EX-99.2 3 a2195796zex-99_2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2
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Exhibit 99.2

GRAPHIC

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (formerly known as Financial

Security Assurance Inc., "AGM") Financial Supplement

Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2009


Table of Contents

 
  Page

Selected Financial Highlights

  1

Consolidated Income Statement

  2

Detailed Income Statements (Non-GAAP)

  3

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  4

Capital and Claims Paying Resources

  5

New Business Production

  6

Investment Portfolio

  7

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio

  8

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer

  9

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums

  10

Financial Guaranty Profile

  11-14

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  15-19

Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  20

U.S. Consumer Receivable Profile

  21

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

  22

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives

  23

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

  24

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

  25

10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures

  26

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  27

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  28-30

Surveillance Categories

  31

Loss and LAE Reserves by Type

  32

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

  33

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

  34

Glossary

  35

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  36

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company"), with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Current Report on Form 8-K dated July 8, 2009, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009 and Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2009. FSAH terminated its registration with the SEC in July, 2009, and no longer files reports with the SEC.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to roundings.

 
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events, including (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) decreased demand or increased competition; (7) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (8) changes in applicable laws or regulation, including insurance and tax laws; (9) other governmental actions; (10) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (11) contract cancellations; (12) the Company's dependence on customers; (13) loss of key personnel; (14) adverse technological developments; (15) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (16) natural or man-made catastrophes; (17) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (18) management's response to these factors; and (19) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
 

Note: AGM was purchased by Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc., a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Ltd., on July 1, 2009. This financial supplement presents financial information since its acquisition, except for claims paying resources, which is based on statutory accounting principles. On July 1, 2009, the purchase method of accounting in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") was pushed down to AGM which affects comparability of third quarter 2009 financial results to periods prior to the acquisition.



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Selected Financial Highlights

(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30, 2009
 

Operating income reconciliation:

       
 

Operating incomeb

  $ 230.7  
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    0.3  
 

Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (50.0 )
 

Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (33.7 )
 

Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net

    232.6  
       
 

Net Income (Loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 379.9  
       
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

 
$

11.5
 
 

Operating income (loss) effect

  $ 7.5  

Adjusted book value reconciliation:

       
 

Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

  $ 1,756.2  
 

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (366.9 )
 

Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    19.2  
 

Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    122.5  
       
 

Operating shareholder's equity

 
$

1,981.4
 
 

Less: Deferred acquisition costs, after tax

    (21.0 )
 

Plus: Net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue, after taxe

    184.5  
 

Plus: Unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, after tax1

    2,723.8  
 

Plus: Unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives, after tax2

    21.5  
       
 

Adjusted book valued

  $ 4,932.2  
       

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations:

       
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    104.3 %
 

Operating ROEc

    51.1 %

1. Uneared premium reserve ("UPR") less ceded unearned premiums, after tax.

2. Unearned revenue less ceded unearned premiums on credit derivatives, after tax.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b), operating ROE (c), adjusted book value (d), and net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue in force (e)].

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated Income Statement1

(in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30, 2009
 

Revenues

       
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 280.5  
 

Net investment income

    44.9  
 

Realized gains on credit derivatives2

    28.8  
 

Incurred (losses) recoveries on credit derivatives

    27.3  
 

Other income

    34.3  
       
 

Total revenues

    415.8  

Expenses

       
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    0.9  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    -  
 

Other operating expenses

    41.7  
 

FSAH acquisition-related expenses

    32.8  
 

Interest and related expenses

    2.3  
 

Other expense

    1.2  
       
 

Total expenses

    78.9  
 

Operating income before (benefit) provision for income taxes

   
336.9
 
 

Total (benefit) provision for income taxes

   
106.2
 
       
 

Operating incomeb

   
230.7
 
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

   
0.3
 
 

Plus: Non-credit impairments unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (50.0 )
 

Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (33.7 )
 

Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net

    232.6  
       
 

Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

 
$

379.9
 
       

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20, "Financial Services—Insurance" (FAS No. 163, "Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts") effective January 1, 2009.

2. Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b)].

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Detailed Income Statement (Non-GAAP)

(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30, 2009
 

Income statement:

       

Net earned premiums:

       
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

       
   

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 60.7  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    13.3  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    189.5  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    5.5  
       
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    269.0  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings

    11.5  
       

Total net earned premiums

    280.5  

Realized gains on credit derivatives:

       
 

Net credit derivative premiums earned

    28.8  
 

Ceding commissions income (expense), net

    -  
       

Total realized gains on credit derivatives

    28.8  

Other income

    30.4  
       

Total revenues

    339.7  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries):

       
   

Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) -financial guaranty

    0.9  
   

Incurred losses (recoveries) on credit derivatives

    (27.3 )
       

Total incurred losses (recoveires)

    (26.4 )

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    -  

Other operating expenses

    41.7  
       
 

Total expenses

    15.3  

Underwriting gain (loss)

 
$

324.4
 

Expense ratiof

   
13.5

%

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [expense ratio (f)].

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated Balance Sheets1

(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30,
2009
  July 1,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

  $ 4,815.2   $ 4,968.9  
   

Short-term investments

    941.9     766.3  
           
 

Total investments

    5,757.1     5,735.2  
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

   
159.2
   
168.4
 
 

Cash

    213.6     85.1  
 

Premiums receivable, net

    798.5     846.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium revenue

    1,648.8     1,727.7  
 

Credit derivative assets

    238.2     297.2  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    29.6     81.4  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    1,011.5     993.6  
 

Financial guaranty variable interest entity assets

    846.9     1,879.4  
 

Other assets

    248.6     295.3  
           

Total assets

  $ 10,952.0   $ 12,109.7  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

  $ 6,698.9   $ 7,286.4  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    3.3     -  
 

Note payable to related party

    155.8     164.4  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    925.7     920.0  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    238.7     249.6  
 

Financial guaranty variable interest entity liabilities

    851.4     1,878.6  
 

Other liabilities

    326.5     328.1  
           

Total liabilities

    9,200.3     10,827.1  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Preferred stock

    -     -  
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,241.8     1,266.8  
 

Retained earnings

    379.9     -  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    119.5     -  
           

Total shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

    1,756.2     1,281.8  
 

Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

   
(4.5

)
 
0.8
 
           

Total shareholder's equity

    1,751.7     1,282.6  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

  $ 10,952.0   $ 12,109.7  
           

1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Capital and Claims Paying Resources

(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30,
2009
  December 31,
2008
 

Claims paying resources

             
 

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 1,140   $ 711  
 

Contingency reserve

    1,226     1,282  
           
   

Qualified statutory capital

    2,366     1,993  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    2,380     2,520  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    1,105     1,688  
           
   

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    5,851     6,201  
 

Present value of installment premiumse1

    824     963  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498     550  
           
   

Total claims paying resources

  $ 7,173   $ 7,714  
           
 

Net par outstanding2

  $ 388,950   $ 424,393  
 

Net debt service outstanding2

  $ 581,685   $ 631,886  
 

Ratios:

             
   

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    164:1     213:1  
   

Capital ratio3

    246:1     317:1  
   

Financial resources ratio4

    81:1     82:1  

1. Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives

2. Statutory basis.

3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

New Business Production

(in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
September 30,
2009
 

Consolidated new business analysis:

       
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")a

       
 

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 13.0  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

    -  
 

Structured finance - U.S.1

    0.4  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.1

    0.9  
       
 

Total PVPa

    14.3  
   

Less: PVPa of credit derivatives

    -  
       
 

PVPa of financial guaranty insurance

    14.3  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVPa

    4.4  
       
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP

    9.9  
   

Plus: Upfront premium due to commutation

    -  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP

    -  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVPa adjustment2

    (9.2 )
       
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    0.7  
       
 

Total GWP

  $ 0.7  
       

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

       
 

Public finance - U.S.

  $ 1,065  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

    -  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    -  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -  
       
   

Total

  $ 1,065  
       

1. These policies represent existing policies that have additional premium and have no par outstanding.

2. Amounts represent the difference in the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a)].

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Investment Portfolio

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income2
 

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 69.0     3.47 %   2.25 % $ 70.7   $ 2.4  
 

Agency obligations

    54.4     2.63 %   1.71 %   55.0     1.4  
 

Foreign government securities

    266.4     2.70 %   1.75 %   262.4     7.2  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,991.5     3.30 %   3.10 %   2,074.2     65.7  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions1

    1,897.5     4.53 %   4.29 %   2,002.1     85.9  
 

Corporate securities

    14.8     4.95 %   3.74 %   16.0     0.7  
 

Mortgage-backed securities:

                               
   

Pass-throughs

    334.1     5.64 %   3.66 %   330.2     18.8  
   

Planned Amortization Class

    4.4     3.80 %   2.47 %   4.4     0.2  
 

Asset-backed securities

    0.2     5.00 %   3.25 %   0.2     0.0  
                       
       

Total fixed maturity securities

    4,632.3     3.90 %   3.53 %   4,815.2     182.4  

Short-term investments

    941.5     0.25 %   0.16 %   941.9     2.3  
                       
       

Total investment portfolio

  $ 5,573.8     3.30 %   2.96 % $ 5,757.1   $ 184.7  
                       

 
  Fair Value   %    
   
   
 

Ratings3:

                               

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 70.7     1.5 %                  

Agency obligations

    55.0     1.1 %                  

AAA/Aaa

    1,490.0     30.9 %                  

AA/Aa

    2,019.0     41.9 %                  

A/A

    973.9     20.2 %                  

BBB

    152.5     3.2 %                  

Below investment grade ("BIG")4

    19.6     0.4 %                  

Not rated

    34.5     0.8 %                  
                             
   

Total fixed maturity securities

  $ 4,815.2     100.0 %                  
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          4.6                    
                               

1. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+. Includes $371.5 million insured by AGC and AGM.

2. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

3. Ratings are represented by the lower of Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.

4. Includes $14.4 million which the Company purchased for risk mitigation purposes.

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio

(dollars in millions)

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization1
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
 

Financial Guaranty:

             

2009 (as of September 30)

       
$

595,811
 

2009 (October-December)

  $ 12,424     583,387  

2010

    50,716     532,671  

2011

    42,080     490,591  

2012

    45,389     445,202  

2013

    38,348     406,854  

2009-2013

   
188,957
   
406,854
 

2014-2018

    149,257     257,597  

2019-2023

    100,404     157,193  

2024-2028

    71,997     85,196  

After 2028

    85,196        
             
 

Total

  $ 595,811        
             

1. Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.

Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio
  Estimated
Net Par
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net Par
Outstanding
 

2009 (as of September 30)

        $ 94,118  

2009 (October-December)

  $ 4,237     89,881  

2010

    19,954     69,927  

2011

    11,850     58,077  

2012

    15,108     42,969  

2013

    10,412     32,557  

2009-2013

   
61,561
   
32,557
 

2014-2018

    26,675     5,882  

2019-2023

    2,119     3,763  

2024-2028

    863     2,900  

After 2028

    2,900        
             
 

Total structured finance

  $ 94,118        
             

Page 8



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer

(dollars in millions)

Reinsurer
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
 

Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd.

    31,047  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    24,200  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

    11,521  

Syncora Guarantee Inc.

    4,290  

R.V.I. Guaranty Co. Ltd.

    4,136  

Swiss Reinsurance Company

    4,047  

Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd.

    2,526  

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    1,037  

ACA Financial Guaranty Corp.

    939  

Other

    1,603  
       
 

Total

    85,346  
       

Page 9



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums

(dollars in millions)

 
  Non-Credit Derivative Financial Guaranty Contracts    
   
 
 
  Run-off of
Net Deferred
Premium Revenue1
  Expected Losses3   Run-off of
Net Deferred
Premium Revenue
in Excess of
Expected Losses
  Accretion of
Discount
  Credit
Derivative
Revenues2
  Total  

Financial Guaranty:

                                     

2009 (October-December)

 
$

252.2
   
16.6
   
235.6
 
$

4.0
 
$

24.8
 
$

264.4
 

2010

    856.1     158.4     697.7     15.0     85.6     798.3  

2011

    630.7     116.8     513.9     14.0     73.1     601.0  

2012

    508.2     120.3     387.9     13.1     52.7     453.7  

2013

    419.8     119.2     300.6     12.2     35.2     348.0  

2009-2013

   
2,667.0
   
531.3
   
2,135.7
   
58.3
   
271.4
   
2,465.4
 

2014-2018

    1,288.1     354.5     933.6     49.6     53.6     1,036.8  

2019-2023

    594.2     86.1     508.1     34.2     3.5     545.8  

2024-2028

    348.1     40.8     307.3     22.5     2.4     332.2  

After 2028

    399.9     53.0     346.9     23.9     7.8     378.6  
                           
 

Total

  $ 5,297.3   $ 1,065.7   $ 4,231.6   $ 188.5   $ 338.7   $ 4,758.8  
                           

1. Net deferred premium revenue amounts are U.S. GAAP based deferred premium revenue and net of ceded unearned premiums.

2. Includes earnings on future installments of credit derivatives.

3. Represents the expected timing of loss expense recognition for expected losses embedded in unearned premium reserve, excluding accretion of discount on loss reserves.

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of September 30,
 
  2009
Sector:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating1

Public Finance

         

United States:

         
 

General obligation

  $ 128,539   A+
 

Tax backed

    54,682   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    49,966   A+
 

Transportation

    20,560   A
 

Healthcare

    10,976   A
 

Higher education

    8,073   A+
 

Housing

    6,762   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,089   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    27   BBB
 

Other public finance

    1,596   A
         
   

Total public finance - U.S.

    282,270   A+

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Infrastructure finance

    11,080   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    7,414   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    6,633   AA-
         
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

    25,127   A-
         

Total public finance

  $ 307,397   A+
         

Structured Finance

         

United States

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 44,907   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    14,816   BB
 

Financial products

    10,914   AA-
 

Consumer receivables

    4,291   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    97   BBB
 

Structured credit

    82   BBB
 

Insurance securitization

    368   AA
 

Other structured finance

    841   A
         
   

Total structured finance - U.S.

    76,316   AA-

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    14,673   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    1,862   AA+
 

Structured credit

    644   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    246   A
 

Insurance securitizations

    37   A+
 

Other structured finance

    340   AAA
         
   

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

    17,802   AAA
         

Total structured finance

  $ 94,118   AA
         

Total exposures

  $ 401,515   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 11



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Avg. Rating1
 
  3Q-09

Sector:

         

Public Finance

         

United States:

         
 

Tax backed

  $ 36   A
 

General obligation

    394   A
 

Municipal utilities

    269   BBB+
 

Higher education

    23   A
 

Transportation

    317   A
 

Housing

    26   AA
         
   

Total public finance - U.S.

  $ 1,065   A
         

Non-U.S.:

         
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

  $ -   -
         

Total gross par written

  $ 1,065   A
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 12



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of September 30, 2009  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
non-U.S.
  Structured Finance
-U.S.
  Structured Finance
-non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

  $ 25     0.0 % $ -     0.0 % $ 16,573     21.7 % $ 7,458     41.9 % $ 24,056     6.0 %

AAA

    5,131     1.8 %   1,305     5.2 %   20,948     27.4 %   5,751     32.3 %   33,135     8.3 %

AA

    125,039     44.3 %   1,476     5.9 %   19,958     26.2 %   1,702     9.6 %   148,175     36.9 %

A

    129,513     45.9 %   7,508     29.9 %   2,598     3.4 %   1,012     5.7 %   140,631     35.0 %

BBB

    21,114     7.5 %   14,609     58.1 %   5,955     7.8 %   1,798     10.1 %   43,476     10.8 %

Below investment grade

    1,448     0.5 %   229     0.9 %   10,284     13.5 %   81     0.5 %   12,042     3.0 %
                                           
 

Total exposures

  $ 282,270     100.0 % $ 25,127     100.0 % $ 76,316     100.0 % $ 17,802     100.0 % $ 401,515     100.0 %
                                           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 13



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4)

(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2009

U.S.:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

California

  $ 41,081     10.2 %

New York

    22,609     5.6 %

Pennsylvania

    20,849     5.2 %

Texas

    19,357     4.8 %

Illinois

    17,361     4.3 %

Florida

    14,841     3.7 %

Michigan

    12,916     3.2 %

New Jersey

    12,459     3.1 %

Washington

    10,349     2.6 %

Massachusetts

    8,486     2.1 %

Other states

    101,962     25.4 %

Mortgage and structured (multiple states)

    76,316     19.1 %
           
 

Total U.S.

    358,586     89.3 %

Non-U.S.:

             

United Kingdom

    12,601     3.1 %

Australia

    4,962     1.2 %

Canada

    4,426     1.1 %

France

    2,084     0.5 %

Italy

    1,895     0.5 %

Other

    16,961     4.3 %
           
 

Total non-U.S.

    42,929     10.7 %

Total net par outstanding

 
$

401,515
   
100.0

%
           

Page 14



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 5)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009

Ratings:
  Prime First
Lien2
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs3   Total Net
Par
Outstanding
 

Super senior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -  

AAA

    116     -     458     134     158     1,347     -     2,214  

AA

    2     44     538     -     -     363     -     947  

A

    1     -     -     -     -     123     -     124  

BBB

    -     -     378     143     -     949     31     1,502  

Below investment grade

    -     1,214     3,482     1,315     2,370     1,480     169     10,030  
                                   

Total exposures

  $ 119   $ 1,258   $ 4,855   $ 1,592   $ 2,529   $ 4,263   $ 200   $ 14,816  
                                   

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Prime First
Lien2
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs3   Total Net
Par
Outstanding
 

2004 and prior

  $ 8   $ -   $ 320   $ 71   $ -   $ 1,349     1   $ 1,749  

2005

    -     -     743     406     139     420     15     1,724  

2006

    112     457     1,916     559     980     126     86     4,235  

2007

    -     801     1,876     556     1,409     2,296     98     7,037  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     72     -     72  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                                   

Total exposures

  $ 119   $ 1,258   $ 4,855   $ 1,592   $ 2,529   $ 4,263   $ 200   $ 14,816  
                                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

3. NIMs are net interest margin securities.

Page 15



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 1,334   $ 56   $ 1   $ 18   $ 340   $ 1,749  

2005

    -     253     88     46     462     875     1,724  

2006

    -     325     -     77     279     3,554     4,235  

2007

    -     301     803     -     671     5,261     7,037  

2008

    -     -     -     -     72     -     72  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 2,214   $ 947   $ 124   $ 1,502   $ 10,030   $ 14,816  
                               

% of total

   
0.0

%
 
14.9

%
 
6.4

%
 
0.8

%
 
10.2

%
 
67.7

%
 
100.0

%

Distribution of U.S. Home Equity Line of Credit ("HELOC") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 27   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 293   $ 320  

2005

    -     74     -     -     148     521     743  

2006

    -     55     -     -     230     1,630     1,916  

2007

    -     301     538     -     -     1,037     1,876  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 458   $ 538   $ -   $ 378   $ 3,482   $ 4,855  
                               

% of total

   
0.0

%
 
9.4

%
 
11.1

%
 
0.0

%
 
7.8

%
 
71.7

%
 
100.0

%

Distribution of U.S. Closed End Seconds ("CES") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -  

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     457     457  

2007

    -     -     44     -     -     758     801  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ -   $ 44   $ -   $ -   $ 1,214   $ 1,258  
                               

% of total

   
0.0

%
 
0.0

%
 
3.5

%
 
0.0

%
 
0.0

%
 
96.5

%
 
100.0

%

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 16



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Alternative-A ("Alt-A") First Lien RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 71   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 71  

2005

    -     63     -     -     143     200     406  

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     559     559  

2007

    -     -     -     -     -     556     556  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 134   $ -   $ -   $ 143   $ 1,315   $ 1,592  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   8.4 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   9.0 %   82.6 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage ("ARM") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -  

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     139     139  

2006

    -     158     -     -     -     822     980  

2007

    -     -     -     -     -     1,409     1,409  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 158   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 2,370   $ 2,529  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   6.3 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   93.7 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Subprime First Lien RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 1,232   $ 53   $ -   $ 18   $ 46   $ 1,349  

2005

    -     115     88     46     170     -     420  

2006

    -     -     -     77     49     -     126  

2007

    -     -     222     -     641     1,434     2,296  

2008

    -     -     -     -     72     -     72  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 1,347   $ 363   $ 123   $ 949   $ 1,480   $ 4,263  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   31.6 %   8.5 %   2.9 %   22.3 %   34.7 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. NIMs RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 1   $ 1  

2005

    -     -     -     -     -     15     15  

2006

    -     -     -     -     -     86     86  

2007

    -     -     -     -     31     67     98  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ -   $ -   $ -   $ 31   $ 169   $ 200  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   15.3 %   84.7 %   100.0 %

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 17



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor3   Subordination4   Cumulative
Losses5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies6
  Number of
Transactions
 

2005

  $ 406     62.0 %   4.8 %   7.5 %   36.7 %   8  

2006

    588     60.7 %   4.8 %   7.3 %   36.4 %   7  

2007

    527     70.3 %   3.1 %   6.4 %   41.1 %   3  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

  $ 1,521     64.4 %   4.2 %   7.0 %   38.1 %   18  
                           

U.S. CES

Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor3   Subordination4   Cumulative
Losses5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies6
  Number of
Transactions
 

2005

  $ -     -     -     -     -     -  

2006

    457     29.0 %   -68.4 %   49.2 %   16.1 %   2  

2007

    801     39.2 %   -18.4 %   49.4 %   15.6 %   9  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

  $ 1,258     35.5 %   -36.6 %   49.3 %   15.8 %   11  
                           

U.S. HELOC

Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor3   Subordination4   Cumulative
Losses5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies6
  Number of
Transactions
 

2005

  $ 743     25.4 %   1.0 %   6.9 %   9.7 %   4  

2006

    1,986     54.9 %   0.3 %   19.9 %   14.3 %   8  

2007

    1,806     47.6 %   4.9 %   17.8 %   6.8 %   6  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

  $ 4,535     47.1 %   2.2 %   16.9 %   10.6 %   18  
                           

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

Page 18



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5)

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor2   Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 

2005

  $ 139     39.2 %   11.4 %   5.8 %   45.9 %   3  

2006

    980     67.7 %   9.5 %   5.7 %   47.4 %   6  

2007

    1,409     77.0 %   9.4 %   4.4 %   43.4 %   6  

2008

    -     -     -     -     -     -  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

  $ 2,529     71.3 %   9.5 %   5.0 %   45.1 %   15  
                           

U.S. Subprime First Lien

Year issued:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool
Factor2
  Subordination3   Cumulative
Losses4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies5
  Number of
Transactions
 

2005

  $ 497     36.8 %   49.0 %   5.0 %   36.6 %   9  

2006

    49     75.1 %   22.8 %   2.1 %   32.5 %   1  

2007

    2,296     75.7 %   27.8 %   5.7 %   46.2 %   10  

2008

    72     77.7 %   35.3 %   2.9 %   36.7 %   1  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -  
                           

  $ 2,913     69.1 %   31.5 %   5.5 %   44.1 %   21  
                           

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 19



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Pooled Corporate Obligations as of September 30, 2009

Ratings1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement2
  Avg. Current
Enhancement2
   

Super senior

  $ 23,463     39.4 %   25.2 %   22.6 %  

AAA

    23,331     39.2 %   25.8 %   24.2 %  

AA

    8,562     14.4 %   33.7 %   30.6 %  

A

    2,513     4.2 %   25.8 %   23.5 %  

BBB

    1,467     2.5 %   13.0 %   10.1 %  

Below investment grade

    244     0.3 %   38.9 %   11.0 %  
                     

Total exposures

  $ 59,580     100.0 %   26.4 %   24.1 %  
                     

Distribution of Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement2
  Avg. Current
Enhancement2
   

2004 and prior

  $ 14,826     24.9 %   21.9 %   20.1 %  

2005

    13,704     23.0 %   25.0 %   22.2 %  

2006

    8,342     14.0 %   27.7 %   26.1 %  

2007

    22,708     38.1 %   29.8 %   27.0 %  

2008

    -     -     -     -    

2009

    -     -     -     -    
                     

  $ 59,580     100.0 %   26.4 %   24.1 %  
                     

Distribution of Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009

Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement2
  Avg. Current
Enhancement2
  Avg. Rating1

CLOs/CBOs

  $ 32,557     54.6 %   27.1 %   24.3 % AAA

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates

    12,621     21.2 %   17.4 %   15.9 % Super Senior

Synthetic high yield pooled corporates

    11,975     20.1 %   36.8 %   31.8 % AAA

Market Value CDOs of corporates

    1,492     2.5 %   17.0 %   34.5 % AAA

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    169     0.3 %   47.5 %   47.1 % A

CDO of CDOs (corporate)3

    39     0.1 %   24.1 %   20.4 % A-

Other Pooled Corporates

    726     1.2 %   N/A     N/A   A-
                     

  $ 59,580     100.0 %   26.4 %   24.1 % AAA
                     

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

3. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

Page 20



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of September 30, 2009

Year issued:
  Credit
Cards
  Auto   Manufactured
Housing
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 55   $ 329   $ 384  

2005

    -     448     -     448  

2006

    -     1,045     -     1,045  

2007

    88     1,927     -     2,015  

2008

    -     399     -     399  

2009

    -     -     -     -  
                   

  $ 88   $ 3,874   $ 329   $ 4,291  
                   

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009

Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

2004 and prior

  $ -   $ 4   $ 51   $ 94   $ 51   $ 184   $ 384  

2005

    -     145     -     96     207     -     448  

2006

    -     1     -     48     996     -     1,045  

2007

    -     19     -     -     1,996     -     2,015  

2008

    -     14     -     -     385     -     399  

2009

    -     -     -     -     -     -     -  
                               

  $ -   $ 183   $ 51   $ 238   $ 3,635   $ 184   $ 4,291  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   4.3 %   1.2 %   5.5 %   84.7 %   4.3 %   100.0 %

Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009

Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Average
Rating1
  Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement2
  Avg. Current
Enhancement2
 

Auto

  $ 3,874     90.3 % BBB     11.5 %   24.2 %

Manufactured Housing

    329     7.6 % BBB     27.5 %   26.7 %

Credit cards

    88     2.1 % BBB     13.2 %   18.1 %
                       

  $ 4,291     100.0 % BBB     12.8 %   24.3 %
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.

Page 21



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Credit Derivative Exposure Profile

(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating

 
  As of
September 30, 2009
 
Ratings1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

  $ 23,461     40.1 %

AAA

    21,490     36.7 %

AA

    8,142     13.9 %

A

    2,830     4.8 %

BBB

    1,876     3.2 %

Below investment grade

    746     1.3 %
           
 

Total exposures

  $ 58,545     100.0 %
           

Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating

 
  As of
September 30, 2009
Sector:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average Rating1

Public Finance

         

United States

         
 

General obligation

  $ 195   A
 

Municipal utilities

    170   BBB+
 

Healthcare

    157   A-
 

Tax backed

    97   A
 

Transportation

    36   A
 

Housing

    30   AA-
 

Other public finance

    119   BBB+
         
   

Total public finance - U.S.

    804   A-

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,142   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    478   A-
 

Other public finance

    922   AAA
         
   

Total public finance - non-U.S.

    2,542   A
         

Total public finance

  $ 3,346   A
         

Structured Finance

         

United States

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 40,450   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    412   BBB-
 

Insurance securitizations

    369   AA
 

Commercial receivables

    67   BBB-
 

Other structured finance

    126   B
         
   

Total structured finance - U.S.

    41,424   AAA

Non-U.S.:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    13,079   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    580   AA
 

Structured credit

    78   BBB
 

Insurance securitizations

    38   A+
         
   

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

    13,775   AAA
         

Total structured finance

  $ 55,199   AAA
         

Total exposures

 
$

58,545
 

AAA

         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 22



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives

(dollars in millions)

Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of September 30, 2009

Credit Default Swaps ("CDS") by Asset Type:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Wtd. Avg. Credit
Rating
  3Q-09 Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 
 

High yield corporates

  $ 39,367   AAA   $ 46.6  
 

Trust preferred

    101   AA     0.3  
 

Market value CDOs of corporates

    1,492   AAA     1.5  
 

Investment grade corporates

    12,569   Super senior1     (22.2 )
               
   

Total pooled corporate obligations

    53,529         26.2  
 

RMBS2:

                 
 

U.S. RMBS:

                 
   

Subprime

    77   A     (0.1 )
   

Other U.S. RMBS

    237   B+     8.4  
 

International RMBS

    580   A     (3.1 )
               
   

Total RMBS

    894         5.2  
 

Other3

   
3,267
 

A

   
(69.2

)
               
   

Total

    57,690         (37.8 )

Interest rate swaps and other financial guaranty contracts with embedded derivatives

   
855
 

A-

   
(26.7

)
               
   

Total

  $ 58,545   AA+   $ (64.5 )
               

1. The "super senior category," which is a category not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where the Company's AAA-rated exposure had additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to the Company's exposure or (2) the Company's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes the Company's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of prime and subprime U.S. mortgage-backed and home equity securities and residential mortgage-backed and home equity securities.

3. Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.

Page 23



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(in millions)

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1

New Jersey (State of)

  $ 2,907   AA-

New York (State of)

    2,314   AA

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    2,060   AA

New York (City of) New York

    1,579   AA-

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,472   AA

Houston Texas Water and Sewer

    1,462   A+

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,436   AA+

Washington (State of)

    1,421   AA

University of California Board of Regents

    1,420   AA

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    1,419   A+

Wisconsin (State of)

    1,401   A+

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,340   AA-

California (State of)

    1,307   A

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    1,300   AA-

Los Angeles California Unified School District

    1,268   AA

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    1,260   AA

Illinois (State of)

    1,213   AA

California (State of) Department of Water Resources

    1,209   A-

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,167   BBB+

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,157   AA-

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,101   AA-

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    1,086   A

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    1,028   BBB-

Denver Colorado School District No.1

    1,017   A+

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    992   AA

Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power

    980   AA-

Connecticut (State of)

    966   AA-

Long Island Power Authority

    952   A-

Chicago-O'Hare Airport

    944   A

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    921   BBB

District of Columbia

    915   A+

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    907   A

Michigan (State of) Gas & Motor Vehicle Tax

    902   AA

San Diego County California Water

    901   AA

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    896   AA-

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    887   A+

Michigan (State of)

    882   A+

New York State Thruway

    877   AA-

Florida (State of)

    875   AA+

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    874   A

Metro Washington Airport

    873   AA-

Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax

    864   A+

Oregon (State of)

    846   AA-

San Diego California Unified School District

    831   AA

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    829   AA

California State University System

    826   AA-

Austin Texas Combined Utility

    821   AA-

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    801   A+

Clark County Nevada School District

    798   AA

Skyway Concession Company LLC

    793   BBB
         
 

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

  $ 57,297    
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 24



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1   Current Credit
Enhancement %
 

US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

  $ 1,460   AA-     40.0 %

US AA Rated Previously Insured Cash Flow CLO

    1,364   AA     30.9 %

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,135   Super senior     14.0 %

International AAA Cash Flow CLO

    1,119   AAA     34.5 %

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    811   Super senior     23.4 %

US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    769   Super senior     14.9 %

US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754   Super senior     29.4 %

International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    735   A     30.9 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    726   AAA     25.0 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-I

    715   CCC     0.0 %

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2007-NCW

    664   BB     34.6 %

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    652   Super senior     18.3 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-F

    607   CCC     0.5 %

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3

    605   CCC     11.5 %

Americredit 2007-B-F

    578   BBB     15.9 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    562   AAA     24.3 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    522   Super senior     29.7 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    521   Super senior     24.5 %

US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    512   Super senior     14.4 %

Eastland CLO LTD

    510   Super senior     29.6 %

Denali Capital CLO VII, Ltd.

    498   AAA     20.6 %

US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    492   AA     46.7 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    461   Super senior     25.0 %

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    461   Super senior     12.9 %

Avenue CLO V, Ltd.

    458   AAA     16.4 %

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433   Super senior     11.9 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    428   AAA     36.0 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    427   AAA     24.3 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    419   AA     23.7 %

Chruchill Financials CLO

    415   AAA     34.7 %

Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2

    411   BB     20.8 %

Grayson CLO LTD

    410   Super senior     21.7 %

IG Systhentic CDS

    406   Super senior     13.9 %

IG Systhentic CDS

    399   Super senior     14.0 %

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1

    388   CCC     7.2 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    385   Super senior     36.4 %

StoneTower CLO III

    381   AA-     21.0 %

IG Systhentic CDS

    377   Super senior     11.0 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-A

    374   CCC     0.0 %

US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    371   AAA     29.5 %

HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12

    361   BB     11.9 %

CENT CDO 15

    360   Super senior     16.8 %

StoneTower CLO V

    357   Super senior     27.7 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    354   AAA     34.0 %

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1

    350   B     7.4 %

BIG Synthentic CDS

    348   AAA     24.7 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D

    346   CCC     0.0 %

CIFC Funding 2006-1

    341   AAA     22.5 %

Muir Grove CLO

    340   AAA     19.0 %

KKR Financial CLO 2005-1

    340   AAA     21.3 %
                 
 

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

  $ 27,212            
                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 25



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(in millions)

10 Largest Healthcare Exposures

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1   State

Carolina HealthCare System

  $ 217   AA-   NC

Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc

    204   AA-   IL

CHRISTUS Health

    192   A+   TX

Carilion Health System

    189   A   VA

St. Lukes Health System

    187   A   MO

SSM Health Care

    179   AA-   MO

MultiCare Health System

    173   A+   WA

Catholic Health Initiatives

    168   AA   CO

Memorial Hermann Healthcare

    166   A   TX

Catholic Health System (fka Mercy Health System)

    165   A+   OH
             
 

Total top 10 healthcare exposures

  $ 1,840        
             

10 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating1    

Quebec Provence

  $ 1,949   A    

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,334   BBB    

Thames Water Utility Finance Plc

    1,126   BBB+    

Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc

    901   BBB    

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821   AAA    

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    752   Super senior    

International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    605   Super senior    

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    565   AA-    

Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern) - Swap Policy

    505   A-    

CPT 259 - Bear Stearns HY - Sperlonga A

    487   AA-    
             
 

Total top 10 non-U.S. exposures

  $ 9,045        
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 26



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

As of September 30, 2009

(in millions)

10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP

  $ 6,471  

American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc.

    1,857  

GMAC Mortgage, LLC

    1,217  

Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC

    919  

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC

    907  

One West

    787  

Wells Fargo Bank Minnesota, N.A.

    774  

First Tennessee Bank N.A.

    474  

Litton Loan Servicing LP

    325  

Flagstar Bank, FSB

    322  
       
 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

  $ 14,053  
       

Page 27



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type:
  Weighted Average
Remaining Life
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public Finance:

               

United States

               
 

General obligation

    6.9   $ 684   BB
 

Healthcare

    10.2     279   BB-
 

Tax backed

    12.0     219   BB
 

Municipal utilities

    8.4     166   D
 

Higher education

    10.0     9   BB
 

Housing

    10.3     7   B
 

Other public finance

    2.5     84   B
             
   

Total public finance - U.S.

    8.3     1,448   B+

Non-U.S.:

               
 

Infrastructure finance

    3.4     229   BB
             
     

Total public finance - non-U.S.

    3.4     229   BB
             

Total public finance

    7.6   $ 1,677   B+

Structured Finance:

               

United States

               
 

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    5.3   $ 9,811   B-
 

Consumer receivables

    3.2     184   BB
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2.5     163   CCC+
 

Other structured finance

    5.5     126   B
             
     

Total structured finance - U.S.

    5.2     10,284   B-

Non-U.S.:

               
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2.6     81   CCC
             
     

Total structured finance - non-U.S.

    2.6     81   CCC
             

Total structured finance

    5.2   $ 10,365   B-
             

Total below investment grade exposures

    5.5   $ 12,042   B-
             

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 28



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)

As of September 30, 2009

(dollars in millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of September 30, 2009

Name or Description
  Weighted Average
Remaining Life
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    4.8   $ 715   CCC     0.0 %

Private US Residential MBS

    2.6     664   BB     34.6 %

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

    4.2     607   CCC     0.5 %

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3

    3.2     605   CCC     11.5 %

Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2

    4.2     411   BB     20.8 %

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1

    4.5     388   CCC     7.2 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-A

    4.4     374   CCC     0.0 %

HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12

    3.9     361   BB     11.9 %

MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1

    3.8     350   B     7.4 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D

    4.4     346   CCC     0.0 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-B

    4.5     325   CCC     0.0 %

GMACM 2004-HE3

    4.1     293   BB     0.3 %

IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust, Series 2007-H1

    4.8     268   CCC     0.0 %

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL

    20.8     255   CCC     -74.7 %

Aeroporti Di Roma Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

    3.4     229   BB     N/A  

Soundview Home Loan Trust 2007-WMC1

    3.3     213   CCC     15.9 %

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL

    21.1     210   CCC     -77.9 %

HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-1

    4.4     203   BB     14.4 %

Harborview 2006-1

    2.2     202   CCC     9.9 %

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL

    20.0     202   CCC     -60.5 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-C

    4.2     175   BB     0.2 %

Detroit (City of) Michigan School District

    6.2     175   BB     N/A  

Flagstar Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-2

    3.2     173   CCC     0.0 %

HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-10

    4.4     171   B     6.4 %

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-S2

    2.3     157   CCC     0.0 %

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-3

    4.7     154   CCC     3.4 %

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    8.5     151   D     N/A  

Renaissance Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-3

    6.4     146   BB     27.6 %

Jefferson County Alabama School Limited Obligation

    11.6     144   BB     N/A  

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    4.5     137   BB+     N/A  

New Orleans Louisiana

    3.8     135   BB     N/A  

American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4

    6.0     126   CCC     3.2 %

IndyMac IMSC Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HOA1

    6.6     126   CCC     4.0 %

NRG Peaker Finance Company LLC

    5.5     126   B     NA  

International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    2.7     115   CCC     12.9 %

Conseco Finance Securitization MH Series 2001-2

    1.9     103   BB     18.3 %

Countrywide AltA 2005-22T

    5.1     102   B     6.7 %

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-2

    4.7     91   CCC     2.7 %

Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB1

    5.1     90   CCC     8.0 %

Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB4

    3.4     87   CCC     3.2 %

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-GP1

    2.9     86   CCC     0.0 %

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe Connecticut

    2.5     84   B     N/A  

Erie (City of) Pennsylvania

    9.0     83   BB+     N/A  

GreenPoint Manufactured Housing Contract Trust Pass Through Certificates Series 2000-4

    4.7     81   BB     16.8 %

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania

    13.2     77   BB+     N/A  

International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    2.7     77   CCC     12.9 %

DeKalb County Medical Center - Georgia

    13.5     74   BB     N/A  

Goldman AltA 2005-X

    2.4     71   BB     11.4 %

CSMC Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-3

    7.3     71   CCC     3.3 %

CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-H

    3.9     70   CCC     0.0 %

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6 ALT

    4.3     69   CCC     3.7 %

CWALT, Inc., Alternative Loan Trust 2005-62, Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-62

    2.0     66   CCC     14.1 %

ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-SL1

    21.3     65   CCC     -46.2 %

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    10.3     62   BB     N/A  

DSLA Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-AR5

    2.5     60   CCC     10.0 %

                       

Page 29



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)

Name or Description
  Weighted Average
Remaining Life
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

FFMLT 2007-FFC

    4.1     60   CCC     0.0 %

Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB3

    3.2     59   CCC     3.6 %

Luminent Mortgage Trust 2006-2

    1.2     55   CCC     11.5 %

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-4

    4.8     52   CCC     4.7 %
                     
 

Total

    5.5   $ 11,227            
                     

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 30



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Surveillance Categories

(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by Surveillance Category1

 
  September 30, 2009  
Description:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Number of
Credits in
Category
 
 

Category 1

  $ 4,803     39.9 %   114  
 

Category 2

    4,942     41.0 %   51  
 

Category 3

    2,297     19.1 %   17  
               
   

BIG Total

  $ 12,042     100.0 %   182  
               

1. Effective January 1, 2009 Assured Guaranty adopted ASC 944-20. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: BIG transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 2: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 3: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly.

Page 31



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Type

(in millions)

Loss and LAE Reserves by Type:
  As of
September 30,
2009
 

Loss and LAE reserves

  $ 3.3  

Credit derivatives reserves

    119.5  
       
 

Total loss and LAE reserves

  $ 122.8  
       

Page 32



Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses

As of September 30, 2009

(in millions)

 
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG transactions
  3Q-09 Incurred
Losses2 4
  Loss and Loss
Expense
Adjustment
Reserves3 4
  Expected
Loss in Unearned
Premium Reserve
 

Total Financial Guaranty1

                         
 

Prime first lien

  $   $   $   $ 0.1  
 

Closed end seconds

    995     (12.5 )   58.1     212.0  
 

HELOC

    3,482     (0.6 )   -     134.5  
 

Alt-A first lien

    1,315     (0.0 )   -     184.9  
 

Alt-A option ARMs

    2,370     2.7     3.3     381.7  
 

Subprime first lien

    1,649     2.3     38.3     63.2  
                   
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    9,811     (8.1 )   99.7     976.4  
 

Other structured finance

    553     (3.0 )   23.1     53.0  
 

Public finance

    1,678     (15.3 )   -     36.3  
                   

Total Financial Guaranty

  $ 12,042   $ (26.4 ) $ 122.8   $ 1,065.7  
                   

1. Includes financial guaranty and insured derivatives in the insured portfolio.

2. Includes loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) and incurred losses on credit derivatives.

3. Includes loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for credit derivatives.

4. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.

Page 33


Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2009   2008   2007   2006   2005   2004  

Statutory Data

                                     
 

Net income (loss)

 
$

435.3
 
$

(1,376.7

)

$

312.9
 
$

339.6
 
$

293.5
 
$

242.0
 
 

Policyholders' surplus

 
$

1,140.0
 
$

710.8
 
$

1,608.8
 
$

1,543.1
 
$

1,510.7
 
$

1,181.4
 
 

Contingency reserve

    1,226.0     1,281.6     1,094.3     1,011.0     906.9     1,099.5  
                           
   

Qualified statutory capital

    2,366.0     1,992.4     2,703.1     2,554.1     2,417.6     2,280.9  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    2,380.0     2,520.1     2,274.6     2,070.8     1,850.4     1,649.2  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    1,105.0     1,688.0     98.1     53.0     54.4     48.2  
                           
   

Total policyholders' surplus & reserves

    5,851.0     6,200.5     5,075.8     4,677.9     4,322.4     3,978.3  
 

Present value of installment premiumse

    824.0     962.6     1,113.0     827.9     803.4     727.3  
 

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    498.0     550.0     550.0     550.0     550.0     525.0  
                           
   

Total claims-paying resources

  $ 7,173.0   $ 7,713.1   $ 6,738.8   $ 6,055.8   $ 5,675.8   $ 5,230.6  
                           

Statutory Financial Ratios

                                     
   

Expense ratio

    13.5 %   9.1 %   30.0 %   29.9 %   27.8 %   26.8 %
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory basis):

                                     
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 581,685   $ 631,886   $ 623,158   $ 552,695   $ 497,625   $ 454,359  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    770,509     834,426     858,458     765,632     686,134     633,037  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    388,950     424,393     426,512     376,456     351,398     325,808  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    503,071     545,568     564,515     498,619     472,374     442,932  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    32,414     32,927     30,872     37,590     44,599     44,707  
 

Ceded par to other companies

    81,707     88,248     107,131     84,573     76,377     72,417  
 

Ratios:

                                     
   

Net par insured to statutory capital

    164:1     213:1     158:1     147:1     145:1     143:1  
   

Capital ratio1

    246:1     317:1     231:1     216:1     206:1     199:1  
   

Financial resources ratio2

    81:1     82:1     92:1     91:1     88:1     87:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                                     
 

Public finance

  $ 1,723   $ 85,666   $ 133,792   $ 127,294   $ 120,745   $ 88,157  
 

Structured finance

    -     5,193     57,434     48,794     40,347     63,971  
                           
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 1,723   $ 90,859   $ 191,226   $ 176,088   $ 161,092   $ 152,128  
                           

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [present value of installment premiums (e)].

Page 34



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report.

Other Public Finance.    Other domestic public finance obligations insured by FSA include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.

Residential Mortgage Loans.    Obligations primarily backed by residential mortgage loans generally take the form of conventional pass-through certificates or pay-through debt securities, but also include other structured products. Included are:

    Alt-A closed-end second lien-mortgage (CES). Backed by fully amortizing loans secured by a second lien on residential property.

    Prime Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). Primarily backed by second liens and made to higher quality ("prime") borrowers.

    Alt-A first-lien mortgages. Collateralized by fixed and floating rate loans secured by first lien on residential property.

    Alt-A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage (Option ARM). Primarily backed by first lien mortgage loans made to prime borrowers (on average) who have the choice of various monthly payment options.

    Subprime U.S. RMBS. Characterized by lower quality borrowers and higher levels of structural credit protection through subordination and/or excess spread.

    Net interest margin securitizations (NIMs). Securities backed by the senior portion of residual cash flows from securitization of domestic residential mortgage loans.

Consumer Receivables.    Obligations primarily backed by consumer receivables which include conventional pass-through and pay-through securities as well as more highly structured transactions. Consumer receivables backing these insured obligations primarily include: automobile loans, credit card receivables, student loans and manufactured housing loans. Consumer receivable transactions in AGM's insured portfolio tend to be concentrated in the subprime automobile loan sector.

Pooled Corporate Obligations.    Funded or synthetic Obligations primarily backed by pooled corporate obligations include corporate loans or corporate bonds. These obligations are generally referred to as collateralized loan obligations ("CLOs"), collateralized bond obligations ("CBOs"), market value CDOs ("MV CDOs") and comparable risks under CDS obligations.

Financial Products.    Represents GIC's issued by FSAH's Financial Products segment, which was not part of Assured Guaranty's acquisition of FSAH on July 1, 2009.

Other Structured Finance.    Other structured finance in FSA's insured portfolio include bonds or other securities backed by goverment securities, letters of credit or repurchase agreements collateralized by government securities, securities backed by a combination of assets that include elements of more than one of the categories set forth above and unsecured corporate obligations satisfying FSA's underwriting criteria. Other structured finance obligations insured by FSA also include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such utilities and other obligations backed by investor-owned utilities. Other structured finance obligations include securitization of life insurance risks and airplane leases, including transactions benefiting from third-party financial guaranty insurance.

Page 35


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

This Financial Supplement references financial measures that are not financial measures that are in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP financial measures") which management uses in order to assist analysts and investors in evaluating the Company's financial results. These non-GAAP financial measures are defined below. In each case, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and GAAP financial measure is provided. This presentation is consistent with how the Company's management, analysts and investors evaluate the Company's financial results and is comparable to estimates published by analysts in their research reports.

(a) PVP or present value of new business:    PVP is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at the approximate taxable equivalent yield per year on the Company's general investment portfolio, while under ASC 944-20, "Financial Services-Insurance," these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under ASC 944-20 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not result from changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refundings, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors that management cannot control or predict. PVP should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.

(b) Operating income:    Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments;

2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the Company's net estimate of after-tax incurred economic credit losses for credit derivatives;

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

4) Elimination of goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationships.

Management believes that operating income is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income enhances the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP.

(c) Operating shareholder's equity ("Operating Shareholder's Equity"):    Operating shareholder's equity is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following fair value adjustments deemed to be unrelated to credit impairment. The specific adjustments are:

1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;

2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation.

Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating ROE enhances the understanding of the Company's shareholder's equity excluding unrealized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities, which are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. determined in accordance with GAAP.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for the specified period divided by the average of operating shareholder's equity at the beginning and the end of the specified period. Management believes that Operating ROE is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of Operating ROE enhance the understanding of the Company's return on shareholder's equity by highlighting the underlying profitability relative to shareholder's equity excluding the effect of unrealized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolio, credit derivatives and committed capital securities for both net income and shareholder's equity. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as substitutes for ROE determined in accordance with GAAP.

(d) Adjusted Book Value "(ABV"):    Subsequent to the adoption of ASC 944-20 on January 1, 2009 and the acquisition of Financial Security Assurance Holdings (FSAH) on July 1, 2009, adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to AGM (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated subsidiaries) less after-tax fair value adjustments deemed to be non-economic, plus after-tax unearned premium reserves net of ceded unearned premium reserve and deferred acquisition costs, plus the after-tax present value of estimated future revenues on contracts written in credit derivative contract form. The specific adjustments to shareholder's equity attributable to AGM are:

1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;

2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities;

3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation,

4) Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs'

5) Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force, less future ceding commissions and premium taxes, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009;

6) Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, net of ceded unearned premium reserve; and

7) Addition of the after-tax value of unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance.

Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, equity analysts and investors because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and shareholder's equity. The premiums described above will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to AGM determined in accordance with GAAP.

(e) Net present value of estimated future installment premiums on credit derivatives in force:    Net present value of estimated installment premiums on credit derivatives in force is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as the present value of estimated future revenue from our credit derivative in-force books of business, net of reinsurance and discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009. Management believes that net present value of estimated future revenue in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. Estimated future premiums may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that management cannot control or predict that result from market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.

(f) Expense Ratio:    Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of ceding commissions expense (income), profit commission expense, acquisition costs and operating expenses by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives.

Page 36


GRAPHIC

    Contacts:

 

 

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ross Aron
Associate, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com



QuickLinks

Table of Contents
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Income Statement1 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Detailed Income Statement (Non-GAAP) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets1 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Capital and Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. New Business Production (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Investment Portfolio As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Credit Derivative Exposure Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2) As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2) As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Surveillance Categories (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Type (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Glossary