FWP 1 dp11550_fwp-e5j.htm
Issuer Free Writing Prospectus
Filed Pursuant to Rule 433
Registration Statement No. 333-137902
Dated October 8, 2008
 

GLOBAL MARKETS | EQUITY

Liquid Alpha USD 5 Excess Return Index
DBLAUE5J

o    In  September,  Liquid  Alpha USD 5 ER returned  -3.95%.  The  year-to-date
     return is -4.13% for the first nine months of the year.
o    In September,  the  performance  of DB Commodity  Harvest and the Fed Funds
     component  were not  enough  to  offset  the  negative  performance  of S&P
     X-Alpha, DB Currency Harvest and DB SMART (5x leveraged).
o    DB Currency  Harvest,  DB  Commodity  Harvest  and DB SMART (5x  leveraged)
     returned -7.30%, +0.41% and -0.47% respectively, while S&P X-Alpha returned
     -2.02%.
o    The Sharpe  Ratio since  January  1999 is now at 1.90  compared to 0.13 for
     MSCI  World  and  0.40  for the  iBoxx  USD  Treasuries;  these  statistics
     highlight the  favorable  risk-return  relationship  provided by the Liquid
     Alpha USD 5 TR Index during this period. (1)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                             Annualised
                                                                              -------------------------
                               1 Month  3 Months  6 Months   1 year      YTD   1 year  3 years  5 years
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Liquid Alpha 5% USD ER          -3.95%    -4.06%    -3.81%   -4.12%   -4.13%   -4.09%    2.23%    6.41%
MSCI World USD TR              -11.85%   -15.15%   -16.36%  -25.62%  -23.84%  -25.44%    1.27%    7.85%
iBoxx USD Treasury               0.69%     2.33%     0.18%    8.79%    4.64%    8.72%    5.80%    4.47%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Liquid Alpha 5% USD ER Constituents
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P X-Alpha USD TR             -2.02%    -4.93%    -4.80%   -9.47%   -5.09%   -9.40%    2.16%    7.67%
DB Commodity Harvest USD TR     0.41%     2.26%     4.30%   11.58%    7.46%   11.48%   12.26%   11.99%
DB Currency Harvest USD TR     -7.30%    -5.25%     3.57%   -2.37%   -3.84%   -2.36%    7.94%   12.86%
DB SMART USD 5x TR             -0.47%    -0.27%    -2.04%    1.71%    0.40%    1.70%    3.51%    4.06%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1): Liquid Alpha USD ER 5 has been retrospectively calculated and did not exist
prior to April 23, 2008. Accordingly, the results shown during the retrospective
periods do not reflect  actual  returns.  Past  performance  is not  necessarily
indicative  of how the Index will  perform in the future.  Index would have been
lower  than the  performance  of the  Index as a result  of fees or  costs.  The
performance of any investment product based on the DB Liquid Alpha

Monthly Performance((1))
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            1999    2000    2001   2002    2003   2004    2005   2006    2007   2008
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan                1.25%   2.39%  1.02%   1.31%  0.83%   1.00%  1.19%   0.69% -0.12%
Feb        0.60%   0.81%  -0.66%  0.41%   0.60%  2.22%   2.55%  0.52%   0.49% -0.04%
Mar        0.49%   0.03%   1.61%  1.70%  -0.44%  0.42%   0.25%  0.33%   1.12% -0.18%


Apr        0.73%   0.66%   0.00%  2.42%   5.03% -1.05%   0.48% -0.39%   1.31% -0.08%


May        0.29%   1.70%   0.21%  0.49%   0.40%  0.15%   2.05% -0.51%   1.34%  0.74%
Jun        0.16%  -1.16%   0.50%  0.00%   2.75%  2.05%   2.31%  1.16%   0.27% -0.39%
Jul       -1.00%   1.38%  -0.29%  0.12%   0.21%  0.47%   0.38%  0.30%  -0.96%  0.78%

Aug       -0.83%   0.23%   0.18%  0.27%   1.19%  1.17%  -0.85%  1.39%  -2.55% -0.88%

Sep        0.02%   0.59%   1.02% -0.14%   1.05%  0.69%   2.53%  0.64%   1.77% -3.95%

Oct        0.05%   1.63%   0.88% -1.14%   1.07%  0.28%   1.32%  0.00%   1.25%

Nov       -0.23%   0.66%   0.78%  2.81%   1.31%  2.13%   1.34% -0.65%  -1.29%

Dec        0.17%   1.35%   1.12%  1.93%   1.04%  1.23%  -1.18%  2.05%   0.07%
-----================================================================================
Ann.Rtn.   0.50%   9.48%   7.99% 10.28%  16.54% 11.07%  12.77%  6.17%   3.47% -4.13%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Allocation (TR Index)

                                   A Passion to Perform.           Deutsche Bank
 
 

 
 

Overview

-    Liquid  Alpha USD 5 ER is a  multi-asset  medium- to  long-term  investment
     strategy  which  gives  access to a  diversified  pool of alpha  generating
     assets using a dynamic allocation tool
-    The  strategy  has  the  objective  to  generate  absolute  non-directional
     returns, un-correlated to the traditional markets, through a combination of
     diversified  proprietary  alpha generating  strategies from different asset
     classes. The Index has been live since April 23, 2008
-    The allocation  among the Underlying  Indices occurs quarterly and is based
     on their returns,  correlation and volatilities  using a quantitative  Mean
     Variance Optimizer model
-    The quantitative  model combines the different sources of alpha and cash to
     generate an Index with a target volatility of 5%
-    Seeks to manage  downside  risk  through  a  stop-loss  mechanism  which is
     triggered if the Index return over  60-business days is below 4% over any 3
     consecutive days

Performance Analysis Jan 99 - Sep 08((1))
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Liquid Alpha           MSCI World        iBoxx USD
                               5% USD ER               USD TR         Treasury
Growth over period                101.4%                25.2%            68.4%
Annualised return                   7.5%                 5.5%             5.5%
Volatility                          4.1%                14.9%             4.7%
Sharpe Ratio (3.65%)                1.84                 0.13             0.40
Maximum drawdown                   -5.8%               -46.3%            -4.8%
Drawdown recovery               0 Months            41 Months         7 Months
Correlation versus:
-------------------
MSCI World TR Index                 0.10                 1.00            -0.27
iBoxx USD Treasury TR Ind          -0.03                -0.27             1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Relative Performance: September 30, 2008(1)
[GRAPHIC]

Rolling 12 Month Volatility: Jan 00 - Sep 08(1)
[GRAPHIC]

(1): Liquid Alpha USD ER 5 has been retrospectively calculated and did not exist
prior to April 23, 2008. Accordingly, the results shown during the retrospective
periods do not reflect  actual  returns.  Past  performance  is not  necessarily
indicative of how the Index will perform in the future.  The  performance of any
investment product based on the DB Liquid Alpha Index would have been lower than
the performance of the Index as a result of fees or costs.
(2): Value  indicates  Risk Free Rate over Period  computed from daily levels of
the DB Fed Funds Equivalent Index.

Liquid Alpha USD 5 Index Constituents

Index                           Asset Class  BBG Ticker  Live Date    Range Exposure
-----                           -----------  ----------  ---------    --------------
S&P X-Alpha USD TR:                Equity      SPXADT    10/31/2007       10%-50%
DB Commodity Harvest USD TR:     Commodity    DBCMHLTU   12/17/2007       10%-50%
DB Currency Harvest USD TR:       Currency    DBHVBUSF   10/19/2005       10%-50%
DB SMART USD TR (leveraged 5x):    Rates      DBLASUT5   06/15/2007       10%-50%

CERTAIN RISKS OF LIQUID ALPHA

LIQUID ALPHA HAS LIMITED PERFORMANCE HISTORY - Publication of Liquid Alpha began
on April 23, 2008.  Therefore,  it has very limited  performance  history and no
actual  investment which allowed tracking of the performance of Liquid Alpha was
possible before that date.

AN  INVESTMENT  LINKED OR  RELATED  TO LIQUID  ALPHA  WILL NOT BE THE SAME AS AN
INVESTMENT  IN THE ALPHA INDICES - The Liquid Alpha closing level on any trading
day will depend on the performance of the 5 underlying index  constituents  (the
"Alpha  Indices").  The  weighting  of each  Alpha  Index  is  determined  by an
Optimized Asset Allocator  ("OAA"),  which seeks to maximize returns for a given
level of volatility.  You should, therefore,  carefully consider the composition
and calculation of each Alpha Index.

THE ALPHA  INDICES  EXPOSE YOUR  INVESTMENT TO EQUITY,  COMMODITY,  CURRENCY AND
INTEREST RATE RISKS - The Alpha Indices  expose you to several asset classes and
their respective risks,  including risks relating to exchange rate fluctuations,
foreign equity markets, commodity markets and emerging markets. In addition, the
rates component is five times  leveraged.  To learn more about Liquid Alpha, see
Underlying  Supplement  No.  15/A2  dated  September  11,  2008  filed  with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.

THE ALPHA  INDICES  ARE NOT EQUALLY  WEIGHTED IN THE LIQUID  ALPHA MODEL AND MAY
OFFSET  EACH OTHER - The Alpha  Indices are  assigned  different  weightings  in
Liquid Alpha via an Optimized Asset Allocation  Model. The same return generated
by two Alpha Indices,  whether positive or negative, may have a different effect
on the performance of Liquid Alpha. Additionally,  positive returns generated by
one or more Alpha Index may be moderated or more than offset by smaller positive
returns or negative returns generated by the other Alpha Indices.

THE ACTUAL EXPERIENCED VOLATILITY OF EACH ALPHA INDEX AND LIQUID ALPHA MODEL MAY
NOT  EQUAL  THE  TARGET  VOLATILITY,  WHICH  MAY HAVE A  NEGATIVE  IMPACT ON THE
PERFORMANCE  OF LIQUID  ALPHA - The  weighting of each Alpha Index in the Liquid
Alpha  Model is  adjusted  to  target a  volatility  level of 5%.  Because  this
adjustment  is based on the  volatility  of the previous 60 business  days,  the
actual volatility  realized on the Alpha Indices and the Liquid Alpha Model will
not necessarily equal the volatility target.

THE  CALCULATION  OF LIQUID  ALPHA'S  CLOSING  LEVEL WILL INCLUDE A DEDUCTION OF
COSTS FROM THE ALPHA  INDICES - On each trading day, the  calculation  of Liquid
Alpha's  closing  level will include a deduction of costs from the Alpha Indices
currently  ranging between a minimum of 21 basis points per annum and maximum of
63 basis points per annum,  depending on the individual  weightings of the Alpha
Indices.

                                                                   Deutsche Bank
 
 

 
 

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Use of hypothetical information:
Backtested, hypothetical or simulated performance results discussed herein have
inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record based on actual client
portfolios, simulated results are achieved by means of the retroactive
application of a backtested model itself designed with the benefit of hindsight.
Taking into account historical events the backtesting of performance also
differs from actual account performance because an actual investment strategy
may be adjusted any time, for any reason, including a response to material,
economic or market factors. The backtested performance includes hypothetical
results that do not reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings or
the deduction of advisory fees, brokerage or other commissions, and any other
expenses that a client would have paid or actually paid. No representation is
made that any trading strategy or account will or is likely to achieve profits
or losses similar to those shown. Alternative modeling techniques or assumptions
might produce significantly different results and prove to be more appropriate.
Past hypothetical backtest results are neither an indicator nor guarantee of
future returns. Actual results will vary, perhaps materially, from the analysis.

Past performance:
The past performance of securities, indexes or other instruments referred to
herein does not guarantee or predict future performance.

Deutsche Bank may hold positions:
We or our affiliates or persons associated with us or such affiliates may:
maintain a long or short position in securities referred to herein, or in
related futures or options, purchase or sell, make a market in, or engage in any
other transaction involving such securities, and earn brokerage or other
compensation. Instruments linked to this index typically involve a high degree
of risk, are not transferable and typically will not be listed or traded on any
exchange and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are
capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of
any structured security linked to this index may be affected by changes in
economic, financial and political factors (including but not limited to, spot
and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions
and volatility and the equity prices and credit quality of any issuer or
reference issuer. Any investor should conduct his/her own investigation and
analysis of any product linked to this index and consult with its own
professional advisors as to the risks involved in making such a purchase; since,
it may be difficult to realize the investment prior to maturity, obtain reliable
information about the market value of such investments or the extent of the
risks to which they are exposed, including the risk of total loss of capital.

Tax:
Deutsche Bank AG, including its subsidiaries and affiliates, does not provide
legal, tax or accounting advice. This communication was prepared solely in
connection with the promotion or marketing, to the extent permitted by
applicable law, of the transaction or matter addressed herein, and was not
intended or written to be used, and cannot be used or relied upon, by any
taxpayer for purposes of avoiding any U.S. federal income tax penalties. The
recipient of this communication should seek advice from an independent tax
advisor regarding any tax matters addressed herein based on its particular
circumstances. Any information relating to taxation is based on information
currently available. The levels and bases of, and relief from, taxation can
change and the benefits of products where discussed may cease to exist. Because
of the importance of tax considerations to all option transactions, the investor
considering options should consult with his/her tax advisor as to how taxes
affect the outcome of contemplated option transactions.

Not insured:
These instruments are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
(FDIC) or any other U.S. governmental agency. These instruments are not insured
by any statutory scheme or governmental agency of the United Kingdom. The
distribution of this document and availability of these products and services in
certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. These securities have not been
registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 and trading in the
securities has not been approved by the United States Commodity Exchange Act, as
amended.

The Bank and affiliates:
"Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated companies, as the
context requires. Deutsche Bank Private Wealth Management refers to Deutsche
Bank's wealth management activities for high-net-worth clients around the world.
Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown is a division of Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Free writing prospectus:
Deutsche Bank AG has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus)
with the SEC for the offerings to which this communication may relate. Before
you invest, you should read the prospectus in that registration statement and
other documents the issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information
about the issuer and this offering. You may get these documents for free by
visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the issuer,
any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send
you the prospectus if you request it by calling toll-free 1-800-311-4409.