EX-99.(C)(3) 22 dex99c3.htm FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PRESENTATION MATERIALS, DATED APRIL 23, 2010 Financial analysis presentation materials, dated April 23, 2010
April 23, 2010
Project Xenon Fairness Opinion Presentation
Confidential
Presentation Materials For: 
The Board of Directors of CONSOL Energy Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL –
FOR BOARD OF DIRECTORS ONLY, NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
Exhibit (c)(3)


Table of Contents
I.
Transaction Overview
II.
CNX Gas Overview
III.
Financial Analysis
Addenda
Table of Contents


3
Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated ("Stifel Nicolaus" or "we") has been advised that CONSOL Energy Inc. ("CONSOL" or the
"Company"), is contemplating a tender offer (the "Tender Offer")
pursuant to which the Company (or a subsidiary of the Company)
will
offer
to
purchase
each
outstanding
share
of
common
stock
of
CNX
Gas
Inc.
("CNX
Gas")
not
already
owned
by
the
Company
or
its
subsidiaries for cash at a price per share of $38.25 (the "Offer
Price").  If the Tender Offer conditions are satisfied, CNX Gas
will be
promptly merged with and into CONSOL or a subsidiary of CONSOL (such merger, together with the Tender Offer, the "Proposed
Transaction").
The Board of Directors of the Company (the "Board") has requested Stifel Nicolaus' opinion as to the fairness to the Company, from a
financial
point
of
view,
of
the
Offer
Price
to
be
paid
by
the
Company
to
the
shareholders
of
CNX
Gas,
other
than
the
Company
and
its
affiliates, in the Proposed Transaction (the "Opinion").
These
materials
are
being
presented
to
the
Board
in
support
of
our
written
Opinion.
These
materials
do
not,
however,
constitute
our
Opinion and are provided for informational purposes only.  Our Opinion is limited to the terms of our written Opinion.  The following
presentation
summarizes
the
financial
analyses
we
employed
in
reaching
our
Opinion
and
is
qualified
in
its
entirety
by
reference
to
the
full text of the Opinion.
In connection with the preparation of these materials, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the
accuracy and completeness of all financial, operating and other information that was made available, supplied, or otherwise
communicated to Stifel Nicolaus by or on behalf of the Company, the Board or their advisors and other publicly available information. 
Stifel Nicolaus has also relied upon the management of the Company as to the reasonableness and achievability of the financial
forecasts and projections (and the assumptions and bases therein) provided to us by the Company, and we have assumed such forecasts
and
projections
were
reasonably
prepared
on
bases
reflecting
the
best
then-available
estimates
and
judgments
of
the
management
of
the
Company as to the future operating and financial performance of the Company and CNX Gas. 


4
Stifel Nicolaus has relied on these forecasts and projections without independent verification or analyses and does not in any respect
assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness thereof.  In arriving at the conclusion of our Opinion, we have not been
requested to make, nor have we made, an independent evaluation of cash flow forecasts of the Company or CNX Gas or any appraisal
of
the
assets
or
liabilities
of
the
Company
or
CNX
Gas.
No
companies
or
transactions
utilized
in
our
analyses
were
identical
to
CNX
Gas.
Please
refer
to
the
Opinion
for
a
summary
of
the
materials
reviewed
and
other
due
diligence
performed
by
Stifel
Nicolaus
in
connection with this engagement.
We believe that our analysis should be considered as a whole, and that selecting portions of our analysis and the factors we considered,
without considering all analyses and factors, could be misleading.  The preparation of a fairness opinion is a complex process and, as a
result, fairness opinions are not necessarily susceptible to partial analysis or summary description.  In our analysis we made numerous
assumptions where necessary with respect to industry performance, and general business or economic conditions, many of which are
beyond the control of the Company.  Our Opinion is necessarily based upon economic, market, financial and other conditions and
circumstances
as
they
exist
on,
and
on
the
information
made
available
to
us
as
of,
the
date
of
the
Opinion.
We
have
assumed
that
the
Proposed Transaction will be consummated on the terms and conditions provided to us by the management of the Company, without
any
material
modification
or
waiver
of
any
material
terms
or
conditions
thereto,
and
that
that
the
Tender
Offer
documents,
which
we
have not reviewed, will reflect such terms and conditions.  It should be understood that, although subsequent developments may affect
the Opinion or the analyses or information set forth in these materials, we do not have any obligation to update, revise or reaffirm our
Opinion. 


5
Our
Opinion
is
limited
to
whether
the
Offer
Price
proposed
to
be
paid
by
the
Company
to
the
shareholders
of
CNX
Gas,
other
than
the
Company and its affiliates, in the Proposed Transaction is fair to the Company from a financial point of view.  Neither our Opinion
nor these materials consider, address or include:  (i) any other
alternatives currently (or which have been or may be) contemplated by
the Company or the Board; (ii) the legal, tax or accounting consequences of the Proposed Transaction on the Company or the holders of
the Company's securities; (iii) the fairness of the amount or nature of any compensation to any of the Company's officers, directors or
employees, or class of such persons, relative to the compensation to the Company or the public holders of the Company's securities; (iv)
any advice or opinions provided by any other advisor to the Company or the Board; or (v) whether the Company has sufficient cash,
available lines of credit or other sources of financing to pay the aggregate cash consideration to the stockholders of CNX Gas.
Furthermore, we do not express any opinion herein or in our Opinion as to the prices, trading range or volume at which the securities of
the Company or CNX Gas will trade following public announcement or consummation of the Proposed Transaction.
It is understood that these materials are solely for the information of, and directed to, the Board for its information and assistance in
connection with its evaluation of the financial terms of the Proposed Transaction and are not to be relied upon by any shareholder of
the Company or any other person or entity.
These materials do not constitute a recommendation to the Company or the Board as to whether the Company should commence the
Tender Offer or effect the Proposed Transaction.  Neither our Opinion nor these materials compare the relative merits of the Proposed
Transaction with any other alternative transaction which may have been available to the Company or address the underlying business
decision of the Board or the Company to proceed with or effect the Proposed Transaction.  Stifel Nicolaus was not requested to, and did
not, explore alternatives to the Proposed Transaction.


6
These materials and our Opinion were approved by Stifel Nicolaus' Fairness Opinion Committee. These materials are not to be quoted
or referred to, in whole or in part, in any registration statement, prospectus, proxy statement, tender offer statement or
solicitation/recommendation statement or in any other document used in connection with an offering or sale of securities, a tender for
securities, or to seek any approval for the Proposed Transaction, nor shall this presentation be used for any other purposes, without the
prior
written
consent
of
Stifel
Nicolaus,
except
any
filing
that
the
Company
is
required
to
make
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission in connection with the Proposed Transaction may include (i) a copy of our Opinion, (ii) a description of our Opinion in
form and substance reasonably satisfactory to us, (iii) a description of Stifel Nicolaus' services performed in connection with the
Proposed Transaction (including in the "Background" and "Reasons" sections) in form and substance reasonably satisfactory to us and
(iv) a description of any services previously performed by Stifel Nicolaus or its affiliates for the Company or its affiliates in form and
substance reasonably satisfactory to us.
We have acted as financial advisor to the Board in connection with the Proposed Transaction and will receive a fee upon the delivery
of our Opinion.  In addition, the Company has agreed to indemnify us for certain liabilities arising out of our engagement. Stifel
Nicolaus will not receive any significant payment or compensation contingent upon the successful completion of the
Proposed Transaction or any aspect thereof.
Stifel Nicolaus has in the past executed on several occasions block trades on standard
brokerage terms for the Company in connection with its repurchases of stock pursuant to its issuer repurchase program.  Stifel Nicolaus
provided
a
fairness
opinion
to
the
Board
in
connection
with
the
Company's
acquisition
of
certain
assets
from
Dominion
Resources,
Inc.
in
March
2010.
Also
in
March
2010,
Stifel
Nicolaus
served
as
joint-bookrunning
manager
on
the
Company's
follow-on
offering.
There
are no other material relationships that existed during the two years prior to the date of our opinion or that are mutually understood to
be contemplated in which any compensation was received or is intended to be received as a result of the relationship between Stifel
Nicolaus and any party to the Proposed Transaction.  Stifel Nicolaus may seek to provide investment banking services to the Company
or its affiliates in the future, for which we would seek customary compensation.  In the ordinary course of business, Stifel Nicolaus and
its clients may transact in the securities of the Company and, accordingly, may at any time hold a long or short position in such
securities.


I.
Transaction Overview


8
Transaction Overview
CONSOL intends to commence a tender offer for each outstanding share of common stock of CNX Gas not already
owned by the Company or its subsidiaries for an offer price of $38.25 per share in cash
Maximum consideration at the offer price:  $963.4 million
The Tender Offer will be conditioned upon, among other things:
The tender of a majority of the outstanding shares of CNX Gas not owned by CONSOL or its affiliates without
regard to any shares of CNX Gas common stock owned by directors or officers of either CONSOL or CNX Gas,
which condition may not be waived
No decrees, order or injunction of a U.S. court of competent jurisdiction that prohibits the consummation of the
Tender Offer
The Tender Offer is not conditioned on the completion of the acquisition of assets of Dominion Resources by CONSOL
The Tender Offer is scheduled to commence the week of April 26, 2010
Transaction Overview


9
Transaction Summary
For purposes of this
presentation CNX Gas's
stock price is $30.80 per
share (3/19/2010 close) or
$26.23 per share (3/12/2010
close) as indicated
CNX Gas basic shares
outstanding of 151 million,
per CNX Gas 2009 10K,
excluding 1.4 million options
outstanding
Assumed 16.7% public
ownership of CNX Gas
(1)  Source:  CNX Gas 2009 10K. Total debt includes non-controlling interest
(2)  CNX Gas projected financial information based on Bloomberg Consensus as of 3/19/2010
(3)  2009A data from CNX Gas 2009 10K and CNX Gas 1/25/2010 press release
Transaction Overview
3/19/2010
Offer
3/12/2010
Offer
(Dollars in millions, except per share data)
30.80
$     
38.25
$     
26.23
$     
38.25
$     
Implied Premium
0.0%
24.2%
0.0%
45.8%
Implied Equity Value
4,650
$     
5,775
$     
3,960
$     
5,775
$     
Plus:  Total Debt
(1)
128
$        
128
$        
128
$        
128
$        
Less:  Cash
(1)
1
$            
1
$            
1
$            
1
$            
Implied Enterprise Value
4,777
$     
5,902
$     
4,087
$     
5,902
$     
Implied Equity Value -
Public Ownership
776
$        
963
$        
661
$        
963
$        
CNX
Gas
Financial
Statistics
(2)
:
Implied Multiples
EBITDA
CY 2010E
416
$        
11.5x
14.2x
9.8x
14.2x
CY 2011E
430
$        
11.1x
13.7x
9.5x
13.7x
CY 2012E
563
$        
8.5x
10.5x
7.3x
10.5x
EPS
CY 2010E
1.25
$       
24.6x
30.6x
21.0x
30.6x
CY 2011E
1.29
$       
23.8x
29.6x
20.3x
29.6x
CY 2012E
1.57
$       
19.6x
24.4x
16.7x
24.4x
CNX Gas Reserve Data
(3)
:
Implied EV Per MMcf
Reserves
Proved
1,911
2.50
$       
3.09
$       
2.14
$       
3.09
$       
(Bcf)
Evaluated 3P
6,500
0.73
$       
0.91
$       
0.63
$       
0.91
$       
Resource Potential
18,050
0.26
$       
0.33
$       
0.23
$       
0.33
$       
Implied EV % Per PV-10
PV-10
Proved
1,480
$     
323%
399%
276%
399%


II.
CNX Gas Overview


11
CNX Gas Overview as of 3/19/2010
(1)  Closing price as of 3/19/2010.  Closing price as of 3/12/2010 was $26.23 per share
(2)  CNX Gas shares outstanding from 2009 10K.  Includes 151 million basic shares outstanding only
(3)  16.7% of CNX Gas basic shares outstanding held by public shareholders.  Source:  CNX Gas 2009 10K
(4)  83.3% of CNX Gas basic shares outstanding held by CONSOL.  Source:  CNX Gas 2009 10K
(5)  Source:  CNX Gas 2009 10K. Total debt includes non-controlling interest
(6)  Source:  CNX Gas projected financial information based on Bloomberg Consensus as of 3/19/2010
(7)  Source:  2009A data from CNX Gas 2009 10K and CNX Gas 1/25/2010 press release
CNX Gas Overview
(Dollars in millions, except per share data)
Market Data
Summary Financials and Valuation Metrics
Reserves (Bcf) and Valuation Metrics
Share Price
(1)
30.80
$     
EBITDA
(6)
Proved Reserves
(7)
1,911
52-Week High (10/22/2009)
36.00
$     
2010E
416
$        
Evaluated 3P Reserves
(7)
6,500
Discount to LTM High
(14.4%)
2011E
430
$        
Resource Potential (Midpoint)
(7)
18,050
52-Week Low (3/18/2009)
22.99
$     
2012E
563
$        
Proved PV-10
(7)
1,480
$     
Premium to LTM Low
34.0%
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
EV/Proved Reserves
2.50
$       
Basic
Shares
Outstanding
-
Owned
by
Public
(2)(3)
25
2010E
11.5x
EV/Evaluated 3P Reserves
0.73
$       
Basic
Shares
Outstanding
-
Owned
by
CONSOL
(2)(4)
126
2011E
11.1x
EV/Resource Potential
0.26
$       
Basic Shares Outstanding
(2)
151
2012E
8.5x
EV Value/PV-10
323%
Market Capitalization
4,650
$     
EPS
(6)
Plus:  Total Debt
(5)
128
$        
2010E
1.25
$       
Less:  Cash
(5)
1
$            
2011E
1.29
$       
Total Enterprise Value
4,777
$     
2012E
1.57
$       
Price/Earnings
2010E
24.6x
2011E
23.8x
2012E
19.6x


12
Apr 06
Jul 06
Oct 06
Jan 07
Apr 07
Jul 07
Oct 07
Jan 08
Apr 08
Jul 08
Oct 08
Jan 09
Apr 09
Jul 09
Oct 09
Jan 10
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
March 12: 
$26.23 per
share
March 19: 
$30.80 per
share
Volume
Price
CNX
Gas
Price/Volume
Since
Listing
(1/19/2006
3/19/2010)
Source:  FactSet
CNX Gas Overview


13
Apr 06
Jul 06
Oct 06
Jan 07
Apr 07
Jul 07
Oct 07
Jan 08
Apr 08
Jul 08
Oct 08
Jan 09
Apr 09
Jul 09
Oct 09
Jan 10
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
CONSOL
CNX Gas
CONSOL Comparables
CNX Gas Comparables
Relative
Price
Performance
Since
CNX
Gas
Listing
(1/19/2006
3/19/2010)
Source:  FactSet
Notes:
CONSOL
Comparables
include:
Peabody
Energy,
Arch
Coal
and
Alpha
Natural
Resources
CNX Gas Comparables include:  Southwestern Energy, Range Resources, Ultra Petroleum, Cabot Oil and Gas, Atlas Energy and Petrohawk Energy
CNX Gas Overview
Price
Performance
-
Since
CNX
Gas
Listing
CONSOL
24.8%
CNX Gas
41.4%
CONSOL Comparables
5.2%
CNX Gas Comparables
41.3%


14
Apr 09
May 09
Jun 09
Jul 09
Aug 09
Sep 09
Oct 09
Nov 09
Dec 09
Jan 10
Feb 10
Mar 10
$22
$24
$26
$28
$30
$32
$34
$36
$38
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
March 19: 
$30.80 per
share
March 12: 
$26.23 per
share
Volume
Price
CNX
Gas
Price/Volume
Last
Twelve
Months
(3/19/2009
3/19/2010)
Source:  FactSet
CNX Gas Overview


15
Apr 09
May 09
Jun 09
Jul 09
Aug 09
Sep 09
Oct 09
Nov 09
Dec 09
Jan 10
Feb 10
Mar 10
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
CONSOL
CNX Gas
CONSOL Comparables
CNX Gas Comparables
Relative
Price
Performance
Last
Twelve
Months
(3/19/2009
3/19/2010)
Source:  FactSet
Notes:
CONSOL
Comparables
include:
Peabody
Energy,
Arch
Coal
and
Alpha
Natural
Resources
CNX Gas Comparables include:  Southwestern Energy, Range Resources, Ultra Petroleum, Cabot Oil and Gas, Atlas Energy and Petrohawk Energy
CNX Gas Overview
Price
Performance
-
Last
Twelve
Months
CONSOL
49.6%
CNX Gas
25.2%
CONSOL Comparables
76.1%
CNX Gas Comparables
21.3%


16
CNX
Gas
Price
Histogram
Last
Twelve
Months
(3/19/2009
3/19/2010)
1.6%
15.4%
28.5%
29.6%
20.2%
2.0%
2.8%
0.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
16.0%
20.0%
24.0%
28.0%
32.0%
$22.00 - $24.00
$24.00 - $26.00
$26.00 - $28.00
$28.00 - $30.00
$30.00 - $32.00
$32.00 - $34.00
$34.00 - $36.00
% of Volume Traded by Price Range
Sum of % Volume Traded
Source:  FactSet
1.6%
17.0%
45.5%
75.1%
95.3%
97.2%
100.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
$22.00 - $24.00
$22.00 - $26.00
$22.00 - $28.00
$22.00 - $30.00
$22.00 - $32.00
$22.00 - $34.00
$22.00 - $36.00
CNX Gas Overview


17
CNX Gas Top 25 Institutional Shareholders at 12/31/2009
Source:  FactSet
Note:  CNX Gas public float is 25 million shares as of 3/19/2010
CNX Gas Overview
% Current
Institutional Holders
Shares Held
% Held
Float
1
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.
9,474,116
6.3%
38.0%
2
Advisory Research, Inc.
3,900,793
2.6%
15.7%
3
BlackRock
Global Investors
1,672,976
1.1%
6.7%
4
Chilton Investment Co. LLC
1,438,330
1.0%
5.8%
5
Vanguard Group, Inc.
1,076,899
0.7%
4.3%
6
BlackRock
Advisors LLC
627,875
0.4%
2.5%
7
Standard Life Investments Ltd.
388,500
0.3%
1.6%
8
First Pacific Advisors LLC
353,300
0.2%
1.4%
9
State Street Global Advisors
288,747
0.2%
1.2%
10
Bank of New York Mellon Asset Management
270,068
0.2%
1.1%
11
BlackRock
Investment Management (UK) Ltd.
250,991
0.2%
1.0%
12
Eagle Asset Management, Inc.
216,830
0.1%
0.9%
13
Renaissance Technologies LLC
205,700
0.1%
0.8%
14
TIAA-CREF Asset Management LLC
189,983
0.1%
0.8%
15
Norges
Bank Investment Management
176,994
0.1%
0.7%
16
Northwestern Investment Management Co. LLC
168,600
0.1%
0.7%
17
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.
128,511
0.1%
0.5%
18
Mellon Capital Management
124,684
0.1%
0.5%
19
Blackthorn Investment Group LLC
120,000
0.1%
0.5%
20
CR Intrinsic Investors LLC
119,218
0.1%
0.5%
21
Northern Trust Investments
110,622
0.1%
0.4%
22
Comerica Asset Management
106,018
0.1%
0.4%
23
Deutsche Bank Investment Management, Inc.
103,739
0.1%
0.4%
24
GW Capital Management LLC
102,000
0.1%
0.4%
25
Aronson & Johnson & Ortiz LP
101,600
0.1%
0.4%
Top 10 Institutional Holdings
19,491,604
12.9%
78.3%
Top 15 Institutional Holdings
20,532,102
13.6%
82.5%
Top 20 Institutional Holdings
21,193,115
14.0%
85.1%
Top 25 Institutional Holdings
21,717,094
14.4%
87.2%
Total Basic Shares Outstanding
150,986,918
100.0%


18
CNX
Gas
Analyst
Price
Targets
Year-to-date
as
of
3/19/2010
Source:  Bloomberg
CNX Gas Overview
Company
Date
Price Target
Recommendation
RBC Capital Markets
3/16/2010
$36.00
Sector Perform
Pritchard Capital Partners LLC
3/16/2010
$43.00
Buy
Stifel
Nicolaus
3/15/2010
$34.00
Buy
Howard Weil Inc
3/5/2010
$38.00
Market Outperform
Raymond James
1/29/2010
NA
Market Perform
FBR Capital Markets
1/28/2010
$40.00
Market Perform
UBS Investment Banking
1/26/2010
$34.00
Buy
Consensus Price Target
$37.50


III.
Financial Analysis


20
Financial Analysis Methodology
Primary Methods of
Analysis
Estimated the present value of
projected free cash flows to
determine the net present
value of CNX Gas
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Comparable Public Company
Trading Analysis
Examined the proved reserve
value, resource potential value
and the enterprise value
("EV")
to
PV-10
and
2011
EV
to EBITDA multiples of
comparable exploration and
production companies
Precedent M&A Transactions
Analysis
Examined premiums paid for
comparable precedent
exploration and production
transactions
Examined premiums paid for
comparable precedent
minority cash buy-in
transactions
Stifel Nicolaus utilized the following methods of analysis to determine fairness of the offer price
Financial Analysis


21
Comparable Companies Analysis
(Dollars in millions, except per share data)
Current
Price
Market
Net
Enterprise
Net Debt/
EBITDA
EV/EBITDA
Company (Ticker)
4/20/2010
Cap.
Debt
Value
09 EBITDA
2009A
2010E
2011E
2012E
2010E
2011E
2012E
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN)
40.91
$      
14,158
$    
995
$         
15,154
$    
0.7x
1,368
$      
1,719
$      
2,268
$      
3,166
$      
8.8x
6.7x
4.8x
Range Resources Corp. (RRC)
48.86
$      
7,776
$      
1,707
$      
9,483
$      
2.2x
782
$         
773
$         
1,047
$      
1,463
$      
12.3x
9.1x
6.5x
Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)
22.20
$      
6,687
$      
2,640
$      
9,327
$      
3.9x
684
$         
1,028
$      
1,332
$      
1,590
$      
9.1x
7.0x
5.9x
Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
45.42
$      
6,907
$      
781
$         
7,688
$      
1.3x
583
$         
862
$         
1,164
$      
1,609
$      
8.9x
6.6x
4.8x
Atlas Energy Inc. (ATLS)
36.80
$      
2,879
$      
767
$         
3,646
$      
2.3x
332
$         
283
$         
326
$         
NA
12.9x
11.2x
NA
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG)
39.03
$      
4,052
$      
765
$         
4,817
$      
1.4x
554
$         
637
$         
678
$         
804
$         
7.6x
7.1x
6.0x
Low
0.7x
7.6x
6.6x
4.8x
Median
1.8x
9.0x
7.1x
5.9x
Mean
2.0x
9.9x
7.9x
5.6x
High
3.9x
12.9x
11.2x
6.5x
CNX Gas (3/19/2010)
30.80
$      
4,650
$      
127
$         
4,777
$      
0.3x
378
$         
416
$         
430
$         
563
$         
11.5x
11.1x
8.5x
CNX Gas (3/12/2010)
26.23
$      
3,960
$      
127
$         
4,087
$      
0.3x
378
$         
416
$         
430
$         
563
$         
9.8x
9.5x
7.3x
CNX Gas at Offer Price
38.25
$      
5,775
$      
127
$         
5,902
$      
0.3x
378
$         
416
$         
430
$         
563
$         
14.2x
13.7x
10.5x
Proved
Net Debt/
Resource
Proved/
Daily
EV/
EV/
EV/
Proved
Percent
R/P
Proved
Potential
Resource
Production
Proved
EV/
Potential
Production
Company (Ticker)
Bcfe
Developed
Ratio
Bcfe
PV-10
Bcfe
Potential
(Mcfe/d)
($/Mcfe)
PV-10
($/Mcfe)
($/Mcfe/d)
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN)
3,656
        
54.1%
12.2x
0.27
$        
2,304
$      
19,297
      
18.9%
823,134
    
4.14
$        
657.7%
0.79
$        
18,410
$    
Range Resources Corp. (RRC)
2,958
        
55.2%
18.6x
0.58
$        
2,593
$      
27,850
      
10.6%
435,926
    
3.21
$        
365.7%
0.34
$        
21,753
$    
Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)
2,743
        
32.9%
15.0x
0.96
$        
1,532
$      
34,040
      
8.1%
501,797
    
3.40
$        
608.8%
0.27
$        
18,588
$    
Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
3,912
        
41.2%
21.7x
0.20
$        
2,887
$      
23,000
      
17.0%
493,449
    
1.97
$        
266.3%
0.33
$        
15,579
$    
Atlas Energy Inc. (ATLS)
1,020
        
52.5%
27.6x
0.75
$        
436
$         
13,000
      
7.8%
101,238
    
3.57
$        
835.2%
0.28
$        
36,010
$    
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG)
2,060
        
64.3%
20.0x
0.37
$        
1,632
$      
9,119
        
22.6%
281,704
    
2.34
$        
295.2%
0.53
$        
17,099
$    
Low
32.9%
12.2x
0.20
$        
7.8%
1.97
$        
266.3%
0.27
$        
15,579
$    
Median
53.3%
19.3x
0.47
$        
13.8%
3.30
$        
487.3%
0.34
$        
18,499
$    
Mean
50.0%
19.2x
0.52
$        
14.2%
3.10
$        
504.8%
0.42
$        
21,240
$    
High
64.3%
27.6x
0.96
$        
22.6%
4.14
$        
835.2%
0.79
$        
36,010
$    
CNX Gas (3/19/2010)
1,911
        
54.4%
20.2x
0.07
$        
1,480
$      
18,050
      
10.6%
258,671
    
2.50
$        
322.8%
0.26
$        
18,468
$    
CNX Gas (3/12/2010)
1,911
        
54.4%
20.2x
0.07
$        
1,480
$      
18,050
      
10.6%
258,671
    
2.14
$        
276.2%
0.23
$        
15,800
$    
CNX Gas at Offer Price
1,911
        
54.4%
20.2x
0.07
$        
1,480
$      
18,050
      
10.6%
258,671
    
3.09
$        
398.8%
0.33
$        
22,816
$    
Sources:  Company filings,
company presentations,
Bloomberg. 
Notes: 
Balance sheet, reserves and
production data as of
12/31/2009; reserves pro
forma for divestitures and
acquisitions
EBITDA estimates for
selected comparables based
on Bloomberg Consensus as
of 4/20/2010
EBITDA estimate for CNX
Gas based on Bloomberg
Consensus as of 3/19/2010
Financial Analysis


22
Comparable Companies Analysis
Note:
2011
to
2012
comparable
growth
rates
exclude
Atlas
Energy
since
2012
data
was
not
available
2010 to 2011 EBITDA Growth
6%
31%
26%
35%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
CNX Gas Growth Rate:
3%
2011 to 2012 EBITDA Growth
19%
38%
31%
40%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
CNX Gas Growth Rate:
31%
EBITDA Growth
2010 - 2011
2011 - 2012
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN)
32%
40%
Range Resources Corp. (RRC)
35%
40%
Petrohawk Energy Corp. (HK)
30%
19%
Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL)
35%
38%
Atlas Energy Inc. (ATLS)
15%
NA
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG)
6%
19%
Minimum
6%
19%
Median
31%
38%
Mean
26%
31%
Maximum
35%
40%
CNX Gas Corp. (3/19/2010)
3%
31%
Financial Analysis


23
Comparable Companies Analysis
Enterprise Value to PV-10
266%
487%
505%
835%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
800%
900%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Value:
399%
Proved Reserve Value
$1.97
$3.30
$3.10
$4.14
$-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Value:
$3.09
Resource Potential Value
$0.27
$0.34
$0.42
$0.79
$-
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Value:
$0.33
Enterprise Value to 2010 EBITDA
7.6x
9.0x
9.9x
12.9x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Value:
14.2x
Financial Analysis


24
Precedent Transaction Analysis –
Selected E&P Transactions
Precedent transactions were selected based on the following criteria:
Transaction values greater than $250 million in the U.S. E&P sector since 1/1/2005
Excludes transactions where financial information is unavailable
(Dollars in millions, except per share data)
Method of
Enterprise
Equity
Premium
Announce
Close
Acquiror
Target
Payment
Value
Value
1 Day
5 Day
30 Day
4/15/2010
Pending
Apache Corporation
Mariner Energy, Inc.
Combo
4,480
$     
2,785
$     
45%
55%
71%
4/4/2010
Pending
SandRidge Energy Inc.
Arena Resources, Inc.
Combo
1,488
       
1,552
       
17%
21%
21%
12/14/2009
Pending
ExxonMobil Corp.
XTO Energy, Inc.
Stock
40,361
     
30,000
     
25%
26%
18%
11/1/2009
3/10/2010
Denbury Resources, Inc.
Encore Acquisition Co.
Combo
4,054
       
2,799
       
35%
18%
28%
4/27/2009
9/29/2009
Atlas America, Inc.
Atlas Energy Resources LLC
Stock
1,016
       
481
          
0%
7%
37%
4/30/2008
8/28/2008
Stone Energy Corp.
Bois d'Arc Energy, Inc.
Combo
1,696
       
1,654
       
(4%)
(4%)
9%
7/17/2007
11/6/2007
Plains Exploration & Production Co.
Pogo Producing Co.
Combo
5,291
       
3,473
       
17%
17%
9%
1/7/2007
6/6/2007
Forest Oil Corp.
Houston Exploration Co.
Combo
2,086
       
1,742
       
8%
1%
(4%)
6/23/2006
8/23/2006
Anadarko Petroleum Corp.
Western Gas Resources, Inc.
Cash
5,239
       
4,647
       
49%
45%
28%
6/23/2006
8/10/2006
Anadarko Petroleum Corp.
Kerr-McGee Corp.
Cash
18,121
     
16,004
     
40%
37%
33%
4/21/2006
7/12/2006
Petrohawk Energy Corp.
KCS Energy, Inc.
Combo
1,767
       
1,499
       
5%
13%
25%
1/23/2006
7/3/2006
Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
Remington Oil & Gas Corp.
Combo
1,249
       
1,288
       
17%
20%
18%
12/12/2005
3/31/2006
ConocoPhillips
Burlington Resources, Inc.
Combo
36,039
     
34,962
     
22%
24%
39%
10/13/2005
1/30/2006
Occidental Petroleum Corp.
Vintage Petroleum, Inc.
Combo
3,899
       
3,504
       
34%
32%
25%
9/19/2005
12/14/2005
Norsk Hydro ASA
Spinnaker Exploration Co.
Cash
2,335
       
2,238
       
35%
45%
52%
4/4/2005
8/10/2005
ChevronTexaco Corp.
Unocal Corp.
Combo
17,622
     
17,705
     
2%
11%
5%
4/4/2005
7/29/2005
Petrohawk Energy Corp.
Mission Resources Corp.
Combo
511
          
347
          
14%
16%
8%
1/26/2005
6/7/2005
Cimarex Energy Co.
Magnum Hunter Resources, Inc.
Stock
2,194
       
1,569
       
25%
27%
29%
Low
(4%)
(4%)
(4%)
Median
20%
20%
25%
Mean
21%
23%
25%
High
49%
55%
71%
CONSOL
CNX Gas (premium as of 3/19/2010)
Cash
5,902
$     
5,775
$     
24%
26%
41%
CONSOL
CNX Gas (premium as of 3/12/2010)
Cash
5,902
$     
5,775
$     
46%
47%
43%
Sources:  FactSet MergerStat, John S. Herold
Financial Analysis


25
Stock
(3 Deals)
16.7%
Cash
(3 Deals)
16.7%
Combination
(12 Deals)
66.7%
Precedent Transaction Analysis –
Selected E&P Transactions
Sample
set
includes
public
E&P
transactions
(n=18)
since
January
1,
2005
Transaction values greater than $250 million
Excludes foreign sellers
Approximately 66.7%, 16.7%, and 16.7% of the precedent public E&P transactions utilized a combination of cash and
stock (n=12), all cash (n=3), and all stock (n=3) as the form of
the consideration, respectively
All-cash deals had significantly higher 1 day, 5 day and 30 day premiums
Consideration Offered in E&P Transactions
Mean Premiums Paid by Consideration Offered
17%
20%
28%
41%
42%
38%
18%
19%
21%
21%
23%
25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1 Day
5 Day
30 Day
Stock
Cash
Combination
Total
Sources:  FactSet MergerStat, John S. Herold
Financial Analysis


26
1 Day Premium
(4%)
20%
21%
49%
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  24%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  46%
Precedent Transaction Analysis –
Selected E&P Transactions
5 Day Premium
(4%)
20%
23%
55%
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  26%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  47%
30 Day Premium
(4%)
25%
25%
71%
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  41%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  43%
Financial Analysis


27
Precedent Transaction Analysis –
Selected Precedent Parent/Subsidiary Transactions
Precedent transactions were selected based on the following criteria:
Minority cash buy-in transactions with values greater than $200 million since 1/1/2005
Excludes transactions where financial information is unavailable
Sources:  FactSet MergerStat, John S. Herold
(Dollars in millions, except per share data)
Enterprise
Equity
Percent
Premium
Announce
Close
Acquiror
Target
Value
Value
Sought
1 Day
5 Day
30 Day
9/4/2009
10/22/2009
Fairfax Financial Holdings
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.
3,434
$     
1,041
$     
27.4
19%
20%
36%
8/12/2008
9/29/2008
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.
UnionBanCal Corp.
18,427
     
3,586
       
34.6
26%
29%
77%
7/21/2008
3/26/2009
Roche Holding AG
Genentech, Inc.
102,192
   
46,763
     
44.3
16%
26%
28%
3/10/2008
1/2/2009
Nationwide Mutual Insurance Co.
Nationwide Financial Services, Inc.
9,091
       
2,426
       
33.7
38%
29%
26%
11/5/2007
4/15/2008
Alfa Mutual Insurance Co.
Alfa Corp.
1,925
       
856
          
45.9
26%
23%
22%
10/23/2007
5/9/2008
Goldman Sachs Group, Macquarie Infrastructure
Waste Industries USA, Inc.
695
          
376
          
49.0
33%
41%
25%
2/22/2007
9/28/2007
American Financial Group, Inc.
Great American Financial Resources, Inc.
1,194
       
225
          
19.0
13%
15%
8%
1/24/2007
9/27/2007
American International Group, Inc.
21st Century Insurance Group
2,090
       
811
          
39.3
35%
29%
27%
11/20/2006
4/20/2007
Toronto-Dominion Bank
TD Banknorth, Inc.
10,161
     
3,189
       
43.0
7%
8%
10%
10/9/2006
6/22/2007
Valcon Acquisition Holding
NetRatings, Inc.
749
          
296
          
39.5
44%
45%
42%
3/17/2006
7/26/2006
William Lyon
William Lyon Homes
1,563
       
240
          
25.5
44%
51%
10%
2/6/2006
5/16/2006
Lafarge SA
Lafarge North America, Inc.
6,405
       
2,870
       
46.8
33%
34%
57%
9/1/2005
11/9/2005
Seven & I Holdings Co., Ltd.
7-Eleven, Inc.
6,713
       
1,284
       
22.7
32%
31%
14%
2/21/2005
7/21/2005
Novartis AG
Eon Labs, Inc.
2,557
       
831
          
30.2
11%
8%
14%
Low
7%
8%
8%
Median
29%
29%
26%
Mean
27%
28%
28%
High
44%
51%
77%
CONSOL
CNX Gas (premium as of 3/19/2010)
5,902
$     
5,775
$     
17%
24%
26%
41%
CONSOL
CNX Gas (premium as of 3/12/2010)
5,902
$     
5,775
$     
17%
46%
47%
43%
Financial Analysis


28
1 Day Premium
7%
29%
27%
44%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  24%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  46%
Precedent Transaction Analysis –
Selected Precedent Parent/Subsidiary Transactions
5 Day Premium
8%
29%
28%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  26%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  47%
30 Day Premium
8%
26%
28%
77%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Low
Median
Mean
High
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/19/2010):  41%
Implied CNX Gas Premium
(3/12/2010):  43%
Financial Analysis


29
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Assumptions
A discounted cash flow analysis ("DCF") was done on CNX Gas's free cash flow from 2010-2019 based on CONSOL
management projections dated 3/19/2010
Terminal multiple range of 3.0x-5.0x was applied to 2019 EBITDA
Assumed transaction closing date of 6/1/2010
Weighted average cost of capital ("WACC") was calculated using comparable company costs of capital adjusting for CNX
Gas' capital structure
WACC range of 9.0%-11.0%
Financial Analysis


30
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Notes:
Assumes
valuation
date
of
6/1/2010
and
cash
flow
received
at
end
of
year
(1)  Assumes a net debt balance of $126.7 million as of 12/31/2009
(2)  Assumes 151 million shares outstanding as of 12/31/2009
Source:  CNX Gas projected financial information provided by Company management on 3/19/2010
Financial Analysis
Fiscal Year Ending December 31,
(Dollars in millions)
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
Net Income
165.8
$      
199.2
$      
334.7
$      
509.4
$      
667.4
$      
818.0
$      
964.2
$      
1,080.7
$   
1,157.5
$   
1,237.0
$   
Net Interest Expense
8.3
10.1
13.8
17.7
19.5
19.1
16.6
9.5
4.1
3.5
Tax Rate
37.5%
38.6%
38.7%
38.2%
38.0%
37.9%
37.8%
37.7%
37.7%
37.3%
Financing Tax Shield
(3.1)
(3.9)
(5.3)
(6.8)
(7.4)
(7.3)
(6.3)
(3.6)
(1.6)
(1.3)
Earnings Before Interest
171.0
$      
205.4
$      
343.2
$      
520.3
$      
679.5
$      
829.8
$      
974.5
$      
1,086.6
$   
1,160.1
$   
1,239.2
$   
Depreciation & Amortization
146.6
159.7
219.2
289.6
354.6
413.7
470.1
508.2
533.0
556.5
Increase in Deferred Taxes
52.0
109.2
182.5
223.5
266.3
307.5
325.0
342.3
361.4
288.2
Change in Net Working Capital
(1.4)
(17.6)
(27.7)
(27.1)
(23.8)
(22.5)
(17.7)
(13.6)
2.0
(7.8)
Capital Expenditures
(394.0)
(606.0)
(931.0)
(1,136.0)
(1,303.0)
(1,475.0)
(1,514.0)
(1,561.0)
(1,604.0)
(1,280.0)
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
(25.8)
$       
(149.2)
$     
(213.8)
$     
(129.6)
$     
(26.4)
$       
53.5
$        
237.9
$      
362.5
$      
452.5
$      
796.0
$      
EBITDA
418.9
$      
492.9
$      
777.2
$      
1,130.4
$   
1,450.1
$   
1,749.9
$   
2,035.2
$   
2,251.0
$   
2,393.3
$   
2,532.2
$   
2019 EBITDA Multiple Range
2019 EBITDA Multiple Range
3.0x
3.5x
4.0x
4.5x
5.0x
3.0x
3.5x
4.0x
4.5x
5.0x
2019 Terminal Value
2019 Terminal Value
7,596
$        
8,863
$    
10,129
$    
11,395
$    
12,661
$    
7,596
$      
8,863
$      
10,129
$    
11,395
$    
12,661
$    
WACC
Implied Enterprise Value
WACC
Price Per Share
(1)(2)
11.0%
3,166.0
$     
3,631.7
4,097.4
$   
4,563.1
$   
5,028.8
$   
11.0%
20.13
$      
23.21
$      
26.30
$      
29.38
$      
32.47
$      
10.5%
3,315.2
$     
3,801.5
4,287.8
$   
4,774.1
$   
5,260.4
$   
10.5%
21.12
$      
24.34
$      
27.56
$      
30.78
$      
34.00
$      
10.0%
3,471.8
$     
3,979.7
4,487.6
$   
4,995.5
$   
5,503.3
$   
10.0%
22.15
$      
25.52
$      
28.88
$      
32.25
$      
35.61
$      
9.5%
3,636.0
$     
4,166.6
4,697.1
$   
5,227.7
$   
5,758.2
$   
9.5%
23.24
$      
26.76
$      
30.27
$      
33.78
$      
37.30
$      
9.0%
3,808.3
$     
4,362.7
4,917.0
$   
5,471.4
$   
6,025.7
$   
9.0%
24.38
$      
28.06
$      
31.73
$      
35.40
$      
39.07
$      


31
Implied Price Per Share
Methodology
Implied Value of CNX Gas Share Price
$29.63
$29.43
$29.58
$32.81
$33.21
$33.32
$24.04
$31.92
$25.26
$19.98
$20.13
$45.93
$47.62
$52.54
$44.39
$46.36
$54.67
$51.62
$93.04
$81.03
$34.62
$39.07
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
Public E&P (1-Day Premium)
Public E&P (5-Day Premium)
Public E&P (30-Day Premium)
Parent/Subsidiary (1-Day Premium)
Parent/Subsidary (5-Day Premium)
Parent/Subsidary (30-Day Premium)
Proved Reserve Value
Resource Potential Value
Enterprise Value to PV-10
Enterprise Value to 2010 EBITDA
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Comparable Company Analysis
Precedent Transactions Analysis
3/19/2010:
$30.80
Offer Price:
$38.25
3/12/2010:
$26.23
Financial Analysis


Addenda


33
Considerations for CNX Gas Public Shareholders
An all-cash tender offer gives CNX Gas public shareholders the flexibility of being able to reinvest proceeds in CONSOL
or other investments as they see fit, rather than receiving CONSOL shares
The $38.25 per share tender offer price provides an attractive premium relative to precedent transactions
24.2% over pre-announcement of the Tender Offer (3/19/2010) vs. 20% for precedent transactions
45.8% over pre-announcement of the Dominion transaction (3/12/2010)
The Tender Offer price compares favorably to consensus analyst target price of $37.50
The Tender Offer price is being made at an attractive valuation relative to CNX Gas peers
The
following
points
are
included
herein
for
discussion
purposes
only.
The
following
is
not
addressed
to
any
stockholder
of
CNX
Gas
and
does
not
constitute
any
opinion
by
Stifel
Nicolaus
whatsoever
as
to
the
fairness
or
reasonableness
of
the
proposed
transaction
to
the
CNX
Gas
stockholders. 
Additionally,
nothing
below
shall
constitute
a
determination
or
recommendation
of
any
kind
by
or
on
behalf
of
Stifel
Nicolaus
as
to
whether
or
not a
CNX
Gas
stockholder
should
tender
CNX
Gas
shares
in
the
proposed
transaction.
Proved Reserve
Daily Production
EV/EBITDA
P/E
Value ($/Mcfe)
Value ($/Mcfe/d)
CNX
Comp
CNX
Comp
CNX
Comp
Comp
Gas
Mean
Gas
Mean
Gas
Mean
CNX Gas
Mean
2009A
15.6x
11.6x
35.1x
NA
3.09
$    
3.10
$    
22,816
$
21,240
$
2010E
14.2x
9.9x
30.6x
37.7x
2011E
13.7x
7.9x
29.6x
28.3x
Addenda


34
Considerations for CNX Gas Public Shareholders
CNX Gas has only 25 million shares (16.7%) floating ($776 million equity value at 3/19/2010 closing price)
9.5 million shares (6.3%) owned by T. Rowe Price ($292 million equity value)
3.9 million shares (2.6%) owned by Advisory Research ($120 million equity value)
18.2 million shares (12.0%) owned by top 6 holders ($560 million
equity value)
19.5 million shares (12.9%) owned by top 10 holders ($600 million equity value)
Arguably, only 5.7 million shares ($175 million equity value) actually float beyond the top 10 holders
90-day average daily trading volume (as of 3/19/2010) is 178,562 shares vs. the peers’
average of 2,767,294 shares
Relatively small float implies limited liquidity for current shareholders and limited ability for new investors to own
the stock
CNX Gas' EBITDA growth rate lower than its peers (UPL, RRC, SWN,
HK, ATLS, COG)
10% vs. 28% for the comparables for 2009-2010, 3% vs. 26% for 2010-2011
CNX Gas has had limited access to capital to exploit its large asset base
CONSOL has not been willing to issue equity due to deferred tax implications and dilution to its existing
shareholders
CONSOL has had limited leverage at the CNX Gas consolidated subsidiary for credit rating purposes and due to
CONSOL's legacy liabilities
CONSOL has historically focused on its coal business and CNX Gas
has had to compete for resources
The
following
points
are
included
herein
for
discussion
purposes
only.
The
following
is
not
addressed
to
any
stockholder
of
CNX
Gas
and
does
not
constitute
any
opinion
by
Stifel
Nicolaus
whatsoever
as
to
the
fairness
or
reasonableness
of
the
proposed
transaction
to
the
CNX
Gas
stockholders. 
Additionally,
nothing
below
shall
constitute
a
determination
or
recommendation
of
any
kind
by
or
on
behalf
of
Stifel
Nicolaus
as
to
whether
or
not
a
CNX
Gas
stockholder
should
tender
CNX
Gas
shares
in
the
proposed
transaction.
Addenda