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Note 3 - Fair Value Measurements
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2014
Disclosure Text Block [Abstract]  
Fair Value, Measurement Inputs, Disclosure [Text Block]

Note 3—Fair Value Measurements


 The Company measures fair value in accordance with ASC 820-10, "Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures" (formerly SFAS 157, "Fair Value Measurements"). ASC 820-10 clarifies that fair value is an exit price, representing the amount that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants. As such, fair value is a market-based measurement that should be determined based on assumptions that market participants would use in pricing an asset or a liability. As a basis for considering such assumptions, ASC 820-10 establishes a three-tier value hierarchy, which prioritizes the inputs used in the valuation methodologies in measuring fair value:


Level 1 Inputs: Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities accessible to the reporting entity at the measurement date.


Level 2 Inputs: Other than quoted prices included in Level 1 inputs that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or liability.


Level 3 Inputs: Unobservable inputs for the asset or liability used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available, thereby allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset or liability at measurement date. The fair value hierarchy also requires an entity to maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.


The Company measures its derivative liabilities at fair value. The derivative warrants are classified within Level 3 because they are valued using the Monte-Carlo model (as these warrants include down-round protection clauses), which utilize significant inputs that are unobservable in the market. The fair market value of the Company’s non-convertible loans is based on the present value of their cash flows discounted at a rate that approximates current market returns for issues of similar risk.


The following table presents the Company’s assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, aggregated by the level in the fair-value hierarchy within which those measurements fall:


           

Fair value measurement at reporting date using

 

Derivative liabilities on account of warrants

 

Balance

   

Quoted prices in

active markets

for identical

assets (Level 1)

   

Significant other

observable

inputs (Level 2)

   

Significant

unobservable

inputs (Level 3)

 

As of March 31, 2014

  $ 9,087                 $ 9,087  

As of December 31, 2013

                       

Notes and loans payable

                               

As of March 31, 2014

  $ 5,178           $ 5,178        

As of December 31, 2013

  $ 4,905           $ 4,905        

The financial instruments recorded in the Company’s condensed consolidated balance sheets consist primarily of cash and cash equivalents and accounts payable. The carrying amounts of the Company’s cash and cash equivalents and accounts payable approximate fair value due to their short-term nature. The following table summarizes the changes in the Company’s liabilities measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the period from Inception through March 31, 2014:


   

Level 3

 

Balance at Inception

  $  

Balance at December 31, 2013

     

Derivative warrants issued to investors in connection with the March 2014 Financing

    7,404  

Exercise of derivative warrants

     

Fair value adjustment at end of period, included in statement of operations

    1,683  

Balance at March 31, 2014

    9,087  

Valuation processes for Level 3 Fair Value Measurements


Fair value measurements of the derivative warrant liability fall within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. The fair value measurements are evaluated by management to ensure that changes are consistent with expectations of management based upon the sensitivity and nature of the inputs.


Description

 

Valuation technique

 

Unobservable inputs

 

As of March 10, 2014

 

As of March 31, 2014

 

Derivative March 2014 Warrants

  Monte-Carlo model

 

Volatility

    82.9%       83.3%    
     

 

Risk free interest rate

 

0.40%

–  0.60%   0.40%  – 

0.60%

 
     

 

Expected term, in years

    2.50        2.42     
     

 

Dividend yield

    0%       0%    
     

 

Probability and timing of down-round triggering event

 

63.5% for on August 1, 2014; 33.5% for on October 1, 2014; and 3% for every six months from September 10, 2014

 
       

Stock Price

    $3.04       $4.82    

Sensitivity of Level 3 measurements to changes in significant unobservable inputs


The inputs to estimate the fair value of the Company’s derivative liability on account of March 2014 Warrant include: for day-one valuation, the Company used the average common stock market price for the period from December 30 through March 10, 2014. For the valuation at period end the Company used the period end market price of the Company’s shares of common stock. The conversion price of the Preferred C Stock, its expected remaining term, the estimated volatility of the Company’s common stock market price, the Company’s estimations regarding the probability and timing of a down-round protection triggering event and the risk-free interest rate. Significant changes in any of those inputs in isolation can result in a significant change in the fair value measurement. Generally, a positive change in the market price of the Company’s common stock, and an increase in the volatility of the Company’s shares of common stock, or an increase in the remaining term of the warrant, or an increase of a probability of a down-round triggering event would each result in a directionally similar change in the estimated fair value of the Company’s warrants and thus an increase in the associated liability and vice-versa. An increase in the risk-free interest rate or a decrease in the positive differential between the warrant’s exercise price and the market price of the Company’s shares of common stock would result in a decrease in the estimated fair value measurement of the warrants and thus a decrease in the associated liability. The Company has not, nor plans to, declare dividends on its shares of common stock, and thus, there is no change in the estimated fair value of the warrants due to the dividend assumption.