0001654954-19-009474.txt : 20190814 0001654954-19-009474.hdr.sgml : 20190814 20190814111252 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001654954-19-009474 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 6-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 1 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20190814 FILED AS OF DATE: 20190814 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20190814 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: PRUDENTIAL PLC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001116578 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: LIFE INSURANCE [6311] IRS NUMBER: 000000000 STATE OF INCORPORATION: X0 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 6-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-15040 FILM NUMBER: 191024013 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 1 ANGEL COURT CITY: LONDON STATE: X0 ZIP: EC2R 7AG BUSINESS PHONE: 011442075483737 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 1 ANGEL COURT CITY: LONDON ENGLAND STATE: X0 ZIP: EC2R 7AG 6-K 1 a9494i.htm PRUDENTIAL PLC - HY19 RESULTS - EEV Blueprint
 
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION 
 
Washington, D.C. 20549 
 
FORM 6-K 
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 
 
For the month of August, 2019 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY 
 
(Translation of registrant's name into English) 
 
1 Angel Court, London,
England, EC2R 7AG
(Address of principal executive offices)


 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports
under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F X           Form 40-F


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information
contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the
Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
 
Yes              No X


 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82- 
 
 
 
European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results
 
SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year
Full year
 
Note
Asia
US
Group total
 
Group total
Group total
 
 
 
 
 
 
notes (ii)(iii)
notes (ii)(iii)
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
3
1,295
348
1,643
 
1,588
3,525
Business in force
4
832
445
1,277
 
1,170
2,977
Long-term business
 
2,127
793
2,920
 
2,758
6,502
Asset management
 
91
11
102
 
75
162
Operating profit from long-term business and asset management
 
2,218
804
3,022
 
2,833
6,664
Other income and expenditurenote (i)
 
 
 
(361)
 
(340)
(726)
Restructuring costs
 
 
 
(20)
 
(18)
(47)
Operating profit from continuing operations
 
 
 
2,641
 
2,475
5,891
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
5
 
 
2,229
 
(965)
(2,498)
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
6
 
 
(1,371)
 
610
312
Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings
7
 
 
(492)
 
579
549
Loss attaching to corporate transactions
14
 
 
(24)
 
(48)
(75)
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operations
 
 
 
342
 
176
(1,712)
Profit for the period from continuing operations
 
 
 
2,983
 
2,651
4,179
Profit for the period from discontinued operationsnote (iii)
 
 
 
1,281
 
317
409
Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
 
 
4,264
 
2,968
4,588
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attributable to:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity holders of the Company:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    From continuing operations
 
 
 
2,978
 
2,650
4,176
    From discontinued operations
 
 
 
1,281
 
317
409
Non-controlling interests from continuing operations
 
 
 
5
 
1
3
 
 
 
 
4,264
 
2,968
4,588
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
EEV basis basic earnings per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2019
 
2018
 
 
 
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
 
 
 
 
 
 
notes (ii)(iii)
notes (ii)(iii)
Based on operating profit from continuing operations, after non-controlling interests (in pence)
 
 
 
102.1p
 
96.2p
228.7p
Based on profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company (in pence)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
From continuing operations
 
 
 
115.3p
 
103.0p
162.2p
From discontinued operations
 
 
 
49.6p
 
12.3p
15.9p
 
 
 
 
164.9p
 
115.3p
178.1p
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average numbers of shares in the period (millions)
 
 
 
2,583
 
2,573
2,575
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Annualised return on embedded value*
 
 
 
17%
 
13%
10%
*    Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company, after non-controlling interests, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity. Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
 
Notes
(i)    EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis results for other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital) less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 11(i)(g)).
(ii)   The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the period.
(iii)  The Group's UK and Europe operations have been classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019 as described in note A2 of the Group IFRS basis results. 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published accordingly in line with the Group IFRS basis results. This approach has been adopted consistently throughout this supplementary information.
 
MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
Asia
US
Other
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Group
total
 
Half year
Group total
Full year
Group total
 
 
 
 
note (iii)
 
 
note (iii)
note (iii)
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating profit from long-term and asset management businesses
2,218
804
-
 
3,022
 
2,833
6,664
Other income and expenditure
-
-
(361)
 
(361)
 
(340)
(726)
Restructuring costs
(13)
(1)
(6)
 
(20)
 
(18)
(47)
Operating profit from continuing operations
2,205
803
(367)
 
2,641
 
2,475
5,891
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operationsnote (v)
863
145
(666)
 
342
 
176
(1,712)
Non-controlling interests
(4)
-
(1)
 
(5)
 
(1)
(3)
Profit for the period from continuing operations
3,064
948
(1,034)
 
2,978
 
2,650
4,176
Profit for the period from discontinued operationsnote (iii)
-
-
-
1,281
1,281
 
317
409
Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company
3,064
948
(1,034)
1,281
4,259
 
2,967
4,585
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
219
18
(14)
2
225
 
523
1,706
Intra-group dividends and investment in operationsnote (i)
(362)
(406)
1,124
(356)
-
 
-
-
External dividends
-
-
(870)
-
(870)
 
(840)
(1,244)
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital
-
137
-
-
137
 
(32)
(95)
Other movementsnote (ii)
(154)
(8)
797
(752)
(117)
 
127
132
Net increase in shareholders' equity
2,767
689
3
175
3,634
 
2,745
5,084
Shareholders' equity at beginning of period
25,132
14,690
(3,624)
13,584
49,782
 
44,698
44,698
Shareholders' equity at end of period
27,899
15,379
(3,621)
13,759
53,416
 
47,443
49,782
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Representing:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business
27,080
15,329
-
11,749
54,158
 
47,659
50,388
Asset management and other
309
50
(3,621)
857
(2,405)
 
(1,675)
(2,257)
Goodwill
510
-
-
1,153
1,663
 
1,459
1,651
Shareholders' equity at end of period
27,899
15,379
(3,621)
13,759
53,416
 
47,443
49,782
Shareholders' equity per share at end of periodnote (iv)
1,073p
592p
(139)p
529p
2,055p
 
1,830p
1,920p
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business
24,329
14,650
-
11,409
50,388
 
45,917
45,917
Asset management and other
305
40
(3,624)
1,022
(2,257)
 
(2,677)
(2,677)
Goodwill
498
-
-
1,153
1,651
 
1,458
1,458
Shareholders' equity at beginning of period
25,132
14,690
(3,624)
13,584
49,782
 
44,698
44,698
Shareholders' equity per share at beginning of periodnote (iv)
969p
567p
(140)p
524p
1,920p
 
1,728p
1,728p
 
Notes
(i)    Intra-group dividends represent dividends that have been declared in the period. Investment in operations reflects movements in share capital. The amounts included for these items in the analysis of movement in free surplus (note 9) are as per the holding company cash flow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, foreign exchange and other non-cash items.
(ii)   Other movements include reserve movements in respect of the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, share capital subscribed, share-based payments, treasury shares and intra-group transfers between operations which have no overall effect on the Group's shareholders' equity.
(iii)  The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
(iv)  Based on the number of issued shares at 30 June 2019 of 2,600 million shares (30 June 2018: 2,592 million shares; 31 December 2018: 2,593 million shares).
(v)   The £(666) million non-operating loss recorded for other operations comprises £(484) million of mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings, £(162) million for demerger costs (net of tax) and £(20) million for short term fluctuations.
 
SUMMARY STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
 
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
 
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
Assets less liabilities before deduction of insurance funds
 
470,884
 
429,035
431,269
Less insurance funds:*
 
 
 
 
 
 
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
 
(451,189)
 
(413,145)
(414,002)
 
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business
 
33,744
 
31,561
32,533
 
 
 
(417,445)
 
(381,584)
(381,469)
Less non-controlling interests
 
(23)
 
(8)
(18)
Total net assets attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
53,416
 
47,443
49,782
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Share capital
 
130
 
129
130
Share premium
 
1,974
 
1,954
1,964
IFRS basis shareholders' reserves
 
17,568
 
13,799
15,155
IFRS basis shareholders' equity
 
19,672
 
15,882
17,249
Additional EEV basis retained profit
 
33,744
 
31,561
32,533
EEV basis shareholders' equity
 
53,416
 
47,443
49,782
* Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
 
NOTES ON THE EEV BASIS RESULTS
 
1  Basis of preparation
 
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in 2016. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of EU-endorsed IFRS.
 
The Directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The EEV basis results for half year 2019 and half year 2018 are unaudited. Except for re-presenting the results for UK and Europe operations as discontinued operations, the full year 2018 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2018. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
 
A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 11.
 
2  Results analysis by business area
 
The half year 2018 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2018 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2019 average exchange rates.
 
Annual premium equivalents (APE) from continuing operationsnote 13 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Actual exchange rate
 
 
 
 
 
Constant exchange rate
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Half year 2018 £m
Change %
 
Half year 2018 £m
Change %
 
Annual
premium
equivalent
New
business
profit
 
Annual
premium
equivalent
New
business
profit
Annual
premium
equivalent
New
business
profit
 
Annual
premium
equivalent
New
business
profit
Annual
premium
equivalent
New
business
profit
Asia
1,978
 1,295
 
1,736
1,122
14%
15%
 
1,806
1,178
10%
10%
US
831
 348
 
816
466
2%
(25)%
 
868
495
(4)%
(30)%
Group total
2,809
 1,643
 
2,552
1,588
10%
3%
 
2,674
1,673
5%
(2)%
 
Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Actual exchange rate
 
Constant exchange rate
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Half year 2018* £m
Change %
 
Half year 2018* £m
Change %
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business
2,127
 
1,753
21%
 
1,834
16%
Asset management
91
 
77
18%
 
79
15%
Total
2,218
 
1,830
21%
 
1,913
16%
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business
793
 
1,005
(21)%
 
1,068
(26)%
Asset management
11
 
(2)
650%
 
(2)
650%
Total
804
 
1,003
(20)%
 
1,066
(25)%
Operating profit from long-term business and asset management
3,022
 
2,833
7%
 
2,979
1%
Other income and expenditure
(361)
 
(340)
(6)%
 
(341)
(6)%
Restructuring costs
(20)
 
(18)
(11)%
 
(18)
(11)%
Operating profit from continuing operations
2,641
 
2,475
7%
 
2,620
1%
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
2,229
 
(965)
 
 
(1,021)
 
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
(1,371)
 
610
 
 
656
 
Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings
(492)
 
579
 
 
580
 
Loss attaching to corporate transactions
(24)
 
(48)
 
 
(50)
 
Total non-operating profit from continuing operations
342
 
176
 
 
165
 
Profit for the period from continuing operations
2,983
 
2,651
13%
 
2,785
7%
Profit for the period from discontinued operations
1,281
 
317
304%
 
317
304%
Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company
4,264
 
2,968
44%
 
3,102
37%
*    The half year 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
 
 
EEV basis basic earnings per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Actual exchange rate
 
Constant exchange rate
 
 
Half year 2019
 
Half year 2018*
Change %
 
Half year 2018*
Change %
Based on operating profit from continuing
   operations after non-controlling
   interests (in pence)
102.1p
 
96.2p
6%
 
101.8p
0%
Based on profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company (in pence):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
From continuing operations
115.3p
 
103.0p
12%
 
108.2p
7%
 
From discontinued operations
49.6p
 
12.3p
303%
 
12.3p
303%
 
 
164.9p
 
115.3p
43%
 
120.5p
37%
*    The half year 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
3    Analysis of new business contribution from continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019
 
Annual premium
Present value
 of new business
New business
 
New business margin
 
equivalents (APE)
 premiums (PVNBP)
contribution
 
APE
PVNBP
 
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
 
note 13
note 13
note (i)
 
 
 
Asianote(ii)
 1,978
 10,988
 1,295
 
65%
11.8%
US
 831
 8,310
 348
 
42%
4.2%
Group totalnote (iii)
 2,809
 19,298
 1,643
 
58%
8.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018*
 
Annual premium
Present value
 of new business
New business
 
New business margin
 
equivalents (APE)
 premiums (PVNBP)
contribution
 
APE
PVNBP
 
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
 
note 13
note 13
note (i)
 
 
 
Asianote(ii)
 1,736
 9,132
 1,122
 
65%
12.3%
US
 816
 8,163
 466
 
57%
5.7%
Group totalnote (iii)
 2,552
 17,295
 1,588
 
62%
9.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Full year 2018*
 
Annual premium
Present value
 of new business
New business
 
New business margin
 
equivalents (APE)
 premiums (PVNBP)
contribution
 
APE
PVNBP
 
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
 
note 13
note 13
 
 
 
 
Asianote(ii)
 3,744
 20,754
 2,604
 
70%
12.5%
US
 1,542
 15,423
 921
 
60%
6.0%
Group totalnote (iii)
 5,286
 36,177
 3,525
 
67%
9.7%
*     The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
 
Notes
(i)   The movement in new business contribution of £55 million from £1,588 million for half year 2018 to £1,643 for half year 2019 is analysed as follows:
 
 
New business contribution
Half year 2018
£m
Foreign exchange
movement
£m
Effect of changes in
interest rates and
other economic
assumptions
£m
Sales volume,
business and product
mix and other items
£m
Half year 2019
£m
 
Asia
1,122
56
(21)
138
1,295
 
US
466
29
(75)
(72)
348
 
Group
1,588
85
(96)
66
1,643
 
(ii)  Asia new business contribution by business unit is shown below:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
 
Half year
 
AER
Half year
CER
Half year
 
AER
Full year
 
China JV
98
 
76
76
 
149
 
Hong Kong
826
 
731
777
 
1,729
 
Indonesia
66
 
59
61
 
122
 
Taiwan
22
 
21
21
 
46
 
Other
283
 
235
243
 
558
 
Total
1,295
 
1,122
1,178
 
2,604
 
(iii) Details of new business contribution from discontinued operations are shown in note 13.
 
4    Operating profit from long-term business in force from continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
Group
 total
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (i)
622
355
977
Effect of changes in operating assumptionsnote (ii)
131
-
131
Experience variances and other itemsnote (iii)
79
90
169
Total operating profit from long-term business in force
832
445
1,277
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018* £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
Group
 total
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (i)
601
433
1,034
Experience variances and other items
30
106
136
Total operating profit from long-term business in force
631
539
1,170
 
 
 
 
 
Full year 2018* £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
Group
 total
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
1,218
881
2,099
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
342
115
457
Experience variances and other items
223
198
421
Total operating profit from long-term business in force
1,783
1,194
2,977
*    The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
Notes
(i)    The movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £(57) million from £1,034 million for half year 2018 to £977 million for half year 2019 comprises:
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
 
 
Asia
US
Group total
 
Growth in opening value of in-force business
69
(51)
18
 
Effect of changes in interest rates and other economic assumptions
(71)
(56)
(127)
 
Foreign exchange movements
23
29
52
 
Total movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns
21
(78)
(57)
 
(ii)   The half year 2019 effect of changes in operating assumptions of £131 million in Asia principally reflects the beneficial effect on the effective tax rate for China from changes to tax legislation in the first half of 2019.
 
(iii)  In Asia, the half year 2019 effect of experience variances and other items of £79 million is driven by positive mortality and morbidity experience in a number of local business units, together with a positive persistency variance from participating and health and protection products.
 
In the US, the effect of experience variances and other items include items as shown below. Other items includes the effects of positive persistency experience in the period.
 
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
 
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
 
Spread experience variance
12
 
26
39
 
Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses
36
 
45
92
 
Other items
42
 
35
67
 
Total US experience variances and other items
90
 
106
198
 
5    Short-term fluctuations in investment returns from continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018* £m
 
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
Hong Kong
897
 
(212)
(552)
 
Singapore
153
 
(126)
(233)
 
Other
230
 
(177)
(244)
Total Asianote (i)
1,280
 
(515)
(1,029)
US
 
 
 
 
 
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (ii)
(16)
 
15
60
 
Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force variable annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account return, net of related hedging activity and other itemsnote (iii)
985
 
(543)
(1,541)
Total US
969
 
(528)
(1,481)
Other operations
(20)
 
78
12
Total continuing operations
2,229
 
(965)
(2,498)
*    The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
Notes
(i)    For half year 2019, the credit of £1,280 million mainly represents the increase in bond and equity values in Hong Kong and higher than expected investment returns on participating and unit-linked business in Singapore and Taiwan.
(ii)   The net result relating to fixed income securities reflects a number of offsetting items as follows:
 
-
The impact on portfolio yields of changes in the asset portfolio in the period;
-
The difference between actual realised gains and losses and the amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses that is recorded within operating profit; and
-
Credit experience versus the longer-term assumption. 
(iii)  This item reflects the net impact of:
 
-
 
Changes in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the difference between the actual growth in separate account asset values of 15.2 per cent and that assumed of 2.8 per cent (half year 2018: actual growth of 2.2 per cent compared to assumed growth of 3.2 per cent; full year 2018: actual growth of negative 5.4 per cent compared to assumed growth of positive 6.2 per cent); and
-
Related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity-related hedges and interest rate derivatives and other items.
 
6    Effect of changes in economic assumptions from continuing operations
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018* £m
 
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
Hong Kong
(478)
 
400
165
 
Indonesia
33
 
(89)
(94)
 
Malaysia
34
 
(41)
(19)
 
Singapore
(101)
 
(32)
70
 
Other
(45)
 
5
(7)
Total Asianote  (i)
(557)
 
243
115
US
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuity businessnote (ii)
(1,129)
 
497
365
 
Fixed annuity and other general account businessnote (iii)
315
 
(130)
(168)
Total US
(814)
 
367
197
Total continuing operations
(1,371)
 
610
312
*    The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
Notes
(i)    In half year 2019, the negative effect of £(557) million largely arises from movements in long-term interest rates, resulting in lower assumed fund earned rates for participating business in Hong Kong and Singapore, partially offset by the positive effect of lower risk discount rates in Indonesia and Malaysia in valuing future profits for health and protection business and a refinement to the methodology in Vietnam as described in note 11(i)(h).
(ii)   In half year 2019, the charge of £(1,129) million mainly reflects the effect of a decrease in the assumed separate account return, following the 70 basis points decrease in the US 10-year treasury yield over the period, resulting in lower projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs for variable annuity business.
(iii)  For fixed annuity and other general account business, the impact reflects the effect on the present value of future projected spread income from the combined decrease in interest rates and credit spreads in the period.
 
7   Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businesses
 
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
 
2018 £m
 
 
 
30 Jun
 
 
30 Jun
 
31 Dec
 
 
IFRS
basis
Mark-to
-market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
 
IFRS
basis
Mark-to
-market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
 
IFRS
basis
Mark-to
-market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
Holding company cash and short-term investmentsnote (i)
(2,365)
-
(2,365)
 
(2,210)
-
(2,210)
 
(3,236)
-
(3,236)
Holding company borrowings:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Subordinated debt with no options to substitute to M&GPrudentialnote (ii)
3,362
163
3,525
 
4,067
(119)
3,948
 
3,757
(108)
3,649
 
Senior debt
519
177
696
 
549
143
692
 
517
174
691
 
Bank loan
275
-
275
 
-
-
-
 
275
-
275
Central funds before amounts capable of being substituted to M&GPrudential
4,156
340
4,496
 
4,616
24
4,640
 
4,549
66
4,615
Subordinated debt capable of being substituted to M&GPrudential (as at 30 Jun 2019)note (iii)
3,089
209
3,298
 
1,287
80
1,367
 
2,919
64
2,983
Total holding company borrowings
7,245
549
7,794
 
5,903
104
6,007
 
7,468
130
7,598
Holding company net borrowings
4,880
549
5,429
 
3,693
104
3,797
 
4,232
130
4,362
Prudential Capital bank loan
-
-
-
 
275
-
275
 
-
-
-
Jackson Surplus Notes
196
62
258
 
189
47
236
 
196
53
249
Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed businessesnote (iv)
5,076
611
5,687
 
4,157
151
4,308
 
4,428
183
4,611
 
Notes
(i)    Holding company includes central finance subsidiaries.
(ii)   In May 2019, the Company redeemed its £400 million 11.375 per cent subordinated notes.
(iii)  In October 2018, the Company issued three tranches of substitutable debt as part of the process required before the proposed demerger, to rebalance debt across M&GPrudential and Prudential plc. Total proceeds, net of costs, were £1.6 billion. In the first half of 2019, the Group agreed with the holders of two subordinated debt instruments to alter the terms and conditions of these instruments in exchange for an upfront fee of £141 million and an increase in the coupon of the instruments. The loss arising from the change in fair value in the period of £100 million has been treated as an expense attributable to the discontinued UK and Europe operations and the £141 million fee, which has been paid by Prudential plc, has been treated as a non-operating expense.
(iv)  The movement in the value of core structural borrowings includes foreign exchange effects for US dollar denominated debts, which are included in 'Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges'. The movement in the mark-to-market value adjustment can be analysed as follows:
 
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
 
Mark-to-market value adjustment at beginning of period
183
 
743
743
 
Change in fair value of debt under IFRS as a result of consent process
(169)
 
-
-
 
Charge (credit) in respect of market movements included in the income statement*
592
 
(579)
(549)
 
Effect of changes in US$ exchange rate for US$ denominated debts included in reserves
5
 
(13)
(11)
 
Mark-to-market value adjustment at end of period
611
 
151
183
* The total income statement charge of £592 million relates to £492 million from continuing operations and £100 million note(iii) from discontinued operations
 
† Further details are explained in note D2.1 of the Group's IFRS basis results
 
8    Analysis of movement in total net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
 
Free
surplus
Required
capital
Total
net worth
 
Value of
in-force business
Total
embedded
value
Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders' equity at beginning of period from continuing operations
3,856
4,734
8,590
 
30,389
38,979
New business contributionnote 3
(516)
358
(158)
 
1,801
1,643
Existing business - transfer to net worth
1,533
(296)
1,237
 
(1,237)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
59
64
123
 
854
977
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
338
108
446
 
(146)
300
Restructuring costs
(1)
-
(1)
 
-
(1)
Operating profit from continuing operations
1,413
234
1,647
 
1,272
2,919
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operations
268
(146)
122
 
886
1,008
Profit for the period from continuing operations
1,681
88
1,769
 
2,158
3,927
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
58
19
77
 
151
228
Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(701)
-
(701)
 
-
(701)
Other movements
(24)
-
(24)
 
-
(24)
Shareholders' equity at end of period from continuing operations
4,870
4,841
9,711
 
32,698
42,409
Shareholders' equity at end of period from discontinued operations
3,705
5,175
8,880
 
2,869
11,749
Shareholders' equity at end of period
8,575
10,016
18,591
 
35,567
54,158
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business contributionnote 3
(250)
99
(151)
 
1,446
1,295
Existing business - transfer to net worth
779
(169)
610
 
(610)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
35
29
64
 
558
622
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
30
107
137
 
73
210
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
594
66
660
 
1,467
2,127
Non-operating profit (loss)
674
37
711
 
152
863
Profit for the period
1,268
103
1,371
 
1,619
2,990
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business contributionnote 3
(266)
259
(7)
 
355
348
Existing business - transfer to net worth
754
(127)
627
 
(627)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
24
35
59
 
296
355
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
308
1
309
 
(219)
90
Restructuring costs
(1)
-
(1)
 
-
(1)
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
819
168
987
 
(195)
792
Non-operating profit (loss)
(406)
(183)
(589)
 
734
145
Profit for the period
413
(15)
398
 
539
937
 
Note
The net value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital for long-term business as shown below:
 
 
 
 
30 Jun 2019 £m
 
31 Dec 2018 £m
 
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Group
total
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Group
total
Value of in-force business before deduction of cost of
   capital and time value of options and guarantees
23,035
12,267
3,334
38,636
 
21,867
11,811
3,083
36,761
Cost of capital
(681)
(237)
(465)
(1,383)
 
(566)
(296)
(459)
(1,321)
Time value of options and guarantees*
(278)
(1,408)
-
(1,686)
 
(981)
(1,446)
-
(2,427)
Net value of in-force business
22,076
10,622
2,869
35,567
 
20,320
10,069
2,624
33,013
Total net worth
5,004
4,707
8,880
18,591
 
4,009
4,581
8,785
17,375
Total embedded value
27,080
15,329
11,749
54,158
 
24,329
14,650
11,409
50,388
* The time value of options and guarantees arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future and is, where appropriate, calculated as the difference between a full stochastic valuation and a single deterministic valuation as described in note 11(i)(d). Both valuations reflect the level of policyholder benefits (including guaranteed benefits and discretionary bonuses) and associated charges, together with management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions. The reduction in the time value of options and guarantees for Asia operations from £(981) million at 31 December 2018 to £(278) million at 30 June 2019 reflects the interaction between these effects on the two valuations at the respective level of interest rates and equity markets.
 
9    Analysis of movement in free surplus
 
For EEV covered business, free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (total net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to total net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than at cost to comply with the EEV Principles. In the Group's Asia and US operations, assets deemed to be inadmissible on a local regulatory basis are included in net worth where considered fully recognisable on an EEV basis. Free surplus for asset management operations is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital) is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
 
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
 
Group
total
 
 
note (a)
note (b)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating free surplus generated before
   restructuring costsnote (e)
685
831
1,516
(361)
 
 
 
1,155
Restructuring costs
(13)
(1)
(14)
(6)
 
 
 
(20)
Operating free surplus generated
672
830
1,502
(367)
 
 
 
1,135
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operationsnote (f)
674
(406)
268
(185)
 
 
 
83
Free surplus generated from discontinued operations
 
 
 
 
 
974
 
974
Free surplus generated in the period
1,346
424
1,770
(552)
 
974
 
2,192
Net cash flows to parent companynote (g)
(451)
(400)
(851)
1,212
 
(361)
 
-
External dividends
-
-
-
(870)
 
-
 
(870)
Exchange movements on foreign operations, timing
   differences and other itemsnote (h)
(15)
124
109
304
 
(744)
 
(331)
Net movement in free surplus
880
148
1,028
94
 
(131)
 
991
Balance at beginning of period
2,034
2,167
4,201
3,008
 
4,693
 
11,902
Balance at end of period
2,914
2,315
5,229
3,102
 
4,562
 
12,893
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018* £m
 
 
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
 
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
 
Group
total
 
 
note (a)
note (b)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating free surplus generated before
   restructuring costs
590
593
1,183
(340)
 
 
 
843
Restructuring costs
(10)
-
(10)
(8)
 
 
 
(18)
Operating free surplus generated
580
593
1,173
(348)
 
 
 
825
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operationsnote (f)
(167)
(489)
(656)
97
 
 
 
(559)
Free surplus generated from discontinued operations
 
 
 
 
 
726
 
726
Free surplus generated in the period
413
104
517
(251)
 
726
 
992
Net cash flows to parent companynote (g)
(391)
(342)
(733)
1,111
 
(378)
 
-
External dividends
-
-
-
(840)
 
-
 
(840)
Exchange movements on foreign operations, timing
   differences and other itemsnote (h)
(359)
12
(347)
413
 
77
 
143
Net movement in free surplus
(337)
(226)
(563)
433
 
425
 
295
Balance at beginning of period
2,470
1,928
4,398
1,774
 
3,180
 
9,352
Balance at end of period
2,133
1,702
3,835
2,207
 
3,605
 
9,647
 
 
 
 
Full year 2018* £m
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
 
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
 
Group
total
Operating free surplus generated before
   restructuring costs
1,171
1,419
2,590
(726)
 
 
 
1,864
Restructuring costs
(19)
(17)
(36)
(11)
 
 
 
(47)
Operating free surplus generated
1,152
1,402
2,554
(737)
 
 
 
1,817
Non-operating profit (loss) from continuing operationsnote (f)
(393)
(842)
(1,235)
(22)
 
 
 
(1,257)
Free surplus generated from discontinued operations
 
 
 
 
 
1,965
 
1,965
Free surplus generated in the year
759
560
1,319
(759)
 
1,965
 
2,525
Net cash flows to parent companynote (g)
(699)
(342)
(1,041)
1,732
 
(691)
 
-
External dividends
-
-
-
(1,244)
 
-
 
(1,244)
Exchange movements on foreign operations, timing
   differences and other itemsnote (h)
(496)
21
(475)
1,505
 
239
 
1,269
Net movement in free surplus
(436)
239
(197)
1,234
 
1,513
 
2,550
Balance at beginning of year
2,470
1,928
4,398
1,774
 
3,180
 
9,352
Balance at end of year
2,034
2,167
4,201
3,008
 
4,693
 
11,902
*    The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
Notes
(a)   Operating free surplus generated by Asia insurance and asset management operations before restructuring costs can be analysed as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Half year 2018* £m
 
% change
 
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
 
Operating free surplus generated from
   in-force life business
844
 
773
797
 
9%
6%
 
Investment in new businessnote (c)
(250)
 
(260)
(269)
 
(4)%
(7)%
 
Long-term business
594
 
513
528
 
16%
13%
 
Asset management
91
 
77
79
 
18%
15%
 
Total Asia
685
 
590
607
 
16%
13%
*    The half year 2018 comparative results are shown on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2018 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2019 average exchange rates.
 
(b)   Operating free surplus generated by US insurance and asset management operations before restructuring costs can be analysed as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Half year 2018* £m
 
% change
 
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
 
Operating free surplus generated from
   in-force life businessnote (d)
1,086
 
775
824
 
40%
32%
 
Investment in new businessnote (c)
(266)
 
(180)
(192)
 
48%
39%
 
Long-term business
820
 
595
632
 
38%
30%
 
Asset management
11
 
(2)
(2)
 
650%
650%
 
Total US
831
 
593
630
 
40%
32%
*    The half year 2018 comparative results are shown on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2018 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2019 average exchange rates.
 
(c)   Free surplus invested in new business primarily represents acquisition costs and amounts set aside for required capital.
(d)   The increase in the US in-force free surplus generation includes a £274 million benefit following the integration of the recently acquired John Hancock business.
(e)   Other operating free surplus generated for "other business" includes £(69) million (net of tax) of interest costs on debt that is capable of being substituted to M&GPrudential.
(f)    Non-operating items include short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business and the effect of corporate transactions as described in note 14. In particular, for other business it includes £(162) million for demerger costs (post-tax) and £(20) million for short term fluctuations. In addition, for 2018 this included the impact in the US of changes to RBC factors following the US tax reform, which were formally approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) in June 2018.
(g)   Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.
(h)   Exchange movements on foreign operations, timing differences and other items represent:
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Group
total
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations
54
1
55
(8)
2
49
 
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
   assets backing surplus and required capital
-
137
137
-
-
137
 
Other itemsnote (i)
(69)
(14)
(83)
312
(746)
(517)
 
 
 
(15)
124
109
304
(744)
(331)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018 £m
 
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Group
total
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations
3
38
41
9
(5)
45
 
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
   assets backing surplus and required capital
-
(32)
(32)
-
-
(32)
 
Other itemsnote (i)
(362)
6
(356)
404
82
130
 
 
 
(359)
12
(347)
413
77
143
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Full year 2018 £m
 
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
Total insurance
and asset
management
Other
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Group
total
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations
88
131
219
(6)
-
213
 
Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson
   assets backing surplus and required capital
-
(95)
(95)
-
-
(95)
 
Other itemsnote (i)
(584)
(15)
(599)
1,511
239
1,151
 
 
 
(496)
21
(475)
1,505
239
1,269
 
(i)    Other items include the effect of the net issuance of £1.2 billion of subordinated debt for other operations in full year 2018, intra-group loans and other intra-group transfers between operations and other non-cash items.
 
10 Sensitivity of results to alternative economic assumptions
 
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 30 June 2019 and 31 December 2018 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for half year 2019 and full year 2018 for long-term business to:
 
-      1 per cent increase in the discount rates;
-      1 per cent increase in interest rates and risk discount rates, including consequential changes in assumed investment returns for all asset classes and market values of fixed interest assets, but excluding changes in the allowance for market risk;
-      0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates and risk discount rates, including consequential changes in assumed investment returns for all asset classes and market values of fixed interest assets, but excluding changes in the allowance for market risk;
-      1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;
-      10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);
-      The statutory minimum capital level in contrast to EEV basis required capital (embedded value only); and
-      5 basis points increase in the UK long-term expected defaults (embedded value only).
 
The sensitivities shown below are for the impact of instantaneous (and permanent) changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets (including derivatives) held at the valuation dates indicated. No change in assets held at the period end is assumed when calculating sensitivities. If the changes in assumptions shown in the sensitivities were to occur, the effect shown below would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following period, namely the effect of changes in economic assumptions and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown below, the other components of the profit for the following period would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount and other expected returns, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition, for changes in interest rates, the effect shown below for US (Jackson) would also be recorded within mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital, which are taken directly to shareholders' equity.
 
 
New business contribution from continuing long-term business
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
Full year 2018* £m
 
Asia
US
Group
total
 
Asia
US
Group
total
New business contributionnote 3
1,295
348
1,643
 
2,604
921
3,525
Discount rates - 1% increase
(281)
(17)
(298)
 
(549)
(42)
(591)
Interest rates - 1% increase
(35)
54
19
 
(202)
94
(108)
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
(33)
(41)
(74)
 
58
(66)
(8)
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
67
55
122
 
130
115
245
*    The full year 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
 
 
Embedded value of long-term business
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
30 Jun 2019 £m
 
31 Dec 2018 £m
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Group
total
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Group
total
Shareholders' equitynote 8
27,080
15,329
11,749
54,158
 
24,329
14,650
11,409
50,388
Discount rates - 1% increase
 (3,718)
 (346)
 (682)
 (4,746)
 
 (3,292)
 (513)
 (648)
 (4,453)
Interest rates - 1% increase
 (984)
 (604)
 (748)
 (2,336)
 
 (1,564)
119
 (668)
 (2,113)
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
 (19)
 (10)
451
422
 
366
 (273)
363
456
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
1,122
1,107
424
2,653
 
1,041
1,011
377
2,429
Equity/property market values - 10% fall
 (537)
 (305)
 (536)
 (1,378)
 
 (473)
 (498)
 (461)
 (1,432)
Statutory minimum capital
142
166
-
308
 
110
217
-
327
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
-
-
 (72)
 (72)
 
-
-
 (76)
 (76)
 
11   Methodology and accounting presentation
 
(i)    Methodology
 
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the post-tax earnings distributable from assets allocated to the covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
 
-      The present value of expected future shareholder cash flows from the in-force covered business (value of in-force business) less deductions for:
-      The cost of locked-in required capital; and
-      The time value of financial options and guarantees;
-      Locked-in required capital; and
-      The shareholders' total net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).
 
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value. No smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and non-operating items, as explained in note (ii)(a) below.
 
(a)   Covered business
The EEV basis results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business' as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business (including the Group's investments in joint venture and associate insurance operations), for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders, with the following exceptions:
 
-      The exclusion of the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of The Prudential Assurance Company Limited (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court Approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund; and
-      A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
 
The EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's asset management and other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital). Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note (g) below.
 
The definition of long-term insurance business comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall under the technical definition.
 
(b)   Valuation of in-force and new business
The EEV basis results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, persistency, mortality, morbidity and expenses, as described in note 12(iii)(a). These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the projected future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate, as shown in note 12(i), which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.
 
For M&GPrudential, the embedded value incorporates Solvency II transitional measures, which are recalculated using management's estimate of the impact of operating and market conditions at each valuation date.
 
New business
In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing regular and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to the covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as investment contracts under IFRS. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.
 
New business contribution represents profit determined by applying operating and economic assumptions as at the end of the period. New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums on new business written in the period and one-tenth of single premiums. PVNBP is calculated as the aggregate of single premiums and the present value of expected future premiums from regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and the other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
 
Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders' equity as they arise.
 
The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the post-tax IFRS basis results and the movements in the additional shareholders' interest recognised on an EEV basis. Therefore, the start point for the calculation of the EEV basis results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on an IFRS basis.
 
In determining the movements in the additional shareholders' interest, for Jackson's debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV basis results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business incorporates the discounted value of expected future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements in debt securities that, broadly speaking, are held for the longer term. Consequently, within EEV total net worth, Jackson's debt securities backing liabilities are held on a statutory basis (largely at book value), while those backing surplus and required capital are accounted for at fair value. Consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS, for Jackson's debt securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation and depreciation on these securities are accounted for directly in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in 'Mark-to-market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital' in the statement of movement in shareholders' equity.
 
(c)   Cost of capital
A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of locked-in required capital supporting the Group's long-term business. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital held and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital, allowing for post-tax investment earnings on the capital.
 
The result is affected by the movement in this cost from period to period, which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.
 
Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its expected release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.
 
(d)   Financial options and guarantees
 
Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business
 
Asia
Participating products in Asia, principally written in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia, have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements. These products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses: regular and final. Regular bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular products. Final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration.
 
There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole-of-life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.
 
US (Jackson)
The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the variable annuity and fixed annuity lines of business.
 
Jackson issues variable annuity (VA) contracts for which it contractually guarantees to the contract holder, subject to specific conditions, either: a) a return of no less than total deposits made to the contract, adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract, adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date, adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable upon depletion of funds (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefits (GMWB)) or as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholders' contract value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMWB and GMDB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts with an expected long-term future hedging cost allowed for within the EEV value of in-force business. Jackson historically issued a small amount of income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)), which are now materially fully reinsured.
 
Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum return, which varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for all periods shown, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued and the date of issue. At 30 June 2019, 86 per cent (30 June and 31 December 2018: 88 per cent) of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less and the average guarantee rate is 2.7 per cent (30 June and 31 December 2018: 2.6 per cent).
 
Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.
 
Jackson also issues fixed index annuities that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return, which is of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.
 
UK and Europe (M&GPrudential)
The only significant financial options and guarantees in M&GPrudential's covered business arise in the with-profits fund, for which the guarantee features described above in respect of Asia business broadly apply. The UK with-profits fund also held a provision of £49 million at 30 June 2019 (30 June 2018: £52 million; 31 December 2018: £49 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.
 
The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in M&GPrudential is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision of £372 million was held in SAIF at 30 June 2019 (30 June 2018: £467 million; 31 December 2018: £361 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note (i)(a) above, the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore, the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders' funds.
 
Time value
The value of financial options and guarantees comprises the intrinsic value (arising from a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions) and the time value (arising from the variability of economic outcomes in the future).
 
Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of financial options and guarantees. The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes with an allowance for correlations between various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in note 12(ii).
 
In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to, investment allocation decisions, levels of regular and final bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.
 
In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the UK with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management, which explain how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.
 
(e)   Level of required capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on the applicable local statutory regulations, including any amounts considered to be required above the local statutory minimum requirements to satisfy regulatory constraints.
 
For with-profits business in Asia and the UK, the available capital in the fund is sufficient to meet the capital requirements. For the UK, a portion of future shareholder transfers expected from the with-profits fund is recognised within total net worth, together with the associated capital requirements.
 
For shareholder-backed businesses, the following capital requirements for long-term business apply:
 
-      Asia: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to local statutory notification requirements. For China life operations, the level of required capital follows the approach for EEV reporting issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA) reflecting the C-ROSS regime;
-      US: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and
-      UK and Europe: the capital requirements are set at the Solvency II Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) for shareholder-backed business as a whole.
 
(f)    With-profits business and the treatment of the estate
For the Group's relevant Asia operations and the UK operations, the proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the with-profits funds has been based on the applicable profit distribution between shareholders and policyholders. The EEV methodology includes the value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the residual estate of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders.
 
(g)   Internal asset management
The in-force and new business results from long-term business include the projected future profit or loss from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current period profit from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the life funds for the period as included in 'Other' operations. In half year 2019, the deduction of the unwind of the expected M&GPrudential internal asset management margin is included within the result of discontinued operations. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Accordingly, Group operating profit based on longer-term investment returns includes the variance between actual and expected profit margin in respect of the management of the assets for the covered business.
 
(h)   Allowance for risk and risk discount rates
 
Overview
Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of expected future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin.
 
For Asia and the US, the risk-free rates are based on 10-year local government bond yields. For the UK and Europe, the risk-free rate is based on the full-term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period.
 
The risk margin reflects any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. In order to better reflect differences in relative market risk volatility inherent in each product group, Prudential sets the risk discount rates to reflect the expected volatility associated with the expected future cash flows for each product group in the embedded value model, rather than at a Group level.
 
Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, risk discount rates are set excluding the effect of these product features.
 
The risk margin also represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.
 
Market risk allowance
The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for the UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below), such an approach has been used for the Group's covered business.
 
The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product-specific cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profit from each product is affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return, it is possible to derive a product-specific beta.
 
Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product group.
 
At 30 June 2019, the Group reconsidered the application of this methodology for certain Asia businesses to reflect a more granular assessment of the underlying market risks when determining the beta, alongside other refinements. These refinements resulted in the change in the risk discount rate for Vietnam shown in note 12(i)(a), and had an impact of £110 million via the effect of change in economic assumptions as shown in note 6. There were small consequential effects on new business contribution and in-force operating profit, which were overall not material in the context of the Group's results.
 
Additional credit risk allowance
The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover expected long-term defaults, credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels) and short-term downgrades and defaults.
 
These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses largely backed by holdings of debt securities, these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.
 
The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending on the type of business as described below:
 
Asia
For Asia, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance is considered to be sufficient. Accordingly, no additional allowance for credit risk is required.
 
The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.
 
US (Jackson)
For Jackson, the allowance for long-term defaults of 0.17 per cent at 30 June 2019 (30 June 2018: 0.18 per cent; 31 December 2018: 0.17 per cent) is reflected in the risk margin reserve charge that is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.
 
The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults, as shown in note 12(ii). In determining this allowance, a number of factors have been considered, in particular, including:
 
-      How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased short-term credit risk not reflected in the risk margin reserve long-term default assumptions and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments that cannot be easily converted into cash at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimate the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and
-      Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible, in adverse economic scenarios, to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features), through lower investment returns credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.
 
The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.
 
The level of allowance differs from that for the UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.
 
UK and Europe (M&GPrudential)
(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business
For shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate, which is then applied to the projected best estimate future cash flows.
 
In the annuity MCEV calculations, as the assets are generally held to maturity to match liabilities, the projected future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on the Solvency II allowance for credit risk. The Solvency II allowance is set by the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), using a prudent assumption that all future downgrades will be replaced annually and allowing for the credit spread floor.
 
For the purposes of presentation in the EEV basis results, the results produced under the approach above are reconfigured. Under EEV, the projected rates of return on debt securities held are determined after allowing for a best estimate credit risk allowance. The remaining elements of prudence within the Solvency II allowance are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate shown in note 12(iii).
 
(2) Non-profit annuity business in the with-profits fund
For non-profit annuity business attributable to the UK with-profits fund, the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for the UK shareholder-backed annuity business as described above. The allowance for credit risk for this business is taken into account in determining the projected future cash flows from the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows from the fund.
 
(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities
The with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rates for with-profits holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over risk-free, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.
 
Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks
The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. An allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks is estimated as set out below.
 
A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's covered business. For the Group's Asia businesses in Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points. The level of these allowances are reviewed and updated based on an assessment of a range of pre-defined emerging market risk indicators, as well as the Group's exposure and experience in the markets. For the Group's US business and UK and Europe business, no additional allowance is necessary.
 
(i)   Foreign currency translation
Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the period. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at period-end exchange rates. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the Group IFRS basis results.
 
(j)   Taxation
In determining the post-tax profit for the period for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected future cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using tax rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.
 
(k) Inter-company arrangements
The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension policies in SAIF and the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to the PAC non-profit sub-fund.
 
(ii)  Accounting presentation
 
(a) Analysis of post-tax profit
To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV basis profit for the period is consistent with the classification between operating and non-operating results that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results based on longer-term investment returns are determined as described in note (b) below and incorporate the following:
 
-      New business contribution, as defined in note (i)(b) above;
-      Unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note (c) below;
-      The impact of routine changes of estimates relating to operating assumptions, as described in note (d) below; and
-      Operating experience variances, as described in note (e) below.
 
Non-operating results comprise:
 
-      Short-term fluctuations in investment returns;
-      Mark-to-market value movements on core structural borrowings;
-      Effect of changes in economic assumptions; and
-      The impact of corporate transactions undertaken in the period.
 
In addition, operating results include the effect of changes in tax legislation, unless these changes are one-off and structural in nature or primarily affect the level of projected investment returns, in which case they are reflected as a non-operating result.
 
Total profit in the period attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Group believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.
 
(b) Investment returns included in operating profit
For the investment element of the assets covering the total net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rates of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio.
 
For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of Jackson for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin reserve charge is included, which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds; for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed (as disclosed in note 12(b)), which reflects the aggregation of end-of-period risk-free rates and the equity risk premium. For variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force business adjusted to reflect end-of-period projected rates of return, with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating results, together with related hedging activity variances.
 
(c) Unwind of discount and other expected returns
The Group's methodology in determining the unwind of discount and other expected returns is by reference to the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of changes in economic and operating assumptions in the current period) and required capital and surplus assets.
 
(d) Effect of changes in operating assumptions
Operating profit includes the effect of changes to non-economic assumptions on the value of in-force business at the end of the period. For presentational purposes the effect of changes is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force business as operating assumption changes, with the experience variances subsequently being determined by reference to the end-of-period assumptions, as discussed below.
 
(e) Operating experience variances
Operating profit includes the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, such as persistency, mortality, morbidity, expenses and other factors, which are calculated with reference to the end-of-period assumptions.
 
(f)  Effect of changes in economic assumptions
Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related changes in the time value of financial options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.
 
12   Assumptions
 
(i)    Principal economic assumptions
The EEV basis results for the Group's covered business have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period-end risk-free rates of return (defined below for each of the Group's insurance operations). Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium to the risk-free rate, based on the Group's long-term view. As described in note 11(i)(h), the resulting risk discount rates incorporate allowances for market risk, additional credit risk and non-diversifiable non-market risks appropriate to the features and risks of the underlying products and markets, after considering risks allowed for explicitly elsewhere in the EEV basis, such as cost of capital and the time value of the cost of options and guarantees.
 
The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated under the EEV basis is the same over time as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the EEV basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under the EEV methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profit with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the period.
 
(a)   Asianotes(2)(3)
The risk-free rates of return are defined as the 10-year government bond yields at the end of the period.
 
 
 
Risk discount rate %
 
New business
 
In-force business
 
2019
 
2018
 
2019
 
2018
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
China JV
8.0
 
9.3
8.1
 
8.0
 
9.3
8.1
Hong Kongnotes (2)(4)
3.8
 
4.3
4.4
 
3.8
 
4.4
4.4
Indonesia
11.8
 
12.1
12.4
 
11.8
 
12.1
12.4
Malaysianote (4)
6.2
 
6.8
6.6
 
6.2
 
6.8
6.6
Philippines
12.5
 
14.1
14.5
 
12.5
 
14.1
14.5
Singaporenote (4)
3.5
 
3.9
3.4
 
4.3
 
4.9
4.2
Taiwan
4.3
 
4.5
4.5
 
4.2
 
4.0
4.4
Thailand
9.6
 
10.1
10.0
 
9.6
 
10.1
10.0
Vietnam
9.1
 
12.2
12.6
 
9.0
 
12.2
12.6
Total weighted averagenote (1)
5.0
 
5.6
5.4
 
5.2
 
6.0
5.8
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10-year government bond yield %
 
Expected long-term inflation %
 
2019
 
2018
 
2019
 
2018
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
China JV
3.3
 
3.5
3.3
 
3.0
 
3.0
3.0
Hong Kongnotes (2)(4)
2.0
 
2.9
2.7
 
2.5
 
2.5
2.5
Indonesia
7.5
 
7.9
8.2
 
4.5
 
4.5
4.5
Malaysianote (4)
3.7
 
4.2
4.1
 
2.5
 
2.5
2.5
Philippines
5.0
 
6.6
7.0
 
4.0
 
4.0
4.0
Singaporenote (4)
2.0
 
2.6
2.1
 
2.0
 
2.0
2.0
Taiwan
0.7
 
0.9
0.9
 
1.5
 
1.5
1.5
Thailand
2.1
 
2.6
2.5
 
3.0
 
3.0
3.0
Vietnam
4.7
 
4.7
5.1
 
5.5
 
5.5
5.5
 
Notes
(1)   Total weighted average risk discount rates for Asia shown above have been determined by weighting each business's risk discount rates by reference to the EEV basis new business contribution and the net closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia businesses reflect the movements in the 10-year government bond yields, changes in the allowance for market risk as described in note 11(i)(h) and changes in product mix.
(2)   For Hong Kong, the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other businesses, the assumptions shown are for local currency denominated business.
(3)   Equity risk premiums in Asia range from 4.0 per cent to 9.5 per cent (30 June and 31 December 2018: 4.0 per cent to 9.4 per cent).
(4)   The mean (arithmetic) equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia businesses are:
 
 
 
 
2019 %
 
2018 %
 
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
 
Hong Kong
6.0
 
6.9
6.7
 
Malaysia
10.1
 
10.7
10.6
 
Singapore
8.5
 
9.1
8.6
 
(b)   US
The risk-free rate of return is defined as the 10-year treasury bond yield at the end of the period.
 
 
 
 
 
2019 %
 
2018 %
 
 
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
Risk discount rate:
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate
6.4
 
7.3
7.1
 
 
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 11(i)(h)
0.2
 
0.2
0.2
 
Non-variable annuity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate
3.7
 
4.6
4.4
 
 
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 11(i)(h)
1.0
 
1.0
1.0
 
Total weighted average:
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
6.1
 
7.1
6.9
 
 
In-force business
6.1
 
7.0
6.8
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 11(i)(h)
0.17
 
0.18
0.17
US 10-year treasury bond yield
2.0
 
2.9
2.7
Equity risk premium (arithmetic)
4.0
 
4.0
4.0
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities (arithmetic)
6.0
 
6.9
6.7
Expected long-term rate of inflation
2.8
 
3.1
2.9
S&P equity return volatilitynote (ii)(b)
17.5
 
18.0
17.5
 
Note
Assumed new business spread margins are as follows:
 
 
 
2019 %
 
2018 %
 
January to June issues
 
January to June issues
July to December issues
Fixed annuity business*
1.50
 
1.75
1.75
Fixed index annuity business
0.50
 
2.00
2.00
Institutional business
0.50
 
0.50
0.50
*       Including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account. The assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.
       The assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 100 basis points over five years, increasing by a further 50 basis points to a long-term assumption at the end of the index option period (2018 issues: grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years).
 
(c)   UK and Europe
The risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period. These yield curves are used to derive pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return and risk discount rates.
 
This single implied risk discount rate is shown, along with the 15-year nominal rate of investment return and 15-year rate of inflation based on the inflation yield curve.
 
 
 
2019 %
 
2018 %
 
30 Jun
 
30 Jun
31 Dec
Shareholder-backed annuity in-force business:note (1)
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate
3.8
 
4.1
4.7
Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment return
2.5
 
2.9
3.1
With-profits and other business:
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate:note (2)
 
 
 
 
 
New business
4.6
 
4.8
4.9
 
In-force business
4.5
 
4.9
5.0
Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment return (arithmetic):
 
 
 
 
 
Overseas equities
5.8 to 9.7
 
6.6 to 10.3
6.5 to 10.1
 
Property
4.0
 
4.4
4.4
 
15-year gilt yield
1.3
 
1.7
1.7
 
Corporate bonds
3.0
 
3.5
3.5
Expected 15-year rate of inflation
3.6
 
3.4
3.6
Equity risk premium (arithmetic)
4.0
 
4.0
4.0
 
Notes
(1)   For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and risk discount rates reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.
(2)   The risk discount rates for with-profits and other business shown above represent a weighted average total of the rates applied to determine the present value of future cash flows, including the portion of future shareholders' transfers from the with-profits business recognised in total net worth.
(3)   The table below shows the pattern of the UK Solvency II risk-free spot yield curve at the end of each reporting period:
 
 
 
 
1 year
5 year
10 year
15 year
20 year
 
30 Jun 2019
0.7%
0.8%
0.9%
1.1%
1.1%
 
31 Dec 2018
1.0%
1.2%
1.3%
1.4%
1.5%
 
30 Jun 2018
0.8%
1.2%
1.4%
1.5%
1.6%
 
(ii)   Stochastic assumptions
Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 11(i)(d).
 
(a) Asia
-      The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Vietnam businesses;
-      The principal asset classes are government bonds, corporate bonds and equity;
-      Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields;
-      Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
-      The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread;
-      The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent for all periods shown; and
-      The volatility of government bond yields ranges from 1.1 per cent to 2.0 per cent for all periods shown.
 
(b) US (Jackson)
-      Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data;
-      Corporate bond returns are based on treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions;
-      The volatility of equity returns ranges from 17 per cent to 26 per cent (half year 2018: from 18 per cent to 27 per cent; full year 2018: from 17 per cent to 26 per cent); and
-      The standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 3.3 per cent to 3.5 per cent (half year 2018: from 2.6 per cent to 2.9 per cent; full year 2018: from 3.4 per cent to 3.7 per cent).
 
(c) UK and Europe (M&GPrudential)
-      Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields;
-      Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
-      The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread;
-      Property returns are modelled based on a risk-free return plus a risk premium with a stochastic process reflecting total property returns; and
-      The standard deviation of equities and property ranges from 14 per cent to 20 per cent for all periods shown.
 
 
(iii)  Operating assumptions
 
(a) Best estimate assumptions
Best estimate assumptions are used for projecting future cash flows, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.
 
Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of financial options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.
 
Demographic assumptions
Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience, and also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations. When projecting future cash flows for medical reimbursement business that is repriced annually, explicit allowance is made for expected future premiums inflation and separately for future medical claims inflation.
 
Expense assumptions
Expense levels, including those of the service companies that support the Group's long-term business, are based on internal expense analysis and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the actions to achieve the savings have been delivered. An allowance is made for short-term required expenses, that are not representative of the longer-term expense loadings of the relevant businesses. At 30 June 2019, the allowance held for these costs across the Group was £(353) million mainly arising in Asia. Expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived, including businesses that are growing rapidly or are sub-scale.
 
For Asia, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and costs recharged from the Asia Regional Head Office that are attributable to the covered business. The assumed future expenses for these businesses also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.
 
Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises:
 
-      Expenditure of Group Head Office, together with restructuring costs incurred across the Group; and
-      Expenditure of the Asia Regional Head Office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are charged as incurred.
 
 
(b) Tax rates
The assumed long-term effective tax rates for operations reflect the incidence of taxable profit and loss in the projected future cash flows as explained in note 11(i)(j).
 
The local statutory corporate tax rates applicable for the most significant businesses are as follows:
 
 
 
 
%
Asia:
 
 
Hong Kong
 
16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income
Indonesia
 
25.0
        Malaysia 
 
24.0
Singapore
 
17.0
US
 
21.0
UK
 
19.0; from 1 April 2020: 17.0
 
13 Total insurance and investment products new business
 
(i)    Insurance new business premiumsnote (a)
 
 
 
Single premiums
 
Regular premiums
 
Annual premium equivalents (APE)
 
 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
2019 £m
 
2018 £m
 
Half
year
 
Half
year
Full
year
 
Half
year
 
Half
year
Full
year
 
Half
year
 
Half
year
Full
year
 
Half
year
 
Half
year
Full
year
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
 
-
-
 
11
 
8
20
 
11
 
8
20
 
51
 
37
89
Hong Kong
165
 
157
343
 
813
 
726
1,663
 
830
 
742
1,697
 
5,178
 
4,210
10,200
Indonesia
94
 
118
205
 
111
 
101
215
 
121
 
113
236
 
515
 
434
910
Malaysia
70
 
31
84
 
115
 
114
243
 
122
 
117
251
 
681
 
583
1,322
Philippines
11
 
22
43
 
54
 
36
83
 
55
 
38
87
 
185
 
134
296
Singapore
386
 
420
930
 
192
 
163
369
 
231
 
205
462
 
1,623
 
1,529
3,611
Thailand
74
 
124
217
 
41
 
41
95
 
48
 
53
117
 
246
 
289
609
Vietnam
10
 
8
20
 
67
 
60
144
 
68
 
61
146
 
363
 
305
708
South-east Asia
    including Hong Kong
810
 
880
1,842
 
1,404
 
1,249
2,832
 
1,486
 
1,337
3,016
 
8,842
 
7,521
17,745
China JVnote (b)
360
 
30
103
 
234
 
184
292
 
270
 
187
302
 
1,185
 
759
1,313
Taiwan
196
 
180
292
 
97
 
90
182
 
116
 
108
211
 
483
 
426
788
Indianote (c)
60
 
31
79
 
100
 
101
207
 
106
 
104
215
 
478
 
426
908
Total Asia
1,426
 
1,121
2,316
 
1,835
 
1,624
3,513
 
1,978
 
1,736
3,744
 
10,988
 
9,132
20,754
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
4,854
 
5,439
10,810
 
-
 
-
-
 
485
 
544
1,081
 
4,854
 
5,439
10,810
Elite Access
    (variable annuity)
743
 
898
1,681
 
-
 
-
-
 
74
 
89
168
 
743
 
898
1,681
Fixed annuities
177
 
166
340
 
-
 
-
-
 
18
 
17
34
 
177
 
166
340
Fixed index annuities
930
 
125
251
 
-
 
-
-
 
93
 
13
25
 
930
 
125
251
Institutional
1,606
 
1,535
2,341
 
-
 
-
-
 
161
 
153
234
 
1,606
 
1,535
2,341
Total US
8,310
 
8,163
15,423
 
-
 
-
-
 
831
 
816
1,542
 
8,310
 
8,163
15,423
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total continuing
   operationsnote (d)
9,736
 
9,284
17,739
 
1,835
 
1,624
3,513
 
2,809
 
2,552
5,286
 
19,298
 
17,295
36,177
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discontinued
   UK and Europe operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
1,799
 
1,650
3,539
 
-
 
-
-
 
180
 
165
354
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate pensions
44
 
43
69
 
61
 
70
117
 
65
 
75
124
 
 
 
 
 
Individual pensions
2,170
 
2,989
5,681
 
18
 
17
35
 
235
 
316
603
 
 
 
 
 
Income drawdown
1,248
 
1,226
2,555
 
-
 
-
-
 
125
 
123
256
 
 
 
 
 
Other products
854
 
782
1,538
 
14
 
14
25
 
100
 
91
179
 
 
 
 
 
Total discontinued
   UK and Europe operations
6,115
 
6,690
13,382
 
93
 
101
177
 
705
 
770
1,516
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group totalnote (d)
15,851
 
15,974
31,121
 
1,928
 
1,725
3,690
 
3,514
 
3,322
6,802
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notes
(a)   The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profit for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the Group IFRS income statement. A reconciliation of APE and gross premiums earned on an IFRS basis is provided in note II(vi) within the additional financial information. 
 
The format of the tables shown above is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in Part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under Prudential Regulation Authority regulations.
 
The details shown above for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4, 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK insurance operations and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US operations.
 
(b)   New business in China JV is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China joint venture.
(c)   New business in India is included at Prudential's interest in the India associate (with effect from 27 March 2019: 22 per cent; 30 June 2018 and 31 December 2018: 26 per cent).
(d)   In half year 2019, the Africa business sold new business APE of £30 million (half year 2018: £18 million; full year 2018: £38 million). Given the relative immaturity of the Africa business, it is incorporated into the Group's EEV basis results on an IFRS basis and is excluded from new business sales and profit metrics.
 
 
(ii)   Investment products - funds under managementnotes (a)(b)(c)
 
 
 
Half year 2019 £m
 
1 Jan 2019
Market
gross inflows
Redemptions
Market exchange translation and other movements
30 Jun 2019
Eastspring Investments - continuing
49,455
16,454
(13,396)
3,959
56,472
M&GPrudential - discontinued
146,946
17,793
(22,379)
10,601
152,961
Group total
196,401
34,247
(35,775)
14,560
209,433
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018 £m
 
1 Jan 2018
Market
gross inflows
Redemptions
Market exchange translation and other movements
30 Jun 2018
Eastspring Investments
46,568
10,456
(11,319)
(3,335)
42,370
M&GPrudential
163,855
21,401
(17,853)
(1,913)
165,490
Group total
210,423
31,857
(29,172)
(5,248)
207,860
 
Notes
(a)   Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management above are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as 'investment contracts' under IFRS 4, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
(b)   Investment flows for half year 2019 exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds gross inflows of £103,337 million (half year 2018: gross inflows of £95,336 million) and net outflows of £978 million (half year 2018: net inflows of £665 million).
(c)   New business and market gross inflows and redemptions have been translated at an average exchange rate for the period applicable. Funds under management at points in time are translated at the exchange rate applicable to those dates.
 
 
14 Gain (loss) attaching to corporate transactions undertaken by continuing operations
 
 
 
2019 £m
 
2018* £m
 
Half year
 
Half year
Full year
Gain on disposalsnote (i)
140
 
-
-
Other corporate transactionsnote (ii)
(164)
 
(48)
(75)
Total
(24)
 
(48)
(75)
*     The 2018 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published to reflect the Group's UK and Europe operations classified as discontinued operations as at 30 June 2019.
 
Notes
(i)    In half year 2019, the £140 million gain on disposals mainly relates to profits arising from a reduction in the Group's stake (from 26 per cent to 22 per cent) in its associate in India, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company, and the disposal of Prudential Vietnam Finance Company Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary that provides consumer finance.
(ii)   In half year 2019, other corporate transactions undertaken by continuing operations resulted in an EEV loss of £(164) million (half year 2018: £(48) million; full year 2018: £(75) million). This primarily reflects costs related to the preparation for the proposed demerger of M&GPrudential from Prudential plc, including a fee of £141 million (before tax) paid to the holders of two subordinated debt instruments as discussed in note 7. In 2018, these additionally included costs from exiting the NPH broker-dealer business in the US.
 
 
Additional EEV financial information*
 
A   New business
 
Basis of preparation
 
The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in Part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) regulations.
 
The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK and Europe Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Insurance Operations.
 
New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting and for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis.
 
Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
 
Post-tax New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement.
 
In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period when policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.
 
* The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG LLP independent review opinion.
 
Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(v)
 
(1) Prudential reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) to eliminate the impact of foreign exchange translation.
 
 
 
 
Average rate*
 
Closing rate
 
Local currency : £
Half year
2019
Half year
2018
% appreciation
 (depreciation) of
 local currency
 against GBP
 
30 Jun
2019
30 Jun
2018
% appreciation
 (depreciation) of
 local currency
 against GBP
 
China
8.78
8.76
(0)%
 
8.74
8.75
0%
 
Hong Kong
10.15
10.78
6%
 
9.94
10.36
4%
 
Indonesia
18,364.05
18,938.64
3%
 
17,980.07
18,919.18
5%
 
Malaysia
5.33
5.42
2%
 
5.26
5.33
1%
 
Singapore
1.76
1.83
4%
 
1.72
1.80
5%
 
Thailand
40.91
43.66
7%
 
39.06
43.74
12%
 
US
1.29
1.38
7%
 
1.27
1.32
4%
 
Vietnam
30,087.11
31,329.01
4%
 
29,660.27
30,310.96
2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average rate*
 
Closing rate
 
Local currency : £
Half year
2019
Full year
2018
% appreciation
 (depreciation) of
 local currency
 against GBP
 
30 Jun
2019
31 Dec
2018
% appreciation
 (depreciation) of
 local currency
 against GBP
 
China
8.78
8.82
0%
 
8.74
8.74
0%
 
Hong Kong
10.15
10.46
3%
 
9.94
9.97
0%
 
Indonesia
18,364.05
18,987.65
3%
 
17,980.07
18,314.37
2%
 
Malaysia
5.33
5.38
1%
 
5.26
5.26
0%
 
Singapore
1.76
1.80
2%
 
1.72
1.74
1%
 
Thailand
40.91
43.13
5%
 
39.06
41.47
6%
 
US
1.29
1.34
4%
 
1.27
1.27
0%
 
Vietnam
30,087.11
30,732.53
2%
 
29,660.27
29,541.15
(0)%
 
Average rate is for the 6 month period to 30 June.
 
(2) Annual premium equivalents (APE) are calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums on business written in the period and one-tenth of single premiums. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as the aggregate of single premiums and the present value of expected future premiums from regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and the other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.
(3) New business in China JV is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China joint venture.
(4) New business in India is included at Prudential's interest in the India associate (with effect from 27 March 2019: 22 per cent; 30 June 2018 and 31 December 2018: 26 per cent).
(5) Investment flows for the period exclude period-to-date Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflow of £103,337 million (half year 2018: gross inflow of £95,336 million; full year 2018: gross inflow of £191,523 million) and net outflow of £978 million (half year 2018: net inflow of £665 million; full year 2018: net inflow of £1,500 million).
(6) Total Group Investment Operations funds under management exclude MMF funds under management of £10,492 million at 30 June 2019 (30 June 2018: £10,067 million; 31 December 2018: £11,602 million).
(7) Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in the Hong Kong MPF business.
(8) Balance sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rates.
(9) Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients.
 
Schedule A(i) New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The half year 2018 comparative results are shown below on actual exchange rates as previously reported.
 
 
 
Single premiums
Regular premiums
APEnote(2)
PVNBPnote(2)
 
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
 
Half
year
Half
year
 
Half
year
Half
year
 
Half
year
Half
year
 
Half
year
Half
year
 
 
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
-
-
11
8
38%
11
8
38%
51
37
38%
Hong Kong
165
157
5%
813
726
12%
830
742
12%
5,178
4,210
23%
Indonesia
94
118
(20)%
111
101
10%
121
113
7%
515
434
19%
Malaysia
70
31
126%
115
114
1%
122
117
4%
681
583
17%
Philippines
11
22
(50)%
54
36
50%
55
38
45%
185
134
38%
Singapore
386
420
(8)%
192
163
18%
231
205
13%
1,623
1,529
6%
Thailand
74
124
(40)%
41
41
-
48
53
(9)%
246
289
(15)%
Vietnam
10
8
25%
67
60
12%
68
61
11%
363
305
19%
South-east Asia
   including Hong Kong
810
880
(8)%
1,404
1,249
12%
1,486
1,337
11%
8,842
7,521
18%
China JVnote (3)
360
30
1,100%
234
184
27%
270
187
44%
1,185
759
56%
Taiwan
196
180
9%
97
90
8%
116
108
7%
483
426
13%
Indianote (4)
60
31
94%
100
101
(1)%
106
104
2%
478
426
12%
Total Asia
1,426
1,121
27%
1,835
1,624
13%
1,978
1,736
14%
10,988
9,132
20%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
4,854
5,439
(11)%
-
-
-
485
544
(11)%
4,854
5,439
(11)%
Elite Access (variable
annuity)
743
898
(17)%
-
-
-
74
89
(17)%
743
898
(17)%
Fixed annuities
177
166
7%
-
-
-
18
17
6%
177
166
7%
Fixed index annuities
930
125
644%
-
-
-
93
13
615%
930
125
644%
Wholesale
1,606
1,535
5%
-
-
-
161
153
5%
1,606
1,535
5%
Total US
8,310
8,163
2%
-
-
-
831
816
2%
8,310
8,163
2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total continuing
   operations*
9,736
9,284
5%
1,835
1,624
13%
2,809
2,552
10%
19,298
17,295
12%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discontinued
   UK and Europe operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
1,799
1,650
9%
-
-
-
180
165
9%
 
 
 
Corporate pensions
44
43
2%
61
70
(13)%
65
75
(13)%
 
 
 
Individual pensions
2,170
2,989
(27)%
18
17
6%
235
316
(26)%
 
 
 
Income drawdown
1,248
1,226
2%
-
-
-
125
123
2%
 
 
 
Other products
854
782
9%
14
14
-
100
91
10%
 
 
 
Total discontinued
   UK and Europe operations
6,115
6,690
(9)%
93
101
(8)%
705
770
(8)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total*
15,851
15,974
(1)%
1,928
1,725
12%
3,514
3,322
6%
 
 
 
* In half year 2019, the Africa business operations sold APE new business of £30 million (half year 2018: £18 million). Given the relative immaturity of the Africa business, it is incorporated into the Group's EEV basis results on an IFRS basis and is excluded from new business sales and profit metrics.
 
Schedule A(ii) New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The half year 2018 comparative results are shown below on constant exchange rates, ie translated at half year 2019 average exchange rates.
 
 
 
Single premiums
Regular premiums
APEnote (2)
PVNBPnote (2)
 
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
2019
2018
+/(-)
 
Half
 year
Half
 year
 
Half
 year
Half
 year
 
Half
 year
Half
 year
 
Half
 year
Half
 year
 
 
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
-
-
11
9
22%
11
9
22%
51
40
28%
Hong Kong
165
167
(1)%
813
771
5%
830
788
5%
5,178
4,473
16%
Indonesia
94
122
(23)%
111
104
7%
121
116
4%
515
448
15%
Malaysia
70
31
126%
115
116
(1)%
122
119
3%
681
592
15%
Philippines
11
24
(54)%
54
38
42%
55
41
34%
185
142
30%
Singapore
386
436
(11)%
192
169
14%
231
213
8%
1,623
1,587
2%
Thailand
74
132
(44)%
41
43
(5)%
48
57
(16)%
246
308
(20)%
Vietnam
10
9
11%
67
63
6%
68
64
6%
363
318
14%
South-east Asia
   including Hong Kong
810
921
(12)%
1,404
1,313
7%
1,486
1,407
6%
8,842
7,908
12%
China JVnote (3)
360
30
1,100%
234
183
28%
270
186
45%
1,185
758
56%
Taiwan
196
182
8%
97
92
5%
116
110
5%
483
432
12%
Indianote (4)
60
31
94%
100
100
-
106
103
3%
478
425
12%
Total Asia
1,426
1,164
23%
1,835
1,688
9%
1,978
1,806
10%
10,988
9,523
15%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
4,854
5,783
(16)%
-
-
-
485
578
(16)%
4,854
5,783
(16)%
Elite Access (variable
annuity)
743
954
(22)%
-
-
-
74
95
(22)%
743
954
(22)%
Fixed annuities
177
177
-
-
-
-
18
18
-
177
177
-
Fixed index annuities
930
134
594%
-
-
-
93
14
564%
930
134
594%
Wholesale
1,606
1,632
(2)%
-
-
-
161
163
(1)%
1,606
1,632
(2)%
Total US
8,310
8,680
(4)%
-
-
-
831
868
(4)%
8,310
8,680
(4)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total continuing
   operations
9,736
9,844
(1)%
1,835
1,688
9%
2,809
2,674
5%
19,298
18,203
6%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total  discontinued
  UK and Europe operations
6,115
6,690
(9)%
93
101
(8)%
705
770
(8)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
15,851
16,534
(4)%
1,928
1,789
8%
3,514
3,444
2%
 
 
 
 
Schedule A(iii) Total Insurance New Business APE (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      Comparative results for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2018 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The H2 amounts are presented on year-to-date average exchange rates (including the effect of retranslating H1 results for movements in average exchange rates between H1 and the year-to-date).
 
 
 
2018
2019
 
AER
CER
AER
 
H1 £m
H2 £m
H1 £m
H2 £m
H1 £m
 
 
 
 
 
 
Continuing operations
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
8
12
9
11
11
Hong Kong
742
955
788
962
830
Indonesia
113
123
116
128
121
Malaysia
117
134
119
134
122
Philippines
38
49
41
49
55
Singapore
205
257
213
260
231
Thailand
53
64
57
67
48
Vietnam
61
85
64
85
68
South-east Asia including Hong Kong
1,337
1,679
1,407
1,696
1,486
China JVnote (3)
187
115
186
118
270
Taiwan
108
103
110
102
116
Indianote (4)
104
111
103
114
106
Total Asia
1,736
2,008
1,806
2,030
1,978
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
544
537
578
537
485
Elite Access (variable annuity)
89
79
95
78
74
Fixed annuities
17
17
18
17
18
Fixed index annuities
13
12
14
13
93
Wholesale
153
81
163
79
161
Total US
816
726
868
724
831
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total continuing operations
2,552
2,734
2,674
2,754
2,809
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
165
189
165
189
180
Corporate pensions
75
49
75
49
65
Individual pensions
316
287
316
287
235
Income drawdown
123
133
123
133
125
Other products
91
88
91
88
100
Total discontinued UK and Europe insurance operations
770
746
770
746
705
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
3,322
3,480
3,444
3,500
3,514
 
Schedule A(iv) Investment Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The H1 and H2 of 2018 comparative results are shown below on actual exchange rates (AER) as previously reported.
 
 
 
 
2018
 
 
2019
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
H1 £m
H2 £m
 
 
H1 £m
 
Opening funds under management (FUM)
 
210,423
207,860
 
 
196,401
 
Net flows:note (5)
 
2,685
(14,186)
 
 
(1,528)
 
    - Gross inflows
 
31,857
26,227
 
 
34,247
 
    - Redemptions
 
(29,172)
(40,413)
 
 
(35,775)
 
Other movements*
 
(5,248)
2,727
 
 
14,560
 
Group totalnote (6)
 
207,860
196,401
 
 
209,433
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Continuing operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Eastspring - excluding MMF
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third party retail:note (7)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
38,676
36,086
 
 
43,340
 
Net flows:note (5)
 
25
(692)
 
 
2,073
 
    - Gross inflows
 
10,118
9,125
 
 
15,170
 
    - Redemptions
 
(10,093)
(9,817)
 
 
(13,097)
 
Other movements*
 
(2,615)
7,946
 
 
3,649
 
Closing FUMnote (8)
 
36,086
43,340
 
 
49,062
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third party institutional:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
7,892
6,284
 
 
6,115
 
Net flows:
 
(888)
(31)
 
 
985
 
    - Gross inflows
 
338
965
 
 
1,284
 
    - Redemptions
 
(1,226)
(996)
 
 
(299)
 
Other movements
 
(720)
(138)
 
 
310
 
Closing FUMnote (8)
 
6,284
6,115
 
 
7,410
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Eastspring investment operations
   (excluding MMF)
 
42,370
49,455
 
 
56,472
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discontinued M&GPrudential operations:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Retail:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
79,697
79,821
 
 
69,465
 
Net flows:
 
2,154
(7,022)
 
 
(4,251)
 
    - Gross inflows
 
16,471
8,113
 
 
11,867
 
    - Redemptions
 
(14,317)
(15,135)
 
 
(16,118)
 
Other movements
 
(2,030)
(3,334)
 
 
4,267
 
Closing FUM
 
79,821
69,465
 
 
69,481
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Comprising amounts for:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   UK
 
33,786
30,600
 
 
30,483
 
   Europe (excluding UK)
 
44,571
37,523
 
 
37,520
 
   South Africa
 
1,464
1,342
 
 
1,478
 
 
 
79,821
69,465
 
 
69,481
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Institutional:note (9)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
84,158
85,669
 
 
77,481
 
Net flows:
 
1,394
(6,441)
 
 
(335)
 
    - Gross inflows
 
4,930
8,024
 
 
5,926
 
    - Redemptions
 
(3,536)
(14,465)
 
 
(6,261)
 
Other movements
 
117
(1,747)
 
 
6,334
 
Closing FUM
 
85,669
77,481
 
 
83,480
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total discontinued M&GPrudential operations:
 
165,490
146,946
 
 
152,961
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PPM South Africa FUM included
   in total discontinued M&GPrudential operations
 
5,452
5,144
 
 
5,696
 
* Other movements in H2 2018 for Eastspring investments included an inflow of £8.7 billion funds under management (ex MMF) from the acquisition of TMB Asset Management Co., Ltd. ('TMBAM') in Thailand.
 
Schedule A(v) Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      Comparative results for half year (HY) and full year (FY) 2018 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The half year 2019 results are presented on AER.
 
 
 
2018
2019
 
AER
CER
AER
 
HY
FY
HY
FY
HY
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
New business profit
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
1,122
2,604
1,178
2,675
1,295
US
466
921
495
951
348
Total continuing operations
1,588
3,525
1,673
3,626
1,643
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total discontinued UK and Europe operations
179
352
179
352
152
Group total
1,767
3,877
1,852
3,978
1,795
 
 
 
 
 
 
APEnote (2)
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
1,736
3,744
1,806
3,836
1,978
US
816
1,542
868
1,592
831
Total continuing operations
2,552
5,286
2,674
5,428
2,809
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total discontinued UK and Europe operations
770
1,516
770
1,516
705
Group total
3,322
6,802
3,444
6,944
3,514
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business margin (NBP as % of APE)
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
65%
70%
65%
70%
65%
US
57%
60%
57%
60%
42%
Total continuing operations
62%
67%
63%
67%
58%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total discontinued UK and Europe operations
23%
23%
23%
23%
22%
Group total
53%
57%
54%
57%
51%
 
 
 
 
 
 
PVNBPnote (2)
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
9,132
20,754
9,523
21,284
10,988
US
8,163
15,423
8,680
15,916
8,310
Total continuing operations
17,295
36,177
18,203
37,200
19,298
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
12.3%
12.5%
12.4%
12.6%
11.8%
US
5.7%
6.0%
5.7%
6.0%
4.2%
Total continuing operations
9.2%
9.7%
9.2%
9.7%
8.5%
 
B   Calculation of return on embedded value
 
Return on embedded value is calculated as the total post-tax EEV profit for the period as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.
 
 
 
Half year 2019
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Total Group
EEV basis profit for the period, net of tax and non-controlling interests (£ million)
3,064
948
(1,034)
2,978
1,281
4,259
Opening EEV basis shareholders' equity (£million)
25,132
14,690
(3,624)
36,198
13,584
49,782
Annualised total return on shareholders' funds (%)*
24%
13%
n/a
16%
19%
17%
* Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Half year 2018
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Total Group
EEV basis profit for the period, net of tax and non-controlling interests (£ million)
1,538
822
290
2,650
317
2,967
Opening EEV basis shareholders' equity (£million)
21,592
13,492
(4,013)
31,071
13,627
44,698
Annualised total return on shareholders' funds (%)*
14%
12%
n/a
17%
5%
13%
* Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Full year 2018
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe operations
Total Group
EEV basis profit for the period, net of tax and non-controlling interests (£ million)
3,601
788
(213)
4,176
409
4,585
Opening EEV basis shareholders' equity (£million)
21,592
13,492
(4,013)
31,071
13,627
44,698
Total return on shareholders' funds (%)
17%
6%
n/a
13%
3%
10%
 
C   Calculation of EEV shareholders' funds per share
 
EEV shareholders' funds per share is calculated as closing EEV shareholders' equity divided by the number of issued shares at the end of the period (30 June 2019: 2,600 million shares; 30 June 2018: 2,592 million shares; 31 December 2018: 2,593 million shares). EEV shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders is calculated in the same manner, except goodwill attributable to shareholders is deducted from closing EEV shareholders' equity.
 
 
 
30 Jun 2019
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe
operations
Total
Group
Closing EEV shareholders' equity (£ million)
27,899
15,379
(3,621)
39,657
13,759
53,416
Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
(510)
-
-
(510)
(1,153)
(1,663)
Closing EEV shareholders' equity excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
27,389
15,379
(3,621)
39,147
12,606
51,753
Shareholders' funds per share (in pence)
1,073p
592p
(139)p
1,526p
529p
2,055p
Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (in pence)
1,053p
592p
(139)p
1,506p
485p
1,991p
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
30 Jun 2018
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe
operations
Total
Group
Closing EEV shareholders' equity (£ million)
22,608
14,300
(3,108)
33,800
13,643
47,443
Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
(306)
-
-
(306)
(1,153)
(1,459)
Closing EEV shareholders' equity excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
22,302
14,300
(3,108)
33,494
12,490
45,984
Shareholders' funds per share (in pence)
872p
552p
(120)p
1,304p
526p
1,830p
Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (in pence)
860p
552p
(120)p
1,292p
482p
1,774p
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2018
 
Asia
US
Other
Total continuing operations
Discontinued UK and Europe
operations
Total
Group
Closing EEV shareholders' equity (£ million)
25,132
14,690
(3,624)
36,198
13,584
49,782
Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
(498)
-
-
(498)
(1,153)
(1,651)
Closing EEV shareholders' equity excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
24,634
14,690
(3,624)
35,700
12,431
48,131
Shareholders' funds per share (in pence)
969p
567p
(140)p
1,396p
524p
1,920p
Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (in pence)
950p
567p
(140)p
1,377p
479p
1,856p
 
 
 
 
 
 
SIGNATURES
 
 
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
 
 
 
 
 
Date: 14 August 2019
 
 
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
 
 
 
By: /s/ Mark FitzPatrick
 
 
 
 
Mark FitzPatrick
 
 
Chief Financial Officer