EX-15.2 16 h04189exv15w2.htm EX-15.2 exv15w2
Exhibit 15.2
     
(CCA LOGO)Gaffney, Cline & Associates (Consultants) Pte Ltd
Technical and Management Advisers to the Petroleum Industry Internationally Since 1962



Registration No. 198701453N
 



80 Anson Road, #31-01C
Fuji Xerox Towers
Singapore 079907
Telephone: +65 6225 6951
Facsimile: +65 6224 0842
email:gcas@gaffney-cline.com
www.gaffney-cline.com
 
   
 
     
DSR/jbi/L0162/2010/KK1507.00   27th May, 2010
PetroChina Company Limited
9 Dongzhimen North Street, Dongcheng District
Beijing 100007
China
Dear Gentlemen,
THIRD PARTY REPORT
RESERVES ESTIMATION AND VALUATION OF SELECTED PETROLEUM ASSETS
(ALGERIA, CHAD AND KAZAKHSTAN-PKKR)
AS OF 31
st DECEMBER, 2009
INTRODUCTION
          Gaffney, Cline & Associates (“GCA”) was requested by China National Oil and Gas Exploration and Development Corporation International Holding Ltd. (“CNODCI”), to conduct reserves estimation and valuation (as of 31st December, 2009) of selected petroleum assets in Algeria, Chad, Kazakhstan (PKKR, TP & KGM), and Venezuela, in which CNODCI has current interests. The SEC Executive and SEC Technical Reports were submitted to CNODCI in February, 2010.
          Recently, CNODCI requested GCA to prepare a Third Party Report intended to be submitted to PetroChina Company Limited (PetroChina). This report is to summarize the results of reserves estimation and valuation as of 31st December, 2009 as mentioned above of only selected petroleum assets. The selected petroleum assets determined by CNODCI are in Algeria, Chad and Kazakhstan (PKKR).
METHODOLOGY
          In carrying out the review, GCA relied upon information and data provided by the Company, which comprised: basic engineering data; geoscience information and engineering interpretations associated with such data; other technical reports; costs and commercial data; and development plans. The available data and interpretations were reviewed for reasonableness and the latter adjusted where appropriate.
          The results presented in this report are based upon information and data made available to GCA on or before 4th January, 2010. The Reserve Estimates, forward production estimates and Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations as presented herein are based upon these data and represent GCA’s opinion as of 31st December, 2009.
     
 
                             
UNITED KINGDOM   UNITED STATES   SINGAPORE   AUSTRALIA   ARGENTINA   BRAZIL   KAZAKHSTAN   RUSSIA

 


 

  GCA   GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES  
          It is GCA’s considered opinion that the estimates of oil reserve volumes as of 31st December, 2009, presented in this document are, in aggregate, reasonable and were prepared in accordance with the Final Rule of Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting (17 CFR Parts 210, 211, 229 and 249) published by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 14th January, 2009 on Federal Register/ Vol. 74, No. 9 (see web version: http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2009/33-8995fr.pdf). The definitions are applicable to the Proved reserve categories and sub-classifications.
          Economic models were constructed based on terms of the applicable petroleum contracts as provided by CNODCI, in order to calculate CNODCI’s net revenue interest Proved reserves. As of 31st December, 2009, all Proved SEC reserves were allocated up to the end of the license contract period only.
          As per new SEC guidelines, the oil prices which were used in the evaluation are the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic averages of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2009) prior to the end of reporting period, unless prescribed by contract. Those prices were not escalated throughout the evaluation period except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The report also summarises the sensitivity results in which oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except as prescribed by contract. The historical 12-month oil prices were supplied by CNODCI.
          Future capital costs were derived from development program forecasts prepared by CNODCI for each production unit and corresponding recent historical unit cost data. The recent historical cost data for each relevant production unit were utilized to determine current operating cost conditions. These costs were not escalated and kept constant throughout the evaluation period in the Base Case; however the future capital and Operating Costs were escalated in the sensitivity analysis.
          CNODCI’s net reserve volumes are derived by converting calculated net revenues accruing to CNODCI under the terms of the relevant petroleum contract into equivalent barrels of oil utilising the average 2009 oil pricing explained above. The CNODCI net revenue interest volumes reported in this document represent those amounts that are determined to be attributable to CNODCI’s net economic interest after the deduction of amounts attributable to third parties (government and other working interest partners).
          Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations were also undertaken and derived using cost and production profiles input to the various economic models established for the different petroleum contracts. These NPVs represent future net revenue, after taxes, attributable to the interests of CNODCI, discounted over the economic life of the project at a specified discount rate to a present value as of 31st December, 2009. NPV results are also presented for the sensitivity analysis using the escalated oil prices and Capital and Operating Costs. Unless otherwise stated, no opening tax positions were considered.
          A glossary of abbreviations and key industry standard terms, some or all of which may be used in this report, is attached as Appendix I.
               
 
 
CNODCI   2   KK1507.00

 


 

  GCA   GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES  
1.   RESULTS SUMMARY
1.1   Net Reserves
            The following tables present the net entitlement Proved Developed, Proved Undeveloped and Total Proved oil reserves attributable to CNODCI’s working interests (WI) estimated in accordance with SEC guidelines.
            As required under SEC guidelines, these estimates were prepared under the prevailing fiscal terms and exclude any government share. The economic cut offs were applied using costs and prices which are kept constant throughout the period of calculation, except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2009). No LPG volumes are reported this year due to no LPG sales contract being provided to GCA to review.
NET ENTITLEMENT PROVED OIL RESERVES
AS OF 31
st DECEMBER, 2009
                       
     
              Proved        
  Country     Proved Developed     Undeveloped     Total Proved  
                       
        (Mstb)     (Mstb)     (Mstb)  
                       
 
ALGERIA
    6,774     10,713     17,487  
 
 
                   
 
CHAD
    -     25,958     25,958  
 
 
                   
 
KAZAKHSTAN - PKKR
    76,074     4,387     80,461  
 
 
                   
                       
 
TOTAL CNODCI
    82,848     41,058     123,906  
                       
 
Note:     Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
1.2   Gross Volumes
            Gross production volumes are presented for reference information only. They represent a 100% working interest in commercially recoverable volumes, i.e. after economic cutoffs have been applied. Gross volumes include volumes attributable to third parties, government and other working interest partners. Some of the gross volumes may include agreed contract baseline production and thus contain volumes which are not attributable to CNODCI.
         
 
CNODCI   3   KK1507.00


 

  GCA   GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES  
GROSS PROVED OIL RESERVES
AS OF 31
st DECEMBER, 2009
                       
     
              Proved        
  Country     Proved Developed     Undeveloped     Total Proved  
      (Mstb)     (Mstb)     (Mstb)  
                       
 
ALGERIA
    13,824     21,864     35,688  
 
 
                   
 
CHAD
    -     29,137     29,137  
 
 
                   
 
KAZAKHSTAN - PKKR
    123,800     7,318     131,118  
 
 
                   
                       
 
TOTAL CNODCI
    137,624     58,319     195,943  
                       
Note: Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
1.3   Net Present Values
          The NPVs as of 31st December, 2009 of estimated cash flows discounted at 10%, after taxes, attributable to CNODCI’s working interest in the projects identified above (excluding any balance sheet adjustments or financing costs), are summarised below.
NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2009
DISCOUNT RATE 10%
                       
     
              Proved        
  Country     Proved Developed     Undeveloped     Total Proved  
      (U.S.$MM)     (U.S.$MM)     (U.S.$MM)  
                       
 
ALGERIA
    76     83     159  
 
 
                   
 
CHAD
    -     0     0  
 
 
                   
 
KAZAKHSTAN - PKKR
    823     41     864  
 
 
                   
                       
 
TOTAL CNODCI
    899     124     1,023  
                       
Notes:
1.   No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
 
2.   Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
             
 
CNODCI
    4     KK1507.00


 

  GCA   GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES  
          The NPVs were calculated on the basis of SEC guidelines under which the economic cut-offs were applied using constant costs and prices. The oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2009) except in instances where alternate prices are prescribed by contract.
          The reported NPVs were derived using cost and production profiles input to the various economic models established for the different petroleum contracts and in accordance with the economic assumptions described and discussed in the “Economic Evaluation” sub-sections for each country (see SEC Executive Report submitted to CNODCI in February, 2010). The economic models are based on GCA’s understanding of each contract, as advised by CNODCI.
1.4   Sensitivity Analysis
          Sensitivity analysis has been carried out on the oil prices. In the sensitivity analysis, oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except prescribed by contract. In addition to the escalated oil prices, CAPEX and OPEX were escalated. The sensitivity results are summarised below.
NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI
SENSITIVITY RESULTS
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2009
DISCOUNT RATE 10%
                       
     
              Proved        
  Country     Proved Developed     Undeveloped     Total Proved  
      (U.S.$MM)     (U.S.$MM)     (U.S.$MM)  
                       
 
ALGERIA
    78     92     170  
 
 
                   
 
CHAD
    -     198     198  
 
 
                   
 
KAZAKHSTAN - PKKR
    1,270     67     1,337  
 
 
                   
                       
 
TOTAL CNODCI
    1,348     357     1,705  
                       
Notes:   
 
1.   No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
 
2.   Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
             
 
CNODCI
    5     KK1507.00


 

  GCA   GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES  
2.      BASIS OF OPINION
          This report has been compiled under the supervision of Mr. David S. Ahye. Mr. Ahye is GCA’s Regional Director for the Asia Pacific region, based in Singapore. He has over 30 years’ experience in the petroleum industry and has managed numerous reserves certification audits. Mr. Ahye holds a Bachelor’s Degree (Honours) in Chemical Engineering.
          This assessment was conducted within the context of GCA’s understanding of the effects of petroleum legislation, taxation and other regulations that currently pertain to the various properties. However, GCA is not in a position to attest to the property title, financial interest relationships or encumbrances thereon for any part of the properties reviewed.
          It should be understood that any evaluation, particularly one involving future petroleum developments, may be subject to significant variations over short periods of time, as new information becomes available and perceptions change.
          GCA acted as independent reserve auditors. The firm’s senior partners, officers, and employees have no direct or indirect interest holding in either CNODCI or its affiliated companies. GCA’s remuneration was not in any way contingent upon reported reserve estimates. No representations are made herein in respect of property title or encumbrances thereon. The economic analyses presented have been utilized solely for the calculation of net reserves and do not represent assessments of market value. This report has been prepared for CNODCI and should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is intended.
Yours faithfully,
GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES (CONSULTANTS) PTE LTD

-s- David S. Ahye

David S. Ahye
Regional Director, Asia Pacific
 
         
CNODCI   6   KK1507.00

 


 

  GCA   APPENDIX I  
APPENDIX I
GLOSSARY
 
     
CNODCI   KK1507.00

 


 

  GCA   APPENDIX I  
List of Standard Oil Industry Terms and Abbreviations

       
 
ABEX
  Abandonment Expenditure
 
ACQ
  Annual Contract Quantity
 
°API
  Degrees API (American Petroleum Institute)
 
AAPG
  American Association of Petroleum Geologists
 
AVO
  Amplitude versus Offset
 
A$
  Australian Dollars
 
B
  Billion (109)
 
Bbl
  Barrels
 
/Bbl
  per barrel
 
Bbbl
  Billion Barrels
 
BHA
  Bottom Hole Assembly
 
BHC
  Bottom Hole Compensated
 
Bscf or Bcf
  Billion standard cubic feet
 
Bscf/d or Bcf/d
  Billion standard cubic feet per day
 
Bm3
  Billion cubic metres
 
bcpd
  Barrels of condensate per day
 
BHP
  Bottom Hole Pressure
 
blpd
  Barrels of liquid per day
 
bpd
  Barrels per day
 
boe
  Barrels of oil equivalent @xxx mcf/bbl
 
boepd
  Barrels of oil equivalent per day@xxx mcf/bbl
 
BOP
  Blow Out Preventer
 
bopd
  Barrels oil per day
 
bwpd
  Barrels of water per day
 
BS&W
  Bottom sediment and water
 
BTU
  British Thermal Units
 
bwpd
  Barrels water per day
 
CBM
  Coal Bed Methane
 
CO2
  Carbon Dioxide
 
CAPEX
  Capital Expenditure
 
CCGT
  Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
 
cm
  centimetres
 
CMM
  Coal Mine Methane
 
CNG
  Compressed Natural Gas
 
Cp
  Centipoise (a measure of viscosity)
 
CSG
  Coal Seam Gas
 
CT
  Corporation Tax
 
Cum
  Cumulative
 
DCQ
  Daily Contract Quantity
 
Deg C
  Degrees Celsius
 
Deg F
  Degrees Fahrenheit
 
DHI
  Direct Hydrocarbon Indicator
 
DST
  Drill Stem Test
 
DWT
  Dead-weight ton
 
E&A
  Exploration & Appraisal
 
E&P
  Exploration and Production
 
EBIT
  Earnings before Interest and Tax
 
EBITDA
  Earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation and amortisation
 
EI
  Entitlement Interest
 
EIA
  Environmental Impact Assessment
 
EMV
  Expected Monetary Value

       
 
EOR
  Enhanced Oil Recovery
 
EUR
  Estimated Ultimate Recovery
 
FDP
  Field Development Plan
 
FEED
  Front End Engineering and Design
 
FPSO
  Floating Production, Storage and Offloading
 
FSO
  Floating Storage and Offloading
 
ft
  Foot/feet
 
Fx
  Foreign Exchange Rate
 
g
  gram
 
g/cc
  grams per cubic centimetre
 
gal
  gallon
 
gal/d
  gallons per day
 
G&A
  General and Administrative costs
 
GBP
  Pounds Sterling
 
GDT
  Gas Down to
 
GIIP
  Gas initially in place
 
Gj
  Gigajoules (one billion Joules)
 
GOR
  Gas Oil Ratio
 
GTL
  Gas to Liquids
 
GWC
  Gas water contact
 
HDT
  Hydrocarbons Down to
 
HSE
  Health, Safety and Environment
 
HSFO
  High Sulphur Fuel Oil
 
HUT
  Hydrocarbons up to
 
H2S
  Hydrogen Sulphide
 
IOR
  Improved Oil Recovery
 
IPP
  Independent Power Producer
 
IRR
  Internal Rate of Return
 
J
  Joule (Metric measurement of energy. 1 kilojoule = 0.9478 BTU)
 
k
  Permeability
 
KB
  Kelly Bushing
 
KJ
  Kilojoules (one Thousand Joules)
 
kl
  Kilolitres
 
km
  Kilometres
 
km2
  Square kilometres
 
kPa
  Thousands of Pascals measurement of pressure)
 
KW
  Kilowatt
 
KWh
  Kilowatt hour
 
LKG
  Lowest Known Gas
 
LKH
  Lowest Known Hydrocarbons
 
LKO
  Lowest Known Oil
 
LNG
  Liquefied Natural Gas
 
LoF
  Life of Field
 
LPG
  Liquefied Petroleum Gas
 
LTI
  Lost Time Injury
 
LWD
  Logging while drilling
 
m
  Metres
 
M
  Thousand
 
m3
  Cubic metres
 
Mcf or Mscf
  Thousand standard cubic feet
 
MCM
  Management Committee Meeting
 
cf or scf
  Standard Cubic Feet
 
         
CNODCI   AI.1   KK1507.00

 


 

  GCA   APPENDIX I  

     
 
MMcf or MMscf    
Million standard cubic feet
 
m3d
Cubic metres per day
 
MDT
Modular Dynamic Tester
 
mD
Measure of Permeability in millidarcies
 
MD
Measured Depth
 
Mean
Arithmetic average of a set of numbers
 
Median
Middle value in a set of values
 
MFT
Multi Formation Tester
 
mg/l
milligrames per litre
 
MJ
Megajoules (One Million Joules)
 
Mm3
Thousand Cubic metres
 
Mm3d
Thousand Cubic metres per day
 
MM
Million
 
MMbbl
Millions of barrels
 
MMBTU
Millions of British Thermal Units
 
Mode
Value that exists most frequently in a set of values = most likely
 
Mscf/d
Thousand standard cubic feet per day
 
MMscf/d
Million standard cubic feet per day
 
MW
Megawatt
 
MWD
Measuring While Drilling
 
MWh
Megawatt hour
 
mya
Million years ago
 
NGL
Natural Gas Liquids
 
N2
Nitrogen
 
NPV
Net Present Value
 
OBM
Oil Based Mud
 
OCM
Operating Committee Meeting
 
ODT
Oil down to
 
OPEX
Operating Expenditure
 
OWC
Oil Water Contact
 
p.a.
Per annum
 
Pa
Pascals (metric measurement of pressure)
 
P&A
Plugged and Abandoned
 
PDP
Proved Developed Non-producing
 
PI
Productivity Index
 
PJ
Petajoules (1015Joules)
 
PSDM
Post Stack Depth Migration
 
psi
Pounds per square inch
 
psia
Pounds per square inch absolute
 
psig
Pounds per square inch gauge
 
PUD
Proved Undeveloped
 
PVT
Pressure volume temperature
 
P10
10% Probability
 
P50
50% Probability
 
P90
90% Probability
 
RF
Recovery factor
 
RFT
Repeat Formation Tester
 
RT
Rotary Table
 
Rw
Resistivity of water
 
SCAL
Special core analysis

       
 
cf/d or scf/d
Standard Cubic Feet per day
 
scf/ton
Standard cubic foot per ton
 
SL
Straight line (for depreciation)
 
so
Oil Saturation
 
SPE
Society of Petroleum Engineers
 
SPEE
Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers
 
ss
Subsea
 
stb
Stock tank barrel
 
STOIIP
Stock tank oil initially in place
 
sw
Water Saturation
 
T
Tonnes
 
TD
Total Depth
 
Te
Tonnes equivalent
 
THP
Tubing Head Pressure
 
TJ
Terajoules (1012Joules)
 
Tscf or Tcf
Trillion standard cubic feet
 
TCM
Technical Committee Meeting
 
TOC
Total Organic Carbon
 
TOP
Take or Pay
 
Tpd
Tonnes per day
 
TVD
True Vertical Depth
 
TVDss
True Vertical Depth Subsea
 
USGS
United States Geological Survey
 
U.S.$
United States Dollar
 
VSP
Vertical Seismic Profiling
 
WC
Water Cut
 
WI
Working Interest
 
WPC
World Petroleum Council
 
WTI
West Texas Intermediate
 
wt%
Weight percent
 
1H05
First half (6 months) of 2005 (example of date)
 
2Q06
Second quarter (3 months) of 2006 (example of date)
 
2D
Two dimensional
 
3D
Three dimensional
 
4D
Four dimensional
 
1P
Proved Reserves
 
2P
Proved plus Probable Reserves
 
3P
Proved plus Probable plus Possible Reserves
 
%
Percentage
 
         
CNODCI   AI.1   KK1507.00