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Insurance
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2024
Insurance [Abstract]  
Insurance Insurance
Cash and securities owned by U.S.-based insurance subsidiaries, having a carrying value of approximately $1.15 billion at December 31, 2024, were on deposit as required by regulatory authorities.

Insurance Reserves   Estimating the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) is inherently judgmental and is influenced by factors that are subject to significant variation. Determining the liability is a complex process incorporating input from many areas of the Company including actuarial, underwriting, pricing, claims and operations management.
The process used to determine the total reserve for liabilities involves estimating the ultimate incurred losses and LAE, adjusted for amounts already paid on the claims. The incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserve is derived by first estimating the ultimate unpaid reserve liability and subtracting case reserves for loss and LAE.

In determining management’s best estimate of the ultimate liability, management (with the assistance of Company actuaries) considers items such as the effect of inflation on medical, hospitalization, material, repair and replacement costs, the nature and maturity of lines of insurance, general economic trends and the legal environment. In addition, historical trends adjusted for changes in underwriting standards, policy provisions, product mix and other factors are analyzed using actuarial reserve development techniques. Weighing all of the factors, the management team determines a single or “point” estimate that it records as its best estimate of the ultimate liability. Ranges of loss reserves are not developed by Company actuaries. This reserve analysis and review is completed each quarter and for almost every business within AFG’s property and casualty insurance sub-segments.

Each quarterly review includes in-depth analysis of several hundred subdivisions of the business, employing multiple actuarial techniques. For each subdivision, actuaries use informed, professional judgment to adjust these techniques as necessary to respond to specific conditions in the data or within the business.

Some of the standard actuarial methods employed for the quarterly reserve analysis may include (but may not be limited to):
Case Incurred Development Method
Paid Development Method
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method
Incremental Paid LAE to Paid Loss Methods

Each method has particular strengths and weaknesses and no single estimation method is most accurate in all situations. When applied to a particular group of claims, the relative strengths and weaknesses of each method can change over time based on the facts and circumstances. Ultimately, the estimation methods chosen are those which the actuary believes produce the most reliable indication for the particular liabilities under review.

The period of time from the event triggering a claim through the settlement of the liability is referred to as the “tail”. Generally, the same actuarial methods are considered for both short-tail and long-tail lines of business because most of them work properly for both. The methods are designed to incorporate the effects of the differing length of time to settle particular claims. For nearly all lines of business, the actuaries rely heavily on the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for more recent accident periods. As accident years mature and the underlying claim data becomes more credible, more weight is given to the Case Incurred and Paid Development methods. This transition occurs relatively quickly for short-tailed lines, and over a number of years for long-tail lines. Liability claims for long-tail lines are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretation and the legal environment. Therefore, the estimation of loss reserves for these classes is more complex and subject to a higher degree of variability.

The level of detail in which data is analyzed varies among the different lines of business. Data is generally analyzed by major product or by coverage within product, using countrywide data; however, in some situations, data may be reviewed by state or region. Appropriate segmentation of the data is determined based on data credibility, homogeneity of development patterns, mix of business, and other actuarial considerations.

Supplementary statistical information is also reviewed to determine which methods are most appropriate to use or if adjustments are needed to particular methods. Such information includes:
Open and closed claim counts
Average case reserves and average incurred on open claims
Closure rates and statistics related to closed and open claim percentages
Average closed claim severity
Ultimate claim severity
Reported loss ratios
Projected ultimate loss ratios
Loss payment patterns

Within each business, results of individual methods are reviewed, supplementary statistical information is analyzed, and data from underwriting, operating and claim management are considered in deriving management’s best estimate of the ultimate liability. This estimate may be the result of one method, a weighted average of several methods, or a judgmental selection as the management team determines is appropriate.
The liability for losses and LAE for a very limited number of claims with long-term scheduled payments under certain workers’ compensation policies has been discounted at 4.5% at both December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, which represents an approximation of long-term investment yields. Because of the limited amount of claims involved, the net impact of discounting did not materially impact AFG’s total liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (net reductions from discounting of $8 million at December 31, 2024 and $9 million at December 31, 2023).

The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses over the past three years (in millions):
202420232022
Balance at beginning of period$13,087 $11,974 $11,074 
Less reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance4,288 3,767 3,419 
Net liability at beginning of period8,799 8,207 7,655 
Provision for losses and LAE occurring in the current year4,524 4,256 3,914 
Net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years
(64)(223)(285)
Total losses and LAE incurred4,460 4,033 3,629 
Payments for losses and LAE of:
Current year(1,497)(1,261)(1,212)
Prior years(2,537)(2,181)(1,870)
Total payments(4,034)(3,442)(3,082)
Foreign currency translation and other(3)
Net liability at end of period9,222 8,799 8,207 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance4,957 4,288 3,767 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$14,179 $13,087 $11,974 

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2024 reflects (i) lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim severity in the property and inland marine and aviation businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the ocean marine business (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the executive liability business (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the financial institutions and fidelity businesses and lower than expected claim frequency in the trade credit business (within the Specialty financial sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by (i) higher than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the umbrella and excess liability and social services businesses and higher than expected claim severity in the public sector and general liability businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment), (ii) higher than anticipated claim severity in the innovative markets and surety businesses (within the Specialty financial sub-segment) and (iii) net adverse development associated with AFG’s internal reinsurance program (within Other specialty).

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2023 reflects (i) lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim frequency and severity across the transportation businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency in the property and inland marine and ocean marine businesses and in the Singapore operations (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses, lower than expected claim frequency in the executive liability and environmental businesses and favorable reserve development related to COVID-19 losses across several businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency in the trade credit, financial institutions and surety businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the fidelity business (within the Specialty financial sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the public sector business and higher than expected claim frequency and severity in the excess liability and general liability businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment).

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2022 reflects (i) lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim frequency in the trucking and ocean marine businesses and in the Singapore operations, lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the aviation business and lower than anticipated claim severity in the property and inland marine business (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses and lower than expected claim frequency in the executive liability and excess and surplus businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency in the surety, trade credit and financial institutions businesses (within the Specialty financial
sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by (i) higher than anticipated claim severity in the general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and certain targeted markets businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (ii) net adverse development associated with AFG’s internal reinsurance program, primarily related to social inflation exposed business assumed from the Specialty casualty sub-segment (within Other specialty).

A reconciliation of incurred and paid claims development information to the aggregate carrying amount of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, with separate disclosure of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid claims is shown below (in millions):
2024
Unpaid losses and allocated LAE, net of reinsurance:
Specialty
Property and transportation$1,696 
Specialty casualty5,266 
Specialty financial405 
Other specialty597 
Total Specialty (excluding foreign reserves)7,964 
Other reserves
Foreign operations406 
A&E reserves359 
Unallocated LAE435 
Other58 
Total other reserves1,258 
Total reserves, net of reinsurance9,222 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance4,957 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$14,179 
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.
Property and transportation
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2024
For the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
2015$818 $784 $779 $777 $777 $772 $768 $769 $769 $769 $135,094 
2016746 716 714 706 694 688 689 689 686 121,410 
2017889 847 843 823 816 820 820 817 141,023 
2018932 902 886 876 882 876 878 130,781 
20191,111 1,058 1,051 1,055 1,057 1,059 18 154,370 
20201,043 974 957 949 948 22 122,246 
20211,119 1,023 1,022 1,028 50 123,746 
20221,393 1,316 1,313 100 137,902 
20231,472 1,392 178 143,664 
20241,592 419 156,368 
Total$10,482 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2015201620172018201920202021202220232024% (a)
2015$359 $582 $667 $707 $736 $744 $750 $755 $761 $762 99.1 %
2016294 521 577 618 640 656 665 672 674 98.3 %
2017379 640 696 735 755 783 794 804 98.4 %
2018396 676 738 781 824 838 852 97.0 %
2019527 823 904 959 998 1,023 96.6 %
2020461 726 804 857 896 94.5 %
2021449 767 867 935 91.0 %
2022587 1,018 1,119 85.2 %
2023562 1,065 76.5 %
2024678 42.6 %
Total$8,808 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2015 through 20241,674 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)22 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$1,696 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual45.1 %31.3 %8.3 %5.5 %3.7 %2.2 %1.3 %1.0 %0.5 %0.1 %
Cumulative45.1 %76.4 %84.7 %90.2 %93.9 %96.1 %97.4 %98.4 %98.9 %99.0 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2024).
Specialty casualty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2024
For the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
2015$1,081 $1,043 $1,041 $1,042 $1,024 $1,021 $1,015 $1,007 $1,002 $1,019 $45 58,641 
20161,131 1,122 1,116 1,101 1,090 1,069 1,046 1,036 1,035 57 56,831 
20171,211 1,221 1,204 1,189 1,162 1,139 1,139 1,149 88 57,492 
20181,277 1,307 1,302 1,262 1,269 1,264 1,263 137 59,615 
20191,308 1,311 1,322 1,280 1,284 1,286 178 60,028 
20201,352 1,329 1,258 1,232 1,232 225 54,632 
20211,384 1,389 1,342 1,319 349 56,929 
20221,475 1,503 1,516 497 59,184 
20231,648 1,670 764 62,764 
20241,685 1,067 55,113 
Total$13,174 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2015201620172018201920202021202220232024% (a)
2015$178 $411 $577 $702 $792 $844 $888 $913 $934 $946 92.8 %
2016186 418 584 713 806 870 906 938 951 91.9 %
2017200 422 612 755 833 902 959 1,007 87.6 %
2018210 475 649 794 901 991 1,046 82.8 %
2019212 455 651 795 913 994 77.3 %
2020188 446 613 757 887 72.0 %
2021191 438 625 794 60.2 %
2022198 507 771 50.9 %
2023248 596 35.7 %
2024267 15.8 %
Total$8,259 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2015 through 20244,915 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)351 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$5,266 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual15.9 %20.6 %15.4 %12.1 %8.8 %6.1 %4.3 %3.2 %1.7 %1.2 %
Cumulative15.9 %36.5 %51.9 %64.0 %72.8 %78.9 %83.2 %86.4 %88.1 %89.3 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2024).
Specialty financial
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2024
For the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
2015$156 $160 $158 $153 $145 $138 $136 $135 $133 $133 $— 37,631 
2016179 184 187 182 174 170 173 172 172 — 45,186 
2017212 215 212 208 203 202 210 210 48,843 
2018212 217 219 207 201 198 197 46,813 
2019194 198 191 186 182 178 41,970 
2020231 215 202 193 191 12 29,772 
2021223 201 187 179 16 27,467 
2022243 234 222 29 24,054 
2023310 329 75 24,393 
2024383 157 20,590 
Total$2,194 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2015201620172018201920202021202220232024% (a)
2015$72 $110 $129 $133 $132 $134 $134 $134 $133 $132 99.2 %
201688 141 158 161 163 164 171 172 172 100.0 %
2017120 169 186 194 193 192 194 196 93.3 %
2018112 163 187 188 192 193 193 98.0 %
201999 146 164 168 170 172 96.6 %
2020100 144 159 162 167 87.4 %
202198 136 146 156 87.2 %
2022108 164 187 84.2 %
2023150 230 69.9 %
2024176 46.0 %
Total$1,781 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2015 through 2024413 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)(8)
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$405 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual52.2 %25.4 %9.8 %2.6 %1.0 %0.6 %1.3 %0.5 %(0.4 %)(0.8 %)
Cumulative52.2 %77.6 %87.4 %90.0 %91.0 %91.6 %92.9 %93.4 %93.0 %92.2 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2024).
Other specialty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2024
For the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
2015$59 $60 $63 $66 $76 $82 $84 $87 $87 $88 $— 
201661 61 65 71 76 77 78 77 77 — 
201763 65 70 81 88 95 97 107 — 
201886 90 92 94 100 111 113 14 — 
2019108 107 108 111 119 134 20 — 
2020122 117 129 126 141 29 — 
2021135 141 138 143 52 — 
2022159 152 153 72 — 
2023201 189 104 — 
2024165 132 — 
Total$1,310 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2015201620172018201920202021202220232024% (b)
2015$10 $26 $31 $50 $62 $69 $75 $76 $81 $84 95.5 %
201619 31 47 53 60 64 66 68 88.3 %
201710 19 30 52 63 76 83 93 86.9 %
201812 23 32 44 60 77 87 77.0 %
201924 49 61 79 95 70.9 %
202021 44 66 93 66.0 %
202127 49 73 51.0 %
202211 35 67 43.8 %
202329 59 31.2 %
202417 10.3 %
Total$736 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2015 through 2024574 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)23 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$597 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual9.5 %12.7 %13.8 %16.4 %13.1 %11.2 %6.9 %4.4 %4.1 %3.4 %
Cumulative9.5 %22.2 %36.0 %52.4 %65.5 %76.7 %83.6 %88.0 %92.1 %95.5 %
(a)The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2024).
Total Specialty Group
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2024
For the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2015201620172018201920202021202220232024
2015$2,114 $2,047 $2,041 $2,038 $2,022 $2,013 $2,003 $1,998 $1,991 $2,009 $50 231,366 
20162,117 2,083 2,082 2,060 2,034 2,004 1,986 1,974 1,970 68 223,427 
20172,375 2,348 2,329 2,301 2,269 2,256 2,266 2,283 107 247,358 
20182,507 2,516 2,499 2,439 2,452 2,449 2,451 165 237,209 
20192,721 2,674 2,672 2,632 2,642 2,657 220 256,368 
20202,748 2,635 2,546 2,500 2,512 288 206,650 
20212,861 2,754 2,689 2,669 467 208,142 
20223,270 3,205 3,204 698 221,140 
20233,631 3,580 1,121 230,821 
20243,825 1,775 232,071 
Total$27,160 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2015–2023 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2015201620172018201920202021202220232024% (a)
2015$619 $1,129 $1,404 $1,592 $1,722 $1,791 $1,847 $1,878 $1,909 $1,924 95.8 %
2016577 1,099 1,350 1,539 1,662 1,750 1,806 1,848 1,865 94.7 %
2017709 1,250 1,524 1,736 1,844 1,953 2,030 2,100 92.0 %
2018730 1,337 1,606 1,807 1,977 2,099 2,178 88.9 %
2019847 1,448 1,768 1,983 2,160 2,284 86.0 %
2020758 1,337 1,620 1,842 2,043 81.3 %
2021746 1,368 1,687 1,958 73.4 %
2022904 1,724 2,144 66.9 %
2023989 1,950 54.5 %
20241,138 29.8 %
Total$19,584 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2015 through 20247,576 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)388 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$7,964 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual29.7 %24.6 %12.2 %9.1 %6.5 %4.5 %3.1 %2.2 %1.2 %0.7 %
Cumulative29.7 %54.3 %66.5 %75.6 %82.1 %86.6 %89.7 %91.9 %93.1 %93.8 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2024).
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs   Included in commissions and other underwriting expenses in AFG’s Statement of Earnings is amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs of $766 million, $720 million, and $641 million in 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively.

Statutory Information   AFG’s U.S.-based insurance subsidiaries are required to file financial statements with state insurance regulatory authorities prepared on an accounting basis prescribed or permitted by such authorities (statutory basis). Net earnings and capital and surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):
 Net EarningsCapital and Surplus
 20242023202220242023
Property and casualty companies$974 $1,004 $912 $4,614 $4,436 

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (“NAIC”) model law for risk-based capital (“RBC”) applies to property and casualty insurance companies. RBC formulas determine the amount of capital that an insurance company needs so that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. Companies below specific trigger points or ratios are subject to regulatory action. At December 31, 2024 and 2023, the capital ratios of all AFG insurance companies substantially exceeded the RBC requirements. AFG’s insurance companies did not use any prescribed or permitted statutory accounting practices that differed from the NAIC statutory accounting practices at December 31, 2024 or 2023.

Payments of dividends by AFG’s insurance companies are subject to various state laws that limit the amount of dividends that can be paid. Under applicable restrictions, the maximum amount of dividends available to AFG in 2025 from its insurance subsidiaries without seeking regulatory approval is $1.00 billion. Additional amounts of dividends require regulatory approval.

Holding Company Dividends   AFG declared and paid common stock dividends to shareholders totaling $791 million, $687 million and $1.22 billion in 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Currently, there are no regulatory restrictions on AFG’s retained earnings or net earnings that materially impact its ability to pay dividends. Based on shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2024, AFG could pay dividends of approximately $1.62 billion without violating its most restrictive debt covenant. However, the payment of future dividends will be at the discretion of AFG’s Board of Directors and will be dependent on many factors including AFG’s financial condition and results of operations, the capital requirements of its insurance subsidiaries, and rating agency commitments.

Reinsurance   In the normal course of business, AFG cedes reinsurance to other companies to diversify risk and limit maximum loss arising from large claims. However, AFG remains liable to its insureds regardless of whether a reinsurer is able to meet its obligations. The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries, which represent ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses.
202420232022
Direct premiums written$9,933 $9,309 $8,774 
Reinsurance assumed600 347 283 
Reinsurance ceded(3,394)(2,964)(2,851)
Net written premiums$7,139 $6,692 $6,206 
Direct premiums earned$9,763 $9,133 $8,582 
Reinsurance assumed611 321 274 
Reinsurance ceded(3,338)(2,923)(2,771)
Net earned premiums$7,036 $6,531 $6,085 
Reinsurance recoveries$3,040 $2,336 $2,065 
Recoverables from Reinsurers and Premiums Receivable Progressions of the allowance for expected credit losses on recoverables from reinsurers and premiums receivable are shown below (in millions):
Recoverables from ReinsurersPremiums Receivable
202420232022202420232022
Balance at January 1$10 $$$15 $$
Increase in allowance from acquisition of CRS
— — — — — 
Provision for expected credit losses— — 
Write-offs charged against the allowance— — — (1)— — 
Balance at December 31$11 $10 $$19 $15 $