EX-99.1 2 exhibit_presentation.htm BIENNIAL INVESTOR CONFERENCE PRESENTATION exhibit_presentation.htm
1
2010 Investor Day
February 11, 2010
Salt Lake City
 
 

 
2

Table of Contents
Ø Overview
 Ø Geography & Footprint Economics
 Ø Business Mix
 Ø Customer Growth / Retention
 Ø Net Interest Margin
 Ø Credit Quality - Big Picture
 Ø Efficiency
 Ø Capital
 Ø Shareholder Dilution
Ø Construction
 Ø Residential
 Ø Commercial
Ø National Real Estate: SBA 504 Program
Ø Term Commercial Real Estate
Ø Energy Portfolio
Ø Small Business Lending
Ø Investment Securities & Interest Rate Sensitivity
Ø Summary and Outlook
 
 

 
3
Introductory Overview
 
 

 
4
A Collection of Great Banks
 
 

 
5
Long-Term Growth Engine
Footprint Population Growth Estimates from SNL Financial (2009-2014)
 
 

 
6
Advantages of Multi-Bank Model
 Local Decisions
  Quick turnaround of lending decisions
  Customer access to decision-maker
  Relationship approach leads to strong business banking =
 stronger DDA balances
  Breadth of products of a regional/super-regional bank
  Service levels of a community bank
  Pricing flexibility by market
 Superior Local Knowledge
  Avoid buying the business (thin spreads/ROEs)
  Avoid credit losses due to market or product inexperience
 
 

 
7
Strong Focus on Business Banking - Loan Mix, Profit Mix
Consumer
22%
CRE
32%
*Includes FDIC Supported Assets
* Commercial Loans: 79%
* Retail & Other Loans: 21%
 
 

 
8
Deposit Composition
Retail: 45%
Commercial: 55%
 
 

 
9
Zions’ Strengths
 Annual core pretax, pre-credit earnings range of $900 million to $950
 million
  NIM: 3.81%, ranked #2 of regional banks/peers*
  Best among peers* for non-interest bearing deposits as a percent of earning assets
 Strong allowance for credit loss: 4.3% of loans
 Low original LTV ratios on term commercial real estate loans
 Successful bidder on four FDIC assisted transactions; paying agent
 on two resolutions
 Markets with nation’s strongest long term growth profile
 Competitive operating cost structure
  Expense / Loan ratio: Best quartile
*Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
 
 

 
10
Customer Retention and Growth - Total Commercial Customers up 18% (Organic)
Since 2007
 
 

 
11
Zions’ Challenges
 Rising NPAs, to 5.9% of loans from 5.4% in prior quarter (1)
  Total delinquent + NPA declined by 2% in 4Q09 compared to the prior quarter
 2009 net charge-off rate of 2.9%; 4Q09 NCO rate: 3.0% (1)
 Continued securities impairments (OTTI), primarily on
 bank/insurance CDOs - $99.3 million in 4Q
  Although OCI mark is already reflected in GAAP capital ratios, the difference
 between Amortized Cost (OTTI mark) and Carrying Value (OCI mark) is $620
 million, representing a potential earnings impairment
(1) Excludes FDIC supported assets
 
 

 
12
Net Interest Margin
 
 

 
13
Net Interest Margin (FY 2009)
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and less than $200
billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL (As Reported NIM - field not available for FHN, BOKF)
 
 

 
14
Risk-adjusted Net Interest Margin* (FY 2009)
*(Net Interest Income - Net Charge-offs)/Average Earning Assets
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and less than $200
billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
 
 

 
15
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and less than $200
billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL (As Reported NIM)
Net Interest Margin (Historical)
Weighted Average Spread
on new production is >4.5%
 
 

 
16
Core NIM Trends
Core NIM Performance
 Due to the
 extinguishment/
 reissuance of
 subordinated debt in
 June 2009, Zions
 experiences non-cash
 discount accretion,
 which increases interest
 expense, reducing GAAP
 NIM
Core NIM (excludes discount accretion) has been generally stable
 1Q09 experienced a temporary dip due to an intentional build-up of excess
 liquidity during the significant turmoil during late 2008/early 2009.
 Issuance of senior notes in September 2009 had about 8 bps adverse impact
 on the core NIM in 4Q09.
 
 

 
17
Driver of Strong NIM: DDA
Core NIM Performance
 Zions non-interest
 bearing deposit growth
 remains strong
  ZION: +27% Y/Y
  US commercial
 banks: +3% Y/Y
DDA Growth - Indexed: 4Q08=100
 
 

 
18
Driver of Strong NIM: New Loan Spread and Deposit Costs
 
 

 
19
Credit Quality - Big Picture Overview
 
 

 
20
Loan Portfolio Performance (12/31/2009)
 
 

 
21
NPAs + Greater than 90 Days Delinquent / Loans + OREO
NPAs & Delinquency Trends
(Regional Bank Peers)
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
 
 

 
22
Net Charge-offs as % of Loans*
(Regional Bank Peers)
*Annualized
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
 
 

 
23
*The C&I Loans category excludes the impact of a significant credit, of which the
majority was recovered in 4Q09.
Net Charge Offs - By Loan Type (Regional Bank Peers)
Percentage of Zions
Total Loans
 
 

 
24
ALLL as a % of Loans
Source: SNL (ALLL as a % of Gross Loans)
 
 

 
25
 
 

 
26
 
 

 
27
Reserve Coverage of NCOs
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
 
 

 
28
 
 

 
29
 
 

 
30
 
 

 
31
 
 

 
32
 
 

 
33
Zions’ Top 20 Non-Accrual Loans
 
 

 
34
Nonaccrual Loan Migration
- Nonaccrual loan inflows
 have stabilized; expect
 receding to begin in early
 2010
- Favorable resolutions
 increased 21% vs. 3Q09
- Unfavorable resolutions
 declined 12% vs. 3Q09
 
 

 
35
Other Real Estate Owned (OREO) Migration
- OREO inflows stable
- Favorable resolutions
 increased 108% vs. 3Q09
- Unfavorable resolutions
 increased 34% vs. 3Q09
 
 

 
36
Top 20 Total Loans
 
 

 
37
Granularity of Loans - By Major Loan Type
 
 

 
38
Expense Control
 
 

 
39
Efficiency - Expense Management
*4Q09 Non-Interest Expense Annualized
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL (estimated for reporting gaps where necessary)
 
 

 
40
Capital
 
 

 
41
Where We Are: Capital Ratios as of December 31, 2009
4Q08
3Q09
4Q09
Tangible Common Equity
5.89%
5.76%
6.12%
Tier 1 Common
6.28%
6.59%
6.57%*
Tier 1 Risk Based
10.22%
10.34%
10.37%*
Total Risk Based
14.32%
13.08%
13.13%*
* 4Q09 ratios are estimates
 
 

 
42
Where We Are: Tier 1 + Reserves to Total Loans - 12/31/09*
* ZION estimated as of 4Q09; all peer data as of 3Q09 (4Q09 data not yet available at time of printing)
 
 

 
43
1Q - 2Q 08: No Capital Actions
3Q 08: $47mm 9.50% Fixed-Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock issued; $245mm common stock issued
4Q 08: $1.4 billion TARP
2Q 09: $100mm preferred repurchased; $54mm gain—preferred stock redemption; $124mm common stock issued ($46mm to fund preferred repurchase); $45mm
 sub debt mod equity conversion option; $188mm gain—sub debt mod; $100mm gain—recognition of deferred gains on swaps; $14.5mm gain on Alliance
 & Great Basin banks
3Q 09: $28mm sub debt to preferred conversion; $187mm common stock issued; $15.5mm reduction from amortization of gain on sub debt mod; $84.6mm gain
 on Vineyard Bank
4Q 09: $71.5mm preferred stock exchanged for common, $36mm sub debt to preferred conversion; $153mm common stock issued, $39mm to common for
 exchange; $32mm gain—equity conversion; $156mm restatement of Q2 sub debt mod equity conversion option; $16.9mm gain—restatement of Q2 sub
 debt mod, $11mm gain—Q4 sub debt mod, $23.2mm reduction from amortization of gain on sub debt mod.
Net:
$292mm
Net:
$1.4 b
Net:
$426mm
Net:
$348mm
Total: $2.75b
Net:
$284mm
$ millions
2008 - 2009 Capital Actions Net to Tier 1
 
 

 
44
Capital Creation - Zions’ equity raises less dilutive to shareholders
Equity issuance
$709
$0
$986
$2,037
$0
$1,415
$1,136
$478
$571
Liability management
$603
$0
$467
$1,345
$10
$24
$520
$0
$30
Other strategic
$99
$18
$1,473
$176
$4
$0
$20
$0
$34
Source: Credit Suisse
 
 

 
45
Zions’ Approach to Capital
 Maintain and incrementally improve capital ratios
 Use all available “levers” to minimize dilution
  Common equity distribution programs
  Convertible instruments
  Modified sub debt converts to preferred (Tier 1)
  Reduce tangible assets (loan demand remains weak)
  Reduce risk-weightings of assets
  Preserve DTA - GAAP and RAAP
 Raise capital to repay TARP after credit
 conditions and earnings outlook improve
  Cost of capital lower - common and preferred
 
 

 
46
Risks to Approach
 Regulatory/political pressure to take action not in
 shareholders’ interest
 Not raising enough/markets deteriorate
 
 

 
47
Summary
 Zions is managing capital:
  For current shareholders
  To do enough to avoid unacceptable risks
 
 

 
48
Overview Q&A Session
 
 

 
49
Construction Loan Deep Dive
Reducing Risk: A Portfolio in Active Runoff Mode
David Blackford
Keith Maio
Dallas Haun
Scott McLean
Michael Morris
 
 

 
50
C&I
47%
Consumer
22%
CRE
32%
*Includes FDIC Supported Assets
 For 4Q09, construction
 loans accounted for
  14% of the loan
 portfolio
  51% of FY09 NCOs
Construction Overview
 
 

 
51
Basic Construction Underwriting Guidelines
Commercial
Properties
Residential
Properties
Loan Amount
Yes
Yes
Loan-to-Value
Yes
Yes
Cash Equity In?
Yes
Yes
Loan-to-Cost
Yes
Yes
Debt Service Coverage
Yes
N/A
Term
Yes
Yes
Preleasing
Yes
N/A
Market Analysis
Yes
Yes
Recourse/Guarantor
Yes
Yes
General Contractor
Yes
Yes
 
 

 
52
Construction loan overview - RESIDENTIAL Properties
Total Residential Properties under Construction: $1.7 billion
 
 

 
53
Construction loan overview - COMMERCIAL Properties
Total Commercial Properties under Construction: $3.8 billion
 
 

 
54
Construction loan overview - Granularity of Residential Portfolio
 
 

 
55
Construction loan overview - Granularity of Commercial Portfolio
 
 

 
56
Macroeconomic Data - Home Price Appreciation
 
 

 
57
Construction Credit Trends - Growth, NAL, NCO
 
 

 
58
Construction loan overview - Resi Growth, NAL, NCO Trends
Residential Construction
 
 

 
59
Construction loan overview - Commercial Growth, NAL, NCO Trends
Commercial Construction
 
 

 
60
Construction loan overview - Allowance for Credit Loss
 Zions holds a
 significant reserve
 against its
 construction
 portfolio
 Primarily based on
 statistical loss
 factors (as opposed
 to specific reserves)
 Residential: 10.9%
 of total residential
 construction loans
 Commercial: 13.5%
 of total commercial
 construction loans
 
 

 
61
Construction Lending - Supplemental
Construction Lending
-
Supplemental
 Information
 
 

 
62
Interest Reserves - Total Construction Portfolio
Interest reserves
 Common industry practice for
 construction lending
 Only 19% of Zions’ construction
 portfolio has an interest reserve
 
 

 
63
Interest Reserves - Split between Residential and Commercial Construction
 
 

 
64
Residential Construction - Vintage Stratification
 
 

 
65
Construction: Indexed Growth
Indexed Loan Growth: 4Q05=100
 
 

 
66
Construction Nonaccrual Loans and NCOs, by Affiliate
Construction
 Performance
 Nevada loss content has
 exceeded all other
 geographies in 2009
 Losses relative to
 defaults have run
 considerably higher on
 construction loans than
 on other loan types
 Texas loss severity not
 as bad as other states -
 recent indications
 suggest that demand is
 rebounding at a healthy
 level
Source: Call reports; NALs for CA exclude FDIC supported assets
 
 

 
67
Construction: Relative Concentration and Performance
Construction accounts for approximately
 14% of total loans.
Relative to the consolidated total
 construction loans,
  TX, AZ, and NV have a higher
 concentration in Term CRE
  Concentrations in UT and CA are
 significantly less than the overall
 portfolio
Relative to the consolidated Term CRE
 nonaccrual ratio,
  AZ and NV are experiencing
 higher NALs due to significantly
 harder hit A&D values
  CA (excluding loans covered by
 the FDIC) is showing significantly
 better nonaccruals, due in part to
 early reduction in lending activity
Relative to the 4Q09 consolidated NCO
 ratio,
  NV and AZ remain elevated,
 accounting for approximately 1/2
 of the quarterly construction
 NCOs of the company
 
 

 
68
Construction Outlook
Outlook
 Impediments to growth
  Lack of qualified borrowers and/or good projects
  New internal concentration limits
  Lack of demand for new projects
 Growth opportunities
  Recognize: Zions is in markets where population growth is
 likely to be strong
  Construction and development concentration will likely remain
 above industry average, but far less than Zions’ historical levels
  Less A&D
  More focus on projects where cash flow certainty is stronger
 
 

 
69
National Real Estate Group /
SBA 504 Program
Peter Morgan
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Peter J. Morgan, Executive Vice President
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Executive Summary
Nationally:
 Small businesses in all industries experiencing different levels
 of declining revenues, net income and cash flow
 Declining CRE values (30-50%). Given default, many small
 businesses unable to sell building to satisfy debt
 FY’09 SBA 504 loan volume down 50% from FY’08
Zions National Real Estate Group:
 NPAs increased from $244M in June ‘09 to $380M at Dec. ’09
 2009 Pre-tax, Pre-provision Income 2.2x net credit and OREO
 losses.
 2009 net charge-offs relatively low at 74 bps
 OREO holding period steady at 90-100 days
71
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
National Real Estate Dept.
Loan Portfolio

(Year-End Outstanding Loan Balance: $ Millions)
72
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Changes & Challenges
 FL, AZ, NV, and GA have seen commercial
 real property values decline 50-70% which
 has contributed to higher net charge-offs
 30+ day delinquency rate increased from
 5.62% in June ’09 to 7.79% at Dec.’09
 Dec. ’09 non-accruals were $333M and
 OREO was $46.6M or 6.4% and .90%
 respectively, of $5.2B portfolio
73
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Other Nat’l R. E. Dept Facts
a) At Jan 31, 2009; 36% of Zions Bank total
 loans and 48.6% of Zions Bank NPAs
b) If a loan defaults, resulting in foreclosure,
 the average principal loss is
±10%
c) 92% of borrowers continue to pay as agreed
 with most recent 3 months delinquency rate
 holding steady at 8%
74
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Collateral Property Type
December 31, 2009
75
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Owner-Occupied vs. CRE
December 31, 2009
76
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
National Real Estate Dept. NPAs
($ in Millions)
77
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Loans by State
December 31, 2009
Portfolio
Non-accruals
78
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Loans by State (cont.)
December 31, 2009
Portfolio
OREO
79
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
OREO Aging
December 31, 2009
80
Months:
#
$
%
0 to 3 months
34
$22.5
48.3%
3 to 6 months
22
$11.7
25.1%
6 to 9 months
12
$12.0
25.8%
9 to 12 months
0
$0.0
0.0%
12+ months
1
$0.4
0.8%
Total
69
$46.6
100.0%
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
2009 Net Credit Losses and
Losses on Sale of OREO
($ Millions)
Average
Portfolio
Balance 2009
Credit
Losses
bps
Losses on
OREO
bps
Owner-Occupied (C&I)
$3,307.1
$21.5
65.0
$11.9
36.0
Investor (CRE)
$1,990.9
$17.8
89.4
$3.8
19.1
Total
$5,298.0
$39.3
74.2
$15.7
29.6
81
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Historical Delinquency
82
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Delinquency Trends
83
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
NPA History by Cohort
Tracking Non-accruals by month first placed on non-accrual
84
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
85
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
 Get to Borrower quicker and determine best course of
 action
 Created team(s) of experienced officers to craft solutions
 for each borrower
 Waive prepayment penalties, consider short sales, and
 explore note sales to investors, SBA, or junior lender(s)
 when appropriate
 Start foreclosure process sooner, if necessary
 Utilize web based “auction platform” to sell OREO
#1 Objective: Reduce NPAs
86
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Improvement Steps
 Established National CRE limits at 135% of risk based capital
 Set CRE property type and geographic limits which resulted in:
 a) A current restriction on new hotel lending
 b) No additional CRE lending, in CA, NV, AZ, as well as other regions
 experiencing higher defaults with longer resolution times
 Curtailed maximum advance rates not to exceed 65% on any
 property, with lower limits of 50% on special use properties
 All 10 BDOs to take an active role in geographic areas to visit
 borrowers as needed, assist in note sales and OREO marketing
87
 
 

 
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
ZIONS NATIONAL REAL ESTATE
Outlook
2010:
  Selective portfolio growth until NPAs decrease to
 acceptable level
  NPAs expected to rise modestly until mid-year, then
 decline to
< $375 million (7.2%) at year end
  Annualized net credit losses ≈ 150 bps
Longer Term:
  Significant growth opportunity in C&I lending
  Higher SBA loan and guarantee limits
  New refinancing rules for SBA 504 lending
88
 
 

 
89
Term Commercial Real Estate Loan
Deep Dive
Scott McLean
Michael Morris
David Blackford
Keith Maio
 
 

 
90
Term Commercial Real Estate - Location
 Term CRE, or non-owner
 occupied loans account for
 approximately 19% of total
 loans, excluding FDIC
 supported assets.
Geography of Term CRE
 Based on affiliate, Term CRE
 loans are most significantly
 concentrated in Utah and
 California.
 Utah Term CRE includes a
 significant amount of loans
 within the National Real
 Estate Group (NREG) - $1.9
 billion, or more than 70% of
 total.
  NREG loans are
 predominately SBA 504
 loans or otherwise have
 a very low LTV at
 origination
 
 

 
91
Term CRE - Category Stratification
 
 

 
92
Term CRE Credit Trends - EXCLUDING Gaming Credits
 
 

 
93
Term CRE Credit Trends - Effect of Gaming on Loss Rates
 Annualized 4Q09 NCOs Including Gaming: 3.1% annualized
 Annualized 4Q09 NCOs Excluding Gaming: 1.7% annualized
 Loss trends much more stable excluding gaming; gaming Term
 CRE credits remaining: $74 million.
 
 

 
94
Change in CRE Loan Commitments in $billions (4Q07 to 4Q09)
 A significant decline
 in construction
 commitments has
 been partially offset
 by Term CRE loan
 growth
 Construction loans
 must qualify for
 “pass grade”
 underwriting in
 order to move from
 Construction to
 Term CRE
 
 

 
95
ZION vs. SCAP More Adverse Stress Loss Projections
 
 

 
96
Term CRE -Vintage Stratification
 
 

 
97
Term CRE Maturity Stratification
 
 

 
98
Term CRE - LTV Stratification At Origination*
*Or most recent appraisal; reappraisals are most frequently
conducted when a loan is downgraded to substandard
 
 

 
99
Macroeconomic Data - MIT’s Transaction Based Index
 
 

 
100
Term CRE - TBI* Adjusted LTV Stratification
*The MIT Transaction Based Index is a national index that has
been applied to ZBC's mostly regional CRE Portfolio
 
 

 
101
Day of Reckoning - or Not?
 Eighty percent of the industry’s CRE loans
 maturing in 2014 are projected to be underwater
 (LTV >100%).
 Based on loans adjusted for price declines as
 reflected in the 4Q09 MIT TBI, Zions would have
 approximately
6% underwater.
 Loans Maturing in 2010 DO NOT include
 approximately $92 MM of loans that have
 matured, but are in workout
Source: American Banker, Foresight Analytics
 
 

 
102
Term CRE -
 Supplemental Slides
 
 

 
103
Term CRE Loan Growth By Affiliate
 Growth of Term CRE in
 the last three years has
 come primarily from the
 National Real Estate
 Group (typically SBA 504
 or 504-look-alike loans).
  ZFNB (including NREG)
 growth was more than $1
 billion, or approximately
 45% of total franchise
 growth
 Texas grew at the next
 most strongest rate,
 although a much smaller
 segment of the
 franchise.
 California grew at the
 third fastest rate,
 increasing by more than
 $750 million (includes
 FDIC transactions)
 
 

 
104
Term CRE Nonaccrual Loans and NCOs, by Affiliate (FY09)
Term CRE Performance
 Loss severity on Term CRE
 typically runs at a fraction
 of nonaccrual loans
 Nevada losses running
 significantly higher due to
 casino properties - $
 Remaining gaming/casino
 portfolio: $169M, of which
 $74M is Term CRE
 4Q09 Term CRE NCOs, x-
 gaming: 1.7% annualized
 FY09 Term CRE NCOs, x-
 gaming: 1.7%
 Nevada losses were
 approximately 39% of total
 FY09 Term CRE losses,
 excluding gaming.
Source: Call reports; NV NCO data excludes gaming credits, CA data excludes FDIC supported
credits
 
 

 
105
Term CRE Relative Performance - 4Q09
Term CRE accounts for approximately 18%
 of total loans.
Relative to the consolidated total Term
 CRE of 18%,
  UT and CA have slightly more
 concentration in Term CRE
  TX, AZ, NV, and CO have a
 significantly lower concentration
Relative to the consolidated Term CRE
 nonaccrual ratio,
  NV is experiencing about five
 points higher NALs due to gaming
 credits
  UT and CA (excluding loans
 covered by the FDIC) are
 approximately in line
  All others are in line or below the
 consolidated level
Relative to the 4Q09 consolidated NCO
 ratio,
  Excluding gaming credits, there
 were very few deviations on NCO
 ratios in the fourth quarter
Source: Call reports; NV NCO data excludes gaming credits, CA data excludes FDIC supported
credits
 
 

 
106
CRE Portfolio Dollar Change from 4Q07 to 4Q09 (in $000s)
Collateral Location
Arizona
Northern
California
Southern
California
Nevada
Colorado
Texas
Utah/
Idaho
Washington
Other
Total
Commercial Term
Industrial
$28,178
$9,017
($19,155)
$16,416
($6,992)
$52,968
$21,475
$4,482
$38,314
$144,702
Office
$42,423
$59,366
$105,473
($2,661)
($51,947)
($356)
$9,907
$19,996
$47,793
$229,993
Retail
$48,874
$71,452
$169,731
$18,474
$50,260
$162,184
$33,397
$19,134
$184,868
$758,376
Hotel/Motel
$43,275
$66,383
$28,754
($28,609)
$10,651
$77,702
$57,512
$6,690
$139,545
$401,904
A&D
$0
$0
($6,523)
$0
$0
$0
$0
($6,821)
$1,201
($12,143)
Medical
$12,713
$27,683
$22,829
$61,204
$9,177
$10,251
$11,148
$748
($115)
$155,639
Recreation/Restaurant
$35,621
$7,972
$38,728
$31,056
$12,975
$16,678
$13,242
$1,948
$24,224
$182,443
Multifamily
$20,527
$1,808
$92,946
$15,540
$10,916
$98,902
$377
$6,661
($142)
$247,536
Other
($79,328)
($1,674)
($20,894)
($27,085)
($53,711)
($24,059)
$11,916
$594
($124,881)
($319,122)
Total Commercial Term
$152,283
$242,007
$411,889
$84,335
($18,671)
$394,270
$158,974
$53,432
$310,807
$1,789,328
Location as % Total - Term
-1.6%
1.8%
0.6%
-1.8%
-2.1%
2.4%
-0.3%
0.2%
0.7%
0.0%
Residential Construction
Single Family Housing
($831,434)
($176,910)
($454,878)
($175,285)
($76,088)
($316,963)
($363,907)
$16,022
($1,578)
($2,381,021)
Land Acquisition & Development
($509,338)
($83,291)
($192,851)
($162,307)
($52,826)
($155,846)
($143,901)
($21,091)
($38,723)
($1,360,175)
Total Residential Construction
($1,340,772)
($260,201)
($647,729)
($337,592)
($128,914)
($472,809)
($507,808)
($5,069)
($40,301)
($3,741,196)
Commercial Construction
Industrial
($54,579)
$495
($12,582)
($26,003)
($3,522)
($4,686)
$1,750
$2,000
($167)
($97,293)
Office
($93,491)
$10,451
($41,982)
($73,228)
$26,793
$78,769
($7,257)
($8,879)
($10,718)
($119,541)
Retail
($85,902)
$804
($64,386)
($133,215)
$16,319
($238,957)
($19,401)
($5,953)
($67,238)
($597,930)
Hotel/Motel
($33,955)
$21,623
$27,381
$5,904
$2,473
$46,221
($41,013)
$0
($5,483)
$23,150
A&D
($120,347)
($24,504)
$13,847
($184,231)
$27,392
($488,092)
$33,256
($9,035)
($16,983)
($768,700)
Medical
($12,700)
$0
($13,713)
($8,272)
($2,572)
($3,672)
($5,935)
$8,400
($10,448)
($48,912)
Recreation/Restaurant
($10,941)
$0
($11)
$2,188
$0
($161)
$576
$0
$0
($8,348)
Other
($67,380)
($4,150)
($40,234)
($41,897)
($2,840)
$35,408
($206)
($9,590)
($281,285)
($412,172)
Apartments
($89,574)
($12,785)
($52,475)
($9,402)
$4,322
$18,836
$15,491
($58,394)
($44,457)
($228,439)
Total Commercial Construction
($568,869)
($8,066)
($184,155)
($468,156)
$68,365
($556,334)
($22,739)
($81,451)
($436,779)
($2,258,185)
TOTAL CONSTRUCTION
($1,909,641)
($268,267)
($831,884)
($805,748)
($60,549)
($1,029,143)
($530,547)
($86,520)
($477,080)
($5,999,381)
Location as % Total -
Construction
-9.2%
-0.9%
-2.1%
-1.6%
3.2%
8.4%
2.0%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.0%
Based on Total Loan Commitments
 
 

 
107
Term CRE - TBI* Adjusted LTV by Product & Location
*The MIT Transaction Based Index is a national index that has
been applied to ZBC's mostly regional CRE Portfolio
 
 

 
108
ZION vs. SCAP Baseline Stress Loss Projections
 
 

 
109
Term CRE Outlook
Outlook
 Impediments to growth
  Sluggish transaction volume
  Depressed prices
 Growth opportunities
  SBA 504
  Limited securitization market
 Key differentiator
  Local businesses need local decision makers for financing
 
 

 
110
Energy Loan Portfolio
Scott McLean
Steve Stephens
 
 

 
Energy Loan Portfolio
 
 

 
*
Energy Lending
E&P/Midstream Lending
Corporate Energy Services
Lending
§ Upstream:
 E&P companies
§ Midstream:
 Natural gas gathering systems
 Gas gathering/pipeline companies
 Gas processing plants
 Petroleum storage terminals
§ Energy Services:
 Field services
 Equipment manufacturing
 Drillers (working capital only)
§ Downstream:
 Refiners (working capital only)
 
 

 
*
The Energy Lending Group
Steve Kennedy, P.E.
Senior Vice President
24 years
Gregory Petruska P.E.
Senior Vice President
29 years
E&P / Midstream
Lending - Houston
Charles W. Patterson
Senior Vice President
34 years
Corporate Energy
Services
Lending - Houston
C Ross Bartley
Senior Vice President
11 years
E&P / Midstream
Lending - Dallas
Terry McCarter
Senior Vice President
30 years
Buzz Gralla
Senior Advisor
40 years
E&P / Midstream
Lending - Denver
28 Total Employees in the Energy Group
19 in Houston, 7 in Dallas, & 2 in Denver
Top 6 Officers average 28 years of experience
 
 

 
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
Commitments
Outstanding
Deposits
2005
($ in Millions)
2007
2008
2009
Includes Energy Service Commitments >$1MM bank wide
Energy Group Growth
*
 
 

 
Energy Portfolio Loan Composition
Outstanding
$1.75 Billion
Commitments
$3.3 Billion
E & P
Midstream
Services
Coal
Other
Refining
12/31/09
Includes Energy Service Commitments >$1MM bank wide
*
 
 

 
Energy Service Exposure by Market Segment
$1.7 Billion in Commitments
 
 

 
*
Selected Oilfield Service Relationships
*
 
 

 
Selected Exploration & Production Relationships
 
 

 
Commitments
$3.3 Billion
Outstanding
$1.75 Billion
12/31/09
Credit Quality - Total Energy Portfolio
Performing
Non Performing
Non Performing
Includes Energy Service Commitments >$1MM bank wide
Performing
 
 

 
Commitments
$1.6 Billion
Outstanding
$1.02 Billion
12/31/09
Credit Quality - E&P/Midstream Portfolio (1)
Performing
Non Performing
Non Performing
Performing
(1) Includes Other/Coal/Refining
 
 

 
E&P Underwriting
Typical Oil & Gas Reserve based loan
(75% producing reserves and 25% non-producing)
$100 - value using NYMEX oil and gas prices
$ 85 -  Amegy risk-adjusted reserves (i.e. collateral value)
$ 68 - apply Amegy prices (80% of NYMEX)
$ 51 - loan value 75% adv. rate (25% of reserves hedged)
$ 41 - loan value 60% adv. rate (no hedging)
Note: Average utilization on facilities ~55%.
($ in Million’s)
*
 
 

 
Crude Oil Price Deck
*
 
 

 
Natural Gas Price Deck
 
 

 
124
($ per Barrel of Oil Equivalent)
 
 

 
Commitments
$1.7 Billion
Outstanding
$730 Million
12/31/09
Credit Quality - Energy Services Portfolio (1)
Performing
Non Performing
Non Performing
Performing
Includes Energy Service Commitments >$1MM bank wide
(1) Includes Other/Coal/Refining
 
 

 
*
U.S. Rig Count: A Driver of Service Demand
 
 

 
Services - Credit Quality Drivers
…all lessons learned from the 1980’s
 Dramatic decline in prices and industry capx.
 Excessive financial leverage in “up cycle” generally via junior debt.
 Term lending to companies directly tied to well site activity.
 Certain other subsegments just not appropriate for senior term
 debt (seismic, rigs, etc.)
 Strong balance sheets and experienced sponsors a key.
 Amegy is one of only a few banks with an Energy Services
 specialty.
*
 
 

 
 
 

 
What Drives Future Energy Demand?
Two main drivers:
DEVELOPED
 1 billion people use 85%
 of modern energy.
UNDER DEVELOPED
3 billion people use the
 other 15%.
 2 billion people aspire to
 greater energy use.
Source: Simmons & Company International
*
 
 

 
A Sampling Of Energy Use
Source: Simmons & Company International
*
 
 

 
Richard Newell, SAIS, December 14, 2009
Annual Usage
quadrillion Btu
Coal
Liquid fuels
Natural gas
Projections
History
Nuclear
Liquid biofuels
Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)
Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2010
Fossil fuels will continue as
the dominant source of energy
*
 
 

 
 OPEC: The Only Source of Excess Oil Capacity
*
 
 

 
*
SCI 2009 Expectation = 15
-20% decline Y/Y
2008 Expected costs of
$350-375B
Development Costs
Exploration Costs
SCI Estimate Costs
WTI ($/bbl)
Upstream Spending to Decline in 2009/2010
Jeff Dietert jdietert@simmonsco-intl.com Houston: 1.713.546.7245
 
 

 
Source: CIBC World Markets and Gas Technology Institute
134
Gas Shale Plays: A New Dimension
 
 

 
*
Adding to Production…But, Shorter Life
U.S. Domestic Production Sensitivities
 
 

 
*
Richard Newell, SAIS, December 14, 2009
Import share of natural gas supply declines
as domestic supply grows
trillion cubic feet
Consumption
Domestic supply
Net imports
Projections
History
AEO2010 reference case
Updated AEO2009 reference case
2%
6%
13%
Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2010
 
 

 
Outlook
Amegy’s Energy Team
 Experienced Team
 Conservative Underwriting Standards
 Active use of Hedging
 Diversified Energy Portfolio
Industry Condition
 Consolidation has resulted in larger companies with stronger
 balance sheets and access to multiple capital sources
Price Outlook
 Continued Price Volatility
 Increased Global Oil & Gas Demand
*
 
 

 
Amegy Bank of Texas
4400 Post Oak Parkway
Houston, TX 77027
End of Presentation
 
 

 
139
Small Business Lending / C&I
Loan Deep Dive
Scott Anderson
Bruce Alexander
Stanley Savage
Dallas Haun
 
 

 
140
Commercial & Industrial Loans - By Geography
Relative Size of Portfolio
 C&I loans account for
 approximately 25% of total
 loans, excluding FDIC
 supported assets.
Geography of Term CRE
 Based on affiliate, C&I loans
 are most significantly
 concentrated in Texas and
 Utah.
  $1.8 billion, or
 approximately half of
 Amegy’s C&I exposure
 is within the energy
 industry
 
 

 
141
Commercial & Industrial Average Loan Size and Distribution
 
 

 
142
Commercial & Industrial Trends - Growth, NAL, NCO
 
 

 
143
Commercial & Industrial Line Usage
 
 

 
144
C&I Outstanding Balance vs. Non Accrual Loans - NAICS
 
 

 
145
SBA 7(a) Lending
Bank
FY 2009
# of Loans
FY 2009
Dollars
Average
Loan Size
1
Superior Financial Group, LLC
2,690
$27,177,500
$10,103
2
Wells Fargo & Company
2,156
$678,221,500
$314,574
3
U.S. Bank
1,896
$261,602,982
$137,976
4
Zions Bancorporation
1,367
$138,153,300
$101,063
5
JPMorgan Chase & Co
1,250
$136,576,000
$109,261
Market Rankings:
 Arizona (NBA) - #6
  23 loans / $7,039,000
 California (CB&T) - #5
  152 loans / $24,754,700
 Colorado (VBC) - #5
  55 loans / $12,314,300
 Idaho (ZFNB) - #1
  165 loans / $15,520,500
 Nevada (NSB) - #4
  23 loans / $3,894,100
 Oregon/Washington (Commerce)
  14 loans / $3,251,600
 Texas (Amegy) - #7
  64 loans / $11,937,800
 Utah (ZFNB) - #1
  869 loans / $59,396,300
Source: U.S. Small Business Administration - Fiscal Year 2009
 
 

 
146
Small Business Banking:
National Awards:
 Overall Satisfaction
 Relationship Manager Performance
 Financial Stability
 Overall Treasury Management
Regional Awards:
 Overall Satisfaction - West
 Overall Satisfaction - Treasury Management -
 West
What Others Say About Us
2009 Greenwich Excellence Awards
in Small Business and Middle Market Banking
Middle Market Banking
National Awards:
 Overall Satisfaction
 Personal Banking
 Relationship Manager Performance
 Credit Policy
 Financial Stability
 Overall Treasury Management
 Accuracy of Operations
 Customer Service
 Treasury Product Capabilities
Regional Awards:
 Overall Satisfaction - West
 Overall Satisfaction - Treasury Management - West
 
 

 
147
Frost
What Others Say About Us
Overall Financial Stability Compared to Willingness to Lend ($1 - $10 million)
Source: Greenwich Associates, Commercial Banking Study Q2 2009 ($1-$10 million)
 
 

 
148
What Others Say About Us
Overall Financial Stability Compared to Willingness to Lend ($10 - $500 million)
Source: Greenwich Associates, Commercial Banking Study Q2 2009 ($10-$500 million)
 
 

 
149
Zions Bank Treasury Management Core Strengths
 Sales and Service
  Aggressive sales culture resulting in very strong market share - near 50% in certain markets.
  Extensive training implemented in 2008 and 2009 at the local and corporate treasury levels
  A high percentage of the relationship managers are Treasury Management certified
  Strong retail merchant service fee income growth in 2009
  Cross-sell reporting in uncovers new revenue opportunities within our existing portfolio
  Strong executive management involvement with EVP visits to top clients annually.
  Speed of resolution on operational issues rated as one of the top bank’s in clients satisfaction by
 Greenwich.
  Total treasury services billed is double the industry average for 2009 (source: Ernst &Young 26th
 Annual Cash Management Services Survey 2009)
 Products
  NetDeposits solution for Web-based merchant credit card transactions which interfaces with clients
 own website.
  Extensive history in Remote Capture and industry leader since 2004 with over 10,000 scanners
 deployed nationwide.
  Successfully developed and deployed the Small Business Package that caters to smaller businesses
 that need TM services and consolidates the pricing to one low fee.
  Solidified our front office/ back office partnership to deliver best in class solutions to the treasury
 markets
 
 

 
150
C&I - Supplemental
Commercial & Industrial
-
Supplemental
 Information
 
 

 
151
 The growth rate of C&I
 loans in the last four years
 was strongest in Texas
  Amegy grew by $2.0
 billion to a peak of
 $4.2 billion in 4Q08
 Colorado grew at the next
 strongest rate, although a
 much smaller segment of
 the franchise
  Vectra grew by $230
 million to a peak of
 ~$500 million in 4Q08
 California, the third largest
 concentration of C&I
 loans, grew at a more
 moderate rate
  CB&T grew by ~$340
 million, peaking at
 $2.0 billion in 1Q09
Commercial & Industrial Loan Growth
 
 

 
152
C&I Nonaccrual Loans and NCOs, by Affiliate (FY09)
C&I Performance
 Loss severity on C&I
 typically runs higher
 than Term CRE or Owner
 -Occupied
 The seven states shown
 equaled 99% of FY09 C&I
 NCOs
 Utah and Nevada losses
 each accounted for 24%
 of total FY09 C&I losses,
 while CA accounted for
 21%
 
 

 
153
C&I accounts for approximately 25% of
 total loans.
Relative to the consolidated total C&I of
 25%,
  TX and WA have significantly
 more concentration in C&I
  Texas concentration is largely
 attributable to its energy portfolio
Relative to the consolidated C&I
 nonaccrual ratio,
  AZ, NV, WA, and CO are all
 experiencing higher levels of
 NALs
Relative to the 4Q09 consolidated NCO
 ratio,
  AZ and WA were somewhat
 higher, although WA performance
 is strong relative to concentration.
  TX was slightly better than the
 company weighted average,
 which is strong given the high
 concentration
C&I Relative Concentration & Performance - 4Q09
 
 

 
154
C&I Outlook
Outlook
 Impediments to growth
  Weakness in credit trends, adverse to lend to companies
 whose fundamentals are not stabilizing
  Demand beginning to return, but slow
 Growth opportunities
  Expanded SBA 7(a) limits
 Key differentiator
  Local businesses need local decision makers for financing
 
 

 
155
Investment Securities and
Interest Rate Risk
David Hemingway
 
 

 
156
CDO Portfolio Summary
Credit-related OTTI losses $99.3 million in 4Q09
(approximately 95% of the impairment losses had been
previously recognized in OCI)
Noncredit-related losses on securities of $35.1 million in
4Q09 recognized in OCI
*This table includes $2.2 billion par value of CDOs that are
backed predominantly by bank trust preferred securities. The
par value of all Bank & Insurance backed CDOs is $2.7 billion
 
 

 
157
CDO Stress Testing
“Deterioration in PDs %” means that the default
curve applied to the performing collateral of
each deal is made worse by the percentage
indicated. Thus a deal with a default curve of
5% stressed to a 25% “Deterioration in PDs %”
would have a 6.25% defaults applied to it, a
deal with 20% would go 25% and so forth.
Thus a “Deterioration in PDs %” stress of 100%
would double the PD curve being applied to a
deal's collateral.
Moderate Stress - The PD curve that was
applied to the performing collateral of each
CDO deal in the 4Q09 pricing run is increased
by the % indicated and the resultant values
were used to estimate OTTI losses.
Adverse Stress - Incorporates all of the
deterioration of PDs applied to the performing
collateral, but also stresses the PDs applied to
collateral in deferral by the same deterioration
percentages. PDs on deferring collateral are
used to estimate the value of the potential for
this collateral to cure in the future through
recovery or re-performance.
Extreme Stress - This is a very severe stress
scenario that uses the “Moderate Stress”
assumptions for performing collateral, but also
immediately defaults all deferring collateral
instantly with no recovery and no probability to
re-perform in the future.
 
 

 
158
History of Bank Deferrals & Defaults in Zions’ CDOs
 
 

 
159
History of Bank Deferrals & Defaults in Zions’ CDOs
 
 

 
160
 
 

 
161
50 Largest Aggregate Bank CDO Exposures (1 through 25)
Data as of 12-31-09
Among the top 50 bank
exposures, the average
cumulative 5 year default
probability being applied is:
Performing Banks = 7.2%
Deferring Banks = 38.7%
 
 

 
162
50 Largest Aggregate Bank CDO Exposures (26 through 50)
 
 

 
163
Asset Sensitivity
 
 

 
164
Asset Sensitivity
Fixed-rate loans:
  27% of portfolio
  Duration of about 1 year
Variable-rate loans:
  73% of portfolio
  Floors on 46% of variable-rate loans (79% of those loans are at the floor rate)
  Swaps: $760 million (Pay Floating, Receive Fixed)
  Continual reduction of interest rate swaps (increasing asset sensitivity)
 
 

 
165
Loans with Floors (as of 12/31/09)
 
 

 
166
Duration of Assets, Liabilities, and Equity
 
 

 
167
 
 

 
168
12-month simulated impact; assumes material demand deposit run-
off in rising rate scenarios
 
 

 
169
Outlook:
Zions Bancorporation
in 3-5 Years
Harris Simmons
 
 

 
170
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years
 Revenue drivers
  Macroeconomic advantage
  Western population growth profile continues to remain strong
 relative to U.S.
  Spread Expansion
  Incremental loans have a NIM near 5.0%
  Higher capital levels within the industry likely to translate to
 higher spreads
  Loan Portfolio Growth: Rebalancing in 2010-2011
  Construction loans peaked at approximately 24% of loans, now 14%
  Expect significant declines to continue as loans mature in 2010,
 although some will move into the Term CRE portfolio
  Long term expected concentration: 11% +/- 2%
  Increase government-sponsored lending programs, e.g. SBA
 
 

 
171
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
  Term CRE and Owner-Occupied CRE
  Growth trends more stable than construction and C&I
  Continued soft CMBS market provides opportunity
  Continued focus on SBA programs, tenants with more predictable cash flow
  Commercial & Industrial
  Zions is a relationship-based bank - avoid transaction-only customers
  Outstanding opportunity in small- and middle-market business loans
  Early evidence of stabilization in C&I loan balances beginning to emerge
 
 

 
172
  Consumer
  Residential prime and superprime jumbo mortgage
 » Absence in the marketplace
 » Capital friendly
 » Low LTV, no gimmicks
  Credit cards
 » Strong credit performance
 » Good value proposition for customers - avoided teaser rates and
 gimmicks
 Securities Portfolio
  Near term
  At the bottom of rate environment, avoiding long-term, fixed-rate securities
  Long term
  Moderately increase exposure to high quality and liquid investments
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
 
 

 
173
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
 Expense controls
  Strong expense controls
  Successful at bringing costs down to help offset the increase
 in non-interest expense related to credit
  Expect significant improvement in credit related expenses
 over the 3-5 year horizon
  Partially offset by increase in salary
 Fee income
  Trust and Contango
  Good platform, fits Zions’ customer profile
  Organic growth, with possible augmentation via acquisition
 
 

 
174
 Conclusion
  Natural growth likely due to footprint
  Near term portfolio rebalancing
  Strong spread expansion likely with maturing loans and new
 customers
  Less nonperforming asset drag
  Credit costs (both provision and non-interest expense) likely
 to experience significant improvement
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
 
 

 
175
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
 
 

 
176
Outlook: Zions Bancorporation in 3-5 Years (continued)
 
 

 
177
2010 Investor Day
February 11, 2010
Salt Lake City