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Derivative Financial Instruments (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2017
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities Disclosure [Abstract]  
Fair Values of Derivative Instruments to be classified as Derivative Liabilities on Balance Sheet

Fair values of derivative instruments to be classified as derivative liabilities on the balance sheet consist of the following:

 

($ in thousands)              

Liability derivates:

   Balance Sheet Location      Fair Value  

March 31, 2017:

     

Derivative liabilities

     Liabilities      $ 2,471  
     

 

 

 
Change in Derivative Liability

The change in the derivative liability for the three months ended March 31, 2017 consisted of the following:

 

($ in thousands)    Fair Value  

Balance, December 31, 2016

   $ 862  

Dividends

     49  

Mark-to-market

     1,560  
  

 

 

 

Balance, March 31, 2017

   $ 2,471  
  

 

 

 
Fair Value Assumptions Used in Probability Weighted Approach and Monte Carlo Simulation Model

The fair value of the Series 1 preferred stock dividends were estimated using a probability-weighted approach and a Monte Carlo simulation model. The fair value of the embedded derivatives was estimated using the “with” and “without” method where the preferred stock was first valued with all of its features (“with” scenario) and then without derivatives subject to the valuation analysis (“without” scenario). The fair value of the derivatives was then estimated as the difference between the fair value of the preferred stock in the “with” scenario and the preferred stock in the “without” scenario. The model also takes into account, management estimates of clinical success/failure based upon market studies and probability of potential conversion and liquidation events. If these estimates were different, the valuations would change and that change could be material. Inputs to the models included the following:

 

     March 31, 2017     December 31, 2016  

Risk-free interest rate

     1.92     1.69

Expected dividend rate

     0       0  

Expected volatility

     68.70     72.70

Preferred stock conversion limit - percentage of outstanding common stock

     19.90     19.90

Preferred conversion floor price

   $ 1.00     $ 1.00