS Run-off

 

2004***

 

2005

 

2006

 

2007

 

2008

 

Beginning Outstanding Par

 

$

2,086

 

$

1,687

 

$

697

 

$

511

 

$

279

 

Scheduled Runoff Amount

 

400

 

989

 

186

 

232

 

100

 

Ending Outstanding Par

 

$

1,687

 

$

697

 

$

511

 

$

279

 

$

179

 

 


* Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty companies

** Gross par approximates net par as the company is a net line writer

*** Beginning balance as of April 1, 2004

 

12