EX-99.1 8 exhibit99_1.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 exhibit99_1.htm - Generated by SEC Publisher for SEC Filing

Exhibit 99.1

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

5001 Spring Valley Road

Suite 800 East

Dallas, Texas 75244

 

March 18, 2016

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A.

Av. República do Chile 330

9th Floor – Centro

CEP 20031-170

Rio de Janeiro – RJ-Brazil

Ladies and Gentlemen:

Pursuant to your request, we have conducted a reserves audit of the net proved crude oil and condensate and natural gas reserves, as of December 31, 2015, of certain properties in which Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) has represented that it owns an interest. The properties are located in Brazil and offshore from Brazil. This audit was completed on March 18, 2016. Petrobras has represented that these properties account for 95.2 percent on a net equivalent barrel basis of Petrobras’ net proved reserves as of December 31, 2015, and that the net proved reserves estimates have been prepared in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)‑(32) of Regulation S–X of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of the United States. We have reviewed information provided to us by Petrobras that it represents to be Petrobras’ estimates of the net reserves, as of December 31, 2015, for the same properties as those which we audited. This report was prepared in accordance with guidelines specified in Item 1202 (a)(8) of Regulation S-K and is to be used for inclusion in certain SEC filings by Petrobras.

 

Reserves estimates included herein are expressed as net reserves as represented by Petrobras. Gross reserves are defined as the total estimated petroleum to be produced from these properties after December 31, 2015. Net reserves are defined as that portion of the gross reserves attributable to the interests owned by Petrobras after deducting all interests owned by others.

 

Estimates of oil and condensate and natural gas reserves should be regarded only as estimates that may change as further production history and additional information become available. Not only are such reserves estimates based on that

 

 

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information which is currently available, but such estimates are also subject to the uncertainties inherent in the application of judgmental factors in interpreting such information.

 

Data used in this audit were obtained from reviews with Petrobras personnel, from Petrobras files, from records on file with the appropriate regulatory agencies, and from public sources. In the preparation of this report we have relied, without independent verification, upon such information furnished by Petrobras with respect to property interests, production from such properties, current costs of operation and development, current prices for production, agreements relating to current and future operations and sale of production, and various other information and data that were accepted as represented. A field examination of the properties was not considered necessary for the purposes of this report.

Methodology and Procedures

Estimates of reserves were prepared by the use of appropriate geologic, petroleum engineering, and evaluation principles and techniques that are in accordance with practices generally recognized by the petroleum industry as presented in the publication of the Society of Petroleum Engineers entitled “Standards Pertaining to the Estimating and Auditing of Oil and Gas Reserves Information (Revision as of February 19, 2007).” The method or combination of methods used in the analysis of each reservoir was tempered by experience with similar reservoirs, stage of development, quality and completeness of basic data, and production history.

 

Based on the current stage of field development, production performance, the development plans provided by Petrobras, and the analyses of areas offsetting existing wells with test or production data, reserves were classified as proved.

 

When applicable, the volumetric method was used to estimate the original oil in place (OOIP) and the original gas in place (OGIP). Structure and isopach maps were constructed to estimate reservoir volume. Electrical logs, radioactivity logs, core analyses, and other available data were used to prepare these maps as well as to estimate representative values for porosity and water saturation. When adequate data were available and when circumstances justified, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate OOIP or OGIP.

 

 

 

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Estimates of ultimate recovery were obtained after applying recovery factors to OOIP or OGIP. These recovery factors were based on consideration of the type of energy inherent in the reservoirs, analyses of the petroleum, the structural positions of the properties, and the production histories. When applicable, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate recovery factors. In such cases, an analysis of reservoir performance, including production rate, reservoir pressure, and gas-oil ratio behavior, was used in the estimation of reserves.

 

For depletion-type reservoirs or those whose performance disclosed a reliable decline in producing-rate trends or other diagnostic characteristics, reserves were estimated by the application of appropriate decline curves or other performance relationships. In the analyses of production‑decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limits of economic production or to the limit of the production licenses as appropriate.

 

Natural gas quantities estimated herein are marketable gas. Marketable gas is defined as the total gas to be produced from the reservoirs after reduction for injection, flare, and shrinkage resulting from field separation and processing. Gas reserves are expressed at a temperature base of 20 degrees Celsius and at a pressure base of 1 atmosphere. Oil and condensate reserves estimated herein are those to be recovered by normal field separation. Oil and condensate reserves estimates included in this report are expressed in terms of 42 United States gallons per barrel.

Definition of Reserves

Petroleum reserves estimated by Petrobras included in this report are classified as proved. Only proved reserves have been audited for this report. Reserves classifications used by Petrobras in this report are in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X of the SEC. Reserves are judged to be economically producible in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions and assuming continuation of current regulatory practices using conventional production methods and equipment. In the analyses of production-decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limit of economic rates of production under existing economic and operating conditions using prices and costs consistent with the effective date of this report, including consideration of changes in existing prices provided only by contractual arrangements but not including escalations based upon future conditions. The petroleum reserves are classified as follows:

 

 

 

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Proved oil and gas reserves – Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible—from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and government regulations—prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the estimation. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.

 

(i) The area of the reservoir considered as proved includes:

(A) The area identified by drilling and limited by fluid contacts, if any, and (B) Adjacent undrilled portions of the reservoir that can, with reasonable certainty, be judged to be continuous with it and to contain economically producible oil or gas on the basis of available geoscience and engineering data.

 

(ii) In the absence of data on fluid contacts, proved quantities in a reservoir are limited by the lowest known hydrocarbons (LKH) as seen in a well penetration unless geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establishes a lower contact with reasonable certainty.

 

(iii) Where direct observation from well penetrations has defined a highest known oil (HKO) elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap, proved oil reserves may be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir only if geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establish the higher contact with reasonable certainty.

 

(iv) Reserves which can be produced economically through application of improved recovery techniques (including, but not limited to, fluid injection) are included in the proved classification when:

 

 

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(A) Successful testing by a pilot project in an area of the reservoir with properties no more favorable than in the reservoir as a whole, the operation of an installed program in the reservoir or an analogous reservoir, or other evidence using reliable technology establishes the reasonable certainty of the engineering analysis on which the project or program was based; and (B) The project has been approved for development by all necessary parties and entities, including governmental entities.

 

(v) Existing economic conditions include prices and costs at which economic producibility from a reservoir is to be determined. The price shall be the average price during the 12‑month period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon future conditions.

 

Developed oil and gas reserves – Developed oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that can be expected to be recovered:

 

(i) Through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the cost of the required equipment is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and

 

(ii) Through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure operational at the time of the reserves estimate if the extraction is by means not involving a well.

 

Undeveloped oil and gas reserves – Undeveloped oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that are expected to be recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major expenditure is required for recompletion.

 

(i) Reserves on undrilled acreage shall be limited to those directly offsetting development spacing areas that are reasonably certain of production when drilled, unless evidence

 

 

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using reliable technology exists that establishes reasonable certainty of economic producibility at greater distances.

 

(ii) Undrilled locations can be classified as having undeveloped reserves only if a development plan has been adopted indicating that they are scheduled to be drilled within five years, unless the specific circumstances justify a longer time.

 

(iii) Under no circumstances shall estimates for undeveloped reserves be attributable to any acreage for which an application of fluid injection or other improved recovery technique is contemplated, unless such techniques have been proved effective by actual projects in the same reservoir or an analogous reservoir, as defined in [section 210.4–10 (a) Definitions], or by other evidence using reliable technology establishing reasonable certainty.

Primary Economic Assumptions

The following economic assumptions were used for estimating existing and future prices and costs:

Oil and Condensate Prices

Petrobras has represented that the oil and condensate prices were based on a reference price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements. Petrobras supplied differentials by field to a Brent reference price of U.S.$54.28 per barrel and the prices were held constant thereafter. The volume-weighted average adjusted price attributable to estimated proved reserves for the fields that were audited was U.S.$49.48 per barrel. These prices were not escalated for inflation.

 

 

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Natural Gas Prices

Petrobras has represented that the natural gas prices were based on a 12-month average price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements. The volume-weighted average adjusted price for the fields that were audited was U.S.$6.72 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf). This price was based on contract prices and a 12‑month average regulation price from the Brazilian National Petroleum Agency (ANP) of U.S.$5.68 per Mcf. The ANP regulation prices were provided by Petrobras and are the prices disclosed by the ANP to upstream operators for payment of royalties and taxes. These prices were not escalated for inflation.

Operating Expenses, Capital Costs, and Abandonment Costs

Operating expenses and capital costs, based on information provided by Petrobras, were used in estimating future costs required to operate the properties. In certain cases, future costs, either higher or lower than existing costs, may have been used because of anticipated changes in operating conditions. These costs were not escalated for inflation. Abandonment costs were provided by Petrobras.

 

While the oil and gas industry may be subject to regulatory changes from time to time that could affect an industry participant’s ability to recover its oil and gas reserves, we are not aware of any such governmental actions which would restrict the recovery of the December 31, 2015, estimated oil and gas reserves.

 

Petrobras has represented that estimated net proved reserves attributable to the reviewed properties are based on the definitions of proved reserves of the SEC. Petrobras represents that its estimates of the net proved reserves attributable to these properties, which represent 95.2 percent of Petrobras’ reserves on a net equivalent basis, are as follows, expressed in millions of barrels (MMbbl), billions of cubic feet (Bcf), and millions of barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe):

 

 

 

 

 

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Estimated by Petrobras

Net Proved Reserves as of

December 31, 2015

 

 

Oil and Condensate

(MMbbl)

 

Natural

Gas

(Bcf)

 

Oil Equivalent

(MMboe)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reviewed by DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Proved

 

8,157.6

 

8,407.3

 

9,654.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Gas is converted to oil equivalent using an energy equivalent factor of 5,615 cubic feet of gas per 1 barrel of oil equivalent.

 

In our opinion, the information relating to estimated proved reserves of oil, condensate, and gas contained in this report has been prepared in accordance with Paragraphs 932-235-50-6, 932-235-50-7, and 932-235-50-9 of the Accounting Standards Update 932-235-50, Extractive Industries – Oil and Gas (Topic 932): Oil and Gas Reserve Estimation and Disclosures (January 2010) of the Financial Accounting Standards Board and Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X and Rules 302(b), 1201, and 1202(a) (3), (4), (8) of Regulation S–K of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

To the extent the above-enumerated rules, regulations, and statements require determinations of an accounting or legal nature, we, as engineers, are necessarily unable to express an opinion as to whether the above-described information is in accordance therewith or sufficient therefor.

 

In comparing the detailed net proved reserves estimates prepared by us and by Petrobras, we have found differences, both positive and negative, resulting in an aggregate difference of 4.7 percent when compared on the basis of net equivalent barrels. It is our opinion that the net proved reserves estimates prepared by Petrobras on the properties reviewed by us and referred to above, when compared on the basis of net equivalent barrels, in aggregate, do not differ materially from those prepared by us.

 

 

 

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DeGolyer and MacNaughton is an independent petroleum engineering consulting firm that has been providing petroleum consulting services throughout the world since 1936. DeGolyer and MacNaughton does not have any financial interest, including stock ownership, in Petrobras. Our fees were not contingent on the results of our audit. This letter report has been prepared at the request of Petrobras. DeGolyer and MacNaughton has used all assumptions, data, procedures, and methods that it considers necessary and appropriate to prepare this report.

 

 

 

Submitted,

/s/ DeGolyer and MacNaughton
DeGOLYER and MacNAUGHTON
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-716

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

 

 


 

 

 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

CERTIFICATE of QUALIFICATION

I, Michael J. Callahan, Petroleum Engineer with DeGolyer and MacNaughton, 5001 Spring Valley Road, Suite 800 East, Dallas, Texas, 75244 U.S.A., hereby certify:

 

1.    That I am a Vice President of DeGolyer and MacNaughton, which company did prepare the letter report addressed to Petrobras dated March 18, 2016, and that I, as Vice President, was responsible for the preparation of this letter report.

 

2.    That I attended the University of Missouri at Rolla, and that I graduated with a degree in Petroleum Engineering in the year 1978; that I am a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Texas; that I am a member of the International Society of Petroleum Engineers; and that I have in excess of 35 years of experience in the oil and gas reservoir studies and reserves evaluations.

 

 

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

 


 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

5001 Spring Valley Road

Suite 800 East

Dallas, Texas 75244

 

March 18, 2016

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A.

Av. República do Chile 330

9th Floor – Centro

CEP 20031-170

Rio de Janeiro – RJ-Brazil

Ladies and Gentlemen:

Pursuant to your request, we have conducted a reserves evaluation of the net proved crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGL), and natural gas reserves, as of December 31, 2015, of certain properties in Argentina in which Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) has represented that it owns an interest. This evaluation was completed on March 18, 2016. Petrobras has represented that these properties account for 100 percent on a net equivalent barrel basis of Petrobras’ net proved reserves in fields operated by Petrobras in Argentina as of December 31, 2015. The net proved reserves estimates have been prepared in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)‑(32) of Regulation S–X of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of the United States. This report was prepared in accordance with guidelines specified in Item 1202 (a)(8) of Regulation S-K and is to be used for inclusion in certain SEC filings by Petrobras.

 

Reserves estimates included herein are expressed as net reserves. Gross reserves are defined as the total estimated petroleum to be produced from these properties after December 31, 2015. Net reserves are defined as that portion of the gross reserves attributable to the interests owned by Petrobras after deducting all interests owned by others.

 

Estimates of oil, NGL, and natural gas reserves should be regarded only as estimates that may change as further production history and additional information become available. Not only are such reserves estimates based on that information which is currently available, but such estimates are also subject to the uncertainties inherent in the application of judgmental factors in interpreting such information.

 

 

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Data used in this evaluation were obtained from reviews with Petrobras personnel, from Petrobras files, from records on file with the appropriate regulatory agencies, and from public sources. In the preparation of this report we have relied, without independent verification, upon such information furnished by Petrobras with respect to property interests, production from such properties, current costs of operation and development, current prices for production, agreements relating to current and future operations and sale of production, and various other information and data that were accepted as represented. A field examination of the properties was not considered necessary for the purposes of this report.

Methodology and Procedures

Estimates of reserves were prepared by the use of appropriate geologic, petroleum engineering, and evaluation principles and techniques that are in accordance with practices generally recognized by the petroleum industry as presented in the publication of the Society of Petroleum Engineers entitled “Standards Pertaining to the Estimating and Auditing of Oil and Gas Reserves Information (Revision as of February 19, 2007).” The method or combination of methods used in the analysis of each reservoir was tempered by experience with similar reservoirs, stage of development, quality and completeness of basic data, and production history.

 

Based on the current stage of field development, production performance, the development plans provided by Petrobras, and the analyses of areas offsetting existing wells with test or production data, reserves were classified as proved.

 

When applicable, the volumetric method was used to estimate the original oil in place (OOIP) and the original gas in place (OGIP). Structure and isopach maps were constructed to estimate reservoir volume. Electrical logs, radioactivity logs, core analyses, and other available data were used to prepare these maps as well as to estimate representative values for porosity and water saturation. When adequate data were available and when circumstances justified, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate OOIP or OGIP.

 

Estimates of ultimate recovery were obtained after applying recovery factors to OOIP or OGIP. These recovery factors were based on consideration of the type of energy inherent in the reservoirs, analyses of the petroleum, the structural positions of the properties, and the production histories. When applicable, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate recovery factors. In such

 

 

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cases, an analysis of reservoir performance, including production rate, reservoir pressure, and gas-oil ratio behavior, was used in the estimation of reserves.

 

For depletion-type reservoirs or those whose performance disclosed a reliable decline in producing-rate trends or other diagnostic characteristics, reserves were estimated by the application of appropriate decline curves or other performance relationships. In the analyses of production-decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limits of economic production or to the limit of the production licenses as appropriate.

 

Natural gas volumes estimated herein are marketable gas at a temperature base of 60 degrees Fahrenheit (°F) and at a pressure base of 14.696 pounds per square inch absolute (psia). Marketable gas is defined as the total gas to be produced from the reservoirs after reduction for injection, flare, and shrinkage resulting from field separation and processing, but before reduction for fuel usage.

 

NGL volumes estimated herein include condensate, C5+, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), which is composed of propane and butane fractions. LPG reserves are converted from barrels to metric tons at 11.65 barrels per metric ton. LPG and C5+ reserves are the result of low-temperature plant processing. Condensate reserves estimated herein are those to be obtained by normal separator recovery.

 

Oil and NGL reserves estimated in this report are expressed in terms of 42 United States gallons per barrel. Oil reserves estimated herein are those to be recovered by normal field separation.

Definition of Reserves

Petroleum reserves included in this report are classified as proved. Only proved reserves have been evaluated for this report. Reserves classifications used in this report are in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X of the SEC. Reserves are judged to be economically producible in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions and assuming continuation of current regulatory practices using conventional production methods and equipment. In the analyses of production‑decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limit of economic rates of production under existing economic and operating conditions using prices and costs consistent with the effective date of this report, including consideration of

 

 

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changes in existing prices provided only by contractual arrangements but not including escalations based upon future conditions. The petroleum reserves are classified as follows:

 

Proved oil and gas reserves – Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible—from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and government regulations—prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the estimation. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.

 

(i) The area of the reservoir considered as proved includes:

(A) The area identified by drilling and limited by fluid contacts, if any, and (B) Adjacent undrilled portions of the reservoir that can, with reasonable certainty, be judged to be continuous with it and to contain economically producible oil or gas on the basis of available geoscience and engineering data.

 

(ii) In the absence of data on fluid contacts, proved quantities in a reservoir are limited by the lowest known hydrocarbons (LKH) as seen in a well penetration unless geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establishes a lower contact with reasonable certainty.

 

(iii) Where direct observation from well penetrations has defined a highest known oil (HKO) elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap, proved oil reserves may be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir only if geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establish the higher contact with reasonable certainty.

 

 

 

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(iv) Reserves which can be produced economically through application of improved recovery techniques (including, but not limited to, fluid injection) are included in the proved classification when:

(A) Successful testing by a pilot project in an area of the reservoir with properties no more favorable than in the reservoir as a whole, the operation of an installed program in the reservoir or an analogous reservoir, or other evidence using reliable technology establishes the reasonable certainty of the engineering analysis on which the project or program was based; and (B) The project has been approved for development by all necessary parties and entities, including governmental entities.

 

(v) Existing economic conditions include prices and costs at which economic producibility from a reservoir is to be determined. The price shall be the average price during the 12‑month period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon future conditions.

 

Developed oil and gas reserves – Developed oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that can be expected to be recovered:

(i) Through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the cost of the required equipment is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and

 

(ii) Through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure operational at the time of the reserves estimate if the extraction is by means not involving a well.

 

Undeveloped oil and gas reserves – Undeveloped oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that are expected to be recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major expenditure is required for recompletion.

 

 

 

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(i) Reserves on undrilled acreage shall be limited to those directly offsetting development spacing areas that are reasonably certain of production when drilled, unless evidence using reliable technology exists that establishes reasonable certainty of economic producibility at greater distances.

 

(ii) Undrilled locations can be classified as having undeveloped reserves only if a development plan has been adopted indicating that they are scheduled to be drilled within five years, unless the specific circumstances justify a longer time.

 

(iii) Under no circumstances shall estimates for undeveloped reserves be attributable to any acreage for which an application of fluid injection or other improved recovery technique is contemplated, unless such techniques have been proved effective by actual projects in the same reservoir or an analogous reservoir, as defined in [section 210.4–10 (a) Definitions], or by other evidence using reliable technology establishing reasonable certainty.

Primary Economic Assumptions

The following economic assumptions were used for estimating existing and future prices and costs:

Oil, Condensate, C5+, and LPG Prices

Petrobras has represented that the oil, condensate, C5+, and LPG prices were based on a reference price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period. Petrobras provided 12‑month average prices by property, each including differentials to the Medanito reference price of U.S.$76.00 per barrel. The volume-weighted average adjusted product prices attributable to estimated proved reserves were U.S.$73.13 per barrel for crude oil, condensate, and C5+, and U.S.$18.46 per barrel for LPG (U.S.$215.0 per metric ton). These prices were not escalated for inflation.

 

 

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Natural Gas Prices

Petrobras has represented that the natural gas prices are defined by contractual arrangements. The volume-weighted average adjusted product price attributable to estimated proved gas reserves was U.S.$5.06 per thousand cubic feet. These prices were not escalated for inflation.

Operating Expenses, Capital Costs, and Abandonment Costs

Operating expenses and capital costs, based on information provided by Petrobras, were used in estimating future costs required to operate the properties. In certain cases, future costs, either higher or lower than existing costs, may have been used because of anticipated changes in operating conditions. These costs were not escalated for inflation. Abandonment costs were provided by Petrobras.

 

While the oil and gas industry may be subject to regulatory changes from time to time that could affect an industry participant’s ability to recover its oil and gas reserves, we are not aware of any such governmental actions which would restrict the recovery of the December 31, 2015, estimated proved oil and gas reserves.

 

Our estimates of Petrobras’ net proved reserves attributable to the reviewed properties are based on the definition of proved reserves of the SEC and are as follows, expressed in millions of barrels (MMbbl), millions of cubic feet (MMcf), and millions of barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe):

 

 

 

 

Estimated by DeGolyer and MacNaughton

Net Proved Reserves

as of

December 31, 2015

 

 

Oil and

NGL

(MMbbl)

 

Natural

Gas

(MMcf)

 

Oil Equivalent

(MMboe)

Argentina

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Proved

 

41.176

 

648,025

 

149.180

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes:

1. Gas is converted to oil equivalent using an energy equivalent factor of 6,000 cubic feet of gas per 1 barrel of oil equivalent.

2. Of the 41.176 MMbbl of net proved oil and NGL reserves, 0.904 MMbbl are LPG.

3. Net reserves include the 77-percent consolidated interest owned by Petrobras Argentina S.A. and Petrolera Entre Lomas S.A. in the Entre Lomas, Bajada del Palo, and Aqua Amarga fields. This consolidated interest includes a 30.08-percent minority interest not owned by the company. Of the 149.180 MMboe of net proved reserves, 14.320 MMboe are owned by minority interests.

 
 

 

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In our opinion, the information relating to estimated proved reserves of oil, NGL, and gas contained in this report has been prepared in accordance with Paragraphs 932-235-50-6 through 932-235-50-9 of the Accounting Standards Update 932-235-50, Extractive Industries – Oil and Gas (Topic 932): Oil and Gas Reserve Estimation and Disclosures (January 2010) of the Financial Accounting Standards Board and Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X and Rules 302(b), 1201, and 1202(a) (3), (4), (8) of Regulation S–K of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

To the extent the above-enumerated rules, regulations, and statements require determinations of an accounting or legal nature, we, as engineers, are necessarily unable to express an opinion as to whether the above-described information is in accordance therewith or sufficient therefor.

 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton is an independent petroleum engineering consulting firm that has been providing petroleum consulting services throughout the world since 1936. DeGolyer and MacNaughton does not have any financial interest, including stock ownership, in Petrobras. Our fees were not contingent on the results of our evaluation. This letter report has been prepared at the request of Petrobras. DeGolyer and MacNaughton has used all assumptions, data, procedures, and methods that it considers necessary and appropriate to prepare this report.

 

 

Submitted,

/s/ DeGolyer and MacNaughton
DeGOLYER and MacNAUGHTON
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-716

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 


 

 

 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

CERTIFICATE of QUALIFICATION

 

 

I, Michael J. Callahan, Petroleum Engineer with DeGolyer and MacNaughton, 5001 Spring Valley Road, Suite 800 East, Dallas, Texas, 75244 U.S.A., hereby certify:

 

1.    That I am a Vice President of DeGolyer and MacNaughton, which company did prepare the letter report addressed to Petrobras dated March 18, 2016, and that I, as Vice President, was responsible for the preparation of this letter report.

 

2.    That I attended the University of Missouri at Rolla, and that I graduated with a degree in Petroleum Engineering in the year 1978; that I am a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Texas; that I am a member of the International Society of Petroleum Engineers; and that I have in excess of 35 years of experience in the oil and gas reservoir studies and reserves evaluations.

 

 

 

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

 


 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

5001 Spring Valley Road

Suite 800 East

Dallas, Texas 75244

 

March 18, 2016

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A.

Av. República do Chile 330

9th Floor – Centro

CEP 20031-170

Rio de Janeiro – RJ-Brazil

Ladies and Gentlemen:

Pursuant to your request, we have conducted a reserves audit of the net proved crude oil and condensate and natural gas reserves, as of December 31, 2015, of certain properties in which Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) has represented that it owns an interest. The properties are located in the United States Gulf of Mexico. This audit was completed on March 18, 2016. Petrobras has represented that these properties account for 100 percent on a net equivalent barrel basis of Petrobras’ net proved reserves in fields operated by Petrobras in the United States Gulf of Mexico as of December 31, 2015, and that the net proved reserves estimates have been prepared in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)‑(32) of Regulation S–X of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of the United States. We have reviewed information provided to us by Petrobras that it represents to be Petrobras’ estimates of the net reserves, as of December 31, 2015, for the same properties as those which we audited. This report was prepared in accordance with guidelines specified in Item 1202 (a)(8) of Regulation S-K and is to be used for inclusion in certain SEC filings by Petrobras.

 

Reserves estimates included herein are expressed as working interest and net reserves as represented by Petrobras. Gross reserves are defined as the total estimated petroleum to be produced from these properties after December 31, 2015. Working interest reserves are defined as that portion of gross reserves attributable to the interests of Petrobras after deducting all interests owned by others. Net reserves are defined as working interest reserves after deductions for royalties.

 

 

 

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Estimates of oil and condensate and natural gas reserves should be regarded only as estimates that may change as further production history and additional information become available. Not only are such reserves estimates based on that information which is currently available, but such estimates are also subject to the uncertainties inherent in the application of judgmental factors in interpreting such information.

 

Data used in this audit were obtained from reviews with Petrobras personnel, from Petrobras files, from records on file with the appropriate regulatory agencies, and from public sources. Additionally, this information includes data supplied by IHS Global Inc.; Copyright 2015 IHS Global Inc. In the preparation of this report we have relied, without independent verification, upon such information furnished by Petrobras with respect to property interests, production from such properties, current costs of operation and development, current prices for production, agreements relating to current and future operations and sale of production, and various other information and data that were accepted as represented. A field examination of the properties was not considered necessary for the purposes of this report.

Methodology and Procedures

Estimates of reserves were prepared by the use of appropriate geologic, petroleum engineering, and evaluation principles and techniques that are in accordance with practices generally recognized by the petroleum industry as presented in the publication of the Society of Petroleum Engineers entitled “Standards Pertaining to the Estimating and Auditing of Oil and Gas Reserves Information (Revision as of February 19, 2007).” The method or combination of methods used in the analysis of each reservoir was tempered by experience with similar reservoirs, stage of development, quality and completeness of basic data, and production history.

 

Based on the current stage of field development, production performance, the development plans provided by Petrobras, and the analyses of areas offsetting existing wells with test or production data, reserves were classified as proved.

 

When applicable, the volumetric method was used to estimate the original oil in place (OOIP) and the original gas in place (OGIP). Structure and isopach maps were constructed to estimate reservoir volume. Electrical logs, radioactivity logs, core analyses, and other available data were used to prepare these maps as well as

 

 

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to estimate representative values for porosity and water saturation. When adequate data were available and when circumstances justified, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate OOIP or OGIP.

 

Estimates of ultimate recovery were obtained after applying recovery factors to OOIP or OGIP. These recovery factors were based on consideration of the type of energy inherent in the reservoirs, analyses of the petroleum, the structural positions of the properties, and the production histories. When applicable, material balance and other engineering methods were used to estimate recovery factors. In such cases, an analysis of reservoir performance, including production rate, reservoir pressure, and gas-oil ratio behavior, was used in the estimation of reserves.

 

For depletion-type reservoirs or those whose performance disclosed a reliable decline in producing-rate trends or other diagnostic characteristics, reserves were estimated by the application of appropriate decline curves or other performance relationships. In the analyses of production‑decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limits of economic production or to the limit of the production licenses as appropriate.

 

Natural gas quantities estimated herein are marketable gas. Marketable gas is defined as the total gas to be produced from the reservoirs after reduction for injection, flare, and shrinkage resulting from field separation and processing. Gas reserves are expressed at a temperature base of 60 degrees Fahrenheit (°F) and at the legal pressure base of the state or area in which the interest is located. Oil and condensate reserves estimated herein are those to be recovered by conventional lease separation. Oil and condensate reserves estimates included in this report are expressed in terms of 42 United States gallons per barrel.

Definition of Reserves

Petroleum reserves estimated by Petrobras included in this report are classified as proved. Only proved reserves have been audited for this report. Reserves classifications used by Petrobras in this report are in accordance with the reserves definitions of Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X of the SEC. Reserves are judged to be economically producible in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions and assuming continuation of current regulatory practices using conventional production methods and equipment. In the analyses of production-decline curves, reserves were estimated only to the limit of economic rates of production under existing economic and operating

 

 

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conditions using prices and costs consistent with the effective date of this report, including consideration of changes in existing prices provided only by contractual arrangements but not including escalations based upon future conditions. The petroleum reserves are classified as follows:

 

Proved oil and gas reserves – Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible—from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and government regulations—prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the estimation. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.

 

(i) The area of the reservoir considered as proved includes:

(A) The area identified by drilling and limited by fluid contacts, if any, and (B) Adjacent undrilled portions of the reservoir that can, with reasonable certainty, be judged to be continuous with it and to contain economically producible oil or gas on the basis of available geoscience and engineering data.

 

(ii) In the absence of data on fluid contacts, proved quantities in a reservoir are limited by the lowest known hydrocarbons (LKH) as seen in a well penetration unless geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establishes a lower contact with reasonable certainty.

 

(iii) Where direct observation from well penetrations has defined a highest known oil (HKO) elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap, proved oil reserves may be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir only if geoscience, engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establish the higher contact with reasonable certainty.

 

 

 

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(iv) Reserves which can be produced economically through application of improved recovery techniques (including, but not limited to, fluid injection) are included in the proved classification when:

(A) Successful testing by a pilot project in an area of the reservoir with properties no more favorable than in the reservoir as a whole, the operation of an installed program in the reservoir or an analogous reservoir, or other evidence using reliable technology establishes the reasonable certainty of the engineering analysis on which the project or program was based; and (B) The project has been approved for development by all necessary parties and entities, including governmental entities.

 

(v) Existing economic conditions include prices and costs at which economic producibility from a reservoir is to be determined. The price shall be the average price during the 12‑month period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon future conditions.

 

Developed oil and gas reserves – Developed oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that can be expected to be recovered:

 

(i) Through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the cost of the required equipment is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and

 

(ii) Through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure operational at the time of the reserves estimate if the extraction is by means not involving a well.

 

Undeveloped oil and gas reserves – Undeveloped oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that are expected to be recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major expenditure is required for recompletion.

 

 

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(i) Reserves on undrilled acreage shall be limited to those directly offsetting development spacing areas that are reasonably certain of production when drilled, unless evidence using reliable technology exists that establishes reasonable certainty of economic producibility at greater distances.

 

(ii) Undrilled locations can be classified as having undeveloped reserves only if a development plan has been adopted indicating that they are scheduled to be drilled within five years, unless the specific circumstances justify a longer time.

 

(iii) Under no circumstances shall estimates for undeveloped reserves be attributable to any acreage for which an application of fluid injection or other improved recovery technique is contemplated, unless such techniques have been proved effective by actual projects in the same reservoir or an analogous reservoir, as defined in [section 210.4–10 (a) Definitions], or by other evidence using reliable technology establishing reasonable certainty.

Primary Economic Assumptions

The following economic assumptions were used for estimating existing and future prices and costs:

Oil and Condensate Prices

Petrobras has represented that the oil and condensate prices were based on a reference price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements. Petrobras provided differentials by field to a 12‑month average West Texas Intermediate reference price of U.S.$50.13 per barrel for the Cottonwood field and a Maya reference price of $45.57 per barrel for the Cascade and Chinook fields and the prices were held constant thereafter. The volume-weighted average adjusted product price attributable to estimated proved reserves audited herein was

 

 

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U.S.$48.57 per barrel. These prices were not escalated for inflation.

Natural Gas Prices

Petrobras has represented that the natural gas prices were based on a reference price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements. The gas prices were calculated for each property using differentials to the Henry Hub reference price of U.S.$2.59 million British thermal units (MMBtu). The volume‑weighted average adjusted product price attributable to estimated proved reserves was U.S.$3.52 per thousand cubic feet. These prices were not escalated for inflation.

Operating Expenses, Capital Costs, and Abandonment Costs

Operating expenses and capital costs, based on information provided by Petrobras, were used in estimating future costs required to operate the properties. In certain cases, future costs, either higher or lower than existing costs, may have been used because of anticipated changes in operating conditions. These costs were not escalated for inflation. Abandonment costs were provided by Petrobras.

 

While the oil and gas industry may be subject to regulatory changes from time to time that could affect an industry participant’s ability to recover its oil and gas reserves, we are not aware of any such governmental actions which would restrict the recovery of the December 31, 2015, estimated oil and gas reserves.

 

Petrobras has represented that its estimated working interest and net proved reserves attributable to the reviewed properties are based on the definition of proved reserves of the SEC. Petrobras has represented that its estimates of the working interest and net proved reserves attributable to these properties, which represent 100 percent of Petrobras’ United States Gulf of Mexico operated reserves on a net equivalent basis, are as follows, expressed in thousands of barrels (Mbbl), millions of cubic feet (MMcf), and thousands of barrels of oil equivalent (Mboe):

 

 
 

 

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Estimated by Petrobras

Proved Reserves as of

December 31, 2015

 

 

Oil and Condensate

(Mbbl)

 

Natural Gas

(MMcf)

 

Oil

Equivalent

(Mboe)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reviewed by DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States Gulf of Mexico

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Working Interest Reserves (before royalties)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Proved

 

38,002

 

8,103

 

39,352

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Reserves (working interest reserves after royalties)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Proved

 

36,317

 

7,584

 

37,581

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Gas is converted to oil equivalent using an energy equivalent factor of 6,000 cubic feet of gas per 1 barrel of oil equivalent.

 

In our opinion, the information relating to estimated proved reserves of oil and condensate and gas contained in this report has been prepared in accordance with Paragraphs 932-235-50-6, 932-235-50-7, and 932-235-50-9 of the Accounting Standards Update 932-235-50, Extractive Industries – Oil and Gas (Topic 932): Oil and Gas Reserve Estimation and Disclosures (January 2010) of the Financial Accounting Standards Board and Rules 4–10(a) (1)–(32) of Regulation S–X and Rules 302(b), 1201, and 1202(a) (3), (4), (8) of Regulation S–K of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

To the extent the above-enumerated rules, regulations, and statements require determinations of an accounting or legal nature, we, as engineers, are necessarily unable to express an opinion as to whether the above-described information is in accordance therewith or sufficient therefor.

 

In comparing the detailed net proved reserves estimates prepared by us and by Petrobras, we have found differences, both positive and negative, resulting in an aggregate difference of 2.3 percent when compared on the basis of net equivalent barrels. It is our opinion that the net proved reserves estimates prepared by Petrobras on the properties reviewed by us and referred to above, when compared on the basis of net equivalent barrels, in aggregate, do not differ materially from those prepared by us.

 

 

 

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DeGolyer and MacNaughton is an independent petroleum engineering consulting firm that has been providing petroleum consulting services throughout the world since 1936. DeGolyer and MacNaughton does not have any financial interest, including stock ownership, in Petrobras. Our fees were not contingent on the results of our audit. This letter report has been prepared at the request of Petrobras. DeGolyer and MacNaughton has used all assumptions, data, procedures, and methods that it considers necessary and appropriate to prepare this report.

 

 

Submitted,

/s/ DeGolyer and MacNaughton
DeGOLYER and MacNAUGHTON
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-716

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

 


 

 

 

DeGolyer and MacNaughton

CERTIFICATE of QUALIFICATION

I, Michael J. Callahan, Petroleum Engineer with DeGolyer and MacNaughton, 5001 Spring Valley Road, Suite 800 East, Dallas, Texas, 75244 U.S.A., hereby certify:

 

1.    That I am a Vice President of DeGolyer and MacNaughton, which company did prepare the letter report addressed to Petrobras dated March 18, 2016, and that I, as Vice President, was responsible for the preparation of this letter report.

 

2.    That I attended the University of Missouri at Rolla, and that I graduated with a degree in Petroleum Engineering in the year 1978; that I am a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Texas; that I am a member of the International Society of Petroleum Engineers; and that I have in excess of 35 years of experience in the oil and gas reservoir studies and reserves evaluations.

 

 

 

[SEAL]

/s/ Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Michael J. Callahan, P.E.

Vice President

DeGolyer and MacNaughton