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Risk Report - Credit Risk Management IFRS 9 (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2023
Credit Risk Management [Abstract]  
Forward-looking information applied [table text block]
Forward-looking information applied
December 31, 2023¹ ²
Year 1
(4 quarter avg)
Year 2
(4 quarter avg)
Commodity - Gold
1,957.34
1,958.16
Commodity - WTI
82.52
83.56
Credit - CDX Emerging Markets
195.16
192.83
Credit - CDX High Yield
451.57
466.40
Credit - CDX IG
70.04
72.12
Credit - High Yield Index
4.05
4.19
Credit - ITX Europe 125
73.09
72.21
Equity - MSCI Asia
1,293
1,297
Equity - Nikkei
33,188
34,051
Equity - S&P500
4,514
4,621
GDP - Developing Asia
4.94%
4.37%
GDP - Emerging Markets
4.08%
4.01%
GDP - Eurozone
0.13%
1.08%
GDP - Germany
0.12%
1.30%
GDP - Italy
0.33%
1.03%
GDP - USA
1.75%
1.31%
Real Estate Prices - US CRE Index
353.41
347.99
Unemployment - Eurozone
6.67%
6.64%
Unemployment - Germany
3.12%
3.13%
Unemployment - Italy
7.75%
7.68%
Unemployment - Japan
2.58%
2.42%
Unemployment - Spain
11.96%
11.67%
Unemployment - USA
4.19%
4.40%
1 MEV as of December 6, 2023, which barely changed until December 29, 2023
2 Year 1 equals fourth quarter of 2023 to third quarter of 2024, Year 2 equals fourth quarter of 2024 to third quarter of 2025
December 31, 2022¹ ²
Year 1
(4 quarter avg)
Year 2
(4 quarter avg)
Commodity - Gold
1,745.84
1,797.74
Commodity - WTI
90.19
88.79
Credit - CDX Emerging Markets
260.99
239.03
Credit - CDX High Yield
489.77
476.53
Credit - CDX IG
85.33
84.94
Credit - High Yield Index
4.46
4.31
Credit - ITX Europe 125
101.26
96.50
Equity - MSCI Asia
1,178
1,176
Equity - Nikkei
28,427
29,287
Equity - S&P500
3,933
4,011
GDP - Developing Asia
3.95%
4.60%
GDP - Emerging Markets
3.31%
3.94%
GDP - Eurozone
0.87%
0.53%
GDP - Germany
(0.26)%
1.00%
GDP - Italy
0.32%
0.68%
GDP - USA
0.62%
0.61%
Real Estate Prices - US CRE Index
352.41
343.97
Unemployment - Eurozone
7.03%
7.15%
Unemployment - Germany
3.22%
3.33%
Unemployment - Italy
8.24%
8.53%
Unemployment - Japan
2.56%
2.42%
Unemployment - Spain
13.06%
12.98%
Unemployment - USA
4.05%
4.75%
1 MEV as of December 12, 2022, which barely changed until December 30, 2022
2 Year 1 equals fourth quarter of 2022 to third quarter of 2023, Year 2 equals fourth quarter of 2023 to third quarter of 2024
Overview of CRE portfolio [text block table] Overview of CRE portfolio Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 in € m. Gross Carrying Amount¹ Allowance for Credit Losses² Gross Carrying Amount¹ Allowance for Credit Losses² Real Estate Activities³ 49,267 460 47,973 236 thereof: non-recourse 25,073 382 24,832 147 thereof: stress-tested portfolio 21,331 364 22,144 135 Other industry sectors³ non-recourse 13,119 225 14,037 189 thereof: stress-tested portfolio 9,879 114 10,242 101 Total non-recourse CRE portfolio 38,192 606 38,869 336 thereof: stress-tested portfolio 31,210 478 32,386 236 1 Loans at amortized cost 2 Allowance for credit losses do not include allowance for country risk 3 Industry sector by NACE (Nomenclature des Activités Économiques dans la Communauté Européenne) code
Non-recourse CRE portfolio [text block table] Non-recourse CRE portfolio Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 in € m. Gross Carrying Amount¹ Gross Carrying Amount¹ Exposure by stages Stage 1 27,325 31,892 Stage 2 7,661 5,233 Stage 3 3,206 1,744 Total 38,192 38,869 2023 2022 Provision for Credit Losses² 445 128 1 Loans at amortized cost 2 Provision for Credit Losses do not include country risk provisions
Stress-tested CRE portfolio [text block table] Stress-tested CRE portfolio Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 in € m. Gross Carrying Amount¹ Gross Carrying Amount¹ Exposure by stages Stage 1 21,568 26,199 Stage 2 6,889 5,046 Stage 3 2,753 1,141 Total 31,210 32,386 thereof: North America 56% 57% Western Europe (including Germany) 36%2 36% Asia/Pacific 7% 7% thereof: offices 42% 41% North America 23% 22% Western Europe (including Germany) 17%3 15% Asia/Pacific 2% 3% thereof: residential 14% 12% thereof: hospitality 10% 11% thereof: retail 9% 9% Weighted average LTV, in % Investment Bank 66% 62% Corporate Bank 53% 53% Other Business 68% 56% 2023 2022 Provision for Credit Losses4 388 103 thereof: North America 298 87 1 Loans at amortized cost 2 Germany accounts for ca 7 % of the total stress-tested CRE portfolio 3 Office loans in Germany account for 4 % of total office loans in the stress-tested CRE portfolio 4 Provision for Credit Losses do not include country risk provisions
Sensitivities of forward-looking information Group [Abstract]  
Sensitivities of forward-looking information Group [table text block] IFRS 9 – Sensitivities of forward-looking information applied on Stage 1 and Stage 2 – Group Level December 31, 2023 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (80.4) (1)pp 88.9 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (43.1) 0.5pp 45.9 Real estate prices2 5% (5.9) (5)% 6.2 Equities 10% (9.0) (10)% 12.2 Credit spreads (40)% (20.5) 40% 22.8 Commodities¹ 10% (8.5) (10)% 9.2 1 Here the sign of the shift applies to oil prices changes. Gold price changes have the opposite sign. 1pp (percentage point), e.g., GDP shifts from 3% to 4% // 1% (percentage change), e.g., Real estate price shifts from 100 to 101 2 For a more severe stress test relating to the CRE portfolio that also takes into consideration existing and potential exposure in Stage 3 reference is made to the section on Commercial Real Estate above December 31, 2022 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (83.3) (1)pp 101.4 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (40.8) 0.5pp 58.0 Real estate prices 5% (5.6) (5)% 6.0 Equities 10% (15.8) (10)% 19.6 Credit spreads (40)% (37.9) 40% 42.6 Commodities 10% (14.8) (10)% 15.6
Sensitivities of forward-looking information on Stage 1 and Stage 2 Corporate Bank [table text block] IFRS 9 – Sensitivities of forward-looking information applied on Stage 1 and Stage 2 - Corporate Bank December 31, 2023 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (18.1) (1)pp 20.7 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (10.4) 0.5pp 11.0 Real estate prices2 5% (1.5) (5)% 1.6 Credit spreads (40)% (3.8) 40% 4.4 Commodities¹ 10% (2.6) (10)% 2.9 ¹Here the sign of the shift applies to oil prices changes. Gold price changes have the opposite sign. 2 For a more severe stress test relating to the CRE portfolio that also takes into consideration existing and potential exposure in Stage 3 reference is made to the section on Commercial Real Estate above December 31, 2022 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (21.7) (1)pp 24.6 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (12.2) 0.5pp 14.0 Real estate prices 5% (1.1) (5)% 1.1 Credit spreads (40)% (7.5) 40% 9.1 Commodities 10% (4.3) (10)% 4.6
Sensitivities of forward-looking information on Stage 1 and Stage 2 Investment Bank [table text block] IFRS 9 – Sensitivities of forward-looking information applied on Stage 1 and Stage 2 - Investment Bank December 31, 2023 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (30.6) (1)pp 33.5 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (6.7) 0.5pp 7.5 Real estate prices2 5% (4.0) (5)% 4.2 Equities 10% (3.3) (10)% 4.4 Credit spreads (40)% (13.6) 40% 14.7 Commodities¹ 10% (5.5) (10)% 5.9 ¹Here the sign of the shift applies to oil prices changes. Gold price changes have the opposite sign. 2 For a more severe stress test relating to the CRE portfolio that also takes into consideration existing and potential exposure in Stage 3 reference is made to the section on Commercial Real Estate above. December 31, 2022 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (35.3) (1)pp 36.9 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (5.3) 0.5pp 6.1 Real estate prices 5% (4.5) (5)% 4.8 Equities 10% (5.8) (10)% 7.3 Credit spreads (40)% (26.3) 40% 28.5 Commodities 10% (9.8) (10)% 10.3
Sensitivities of forward-looking information on Stage 1 and Stage 2 Private Bank [table text block] IFRS 9 – Sensitivities of forward-looking information applied on Stage 1 and Stage 2 - Private Bank December 31, 2023 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (24.4) (1)pp 26.3 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (22.4) 0.5pp 23.3 December 31, 2022 Upward sensitivity Downward sensitivity Upward shift ECL impactin € m. Downward shift ECL impactin € m. GDP growth rates 1pp (21.8) (1)pp 34.5 Unemployment rates (0.5)pp (20.7) 0.5pp 34.9
Breakdown of total exposure and allowance for credit losses by stages [text block table] Breakdown of total exposure and allowance for credit losses by stages Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 in € m. Total Exposure Allowance for Credit Losses1 Total collateral and guarantees Total Exposure Allowance for Credit Losses1 Total collateral and guarantees Stage 1 93 0 24 209 0 59 Stage 2 797 4 270 1,182 10 375 Stage 3 325 16 261 336 68 152 Total 1,215 20 555 1,726 79 586 1 Allowance for credit losses do not include allowance for country risk amounting to € 3 million as of December 31, 2023 and € 11 million as of December 31, 2022