10-Q 1 k26488e10vq.htm QUARTERLY REPORT FOR THE PERIOD ENDED MARCH 31, 2008 e10vq
Table of Contents

 
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
Form 10-Q
 
 
     
þ
  QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
    For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2008
o
  TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
    For the transition period from          to          
 
 
Commission File Number: 000-32057
 
American Physicians Capital, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 
 
     
Michigan
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  38-3543910
(IRS employer
identification number)
 
 
1301 North Hagadorn Road, East Lansing, Michigan 48823
(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)
 
 
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(517) 351-1150
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.  Yes þ     No o
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
 
             
Large accelerated filer o
  Accelerated filer þ   Non-accelerated filer o   Smaller reporting company o
               (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act)  Yes o     No þ
 
The number of shares outstanding of the registrant’s common stock, no par value per share, as of April 30, 2008 was 9,731,252.
 


 

 
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 
                 
  Item 1 .   Financial Statements        
        Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets     3  
        Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income     4  
        Condensed Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity     5  
        Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income     6  
        Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows     7  
        Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements     8  
  Item 2 .   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations     13  
  Item 3 .   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk     24  
  Item 4 .   Controls and Procedures     26  
 
  Item 1A .   Risk Factors     27  
  Item 2 .   Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds     27  
  Item 4 .   Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders     27  
  Item 6 .   Exhibits     28  
    29  
    30  
 Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
 Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)
 Certification of Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350


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PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
 
ITEM 1.   FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
 
AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
                 
    March 31,
    December 31,
 
    2008     2007  
    (Unaudited)        
    (In thousands, except share data)  
 
ASSETS
Investments:
               
Fixed-income securities
               
Available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost 2008 — $249,080 and 2007 — $256,436)
  $ 257,469     $ 262,301  
Held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (fair value 2008 — $485,168 and 2007 — $496,611)
    478,502       497,662  
Other investments
    11,334       11,487  
                 
Total investments
    747,305       771,450  
Cash and cash equivalents
    102,965       87,498  
Premiums receivable
    33,322       35,542  
                 
Reinsurance recoverable
    104,791       106,961  
Deferred federal income taxes
    20,557       22,439  
Federal income tax recoverable
          1,076  
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation
    14,830       13,789  
Other assets
    20,048       18,707  
                 
Total assets
  $ 1,043,818     $ 1,057,462  
                 
 
LIABILITIES
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 661,384     $ 664,117  
Unearned premiums
    60,920       60,080  
Long-term debt
    30,928       30,928  
Federal income taxes payable
    2,906        
Other liabilities
    29,438       38,780  
                 
Total liabilities
    785,576       793,905  
Commitments & Contingencies
               
Shareholders’ Equity
               
Common stock, no par value, 50,000,000 shares authorized: 9,733,252 and 10,127,740 shares outstanding at March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively
           
Additional paid-in-capital
           
Retained earnings
    250,776       257,502  
Accumulated other comprehensive income:
               
Net unrealized appreciation on investments, net of deferred federal income taxes
    7,466       6,055  
                 
Total shareholders’ equity
    258,242       263,557  
                 
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 1,043,818     $ 1,057,462  
                 
 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.


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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
 
                 
    Three Months Ended
 
    March 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (Unaudited)  
    (In thousands, except per share data)  
 
Net premiums written
  $ 32,175     $ 34,894  
Change in net unearned premiums
    (528 )     138  
                 
Net premiums earned
    31,647       35,032  
Investment income
    9,957       11,177  
Net realized losses
    (782 )     (2 )
Other income
    189       213  
                 
Total revenues and other income
    41,011       46,420  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    16,198       22,362  
Underwriting expenses
    7,016       7,361  
Investment expenses
    262       187  
Interest expense
    688       773  
General and administrative expenses
    267       332  
Other expenses
          3  
                 
Total expenses
    24,431       31,018  
                 
Income before federal income taxes
    16,580       15,402  
Federal income tax expense
    5,206       4,897  
                 
Net income
  $ 11,374     $ 10,505  
                 
Net income — per common share
               
Basic
  $ 1.15     $ 0.92  
Diluted
  $ 1.13     $ 0.90  
 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.


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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity
 
                                         
                      Accumulated
       
          Additional
          Other
       
    Shares
    Paid-in
    Retained
    Comprehensive
       
    Outstanding     Capital     Earnings     Income     Total  
    (Unaudited)  
    (In thousands, except share data)  
 
Balance, December 31, 2007
    10,127,740     $     $ 257,502     $ 6,055     $ 263,557  
Comprehensive income:
                                       
Net income
                    11,374               11,374  
Other comprehensive income
                            1,411       1,411  
                                         
Total comprehensive income, net of taxes
                                    12,785  
Options exercised
    10,960       168                       168  
Shares tendered/netted in connection with option exercise
    (1,448 )     (63 )                     (63 )
Cash dividends to shareholders, $0.10 per share
                    (980 )             (980 )
Excess tax benefits from share-based awards
            101                       101  
Fair value compensation of share-based awards
            19                       19  
Purchase and retirement of common stock
    (404,000 )     (225 )     (17,120 )             (17,345 )
                                         
Balance, March 31, 2008
    9,733,252     $     $ 250,776     $ 7,466     $ 258,242  
                                         
 
                                         
                      Accumulated
       
          Additional
          Other
       
    Shares
    Paid-in
    Retained
    Comprehensive
       
    Outstanding     Capital     Earnings     Income     Total  
    (Unaudited)  
    (In thousands, except share data)  
 
Balance, December 31, 2006
    11,556,575     $ 41,106     $ 222,935     $ 4,769     $ 268,810  
Comprehensive income:
                                       
Net income
                    10,505               10,505  
Other comprehensive income
                            38       38  
                                         
Total comprehensive income, net of taxes
                                    10,543  
Options exercised
    15,050       143                       143  
Shares tendered/netted in connection with option exercise
    (3,201 )     (122 )                     (122 )
Excess tax benefits from share-based awards
            305                       305  
Fair value compensation of share-based awards
            66                       66  
Purchase and retirement of common stock
    (372,400 )     (13,898 )                     (13,898 )
                                         
Balance, March 31, 2007
    11,196,024     $ 27,600     $ 233,440     $ 4,807     $ 265,847  
                                         
 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.


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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
 
                 
    Three Months Ended
 
    March 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (Unaudited)  
    (In thousands)  
 
Net income
  $ 11,374     $ 10,505  
Other comprehensive income (loss):
               
Unrealized appreciation on available-for-sale investment securities arising during the period
    1,514       300  
Amortization of net unrealized appreciation on held-to-maturity investment securities since the date of transfer from the available-for-sale category
    (202 )     (242 )
Adjustment for realized losses on investment securities included in net income
    858        
                 
Other comprehensive income before tax
    2,170       58  
Deferred federal income tax expense
    759       20  
                 
Other comprehensive income
    1,411       38  
                 
Comprehensive income
  $ 12,785     $ 10,543  
                 
 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.


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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
 
                 
    Three Months Ended
 
    March 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (Unaudited)  
    (In thousands)  
 
Cash flows from (for) operating activities
               
Net income
  $ 11,374     $ 10,505  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash from operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    912       681  
Net realized losses
    782       2  
Deferred federal income taxes
    1,123       2,066  
Current federal income taxes
    4,083       2,746  
Excess tax benefits from share-based awards
    (101 )     (305 )
Share-based compensation
    19       66  
Income on equity method investees
          1  
Changes in:
               
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses
    (2,733 )     (16 )
Unearned premiums
    840       (1,006 )
Other assets and liabilities
    (3,491 )     (1,448 )
                 
Net cash from operating activities
    12,808       13,292  
Cash flows from (for) investing activities
               
Purchases
               
Available-for-sale — fixed income
    (11,848 )      
Held-to-maturity — fixed income
    (46,550 )      
Property and equipment
    (1,286 )     (268 )
Proceeds from sales and maturities
               
Available-for-sale — fixed income
    18,034       8,039  
Held-to-maturity — fixed income
    65,231       3,408  
Other investments
          125  
Property and equipment
          4  
Pending securities transactions
          32  
                 
Net cash from investing activities
    23,581       11,340  
Cash flows from (for) financing activities
               
Common stock repurchased
    (17,345 )     (13,898 )
Excess tax benefits from share-based awards
    101       305  
Change in payable for shares repurchased
    (2,803 )     (318 )
Cash dividends paid
    (980 )      
Proceeds from stock options exercised
    105       21  
                 
Net cash for financing activities
    (20,922 )     (13,890 )
                 
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
    15,467       10,742  
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
    87,498       108,227  
                 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
  $ 102,965     $ 118,969  
                 
 
The accompanying notes are an integral part of the condensed consolidated financial statements.


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AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
 
 
1.   Significant Accounting Policies
 
Basis of Consolidation and Reporting
 
The accompanying unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements include the accounts of American Physicians Capital, Inc. (“APCapital”) and its wholly owned subsidiaries, Insurance Corporation of America (“ICA”), APSpecialty Insurance Corporation (“APS”), Alpha Advisors, Inc., and American Physicians Assurance Corporation (“American Physicians”). APCapital and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to collectively herein as the Company. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions are eliminated in consolidation.
 
The accompanying unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements of the Company have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) and with the instructions for Form 10-Q and Rule 10-01 of Regulation S-X as they apply to interim financial information. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. The December 31, 2007 Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Company presented in this Report on Form 10-Q was derived from audited financial statements.
 
In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The operating results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2008 is not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the year ending December 31, 2008. The accompanying unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the annual consolidated financial statements and notes contained in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
 
Reclassifications
 
Cash flows pertaining to current federal income tax payments in 2007, net of the benefit related to share-based payment awards, have been reclassified within the operating activities section of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows to conform with the current year presentation.
 
Use of Estimates
 
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.
 
The most significant estimates that are susceptible to significant change in the near-term relate to the determination of the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, the fair value of investments, income taxes, reinsurance, the reserve for extended reporting period claims and deferred policy acquisition costs. Although considerable judgment is inherent in these estimates, management believes that the current estimates are reasonable in all material respects. The estimates are reviewed regularly and adjusted as necessary. Adjustments related to changes in estimates are reflected in the Company’s results of operations, or other comprehensive income, in the period in which those estimates changed.
 
Nature of Business
 
The Company is principally engaged in the business of providing medical professional liability insurance to physicians and other health care providers, with an emphasis on markets in the Midwest.
 
2.   Effects of New Accounting Pronouncements
 
Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 157, Fair Value Measurements, which was issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) in September 2006, defines fair value, establishes a


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American Physicians Capital, Inc. and Subsidiaries
 
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements — (Continued)
 
framework for measuring fair value and expands disclosures about fair value measurements. SFAS No. 157 applies to other accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value measurements, the FASB having previously concluded in those accounting pronouncements that fair value is the relevant measurement attribute. The Statement does not require any new fair value measurements and was initially effective for the Company beginning January 1, 2008. In February 2008, the FASB approved the issuance of FASB Staff Position (“FSP”) FAS No. 157-2. FSP FAS No. 157-2 defers the effective date of SFAS No. 157 until January 1, 2009 for nonfinancial assets and nonfinancial liabilities, except those items recognized or disclosed at fair value on an annual or more frequently recurring basis. The adoption of SFAS No. 157 is not expected to have a material effect on the Company’s consolidated results of operations, financial position or liquidity, based on nonfinancial assets and liabilities reported at March 31, 2008. However, the adoption of SFAS No. 157, as it pertains to financial assets, on January 1, 2008, has required the Company to make additional disclosures concerning fair values that can be found in Note 4.
 
In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141R, Business Combinations, a replacement of SFAS No. 141, Business Combinations. SFAS No. 141R provides revised guidance on how an acquirer recognizes and measures in its financial statements, the identifiable assets acquired, the liabilities assumed, and any non-controlling interest in the acquiree. In addition, it provides revised guidance on the recognition and measurement of goodwill acquired in the business combination. SFAS No. 141R also provides guidance specific to the recognition, classification, and measurement of assets and liabilities related to insurance and reinsurance contracts acquired in a business combination. SFAS No. 141R applies to business combinations for acquisitions occurring on or after January 1, 2009. The Company does not expect the provisions of SFAS No. 141R to have a material effect on its consolidated results of operations, financial position or liquidity unless a business combination transaction is consummated after January 1, 2009.
 
In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 160, Non-controlling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements — an amendment of Accounting Research Bulletin No. 51. SFAS No. 160 amends Accounting Research Bulletin No. 51 to establish accounting and reporting standards for the non-controlling interest in a subsidiary and for the deconsolidation of a subsidiary. In addition, it clarifies that a non-controlling interest in a subsidiary is an ownership interest in the consolidated entity that should be reported as a component of equity in the consolidated financial statements. SFAS No. 160 is effective on a prospective basis beginning January 1, 2009, except for the presentation and disclosure requirements which are applied on a retrospective basis for all periods presented. The Company does not expect the provisions of SFAS No. 160 to have a material effect on its consolidated results of operations, financial position or liquidity.
 
SFAS No. 161, Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities — an amendment of FASB Statement No. 133, was issued by the FASB in March 2008. SFAS No. 161 does not change the accounting for derivative instruments and hedging activities, but rather requires enhanced disclosures about (a) how and why an entity uses derivative instruments, (b) how derivative instruments and related hedged items are accounted for under SFAS No. 133 and its related interpretations, and (c) how derivative instruments and related hedged items affect an entity’s financial position, financial performance, and cash flows. SFAS No. 161 is effective for financial statements issued after November 15, 2008. The adoption of SFAS No. 161 is not expected to have a material effect on the Company’s disclosures, as the Company does not currently own any derivative financial instruments or participate in any hedging activities.


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American Physicians Capital, Inc. and Subsidiaries
 
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements — (Continued)
 
3.   Income Per Share
 
The following table sets forth the details regarding the computation of basic and diluted net income per common share for each period presented:
 
                 
    Three Months Ended March 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (In thousands, except per share data)  
Numerator for basic and diluted income per common share:
               
Net income
  $ 11,374     $ 10,505  
                 
Denominator:
               
Denominator for basic income per common share — weighted average shares outstanding
    9,916       11,435  
Effect of dilutive stock options and awards
    194       213  
                 
Denominator for diluted income per common share — adjusted weighted average shares outstanding
    10,110       11,648  
                 
Net income — basic
  $ 1.15     $ 0.92  
Net income — diluted
  $ 1.13     $ 0.90  
 
In accordance with SFAS No. 128, “Earnings per Share,” the diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding includes an incremental adjustment for the assumed exercise of dilutive stock options and non-vested share awards. Stock options are considered dilutive when the average stock price during the period exceeds the exercise price and the assumed conversion of the options, using the treasury stock method as required by SFAS No. 128, produces an increased number of shares. Stock options with an exercise price that is higher than the average stock price during the period are excluded from the computation as their impact would be anti-dilutive. During the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, there were no stock options that were considered to be anti-dilutive.
 
4.   Fair Value Measurements
 
As discussed in Note 2, effective January 1, 2008, the Company implemented SFAS No. 157 relating to its financial assets and liabilities. SFAS No. 157 establishes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the use of inputs used in valuation methodologies into the following three levels:
 
  •  Level 1: Quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical assets or liabilities in active markets that the entity has the ability to access as of the measurement date.
 
  •  Level 2: Significant observable inputs other than Level 1 prices such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be derived from or corroborated by observable market data by correlation or other means.
 
  •  Level 3: Significant unobservable inputs that reflect a reporting entity’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability.


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American Physicians Capital, Inc. and Subsidiaries
 
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements — (Continued)
 
 
The following is a description of the Company’s valuation methodologies used to measure and disclose the fair values of its financial assets and liabilities on a recurring or nonrecurring basis:
 
Valuation of Investments
 
Fair values for the Company’s investment securities are obtained from a variety of independent pricing sources. Prices obtained from the various sources are then subjected to a series of tolerance and validation checks. If securities are traded in active markets, quoted prices are used to measure fair value (Level 1). If quoted prices are not available, prices are obtained from various independent pricing vendors based on pricing models that consider a variety of observable inputs (Level 2). Benchmark yields, prices for similar securities in active markets and quoted bid or ask prices are just a few of the observable inputs utilized. Prices determined by the model are then compared with prices provided by other vendors and against prior prices to ensure that deviations are within tolerable limits. If none of the pricing vendors are able to provide a current price for a security, a fair value must be developed using alternative sources based on a variety of less objective assumptions and inputs (Level 3).
 
Investments Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis
 
Available-for-sale fixed-income securities — are recorded at fair value on a recurring basis. With the exception of U.S. Treasury securities, very few fixed-income securities are actively traded. Most fixed-income securities, such as government or agency mortgage-backed securities, tax-exempt municipal or state securities and corporate securities, are priced using the vendor’s pricing models and fall within Level 2 of the hierarchy. The Company has a small number of private placement fixed-income securities that may be valued using Level 2 or Level 3 inputs at a given reporting date depending on the timing and availability of observable input data from which pricing vendors can formulate a price based on their models.
 
Available-for-sale equity securities — are recorded at fair value on a recurring basis. Our available-for-sale equity security portfolio consists of publicly traded common stocks. As such quoted market prices in active markets are available for these investments, and they are therefore included in the amounts disclosed in Level 1.
 
Our financial assets with changes in fair value measured on a recurring basis at March 31, 2008 were as follows:
 
                                 
    Total     Level 1     Level 2     Level 3  
    (In thousands)  
 
Available-for-sale investments:
                               
Fixed-income securites
  $ 257,469     $     $ 250,405     $ 7,064  
Equity securities(1)
    6,363       6,363              
                                 
Total
  $ 263,832     $ 6,363     $ 250,405     $ 7,064  
                                 
 
 
(1) Included in other investments on the accompanying Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets.
 
During the three months ended March 31, 2008, the Company recorded a pre-tax charge of $858,000 related to certain securities whose decline in market value was considered to be other than temporary. All other declines in the fair value of investment securities were deemed to be interest rate related and temporary in nature based upon the Company’s ability and intent to hold any such securities for a sufficient period of time to enable the recovery of their fair value.
 
The Company had no financial liabilities that it measured at fair value at March 31, 2008.


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American Physicians Capital, Inc. and Subsidiaries
 
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements — (Continued)
 
The changes in the balances of Level 3 financial assets for the three months ended March 31, 2008 were as follows:
 
         
    Available-for-Sale
 
    Fixed-Income
 
    Securities  
    (In thousands)  
 
Balance at January 1, 2008
  $ 6,911  
(Amortization)/Accretion of (premium)/discount(1)
     
Net unrealized appreciation included in other comprehensive income
    153  
         
Balance at March 31, 2008
  $ 7,064  
         
 
 
(1) Included in investment income in the accompanying Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income.
 
Investment Measured at Fair Value on a Nonrecurring Basis
 
Held-to-maturity fixed-income securities — are recorded at amortized cost. However, the fair value of held-to-maturity securities is measured periodically, following the processes and procedures above, for purposes of evaluating whether any securities are other than temporarily impaired, as well as for purposes of disclosing, at least annually, the unrecognized holding gains and losses associated with the held-to-maturity investment security portfolio. Any other than temporarily impaired securities would be reported at the fair value used to measure the impairment in a table of nonrecurring assets and liabilities measured at fair value. At March 31, 2008, the Company did not have any held-to-maturity fixed-income securities that were considered to be other than temporarily impaired. Accordingly, there are no disclosures concerning assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis.
 
Other Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Nonrecurring Basis
 
Other non-financial assets that are measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis for the purposes of determining impairment include such long-lived assets as property and equipment and investment real estate. The Company’s non-financial liabilities measured at fair value subsequent to initial recognition are limited to those liabilities associated with certain exit costs initiated in previous periods. Due to the nature of these assets and liabilities, inputs used to develop the fair value measurements will generally be based on unobservable inputs and therefore most of these assets and liabilities would be classified as Level 3. However, recent purchase and/or sales activity with regard to real estate investments adjoining the property owned by the Company may qualify such investments for Level 2 classification. The Company will apply the fair value measurement and disclosure provisions of SFAS No. 157 effective January 1, 2009 to these non-financial assets measured on a nonrecurring basis.


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Item 2.   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
 
The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and the Notes thereto included elsewhere in this report and our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, particularly “Item 7 — Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations”. References to “we,” “our” and “us” are references to the Company.
 
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations contains certain forward-looking statements related to our anticipated future financial condition and operating results and our current business plans. When we use words such as “will,” “should,” “likely,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate” or similar expressions, we are making forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements represent our outlook only as of the date of this report.
 
We claim the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 for all of our forward-looking statements. While we believe that our forward-looking statements are reasonable, you should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. Because these forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions that are subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control or are subject to change, actual results could be materially different. Factors that might cause such a difference include, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties discussed from time to time in this report and our other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including those listed in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K under “Item 1A — Risk Factors,” and the following:
 
  •  Increased competition could adversely affect our ability to sell our products at premium rates we deem adequate, which may result in a decrease in premium volume.
 
  •  Our reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are based on estimates that may prove to be inadequate to cover our losses.
 
  •  An interruption or change in current marketing and agency relationships could reduce the amount of premium we are able to write.
 
  •  If we are unable to obtain or collect on ceded reinsurance, our results of operations and financial condition may be adversely affected.
 
  •  Our geographic concentration in certain Midwestern states and New Mexico ties our performance to the business, economic, regulatory and legislative conditions in those states.
 
  •  A downgrade in the A.M. Best Company rating of our primary insurance subsidiary could reduce the amount of business we are able to write.
 
  •  Changes in interest rates could adversely impact our results of operation, cash flows and financial condition.
 
  •  The unpredictability of court decisions could have a material impact on our operations.
 
  •  Our business could be adversely affected by the loss of one or more key employees.
 
  •  The insurance industry is subject to regulatory oversight that may impact the manner in which we operate our business, our ability to obtain future premium rate increases, the type and amount of our investments, the levels of capital and surplus deemed adequate to protect policyholder interests, or the ability of our insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends to the holding company.
 
  •  Our status as an insurance holding company with no direct operations could adversely affect our ability to meet our debt obligations and fund future share repurchases.
 
  •  Legislative or judicial changes in the tort system may have adverse or unintended consequences that could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
 
  •  Applicable law and various provisions in our articles and bylaws may prevent and discourage unsolicited attempts to acquire APCapital that you may believe are in your best interests or that might result in a substantial profit to you.


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Other factors not currently anticipated by management may also materially and adversely affect our financial position and results of operations. We do not undertake, and expressly disclaim, any obligation to update or alter our statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
 
Overview of the Company’s Operations
 
We are an insurance holding company whose financial performance is heavily dependent upon the results of operations of our insurance subsidiaries. Our insurance subsidiaries are property and casualty insurers that write almost exclusively medical professional liability insurance for physicians and other healthcare professionals, principally in the Midwest and New Mexico. As a property and casualty insurer, our profitability is primarily driven by our underwriting results, which are measured by subtracting incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses from net premiums earned. While our underwriting gain (loss) is a key performance indicator of our operations, it is not uncommon for a property and casualty insurer to generate an underwriting loss yet earn a profit overall, because of the availability of investment income to offset the underwriting loss.
 
An insurance company earns investment income on what is commonly referred to as the “float.” The float is money that we hold, in the form of investments, from premiums that we have collected. While a substantial portion of the premiums we collect will ultimately be used to make claim payments and to pay for claims adjustment expenses, the period that we hold the float prior to paying losses can extend over several years, especially with a long-tailed line of business such as medical professional liability. The key factors that determine the amount of investment income we are able to generate are the rate of return, or yield, on invested assets and the length of time we are able to hold the float. We focus on the after-tax yield of our investments, as significant tax savings can be realized on bonds that pay interest that is exempt from federal income taxes.
 
For further information regarding the operations of our medical professional liability insurance business see “Item 1. Business — Medical Professional Liability Operations” of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K.
 
Critical Accounting Policies
 
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP, requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the accompanying unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto. These estimates and assumptions are evaluated on an on-going basis based on historical developments, market conditions, industry trends and other information we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results will conform to our estimates and assumptions, or that reported results of operations will not be materially adversely affected by the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time. Adjustments related to changes in estimates are reflected in our results of operations in the period in which those estimates changed.
 
Our “critical” accounting policies are those policies that we believe to be most sensitive to estimates and judgments. These policies are more fully described in “Item 7 — Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, Significant Accounting Policies” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, and in Note 1 to our Consolidated Financial Statements contained in that report. There have been no material changes to these policies since the most recent year end.
 
Description of Ratios and Other Metrics Analyzed
 
We measure our performance using several different ratios and other key metrics. These ratios and other metrics are calculated on a GAAP basis unless otherwise indicated and include:
 
Underwriting Gain or Loss:  This metric measures the overall profitability of our insurance underwriting operations. It is the gain or loss that remains after deducting net loss and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses incurred from net premiums earned. We use this measure to evaluate the underwriting performance of our insurance operations in relation to peer companies.
 
Loss Ratio:  This ratio compares our losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred, net of reinsurance, to our net premiums earned, and indicates how much we expect to pay policyholders for claims and related settlement expenses compared to the amount of premiums we earn. The calendar year loss ratio uses all losses


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and loss adjustment expenses incurred in the current calendar year (i.e., related to all accident years). The accident year loss ratio, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, uses only those loss and loss adjustment expenses that relate to the current accident year (i.e., excludes the effect of development on prior year loss reserves). We believe the accident year loss ratio is useful in evaluating our current underwriting performance, as it focuses on the relationship between current premiums earned and losses incurred related to the current year. Our method of calculating accident year loss ratios may differ from the method used by other companies, and therefore, comparability may be limited. In the case of each loss ratio, accident year or calendar year, the lower the percentage, the more profitable our insurance business is, all other things being equal.
 
Underwriting Expense Ratio:  This ratio compares our expenses to obtain new business and renew existing business, plus normal operating expenses, to our net premiums earned. The ratio is used to measure how efficient we are at obtaining business and managing our underwriting operations. The lower the percentage, the more efficient we are, all else being equal. Sometimes, however, a higher underwriting expense ratio can result in better business as more rigorous risk management and underwriting procedures may result in the non-renewal of higher risk accounts, which can in turn improve our loss ratio, and overall profitability.
 
Combined Ratio:  This ratio equals the sum of our loss ratio and underwriting expense ratio. The lower the percentage, the more profitable our insurance business is. This ratio excludes the effects of investment income.
 
Investment Yield:  Investment yield represents the average return on investments as determined by dividing investment income for the period by the average ending monthly investment balance for the period. As we use average month ending balances, the yield for certain individual asset classes that are subject to fluctuations in a given month, such as cash and cash equivalents, may be skewed slightly. However, we believe that when calculated for the cash and invested asset portfolio in its entirety, the overall investment yield is an accurate and reliable measure for evaluating investment performance. We calculate investment yields using pre-tax investment income, which excludes the tax savings benefits of certain tax-exempt securities. Our calculation of investment yields may differ from those employed by other companies.
 
These ratios, when calculated using our reported statutory results, will differ from the GAAP ratios as a result of differences in accounting between the statutory basis of accounting and GAAP. Additionally, the denominator for the underwriting expense ratio for GAAP is net premiums earned, compared to net premiums written for the statutory underwriting expense ratio.
 
In addition to these measures of operating performance, we also use certain measures to monitor our premium writings and price level changes. We measure policy retention by comparing the number of policies that renew during a given period with the number of policies that expire. This retention ratio helps us to measure our success at retaining insured accounts. We also monitor our insured physician count, which counts the number of doctor equivalents associated with all policies, where a corporation or ancillary health care providers on a policy are assigned a value of one doctor equivalent. When used in conjunction with the retention ratio, the insured physician count helps us to monitor the overall increase or decrease in insureds that comprise our premium base.
 
One of the ways that we measure price level changes is by comparing the average in-force premium per physician at one period end to that of a prior period end. The in-force premium represents, at a point in time, the overall annual premium associated with policies that are in-force, or active, as of that point in time. Accordingly, it is a somewhat imprecise measure of price level changes as the in-force premium represents the annual premium associated with policies written over the last 12 months. In addition, the average in-force premium measure does not contemplate changes in mix of business, or specialty classes, that we write. Despite its limitations, the average in-force premium is an easy to obtain and understand measure that management finds useful in evaluating overall changes in premium levels.
 
As a way of evaluating our capital management strategies we measure and monitor our return on equity, or ROE, in addition to our results of operations. We measure ROE as our net income for the period, annualized if necessary, divided by our total shareholders’ equity as of the beginning of the period. Other companies sometimes calculate ROE by dividing annualized net income by an average of beginning and ending shareholders’ equity. Accordingly, the ROE percentage we provide may not be comparable with those provided by other companies. We believe that an average target ROE of between 11% and 13%, using our calculation method, represents an


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acceptable return to our shareholders. We use a modified version of ROE as the basis for determining performance-based compensation for our executives.
 
We also track the book value per common share outstanding, which is calculated by dividing shareholders’ equity as of the end of the period by the total number of common shares outstanding at that date. Evaluating the relationship between the book value per common share and the cost of a common share in the open market helps us compare our stock value with that of our peers and to determine the relative premium that the market places on our stock and the stock of our peers.
 
Results of Operations — Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 Compared to Three Months Ended March 31, 2007
 
The following tables show our underwriting results, as well as other revenue and expense items included in our unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income, for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2008 and 2007.
 
                                 
    For the Three Months Ended March 31,  
                Change  
    2008     2007     Dollar     Percentage  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Direct premiums written
  $ 33,671     $ 36,302     $ (2,631 )     (7.2 )%
                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 32,175     $ 34,894     $ (2,719 )     (7.8 )%
                                 
Net premiums earned
  $ 31,647     $ 35,032     $ (3,385 )     (9.7 )%
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
                               
Current year losses
    24,618       26,627       (2,009 )     (7.5 )%
Prior year losses
    (8,420 )     (4,265 )     (4,155 )     97.4 %
                                 
Total
    16,198       22,362       (6,164 )     (27.6 )%
Underwriting expenses
    7,016       7,361       (345 )     (4.7 )%
                                 
Total underwriting gain
    8,433       5,309       3,124       58.8 %
Other revenue (expense) items 
                               
Investment income
    9,957       11,177       (1,220 )     (10.9 )%
Net realized losses
    (782 )     (2 )     (780 )     39000.0 %
Other income
    189       213       (24 )     (11.3 )%
Other expenses(1)
    (1,217 )     (1,295 )     78       (6.0 )%
                                 
Total other revenue and expense items
    8,147       10,093       (1,946 )     (19.3 )%
                                 
Income before federal income taxes
    16,580       15,402       1,178       7.6 %
Federal income tax expense
    5,206       4,897       309       6.3 %
                                 
Net income
  $ 11,374     $ 10,505     $ 869       8.3 %
                                 
Loss Ratio:
                               
Accident year
    77.8 %     76.0 %             1.8 %
Prior years
    (26.6 )%     (12.2 )%             (14.4 )%
                                 
Calendar year
    51.2 %     63.8 %             (12.6 )%
Underwriting expense ratio
    22.2 %     21.0 %             1.2 %
Combined ratio
    73.4 %     84.8 %             (11.4 )%
Investment yield
    4.71 %     5.12 %             (0.4 )%
Return on beginning equity (annualized)
    17.3 %     15.6 %             1.6 %
 
 
(1) Other expenses includes investment expenses, interest expense, general and administrative expenses and other expenses as reported in the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income included elsewhere in this report.


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Overview
 
Net income increased $0.9 million or 8.3% to $11.4 million in the first quarter of 2008, compared with $10.5 million in the first quarter of 2007, primarily as a result of our underwriting results, which have remained strong despite rate decreases taken in the recent soft market. For the first quarter of 2008, we reported an underwriting gain of $8.4 million, an increase of $3.1 million over the $5.3 million underwriting gain we reported in the first quarter of 2007. The key to our underwriting results continues to be our loss experience, which has continued to develop favorably ($8.4 million) in the first quarter of 2008. Partially offsetting the improved underwriting results was a $1.2 million decrease in investment income as short-term interest rates dropped and we increased our allocation to tax-exempt securities, which typically have a lower pre-tax yield than other types of long-term interest bearing securities.
 
Premiums Written and Earned
 
The following table shows our direct premiums written by major geographical market, as well as the relationship between direct and net premiums written, for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007.
 
                                 
    For the Three Months Ended March 31,  
                Change  
    2008     2007     Dollar     Percentage  
    (Dollars in thousands)  
 
Direct premiums written
                               
Michigan
  $ 9,840     $ 9,263     $ 577       6.2 %
Illinois
    8,554       9,840       (1,286 )     (13.1 )%
Ohio
    7,447       8,365       (918 )     (11.0 )%
New Mexico
    5,072       5,454       (382 )     (7.0 )%
Kentucky
    2,137       2,733       (596 )     (21.8 )%
Other
    621       647       (26 )     (4.0 )%
                                 
Total
  $ 33,671     $ 36,302     $ (2,631 )     (7.2 )%
                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 32,175     $ 34,894     $ (2,719 )     (7.8 )%
                                 
Ratio of net premiums written to direct
    95.6 %     96.1 %             (0.5 )%
                                 
 
The medical malpractice insurance market remains highly competitive. However, we retained 88% of our insureds whose policies expired during the first quarter of 2008. Overall, our insured physician count was down 0.3% to 9,186 at March 31, 2008, compared with 9,217 at December 31, 2007. When compared with March 31, 2007, our insured physician count has decreased 2.1%. The decreases in the insured physician count are mostly the result of the competitive nature of select markets, particularly Illinois. Our average in-force premium has decreased 10.5% to approximately $13,920 at March 31, 2008, from $15,560 at March 31, 2007. Our average in-force premium at March 31, 2008 decreased 2.4% when compared with December 31, 2007. The decreases in the average in-force premium were primarily the result of rate decreases we have taken in virtually all of our geographic markets. However, a portion of the decreases were also related to replacing higher-premium policies that have non-renewed with policies covering lower risk specialties that accordingly have lower policy premiums.
 
The rate decreases taken recently have been in response to favorable claim trends noted in virtually all markets of the medical professional liability industry, causing other carriers to lower their rates as well, and increasing overall competition in the industry. We anticipate that the medical professional liability insurance pricing environment will remain highly competitive in the near future. However, we remain committed to our philosophy of underwriting discipline and adequate pricing.
 
The decrease in net premiums written was relatively consistent with the decrease in direct premiums written. As a percentage of direct premiums written, net premiums written decreased to 95.6% during the first quarter of 2008 from 96.1% in the first quarter of 2007. The decrease was attributable to a minor premium rate increase from 2007 to 2008 associated with the “per event” coverage provided under our reinsurance treaty. The per event


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coverage provides $4.0 million dollars of coverage for losses in excess of $1.0 million dollars involving multiple insureds that pertain to any single loss event, and also provides some coverage for losses in excess of policy limits or arising from extra contractual obligations. Otherwise, the treaty covers $1.0 million of losses in excess of $1.0 million pertaining to each insured and a single event. All coverage under the treaty is subject to a loss corridor whereby we retain losses in excess of 70%, but not more than 105% of the premium ceded under the treaty, or approximately $1.8 million. These terms, other than the minor premium increase, are virtually identical to those in place with 2007 treaty.
 
Net premiums earned decreased 9.7%, which is 1.9% more than the decrease in net premiums written. Premiums written are earned over the policy term, which is typically one year. As a result, written premium volume changes take up to 12 months to “earn in.” Consequently, changes in earned premiums often lag the trends noted in written premiums.
 
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
The decreases in incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses, which we refer to collectively as losses, and the calendar year loss ratio were primarily attributable to an increase in the favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which was $8.4 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared with $4.3 million in the first quarter of 2007. Our current accident year loss ratio in the first quarter of 2008 increased 1.8% to 77.8%, from 76.0% for the first quarter of 2007. The increase in the accident year loss ratio was anticipated as the result of premium rate decreases, partially offset by the continued favorable trend in reported claim frequency.
 
We continued to experience the favorable trends in claim frequency in the first quarter of 2008 that we have noted over the past several years. Medical professional liability claims reported to us during the first quarter of 2008 totaled 232, a 6.1% decrease from the 247 reported in the first quarter of 2007. Our average paid loss severity on the medical professional liability line of business continues to remain stable in 2008, with paid losses per closed claim averaging approximately $63,100 in the first quarter of 2008. While this is an increase over the $56,600 in the first quarter of 2007, over the last several years average paid losses have remained very stable.
 
These favorable trends in reported frequency and paid severity have translated into net paid and reported losses well below historical norms. Reported losses include paid losses and any change in related case reserves. As a percentage of net premiums earned, medical professional liability paid losses were 49.2% and reported losses were 37.8% in the first quarter of 2008. This compares with 61.8% and 45.5%, respectively, in the first quarter of 2007. As a result of the continued lower than expected paid and reported losses, the favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves noted in 2006 and 2007 has continued in the first quarter of 2008.
 
A substantial portion, $6.2 million, of the $8.4 million in positive development on prior years’ loss reserves recognized in the first quarter of 2008 was the result of development in Florida and Nevada, two markets where we initiated our exit in 2002 and 2003, respectively. In the first quarter of 2008, we saw the closure of approximately 25% of our open claims in Florida and approximately 50% in Nevada, with many of the claims being closed having little or no payment activity.
 
We believe that the underwriting initiatives we have taken in the past are one of the primary reasons for the decline in reported claim frequency. Although we intend to continue our adherence to the strict underwriting practices we have put in place, we anticipate that the declines in reported claim frequency noted over the last several years will begin to level out in the coming quarters, as we believe there is a minimum threshold of risk inherent in any book of insurance business. The decrease in reported frequency may also be attributable to favorable external factors such as tort reform enactments and changes in the overall legal climate. It is often difficult to evaluate whether changes in claim frequency due external factors such as these are a temporary trend, or if they represent a sustainable change in the claim pattern. In addition, subsequent judicial interpretations regarding tort reform may nullify some of its positive impact on claim frequency. However, one result of the overall decline in reported claims is that the average severity per claim typically increases, likely because the cases that continue to be reported are those involving injuries of a more severe nature or in which the claim of alleged malpractice has more merit. As a result, we anticipate average severity may begin trending upward in the next few quarters.


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Underwriting Expenses
 
The underwriting expense ratio increased to 22.2% for the first quarter of 2008 compared with 21.0% for the first quarter of 2007. The increase in the underwriting expense ratio was partially attributable to incremental expenses associated with the development of a new policy and claims system that cannot be capitalized and an increase in state income tax expense in Illinois as we have now utilized all of the net operating loss carryforwards pertaining to our Illinois losses from 2003. However, the majority of the increase was due to the lower net earned premium base over which fixed costs, such as salaries and facility related expenses, can be spread. If our premium volume continues to decline, we anticipate that our underwriting expense ratio may continue increase in the future.
 
Investment Income
 
Investment income in the first quarter was $10.0 million, a $1.2 million decrease from the first quarter of 2007. Approximately half of the decrease was the result of the drop in short-term interest rates in the first quarter of 2008. The remaining decrease was the result of maturities, calls and principal pay downs during 2007 and early 2008 on higher-yielding corporate and mortgage-backed securities, the proceeds from which were reinvested in tax-exempt state and municipal securities with lower yields. We anticipate that pre-tax investment income will continue to decrease throughout 2008 as a result of our increased allocation to tax-exempt securities. However, the impact on net income should be relatively neutral as a result of the added tax savings. Investment income may also continue to decline if short-term interest rates continue to decrease in 2008.
 
Net Realized Losses
 
The increase in net realized losses was attributable to a pre-tax charge of $0.9 million related to the other than temporary impairment of CIT Group bonds in the first quarter of 2008. Although we believed that the ultimate collectability of these securities was not at issue, consistent with our philosophy of maintaining a strong, high-quality asset base and thereby protecting the strength of our financial position, we elected to dispose of the securities in question to mitigate any further down-side risk that could result from continued declines in the market value of the securities. Accordingly, we disposed of the securities in mid-April 2008 incurring no additional losses beyond the impairment recorded in the first quarter of 2008.
 
Income Taxes
 
The effective tax rate for the first quarter of 2008 was 31.4%, compared with 31.8% for the first quarter of 2007. The decrease in the effective tax rate was the result of additional tax-exempt interest income from securities purchased in the second quarter of 2007.
 
Liquidity and Capital Resources
 
The primary sources of our liquidity, on both a short- and long-term basis, are funds provided by insurance premiums collected, net investment income, recoveries from reinsurers and proceeds from the maturity or sale of invested assets and principal receipts from our mortgage-backed securities. The primary uses of cash, on both a short- and long-term basis, are losses, loss adjustment expenses, operating expenses, the acquisition of invested assets and fixed assets, reinsurance premiums, interest payments, taxes, the repayment of long-term debt, the payment of shareholder dividends, and the repurchase of shares of APCapital’s outstanding common stock.
 
We paid a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per common share, approximately $1.0 million in total, on March 31, 2008. On May 1, 2008, the Board of Directors declared a second-quarter cash dividend of $0.10 per common share payable on June 30, 2008 to shareholders of record on June 13, 2008, which is expected to result in a total payout similar to that of the first quarter of 2008.
 
The Board’s current intention is to pay a comparable cash dividend on a quarterly basis for the foreseeable future. However, the payment of future dividends will depend upon the availability of cash resources at APCapital, the financial condition and results of operations of the Company and such other factors as are deemed relevant by the Board of Directors.


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We continued to repurchase shares of our outstanding common stock during the first quarter of 2008. A total of 404,000 shares were repurchased during the quarter at a cost of $17.3 million. See Part II, Item 2. “Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds” for details of our share repurchase plans.
 
APCapital’s only material assets are cash and the capital stock of American Physicians and its other subsidiaries. APCapital’s cash flow consists primarily of dividends and other permissible payments from its subsidiaries and investment earnings on funds held. The payment of dividends to APCapital by its insurance subsidiaries is subject to certain limitations imposed by applicable law. In accordance with the dividend limits, dividend payments totaling $63.1 million can be made in 2008 by our American Physicians subsidiary without prior regulatory approval. However, due to the timing of dividend payments in 2007, no dividend payments can be made in 2008 to APCapital until late in the second quarter, when approximately $11.0 million can be paid without regulatory approval. The remaining $52.1 million in dividend payments can not be made until various dates in the third quarter of 2008. At March 31, 2008, APCapital’s cash and cash equivalent resources totaled approximately $21.4 million.
 
Our net cash flow from operations was $12.8 million during the first quarter of 2008, compared to $13.3 million for the same period of 2007. The decrease in cash provided by operations was primarily the result of a $1.8 million decrease in interest receipts from our investment portfolio, partially offset by a $1.3 million increase in cash from policy related activities. Policy related activities include loss and loss adjustment expense payments (cash increase $6.2 million), acquisition related costs such as commission and premium taxes (cash increase $0.3 million), premium receipts from insureds (cash decrease $4.6 million) and net payments to or from reinsurers (cash decrease $0.5 million).
 
At March 31, 2008, we had $103.0 million of cash and cash equivalents and $41.1 million of available-for-sale, and $0.8 million of held-to-maturity fixed-income securities that mature in the next year to meet short-term cash flow needs. In addition, we have $216.4 million of additional available-for-sale fixed-income securities that will not mature within one year, but that could be sold to meet cash flow needs if necessary. On a long-term basis, we purchase held-to-maturity fixed-income securities with the intent to provide adequate cash flows from maturities to meet future policyholder obligations and ongoing operational expenses. As of March 31, 2008, we had approximately $50.7 million, $170.4 million and $104.1 million of held-to-maturity fixed-income securities that mature in the next one to five years, five to ten years and more than ten years, respectively. We also have approximately $152.5 million of mortgage-backed securities, classified as held-to-maturity, which provide periodic principal repayments.
 
The $30.9 million of long-term debt carried on our Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets, included elsewhere in this report, can be repaid beginning in May 2008. It has previously been our intent to repay this debt in the second half of 2008 and/or the first part of 2009. However, our interest cost associated with this debt has been dramatically reduced as a result of recent decreases in short-term interest rates. As a result, we are currently evaluating whether to continue to carry the debt as part of our overall capital management strategies.
 
Based on historical trends, economic, market and regulatory conditions and our current business plans, we believe that our existing resources and sources of funds, including possible dividend payments from our insurance subsidiaries to APCapital, will be sufficient to meet our short- and long-term liquidity needs. However, these trends, conditions and plans are subject to change, and there can be no assurance that our funds will be sufficient to meet our liquidity needs in the future. In addition, any acquisition or transaction APCapital may pursue, outside of the ordinary course of business, could require that we raise additional capital.
 
Financial Condition
 
In evaluating our financial condition, two factors are the most critical: first, the availability of adequate statutory capital and surplus to satisfy state regulatory requirements and support our current A.M. Best Company rating, which was recently upgraded to A- (Excellent), and second, the adequacy of our reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses.


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Statutory Capital and Surplus
 
Our statutory capital and surplus (collectively referred to herein as “surplus”) at March 31, 2008 was approximately $231.8 million. This results in a net premiums written to surplus ratio of 0.55:1 based on $128.1 million of net premiums written over the last 12 months. Statutory surplus at December 31, 2007 was approximately $221.6 million, yielding a net premiums written to surplus ratio of 0.59:1. In general, A.M. Best and state insurance regulators prefer to see a net written premiums to surplus ratio for medical professional liability insurance companies of 1:1 or lower. Statutory surplus from December 31, 2007 to March 31, 2008, increased as a result of the $12.2 million in statutory net income, partially offset by an increase in non-admitted assets ($1.3 million) and a decrease in net deferred tax assets ($0.5 million).
 
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
Medical professional liability insurance is a “long-tailed” line of business, which means that claims may take several years from the date they are reported to us until the time at which they are either settled or closed. In addition, we also offer occurrence-based coverage in select markets, primarily Michigan and New Mexico. Occurrence-based policies offer coverage for insured events that occurred during the dates that a policy was in-force. This means that claims that have been incurred may not be reported to us until several years after the insured event has occurred. These claims, and their associated reserves, are referred to as incurred but not reported, or IBNR. IBNR reserves may also be recorded as part of the actuarial estimation of total reserves to cover any deficiency or redundancy in case reserves that may be indicated by the actuary’s analyses. Case reserves are established for open claims and represent management’s estimate of the ultimate net settlement cost of a claim, and the costs to investigate, defend and settle the claim, based on the information available about a given claim at a point in time.
 
The table below shows the net case reserves, open claim counts, average net case reserves per open claim, net IBNR reserve and total net reserves for our medical professional liability line of business as of March 31, 2008, and December 31, 2007. Net reserves include direct and assumed reserves, reported as unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses in the accompanying unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets, reduced by the amount of ceded reserves, which are reported as a component of reinsurance recoverables in the balance sheet.
 
                                 
    March 31,
    December 31,
             
    2008     2007     Change     % Change  
    (In thousands, except claim and per claim data)  
 
Net case reserves
  $ 248,417     $ 252,017     $ (3,600 )     (1.4 )%
Number of open claims
    1,672       1,741       (69 )     (4.0 )%
Average net case reserve per open claim
  $ 148,575     $ 144,754     $ 3,821       2.6 %
Net IBNR reserves
  $ 285,246     $ 281,310     $ 3,936       1.4 %
Total net reserves
  $ 533,663     $ 533,327     $ 336       0.1 %
 
Medical professional liability total net reserves at March 31, 2008, were relatively unchanged from December 31, 2007. There were 232 new claims reported to us in the first quarter of 2008. However, we closed 301 claims during the quarter resulting in a net decrease in the total number of open claims of 69, or 4.0%. Of the 301 claims we closed in the first quarter of 2008, 72 were closed with no payment, 188 were closed with expense payments only, and 41, or 13.6%, were closed with an indemnity payment. While open claims decreased 4.0%, net case reserves decreased only 1.4%, which resulted in an increase in the average net case reserve per open claim of 2.6%. We added $3.9 million to net IBNR reserves in the first quarter of 2008, primarily to cover future case reserve development as we have noted a moderate increase in the severity of claims reported to us recently. This increase in the severity of reported claims is expected, and is primarily the result of natural claim trends that indicate the severity of claims will typically increase when there is a trend of decreasing reported claim frequency, as it is assumed that those cases that continue to be reported are those with injuries of a more severe nature.
 
We experienced $8.7 million of positive development on prior years’ medical professional liability reserves in the first quarter of 2008. The favorable development in the first quarter of 2008 was the result of claim trends related to frequency and severity that have developed better than originally anticipated. The unusually large percentage of


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claims closed with little or no payment activity in Florida and Nevada in the first quarter of 2008 also contributed significantly ($6.2 million) to the positive development experienced in the first quarter of 2008.
 
Although considerable judgment is inherent in the estimation of net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, we believe that our net reserves for medical professional liability claims are adequate. However, there can be no assurance that losses will not exceed the reserves we have recorded or that we will not later determine that our reserve estimates were inadequate, as future trends related to the frequency and severity of claims, and other factors may develop differently than management has projected. The assumptions and methodologies used in estimating and establishing reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses are continually reviewed and any adjustments are reflected as income or expense in the period in which the adjustment is made. Historically, such adjustments have not exceeded eight-percent (8%) of our recorded net reserves as of the beginning of the period, but such adjustments can materially and adversely affect our results of operations when they are made.
 
Workers’ compensation is also a long-tailed line of business, and as a result, it will be several years until we settle all workers’ compensation claims. Workers’ compensation net reserves at March 31, 2008, were $24.3 million compared with $25.6 million at December 31, 2007. Workers’ compensation net reserves developed unfavorably in the first quarter of 2008 by $0.3 million, compared with $4.2 million in calendar year 2007. As the remaining open claims age, the ultimate amount of claim settlement should become more evident. As a result, volatility inherent in the actuarial projection of ultimate losses begins to stabilize, which should reduce the need to adjust loss reserves for previous accident years. However, as with medical professional liability reserves, there is a great deal of uncertainty inherent in workers’ compensation reserves estimates, and while we believe our estimate at March 31, 2008 is adequate, there can be no assurance that the ultimate cost of claims settlement will not exceed the reserves we have established or that we will not later determine that our reserve estimates were inadequate.
 
Activity in the liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and the year ended December 31, 2007 was as follows:
 
                 
    Three Months
       
    Ended
    Year Ended
 
    March 31, 2008     December 31, 2007  
    (In thousansds)  
 
Beginning balance, gross
  $ 664,117     $ 688,031  
Less, reinsurance recoverables
    (104,648 )     (107,965 )
                 
Net reserves, beginning balance
    559,469       580,066  
Incurred related to
               
Current year
    24,618       103,673  
Prior years
    (8,420 )     (34,245 )
                 
      16,198       69,428  
                 
Paid related to
               
Current year
    245       2,699  
Prior years
    16,921       87,326  
                 
      17,166       90,025  
                 
Net reserves, ending balance
    558,501       559,469  
Plus, reinsurance recoverables
    102,883       104,648  
                 
Ending balance, gross
  $ 661,384     $ 664,117  
                 
Development as a % of beginning net reserves
    (1.5 )%     (5.9 )%
                 
 
The $8.4 million of favorable development recorded in the first quarter of 2008 is not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the year ending December 31, 2008.


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Other Significant Balance Sheet Items
 
The following table shows the composition of our invested asset portfolio at March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007.
 
                                 
    March 31, 2008     December 31, 2007  
    Amount     % of Total     Amount     % of Total  
    (In thousands)  
 
U.S. Government and government agency securities
  $ 99,005       11.6 %   $ 145,021       16.9 %
States and political subdivisions (tax-exempt) securities
    326,916       38.5 %     269,013       31.2 %
Corporate securities
    157,457       18.5 %     193,037       22.5 %
Mortgage-backed securities
    152,593       18.0 %     152,892       17.8 %
                                 
Total fixed-income securities
    735,971       86.6 %     759,963       88.4 %
Publicly traded equity securities
    6,363       0.7 %     6,516       0.8 %
Statutory trusts
    928       0.1 %     928       0.1 %
Real estate LLCs
    2,550       0.3 %     2,550       0.3 %
Real estate held for development
    1,493       0.2 %     1,493       0.2 %
                                 
Total other investments
    11,334       1.3 %     11,487       1.4 %
Cash and cash equivalents
    102,965       12.1 %     87,498       10.2 %
                                 
Total invested assets
  $ 850,270       100.0 %   $ 858,948       100.0 %
                                 
Available-for-sale fixed-income securities (at fair value)
  $ 257,469       35.0 %   $ 262,301       34.5 %
Held-to-maturity fixed-income securities (at amortized cost)
    478,502       65.0 %     497,662       65.5 %
                                 
Total fixed-income securities
  $ 735,971       100.0 %   $ 759,963       100.0 %
                                 
 
In the first quarter of 2008, as interest rates declined, we had $46.0 million and $19.9 million of U.S. government agency securities and corporate securities, respectively, that were called. The proceeds received were primarily re-invested in tax-exempt securities, increasing the overall allocation of tax-exempt securities in our investment portfolio to 38.5% at March 31, 2008, compared with 31.2% at December 31, 2007. As mentioned in ‘‘— Results of Operations,” we had one security that we deemed to be other than temporarily impaired in the first quarter of 2008 that resulted in a write-down of approximately $0.9 million. Overall, the overall credit quality of our investment portfolio remains very strong, with a weighted average (excluding approximately $13.4 million, or 1.8%, of private placement fixed-income securities) Standard & Poor’s credit quality rating of AA+ at March 31, 2008. For additional information regarding the risks inherent in our investment portfolio see Item 3, Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
 
Assets, other than our invested assets, decreased approximately $5.0 million. While no individual asset class change was material, it is worth noting that premiums receivable decreased $2.2 million as a result of the decline in our direct premiums written, and reinsurance recoverables decreased $2.2 million due to the closure of several large claims in excess of our retention level, many with no indemnity losses paid. In addition, deferred federal income taxes decreased $1.9 million due to the continued use of net operating loss carryforwards acquired in mergers in the late 1990s and the increase in deferred tax liabilities associated with the increase in unrealized gains on our investment portfolio. Partially offsetting these decreases in total assets was an increase in our property and equipment of $1.0 million, mostly due to the capitalization of an additional $1.2 million of costs incurred in connection with the ongoing development of a new policy and claims administration system.
 
On the liability and equity side of the balance sheet, total liabilities decreased $8.3 million. Approximately $7.2 million of the decrease is related to seasonal or timing variations as a result of the payment of year end bonus and pension accruals in the first quarter, as well as a decrease in the liability for premiums received in advance of


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policy effective dates. January 1 and July 1 have historically been heavy renewal dates for us. Accordingly, the amount of premiums we receive in the days leading up to those renewal dates increases our advance premium liability at December 31 and June 30. The liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased $2.7 million as a result of the claim trends noted elsewhere in this report. Partially offsetting these decreases in liabilities was an increase in our current federal income tax payable, which again is timing related.
 
Shareholders’ equity decreased $5.3 million to $258.2 million at March 31, 2008. The decrease was the result of $17.3 million of share repurchases and $1.0 million of shareholder dividends paid, offset by net income of $11.4 million, a $1.4 million increase in unrealized gains, net of tax, and minor amounts ($0.2 million) related to share-based payment awards. Shares outstanding decreased by 394,488 to 9,733,252 at March 31, 2008, from 10,127,740 at December 31, 2007. The decrease in shares outstanding was the result of the repurchase of 404,000 shares in the first quarter of 2008, partially offset by shares issued as a result of option exercise activity. Despite the decrease in total shareholders’ equity, our share repurchase activity had a positive impact on our book value per share, which increased $0.51, or 2.0%, to $26.53 at March 31, 2008, from $26.02 at December 31, 2007.
 
Contractual Obligations and Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
 
Our contractual obligations and off-balance sheet arrangements are described in “Item 7 — Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. Except as described elsewhere in this report on Form 10-Q, there have been no material changes to those obligations or arrangements outside of the ordinary course of business since the most recent fiscal year end.
 
Effects of New Accounting Pronouncements
 
The effects of new accounting pronouncements are described in Note 2 of the Notes to unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report. Such information is incorporated herein by reference.
 
Item 3.   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
 
General
 
Market risk is the risk of loss due to adverse changes in market rates and prices. We invest primarily in fixed-income securities, which are interest-sensitive assets. Accordingly, our primary market risk is exposure to changes in interest rates.
 
In addition, our fixed-income securities, both available-for-sale and held-to-maturity, are subject to a degree of credit risk. Credit risk is the risk that the issuer will default on interest or principal payments, or both, which could prohibit us from recovering a portion or all of our original investment.
 
As of March 31, 2008, the majority of our investment portfolio was invested in fixed-income security investments, as well as cash and cash equivalents. The fixed-income securities consisted primarily of U.S. government and agency bonds, high-quality corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities and tax-exempt U.S. municipal bonds.


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Qualitative Information About Market Risk
 
At March 31, 2008, our entire fixed-income portfolio, both available-for-sale and held-to-maturity, excluding approximately $13.4 million of private placement issues (which constitutes 1.8% of our fixed-income security portfolio), was considered investment grade. We define investment grade securities as those that have a Standard & Poor’s credit quality rating of BBB and above. The following table shows the distribution of our fixed-income security portfolio by Standard & Poor’s credit quality rating at March 31, 2008.
 
                                 
    March 31, 2008     December 31, 2007  
    Carrying
    % of
    Carrying
    % of
 
Rating
  Value(1)     Total     Value(1)     Total  
 
AAA
  $ 465,140       63.2 %   $ 506,774       66.7 %
AA
    139,172       18.9 %     115,818       15.2 %
A
    88,963       12.1 %     94,078       12.4 %
BBB
    29,321       4.0 %     30,046       4.0 %
                                 
      722,596       98.2 %     746,716       98.3 %
Private Placement
    13,375       1.8 %     13,247       1.7 %
                                 
Total
  $ 735,971       100.0 %   $ 759,963       100.0 %
                                 
Average Rating
    AA+               AA+          
 
 
(1) Carrying value is fair value for available-for-sale securities and amortized cost for held-to-maturity securities.
 
Non-investment grade securities typically bear more credit risk than those of investment grade quality. In addition, we try to limit credit risk by not maintaining fixed-income security investments pertaining to any one issuer, other than U.S. Government and agency backed securities, in excess of $6 million. We also diversify our holdings so that there is not a significant concentration in any one industry or geographical region. We periodically review our investment portfolio for any potential credit quality or collection issues and for any securities with respect to which we consider any decline in market value to be other than temporary. As a result of these reviews, we recorded a $0.9 million charge for other than temporary impairments related to certain securities that were ultimately disposed of in mid-April 2008.
 
Our held-to-maturity portfolio is not carried at estimated fair value. As a result, changes in interest rates do not affect the carrying amount of these securities. However, 31.9%, or $152.5 million, of our held-to-maturity investment security portfolio consists of mortgage-backed securities. While the carrying value of these securities is not subject to fluctuations as a result of changes in interest rates, changes in interest rates could impact our cash flows as an increase in interest rates will slow principal payments, and a decrease in interest rates will accelerate principal payments.


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Quantitative Information About Market Risk
 
At March 31, 2008, our available-for-sale fixed-income security portfolio was valued at $257.5 million and had an average modified duration of 3.15 years, compared to a portfolio valued at $262.3 million with an average modified duration of 3.06 years at December 31, 2007. The following tables show the effects of a hypothetical change in interest rates on the fair value and duration of our available-for-sale fixed-income security portfolio at March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007. We have assumed an immediate increase or decrease of 1% or 2% in interest rate for illustrative purposes. You should not consider this assumption or the values shown in the table to be a prediction of actual future results.
 
                                                 
    March 31, 2008     December 31, 2007  
    Portfolio
    Change in
    Modified
    Portfolio
    Change in
    Modified
 
Change in Rates
  Value     Value     Duration     Value     Value     Duration  
    (Dollars in thousands)     (Dollars in thousands)  
 
+2%
  $ 242,961     $ (14,508 )     2.85     $ 248,140     $ (14,161 )     2.74  
+1%
    250,113       (7,356 )     2.88       255,182       (7,119 )     2.82  
0
    257,469               3.15       262,301               3.06  
-1%
    266,224       8,755       3.21       270,958       8,657       3.13  
-2%
    275,016       17,547       3.28       279,652       17,351       3.20  
 
Item 4.   Controls and Procedures
 
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
 
The Company maintains disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure material information required to be disclosed in the Company’s reports that it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required financial disclosure. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, the Company recognized that a control system, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met. Because of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within a company have been detected.
 
As of the end of the period covered by this report, the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s Disclosure Committee and management, including the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective at the reasonable assurance level as of March 31, 2008.
 
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
 
There have been no changes in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting during the most recently completed fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.


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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
 
Item 1A.  Risk Factors
 
There have been no material changes in risk factors as previously disclosed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
 
Item 2.   Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.
 
The following table sets forth the repurchases of common stock for the quarter ended March 31, 2008:
 
                                         
                Total Number
    Maximum Dollar Value of
 
    Total
          of Shares
    Shares that May Yet Be
 
    Number of
    Average
    Purchased as
    Repurchased Under the Plans or Programs  
    Shares
    Price Paid
    Part of Publicly
    Discretionary
    Rule 10b5-1
 
    Purchased     per Share     Announced Plans     Plan(a)     Plan(b)  
 
For the month ended January 31, 2008
    143,000     $ 40.65       143,000     $ 4,764,690     $ 35,844,061  
For the month ended February 29, 2008
    140,000     $ 44.48       140,000     $ 25,795,414     $ 33,586,148  
For the month ended March 31, 2008
    121,000     $ 43.84       121,000     $ 21,760,730     $ 32,316,784  
For the three months ended March 31, 2008
    404,000     $ 42.93       404,000     $ 21,760,730     $ 32,316,784  
 
 
(a) On August 16, 2007, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of additional common shares with a cost of up to $20 million at management’s discretion. The timing of the purchases and the number of shares to be bought at any time depend on market conditions and the Company’s capital resources and requirements. The discretionary plan has no expiration date and may be terminated or discontinued at any time or from time to time. On February 7, 2008, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $25 million to repurchase its common shares under the Company’s discretionary plan. The $20 million authorization from August 16, 2007, was completed on March 5, 2008.
 
(b) On October 29, 2007, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of an additional $20 million of its common shares in 2008 pursuant to a plan under Rule 10b5-1. In addition, the Board authorized the rollover into the 2008 Rule 10b5-1 plan of any unused dollars allocated to the 2007 Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted by the Board in October 2006, which totaled $19.4 million at December 31, 2007. The Rule 10b5-1 plan share repurchases are made pursuant to a formula in the plan and are expected to continue until the entire authorizations are utilized, subject to conditions specified in the plan, but not later than December 31, 2008. The Company may terminate the 2008 Rule 10b5-1 plan at any time.
 
Item 4.   Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
 
The Company held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 8, 2008, at which the shareholders approved the ratification of BDO Seidman, LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accountants and elected three directors. All nominees were elected. The following table sets for the results of the voting at the meeting.
 
                 
    Votes
    Votes
 
Nominee
  For     Withheld  
 
AppaRao Mukkamala, M.D. 
    9,185,537       296,185  
Joseph Stillwel
    9,169,232       312,490  
Spencer L. Schneider, J.D. 
    9,169,232       312,490  
 


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                      Broker
 
    For     Against     Abstain     Non-Votes  
 
Proposal to ratify appointment of BDO Seidman,
LLP as the Company’s independent registered public accountants
    9,457,439       20,110       4,173        
 
Item 6.   Exhibits
 
Exhibits.
 
The Exhibits included as part of this report are listed in the attached Exhibit Index, which is incorporated herein by reference.

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SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
 
AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL, INC.
 
  By: 
/s/  R. Kevin Clinton
R. Kevin Clinton
Its: President and Chief Executive Officer
 
  By: 
/s/  Frank H. Freund
Frank H. Freund
Its: Executive Vice President, Treasurer
and Chief Financial Officer
 
Date: May 9, 2008


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Table of Contents

 
EXHIBIT INDEX
 
         
Exhibit No.
 
Exhibit Description
 
  31 .1   Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  31 .2   Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
  32     Certification of Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 and Rule 13a-14(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.


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