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Fair Value Measurement
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurement Fair Value Measurement
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. A three level hierarchy has been established for valuing assets and liabilities based on how transparent (observable) the inputs are that are used to determine fair value, with the inputs considered most observable categorized as Level 1 and those that are the least observable categorized as Level 3. Hierarchy levels are defined as follows:
 
Level 1:
quoted (unadjusted) market prices in active markets for identical assets and liabilities. For ProAssurance, Level 1 inputs are generally quotes for debt or equity securities actively traded in exchange or over-the-counter markets.
 
Level 2:
market data obtained from sources independent of the reporting entity (observable inputs). For ProAssurance, Level 2 inputs generally include quoted prices in markets that are not active, quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities, and results from pricing models that use observable inputs such as interest rates and yield curves that are generally available at commonly quoted intervals.
 
Level 3:
the reporting entity’s own assumptions about market participant assumptions based on the best information available in the circumstances (non-observable inputs). For ProAssurance, Level 3 inputs are used in situations where little or no Level 1 or 2 inputs are available or are inappropriate given the particular circumstances. Level 3 inputs include results from pricing models for which some or all of the inputs are not observable, discounted cash flow methodologies, single non-binding broker quotes and adjustments to externally quoted prices that are based on management judgment or estimation.
Fair values of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019 are shown in the following tables. Where applicable, the tables also indicate the fair value hierarchy of the valuation techniques utilized to determine those fair values. For some assets, the inputs used to measure fair value may fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. When this is the case, the asset is categorized based on the level of the most significant input to the fair value measurement. Assessments of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement require judgment and consideration of factors specific to the assets being valued.
 
September 30, 2020
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
 
Total
(In thousands)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Fair Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury obligations
$

 
$
117,364

 
$

 
$
117,364

U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise obligations

 
11,055

 

 
11,055

State and municipal bonds

 
319,092

 

 
319,092

Corporate debt, multiple observable inputs

 
1,303,186

 

 
1,303,186

Corporate debt, limited observable inputs

 

 
3,995

 
3,995

Residential mortgage-backed securities

 
243,198

 
4,120

 
247,318

Agency commercial mortgage-backed securities

 
14,171

 

 
14,171

Other commercial mortgage-backed securities

 
99,076

 

 
99,076

Other asset-backed securities

 
261,994

 
8,834

 
270,828

Fixed maturities, trading

 
53,081

 

 
53,081

Equity investments
 
 
 
 
 
 

Financial
10,622

 

 

 
10,622

Utilities/Energy
436

 

 

 
436

Consumer oriented
1,144

 

 

 
1,144

Industrial
1,707

 

 

 
1,707

Bond funds
72,044

 

 

 
72,044

All other
19,285

 

 

 
19,285

Short-term investments
351,206

 
26,333

 

 
377,539

Other investments
1,493

 
36,221

 

 
37,714

Other assets

 
341

 

 
341

Total assets categorized within the fair value hierarchy
$
457,937

 
$
2,485,112

 
$
16,949

 
2,959,998

Assets carried at NAV, which approximates fair value and which are not categorized within the fair value hierarchy, reported as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
24,147

Investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries
 
 
 
 
 
 
233,142

Total assets at fair value
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,217,287

 
December 31, 2019
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
 
Total
(In thousands)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Fair Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury obligations
$

 
$
110,467

 
$

 
$
110,467

U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise obligations

 
17,340

 

 
17,340

State and municipal bonds

 
296,093

 

 
296,093

Corporate debt, multiple observable inputs

 
1,335,285

 

 
1,335,285

Corporate debt, limited observable inputs

 

 
5,079

 
5,079

Residential mortgage-backed securities

 
208,408

 

 
208,408

Agency commercial mortgage-backed securities

 
8,221

 

 
8,221

Other commercial mortgage-backed securities

 
71,868

 

 
71,868

Other asset-backed securities

 
233,032

 
2,992

 
236,024

Fixed maturities, trading

 
47,284

 

 
47,284

Equity investments
 
 
 
 
 
 

Financial
40,294

 

 

 
40,294

Utilities/Energy
21,195

 

 

 
21,195

Consumer oriented
29,288

 

 

 
29,288

Industrial
26,440

 

 

 
26,440

Bond funds
58,346

 

 

 
58,346

All other
52,512

 

 

 
52,512

Short-term investments
317,313

 
22,594

 

 
339,907

Other investments
219

 
32,713

 
3,086

 
36,018

Other assets

 
760

 

 
760

Total assets categorized within the fair value hierarchy
$
545,607


$
2,384,065


$
11,157


2,940,829

Assets carried at NAV, which approximates fair value and which are not categorized within the fair value hierarchy, reported as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
22,477

Investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries
 
 
 
 
 
 
270,524

Total assets at fair value
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,233,830


The fair values for securities included in the Level 2 category, with the few exceptions described below, were developed by one of several third party, nationally recognized pricing services, including services that price only certain types of securities. Each service uses complex methodologies to determine values for securities and subject the values they develop to quality control reviews. Management selected a primary source for each type of security in the portfolio and reviewed the values provided for reasonableness by comparing data to alternate pricing services and to available market and trade data. Values that appeared inconsistent were further reviewed for appropriateness. Any value that did not appear reasonable was discussed with the service that provided the value and adjusted, if necessary. There were no material changes to the values supplied by the pricing services as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019.
Level 2 Valuations
Below is a summary description of the valuation methodologies primarily used by the pricing services for securities in the Level 2 category, by security type:
U.S. Treasury obligations were valued based on quoted prices for identical assets, or, in markets that are not active, quotes for similar assets, taking into consideration adjustments for variations in contractual cash flows and yields to maturity.
U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise obligations were valued using pricing models that consider current and historical market data, normal trading conventions, credit ratings, and the particular structure and characteristics of the security being valued, such as yield to maturity, redemption options, and contractual cash flows. Adjustments to model inputs or model results were included in the valuation process when necessary to reflect recent regulatory, government or corporate actions or significant economic, industry or geographic events affecting the security’s fair value.
State and municipal bonds were valued using a series of matrices that considered credit ratings, the structure of the security, the sector in which the security falls, yields, and contractual cash flows. Valuations were further adjusted, when necessary, to reflect the expected effect on fair value of recent significant economic or geographic events or ratings changes.
Corporate debt, multiple observable inputs consisted primarily of corporate bonds, but also included a small number of bank loans. The methodology used to value Level 2 corporate bonds was the same as the methodology previously described for U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise obligations. Bank loans were valued based on an average of broker quotes for the loans in question, if available. If quotes were not available, the loans were valued based on quoted prices for comparable loans or, if the loan was newly issued, by comparison to similar seasoned issues. Broker quotes were compared to actual trade prices to permit assessment of the reliability of the quotes; unreliable quotes were not considered in quoted averages.
Residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities were valued using a pricing matrix which considers the issuer type, coupon rate and longest cash flows outstanding. The matrix used was based on the most recently available market information. Agency and non-agency collateralized mortgage obligations were both valued using models that consider the structure of the security, current and historical information regarding prepayment speeds, ratings and ratings updates, and current and historical interest rate and interest rate spread data.
Other asset-backed securities were valued using models that consider the structure of the security, monthly payment information, current and historical information regarding prepayment speeds, ratings and ratings updates, and current and historical interest rate and interest rate spread data. Spreads and prepayment speeds consider collateral type.
Fixed maturities, trading, are held by the Lloyd's Syndicates segment and include U.S. Treasury obligations, corporate debt with multiple observable inputs and residential mortgage-backed securities. These securities were valued using the respective valuation methodologies discussed above for each security type.
Short-term investments were securities maturing within one year, carried at fair value which approximated the cost of the securities due to their short-term nature.
 Other investments consisted primarily of convertible bonds valued using a pricing model that incorporated selected dealer quotes as well as current market data regarding equity prices and risk free rates. If dealer quotes were unavailable for the security being valued, quotes for securities with similar terms and credit status were used in the pricing model. Dealer quotes selected for use were those considered most accurate based on parameters such as underwriter status and historical reliability.
Other assets consisted of an interest rate cap derivative instrument, valued using a model which considers the volatilities from other instruments with similar maturities, strike prices, durations and forward yield curves. Under the terms of the interest rate cap agreement, ProAssurance paid a premium of $2 million for the right to receive cash payments based upon a notional amount of $35 million if and when the three-month LIBOR rises above 2.35%. The Company's variable-rate Mortgage Loans bear an interest rate of three-month LIBOR plus 1.325%. For additional information regarding the interest rate cap agreement, see Note 12 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in ProAssurance's December 31, 2019 report on Form 10-K.
Level 3 Valuations
Below is a summary description of the valuation methodologies used as well as quantitative information regarding securities in the Level 3 category, by security type:
Level 3 Valuation Methodologies
Corporate debt, limited observable inputs consisted of corporate bonds valued using dealer quotes for similar securities or discounted cash flow models using yields currently available for similar securities. Similar securities are defined as securities of comparable credit quality that have like terms and payment features. Assessments of credit quality were based on NRSRO ratings, if available, or were determined by management if not available. At September 30, 2020, 100% of the securities were rated and the average rating was BB. At December 31, 2019, 66% of the securities were rated and the average rating was BBB-.
Residential mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities consisted of securitizations of receivables valued using dealer quotes for similar securities or discounted cash flow models using yields currently available for similar securities. Similar securities are defined as securities of comparable credit quality that have like terms and payment features. Assessments of credit quality were based on NRSRO ratings, if available, or were subjectively determined by management if not available. At September 30, 2020, 88% of the securities were rated and the average rating was AA+. At December 31, 2019, 100% of the securities were rated and the average rating was AA.
Other investments consisted of convertible securities for which limited observable inputs were available at December 31, 2019. The securities were valued internally based on expected cash flows, including the expected final recovery, discounted at a yield that considered the lack of liquidity and the financial status of the issuer.
Quantitative Information Regarding Level 3 Valuations
 
 
Fair Value at
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
September 30, 2020
 
December 31, 2019
 
Valuation Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
(Weighted Average)
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt, limited observable inputs
 
$3,995
 
$5,079
 
Market Comparable
Securities
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
$4,120
 
 
Market Comparable
Securities
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
Other asset-backed securities
 
$8,834
 
$2,992
 
Market Comparable
Securities
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 5% (2.5%)
Other investments
 
$—
 
$3,086
 
Discounted Cash Flows
 
Comparability Adjustment
 
0% - 10% (5%)

The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the above listed securities were the valuations of comparable securities with similar issuers, credit quality and maturity. Changes in the availability of comparable securities could result in changes in the fair value measurements.
Fair Value Measurements - Level 3 Assets
The following tables (the Level 3 Tables) present summary information regarding changes in the fair value of assets measured at fair value using Level 3 inputs.
 
September 30, 2020
 
Level 3 Fair Value Measurements – Assets
(In thousands)
Corporate Debt
 
Asset-backed Securities
 
Other Investments
 
Total
Balance June 30, 2020
$
3,117

 
$
5,978

 
$
1,568

 
$
10,663

Total gains (losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings, as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)

 
(2
)
 
143

 
141

Included in other comprehensive income
(6
)
 
(58
)
 

 
(64
)
Purchases
900

 
8,513

 

 
9,413

Sales
(16
)
 
(99
)
 

 
(115
)
Transfers out

 
(1,378
)
 
(1,711
)
 
(3,089
)
Balance September 30, 2020
$
3,995

 
$
12,954

 
$

 
$
16,949

Change in unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings for the above period for Level 3 assets held at period-end
$

 
$

 
$
143

 
$
143

 
September 30, 2020
 
Level 3 Fair Value Measurements – Assets
(In thousands)
Corporate Debt
 
Asset-backed Securities
 
Other Investments
 
Total
Balance December 31, 2019
$
5,079

 
$
2,992

 
$
3,086

 
$
11,157

Total gains (losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings, as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net investment income

 
(10
)
 

 
(10
)
Net realized investment gains (losses)

 
(2
)
 
151

 
149

Included in other comprehensive income
38

 
23

 

 
61

Purchases
900

 
13,341

 

 
14,241

Sales
(2,173
)
 
(888
)
 

 
(3,061
)
Transfers in
945

 
605

 

 
1,550

Transfers out
(794
)
 
(3,107
)
 
(3,237
)
 
(7,138
)
Balance September 30, 2020
$
3,995

 
$
12,954

 
$

 
$
16,949

Change in unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings for the above period for Level 3 assets held at period-end
$

 
$

 
$
151

 
$
151


 
September 30, 2019
 
Level 3 Fair Value Measurements – Assets
(In thousands)
Corporate Debt
 
Asset-backed Securities
 
Other Investments
 
Total
Balance June 30, 2019
$
2,304

 
$
4,163

 
$
624

 
$
7,091

Total gains (losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings, as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net investment income

 
(23
)
 

 
(23
)
Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

 
2

 
2

Included in other comprehensive income
74

 
14

 

 
88

Purchases
1,545

 

 
1,296

 
2,841

Sales
(1,566
)
 
(24
)
 

 
(1,590
)
Transfers in
1,750

 
1,016

 

 
2,766

Transfers out

 

 
(405
)
 
(405
)
Balance September 30, 2019
$
4,107

 
$
5,146

 
$
1,517

 
$
10,770

Change in unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings for the above period for Level 3 assets held at period-end
$

 
$

 
$
2

 
$
2


 
September 30, 2019
 
Level 3 Fair Value Measurements – Assets
(In thousands)
Corporate Debt
 
Asset-backed Securities
 
Other Investments
 
Total
Balance December 31, 2018
$
4,322

 
$
3,850

 
$
3

 
$
8,175

Total gains (losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings, as a part of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net investment income
2

 
(163
)
 

 
(161
)
Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

 
35

 
35

Included in other comprehensive income
85

 
224

 

 
309

Purchases
2,850

 

 
1,466

 
4,316

Sales
(3,702
)
 
(30
)
 

 
(3,732
)
Transfers in
1,750

 
2,216

 
418

 
4,384

Transfers out
(1,200
)
 
(951
)
 
(405
)
 
(2,556
)
Balance September 30, 2019
$
4,107

 
$
5,146

 
$
1,517

 
$
10,770

Change in unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings for the above period for Level 3 assets held at period-end
$

 
$

 
$
35

 
$
35



Transfers
Transfers shown in the preceding Level 3 tables were as of the end of the quarter in which the transfer occurred. All transfers were to or from Level 2.
All transfers in and out of Level 3 during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019 related to securities held for which the level of market activity for identical or nearly identical securities varies from period to period. The securities were valued using multiple observable inputs when those inputs were available; otherwise the securities were valued using limited observable inputs.
Fair Values Not Categorized
At September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, certain LPs/LLCs and investment funds measure fund assets at fair value on a recurring basis and provide a NAV for ProAssurance's interest. The carrying value of these interests is based on the NAV provided and was considered to approximate the fair value of the interests. For investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries, ProAssurance recognizes any changes in the NAV of its interests in equity in earnings (loss) of unconsolidated subsidiaries during the period of change. In accordance with GAAP, the fair value of these investments was not classified within the fair value hierarchy. The amount of ProAssurance's unfunded commitments related to these investments as of September 30, 2020 and fair values of these investments as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019 were as follows:
 
Unfunded
Commitments
 
Fair Value
(In thousands)
September 30,
2020
 
September 30,
2020
 
December 31,
2019
Equity investments:
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage fund (1)
None
 
$
24,147

 
$
22,477

Investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries:
 
 
 
 
 
Private debt funds (2)
$11,961
 
18,054

 
19,011

Long equity fund (3)
None
 

 
5,293

Long/short equity funds (4)
None
 
608

 
30,542

Non-public equity funds (5)
$46,956
 
133,777

 
120,343

Multi-strategy fund of funds (6)
None
 
2,092

 
1,951

Credit funds (7)
$1,962
 
39,638

 
42,415

Long/short commodities fund (8)
None
 

 
14,519

Strategy focused funds (9)
$41,441
 
38,973

 
36,450

 
 
 
233,142

 
270,524

Total investments carried at NAV
 
 
$
257,289


$
293,001

Below is additional information regarding each of the investments listed in the table above as of September 30, 2020.
(1) 
This investment fund is focused on the structured mortgage market. The fund will primarily invest in U.S. Agency mortgage-backed securities. Redemptions are allowed at the end of any calendar quarter with a prior notice requirement of 65 days and are paid within 45 days at the end of the redemption dealing day.
(2) 
This investment is comprised of interests in two unrelated LP funds that are structured to provide interest distributions primarily through diversified portfolios of private debt instruments. One LP allows redemption by special consent, while the other does not permit redemption. Income and capital are to be periodically distributed at the discretion of the LPs over an anticipated time frame that spans from three to eight years.
(3) 
This fund is a LP that holds long equities of public international companies and was fully redeemed during the second quarter of 2020.
(4) 
This investment holds primarily long and short North American equities and target absolute returns using strategies designed to take advantage of market opportunities. Redemptions are permitted; however, redemptions above specified thresholds (lowest threshold is 90%) may be only partially payable until after a fund audit is completed and are then payable within 30 days.
(5) 
This investment is comprised of interests in multiple unrelated LP funds, each structured to provide capital appreciation through diversified investments in private equity, which can include investments in buyout, venture capital, debt including senior, second lien and mezzanine, distressed debt, collateralized loan obligations and other private equity-oriented LPs. Two of the LPs allow redemption by terms set forth in the LP agreements; the others do not permit redemption. Income and capital are to be periodically distributed at the discretion of the LP over time frames that are anticipated to span up to ten years.
(6) 
This fund is a LLC structured to build and manage low volatility, multi-manager portfolios that have little or no correlation to the broader fixed income and equity security markets. Redemptions are not permitted but offers to repurchase units of the LLC may be extended periodically.
(7) 
This investment is comprised of four unrelated LP funds. Two funds seek to obtain superior risk-adjusted absolute returns through a diversified portfolio of debt securities, including bonds, loans and other asset-backed instruments. A third fund focuses on private middle market company mezzanine loans, while the remaining fund seeks event driven opportunities across the corporate credit spectrum. Two funds are allowed redemptions at any quarter-end with a prior notice requirement of 90 days; one fund permits redemption at any quarter-end with a prior notice requirement of 180 days and one fund does not allow redemptions. For the fund that does not allow redemptions, income and capital are to be periodically distributed at the discretion of the LP over time frames that are anticipated to span up to twelve years.
(8) 
This fund is a LLC invested across a broad range of commodities and focuses primarily on market neutral, relative value strategies, seeking to generate absolute returns with low correlation to broad commodity, equity and fixed income markets. This fund was fully redeemed during the second quarter of 2020.
(9) This investment is comprised of multiple unrelated LPs/LLCs funds. One fund is a LLC focused on investing in North American consumer products companies, comprised of equity and equity-related securities, as well as debt instruments. A second fund is focused on aircraft investments, along with components and assets related to aircrafts. For both funds, redemptions are not permitted. Another fund is a LP focused on North American energy infrastructure assets that allows redemption with consent of the General Partner. The remaining funds are real estate focused LPs, one of which allows for redemption with prior notice.
ProAssurance may not sell, transfer or assign its interest in any of the above LPs/LLCs without special consent from the LPs/LLCs.
Nonrecurring Fair Value Measurement
During the three months ended September 30, 2020, ProAssurance recognized a nonrecurring fair value measurement related to the goodwill in its Specialty P&C reporting unit with a carrying value of $161.1 million prior to the fair value measurement. This nonrecurring fair value measurement resulted in the goodwill being written down to its implied fair value of zero resulting in an impairment of the goodwill of $161.1 million. The inputs used in the fair value measurement were non-observable and, as such, were categorized as a Level 3 valuation. ProAssurance did not have any other assets or liabilities that were measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis at September 30, 2020 or December 31, 2019.
Financial Instruments - Methodologies Other Than Fair Value
The following table provides the estimated fair value of the Company's financial instruments that, in accordance with GAAP for the type of investment, are measured using a methodology other than fair value. Fair values provided primarily fall within the Level 3 fair value category.
 
September 30, 2020
 
December 31, 2019
(In thousands)
Carrying
Value
 
Fair
Value
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair
Value
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
BOLI
$
67,393

 
$
67,393

 
$
66,112

 
$
66,112

Other investments
$
2,936

 
$
2,936

 
$
2,931

 
$
2,931

Other assets
$
27,697

 
$
27,710

 
$
28,645

 
$
28,650

Financial liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Senior notes due 2023*
$
250,000

 
$
266,585

 
$
250,000

 
$
273,865

Mortgage Loans*
$
36,489

 
$
36,489

 
$
37,617

 
$
37,617

Other liabilities
$
27,077

 
$
27,077

 
$
27,953

 
$
27,953

* Carrying value excludes unamortized debt issuance costs.

The fair value of the BOLI was equal to the cash surrender value associated with the policies on the valuation date.
Other investments listed in the table above include FHLB common stock carried at cost and an annuity investment carried at amortized cost. Two of ProAssurance's insurance subsidiaries are members of an FHLB. The estimated fair value of the FHLB common stock was based on the amount the subsidiaries would receive if their memberships were canceled, as the memberships cannot be sold. The fair value of the annuity represents the present value of the expected future cash flows discounted using a rate available in active markets for similarly structured instruments.
Other assets and other liabilities primarily consisted of related investment assets and liabilities associated with funded deferred compensation agreements. The fair value of the funded deferred compensation assets was based upon quoted market prices, which is categorized as a Level 1 valuation, and had a fair value of $27.2 million and $26.9 million at September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively. The deferred compensation liabilities are adjusted to match the fair value of the deferred compensation assets. Other assets also included an unsecured note receivable under a separate line of credit agreement. The fair value of the note receivable was based on the present value of expected cash flows from the note receivable, discounted at market rates on the valuation date for receivables with similar credit standings and similar payment structures.
The fair value of the debt was estimated based on the present value of expected future cash outflows, discounted at rates available on the valuation date for similar debt issued by entities with a similar credit standing to ProAssurance.