ai-ex991_7.htm

ARLINGTON, VA, May 1, 2019 – Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AI) (the “Company” or “Arlington”) today reported net income available to common shareholders of $17.3 million, or $0.52 per diluted common share, and non-GAAP core operating income of $10.5 million, or $0.32 per diluted common share, for the quarter ended March 31, 2019. A reconciliation of non-GAAP core operating income to GAAP net income (loss) before income taxes appears at the end of this press release.

“With lower market volatility and solid portfolio performance during the first quarter, the Company delivered a 16.8% annualized economic return, measured as the change in book value per common share plus the quarterly dividend per common share,” said J. Rock Tonkel, Jr., the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer. “During the first quarter, the Company successfully raised $78 million in equity capital that it expects will be accretive to earnings. The Company was able to deploy the capital in a favorable investment environment at attractive returns while also improving the Company’s operating leverage by lowering its ratio of general and administrative expenses to investable capital by approximately 70 basis points.”

As of March 31, 2019, the Company’s agency MBS investment portfolio totaled $5,118 million in fair value, consisting of $4,192 million of specified agency MBS and $926 million of net long to-be-announced (“TBA”) agency MBS. As of March 31, 2019, the Company’s $5,118 million agency MBS investment portfolio was comprised of the following:

As of March 31, 2019, the Company’s $4,192 million specified agency MBS portfolio had a weighted average amortized cost basis of $104.40 and a weighted average market price of $104.59. The Company’s fixed-rate agency MBS are comprised of securities backed by specified pools of mortgage loans selected for their lower propensity for prepayment. Weighted average pay-up premiums on the Company’s agency MBS portfolio, which represent the estimated price premium of agency MBS backed by specified pools over a generic TBA agency MBS, were approximately 1.2 percentage points as of March 31, 2019, compared to three-fifths of a percentage point as of December 31, 2018.

As of March 31, 2019, the Company had $3,964 million of repurchase agreements outstanding with a weighted average rate of 2.73% and remaining weighted average maturity of 21 days secured by an aggregate of $4,198 million of agency MBS at fair value, which includes $323 million at sale price of unsettled agency MBS sale commitments which is included in the line item “sold securities receivable” in the Company’s financial statements. The Company’s “at risk” short-term recourse financing to investable capital ratio was 11.0 to 1 as of March 31, 2019 compared to 10.6 to 1 as of December 31, 2018. The Company’s “at risk” short-term recourse financing to investable capital is measured as the ratio of the sum of the Company’s repurchase agreement financing, net payable or receivable for unsettled securities and net contractual price of TBA commitments less cash and cash equivalents compared to the Company’s investable capital measured as the sum of the Company’s shareholders’ equity and long-term unsecured debt.

GAAP net interest income was $7.9 million for the first quarter of 2019 compared to $10.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2018, including the amortization of the Company’s net premium on its agency MBS of $5.9 million for the first quarter of 2019 compared to $7.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. The Company’s weighted average yield on its agency MBS was 3.36% for the first quarter of 2019 compared to 3.30% for the fourth quarter of 2018, and the actual weighted-average constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) for the Company’s agency MBS was 7.55% for the first quarter of 2019 compared to 8.25% for the fourth quarter of 2018. The Company’s weighted average cost of repurchase agreement funding was 2.68% during the first quarter of 2019 compared to 2.43% during the fourth quarter of 2018.

The Company enters into various hedging transactions to mitigate the interest rate sensitivity of its cost of borrowing and the value of its agency MBS portfolio including interest rate swap agreements, U.S. Treasury note futures, put and call options on 10-year U.S. Treasury note futures, and options on agency MBS. Under GAAP, the Company has not designated these transactions as hedging instruments for financial reporting purposes and therefore all gains and losses on its hedging instruments are recorded as net investment gains and losses in the Company’s financial statements.

Under the terms of the Company’s interest rate swap agreements, the Company pays semiannual interest payments based on a fixed rate and receives quarterly variable interest payments based upon the prevailing three-month London Interbank Offered Rate (“LIBOR”) on the date of reset. As of March 31, 2019, the Company had $2,850 million in notional amount of interest rate swap agreements with a weighted average pay fixed rate of 2.11% and a remaining weighted average maturity of 5.7 years. The Company’s weighted average net receive rate of its interest rate swap agreements was 0.59% during the first quarter of 2019 compared to 0.33% during the fourth quarter of 2018.

In addition to interest rate swap agreements, the Company held $215 million in equivalent notional amount of short positions in 10-year U.S. Treasury note futures as of March 31, 2019 that were purchased during the first quarter of 2019 when the 10-year U.S. Treasury rate was 2.64%. As of March 31, 2019, the total notional amount of the Company’s interest rate hedges consisting of interest rate swaps and U.S. Treasury note futures was 63% of the Company’s outstanding repurchase agreement funding and net TBA purchase commitments with a net duration gap of negative 0.2 years.

The Company reported TBA dollar roll income of $1.4 million for the first quarter of 2019 compared to $2.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. The implied weighted-average net interest spread of the Company’s TBA dollar rolls was 1.05% for the first quarter of 2019 compared to 1.66% for the fourth quarter of 2018. TBA dollar roll income is considered the economic equivalent of investing in agency MBS financed with a repurchase agreement and is calculated as the price discount of a forward-settling purchase of a TBA agency MBS relative to the “spot” sale of the same security. Under GAAP, the Company accounts for its TBA commitments as derivative instruments and recognizes income from TBA dollar rolls as a component of net investment gains and losses in the Company’s financial statements.

Economic net interest income was $14.1 million for the first quarter of 2019 compared to $15.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. Economic net interest income is comprised of net interest income determined in accordance with GAAP, TBA dollar roll income and net interest income or expense from interest rate swaps. Economic net interest income is a non-GAAP financial measure that is described later in this press release.

Excluding TBA dollar roll income, the Company had net investment gains on our investment portfolio of $76.6 million for the first quarter of 2019. On its related interest rate hedging instruments, the Company had net investment losses of $69.0 million, excluding interest rate swap net interest income. This results in a net investment gain on our hedged investment portfolio of $7.6 million, or $0.23 per diluted common share, for the first quarter of 2019.

On December 27, 2018, the Company’s Board of Directors approved a plan for the Company to elect to be taxed and to operate in a manner that will allow the Company to qualify as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes commencing with the Company’s taxable year ending December 31, 2019. As a REIT, the Company can utilize its net operating loss (“NOL”) and net capital loss (“NCL”) carryforwards to reduce its taxable income and therefore its REIT distribution requirements. As of March 31, 2019, the Company estimated its NOL carryforward at $14.5 million that expires in 2028 and its NCL carryforward at $433.3 million that begins to expire in 2019. In addition, the Company had an alternative minimum tax (“AMT”) credit carryforward of $9.1 million as of March 31, 2019 that does not expire. The AMT credit carryforward can be realized as either a cash refund or as an offset to future regular tax liabilities or a combination of both. The Company’s estimated loss and tax credit carryforwards as of March 31, 2019 are subject to potential adjustments up to the time of filing the Company’s income tax returns.

The Company’s Board of Directors approved a distribution to common shareholders of $0.375 per share for the first quarter of 2019. The distribution was paid on April 30, 2019 to shareholders of record as of March 29, 2019. The Company’s Board of Directors also approved a distribution to its Series B preferred shareholders of $0.4375 per share for the first quarter of 2019. The distribution was paid on April 1, 2019 to shareholders of record as of February 27, 2019.

The tax characterization of the Company’s distributions to shareholders is determined and reported to shareholders on Form 1099-DIV after the end of the calendar year.

Commencing with its taxable year ending December 31, 2019, the Company intends to elect and operate in a manner that will allow it to qualify as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, distributions to shareholders will generally be taxable as ordinary income that are not eligible to be taxed as qualified dividends. However, a portion of such distributions may be designated as long-term capital gain dividends to the extent that such portion is attributable to the Company’s sale of capital assets held for more than one year. Non-corporate taxpayers may deduct up to 20% of dividends received from a REIT that are not designated as capital gain dividends or qualified dividend income, subject to certain limitations. Distributions in excess of the Company’s current and accumulated earnings and profits will be treated as a tax-free return of capital to the extent of each shareholder’s tax basis in the Company’s stock and as capital gain thereafter.

The Company will hold a conference call for investors at 9:00 A.M. Eastern Time on Thursday, May 2, 2019 to discuss the Company’s first quarter 2019 results.

Investors may listen to the earnings call via the internet at: http://www.arlingtonasset.com/index.php?s=19. Replays of the earnings call will be available for 60 days via webcast at the Internet address provided above, beginning two hours after the call ends.

The Company will make available additional quarterly information for the benefit of its shareholders through a supplemental presentation that will be available at the Company's website, www.arlingtonasset.com. The presentation will be available on the Webcasts and Presentations section located under the Updates & Events tab of the Company's website.

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AI) currently invests primarily in mortgage-related and other assets and intends to qualify to be taxed as a REIT commencing with its taxable year ending December 31, 2019. The Company is headquartered in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. For more information, please visit www.arlingtonasset.com.

Statements concerning interest rates, portfolio allocation, financing costs, portfolio hedging, prepayments, dividends, book value, utilization of loss carryforwards, any change in long-term tax structures (including any REIT election), use of equity raise proceeds and any other guidance on present or future periods constitute forward-looking statements that are subject to a number of factors, risks and uncertainties that might cause actual results to differ materially from stated expectations or current circumstances. These factors include,

but are not limited to, changes in interest rates, increased costs of borrowing, decreased interest spreads, changes in political and monetary policies, changes in default rates, changes in prepayment rates and other assumptions underlying our estimates related to our projections of future core earnings, changes in the Company’s returns, changes in the use of the Company’s tax benefits, the Company’s ability to qualify and maintain qualification as a REIT, changes in the agency MBS asset yield, changes in the Company’s monetization of net operating loss carryforwards, changes in the Company’s ability to generate cash earnings and dividends, preservation and utilization of the Company’s net operating loss and net capital loss carryforwards, impacts of changes to and changes by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, actions taken by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the U.S. Treasury, availability of opportunities that meet or exceed the Company’s risk adjusted return expectations, ability and willingness to make future dividends, ability to generate sufficient cash through retained earnings to satisfy capital needs, and general economic, political, regulatory and market conditions. These and other material risks are described in the Company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and any other documents filed by the Company with the SEC from time to time, which are available from the Company and from the SEC, and you should read and understand these risks when evaluating any forward-looking statement. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time, and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect the Company. Except as required by law, the Company is not obligated to, and does not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

	March 31, 2019			December 31, 2018
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents	$	37,547		$	26,713
Interest receivable		14,128			13,349
Sold securities receivable		341,798			—
Mortgage-backed securities, at fair value
Agency		4,192,327			3,982,106
Private-label		28			24
Derivative assets, at fair value		15,248			438
Deposits		53,446			61,052
Other assets		18,636			15,768
Total assets	$	4,673,158		$	4,099,450
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Liabilities:
Repurchase agreements	$	3,964,127		$	3,721,629
Interest payable		5,063			4,646
Accrued compensation and benefits		1,420			3,732
Dividend payable		14,190			11,736
Derivative liabilities, at fair value		2,346			6,959
Purchased securities payable		251,144			—
Other liabilities		4,297			2,200
Long-term unsecured debt		74,160			74,104
Total liabilities		4,316,747			3,825,006
Equity:
Preferred stock (liquidation preference of $38,816 and $8,765, respectively)		37,170			8,245
Common stock		366			305
Additional paid-in capital		2,047,398			1,997,876
Accumulated deficit		(1,728,523	)		(1,731,982	)
Total equity		356,411			274,444
Total liabilities and equity	$	4,673,158		$	4,099,450
Book value per common share ⁽¹⁾	$	8.70		$	8.71
Common shares outstanding (in thousands) ⁽²⁾		36,520			30,516

(1) Book value per common share is calculated as total equity less the preferred stock liquidation preference divided by common shares outstanding.

(2) Represents common shares outstanding plus vested restricted stock units convertible into common stock less unvested restricted common stock.

	Three Months Ended
	March 31, 2019			December 31, 2018			September 30, 2018			June 30, 2018
Interest income
Agency mortgage-backed securities	$	33,570		$	36,914		$	32,679		$	29,940
Private-label mortgage-backed securities		1			4			2			10
Other		261			256			183			105
Total interest income		33,832			37,174			32,864			30,055
Interest expense
Short-term secured debt		24,643			25,286			21,265			17,936
Long-term unsecured debt		1,272			1,264			1,261			1,257
Total interest expense		25,915			26,550			22,526			19,193
Net interest income		7,917			10,624			10,338			10,862
Investment advisory fee income		250			—			—			—
Investment income (loss), net
Gain (loss) on trading investments, net		69,168			32,591			(37,878	)		(20,892	)
(Loss) gain from derivative instruments, net		(55,205	)		(101,483	)		35,620			16,052
Other, net		(160	)		(18	)		1			324
Total investment income (loss), net		13,803			(68,910	)		(2,257	)		(4,516	)
General and administrative expenses
Compensation and benefits		3,116			395			2,833			2,061
Other general and administrative expenses		1,260			1,263			1,121			1,400
Total general and administrative expenses		4,376			1,658			3,954			3,461
Income (loss) before income taxes		17,594			(59,944	)		4,127			2,885
Income tax (benefit) provision		—			(33,639	)		9,628			6,493
Net income (loss)		17,594			(26,305	)		(5,501	)		(3,608	)
Dividend on preferred stock		(278	)		(153	)		(151	)		(149	)
Net income (loss) available (attributable) to common stock	$	17,316		$	(26,458	)	$	(5,652	)	$	(3,757	)
Basic earnings (loss) per common share	$	0.52		$	(0.87	)	$	(0.19	)	$	(0.13	)
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share	$	0.52		$	(0.87	)	$	(0.19	)	$	(0.13	)
Weighted average common shares outstanding (in thousands)
Basic		33,053			30,392			29,382			28,210
Diluted		33,139			30,392			29,382			28,210

In addition to the Company’s results of operations determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles as consistently applied in the United States (“GAAP”), the Company also reports “non-GAAP core operating income.” The Company defines core operating income as “economic net interest income” and investment advisory fee income less “core general and administrative expenses.”

Economic net interest income, a non-GAAP financial measure, represents the interest income earned net of interest expense incurred from all of our interest bearing financial instruments as well as the agency MBS which underlie, and are implicitly financed through, our TBA dollar roll transactions. Economic net interest income is comprised of the following:

In the Company’s consolidated statements of comprehensive income prepared in accordance with GAAP, TBA agency MBS dollar roll income and the net interest income earned or expense incurred from interest rate swap agreements are reported as a component of the overall periodic change in the fair value of derivative instruments within the line item “gain (loss) from derivative instruments, net” of the “investment gain (loss), net” section. We believe that economic net interest income assists investors in understanding and evaluating the financial performance of the Company’s long-term-focused, net interest spread-based investment strategy, prior to the deduction of core general and administrative expenses.

Core general and administrative expenses are non-interest expenses reported within the line item “total general and administrative expenses” of the consolidated statements of comprehensive income less stock-based compensation expense.

The following table presents the Company’s computation of economic net interest income and core operating income for the last four fiscal quarters (unaudited, amounts in thousands, except per share amounts):

	Three Months Ended
	March 31, 2019			December 31, 2018			September 30, 2018			June 30, 2018
GAAP net interest income	$	7,917		$	10,624		$	10,338		$	10,862
TBA dollar roll income		1,420			2,940			4,604			6,742
Interest rate swap net interest income		4,747			2,304			2,295			2,483
Economic net interest income		14,084			15,868			17,237			20,087
Investment advisory fee income		250			—			—			—
Core general and administrative expenses		(3,603	)		(2,324	)		(3,202	)		(3,162	)
Preferred stock dividend		(278	)		(153	)		(151	)		(149	)
Non-GAAP core operating income	$	10,453		$	13,391		$	13,884		$	16,776

Non-GAAP core operating income per diluted common share	$	0.32		$	0.44		$	0.47		$	0.59
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding		33,139			30,437			29,718			28,463

The following table provides a reconciliation of GAAP pre-tax net income (loss) to non-GAAP core operating income for the last four fiscal quarters (unaudited, amounts in thousands):

	Three Months Ended
	March 31, 2019			December 31, 2018			September 30, 2018			June 30, 2018
GAAP income (loss) before income taxes	$	17,594		$	(59,944	)	$	4,127		$	2,885
Add (less):
Total investment (gain) loss, net		(13,803	)		68,910			2,257			4,516
Stock-based compensation expense		773			(666	)		752			299
Preferred stock dividend		(278	)		(153	)		(151	)		(149	)
Add back:
TBA dollar roll income		1,420			2,940			4,604			6,742
Interest rate swap net interest income		4,747			2,304			2,295			2,483
Non-GAAP core operating income	$	10,453		$	13,391		$	13,884		$	16,776

Non-GAAP core operating income is used by management to evaluate the financial performance of the Company’s long-term investment strategy and core business activities over periods of time as well as assist with the determination of the appropriate level of periodic dividends to common stockholders. The Company believes that non-GAAP core operating income assists investors in understanding and evaluating the financial performance of the Company’s long-term investment strategy and core business activities over periods of time as well as its earnings capacity. A limitation of utilizing this non-GAAP financial measure is that the effect of accounting for “non-core” events or transactions in accordance with GAAP does, in fact, reflect the financial results of our business and these effects should not be ignored when evaluating and analyzing our financial results. For example, the economic cost or benefit of hedging instruments other than interest rate swap agreements, such as U.S. Treasury note futures or options on U.S. Treasury note futures, do not affect the computation of non-GAAP core operating income. In addition, the Company’s calculation of non-GAAP core operating income may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Therefore, the Company believes that net income and comprehensive income determined in accordance with GAAP should be considered in conjunction with non-GAAP core operating income. Furthermore, there may be differences between non-GAAP core operating income and taxable income determined in accordance with the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, the Company will be required to distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income (subject to certain adjustments) to qualify as a REIT and all of its taxable income in order to not be subject to any U.S. Federal or state corporate income taxes. Accordingly, non-GAAP core operating income may not equal the Company’s distribution requirements as a REIT.

The following tables present information on the Company’s investment and hedge portfolio as of March 31, 2019 (unaudited, dollars in thousands):

	Unpaid Principal Balance		Net Unamortized Purchase Premiums		Amortized Cost Basis		Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)			Fair Value		Market Price		Coupon			Weighted Average Expected Remaining Life
20-year fixed rate:
4.0%	$	221,558	$	7,027	$	228,585	$	1,184		$	229,769	$	103.71		4.00	%		3.7
30-year fixed rate:
3.5%		209,323		6,708		216,031		(2,450	)		213,581		102.03		3.50	%		7.3
4.0%		2,334,089		100,160		2,434,249		(3,687	)		2,430,562		104.13		4.00	%		6.4
4.5%		1,243,502		62,550		1,306,052		12,349			1,318,401		106.02		4.50	%		5.7
5.5%		13		—		13		1			14		109.06		5.50	%		5.7
Total/weighted-average	$	4,008,485	$	176,445	$	4,184,930	$	7,397		$	4,192,327	$	104.59		4.13	%		6.1

	Notional Amount:
	Net Long (Short) Position			Implied Cost Basis			Implied Fair Value			Net Carrying Amount
3.5% 30-year MBS purchase commitments	$	25,000		$	25,094		$	25,348		$	254
3.5% 30-year MBS sale commitments		(25,000	)		(25,332	)		(25,348	)		(16	)
4.0% 30-year MBS purchase commitments		1,450,000			1,482,877			1,491,844			8,967
4.0% 30-year MBS sale commitments		(550,000	)		(563,996	)		(566,047	)		(2,051	)
Total TBA commitments, net	$	900,000		$	918,643		$	925,797		$	7,154

			Weighted-average:
	Notional Amount		Fixed Pay Rate			Variable Receive Rate			Net Receive (Pay) Rate			Remaining Life (Years)
Years to maturity:
Less than 3 years	$	1,175,000		1.59	%		2.70	%		1.11	%		1.4
3 to less than 7 years		100,000		1.77	%		2.63	%		0.86	%		3.4
7 to less than 10 years		1,550,000		2.51	%		2.64	%		0.13	%		8.7
10 or more years		25,000		2.96	%		2.63	%		(0.33	)%		29.0
Total / weighted-average	$	2,850,000		2.11	%		2.66	%		0.55	%		5.7

		Maturity Date		Notional Amount
10-year U.S. Treasury note futures		June 2019		$	215,000

	Fair Value
Specified agency MBS	$	4,192,327
Net long agency TBA position		925,797
Total	$	5,118,124