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Derivative Liabilities
3 Months Ended
Apr. 30, 2015
Derivative Liabilities [Text Block]

NOTE 6 – Derivative Liabilities

The embedded conversion feature in the convertible debt instruments that the Company issued beginning in August 2013 (See Note 7), and became convertible beginning in February 2014, qualified it as a derivative instrument since the number of shares issuable under the note is indeterminate based on guidance in FASB ASC 815, Derivatives and Hedging. This convertible note tainted all other equity linked instruments including outstanding warrants and fixed rate convertible debt on the date that the instrument became convertible.

The valuation of the derivative liability of the warrants was determined through the use of a Monte Carlo options model that values the liability of the warrants based on a risk-neutral valuation where the price of the option is its discounted expected value. The technique applied generates a large number of possible (but random) price paths for the underlying common stock via simulation, and then calculates the associated exercise value (i.e. “payoff”) of the option for each path. These payoffs are then averaged and discounted to a current valuation date resulting in the fair value of the option.

The valuation of the derivative liability attached to the convertible debt was arrived at through the use of a Monte Carlo model that values the derivative liability within the notes. The technique applied generates a large number of possible (but random) price paths for the underlying (or underlyings) via simulation, and then calculates the associated payment value (cash, stock, or warrants) of the derivative features. The price of the underlying common stock is modeled such that it follows a geometric Brownian motion with constant drift, and elastic volatility (increasing as stock price decreases). The stock price is determined by a random sampling from a normal distribution. Since the underlying random process is the same, for enough price paths, the value of the derivative is derived from path dependent scenarios and outcomes. The features in the notes that were analyzed and incorporated into the model included the conversion features with the reset provisions, the call/redemption/prepayment options, and the default provisions. Based on these features, there are six primary events that can occur; payments are made in cash; payments are made with stock; the note holder converts upon receiving a redemption notice; the note holder converts the note; the issuer redeems the note; or the Company defaults on the note. The model simulates the underlying economic factors that influenced which of these events would occur, when they were likely to occur, and the specific terms that would be in effect at the time (i.e. stock price, conversion price, etc.). Probabilities were assigned to each variable such as redemption likelihood, default likelihood, and timing and pricing of reset events over the remaining term of the notes based on management projections. This led to a cash flow simulation over the life of the note. A discounted cash flow for each simulation was completed, and it was compared to the discounted cash flow of the note without the embedded features, thus determining a value for the derivative liability.

Key inputs and assumptions used to value the convertible notes and warrants upon issuance or tainting and also as of April 30, 2015:

 

The stock projections are based on the historical volatilities for each date. These ranged in the 112 - 117% range. The stock price projection was modeled such that it follows a geometric Brownian motion with constant drift and a constant volatility, starting with the market stock price at each valuation date;

 

An event of default would not occur during the remaining term of the note;

 

Conversion of the notes to stock would be completed monthly after any holding period and would be limited based on: 5% of the last 6 months average trading volume and the ownership limit identified in the contract assuming the underlying number of common shares increases at 1% per month. The effective discount was determined based on the historical trading history of the Company based on the specific pricing mechanism in each note;

 

The Company would not have funds available to redeem the notes during the remaining term of the convertible notes;

 

Discount rates were based on risk free rates in effect based on the remaining term and date of each valuation and instrument.

 

The holder would exercise the warrant at maturity if the stock price was above the exercise price;

 

The Holder would exercise the warrant after any holding period prior to maturity at target prices starting at 2 times the exercise price for the Warrants or higher subject to monthly limits of: 5% of the last 6 months average trading volume increasing by 1% per month and the ownership limit identified in the contract assuming the underlying number of common shares increases at 1% per month.

 

For the warrants with reset features, the Company assumed it would issue equity linked instruments in the quarters ended 4/30/15 through 10/31/15 at 70% of market.

Using the results from the model, the Company recorded a derivative liability of $5,927 for newly granted warrants and a derivative liability of $467,691 for the fair value of the convertible feature included in the Company’s convertible debt instruments for the three months ended April 30, 2015. The derivative liability recorded for the convertible feature created a debt discount of $331,323 which is being amortized over the remaining term of the note using the effective interest rate method and is classified as convertible debt on the balance sheet. Interest expense related to the amortization of this debt discount for the three months ended April 30, 2015, was $10,436. Additionally, $269,502 of debt discount was charged to interest expense as a result of the conversion of a portion of the underlying debt instrument. The remaining unamortized debt discount related to the derivative liability was $78,243 as of April 30, 2015. The Company recorded the change in the fair value of the derivative liability as a gain of $73,510 to reflect the value of the derivative liability for warrants and convertible notes as $161,512 as of April 30, 2015. The Company also recorded a reclassification from derivative liability to equity of $455,301 for the conversions of a portion of the Company’s convertible notes.

The following table sets forth a reconciliation of changes in the fair value of the Company’s derivative liability:

    Three months ended April 30,  
    2015     2014  
Beginning balance $ 216,705   $ 46,985  
Total (gains) losses   (73,510 )   (274,631 )
Settlements   (455,301 )   (94,131 )
Additions   473,618     605,175  
Ending balance $ 161,512   $ 283,398  
             
Change in unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings relating to derivatives still held as of April 30, 2015 and 2013 $ (73,510 ) $ (274,631 )