EX-99.(C)(II) 2 dex99cii.htm FAIR VALUE OF THE OUTSTANDING COMMON STOCK Fair Value of the Outstanding Common Stock

Exhibit (c)(ii)

 

GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

MOUNT PLEASANT, TEXAS

 

Fair Value

Of the Outstanding Common Stock

As of May 17, 2005

 

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Table of Contents

 

     Section

Discussion

   I

Fair Value Summary and Financial Projections

   II

Financial Statements

   III

Historical Financial Analysis

   IV

Comparative Company and Peer Analysis

   V

Guideline Companies

   VI

Economic Analysis and State of the Banking Industry

   VII

 

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SECTION I


GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

 

Fair Value Discussion

 

Introduction

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc., Mount Pleasant, Texas (the “Company”) has engaged Hoefer & Arnett, Incorporated, as an independent appraiser, to render an opinion as to the fair value of the outstanding common stock of the Company. Such value is to be utilized in connection with the Company’s plan to go private.

 

In arriving at our opinion as to the fair value of the appraised stock, we have considered the nature and history of the Company. We have considered the competitive environment in which the Company operates, the economic outlook for its trade area and for the banking industry in general, the book value and financial condition of the Company, its future earnings and dividend paying capacity and the Company’s future business prospects. We have considered previous sales of the Company’s common stock, the market and trading volume in the Company’s common stock, the size of the block of stock being valued and the market price of selected publicly traded banking institutions.

 

The Company’s Financial Performance and Condition

 

The Company is headquartered in Mount Pleasant, Texas, which is located in northeastern Texas. The Company owns Guaranty Financial Corp., Inc., which owns Guaranty Bond Bank (the “Bank”). The Bank has three wholly owned non-bank subsidiaries, Guaranty Leasing Company, Guaranty Company and GB Com, Inc., and partial interest in two non-bank subsidiaries, BSC Securities, L.C. and Independent Bank Services, L.C. Guaranty Mortgage Company, Inc. was formed in August 2004 as a wholly owned non-bank subsidiary and merged into the Bank in March 2005. The Bank is a state-chartered commercial bank that was established in 1913. The Bank operates from its main office located at 100 West Arkansas in Mount Pleasant and has branches in Bogata, Commerce, Fort Stockton, Mount Pleasant, Mount Vernon, Paris, Pittsburg, Sulphur Springs, Talco and Texarkana. A map showing the east Texas cities where the Company has offices is shown on the following page. (Fort Stockton is located in west Texas approximately 85 miles southwest of Odessa.)

 

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GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

 

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GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

 

Section III contains the Company’s balance sheet and income statement as of and for the three months ending March 31, 2005. Section IV presents an analysis of the Company’s historical financial condition and operating results for the periods ending March 31, 2005, December 31, 2004, December 31, 2003, December 31, 2002 and December 31, 2001. Section V presents a comparative analysis for selected ratios for the Company, median ratios derived from 19 Texas bank holding companies with assets between $350 and $750 million that did not have a Subchapter S election in effect at December 31, 2004 (the “peer group”) and median ratios derived from publicly traded banking organizations located in the southwestern region of the United States with total assets under $1 billion and an return on assets greater than 0.00% (the “guideline companies). The financial data was obtained from SNL Financial.

 

Earnings

 

For the three months ended March 31, 2005, the Company generated net income of approximately $983,000 or an annualized return on assets (“ROAA”) of 0.72% and an annualized return on equity (“ROAE”) of 10.14%, which was up slightly from an ROAA of 0.69% and an ROAE of 9.71% in 2004. The peer group reported median ratios of 0.98% and 11.09% for ROAA and ROAE, respectively for 2004. The components of earnings are illustrated in the chart below.

 

Earnings Components as a Percent of Average Assets

 

     3/31/05

    12/31/04

   

Peer Median

12/31/04


    12/31/03

    12/31/02

 

Interest Income

   5.22 %   5.13 %   4.98 %   5.25 %   5.90 %

Interest Expense

   1.93 %   1.73 %   1.19 %   1.95 %   2.50 %
    

 

 

 

 

Net Interest Income

   3.28 %   3.39 %   3.81 %   3.30 %   3.40 %

Provision Expense

   0.15 %   0.18 %   0.16 %   0.20 %   0.26 %

Noninterest Income

   0.94 %   0.88 %   1.24 %   0.93 %   0.95 %

Gains (Loss) on Securities

   0.07 %   0.02 %   0.00 %   0.00 %   0.08 %

Total Noninterest Expense

   3.10 %   3.12 %   3.51 %   3.01 %   2.99 %

Income Tax

   0.33 %   0.30 %   0.37 %   0.29 %   0.29 %
    

 

 

 

 

Net Income (ROAA)

   0.72 %   0.69 %   0.98 %   0.73 %   0.89 %

 

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GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

 

Balance Sheet Composition and Asset Quality

 

At March 31, 2005, the Company’s total assets equaled $552.5 million. The Company’s asset base increased approximately $10.5 million or 1.95% from December 31, 2004 to March 31, 2005. An analysis of the Company’s balance sheet growth is illustrated in the chart below.

 

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Total loans equaled $382.5 million at March 31, 2005 with the largest segment of the Company’s loan portfolio consisting of loans secured by real estate (73.50% of gross loans). The Company’s loan mix as compared to the loan mix of its peer group is illustrated below.

 

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At March 31, 2005 total deposits equaled $444.0 million. The Company’s deposit mix as compared to that of its peer group is illustrated below.

 

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The Bank reported nonperforming assets equaling 0.54% of total assets at March 31, 2005, which was down slightly from 0.68% at year-end 2004, but was still above the peer group median of 0.34%. The Company’s loan loss reserve equaled 1.16% of total loans and 147.17% of nonperforming assets, as compared to the peer group median of 1.18% and 260.32%, respectively. For the three months ended March 31, 2005, the Bank reported net recoveries equal to 0.02% of average loans, annualized, as compared to a peer group median net charge-off ratio of 0.19%. At March 31, 2005, the Bank reported other real estate owned of approximately $617,000.

 

At March 31, 2005, the Company reported a tier 1 leverage ratio of 8.58%, a tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 12.60% and a total risk-based capital ratio of 13.78%, all of which significantly exceed minimum regulatory capital requirements of 3.00%, 4.00% and 8.00%, respectively.

 

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Market Overview

 

The Company operates in the Texas counties of Bowie, Camp, Franklin, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Pecos, Red River and Titus. The following charts show summary demographic and deposit information for each county. This information was obtained from SNL Financial.

 

County Demographic Summary

 

    

Total
Population
2004

(Actual)


   Population
Change
2000-2004 (%)


   Projected
Population
Change
2004-2009 (%)


   Median
HH Income
2004 ($)


   HH Income
Change
2000-2004 (%)


   Projected
HH Income
Change
2004-2009 (%)


Texas (TX)

                             

Titus

   28,982    3.07    3.64    35,295    9.33    10.05

Lamar

   49,425    1.91    2.26    33,410    4.08    8.97

Hopkins

   32,316    1.11    1.30    34,771    6.48    11.49

Hunt

   80,934    5.66    6.62    39,656    6.82    9.44

Bowie

   90,870    1.75    2.07    35,333    6.17    12.04

Camp

   12,114    4.89    5.75    33,592    9.55    11.87

Red River

   13,920    -2.75    -3.51    30,242    9.83    10.93

Pecos

   16,235    -3.41    -4.31    31,352    5.30    10.85

Franklin

   9,809    3.71    4.39    34,579    6.31    12.19

TX totals:

   334,605                         

Weighted Average: Texas Franchise

        2.51    2.95    34,889    7.50    10.24

Aggregate: Entire State of Texas

   22,406,324    7.46    8.59    44,321    9.68    11.05

Aggregate: National

   292,936,668    4.09    4.84    46,475    8.77    11.02

 

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County Deposit Summary

(Deposits at June 30, 2004)

 

     Market
Rank


   Number
of
Branches


   Company
Deposits
in Market
($000)


   Deposit
Market
Share (%)


   Percent of
State
Franchise (%)


Texas (TX)

                        

Titus

   1    3    177,319    40.84    42.77

Lamar

   4    1    82,986    11.25    20.02

Hopkins

   3    1    61,241    14.86    14.77

Hunt

   6    1    31,898    5.13    7.69

Bowie

   6    2    24,721    2.44    5.96

Camp

   4    1    19,013    9.36    4.59

Red River

   4    1    16,744    13.45    4.04

Pecos

   4    1    690    0.52    0.17

Franklin

   3    1    0    —      0.00
         
  
       

TX totals:

        12    414,612         100.00

 

The Economic Outlook

 

In conjunction with the preparation of this valuation opinion, we have reviewed and analyzed current economic conditions and how the Company and the banking industry may be impacted. A review of the Texas economy is contained in Section VII, which contains a copy of the Texas State Profile as prepared by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) for Spring 2005. Section VII also contains a copy of the Quarterly Banking Profile as prepared by the FDIC for the fourth quarter of 2004.

 

Projections of Financial Performance

 

We have prepared financial projections for the Company (shown in Section II) based upon input from management of the Company, our analysis of the financial history of the Company and the economic outlook for the trade area and for the banking industry in general.

 

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We have projected asset growth of 5.09% in 2005 and 5.50% annually in the years 2006 through 2009. We have projected the Company to generate a return on average assets of 0.78% in 2005 gradually increasing to 1.00% in 2009.

 

Definition of Fair Value

 

The Texas Business Corporation Act, Art. 5.12 defines “fair value,” with respect to dissenter’s shares, as the value of the shares as of the day immediately preceding the meeting, (at which the corporate action to which the dissenter objects is adopted) excluding any appreciation or depreciation in anticipation of the proposed action. This definition is broadly accepted and used in courts of law and it is the basis upon which we have relied in determining the fair value of the Company’s common stock.

 

When a stock is closely held, is traded infrequently, or is traded in an erratic market, some other measure of value must be used. IRS Revenue Ruling 59-60 outlines the general approach, methods and factors to be considered in determining value. The subjective analysis described in Revenue Ruling 59-60, outlined for national banks in OCC Bulletin 88-22, and generally discussed in numerous case law studies and various writings regarding fair value determination together with all relevant factors, and as influenced by the appraisal expert’s judgment and experience, is the appropriate approach to be used by appraisal experts when determining the value of shares of a corporation operating as a going concern.

 

Valuation Approaches

 

There are three valuation approaches that are generally accepted and employed, when appropriate, by appraisal experts in valuing the stock or assets of a going concern. The three valuation approaches are the asset based approach, the market approach and the income approach.

 

    Asset Based Approach. According to the BUSINESS VALUATION STANDARDS of the American Society of Appraisers, the asset based (cost) approach is defined as “a general way of determining a value indication of a business’s assets and or equity interest using one or more methods based directly on the value of the assets of the business less liabilities.” Asset based valuation methods seek to write-up (or down) or otherwise adjust the various tangible and intangible assets of an enterprise.

 

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    Market Approach. The market approach is a general way of determining a value indication of a business, business ownership interest or security using one or more methods that compare the subject to similar businesses, business ownership interests or securities that have been sold. Market methods include prior transactions in interests of the valuation subject and include a variety of methods that compare the subject with transactions involving similar investments, including publicly traded guideline companies or sales involving controlling interest in public or private guideline companies.

 

    Income Approach. The income approach, as defined by the American Society of Appraisers, is defined as “a general way of determining a value indication of a business, business ownership interest or security using one or more methods wherein a value is determined by converting anticipated benefits”. In other words, some measurement of earnings or cash flow is forecasted for an appropriate period and then either capitalized using a single representative period or discounted to present value after estimating several future periods.

 

The valuation methods utilized by the appraiser are considered to be those most appropriate to a particular appraisal. Those valuation methods selected are summarized in Section II and discussed below.

 

The Valuation

 

Asset Based (Cost) Approach

 

Net Asset Value Method. This approach normally assumes liquidation or sale on the date of appraisal with the recognition of securities gains or losses, real estate appreciation or depreciation and any adjustments to the allowance for loan losses, discounts to the loan portfolio or changes in the net value of other assets. As such, it is not the best approach to use when valuing a going concern and, therefore, we did not utilize this approach.

 

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GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

 

Market Approach

 

Prior Transactions. When valuing a specific block of stock, the market value typically refers to the price at which the appraised company’s stock was selling at the time of appraisal. Transactions are investigated to determine if they appear to have occurred at arms’ length, with a reasonable degree of frequency, and within a reasonably recent period relative to the valuation date. In this instance, we have reviewed previous trades of the Company’s common stock, which is thinly traded on NASDAQ (under the symbol “GNTY”). For the period between January 1, 2005 and May 17, 2005, the average daily trading volume for the Company was 1,346 shares (0.05% of the outstanding common shares) and on many days there were no trades in the Company’s common stock. From January 1, 2005 to May 17, 2005, as reported by NASDAQ, the low price was $20.59 per share, the high price was $23.38 per share, the closing price was $21.35 per share and the average closing price was $21.51 per share. A price and volume chart for the period between January 1, 2005 and May 17, 2005 is contained in Section IV.

 

Guideline Companies Method. The guideline companies method considers the prices at which the stock of companies engaged in the same or similar line of business are selling in the open market on a minority basis, or a freely traded value. We have selected a group of publicly traded banking organizations (the “guideline companies”) that are located in the southwestern region of the United States with total assets under $1 billion and a return on assets greater than 0.00%. This method considers the price to book and price to earnings multiples for the guideline companies. Section VI presents select performance and market valuation characteristics of the guideline companies.

 

Income Approach

 

The income approach is used to quantify the present value of future economic benefits, usually earnings, cash flow or dividends that will accrue to an investor. The discounted cash flow method discounts the projected income or cash flow from an investment in the Company’s common stock, considering projected dividends, income and the future residual value of the stock, which is either capitalized using a single period or a multi-period approach.

 

The multi-period method assumes a willing buyer would invest the equivalent present value of expected future cash flows at a reasonable required rate of return. Utilizing the financial projections for the Company, shown in Section II, we have estimated a potential investor’s cash flow based upon future dividends and a residual value. To calculate the residual value, we assumed the sale of the stock at the end of five years. We used

 

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the current trading multiples for both book and earnings to provide appropriate residual values. We next developed an appropriate discount rate using the modified Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). We utilized the yield on the 30-year Treasury Bond Index as an estimate of the risk-free rate in deriving the discount rate. As of May 17, 2005, this rate was 4.47%. In deriving the market risk premium, we utilized the average return for common stock in the S&P 500 Index above the risk-free rate over the past 70 years, which was determined to be 8.1%. As part of the discount rate derivation, we also examined the risk inherent in specifically owning bank stocks. This risk is often quantified by a measure of systematic risk, or beta. Our analysis focused on the betas of publicly traded community banks with assets less than $1 billion. These betas ranged from -0.53% to 0.78% with an average beta of 0.28. Stocks with a beta less than one have risk levels that are lower than that of the overall equity market. Thus, we have estimated the equity risk premium for owning bank stock to be 2.3, as shown below. In addition, a company specific risk premium is determined based on the subjective analysis and evaluation of the appraiser. Our analysis of a company specific risk premium considered size and performance attributes of the Company in addition to the current rate environment. Some of the elements considered are shown below.

 

     Assets
(millions)


   ROA

    ROE

   

Equity/

Assets


 

The Company

   $ 552.5    0.72 %   10.14 %   6.98 %

Median for Guideline Companies

   $ 460.8    1.00 %   10.97 %   8.62 %

Median for Publicly Traded Banks Under $1 Billion

   $ 278.7    0.89 %   9.88 %   9.04 %

 

     5/17/05

 

Prime Rate

   6.00 %

Federal Funds Rate

   2.99 %

Corporate Bonds – Aaa

   5.11 %

Corporate Bonds – Baa

   6.03 %

 

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The specific risk premium was determined to be 5.0. The following table shows the components of the discount rate:

 

Risk Free Rate (30 year Treasury Bond Index Yield)

   4.5 %   (per Commodity Systems, Inc.)

+ Equity Risk Premium (8.10% x beta of 0.28)

   2.3 %   (per Ibbotson & Associates)

+ Specific Risk Premium

   5.0 %   (appraiser’s estimate)

= Discount Rate

   12.0 %   (rounded)

 

Applying a discount rate of 12%, the discounted cash flow values equaled $18.65 per share and $21.72 per share, based on a residual of book and a residual of earnings, respectively.

 

Conclusion

 

In arriving at our opinion as to the fair value of the outstanding shares of the Company, we have considered such financial and other factors as we have deemed appropriate under the circumstances, including among others the following: (i) the historical and current financial position and results of operations of the Company, including interest income, interest expense, net interest income, net interest margin, provision for loan losses, noninterest income, noninterest expense, earnings, dividends, internal capital generation, book value, intangible assets, return on assets, return on shareholders’ equity, capitalization, the amount and type of nonperforming assets, loan losses and the reserve for loan losses, all as set forth in the financial statements for the Company; (ii) the assets and liabilities of the Company, including the loan, investment and mortgage portfolios, deposits, other liabilities, historical and current liability sources and costs and liquidity; (iii) previous trades of the Company’s common stock and (iv) the market price of selected publicly traded banking organizations. We have also taken into account our assessment of general economic, market and financial conditions and our experience in securities valuation and our knowledge of the banking industry generally. Our opinion is necessarily based upon conditions as they exist and can be evaluated on the date hereof and the information made available to us through the date hereof.

 

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A summary of the range of values produced under the various valuation methods is shown on the following table and in Section II.

 

     Value
Per Share


   Weight

 

Market Approach:

             

Closing Price on May 17, 2005

   $ 21.35    30 %

Adjusted Book Value

   $ 19.93    15 %

Adjusted Tangible Book Value

   $ 19.59    10 %

Adjusted 2004 Earnings Value

   $ 18.66    15 %

Adjusted 2005 Est. Earnings Value

   $ 22.10    10 %

Income Approach:

             

Capitalization of Dividends

   $ 29.53    10 %

Discounted Cash Flow – Residual of Book

   $ 18.65    5 %

Discounted Cash Flow – Residual of Earnings

   $ 21.72    5 %

 

After considering the various valuation methodologies and all relevant financial and non-financial factors, and based on our judgment and experience in valuing over 2,000 community banks over the past fifteen years, we then assigned weightings to each of the evaluation techniques to arrive at our opinion as to a marketable minority value of the Company’s common stock.

 

As shown above, we assigned the following weightings: 30% to previous trades, 15% to adjusted book value, 10% to adjusted tangible book, 25% to adjusted earnings (15% to 2004 earnings and 10% to 2005 estimated earnings), 10% to capitalization of dividends and 10% to discounted cash flow (5% based on a residual of book and 5% based on a residual of earnings).

 

Based on our review and analysis of the factors influencing value and utilizing the asset, market and income approaches, it is the opinion of Hoefer & Arnett, Incorporated that, as of May 17, 2005, the marketable minority/freely traded value of the outstanding common stock of Guaranty Bancshares, Inc., Mount Pleasant, Texas was $21.35 per share.

 

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Tests of Reasonableness

 

A marketable minority value of $21.35 per share results in a price to equity multiple of 1.62 and a price to tangible equity multiple of 1.72 (based on March 31, 2005 equity and tangible equity, respectively) and a price to earnings multiple of 17.28 (based on 2004 earnings). Additionally, we calculated the return on investment, which is a measure for evaluating the reasonableness of the value of the outstanding common stock. The return on investment analysis assumes an investment is made at the determined value and then sold in five years, taking into consideration any dividends paid. To calculate the return on investment, we assumed sale at a multiple of book and a multiple of earnings based on the multiples resulting from our opinion as to the Company’s marketable minority value.

 

Based on several control premium studies, the median premium paid in the acquisition of publicly traded companies has historically ranged from 23% to 36%. The median premium paid in the acquisition of publicly traded banking organizations since January 1, 2000 was 28%. Inherent in this control premium are some of the synergistic benefits available only in a third-party acquisition. Acquirers can reduce expenses by consolidating many of the functions of the acquired company, such as accounting and data processing, into their existing operations. Acquirers can also increase revenues by strengthening the acquired company’s existing business lines or by offering additional products and services. Given that this is not an acquisition transaction, we believe that a smaller premium is appropriate and consistent with the definition of fair value. Therefore, we applied a 12% premium to arrive at a fair value of $24.00 per share for the outstanding common stock of Guaranty Bancshares, Inc., Mount Pleasant, Texas.

 

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Limiting Conditions

 

Our valuation was based upon financial statements, financial projections and other pertinent information provided to us by the Company and publicly available information. We have relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of such information, and we have not assumed any responsibility for independent verification of the same. We have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject of this report, and we have no personal interest or bias with respect to the parties involved. Our compensation is not contingent on an action or event resulting from the analyses, opinions, or conclusions in, or the use, of this report.

 

Respectfully Submitted,
Hoefer & Arnett, Incorporated
By:  

/s/ Thomas R. Mecredy


 

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Qualifications of Hoefer & Arnett, Inc.

 

Hoefer & Arnett, Incorporated is a full service investment bank serving community banks. Hoefer & Arnett’s business includes traditional brokerage activity, research, investment banking and financial advisory services. The firm is a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) with direct access to inter-dealer markets in NASD Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) and Over-the-Counter (OTC) securities, and makes markets in securities under its symbol HOFR.

 

Hoefer & Arnett investment banking professionals have been involved in corporate finance transactions in excess of $10.5 billion and over 300 merger and acquisition assignments with an aggregate transaction value of over $7.5 billion during their careers. Hoefer & Arnett makes markets in over 150 financial institutions nationwide and has a dedicated bank research team providing among the most extensive research coverage of independent banks in the United States. Hoefer & Arnett has consistently been ranked as one of the top community bank merger and acquisition advisors since 1995, having advised on 111 transactions. Additionally, Hoefer & Arnett has completed over 500 stock appraisals in the last ten years.

 

Our participation in making markets in and performing appraisals of the securities of community banks allows Hoefer & Arnett, Incorporated to be especially knowledgeable with regard to valuation theory and the rulings and guidelines of the Internal Revenue Service and the Comptroller of the Currency involving valuation methodology and judicial decisions regarding bank stock valuation matters.

 

Professionals – Austin Office

 

Thomas R. Mecredy, Managing Director

 

Tom Mecredy is a partner of Hoefer & Arnett, Inc. and joined the Firm in 1994 after heading the Alex Sheshunoff & Co. Investment Banking division since 1989. As an investment advisor, Mr. Mecredy assists clients with mergers and acquisitions, bank stock valuations, financial structure analysis, makes bank regulatory assessments, and provides negotiation support. He also applies his expertise to general bank merger and acquisition strategic planning for the firm’s clients. In the twelve years Mr. Mecredy was employed at Alex Sheshunoff & Co. Investment Banking, he was involved in over two thousand bank stock valuations and two hundred and fifty mergers and acquisitions. In addition, he has

 

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served on numerous occasions as an expert witness in cases regarding bank stock valuation matters. Mr. Mecredy was also the principal author of the widely used Sheshunoff publication, Buying, Selling & Merging Banks. Moreover, he is a speaker at numerous national and state bank trade association seminars and conventions. Previously, Mr. Mecredy served as Assistant Vice President for a large Midwest multi-bank holding company. Mr. Mecredy performed the traditional functions of the chief financial officer at the holding company level and was primarily responsible for all financial and regulatory aspects of bank acquisitions. Additionally, Mr. Mecredy was with the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago where he served as a Senior Bank Holding Company Examiner and also worked in the Applications Division performing bank merger and acquisition analysis. Mr. Mecredy graduated in 1971 with a B.S. Degree from Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana.

 

Denna S. McGhee, Senior Vice President

 

Denna McGhee joined the Firm in 1994 from Alex Sheshunoff & Co. Investment Banking where she served as Assistant Vice President. With 18 years of experience, Ms. McGhee has been involved in well over 500 bank stock appraisals for purposes of merger & acquisition transactions, employee stock ownership plans, strategic planning and gift and estate taxes. Ms. McGhee has co-authored research reports and rendered fairness opinions on small and mid-sized banking organizations. She is a graduate of the University of Texas where she received her BBA in Finance in 1986. Ms. McGhee is a Business Valuation candidate member of the American Society of Appraisers.

 

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SECTION II


Fair Value

of the Outstanding Common Stock of

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

Mount Pleasant, Texas

 

     Value Per Share

 

Recent Trading Price: (closing price on May 17, 2005)

   $ 21.35  

Adjusted Book Value: (adjusted for the median price to equity multiple of regional banking organizations under $1 billion in assets)

        

3/31/05 book value    $13.20 x 1.51

   $ 19.93  

Adjusted Tangible Book Value: (adjusted for the median price to tangible equity multiple of regional banking organizations under $1 billion in assets)

        

3/31/05 tangible book value    $12.40 x 1.58

   $ 19.59  

Adjusted Earnings Value: (adjusted for the median price to earnings multiple of regional banking organizations under $1 billion in assets)

        

2004 earnings per share    $1.24 x 15.1

   $ 18.66  

2005 estimated earnings per share    $1.46 x 15.1

   $ 22.10  

Dividend Value: (adjusted for the median dividend yield of regional banking organizations under $1 billion in assets)

        

2005 estimated dividends per share    $0.44 / 1.49%

   $ 29.53  

Discounted Cash Flow: (assumes a 12% required rate of return and adjusted for lack of marketability)

        

Dividends with a residual value equal to 1.51x book value at 12/31/09

   $ 18.65  

Dividends with a residual value equal to 15.1x last twelve months earnings ending 12/31/09

   $ 21.72  

Fair Value

   $ 21.35  

Fair Value to Book Value: (3/31/05 equity to assets ratio = 6.98% )

     1.62  

Fair Value to Tangible Book Value:

     1.72  

Fair Value to Earnings:

        

2004 earnings (ROA = 0.69% )

     17.28  

2005 estimated earnings (ROA = 0.78% )

     14.59  

Fair Value to Assets:

     11.50 %

Return on Investment: (assuming sale at 1.62x book value at 12/31/09)

     10.22 %

Return on Investment: (assuming sale at 14.59x LTM earnings ending 12/31/09)

     11.67 %


Financial Projections for

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

Mount Pleasant, Texas

 

    Total
Assets
$(000)


  Asset
Growth
Rate


    Net
Income
$(000)


  Net
Income
Growth
Rate


    Return
on
Avg.
Assets


    Return
on
Avg.
Equity


    Total
Dividends
$(000)


  Dividend
Payout
Ratio


    Total
Equity
$(000)


  Loan
Loss
Reserve
$(000)


  Intangible
Assets
$(000)


  Tier 1
Leverage
Ratio


    Total Risk
Based
Capital
Ratio


    Long
Term
Debt
$(000)


Historical

                                                                                   

2000

  $ 411,031   10.96 %   $ 2,508   -19.67 %   0.64 %   8.66 %   $ 770   30.70 %   $ 29,425   $ 2,578   $ 2,488   8.62 %   12.53 %   $ 7,000

2001

  $ 460,509   12.04 %   $ 3,290   31.18 %   0.75 %   10.74 %   $ 841   25.56 %   $ 31,828   $ 3,346   $ 2,339   8.22 %   11.82 %   $ 7,000

2002

  $ 517,968   12.48 %   $ 4,377   33.04 %   0.89 %   13.17 %   $ 951   21.73 %   $ 34,644   $ 3,692   $ 2,338   8.41 %   12.46 %   $ 10,000

2003

  $ 517,078   -0.17 %   $ 3,844   -12.18 %   0.74 %   10.81 %   $ 1,081   28.12 %   $ 36,448   $ 3,906   $ 2,338   8.47 %   13.18 %   $ 10,000

2004

  $ 541,966   4.81 %   $ 3,660   -4.79 %   0.69 %   9.75 %   $ 1,167   31.89 %   $ 38,624   $ 4,154   $ 2,338   8.73 %   13.65 %   $ 10,000

Projected

                                                                                   

2005

  $ 569,565   5.09 %   $ 4,325   18.16 %   0.78 %   10.77 %   $ 1,281   29.63 %   $ 41,667   $ 4,366   $ 2,182   8.89 %   13.87 %   $ 10,000

2006

  $ 600,891   5.50 %   $ 4,900   13.31 %   0.84 %   11.29 %   $ 1,401   28.60 %   $ 45,166   $ 4,606   $ 2,026   9.07 %   14.11 %   $ 10,000

2007

  $ 633,940   5.50 %   $ 5,549   13.25 %   0.90 %   11.76 %   $ 1,518   27.36 %   $ 49,197   $ 4,859   $ 1,870   9.27 %   14.40 %   $ 10,000

2008

  $ 668,807   5.50 %   $ 6,183   11.42 %   0.95 %   12.01 %   $ 1,635   26.44 %   $ 53,745   $ 5,126   $ 1,715   9.51 %   14.75 %   $ 10,000

2009

  $ 705,591   5.50 %   $ 6,857   10.91 %   1.00 %   12.18 %   $ 1,752   25.55 %   $ 58,851   $ 5,408   $ 1,559   9.78 %   15.14 %   $ 10,000

 

     Per Share

   Common Shares Outstanding

     Stated
Common
Equity


   Tangible
Common
Equity


   Fully
Diluted
Earnings


   Common
Dividends


   Year-end
Primary
Shares


   Average
Fully
Diluted
Shares


   Average
Primary
Shares


Historical

                                          

2004

   $ 13.26    $ 12.46    $ 1.24    $ 0.40    2,912,677    2,962,513    2,917,500

Projected

                                          

2005

   $ 14.27    $ 13.52    $ 1.46    $ 0.44    2,919,725    2,955,376    2,912,423

2006

   $ 15.47    $ 14.78    $ 1.66    $ 0.48    2,919,725    2,955,376    2,919,725

2007

   $ 16.85    $ 16.21    $ 1.88    $ 0.52    2,919,725    2,955,376    2,919,725

2008

   $ 18.41    $ 17.82    $ 2.09    $ 0.56    2,919,725    2,955,376    2,919,725

2009

   $ 20.16    $ 19.62    $ 2.32    $ 0.60    2,919,725    2,955,376    2,919,725


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION III


PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(DOLLARS IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PAR VALUE)

 

     March 31,
2005


    December 31,
2004


 
     (Unaudited)        
ASSETS                 

Cash and due from banks

   $ 16,055     $ 14,949  

Federal funds sold

     5,395       9,075  

Interest-bearing deposits

     206       210  
    


 


Total cash and cash equivalents

     21,656       24,234  

Interest-bearing time deposits

     12,823       12,823  

Securities available for sale

     111,842       103,751  

Loans held for sale

     2,666       1,749  

Loans, net of allowance for loan losses of $4,418 and $4,154

     375,388       371,431  

Premises and equipment, net

     13,501       13,471  

Other real estate

     617       692  

Accrued interest receivable

     2,849       2,794  

Goodwill

     2,338       2,338  

Cash surrender value of life insurance

     5,304       5,260  

Other assets

     3,528       3,423  
    


 


Total assets

   $ 552,512     $ 541,966  
    


 


LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY                 

Liabilities

                

Deposits

                

Noninterest-bearing

   $ 86,600     $ 82,302  

Interest-bearing

     357,431       351,441  
    


 


Total deposits

     444,031       433,743  

Accrued interest and other liabilities

     4,169       4,736  

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     55,459       54,553  

Junior subordinated debentures

     10,310       10,310  
    


 


Total liabilities

     513,969       503,342  
    


 


Commitments and Contingencies

     —         —    

Shareholders’ equity

                

Preferred stock, $5.00 par value, 15,000,000 shares authorized, no shares issued

     —         —    

Common stock, $1.00 par value, 50,000,000 shares authorized, 3,252,016 shares issued

     3,252       3,252  

Additional paid-in capital

     12,864       12,882  

Retained earnings

     27,388       26,405  

Treasury stock, 332,291 and 339,339 shares at cost

     (4,101 )     (4,179 )

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income

     (860 )     264  
    


 


Total shareholders’ equity

     38,543       38,624  
    


 


Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 552,512     $ 541,966  
    


 


 

See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.


GUARANTY BANCSHARES, INC.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS

(DOLLARS IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE AMOUNTS)

(UNAUDITED)

 

     Three Months Ended
March 31,


     2005

   2004

Interest income

             

Loans, including fees

   $ 5,909    $ 5,688

Securities

             

Taxable

     970      958

Nontaxable

     150      14

Federal funds sold and interest-bearing deposits

     113      40
    

  

Total interest income

     7,142      6,700

Interest expense

             

Deposits

     1,877      1,399

FHLB advances and federal funds purchased

     516      500

Junior subordinated debentures

     250      251
    

  

Total interest expense

     2,643      2,150
    

  

Net interest income

     4,499      4,550

Provision for loan losses

     200      250
    

  

Net interest income after provision for loan losses

     4,299      4,300

Noninterest income

             

Service charges

     700      724

Net realized gain on securities transactions

     —        42

Other operating income

     691      462
    

  

Total noninterest income

     1,391      1,228

Noninterest expense

             

Employee compensation and benefits

     2,556      2,476

Occupancy expenses

     537      504

Other operating expenses

     1,154      1,134
    

  

Total noninterest expenses

     4,247      4,114
    

  

Earnings before provision for income taxes

     1,443      1,414

Provision for income taxes

     460      382
    

  

Net Earnings

   $ 983    $ 1,032
    

  

Basic earnings per common share

   $ 0.34    $ 0.35
    

  

Diluted earnings per common share

   $ 0.33    $ 0.35
    

  

 

See accompanying notes to interim consolidated financial statements.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION IV


Financial Highlights

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

   2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Financial Date

   12/31/2001    12/31/2002    12/31/2003    12/31/2004    03/31/2005

Period Restated?

   No    No    No    No    No

Balance Sheet

                        

Total Assets

   460,509    517,968    517,078    541,966    552,512

Total Net Loans

   327,909    361,923    361,608    373,180    378,054

Deposits

   383,279    424,950    407,847    433,743    444,031

Total Equity

   31,827    34,644    36,448    38,624    38,543

Profitability (%)

                        

Net Income ($000)

   3,290    4,377    3,844    3,660    983

Return on Average Assets

   0.76    0.89    0.73    0.69    0.72

Core ROAA

   0.45    0.84    0.73    0.68    0.67

Return on Average Equity

   10.74    12.90    10.83    9.71    10.14

Core ROAE

   6.38    12.17    10.80    9.50    9.50

Return on Average Tangible Equity

   12.01    13.85    11.59    10.35    10.79

Net Interest Margin

   3.85    3.98    3.88    3.71    3.56

As Reported Net Interest Margin

   3.46    3.73    3.63    3.71    NA

Efficiency Ratio

   70.31    65.37    67.75    73.23    73.12

Noninterest Inc/ Operating Rev

   22.72    21.85    22.02    20.50    22.54

Balance Sheet Ratios/ Capital (%)

                        

Loans/ Deposits

   86.00    84.69    89.32    86.59    85.54

Securities/ Assets

   17.74    20.66    19.26    19.14    20.24

Total Equity/ Total Assets

   6.91    6.69    7.05    7.13    6.98

Tangible Equity/ Tangible Assets

   6.44    6.27    6.63    6.72    6.58

Tier 1 Ratio

   11.52    12.06    12.10    12.52    12.60

Total Capital Ratio

   12.58    13.12    13.18    13.65    13.78

Leverage Ratio (Bank, BHC only)

   8.44    8.62    8.32    8.73    8.62

Core Cap/Tang Assets (OTS Only)

   NA    NA    NA    NA    NA

Asset Quality (%)

                        

Nonperforming Assets/ Assets

   0.93    0.76    0.54    0.68    0.54

NPAs + Lns 90/ Assets

   1.35    0.83    0.64    0.79    0.69

NPAs/ Loans + OREO

   1.30    1.07    0.77    0.98    0.78

NCOs/ Avg Loans

   0.20    0.27    0.24    0.18    -0.07

Reserves/ Loans

   1.01    1.01    1.07    1.10    1.16

Reserves/ NPAs

   77.83    94.16    138.76    112.18    147.22

Loan Loss Provision/ NCO

   224.47    137.86    124.85    136.36    NM

Per Share Information ($)

                        

Common Shares Outstanding (Actual)

   3,004,428    2,931,928    2,921,928    2,912,677    2,919,725

Avg Shares, Diluted EPS

   3,027,321    3,012,706    2,953,280    2,962,513    2,955,376

Book Value Per Share

   10.59    11.81    12.47    13.26    13.20

Tangible BV Per Share

   9.82    11.01    11.67    12.46    12.40

Dividends

   0.2800    0.3200    0.3700    0.4000    0.0000

Diluted EPS after Extraordinary

   1.09    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

EPS Growth (year over year) (%)

   36.3    33.0    -10.3    -4.6    -5.7

Core EPS

   0.65    1.37    1.30    1.21    0.31

Core EPS Growth (year over year) (%)

   -21.6    111.3    -5.2    -6.4    -9.3

Core Cash Basis EPS

   1.14    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


Performance Analysis

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

     2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Financial Date

   12/31/2001    12/31/2002    12/31/2003    12/31/2004    03/31/2005

Period Restated?

   No    No    No    No    No

Profitability Ratios (%)

                        

Return on Average Assets

   0.76    0.89    0.73    0.69    0.72

Return on Average Equity

   10.74    12.90    10.83    9.71    10.14

Return on Avg Common Equity

   10.74    12.90    10.83    9.71    10.14

Return on Avg Tangible Equity

   12.01    13.85    11.59    10.35    10.79

Profit Margin

   15.68    25.33    24.01    22.73    23.21

Net Interest Margin

   3.85    3.98    3.88    3.71    3.56

As Reported Net Interest Margin

   3.46    3.73    3.63    3.71    NA

Yield on Earning Assets

   8.05    6.72    6.02    5.61    5.66

Cost of Interest Bearing Liabilities

   4.80    3.16    2.46    2.24    2.50

Interest Spread

   3.25    3.56    3.56    3.37    3.16

Net Interest Inc/ Avg Assets

   3.48    3.63    3.52    3.39    3.28

Noninterest Inc/ Avg Assets

   0.92    0.95    0.93    0.88    0.95

Net Oper Exp/ Avg Assets

   2.17    2.04    2.09    2.25    2.14

Non Interest Inc/ Operating Rev

   22.72    21.85    22.02    20.50    22.54

Overhead Ratio

   62.48    56.31    59.22    66.33    65.30

Efficiency Ratio

   70.31    65.37    67.75    73.23    73.12

Net Nonrecurring Income/ NIBT

   34.20    0.00    -3.24    0.00    6.58

Yield/ Cost Detail (%)

                        

Yield Earned On:

                        

Avg Total Loans

   NA    NA    NA    6.19    6.25

Avg Securities

   NA    NA    NA    3.86    4.02

Avg Other Earning Assets

   NA    NA    NA    2.15    2.92

Avg Total Earning Assets

   8.05    6.72    6.02    5.61    5.66

Cost Incurred By:

                        

Avg Certificates of Deposit

   5.67    3.60    2.70    2.22    2.54

Avg Other Int-Bearing Deps

   2.59    1.39    0.77    0.97    1.40

Avg Total Int-Bearing Deps

   4.66    2.89    2.04    1.77    2.11

Avg Deposits

   3.96    2.44    1.71    1.44    1.71

Avg Borrowings

   6.75    5.01    4.89    4.79    4.58

Avg Int-Bearing Liabilities

   4.80    3.16    2.46    2.24    2.50

Avg Total Funds

   4.12    2.72    2.11    1.89    2.09

Core Income

                        

Core Income ($000)

   1,954    4,130    3,834    3,582    921

Core EPS ($)

   0.65    1.37    1.30    1.21    0.31

Core Cash Basis EPS ($)

   1.14    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

Core ROAA (%)

   0.45    0.84    0.73    0.68    0.67

Core ROAE (%)

   6.38    12.17    10.80    9.50    9.50

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


Performance Analysis

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

     2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Share and Per Share Info ($)

                        

Basic EPS Bef Extra Item

   1.09    1.46    1.32    1.25    0.34

Basic EPS After Extra Item

   1.09    1.46    1.32    1.25    0.34

Diluted EPS Bef Extra Item

   1.09    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

Diluted EPS After Extra Item

   1.09    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

Core Cash Basis EPS

   1.14    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

Book Value Per Share

   10.59    11.81    12.47    13.26    13.20

Tangible BV Per Share

   9.82    11.01    11.67    12.46    12.40

Dividends per Share

   0.2800    0.3200    0.3700    0.4000    0.0000

Dividend Payout (%)

   25.7    22.1    28.5    32.3    0.0

Avg Diluted Shares (Actual)

   3,027,321    3,012,706    2,953,280    2,962,513    2,955,376

Shares Outstanding (Actual)

   3,004,428    2,931,928    2,921,928    2,912,677    2,919,725

Market Info and Historical Pricing

                        

Stock Price at End of Period ($)

   13.00    16.09    20.55    21.80    21.52

EOP Price/ Earnings (x)

   11.9    11.1    15.8    17.6    17.6

EOP Price/ Book Value (%)

   122.8    136.2    164.8    164.4    163.0

EOP Price/ Tangible Book (%)

   132.5    146.1    176.1    175.0    173.6

EOP Market Cap ($M)

   39.1    47.2    60.1    63.5    62.8

High Price for the Period ($)

   14.10    16.25    21.91    23.64    23.64

Low Price for the Period ($)

   10.25    12.26    14.90    18.00    18.00

EOP SNL Peer Bank Index

   481.48    490.23    652.74    777.54    741.68

EOP SNL Broad Base Index Value

   473.67    419.05    548.55    595.10    551.04

S&P 500 at Period End

   1,148.08    879.82    1,111.92    1,211.92    1,180.59

DJIA at Period End

   10,021.57    8,341.63    10,453.92    10,783.01    10,503.76

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


Balance Sheet

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

   2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Equity

                        

Preferred Equity

   0    0    0    0    0

Common Equity

   31,827    34,644    36,448    38,624    38,543

Total Equity

   31,827    34,644    36,448    38,624    38,543

Net Unrealized Gain

   848    1,338    464    264    -860

Balance Sheet Analysis (%)

                        

Total Gross Loans/ Total Assets

   71.58    69.48    70.45    69.30    68.74

Loans/ Deposits

   86.00    84.69    89.32    86.59    85.54

Reserves/ Loans

   1.01    1.01    1.07    1.10    1.16

One-year Gap/ Assets

   -29.80    -9.52    -6.80    -11.96    -12.40

Loans Serviced for Others ($000)

   0    0    0    0    0

FTE Employees (Actual)

   199    218    226    235    239

Annualized Growth Rates (%)

                        

Asset Growth Rate

   12.04    12.48    -0.17    4.81    7.78

Loans Held For Investment Growth Rate

   14.79    9.18    1.22    3.11    4.50

Deposit Growth Rate

   6.98    10.87    -4.02    6.35    9.49

Average Balances

                        

Average Loans Held for Investment

   302,198    341,270    356,898    370,089    376,142

Average Loans Held for Sale

   458    1,553    2,931    1,497    2,208

Average Gross Loans

   302,656    342,823    359,829    371,586    378,350

Avg Securities

   74,826    91,710    109,325    97,549    111,305

Avg Other Int Earn Assets

   12,804    12,821    7,722    12,557    15,479

Average Other Earning Assets

   87,630    104,531    117,047    110,106    126,784

Average Earning Assets

   390,286    447,354    476,876    481,692    505,134

Average Assets

   432,200    490,620    524,675    527,025    548,633

Average Certificates of Deposit

   213,839    231,196    232,976    218,837    221,727

Average Other Int-Bearing Deps

   104,600    108,664    121,439    124,917    134,231

Average Total Int-Bearing Deps

   318,439    339,860    354,415    343,754    355,958

Average Borrowings

   22,636    48,577    61,377    63,978    66,898

Average Interest Bearing Liabs

   341,075    388,437    415,792    407,732    422,856

Avg Noninterest Bearing Deposits

   56,127    63,265    68,868    76,838    82,031

Avg Total Deposits

   374,566    403,125    423,283    420,592    437,989

Average Preferred Equity

   0    0    0    0    0

Average Common Equity

   30,629    33,934    35,496    37,687    38,767

Average Total Equity

   30,629    33,934    35,496    37,687    38,767

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


Balance Sheet

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

 

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

   2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Financial Date

   12/31/2001    12/31/2002    12/31/2003    12/31/2004    03/31/2005

Period Restated?

   No    No    No    No    No

Assets

                        

Cash and Equivalents

   19,805    19,774    27,592    37,057    34,479

Trading Account Securities

   0    0    0    0    0

Securities Available for Sale

   81,715    106,992    99,614    103,751    111,842

Securities Held to Maturity

   0    0    0    0    0

Other Securities

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Cash and Securities

   101,520    126,766    127,206    140,808    146,321

Gross Loans HFI

   329,621    359,888    364,270    375,585    379,806

Loan Loss Reserves

   3,346    3,692    3,906    4,154    4,418

Loans Held for Sale

   1,634    5,727    1,244    1,749    2,666

Total Net Loans

   327,909    361,923    361,608    373,180    378,054

Real Estate Owned

   562    1,111    743    692    617

Goodwill

   2,338    2,338    2,338    2,338    2,338

Core Deposit Intangibles

   0    0    0    0    0

Other Intangibles

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Non-Goodwill Intangibles

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Intangibles

   2,338    2,338    2,338    2,338    2,338

Loan Servicing Rights

   0    0    0    0    0

Purchased Credit Card Receivable

   0    0    0    0    0

Other Servicing Rights

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Servicing Rights

   0    0    0    0    0

Other Assets

   28,180    25,830    25,183    24,948    25,182

Total Assets

   460,509    517,968    517,078    541,966    552,512

Liabilities

                        

Deposits

   383,279    424,950    407,847    433,743    444,031

FHLB Borrowings

   NA    42,763    50,417    54,553    55,459

Senior Debt

   NA    42,763    57,712    54,553    55,459

Trust Preferred (FAS 150)

   0    0    10,000    10,310    10,310

Subordinated Debt

   NA    0    10,000    10,310    10,310

Redeemable Preferred (FAS 150)

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Borrowings

   33,092    42,763    67,712    64,863    65,769

Other Liabilities

   5,311    5,611    5,071    4,736    4,169

Total Liabilities

   421,682    473,324    480,630    503,342    513,969

Mezzanine

                        

Redeemable Preferred

   0    0    0    0    0

Trust Preferred

   7,000    10,000    0    0    0

Minority Interest

   0    0    0    0    0

Other Mezzanine Items

   0    0    0    0    0

Total Mezzanine Level Items

   7,000    10,000    0    0    0

Accumulated Oth Comprehensive Income

   848    1,338    464    264    -860

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


Income Statement

 

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

GNTY

Bank

 

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

   2001 Y

   2002 Y

   2003 Y

   2004 Y

   YTD

Financial Date

   12/31/2001    12/31/2002    12/31/2003    12/31/2004    03/31/2005

Period Restated?

   No    No    No    No    No

Total Interest Income

   29,861    28,955    27,564    27,029    7,142

Total Interest Expense

   16,363    12,272    10,242    9,137    2,643

Net Interest Income

   13,498    16,683    17,322    17,892    4,499

Net Interest Income, FTE

   15,045    17,810    18,486    NA    NA

Loan Loss Provision

   1,385    1,260    1,075    930    200

Trading Account Income

   0    0    0    0    0

Foreign Exchange Income

   0    0    0    0    0

Trust Revenue

   136    163    178    252    74

Service Charges on Deposits

   2,678    2,957    2,869    3,036    700

Gain/ Loss on Sale of Loans

   98    272    586    331    142

Loan Fees

   NA    NA    NA    NA    NA

BOLI Revenue

   204    236    251    203    47

Insurance Revenue

   NA    NA    0    0    0

Investment Banking & Brokerage

   NA    NA    0    0    0

Other Noninterest Income

   853    1,036    1,006    793    346

Total Noninterest Income

   3,969    4,664    4,890    4,615    1,309

Gain/ Loss on Sale of Securities

   416    380    188    120    0

Total Nonrecurring Income

   1,640    0    -173    0    95

Compensation and Benefits

   7,592    8,711    9,371    9,326    2,556

Occupancy & Equipment

   1,901    1,992    2,019    2,260    537

Marketing Expense

   278    310    284    436    79

Professional Fees

   864    933    1,168    1,156    310

Technology and Communications

   188    194    252    454    67

Amortization of Intangibles

   150    0    0    0    0

Foreclosed & Repo

   -176    -12    -32    -21    13

Other Noninterest Expense

   2,546    2,552    2,743    2,851    698

Total Noninterest Expense

   13,343    14,680    15,805    16,462    4,260

Nonrecurring Expense

   0    0    0    0    0

Net Income Before Taxes

   4,795    5,787    5,347    5,235    1,443

Income Taxes

   1,505    1,410    1,503    1,575    460

Effective Tax Rate (%)

   31.39    24.36    28.11    30.09    31.88

Minority Interest & After Tax Items

   0    0    0    0    0

Extraordinary Items

   0    0    0    0    0

Net Income

   3,290    4,377    3,844    3,660    983

Preferred Dividends

   0    0    0    0    0

Net Income Available to Common

   3,290    4,377    3,844    3,660    983

Net Income for Diluted EPS (FAS 128)

   3,290    4,377    3,844    3,660    983

Earnings per Share ($)

   1.09    1.45    1.30    1.24    0.33

EPS Growth (year over year) (%)

   36.3    33.0    -10.3    -4.6    -5.7

 

Source: SNL Financial, Charlottesville, VA


LOGO

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION V


BHC, Peer and Guideline Companies Graphical Analysis

 

LOGO


BHC, Peer and Guideline Companies Graphical Analysis

 

LOGO

 

 


BHC, Peer and Guideline Companies Graphical Analysis

 

LOGO


BHC, Peer and Guideline Companies Graphical Analysis

 

LOGO


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION VI


Guideline Companies

Publicly Traded Southwestern Banking Organizations

With Total Assets Under $1 Billion and an ROA Greater than 0.00%

May 17, 2005

 

Company


  

Ticker


  

City


  

State


   Closing
Price


   Date of
Financial
Data


   LTM
EPS


   Book
Value


   Tang.
Book
Value


  

Price

to
Earnings


   Price
to
Equity


   Price
to
Tang.
Equity


   Dividend
Yield


    Total
Assets
($M)


   Equity
to
Assets


    Return
on
Assets


    Return
on
Equity


    NPAs/
Total
Assets


    Efficiency
Ratio


 

Vail Banks, Inc.

   VAIL    Avon    CO    $ 13.500    3/31/2005    $ 0.49    $ 10.84    $ 4.37    27.6    1.25    3.09    2.07 %   $ 686.8    8.81 %   0.43 %   4.49 %   0.32 %   84.78 %

Parish National Bank

   PNLC    Bogalusa    LA    $ 58.000    12/31/2004    $ 4.91    $ 37.96    $ 35.18    11.8    1.53    1.65    0.00 %   $ 550.3    8.71 %   1.02 %   12.07 %   0.01 %   76.28 %

Citizens National Bancshares of Bossier, Inc.

   CNBL    Bossier City    LA    $ 20.330    12/31/2004    $ 1.87    $ 13.48    $ 13.48    10.9    1.51    1.51    0.00 %   $ 238.4    6.67 %   1.06 %   14.81 %   0.37 %   71.34 %

Jeff Davis Bancshares, Incorporated

   JDVB    Jennings    LA    $ 40.000    12/31/2004    $ 3.41    $ 23.90    $ 22.82    11.7    1.67    1.75    0.00 %   $ 358.5    10.40 %   1.49 %   14.29 %   0.25 %   59.48 %

MidSouth Bancorp, Inc.

   MSL    Lafayette    LA    $ 25.330    3/31/2005    $ 1.66    $ 11.03    $ 8.65    15.3    2.30    2.93    0.95 %   $ 623.3    7.88 %   1.33 %   17.32 %   0.17 %   67.07 %

Metairie Bank & Trust Company

   MBKL    Metairie    LA    $ 28.250    12/31/2004      NA      NA      NA    NA    NA    NA    3.54 %   $ 265.4    12.79 %   1.02 %   7.71 %   0.02 %   73.10 %

American Bancorp, Inc.

   ABNC    Opelousas    LA    $ 139.200    12/31/2004      NA      NA      NA    NA    NA    NA    0.00 %   $ 104.9    8.53 %   0.98 %   7.97 %   0.00 %   69.90 %

Central Service Corporation

   CSCP    Enid    OK    $ 32.000    12/31/2004    $ 4.55    $ 41.16    $ 38.82    7.0    0.78    0.82    0.00 %   $ 371.2    7.50 %   0.86 %   11.47 %   0.27 %   73.32 %

North Dallas Bank & Trust Company

   NODB    Dallas    TX    $ 56.500    12/31/2005    $ 2.57    $ 37.28    $ 37.28    22.0    1.52    1.52    1.20 %   $ 896.9    10.68 %   0.75 %   6.98 %   0.00 %   62.65 %

Summit Bancshares, Inc.

   SBIT    Fort Worth    TX    $ 16.930    3/31/2005    $ 0.90    $ 6.01    $ 5.09    18.8    2.82    3.33    1.65 %   $ 999.9    7.44 %   1.17 %   15.52 %   0.33 %   58.91 %

Central Bancshares, Incorporated

   CBSX    Houston    TX    $ 45.000    3/31/2005      NA    $ 39.54    $ 37.47    NA    1.14    1.20    0.00 %   $ 252.2    7.44 %   0.51 %   8.29 %   NA     61.97 %

MetroCorp Bancshares, Inc.

   MCBI    Houston    TX    $ 18.080    3/31/2005    $ 1.20    $ 11.94    $ 11.94    15.1    1.51    1.51    1.33 %   $ 890.5    9.66 %   0.97 %   10.46 %   1.74 %   64.65 %
                                             

  
  
  
  

 

  

 

 

 

 

                                                Median:    15.1    1.51    1.58    1.49 %*   $ 460.8    8.62 %   1.00 %   10.97 %   0.25 %   68.49 %

* Median dividend yield for those banking organizations that pay a dividend.

 

Source: SNL Financial


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION VII


LOGO

 

Texas

 

Texas employment growth is gathering momentum.

 

  Texas employment growth was still lagging behind the nation as of year-end 2004, a pattern that has held for the past two years (See Chart 1). With job growth picking up moderately, the state should establish a new quarterly employment peak sometime in the first half of 2005.

 

  At the end of 2004, construction and manufacturing are the only two major employment sectors in Texas still losing jobs, respectively at -1.1 and -0.04 percent. All remaining sectors are reporting positive growth.

 

  The Laredo MSA ranked fourth in the nation for employment growth in fourth quarter 2004. Laredo is benefiting from the growth advantages of cross-border trade with Mexico. However, the recent escalation in kidnappings and other crime in Mexico’s border cities has prompted the U.S. State Department to issue a travel advisory which may, in the short run, affect the pace of economic growth in Laredo.

 

Budget cuts leave agricultural lenders and producers with worries.

 

  The proposed 2006 federal budget would result in a reduction in USDA spending of 9.6 percent—at least $587 million next year and $5.7 billion over the next 10 years.1

 

  These cuts will disproportionately affect Texas because of the concentration of cotton production in the Texas High Plains Region, the capital intensive nature of cotton production, and the tendency for these farms to receive large subsidy payments. The counties in Texas with a large dependency2 on agricultural subsidies are illustrated geographically (See Map 1).

 

LOGO


1 Reynolds, John “Bush budget plan puts farm aid on chopping block,” Lubbock Online.com, February 5, 2005.
2 The average share of a county’s gross product (CDP) from agricultural subsidies is well below 1 percent (0.18). For our analysis, a “large dependency” is a county where subsidies exceed 5 percent of CDP.

 

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION   1   SPRING 2005


State Profile

 

Lack of water availability could dampen future growth.

 

  The Texas High Plains section of the Ogallala Aquifer has long been a major source of water for agricultural, municipal, and industrial development.

 

  Texas’ water plan predicts that by 2050 groundwater depletion will cause water supplied by the aquifer to decline by 24 percent. As water resources deplete, West Texas and the Northern High Plains area will be challenged.

 

  Water for the San Antonio Metropolitan Area is provided by the Edwards Aquifer. With the start of long term droughts in 2000, the aquifer level has dropped and could constrain economic growth in the San Antonio area.

 

Crude oil prices remain volatile.

 

  Crude oil prices continued their volatility. In March 2005, the price per barrel surpassed $56 (West Texas Intermediate crude), establishing a new all time high, supported by colder weather and concerns over tighter crude oil supplies.

 

  Oil prices in the first two months of 2005 were one-third higher from the same period a year ago.

 

  Although a select few industries (e.g. oil extraction and support services for mining) and geographical areas (e.g. Houston, the Gulf Coast and West Texas) stand to benefit slightly from higher crude prices, higher energy costs are expected to be a drag on the rest of the state’s economy.

 

Texas insured institutions post exceptional results for 2004.

 

  Bank profitability and credit quality continue to post strong results. Texas headquartered banks and thrifts posted the highest annual average return on assets in the past ten years. Likewise, past-due and charge off rates are at decade lows.

 

  Contributing factors, including lower provision expenses, higher noninterest income, and security gains, likely will be difficult to sustain in future quarters. A longer term trend of compressing interest margins abated in the fourth quarter, but a changing interest rate environment and strong competitive factors, particularly in the large metro markets, will likely keep this an ongoing challenge. The performance gap between larger institutions and community banks continues to widen.3

 

Texas institution funding costs remain among the lowest in the nation.

 

  The median cost of funds for Texas insured institutions was 1.53 for the fourth quarter of 2004, ranking fifth lowest nationwide (See Chart 2). Texas institutions tend to hold higher levels of noninterest bearing deposits. Additionally, more than half of the state’s insured institutions reside in rural areas, which often have fewer market competitors and provide bankers with greater influence in determining interest rates for both loan and deposit products.

 

Consumer fundamentals show mixed results.

 

  Albeit below the national average, Texas per capita bankruptcy rates remain at record levels suggesting that the consumer sector is still vulnerable (See Chart 3). Additionally, single family mortgage foreclosures have shown modest improvement recently, but remain in the past decade’s upper range.

 

  Combining these factors with low savings rates suggests that the consumer is still vulnerable to rising interest rates.

 

  Despite mixed results for consumer fundamentals, bank consumer past-due and charge off rates remain near decade lows speaking well to the ability of bankers to manage risk.

 

Home equity lines of credit (HELOC) continue to show impressive growth.

 

  Since HELOCs have only been available in Texas since 2003, the median concentration (HELOC to tier 1 capital) is among the lowest in the nation. However, Texas insured institutions doubled the dollar amount of HELOCs in 2004, suggesting this loan type could be a growth area moving forward.

 

LOGO


3 Community banks are defined as insured institutions with less than $1 billion in assets excluding credit card and specialty banks.

 

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION    2    SPRING 2005


State Profile

 

Texas at a Glance

 

ECONOMIC INDICATORS (Change from year ago quarter, unless noted)

                              

Employment Growth Rates


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Total Nonfarm (share of trailing four quarter employment in parentheses)

   1.5 %   -0.2 %   -0.4 %   -0.7 %   2.8 %

Manufacturing (9%)

   0.0 %   -4.2 %   -6.4 %   -7.2 %   0.5 %

Other (non-manufacturing) Goods-Producing (7%)

   0.0 %   -1.1 %   -3.4 %   1.6 %   4.3 %

Private Service-Producing (66%)

   1.8 %   0.5 %   0.1 %   -0.7 %   3.4 %

Government (17%)

   1.4 %   -0.3 %   2.6 %   2.6 %   1.4 %

Unemployment Rate (% of labor force)

   5.9     6.6     6.5     5.7     4.3  

Other Indicators


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Personal Income

   N/A     4.8 %   0.7 %   2.7 %   8.5 %

Single-Family Home Permits

   5.7 %   7.5 %   14.0 %   1.4 %   13.3 %

Multifamily Building Permits

   -21.2 %   -12.2 %   -3.0 %   65.6 %   -38.2 %

Existing Home Sales

   10.6 %   10.4 %   6.2 %   3.5 %   3.6 %

Home Price Index

   3.8 %   2.5 %   3.9 %   6.2 %   5.8 %

Bankruptcy Filings per 1000 people (quarterly level)

   1.01     1.03     0.94     0.94     0.76  

BANKING TRENDS

                              

General Information


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Institutions (#)

   681     697     715     735     759  

Total Assets (in millions)

   215,442     200,187     216,906     199,340     233,380  

New Institutions (# < 3 years)

   24     20     16     20     27  

Subchapter S Institutions

   263     259     250     228     200  

Asset Quality


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Past-Due and Nonaccrual Loans / Total Loans (median %)

   1.77     2.04     2.24     2.19     2.04  

ALLL/Total Loans (median %)

   1.23     1.27     1.25     1.21     1.18  

ALLL/Noncurrent Loans (median multiple)

   2.14     1.91     1.71     1.84     2.04  

Net Loan Losses / Total Loans (median %)

   0.14     0.19     0.23     0.19     0.15  

Capital / Earnings


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Tier 1 Leverage (median %)

   9.42     9.07     8.96     8.81     9.06  

Return on Assets (median %)

   1.05     1.03     1.10     1.07     1.21  

Pretax Return on Assets (median %)

   1.34     1.29     1.40     1.39     1.64  

Net Interest Margin (median %)

   4.24     4.23     4.49     4.46     4.76  

Yield on Earning Assets (median %)

   5.44     5.60     6.37     7.62     8.30  

Cost of Funding Earning Assets (median %)

   1.10     1.33     1.90     3.16     3.51  

Provisions to Avg. Assets (median %)

   0.12     0.16     0.20     0.17     0.16  

Noninterest Income to Avg. Assets (median %)

   0.92     0.93     0.89     0.90     0.89  

Overhead to Avg. Assets (median %)

   3.42     3.37     3.42     3.42     3.49  

Liquidity / Sensitivity


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Loans to Assets (median %)

   56.7     53.8     54.7     54.3     54.6  

Noncore Funding to Assets (median %)

   16.8     16.3     16.5     16.5     15.9  

Long-term Assets to Assets (median %, call filers)

   13.3     13.6     12.1     12.6     11.3  

Brokered Deposits (number of institutions)

   78     76     57     49     46  

Brokered Deposits to Assets (median % for those above)

   3.4     2.8     3.3     1.9     2.0  

Loan Concentrations (median % of Tier 1 Capital)


   Q4-04

    Q4-03

    Q4-02

    Q4-01

    Q4-00

 

Commercial and Industrial

   84.6     85.8     90.1     93.6     92.2  

Commercial Real Estate

   152.7     144.8     134.0     123.6     111.7  

Construction & Development

   26.9     26.5     23.5     21.0     18.5  

Multifamily Residential Real Estate

   1.8     2.0     1.8     1.7     1.7  

Nonresidential Real Estate

   106.9     98.4     92.6     88.1     82.2  

Residential Real Estate

   99.5     102.8     107.1     107.3     105.0  

Consumer

   64.6     70.9     78.1     88.4     96.4  

Agriculture

   37.6     35.7     36.3     35.1     33.1  

BANKING PROFILE

                              

 

Largest Deposit Markets


  Institutions in
Market


  Deposits
($ millions)


 

Asset

Distribution


   Institutions

 

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

  165   93,060   $<250 mil.    564  (82.8)%

Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX

  107   83,930   $250 mil. to $1 bil.    86  (12.6)%

San Antonio, TX

  60   27,962   $1 bil. to $ 10 bil.    28  (4.1)%

Austin-Round Rock, TX

  61   13,841   $>10 bil.    (0.4)%

McAllen-Edinburg-Pharr, TX

  17   6,350           

 

 

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION    3    SPRING 2005


LOGO

 

  Net Income Of $31.8 Billion Is Third-Highest Ever

 

  Lower Gains On Sales Of Securities, Higher Noninterest Expenses Reduce Earnings

 

  Residential Real Estate Anchors Strong Asset Growth

 

  Industry Assets Surpass $10 Trillion For First Time

 

  Number Of “Problem” Banks Falls To Six-Year Low

 

Profits Recede From Record Levels

 

Strong loan growth and wider net interest margins did not offset the negative effects of merger expenses at large banks and lower gains on sales of securities and other assets in the fourth quarter. Insured commercial banks and savings institutions reported $31.8 billion in net income for the quarter, a decline of $668 million (2.1 percent) from the record earnings registered in the third quarter. Nevertheless, the industry’s earnings were the third-highest ever reported, and represented a $787-million (2.5-percent) improvement over the fourth quarter of 2003. Also, the industry’s net operating (core) income, which does not include gains on securities sales, set a new quarterly record of $30.9 billion. The average return on assets (ROA) was 1.28 percent in the fourth quarter, marking the first time in two years that the industry’s quarterly ROA has been below 1.30 percent. Fewer than half of all insured banks and thrifts (48.4 percent) had an ROA of 1 percent or higher in the fourth quarter, but this was an improvement over the fourth quarter of 2003, when only 44.8 percent achieved this benchmark level of profitability. Almost two out of every three institutions (62.1 percent) had higher net income than in the fourth quarter of 2003.

 

Strong Earning Asset Growth Lifts Net Interest Income

 

One area of particular strength in fourth-quarter results was net interest income, which was $2.0 billion (2.6 percent) higher than the third quarter’s total, and $6.4 billion (8.8 percent) more than the industry reported in the fourth quarter of 2003. The average net interest margin (NIM) increased by one basis point from the level of the third quarter, after declining in each of the previous three quarters and in nine of the previous ten quarters. More than half of all institutions (53.3 percent) reported margin improvement. More important than the slight positive change in margins was the industry’s strong growth in interest-bearing assets during the quarter, as earning assets increased by $207.4 billion (2.4 percent). Noninterest income also helped earnings in the fourth quarter. It was up from both the third quarter, and from the level of a year earlier. Total noninterest income was $4.3 billion (8.5 percent) higher than in the third quarter, and was $1.4 billion (2.5 percent) higher than in the fourth quarter of 2003. Servicing fee income increased by $981 million (27.2 percent) compared to the third quarter, while trading income was $864 million (60.1 percent) higher, and investment banking fee income increased by $448 million (18.5 percent). Provisions for loan losses had a seasonal $391 million (5.3 percent) increase over the level of the third quarter, but were $1.1 billion (12.0 percent) lower than in the fourth quarter of 2003.

 

LOGO

 

FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATIONF       ALL FDIC-INSURED INSTITUTIONS


FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile

 

Merger-Related Costs Contribute to Large Increase in Operating Expenses

 

Noninterest expense increased by $5.5 billion (7.3 percent) from the level of the third quarter, fueled by increased payroll and employee benefits expenses related to recent large bank merger transactions, and by other merger-related expenses. In addition to the impact of these higher expenses at large banks, the industry’s profits were also negatively affected by reduced gains on securities sales. Securities gains of $1.2 billion were $1.3 billion (52.9 percent) lower than in the third quarter, as rising interest rates caused the market values of fixed-rate securities to decline.

 

Full-Year Earnings Set a New Record for Fourth Consecutive Year

 

For all of 2004, insured institutions earned $123.0 billion, an increase of $2.5 billion (2.1 percent) compared to 2003. Almost two out of every three institutions (63.1 percent) reported higher net income in 2004. The improvement in total industry net income would have been greater, but for the accounting treatment of a few large mergers that occurred during 2004. Income earned by the acquired institutions before they were merged totaled more than $4.0 billion, but under purchase accounting rules, these earnings were not reflected in the total net income reported at year-end. Based on the reported results, the industry’s ROA for 2004 was 1.29 percent, compared to a 1.38 percent ROA in 2003. Absent the effects of the merger accounting, the industry’s ROA for 2004 would have been closer to 1.31 percent. More than half of all banks and thrifts (51.7 percent) had ROAs of 1 percent or better in 2004; in 2003, 51.3 percent of all institutions achieved this feat. Slightly more than half of all institutions (50.4 percent) reported higher ROAs in 2004 than in 2003. The two main contributors to the earnings improvement in 2004 were higher net interest income (up $12.9 billion, or 4.6 percent), and lower provisions for loan losses (down $8.3 billion, or 22.2 percent). Against these areas of strength, the improvement in industry profits was limited by a $16.0-billion (5.7 percent) increase in noninterest expenses and a $3.7-billion (32.7 percent) decline in gains on securities sales. Smaller gains on loan sales (down $6.4 billion, or 44.2 percent) and lower trading income (down $1.7 billion, or 14.9 percent) limited the year-to-year improvement in the industry’s noninterest income to only $371 million (0.2 percent). The average net interest margin in 2004 was 3.53 percent, 20 basis points lower than the average in 2003, and the lowest annual average for the industry since 1990.

 

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FOURTH QUARTER 2004    2    ALL FDIC-INSURED INSTITUTIONS


FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile

 

Asset Quality Improvement Trend Enters Its Third Year

 

Asset quality continued to improve in the fourth quarter, marking the ninth quarter in a row that troubled loans have declined. Noncurrent loans fell by $1.7 billion (3.4 percent) during the quarter. Net charge-offs registered a seasonal $1.7-billion (22.7 percent) increase from the level of the third quarter, but were down by $1.6 billion (14.7 percent) compared to the fourth quarter of 2003. This improvement from year-earlier levels was led by a $1.1-billion (44.9-percent) decline in charge-offs of loans to commercial and industrial (C&I) borrowers. Charge-offs of residential mortgage loans were also significantly lower than a year earlier, falling by $642 million (64.5 percent). Overall, the industry’s net charge-off rate in the fourth quarter was 0.61 percent, the lowest fourth-quarter level since 1996.

 

Noncurrent Rate Hits Another Historic Low

 

The decline in noncurrent loans (loans 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status) during the fourth quarter was led by C&I noncurrents, which fell by $2.2 billion (16.3 percent). At the end of 2004, the total amount of noncurrent C&I loans stood at $11.2 billion, the lowest total since midyear 1999. The only other loan category with a significant decline in noncurrent loans was commercial real estate loans, where noncurrents fell by $432 million (7.6 percent). Noncurrent credit-card loans had a seasonal increase of $1.1 billion (15.3 percent) during the quarter. In other loan categories, noncurrent levels remained low. The percent of the industry’s loans that were noncurrent declined from 0.85 percent to 0.80 percent during the quarter. This is the lowest this percentage has been in the 21 years that insured banks and thrifts have reported noncurrent loan amounts.

 

Loss Reserves Register Largest Decline Since 1990

 

The total allowance for loan losses held by insured institutions fell for the fourth consecutive quarter, and the fifth time in the last six quarters. The $1.7-billion (2.1-percent) decline is the largest quarterly drop registered during this period. The last time that the industry’s reserves fell by a larger amount was the second quarter of 1990, when reserves shrank by $2.1 billion (3.5 percent). Since the middle of 2003, the industry’s loss reserves have fallen by $3.9 billion (4.5 percent). The reduction in reserves remains concentrated among large banks, which have been experiencing the greatest improvements in asset quality. In each of the last eight quarters, insured institutions with assets greater than $10 billion have set aside less in loan-loss provisions than they have charged-off. In the fourth quarter, the industry’s net charge-offs exceeded its loss provisions by $1.3 billion. The ratio of reserves to total loans fell from 1.40 percent to 1.34 percent during the quarter, its lowest level since the middle of 1986. However, the decline in noncurrent loans during the quarter meant that the industry’s “coverage ratio” improved from $1.65 in reserves for every $1.00 of noncurrent loans to $1.68, its highest level since the end of 1999.

 

Equity Capital Ratio Remains Above 10 Percent

 

Equity capital growth continued to outpace growth in total assets, as the industry’s equity-to-assets ratio rose for the sixth consecutive quarter. Internal capital generation remained strong, as retained earnings added $13.4 billion to capital in the fourth quarter. Higher goodwill added an additional $22.9 billion to equity. Equity capital increased by $38.5 billion (3.8 percent), and the industry’s equity capital ratio rose from 10.13 percent to 10.28 percent. This is the highest level for this ratio since 1938. Regulatory capital ratios, which do not include goodwill, remained below their record highs. At the end of 2004, more than 98.9 percent of all insured institutions, representing 99.8 percent of industry assets, met or exceeded the highest regulatory capital standards.

 

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ALL FDIC-INSURED INSTITUTIONS    3    FOURTH QUARTER 2004


FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile

 

Consumer Lending Provides Boost to Asset Growth

 

Renewed vigor in residential mortgage lending, combined with continued strength in home equity and credit-card lending, kept asset growth strong in the fourth quarter. Residential mortgages increased by $54.2 billion (3.0 percent), mortgage-backed securities grew by $62.1 billion (5.9 percent), and home equity loans rose by $30.8 billion (6.7 percent). Together, they accounted for 71 percent of the total growth in interest-bearing assets in the fourth quarter. Creditcard loans also registered strong growth in the quarter, increasing by $34.2 billion (9.4 percent). Growth in commercial loans, while less spectacular, was still significant. Real estate construction loans increased by $17.8 billion (5.6 percent) during the quarter, commercial real estate loans were up by $17.4 billion (2.4 percent), and C&I loans increased by $16.1 billion (1.7 percent). Loans to depository institutions declined by $52.8 billion (27.1 percent), due in part to a reduction in lending between related holding company subsidiaries.

 

Deposit Growth Keeps Pace With Growth in Assets

 

Total deposits increased by $200.8 billion (3.1 percent) during the fourth quarter, as domestic interest-bearing deposits grew by $113.3 billion (2.5 percent), noninterest- bearing deposits increased by $41.4 billion (4.0 percent), and deposits in foreign offices rose by $46.0 billion (5.6 percent). Fed funds purchased declined by $13.3 billion (5.6 percent), while securities sold under agreements to repurchase fell by $40.0 billion (8.1 percent). Other nondeposit borrowings declined by $26.7 billion (2.3 percent), even though Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances increased by $10.6 billion (2.0 percent).

 

The Number of Insured Institutions Falls Below 9,000 For the First Time

 

The number of insured commercial banks and savings institutions reporting financial results declined from 9,024 to 8,975 during the fourth quarter. This is the first time that the number of insured depository institutions has dropped below 9,000. There were 35 new charters added during the quarter, while 80 charters were absorbed by mergers. No insured institutions failed during the quarter. For all of 2004, the industry saw a net decline of 206 institutions, compared to a net decline of 173 institutions in 2003. There were 128 new charters added during 2004, and 322 charters were merged into other institutions. Three insured commercial banks and one insured savings institution failed during the year. The number of institutions on the FDIC’s “Problem List” fell from 95 to 80 during the fourth quarter, while assets of “Problem” institutions increased from $25.1 billion to $28.2 billion. This is the smallest number of “Problem” institutions since the end of 1999. At the beginning of 2004, there were 116 “Problem” institutions, with total assets of $29.9 billion. Three mutually-owned savings institutions, with $975 million in assets, converted to stock ownership during the fourth quarter.

 

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FOURTH QUARTER 2004    4    ALL FDIC-INSURED INSTITUTIONS


FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile

 

TABLE I-A. Selected Indicators, All FDIC-Insured Institutions*

 

     2004

   2003

   2002

   2001

   2000

   1999

   1998

Return on assets (%)

     1.29      1.38      1.30      1.14      1.14      1.26      1.16

Return on equity (%)

     13.28      15.03      14.12      12.97      13.53      14.71      13.51

Core capital (leverage) ratio (%)

     8.12      7.88      7.86      7.78      7.71      7.80      7.59

Noncurrent assets plus other real estate owned to
assets (%)

     0.53      0.75      0.90      0.87      0.71      0.63      0.66

Net charge-offs to loans (%)

     0.56      0.78      0.97      0.83      0.59      0.53      0.59

Asset growth rate (%)

     11.34      7.58      7.20      5.44      8.41      5.40      8.05

Net interest margin (%)

     3.53      3.73      3.96      3.78      3.77      3.89      3.91

Net operating income growth (%)

     4.43      15.90      18.36      -0.85      1.71      19.73      3.04

Number of institutions reporting

     8,975      9,181      9,354      9,614      9,904      10,222      10,464

Commercial banks

     7,630      7,770      7,888      8,080      8,315      8,580      8,774

Savings institutions

     1,345      1,411      1,466      1,534      1,589      1,642      1,690

Percentage of unprofitable institutions (%)

     5.79      5.95      6.67      8.24      7.53      7.64      5.97

Number of problem institutions

     80      116      136      114      94      79      84

Assets of problem institutions (in billions)

   $ 28    $ 30    $ 39    $ 40    $ 24    $ 10    $ 11

Number of failed/assisted institutions

     4      3      11      4      7      8      3

* Excludes insured branches of foreign banks (IBAs).

 

TABLE II-A. Aggregate Condition and Income Data, All FDIC-Insured Institutions

 

(dollar figures in millions)

 

   4th Quarter
2004


   3rd Quarter
2004


   4th Quarter
2003


   %Change
03:4-04:4


Number of institutions reporting

     8,975      9,024      9,181    -2.2

Total employees (full-time equivalent)

     2,096,535      2,092,595      2,045,975    2.5
CONDITION DATA                          

Total assets

   $ 10,104,623    $ 9,876,974    $ 9,075,251    11.3

Loans secured by real estate

     3,682,979      3,554,449      3,143,735    17.2

1-4 Family residential mortgages

     1,836,853      1,782,659      1,611,074    14.0

Commercial real estate

     751,991      734,602      682,115    10.2

Construction and development

     336,792      319,033      272,205    23.7

Home equity lines

     490,670      459,830      346,080    41.8

Commercial & industrial loans

     968,334      952,252      920,977    5.1

Loans to individuals

     930,240      895,471      848,201    9.7

Credit cards

     399,239      365,001      339,433    17.6

Farm loans

     48,844      48,951      46,782    4.4

Other loans & leases

     492,054      533,503      477,767    3.0

Less: Unearned income

     3,355      3,196      3,004    11.7

Total loans & leases

     6,119,096      5,981,431      5,434,457    12.6

Less: Reserve for losses

     82,049      83,796      85,575    -4.1

Net loans and leases

     6,037,046      5,897,635      5,348,883    12.9

Securities

     1,859,958      1,796,100      1,770,810    5.0

Other real estate owned

     4,281      4,647      5,318    -19.5

Goodwill and other intangibles

     315,094      293,006      189,436    66.3

All other assets

     1,888,243      1,885,587      1,760,804    7.2

Total liabilities and capital

     10,104,623      9,876,974      9,075,251    11.3

Deposits

     6,584,201      6,383,409      5,954,314    10.6

Domestic office deposits

     5,718,309      5,563,549      5,213,143    9.7

Foreign office deposits

     865,892      819,860      741,171    16.8

Other borrowed funds

     1,904,941      1,963,950      1,734,626    9.8

Subordinated debt

     118,536      110,803      106,683    11.1

All other liabilities

     457,792      418,133      448,967    2.0

Equity capital

     1,039,153      1,000,681      830,660    25.1

Loans and leases 30-89 days past due

     51,267      49,621      54,705    -6.3

Noncurrent loans and leases

     48,902      50,639      60,973    -19.8

Restructured loans and leases

     2,640      2,532      3,399    -22.3

Direct and indirect investments in real estate

     848      851      713    19.0

Mortgage-backed securities

     1,110,718      1,048,575      982,110    13.1

Earning assets

     8,804,629      8,597,219      7,854,385    12.1

FHLB advances

     541,736      531,176      479,735    12.9

Unused loan commitments

     6,552,278      6,331,976      5,848,454    12.0

Trust assets

     14,784,400      13,981,548      13,047,336    13.3

Assets securitized and sold**

     928,237      891,590      870,560    6.6

Notional amount of derivatives**

     88,313,781      84,837,602      71,379,983    23.7

 

INCOME DATA


  

Full Year

2004


  

Full Year

2003


   %Change

   4th Quarter
2004


   4th Quarter
2003


  

%Change

03:4-04:4


Total interest income

   $ 418,816    $ 404,551    3.5    $ 115,525    $ 101,554    13.8

Total interest expense

     123,991      122,631    1.1      36,462      28,898    26.2

Net interest income

     294,826      281,920    4.6      79,063      72,656    8.8

Provision for loan and lease losses

     29,042      37,350    -22.2      7,795      8,854    -12.0

Total noninterest income

     203,035      202,663    0.2      55,406      54,049    2.5

Total noninterest expense

     295,644      279,679    5.7      81,171      73,508    10.4

Securities gains (losses)

     7,663      11,382    -32.7      1,156      727    59.0

Applicable income taxes

     58,163      58,871    -1.2      14,961      14,488    3.3

Extraordinary gains, net

     295      425    -30.5      73      401    -81.7

Net income

     122,970      120,489    2.1      31,771      30,984    2.5

From international operations

     8,561      7,328    16.8      -53      1,065    N/M

Net charge-offs

     32,066      40,806    -21.4      9,139      10,709    -14.7

Cash dividends

     64,899      90,723    -28.5      18,405      28,251    -34.9

Retained earnings

     58,071      29,766    95.1      13,365      2,733    389.0

Net operating income

     117,290      112,318    4.4      30,914      30,030    2.9

**     Commercial banks only.

  N/M - Not Meaningful

 

ALL FDIC-INSURED INSTITUTIONS    5    FOURTH QUARTER 2004