-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, Of2gAZ6CuCKwUfPyTLVirThfsWZr8gVCP3XY8/GqzTPWwB9WlO9j91vQWC2W+bpa XnJaMeGGiW7UsfrSG7UVSw== 0000899140-01-000150.txt : 20010307 0000899140-01-000150.hdr.sgml : 20010307 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000899140-01-000150 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20010206 ITEM INFORMATION: ITEM INFORMATION: FILED AS OF DATE: 20010228 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: BERKLEY W R CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000011544 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 221867895 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-07849 FILM NUMBER: 1557880 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 165 MASON ST STREET 2: P O BOX 2518 CITY: GREENWICH STATE: CT ZIP: 06836-2518 BUSINESS PHONE: 2036293000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 165 MASON ST STREET 2: PO BOX 2518 CITY: GREENWICH STATE: CT ZIP: 06836-2518 8-K 1 0001.txt CURRENT REPORT ON FORM 8-K As filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 28, 2001 SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 6, 2001 W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION ------------------------------------------------------ (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 0-7849 22-1867895 - --------------- ---------------- ------------------- (State or other (Commission File (IRS Employer jurisdiction of Number) Identification No.) incorporation) 165 Mason Street, P.O. Box 2518, Greenwich, CT 06836-2518 ---------------------------------------------- ---------- (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (203) 629-3000 -------------- Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report) Item 5. Other Events On February 5, 2001, W. R. Berkley Corporation (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter and full year 2000. On February 6, 2001, the Company held a conference call (which was webcasted) to discuss such results. A copy of the edited transcript of the call is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. For a copy of the press release which includes the results of operations discussed on the call, see Exhibit 99.1 to the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K dated February 5, 2001, previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, reference is made to Exhibit 99.2 attached hereto and incorporated herein by reference, which describes certain risk factors that may affect the Company's business, results of operations, prospects and financial condition. Item 7. Financial Statements and Exhibits (a) Financial statements of businesses acquired: None. (b) Pro forma financial information: None. (c) Exhibits: 99.1 Edited Transcript of Conference Call held on February 6, 2001 99.2 Risk Factors SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION By: /s/ Ira S. Lederman ------------------------------ Name: Ira S. Lederman Title: Senior Vice President, General Counsel-Insurance Operations and Assistant Secretary Date: February 28, 2001 EXHIBIT INDEX Exhibit: - -------- 99.1 Edited Transcript of Conference Call held on February 6, 2001 99.2 Risk Factors EX-99.1 2 0002.txt EDITED TRANSCRIPT OF CONFERENCE CALL W. R. Berkley Corporation Conference Call DATE: February 6, 2001 SPEAKERS: W. R. Berkley, Chairman/CEO E. G. Ballard, Sr. VP/CFO/Treasurer TOPIC: Quarterly Conference Call OPERATOR: Good morning and welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to the W. R. Berkley Corporation Quarterly Conference Call. At this time, I would like to inform you that this conference is being recorded for rebroadcast and that all participants are in a "listen-only" mode. At the request of the company, we will open up the conference for questions and answers after the presentation. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. William Berkley, chairman and chief executive officer. Please go ahead, sir. WILLIAM BERKLEY: Okay. Before we start, we just want to read our normal warning to everyone that we're only guessing what the future may hold. IRA LEDERMAN: This is the "Safe Harbor" Statement made under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any forward-looking statements made during this Webcast, including those related to the Company's performance for the year 2001 and beyond, are based upon the Company's historical performance and on our current plans, estimates and expectations. They are subject to various risks and uncertainties including but not limited to the cyclical nature of the property casualty industry, the long-term and potentially volatile nature of the reinsurance business, the impact of competition, product demand and pricing, claims development and the process of estimating reserves, the level of the Company's retention, catastrophe and storm losses, legislative and regulatory developments, changes in the ratings assigned to the Company by rating agencies, investment results, availability of reinsurance and other risks detailed from time to time in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks could cause the company's actual results for the year 2001 and beyond to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement made by or on behalf of the company. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they were made, and the company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. WILLIAM BERKLEY: First of all, I'd like to just start by explaining that we announced our earnings substantially earlier than we expected for several reasons. First of all, there were a number of rumors abounding about people suggesting we were going to have charge-offs or something else. Second of all, there are various discussions going on about both financings and acquisitions - and having a delayed earning release would have an adverse impact. While none of those things are here and now at this moment, they've all been under various discussions, and we can't say exactly when they may or may not arise. First of all, we were satisfied with our results for the year and the fourth quarter. They were generally in line with our expectation. We think that the results speak well for what we would anticipate for 2001. I think, in general, a few comments about our results. Generally 1999 and prior results were worse than most people anticipated in the industry and for us, which had an adverse impact on this year's results. This year, our GAAP combined ratio was 107.2. We had expected it to be a little bit better, but, in fact, we still were able to hit our targets because of other things working out better than anticipated, primarily investment income being a little better than we thought and our expenses being a little lower than we thought. When we look at the year, the same improvements that we saw in 2000, we expect to continue into 2001, but we think there'll be some other things happening. The biggest change was no charge-off on our reserves, and that really made the biggest difference. Gene is going to talk about some of the operating results. The improvement was driven by the regional business. We would expect that in 2001 we'll start to see more across-the-board improvements in the specialty lines, as well as in the alternative markets. We are enthusiastic about where pricing is going. We would expect double-digit price increases through this year, and we would expect that to continue for some time in the future. At this point, we would think that the 2001 year will be substantially better than last year, and we're extremely enthusiastic about next year. Volume is generally strong. Our retention levels are keeping up with historic levels, and we're currently seeing price increases of a higher magnitude than we might have anticipated. I'm going to let Gene talk now about our financial statements. Then I'll try and talk a little bit about each operating unit briefly, and then open for questions. GENE BALLARD: Thanks, Bill. I'm going to review the financial information on pages four, five and six of the earnings release. To begin with, operating income for the fourth quarter of 2000 was $.53 per fully diluted share. That compares with a fourth quarter 1999 operating loss of $.11 per share before the effect of the regional reserve strengthening. The 1999 operating loss per share after the regional reserve strengthening was $1.50. The earnings improvement in 2000 reflects the impact of price increases, higher investment income and lower operating expenses. Net premiums written increased 15 percent to $394 million for the fourth quarter of 2000, from $342 million for 1999. The increase was due to significant growth in the specialty, alternative markets and international segments as a result of both price increases and new business. Regional and reinsurance premiums each decreased by one percent as price increases -2- were more than offset by a decline in policy counts. Premiums for the Facultative Reinsurance Division, which has experienced some of the largest price increases in the company, increased by 32 percent in the fourth quarter. Insurance prices continue to increase in all of our business segments, and the average price increase for renewal policies exceeded 10 percent again in the fourth quarter. Net investment income increased 27 percent to $57 million for the fourth quarter of 2000, from $45 million for 1999. The increase was due to a change in asset allocation and an increase in the average yields. We increased our allocation to the merger arbitrage account during the year by approximately $90 million, and we also shifted a portion of our fixed income portfolio from tax-exempt securities to taxable securities. The average annualized pre-tax return on the equity portfolio was almost 13 percent during the fourth quarter of 2000, compared with 7 percent in 1999 due to better returns from the merger arbitrage account. The average pre-tax yield on the fixed income portfolio was 7 percent in 2000, compared to 6 percent in 1999, due to the shift from tax-exempt to taxable bonds. Realized gains were approximately $7 million for the fourth quarter of 2000, compared with realized losses of $4 million in 1999. The gains in 2000 were a result of common stock transactions. Management fee revenues were approximately $17 million for the fourth quarter of both years. For the full year, management fees decreased approximately $4 million. This decrease was the result of the sale of an agency business in the second quarter of 2000. Continuing fees for the other businesses were up slightly. Consolidated revenues increased 14 percent for the fourth quarter of 2000 to $480 million. Loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased 9 percent to $291 million, and the statutory loss ratio decreased by 16 points. Of this, 15 points was attributable to the regional reserve strengthening in 1999. Pre-tax storm losses were approximately $5 million for both 2000 and 1999 and added a little over a point to the loss ratio for both years in the fourth quarter. On an after-tax basis, storm losses reduced operating income by 13 cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2000, compared to 14 cents per share for 1999. During the year net loss reserves increased by $114 million, and the paid-to-incurred loss ratio was approximately 90 percent. Other operating costs and expenses decreased three percent to $152 million in the fourth quarter of 2000. The decrease reflects lower expenses for the service companies, in part, due to the sale of the agency business, as well as lower expenses for the insurance companies. The statutory expense ratio decreased to 31.6 percent in the fourth quarter as a result of higher premium volume and lower expense accruals. For the full year, the statutory expense ratio -3- decreased two points to 33-1/2 percent, primarily due to the expense savings resulting from the regional restructuring. Interest expense decreased approximately $1 million to $11.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2000, due primarily to the repayment of about $50 million of long-term and short-term debt during the year. After deducting taxes and minority interest, net income was $0.68 per share for the fourth quarter, compared with a loss of $1.59 per share for 1999. Operating income, which excludes realized gains and other nonrecurring items, was $14 million, or $0.53 per share, for the fourth quarter 2000. The operating results by segment are presented on page five of the earnings release. Overall, the insurance segments reported pre-tax operating income of $36 million for the fourth quarter of 2000, compared with a loss of $47 million for 1999. Operating income improved in every segment. Regional income improved by $65 million, including $55 million attributable to the reserve strengthening in '99. Reinsurance improved by $8 million, Specialty by $7 million, Alternative markets by $2 million and International by $1 million. The improvement reflects the positive effect of price increases across all segments, as well as the additional investment income and lower operating expenses. The overall statutory combined ratio was 104.2 for the fourth quarter and 107.0 for the full year. Finally, the year-end balance sheet information is presented on page six. Common stockholders' equity increased $89 million during the year to $681 million at December 31, 2000. The increase reflects unrealized investment gains of approximately $64 million after tax, plus net income of approximately $36 million for the year. There were 25.7 million shares outstanding at December 31, 2000, and the book value per share was $26.54. WILLIAM BERKLEY: Let me try to quickly go through our operating units. I'll start with International. We are pleased with where our International units are operating. In Argentina, we've made great progress. We're delivering returns well over 15 percent. All our businesses are growing. We're one of the top 15 companies in the country on a consolidated life and P&C basis, and we expect to move up. The Argentine economy to date has not had an adverse impact on us and, in fact, the increasing yields have helped our investment income. Clearly, Argentina has proved to be a good investment, and we're very happy with our management there. In the Philippines, we offer endowment life insurance products for education. The company is now wholly owned by our joint venture with Northwestern Mutual. We've bought out our local partner. That business continues to improve. We'll get, for the first time, satisfactory returns, we expect, this year and we're looking at other opportunities to expand it. -4- Overall, International business is still a relatively small investment, although it is delivering returns now that are - that are quite satisfactory. Our reinsurance business, Signet Star, is cutting back, as we've said, on its pro rata and property business. Keep in mind, it takes eight quarters for that business from the time you write it until the time it runs off. That is, you sign up for a piece of business that runs for the calendar year. The last business that you've reinsured is written on December 31. Then it takes a year for that business to run through. So it will take through the end of 2001 for that change to be fully implemented. It doesn't happen as quickly or -- as standard business. So you'll see that business come down. Our Facultative team, which is outstanding, has reported excellent results and continues to see a very strong market, and we are quite pleased with their results. Their volume was up for the year and it has been very strong in this year. Our Surety division is an outstanding team, also, and while they didn't have nearly as good a year as they had historically, compared to the industry, it was excellent; it was still profitable. Our new President in our Treaty business, Craig Johnson, is working on plans, and we expect to move forward. Our goal is to have a Treaty team that's of a caliber of our Facultative team, and we think that we're well on the way to that. We're excited about the reinsurance business and where we are and what we see. That doesn't mean we' re going to have fabulous results tomorrow. That's going to be a little slower turn. Although in the Facultative area, there are dramatic increases in prices and volume. That's been visible through the second half of last year and in January of this year. Our Alternative market business, which really specializes not only in service businesses but in worker's compensation-related entities, had improving results. We're seeing volume up substantially and improved underwriting results. Service fee income is up about 10 percent. We think that that will start to accelerate because there's a lead time from the time people start to be unhappy with their renewal prices and when they seek assistance in the alternative market. We think that's going to be a good opportunity for us, and we think the pricing in the worker's comp area will result in a good year. 2000 was an improvement over 1999; we expect that will continue. The Regional business is a story of determined price increases. Price increases started to be implemented 18 months ago. They were implemented unevenly; we didn't get them in at every company and every spot. Some of the companies didn't really start implementing them until 2000 in a very serious way. We now have a price-monitoring unit where we're overseeing not only price, but terms and conditions changes. We're very optimistic that we'll have a continued improvement in the regional business. In fact, we're starting to see volume up more than price increases, so that means policy counts going up slightly. It's the year where we expect pretty good returns from the Regional business and as we continue to focus on the middle market commercial lines, we think those results will continue to improve. -5- Our Specialty business is really where the opportunity is best in a tightening market. Volume is up; pricing is up. You still have some people who aren't out there charging as much as they need to, but slowly those are going by the wayside. Several have already disappeared, and there are others that will have no choice but to adjust their pricing levels. But we saw in the fourth quarter significant opportunities to increase our business and take advantage of the marketplace, and that's continued in January. I think that we would expect that as we move through 2001, the Specialty business will return to historic underwriting profitability, at least well on the way to that. So overall, we're pretty happy. We expect this year to be a good year. We're thinking that we can get a return that's approaching double digits. Volume in January and pricing was good. A month doesn't determine a year, but it's surely better to start with a good month than a bad one, and January seems to be indicative of a better start. We haven't gotten all our numbers in for January, so I'm basing it on the numbers we've seen to date. With that, Frank, do you want to turn it over to questions? OPERATOR: Yes, sir. Thank you. The question-and-answer session will begin now. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before pressing any numbers. Should you have a question, please press one, followed by four, on your pushbutton telephone. Should you wish to withdraw your question, please press one, followed by three. Your questions will be taken in the order they are received. Please stand by for your first questions, gentlemen. Our first question in queue comes from Mr. Charles Gates. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question, sir. CHARLES GATES: Good morning. I work for Credit Suisse First Boston. My question: Specific to the Specialty business, you said, "That's where the opportunity is best. Slowly, the market is changing." Would you elaborate on that answer, sir? WILLIAM BERKLEY: Sure, Charlie. I think that if you look back at what happened in 1985 to `87 was the best example. Specialty business grew from round numbers $50-60 million to over $200 million. I think as the market tightens up, what happens is more business that is marginal from the standard markets moves to the Specialty business, and real Specialty business gets priced substantially better as people who really don't understand the Specialty business abandon it. And, therefore, what generally happens is the number of units going into the Specialty market goes up, and at the same time, pricing in the Specialty market goes up. So you get a double benefit -- substantially increased prices and much more volume that has to find a home. So we would expect that we will get better margin in the Specialty business and substantially more volume. In fact, one of our concerns is how much volume is going to come in in the Specialty area. And almost the same thing is true of our Casualty Fac business. It's run by a guy named Jim McCleary, who's stayed the course and understands the business and, as he said, "This is the time you make all your money as this market tightens up and the volume increases, and you all of a sudden can get rational prices that make sense and give you the opportunity to make money." CHARLES GATES: Thank you. -6- OPERATOR: Once again, should anyone have a question, please press one, followed by four, on your pushbutton telephones. At this time, gentlemen, there are no further questions in queue. WILLIAM BERKLEY: All right, let me just sort of sum it up. I think that we're extremely enthusiastic about where things are in the business. There's no question about the price increases. There's a lot of leverage in our operating statement. Effectively, depending on how you measure it, every one-percent improvement in combined ratio comes out to be between 40 and 43 or 44 cents per share, and we think there's a lot of improvement there available for us, in addition to which that doesn't consider the benefits of the increased volume and investment income. We've gone a long time where we hoped to be optimistic. Now, we have reason to be optimistic. We think that 2001 will be a, as I say, a good year to a very good year, and we're highly confident that 2002 can be an extraordinary year. So with that, thank you all very much. Have a good day. OPERATOR: Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes the conference call for today. Thank you all for participating, and have a nice day. All parties may disconnect at this time. (End of Call) -7- EX-99.2 3 0003.txt RISK FACTORS Our statements and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and other statements may contain or incorporate by reference certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Some of these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as "believes", "expects", "potential", "continued", "may", "will" , "should", "seeks", "approximately", "predicts", "intends", "plans", "estimates", "anticipates" or the negative version of those words or other comparable words. Any forward-looking statements contained or incorporated by reference in such filings or statements, including statements related to our performance for the year 2000 and beyond, are based upon our historical performance and on current plans, estimates and expectations. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to those described below. These risks could cause our actual results for the year 2000 and beyond to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement we make. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. RISK FACTORS Our business faces significant risks. The risks described below may not be the only risks we face. Additional risks that we do not yet know of or that we currently think are immaterial may also impair our business operations. If any of the events or circumstances described as risks below actually occurs, our business, results of operations or financial condition could be materially and adversely affected. In such case, the trading price of our common stock or other securities could decline, and any purchaser of our common stock or other securities may lose part or all of their investment. You should carefully consider and evaluate all of the information contained or incorporated by reference in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the risk factors listed below, before deciding whether to invest in our common stock or other securities. Insurance Industry Related Risks Our results may fluctuate as a result of many factors, including cyclical changes in the insurance and reinsurance industry. The results of companies in the property casualty insurance industry historically have been subject to significant fluctuations and uncertainties. The industry's profitability can be affected significantly by o rising levels of actual costs that are not known by companies at the time they price their products; o volatile and unpredictable developments (including weather-related and other natural catastrophes); o changes in reserves resulting from the general claims and legal environments as different types of claims arise and judicial interpretations relating to the scope of insurers' liability develop; o fluctuations in interest rates, inflationary pressures and other changes in the investment environment, which affect returns on invested capital and may impact the ultimate payout of loss amounts; and o the long-tail and volatile nature of the reinsurance business, which may impact our operating results and limit opportunities for adequate returns. The demand for property casualty insurance can also vary significantly, rising as the overall level of economic activity increases and falling as such activity decreases. The property casualty insurance industry historically has a cyclical nature. Recently, the property casualty insurance industry and especially the commercial lines business have been very competitive. These fluctuations in demand and competition could produce underwriting results that would have a negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition. We face significant competitive pressures in our businesses. We compete with a large number of other companies in our selected lines of business. We compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers and reinsurers, other regional companies, as well as mutual companies, specialty insurance companies, underwriting agencies and diversified financial services companies. Some of our competitors, particularly in the reinsurance business, have greater financial and marketing resources than we do. A number of new, proposed or potential legislative or industry developments could further increase competition in our industry. These developments include: o the enactment of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999, which could result in increased competition from new entrants to our markets; o the implementation of commercial lines deregulation in several states, which could increase competition from standard carriers for our excess and surplus lines of insurance business; o programs in which state-sponsored entities provide property insurance in catastrophe prone areas or other alternative markets types of coverage; and o changing practices caused by the Internet, which have led to greater competition in the insurance business. New competition from these developments could cause the supply and/or demand for insurance or reinsurance to change, which could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. -2- In addition to competition in the operation of our businesses, we face competition from a variety of sources in attracting and retaining qualified employees. We cannot assure you that we will maintain our current competitive position in the markets in which we operate, or that we will be able to expand our operations into new markets. If we fail to do so, our businesses could be materially adversely affected. Our actual claims losses may exceed our reserves for claims. We maintain loss reserves to cover our estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, including legal and other fees as well as a portion of our general expenses, for reported and unreported claims incurred as of the end of each accounting period. Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability. Rather, reserves represent an estimate of what we expect the ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost. These estimates, which generally involve actuarial projections, are based on our assessment of facts and circumstances then known, as well as estimates of future trends in claims severity, frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors. In some cases, long-tail lines of business such as excess workers' compensation and the workers' compensation portion of our reinsurance business are reserved on a discounted basis. The variables described above are affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claims handling procedures, inflation, judicial and litigation trends and legislative changes. The risk of the occurrence of such events is especially present in our specialty lines and reinsurance businesses. Many of these items are not directly quantifiable in advance. In some areas of our business, the level of reserves we establish is dependent in part upon the actions of third parties that are beyond our control. In our reinsurance and excess workers' compensation businesses, we may not establish sufficient reserves if third parties do not give us advance notice or provide us with appropriate information regarding certain matters. Additionally, there may be a significant delay between the occurrence of the insured event and the time it is reported to us. The inherent uncertainties of estimating reserves are greater for certain types of liabilities, where the various considerations affecting these types of claims are subject to change and long periods of time may elapse before a definitive determination of liability is made. Reserve estimates are continually refined in an ongoing process as experience develops and further claims are reported and settled. Adjustments to reserves are reflected in the results of the periods in which such estimates are changed. Because setting reserves is inherently uncertain, we cannot assure you that our current reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent events. We anticipate increasing our level of retention in our business. We anticipate increasing our retention levels in 2001 for our operations generally due to changes in market conditions and the pricing environment. We expect to purchase less reinsurance (the process by which we transfer, or cede, part of the risk we have assumed to a reinsurance company), thereby retaining more risk. As a result, our earnings could be more volatile, and increased severities could have a material adverse effect upon our results of operations and financial condition. A significant change in our retention levels could also cause our historical financial results, including compound annual growth rates, to be inaccurate indicators of our future performance on a segment or consolidated basis. -3- As a property casualty insurer, we face losses from catastrophes. Property casualty insurers are subject to claims arising out of catastrophes that may have a significant effect on their results of operations, liquidity and financial condition. Catastrophe losses have had a significant impact on our results. Catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, windstorms, earthquakes, hailstorms, explosions, severe winter weather and fires. The incidence and severity of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Most catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes and earthquakes may produce significant damage in large, heavily populated areas. Catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of our property casualty lines, and most of our past catastrophe-related claims have resulted from severe storms. Seasonal weather variations may affect the severity and frequency of our losses. Insurance companies are not permitted to reserve for a catastrophe until it has occurred. It is therefore possible that a catastrophic event or multiple catastrophic events could have a material adverse effect upon our results of operations and financial condition. We are subject to extensive governmental regulation. We are subject to extensive governmental regulation and supervision. Most insurance regulations are designed to protect the interests of policyholders rather than stockholders and other investors. This system of regulation, generally administered by a department of insurance in each state in which we do business, relates to, among other things: o standards of solvency, including risk-based capital measurements; o restrictions on the nature, quality and concentration of investments; o requiring certain methods of accounting; o requiring reserves for unearned premium, losses and other purposes; and o potential assessments for the provision of funds necessary for the settlement of covered claims under certain policies provided by impaired, insolvent or failed insurance companies. State insurance departments conduct periodic examinations of the affairs of insurance companies and require the filing of annual and other reports relating to the financial condition of insurance companies, holding company issues and other matters. Recently adopted federal financial services modernization legislation is expected to lead to additional federal regulation of the insurance industry in the coming years. Also, foreign governments regulate our international operations. We cannot assure you that we have or can maintain all required licenses and approvals or that our business fully complies with the wide variety of applicable laws and regulations or the relevant authority's interpretation of the laws and regulations. Also, some regulatory authorities have relatively broad discretion to grant, renew or revoke licenses and approvals. If we do not have the requisite licenses and approvals or do not comply with applicable regulatory -4- requirements, the insurance regulatory authorities could preclude or temporarily suspend us from carrying on some or all of our activities or monetarily penalize us. That type of action could have a material adverse effect on our business. Also, changes in the level of regulation of the insurance industry (whether federal, state or foreign), or changes in laws or regulations themselves or interpretations by regulatory authorities, could have a material adverse effect on our business. We are rated by A.M. Best and Standard & Poor's, and a decline in these ratings could adversely affect our operations. Ratings have become an increasingly important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. Our insurance company subsidiaries are rated by A.M. Best and certain of our insurance company subsidiaries are rated for their claims-paying ability by Standard & Poor's Corporation, or Standard & Poor's. A.M. Best and Standard & Poor's ratings reflect their opinions of an insurance company's financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet its obligations to policyholders, are not evaluations directed to investors and are not recommendations to buy, sell or hold our securities. Our ratings are subject to periodic review by A.M. Best and Standard & Poor's and the continued retention of those ratings cannot be assured. The Standard & Poor's 2001 outlook for the U.S. property casualty insurance industry and the Standard & Poor's mid-year 2000 outlook for the U.S. reinsurance industry were negative. Since March 2000, Standard & Poor's has given us a negative rating outlook. While Standard & Poor's recently affirmed our rating of "A+", as long as we remain on negative rating outlook, a downgrade in our rating is possible. If our ratings are reduced from their current levels by A.M. Best and/or Standard & Poor's, our results of operations could be adversely affected. A significant amount of our assets is invested in fixed income securities and is subject to market fluctuations. Our investment portfolio consists substantially of fixed income securities. The fair market value of these assets and the investment income from these assets fluctuate depending on general economic and market conditions. With respect to our investments in fixed income securities, the fair market value of these investments generally increases or decreases in an inverse relationship with fluctuations in interest rates, while net investment income realized by us from future investments in fixed income securities will generally increase or decrease with interest rates. In addition, actual net investment income and/or cash flows from investments that carry prepayment risk (such as mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities) may differ from those anticipated at the time of investment as a result of interest rate fluctuations. Because substantially all of our fixed income securities are classified as available for sale, changes in the market value of our securities are reflected in our balance sheet. Similar treatment is not available for liabilities. Therefore, interest rate fluctuations could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. We invest some of our assets in merger arbitrage, which is subject to certain risks. We invest a portion of our investment portfolio in merger arbitrage. As of September 30, 2000, our investment in merger arbitrage securities represented approximately 15% of our total -5- investment portfolio. Merger arbitrage is the business of investing in the securities of publicly held companies which are the targets in announced tender offers and mergers. Merger arbitrage differs from other types of investments in its focus on transactions and events believed likely to bring about a change in value over a relatively short time period (usually four months or less). While our merger arbitrage positions are generally hedged against market declines, these equity investments are exposed primarily to the risk associated with the completion of announced deals, which are subject to regulatory as well as political and other risks. Our premium writings and profitability are affected by the availability of reinsurance. We purchase reinsurance for significant amounts of risk underwritten by our insurance company subsidiaries, especially catastrophe risks. We also purchase reinsurance on risks underwritten by others which we reinsure (a retrocession). Market conditions beyond our control determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection we purchase, which may affect the level of our business and profitability. Our reinsurance facilities are generally subject to annual renewal. We cannot assure you that we can maintain our current reinsurance facilities or that we can obtain other reinsurance facilities in adequate amounts and at favorable rates. If we are unable to renew our expiring facilities or to obtain new reinsurance facilities, either our net exposures would increase or, if we are unwilling to bear an increase in net exposures, we would have to reduce the level of our underwriting commitments, especially catastrophe exposed risks. Either of these potential developments could have a material adverse effect on our business. We do not yet know all the effects of the recent restructuring of certain of our subsidiaries. In 2000, we implemented a restructuring plan, pursuant to which we refocused our domestic reinsurance operations. While this restructuring is substantially complete, all of its operating effects are not yet known, and any difficulties caused by such restructuring could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. We are an insurance holding company and, therefore, may not be able to receive dividends in needed amounts. Our principal assets are the shares of capital stock of our insurance company subsidiaries. We have to rely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt obligations and for paying dividends to stockholders and corporate expenses. The payment of dividends by our insurance company subsidiaries is subject to regulatory restrictions and will depend on the surplus and future earnings of these subsidiaries, as well as the regulatory restrictions. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from these subsidiaries at times and in amounts necessary to meet our obligations or pay dividends. We may not find suitable acquisition candidates and even if we do, we may not successfully integrate any such acquired companies. As part of our present strategy, we continue to evaluate possible acquisition transactions on an ongoing basis, and at any given time, we may be engaged in discussions with respect to possible acquisitions. We cannot assure you that we will be able to identify suitable acquisition transactions, that such transactions will be financed and completed on acceptable terms or that -6- our future acquisitions will be successful. The process of integrating any companies we do acquire may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. If we do not invest substantial amounts in our information systems and technology, our business may be harmed. Integrated management information and processing systems are vital to our ability to monitor costs, collect receivables and achieve operating efficiencies. As we continue our growth, the need for sophisticated information systems and technology will increase significantly. The cost of implementing such systems has been, and is expected to continue to be, substantial. The failure of our information or processing systems, or our failure to upgrade systems as necessary, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. We cannot guarantee that our reinsurers will pay in a timely fashion, if at all. We purchase reinsurance by transferring part of the risk that we have assumed (known as ceding) to a reinsurance company in exchange for part of the premium we receive in connection with the risk. Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to us to the extent the risk is transferred or ceded to the reinsurer, it does not relieve us (the reinsured) of our liability to our policyholders or, in cases where we are a reinsurer, to our reinsureds. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers. We cannot assure you that our reinsurers will pay the reinsurance recoverables owed to us or that they will pay such recoverables on a timely basis. Our international operations expose us to risks. Certain assets held by our foreign subsidiaries are subject to foreign currency risk. Our principal area of exposure relates to fluctuations in exchange rates between each of the Argentinean and Philippine peso and the U.S. dollar. Consequently, a change in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and either the Argentinean or Philippine peso could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. We are additionally subject to political and economic risks in these countries. Investment Related Risks Our charter documents, Delaware law and stockholders rights plan, as well as state insurance statutes, will make it more difficult to acquire us and may discourage takeover attempts and thus depress the market price of our common stock or other securities. Certain provisions of Delaware law, our certificate of incorporation and our by-laws have the effect of making more difficult or discouraging unsolicited takeover bids from third parties. While these provisions have the effect of encouraging persons seeking to acquire control of us to negotiate with our board of directors, they could also limit our stockholders' opportunity to dispose of their shares at the premium prices typically associated with such takeover attempts. For example, our certificate of incorporation and by-laws provide for a board of directors divided into three classes, with one class being elected each year to serve for a three-year term. As a result, at least two annual meetings of stockholders may be required for stockholders to change a majority of our board of directors. Pursuant to our share purchase rights plan, holders of -7- our common stock will receive rights to purchase shares of preferred stock that have the same dividend, liquidation and voting rights as shares of our common stock upon the occurrence of certain events that could lead to a person or group acquiring 15% or more of our outstanding common stock. In addition to being subject to Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, which generally prohibits a publicly held Delaware corporation from engaging in business combinations with certain stockholders, our certificate of incorporation requires the affirmative vote of 80% of our stockholders to approve mergers and other similar transactions between us and certain stockholders. We are subject to state statutes governing insurance holding company systems which would commonly require that any person or entity desiring to purchase more than 10% of our outstanding voting securities must obtain regulatory approval of the purchase. Under Florida law, which is applicable to us due to our ownership of Carolina Casualty Insurance Company, a Florida domiciled insurer, the acquisition of more than 5% of our capital stock must receive state regulatory approval. Applicable state insurance company laws and regulations could delay or impede a change of control of W. R. Berkley. Certain of our institutional stockholders and management may influence actions requiring stockholder approval. Based on public filings as of September 30, 2000, Franklin Resources, Inc. and Neuberger & Berman Pension Management (with their respective affiliates) held 4,533,940 and 1,521,542 shares of common stock, respectively, representing approximately 17.7% and 5.9%, respectively, of our outstanding common stock as of December 31, 2000. In addition, as of December 31, 2000, William R. Berkley, our founder, chairman and president, held 4,038,569 shares of common stock (including currently exercisable options), representing approximately 15.7% of our outstanding common stock as of such date. As a result, these stockholders, acting alone or together, may be able to influence matters requiring approval by our stockholders. -8- -----END PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE-----