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Investments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011
Investments  
Investments

9. Investments

Accounting Policy

        The vast majority of the Company's investment portfolio is fixed maturity and short-term investments, classified as available-for-sale at the time of purchase (approximately 98.0% based on fair value at December 31, 2011), and therefore carried at fair value with change in fair value recorded in OCI, unless other than temporarily impaired. Changes in fair value for other than temporarily impaired securities are bifurcated between credit losses and non-credit changes in fair value. Credit losses on OTTI securities are recorded in the statement of operations and the non-credit component of OTTI securities are recorded in OCI. For other-than temporarily improved securities where the Company has the intent to sell, both credit and non-credit related changes in fair value are recorded in the consolidated statements of operations. OTTI credit losses adjust the amortized cost of impaired securities and that amortized cost basis is not adjusted for subsequent recoveries in fair value. However, the amortized cost basis is adjusted for accretion and amortization using the effective interest method with a corresponding entry recorded in net investment income.

        Realized gains and losses on sales of investments are determined using the specific identification method. Realized loss includes amounts recorded for other than temporary impairments on debt securities.

        For mortgage-backed securities, and any other holdings for which there is prepayment risk, prepayment assumptions are evaluated and revised as necessary. Any necessary adjustments due to changes in effective yields and maturities are recognized in current income.

        Short-term investments, which are those investments with a maturity of less than one year at time of purchase, are carried at fair value and include amounts deposited in money market funds.

        Other invested assets includes assets acquired in refinancing transactions are primarily comprised of franchise loans, which are evaluated for impairment by assessing the probability of collecting expected cash flows. Any impairment is recorded in the consolidated statement of operations and any subsequent increases in expected cash flow are recorded as an increase in yield over the remaining life of the loans. Other invested assets also include trading securities and a 50% equity investment acquired in a restructuring of an insured CDS and other investments. Trading securities are recorded on a trade date basis and carried at fair value. Unrealized gains and losses on trading securities are reflected in net income. The Company's 50% equity investment is carried at its proportionate share of the underlying entity's equity value (See "—Investment in Portfolio Funding Company LLC I" below).

        Other invested assets also include trading securities which are recorded on a trade date basis and carried at fair value. Unrealized gains and losses on trading securities are reflected in net income.

Assessment for Other-Than Temporary Impairments

        Prior to April 1, 2009, if a security was deemed to be OTTI, the entire difference between fair value and the amortized cost of a debt security at the measurement date was recorded in the consolidated statement of operations as a realized loss. The previous amortized cost basis less the OTTI recognized in earnings was the new amortized cost basis of the investment. That new amortized cost basis was not adjusted for subsequent recoveries in fair value. However, if, based on cash flow estimates on the date of impairment, the recoverable value of the investment was greater than the new cost basis (i.e., the fair value on the date of impairment) of the investment, the difference was accreted into net investment income in future periods based upon the amount and timing of expected future cash flows of the security. The cumulative effect of the adoption of the OTTI standard on April 1, 2009 was a $62.2 million pretax ($57.7 million after-tax) reclassification of losses from retained earnings to accumulated OCI ("AOCI").

        Since April 1, 2009, if an OTTI has occurred, the amount of the OTTI recognized in earnings depends on whether an entity intends to sell the security or more likely than not will be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis less any current-period credit loss. If an entity intends to sell the security or more likely than not will be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis less any current-period credit loss, the OTTI is recognized in earnings equal to the entire difference between the investment's amortized cost basis and its fair value at the balance sheet date.

        If an entity does not intend to sell the security and it is not more likely than not that the entity will be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis less any current-period credit loss, the OTTI is separated into (1) the amount representing the credit loss and (2) the amount related to all other factors.

        The Company has a formal review process to determine OTTI for securities in its investment portfolio where there is no intent to sell and it is not more likely than not it will be required to sell the security before recovery. Factors considered when assessing impairment include:

  • a decline in the market value of a security by 20% or more below amortized cost for a continuous period of at least six months;

    a decline in the market value of a security for a continuous period of 12 months;

    recent credit downgrades of the applicable security or the issuer by rating agencies;

    the financial condition of the applicable issuer;

    whether loss of investment principal is anticipated; and

    whether scheduled interest payments are past due.

        For these securities, the Company's formal review process includes analyses of the ability to recover the amortized cost by comparing the net present value of projected future cash flows with the amortized cost of the security. If the net present value is less than the amortized cost of the investment, an OTTI loss is recorded. The net present value is calculated by discounting the Company's best estimate of projected future cash flows at the effective interest rate implicit in the debt security prior to impairment. The Company's estimates of projected future cash flows are driven by assumptions regarding probability of default and estimates regarding timing and amount of recoveries associated with a default. The Company develops these estimates using information based on historical experience, credit analysis of an investment, as mentioned above, and market observable data, such as industry analyst reports and forecasts, sector credit ratings and other data relevant to the collectability of the security. For mortgage-backed and asset backed securities, cash flow estimates also include prepayment assumptions and other assumptions regarding the underlying collateral including default rates, recoveries and changes in value. The determination of the assumptions used in these projections requires the use of significant management judgment.

        The Company's assessment of a decline in value included management's current assessment of the factors noted above. The Company also seeks advice from its outside investment managers. If that assessment changes in the future, the Company may ultimately record a loss after having originally concluded that the decline in value was temporary.

Investment Portfolio

        Net investment income increased due to a shift to longer duration assets, higher income on loss mitigation bonds, and additional earnings on higher invested asset balances. Accrued investment income on fixed maturity and short-term investments was $100.3 million and $97.9 million as of December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

Net Investment Income

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2011   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Income from fixed maturity securities

  $ 399.2   $ 359.7   $ 262.4  

Income from short-term investments

    0.9     3.5     3.2  
               

Gross investment income

    400.1     363.2     265.6  

Investment expenses

    (9.1 )   (8.5 )   (6.4 )
               

Net investment income

  $ 391.0   $ 354.7   $ 259.2  
               

Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2011   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Realized gains on investment portfolio

  $ 36.4   $ 31.1   $ 28.3  

Realized losses on investment portfolio

    (9.8 )   (5.7 )   (15.2 )

OTTI:

                   

Intent to sell

    (5.4 )   (4.0 )   (13.4 )

Credit component of OTTI securities

    (39.2 )   (23.4 )   (32.4 )
               

OTTI

    (44.6 )   (27.4 )   (45.8 )
               

Net realized investment gains (losses)

  $ (18.0 ) $ (2.0 ) $ (32.7 )
               

        The following table presents the roll-forward of the credit losses of fixed maturity securities for which the Company has recognized OTTI and where the portion of the fair value adjustment related to other factors was recognized in OCI.


Roll Forward of Credit Losses in the Investment Portfolio

 
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  2011   2010   2009  
 
  (in millions)
 

Balance, beginning of period

  $ 27.3   $ 19.9   $ 0.6  

Additions for credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was not previously recognized

    26.6     7.3     13.6  

Eliminations of securities issued by FG VIEs

    (13.5 )        

Reductions for securities sold during the period

    (6.4 )       (0.1 )

Additions for credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was previously recognized

    12.7     0.1     6.1  

Reductions for credit losses now recognized in earnings due to intention to sell the security

            (0.3 )
               

Balance, end of period

  $ 46.7   $ 27.3   $ 19.9  
               

 

Fixed Maturity Securities and Short Term Investments
by Security Type

 
  As of December 31, 2011
Investment Category
  Percent
of
Total(1)
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Estimated
Fair
Value
  AOCI
Gain
(Loss) on
Securities
with
OTTI
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality(2)
 
  (dollars in millions)

Fixed maturity securities:

                                       

U.S. government and agencies

    8 % $ 850.2   $ 72.3   $ (0.1 ) $ 922.4   $   AA+

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    49     5,097.3     358.6     (0.5 )   5,455.4     5.7   AA

Corporate securities

    10     989.0     51.8     (2.4 )   1,038.4     (0.2 ) A+

Mortgage-backed securities(3):

                                       

RMBS

    14     1,454.3     63.9     (90.3 )   1,427.9     (35.1 ) AA

CMBS

    5     475.6     24.4         500.0     2.7   AAA

Asset-backed securities

    4     439.5     37.7     (19.1 )   458.1     29.2   BBB-

Foreign government securities

    3     332.6     13.3     (6.2 )   339.7       AAA
                             

Total fixed maturity securities

    93     9,638.5     622.0     (118.6 )   10,141.9     2.3   AA

Short-term investments

    7     734.0             734.0       AAA
                             

Total investment portfolio

    100 % $ 10,372.5   $ 622.0   $ (118.6 ) $ 10,875.9   $ 2.3   AA
                             


 

 
  As of December 31, 2010
Investment Category
  Percent
of
Total(1)
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Estimated
Fair
Value
  AOCI
Gain
(Loss) on
Securities
with
OTTI
  Weighted
Average
Credit
Quality(2)
 
  (dollars in millions)

Fixed maturity securities:

                                       

U.S. government and agencies

    10 % $ 1,000.3   $ 48.3   $ (0.4 ) $ 1,048.2   $   AAA

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    48     4,922.0     99.9     (62.0 )   4,959.9     (1.4 ) AA

Corporate securities

    9     980.1     25.2     (12.8 )   992.5     0.2   AA-

Mortgage-backed securities(3):

                                       

RMBS

    11     1,158.9     56.5     (44.3 )   1,171.1     (8.6 ) AA

CMBS

    4     365.7     14.8     (1.4 )   379.1     2.5   AAA

Asset-backed securities

    5     498.2     9.9     (5.2 )   502.9     (4.1 ) BBB+

Foreign government securities

    3     349.5     5.3     (6.2 )   348.6       AA+
                             

Total fixed maturity securities

    90     9,274.7     259.9     (132.3 )   9,402.3     (11.4 ) AA

Short-term investments

    10     1,055.3     0.3         1,055.6       AAA
                             

Total investment portfolio

    100 % $ 10,330.0   $ 260.2   $ (132.3 ) $ 10,457.9   $ (11.4 ) AA
                             

(1)
Based on amortized cost.

(2)
Ratings in the tables above represent the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or risk management strategies, which use internal ratings classifications (see below.) The Company's portfolio consists primarily of high-quality, liquid instruments.

(3)
Government-agency obligations were approximately 66% of mortgage backed securities as of December 31, 2011 and 64% as of December 31, 2010 based on fair value. Excluding loss mitigation related purchases, government-agency obligations were 71% of mortgage backed securities as of December 31, 2011 and 69% as of December 31, 2010 based on fair value.

        The Company continues to receive sufficient information to value its investments and has not had to modify its valuation approach due to the current market conditions. As of December 31, 2011, amounts, net of tax, in AOCI included a net unrealized gain of $3.1 million for securities for which the Company had recognized OTTI and a net unrealized gain of $363.6 million for securities for which the Company had not recognized OTTI. As of December 31, 2010, amounts, net of tax, in AOCI included a net unrealized loss of $5.6 million for securities for which the Company had recognized OTTI and a net unrealized gain of $115.3 million for securities for which the Company had not recognized OTTI.

        The Company's investment portfolio in tax-exempt and taxable municipal securities includes issuances by a wide number of municipal authorities across the U.S. and its territories. This is a high quality portfolio of municipal securities with an average rating of AA as of December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010. Securities rated lower than A-/A3 by S&P or Moody's are not eligible to be purchased for the Company's portfolio.

        The following tables present the fair value of the Company's available-for-sale municipal bond portfolio as of December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010 by state, excluding $403.4 million and $478.3 million of pre-refunded bonds, respectively. The credit ratings are based on the underlying ratings and do not include any benefit from bond insurance.


Fair Value of Available-for-Sale Municipal Bond Portfolio by State

 
  As of December 31, 2011
State
  State
General
Obligation
  Local
General
Obligation
  Revenue   Fair
Value
  Amortized
Cost
  Average
Credit
Rating
 
  (in millions)

Texas

  $ 86.3   $ 342.0   $ 345.6   $ 773.9   $ 724.0   AA

New York

    12.3     60.3     622.6     695.2     653.8   AA

California

    19.1     50.9     296.8     366.8     336.2   AA

Florida

    34.2     61.7     247.4     343.3     316.9   AA

Illinois

    16.2     86.9     197.1     300.2     281.5   AA

Massachusetts

    42.5     9.7     163.7     215.9     198.9   AA

Washington

    37.8     52.5     123.4     213.7     199.7   AA

Arizona

        7.7     164.6     172.3     163.0   AA

Ohio

        52.7     85.9     138.6     128.8   AA

Michigan

        37.2     99.0     136.2     128.5   AA

All others

    310.5     271.8     1,113.6     1,695.9     1,588.6   AA
                         

Total

  $ 558.9   $ 1,033.4   $ 3,459.7   $ 5,052.0   $ 4,719.9   AA
                         

 

 
  As of December 31, 2010
State
  State
General
Obligation
  Local
General
Obligation
  Revenue   Fair
Value
  Amortized
Cost
  Average
Credit
Rating
 
  (in millions)

Texas

  $ 76.8   $ 294.4   $ 251.9   $ 623.1   $ 620.7   AA

New York

    11.4     40.0     496.2     547.6     545.1   AA

California

    17.2     56.0     330.2     403.4     401.0   AA

Florida

    45.2     45.1     213.6     303.9     300.5   AA

Illinois

    10.5     91.0     195.6     297.1     300.9   AA

Washington

    80.0     37.2     89.2     206.4     204.6   AA

Massachusetts

    38.0     8.6     137.3     183.9     185.8   AA

Arizona

        0.6     144.5     145.1     145.5   AA

Michigan

        39.5     93.1     132.6     131.4   A

Georgia

    19.3     38.4     67.1     124.8     125.4   AA

All others

    220.8     220.8     1,072.1     1,513.7     1,504.4   AA
                         

Total

  $ 519.2   $ 871.6   $ 3,090.8   $ 4,481.6   $ 4,465.3   AA
                         

        The revenue bond portfolio is comprised primarily of essential service revenue bonds issued by water and sewer authorities and other utilities, transportation authorities, universities and healthcare providers.


Revenue Sources

 
  As of December 31, 2011   As of December 31, 2010  
Type
  Fair
Value
  Amortized
Cost
  Fair
Value
  Amortized
Cost
 
 
  (in millions)
 

Tax backed

  $ 800.0   $ 748.7   $ 609.0   $ 607.2  

Transportation

    717.4     669.7     725.5     718.9  

Water and sewer

    530.4     500.7     470.6     471.3  

Municipal utilities

    528.8     493.5     457.8     456.8  

Higher education

    332.1     307.2     298.2     302.1  

Healthcare

    273.4     257.6     207.3     206.5  

All others

    277.6     265.4     322.4     323.1  
                   

Total

  $ 3,459.7   $ 3,242.8   $ 3,090.8   $ 3,085.9  
                   

        The Company's investment portfolio is managed by four outside managers. As municipal investments are a material portion of the Company's overall investment portfolio, the Company has established detailed guidelines regarding credit quality, exposure to a particular sector and exposure to a particular obligor within a sector. Each of the portfolio managers perform independent analysis on every municipal security they purchase for the Company's portfolio. The Company meets with each of its portfolio managers quarterly and reviews all investments with a change in credit rating as well as any investments on the manager's watch list of securities with the potential for downgrade. The Company does not independently assign investments within the Company's portfolio an individual rating.

        The following tables summarize, for all securities in an unrealized loss position, the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized loss by length of time the amounts have continuously been in an unrealized loss position.


Fixed Maturity Securities
Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time

 
  As of December 31, 2011  
 
  Less than 12 months   12 months or more   Total  
 
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

U.S. government and agencies

  $ 3.8   $ (0.1 ) $   $   $ 3.8   $ (0.1 )

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    17.0     (0.0 )   20.6     (0.5 )   37.6     (0.5 )

Corporate securities

    79.9     (2.3 )   3.1     (0.1 )   83.0     (2.4 )

Mortgage-backed securities:

                                     

RMBS

    186.6     (68.2 )   36.5     (22.1 )   223.1     (90.3 )

CMBS

    2.8     (0.0 )           2.8     (0.0 )

Asset-backed securities

            25.7     (19.1 )   25.7     (19.1 )

Foreign government securities

    141.4     (6.2 )           141.4     (6.2 )
                           

Total

  $ 431.5   $ (76.8 ) $ 85.9   $ (41.8 ) $ 517.4   $ (118.6 )
                           

Number of securities

          72           54           126  
                                 

Number of securities with OTTI

          6           4           10  
                                 

 

 
  As of December 31, 2010  
 
  Less than 12 months   12 months or more   Total  
 
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
  Fair
value
  Unrealized
loss
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

U.S. government and agencies

  $ 20.5   $ (0.4 ) $   $   $ 20.5   $ (0.4 )

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

    1,694.5     (58.9 )   23.5     (3.1 )   1,718.0     (62.0 )

Corporate securities

    403.6     (12.8 )           403.6     (12.8 )

Mortgage-backed securities:

                                     

RMBS

    143.4     (32.1 )   37.3     (12.2 )   180.7     (44.3 )

CMBS

    92.6     (1.4 )           92.6     (1.4 )

Asset-backed securities

    228.3     (5.1 )   2.3     (0.1 )   230.6     (5.2 )

Foreign government securities

    245.3     (6.2 )           245.3     (6.2 )
                           

Total

  $ 2,828.2   $ (116.9 ) $ 63.1   $ (15.4 ) $ 2,891.3   $ (132.3 )
                           

Number of securities

          405           18           423  
                                 

Number of securities with OTTI

          10           3           13  
                                 

        The decrease in gross unrealized losses was primarily attributable to municipal securities offset by increases in gross unrealized losses attributable to RMBS and asset backed securities. Of the securities in an unrealized loss position for 12 months or more as of December 31, 2011, 10 securities had unrealized losses greater than 10% of book value. The total unrealized loss for these securities as of December 31, 2011 was $40.8 million. The unrealized loss is yield-related and not specific to individual issuer credit. The Company has determined that the unrealized losses recorded as of December 31, 2011 are yield related and not the result of other-than-temporary impairments.

        The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities by contractual maturity as of December 31, 2011 are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.


Distribution of Fixed-Maturity Securities
by Contractual Maturity

 
  As of December 31, 2011  
 
  Amortized
Cost
  Estimated
Fair Value
 
 
  (in millions)
 

Due within one year

  $ 391.3   $ 391.1  

Due after one year through five years

    1,543.0     1,599.6  

Due after five years through 10 years

    2,372.2     2,592.0  

Due after 10 years

    3,402.1     3,631.3  

Mortgage-backed securities:

             

RMBS

    1,454.3     1,427.9  

CMBS

    475.6     500.0  
           

Total

  $ 9,638.5   $ 10,141.9  
           

        Under agreements with its cedants and in accordance with statutory requirements, the Company maintains fixed maturity securities in trust accounts for the benefit of reinsured companies, which amounted to $380.1 million and $365.3 million as of December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. In addition, to fulfill state licensing requirements the Company has placed on deposit eligible securities of $23.9 million and $19.2 million as of December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, respectively, for the protection of policyholders. To provide collateral for a letter of credit, the Company holds a fixed maturity investment in a segregated account which amounted to $3.5 million as of December 31, 2011. There were no fixed maturity investments in a segregated account as of December 31, 2010.

        Under certain derivative contracts, the Company is required to post eligible securities as collateral. The need to post collateral under these transactions is generally based on mark-to-market valuations in excess of contractual thresholds. The fair market value of the Company's pledged securities totaled $779.9 million and $765.9 million as of December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010, respectively.

        No material investments of the Company were non-income producing for the years ended December 31, 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively.

        The Company purchased securities that it has insured, and for which it has expected losses to be paid, in order to mitigate the economic effect of insured losses. These securities were purchased at a discount and are accounted for excluding the effects of the Company's insurance on the securities. As of December 31, 2011, securities purchased for loss mitigation purposes included in the fixed maturity portfolio on the consolidated balance sheet had a fair value of $192.3 million representing $701.3 million of par. Under the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the Company has obtained the obligations referenced in the transactions and recorded such assets in fixed maturity securities in the consolidated balance sheets. Such amounts totaled $186.0 million, representing $222.4 million in par.

Assets Acquired in Refinancing Transactions

        The Company has rights under certain of its financial guaranty insurance policies and indentures that allow it to accelerate the insured notes and pay claims under its insurance policies upon the occurrence of predefined events of default. To mitigate financial guaranty insurance losses, the Company may elect to purchase the outstanding insured obligation or its underlying collateral. Generally, refinancing vehicles reimburse AGM in whole for its claims payments in exchange for assignments of certain of AGM's rights against the trusts. The refinancing vehicles obtained their funds from the proceeds of AGM-insured GICs issued in the ordinary course of business by the Financial Products Companies. The refinancing vehicles are consolidated with the Company. The carrying value of assets acquired in refinancing transactions was $107.1 million and $129.4 million as of December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively and are primarily comprised of franchise loans. The accretable yield on the securitized loans was $140.9 million and $137.1 million at December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively.

        Income on assets acquired in refinancing transactions is recorded in "other income" and was $5.1 million, $6.7 million and $3.2 million for years ended December 31, 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively.

Investment in Portfolio Funding Company LLC I

        In the third quarter of 2010, as part of loss mitigation efforts under a CDS contract insured by the Company, the Company acquired a 50% interest in Portfolio Funding Company LLC I ("PFC"). PFC owns the distribution rights of a motion picture film library. The Company accounts for its interest in PFC as an equity investment. The value of the Company's investment in PFC as of December 31, 2011 and 2010 was $45.0 and $87.1 million, respectively. The Company's equity earnings in PFC are included in net change in fair value of credit derivatives, as these proceeds are used to offset the Company's payments under its CDS contract. As part of the aforementioned loss mitigation efforts, the Company also provided through PFC a subordinated debt and a working capital facility valued at $37.8 million as of both December 31, 2011 and 2010. In January 2012, the subordinated debt and working capital facility were repaid in their entirety.