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Insurance
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2023
Insurance [Abstract]  
Insurance Insurance
Cash and securities owned by U.S.-based insurance subsidiaries, having a carrying value of approximately $1.22 billion at December 31, 2023, were on deposit as required by regulatory authorities.

Property and Casualty Insurance Reserves   Estimating the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) is inherently judgmental and is influenced by factors that are subject to significant variation. Determining the liability is a complex process incorporating input from many areas of the Company including actuarial, underwriting, pricing, claims and operations management.
The process used to determine the total reserve for liabilities involves estimating the ultimate incurred losses and LAE, adjusted for amounts already paid on the claims. The incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserve is derived by first estimating the ultimate unpaid reserve liability and subtracting case reserves for loss and LAE.

In determining management’s best estimate of the ultimate liability, management (with the assistance of Company actuaries) considers items such as the effect of inflation on medical, hospitalization, material, repair and replacement costs, the nature and maturity of lines of insurance, general economic trends and the legal environment. In addition, historical trends adjusted for changes in underwriting standards, policy provisions, product mix and other factors are analyzed using actuarial reserve development techniques. Weighing all of the factors, the management team determines a single or “point” estimate that it records as its best estimate of the ultimate liability. Ranges of loss reserves are not developed by Company actuaries. This reserve analysis and review is completed each quarter and for almost every business within AFG’s property and casualty insurance sub-segments.

Each quarterly review includes in-depth analysis of several hundred subdivisions of the business, employing multiple actuarial techniques. For each subdivision, actuaries use informed, professional judgment to adjust these techniques as necessary to respond to specific conditions in the data or within the business.

Some of the standard actuarial methods employed for the quarterly reserve analysis may include (but may not be limited to):
Case Incurred Development Method
Paid Development Method
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method
Incremental Paid LAE to Paid Loss Methods

Each method has particular strengths and weaknesses and no single estimation method is most accurate in all situations. When applied to a particular group of claims, the relative strengths and weaknesses of each method can change over time based on the facts and circumstances. Ultimately, the estimation methods chosen are those which the actuary believes produce the most reliable indication for the particular liabilities under review.

The period of time from the event triggering a claim through the settlement of the liability is referred to as the “tail”. Generally, the same actuarial methods are considered for both short-tail and long-tail lines of business because most of them work properly for both. The methods are designed to incorporate the effects of the differing length of time to settle particular claims. For nearly all lines of business, the actuaries rely heavily on the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for more recent accident periods. As accident years mature and the underlying claim data becomes more credible, more weight is given to the Case Incurred and Paid Development methods. This transition occurs relatively quickly for short-tailed lines, and over a number of years for long-tail lines. Liability claims for long-tail lines are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretation and the legal environment. Therefore, the estimation of loss reserves for these classes is more complex and subject to a higher degree of variability.

The level of detail in which data is analyzed varies among the different lines of business. Data is generally analyzed by major product or by coverage within product, using countrywide data; however, in some situations, data may be reviewed by state or region. Appropriate segmentation of the data is determined based on data credibility, homogeneity of development patterns, mix of business, and other actuarial considerations.

Supplementary statistical information is also reviewed to determine which methods are most appropriate to use or if adjustments are needed to particular methods. Such information includes:
Open and closed claim counts
Average case reserves and average incurred on open claims
Closure rates and statistics related to closed and open claim percentages
Average closed claim severity
Ultimate claim severity
Reported loss ratios
Projected ultimate loss ratios
Loss payment patterns

Within each business, results of individual methods are reviewed, supplementary statistical information is analyzed, and data from underwriting, operating and claim management are considered in deriving management’s best estimate of the ultimate liability. This estimate may be the result of one method, a weighted average of several methods, or a judgmental selection as the management team determines is appropriate.
The liability for losses and LAE for a very limited number of claims with long-term scheduled payments under certain workers’ compensation policies has been discounted at 4.5% at December 31, 2023 and 3.5% at December 31, 2022, which represents an approximation of long-term investment yields. Because of the limited amount of claims involved, the net impact of discounting did not materially impact AFG’s total liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (net reductions from discounting of $9 million at both December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively).

The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses over the past three years (in millions):
202320222021
Balance at beginning of period$11,974 $11,074 $10,392 
Less reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance3,767 3,419 3,117 
Net liability at beginning of period8,207 7,655 7,275 
Provision for losses and LAE occurring in the current year4,256 3,914 3,436 
Net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years
(223)(285)(279)
Total losses and LAE incurred4,033 3,629 3,157 
Payments for losses and LAE of:
Current year(1,261)(1,212)(1,024)
Prior years(2,181)(1,870)(1,753)
Total payments(3,442)(3,082)(2,777)
Foreign currency translation and other— 
Net liability at end of period8,799 8,207 7,655 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance4,288 3,767 3,419 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$13,087 $11,974 $11,074 

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2023 reflects (i) lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim frequency and severity across the transportation businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency in the property and inland marine and ocean marine businesses and in the Singapore operations (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses, lower than expected claim frequency in the executive liability and environmental businesses and favorable reserve development related to COVID-19 losses across several businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency in the trade credit, financial institutions and surety businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the fidelity business (within the Specialty financial sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the public sector business and higher than expected claim frequency and severity in the excess liability and general liability businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment).

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2022 reflects (i) lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim frequency in the trucking and ocean marine businesses and in the Singapore operations, lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the aviation business and lower than anticipated claim severity in the property and inland marine business (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses and lower than expected claim frequency in the executive liability and excess and surplus businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency in the surety, trade credit and financial institutions businesses (within the Specialty financial sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by (i) higher than anticipated claim severity in the general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and certain targeted markets businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (ii) net adverse development associated with AFG’s internal reinsurance program, primarily related to social inflation exposed business assumed from the Specialty casualty sub-segment (within Other specialty).

The net decrease in the provision for claims of prior years in 2021 reflects (i) lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the transportation businesses, lower than expected losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim severity in the ocean marine business and lower than expected claim frequency in the aviation business (within the Property and transportation sub-segment), (ii) lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (iii) lower than anticipated claim frequency in the surety and trade credit businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the financial institutions business (within the Specialty financial sub-segment). This favorable development was partially offset by (i) higher than anticipated claim
severity in the general liability and targeted markets businesses (within the Specialty casualty sub-segment) and (ii) net adverse development associated with AFG’s internal reinsurance program, primarily related to social inflation exposed business assumed from the Specialty casualty sub-segment (within Other specialty).

A reconciliation of incurred and paid claims development information to the aggregate carrying amount of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, with separate disclosure of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid claims is shown below (in millions):
2023
Unpaid losses and allocated LAE, net of reinsurance:
Specialty
Property and transportation$1,636 
Specialty casualty4,984 
Specialty financial328 
Other specialty580 
Total Specialty (excluding foreign reserves)7,528 
Other reserves
Foreign operations396 
A&E reserves370 
Unallocated LAE448 
Other57 
Total other reserves1,271 
Total reserves, net of reinsurance8,799 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance4,288 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$13,087 

The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences
between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.
Property and transportation
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2023
For the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$844 $828 $817 $820 $815 $808 $804 $802 $800 $800 $133,284 
2015818 784 779 777 777 772 768 769 769 135,083 
2016746 716 714 706 694 688 689 689 121,400 
2017889 847 843 823 816 820 820 11 140,998 
2018932 902 886 876 882 876 15 130,721 
20191,111 1,058 1,051 1,055 1,057 26 154,248 
20201,043 974 957 949 39 122,112 
20211,119 1,023 1,022 69 123,416 
20221,393 1,316 157 136,540 
20231,472 432 127,664 
Total$9,770 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023% (a)
2014$329 $632 $693 $744 $770 $783 $789 $791 $792 $793 99.1 %
2015359 582 667 707 736 744 750 755 761 99.0 %
2016294 521 577 618 640 656 665 672 97.5 %
2017379 640 696 735 755 783 794 96.8 %
2018396 676 738 781 824 838 95.7 %
2019527 823 904 959 998 94.4 %
2020461 726 804 857 90.3 %
2021449 767 867 84.8 %
2022587 1,018 77.4 %
2023562 38.2 %
Total$8,160 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2014 through 20231,610 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)26 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$1,636 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual44.7 %31.5 %8.3 %5.4 %3.5 %2.0 %1.0 %0.6 %0.5 %0.1 %
Cumulative44.7 %76.2 %84.5 %89.9 %93.4 %95.4 %96.4 %97.0 %97.5 %97.6 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2023).
Specialty casualty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2023
For the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$1,035 $1,008 $1,008 $1,006 $982 $967 $952 $950 $955 $951 $28 57,373 
20151,081 1,043 1,041 1,042 1,024 1,021 1,015 1,007 1,002 36 58,456 
20161,131 1,122 1,116 1,101 1,090 1,069 1,046 1,036 63 56,695 
20171,211 1,221 1,204 1,189 1,162 1,139 1,139 110 57,386 
20181,277 1,307 1,302 1,262 1,269 1,264 169 59,456 
20191,308 1,311 1,322 1,280 1,284 230 59,684 
20201,352 1,329 1,258 1,232 313 54,129 
20211,384 1,389 1,342 497 55,962 
20221,475 1,503 697 56,742 
20231,648 1,035 53,352 
Total$12,401 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023% (a)
2014$190 $412 $574 $680 $755 $801 $829 $862 $881 $899 94.5 %
2015178 411 577 702 792 844 888 913 934 93.2 %
2016186 418 584 713 806 870 906 938 90.5 %
2017200 422 612 755 833 902 959 84.2 %
2018210 475 649 794 901 991 78.4 %
2019212 455 651 795 913 71.1 %
2020188 446 613 757 61.4 %
2021191 438 625 46.6 %
2022198 507 33.7 %
2023248 15.0 %
Total$7,771 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2014 through 20234,630 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)354 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$4,984 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual16.4 %20.9 %15.4 %11.9 %8.4 %5.9 %4.0 %3.0 %2.0 %1.9 %
Cumulative16.4 %37.3 %52.7 %64.6 %73.0 %78.9 %82.9 %85.9 %87.9 %89.8 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2023).
Specialty financial
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2023
For the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$146 $157 $156 $153 $147 $142 $137 $136 $135 $134 $— 29,471 
2015156 160 158 153 145 138 136 135 133 — 37,629 
2016179 184 187 182 174 170 173 172 45,185 
2017212 215 212 208 203 202 210 48,840 
2018212 217 219 207 201 198 46,805 
2019194 198 191 186 182 41,939 
2020231 215 202 193 15 29,732 
2021223 201 187 25 27,355 
2022243 234 54 23,638 
2023310 127 20,542 
Total$1,953 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023% (a)
2014$62 $109 $125 $128 $137 $139 $141 $140 $141 $141 105.2 %
201572 110 129 133 132 134 134 134 133 100.0 %
201688 141 158 161 163 164 171 172 100.0 %
2017120 169 186 194 193 192 194 92.4 %
2018112 163 187 188 192 193 97.5 %
201999 146 164 168 170 93.4 %
2020100 144 159 162 83.9 %
202198 136 146 78.1 %
2022108 164 70.1 %
2023150 48.4 %
Total$1,625 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2014 through 2023328 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)— 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$328 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual51.8 %26.3 %9.9 %2.2 %1.6 %0.7 %1.6 %(0.1 %)— %— %
Cumulative51.8 %78.1 %88.0 %90.2 %91.8 %92.5 %94.1 %94.0 %94.0 %94.0 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2023).
Other specialty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2023
For the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$58 $57 $59 $59 $60 $61 $64 $66 $68 $72 $— 
201559 60 63 66 76 82 84 87 87 — 
201661 61 65 71 76 77 78 77 — 
201763 65 70 81 88 95 97 — 
201886 90 92 94 100 111 21 — 
2019108 107 108 111 119 21 — 
2020122 117 129 126 39 — 
2021135 141 138 69 — 
2022159 152 92 — 
2023201 137 — 
Total$1,180 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023% (b)
2014$13 $21 $30 $36 $43 $50 $53 $54 $56 $60 83.3 %
201510 26 31 50 62 69 75 76 81 93.1 %
201619 31 47 53 60 64 66 85.7 %
201710 19 30 52 63 76 83 85.6 %
201812 23 32 44 60 77 69.4 %
201924 49 61 79 66.4 %
202021 44 66 52.4 %
202127 49 35.5 %
202211 35 23.0 %
202329 14.4 %
Total$625 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2014 through 2023555 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)25 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$580 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual10.5 %12.6 %13.6 %16.0 %12.0 %11.1 %5.9 %1.7 %4.3 %5.6 %
Cumulative10.5 %23.1 %36.7 %52.7 %64.7 %75.8 %81.7 %83.4 %87.7 %93.3 %
(a)The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2023).
Total Specialty Group
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2023
For the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$2,083 $2,050 $2,040 $2,038 $2,004 $1,978 $1,957 $1,954 $1,958 $1,957 $36 220,128 
20152,114 2,047 2,041 2,038 2,022 2,013 2,003 1,998 1,991 45 231,168 
20162,117 2,083 2,082 2,060 2,034 2,004 1,986 1,974 80 223,280 
20172,375 2,348 2,329 2,301 2,269 2,256 2,266 134 247,224 
20182,507 2,516 2,499 2,439 2,452 2,449 211 236,982 
20192,721 2,674 2,672 2,632 2,642 286 255,871 
20202,748 2,635 2,546 2,500 406 205,973 
20212,861 2,754 2,689 660 206,733 
20223,270 3,205 1,000 216,920 
20233,631 1,731 201,558 
Total$25,304 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2014–2022 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023% (a)
2014$594 $1,174 $1,422 $1,588 $1,705 $1,773 $1,812 $1,847 $1,870 $1,893 96.7 %
2015619 1,129 1,404 1,592 1,722 1,791 1,847 1,878 1,909 95.9 %
2016577 1,099 1,350 1,539 1,662 1,750 1,806 1,848 93.6 %
2017709 1,250 1,524 1,736 1,844 1,953 2,030 89.6 %
2018730 1,337 1,606 1,807 1,977 2,099 85.7 %
2019847 1,448 1,768 1,983 2,160 81.8 %
2020758 1,337 1,620 1,842 73.7 %
2021746 1,368 1,687 62.7 %
2022904 1,724 53.8 %
2023989 27.2 %
Total$18,181 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2014 through 20237,123 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)405 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$7,528 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual29.7 %25.0 %12.2 %8.9 %6.2 %4.2 %2.8 %1.8 %1.4 %1.2 %
Cumulative29.7 %54.7 %66.9 %75.8 %82.0 %86.2 %89.0 %90.8 %92.2 %93.4 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2023).
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs   Included in property and casualty insurance commissions and other underwriting expenses in AFG’s Statement of Earnings is amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs of $720 million, $641 million, and $580 million in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.

Statutory Information   AFG’s U.S.-based insurance subsidiaries are required to file financial statements with state insurance regulatory authorities prepared on an accounting basis prescribed or permitted by such authorities (statutory basis). Net earnings and capital and surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):
 Net EarningsCapital and Surplus
 20232022202120232022
Property and casualty companies$1,004 $912 $1,007 $4,436 $4,356 

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (“NAIC”) model law for risk-based capital (“RBC”) applies to property and casualty insurance companies. RBC formulas determine the amount of capital that an insurance company needs so that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. Companies below specific trigger points or ratios are subject to regulatory action. At December 31, 2023 and 2022, the capital ratios of all AFG insurance companies substantially exceeded the RBC requirements. AFG’s insurance companies did not use any prescribed or permitted statutory accounting practices that differed from the NAIC statutory accounting practices at December 31, 2023 or 2022.

Payments of dividends by AFG’s insurance companies are subject to various state laws that limit the amount of dividends that can be paid. Under applicable restrictions, the maximum amount of dividends available to AFG in 2024 from its insurance subsidiaries without seeking regulatory approval is $944 million. Additional amounts of dividends require regulatory approval.

Holding Company Dividends   AFG declared and paid common stock dividends to shareholders totaling $687 million, $1.22 billion and $2.38 billion in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Currently, there are no regulatory restrictions on AFG’s retained earnings or net earnings that materially impact its ability to pay dividends. Based on shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2023, AFG could pay dividends of approximately $1.5 billion without violating its most restrictive debt covenant. However, the payment of future dividends will be at the discretion of AFG’s Board of Directors and will be dependent on many factors including AFG’s financial condition and results of operations, the capital requirements of its insurance subsidiaries, and rating agency commitments.

Reinsurance   In the normal course of business, AFG cedes reinsurance to other companies to diversify risk and limit maximum loss arising from large claims. However, AFG remains liable to its insureds regardless of whether a reinsurer is able to meet its obligations. The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from property and casualty written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries, which represent ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses.
202320222021
Direct premiums written$9,309 $8,774 $7,700 
Reinsurance assumed347 283 246 
Reinsurance ceded(2,964)(2,851)(2,373)
Net written premiums$6,692 $6,206 $5,573 
Direct premiums earned$9,133 $8,582 $7,462 
Reinsurance assumed321 274 249 
Reinsurance ceded(2,923)(2,771)(2,307)
Net earned premiums$6,531 $6,085 $5,404 
Reinsurance recoveries$2,336 $2,065 $1,478 

AFG maintains supplemental fully collateralized reinsurance coverage up to 94% of $323 million for catastrophe losses in excess of $127 million of traditional catastrophe reinsurance through a catastrophe bond. AFG’s cost for this coverage is approximately $16 million per year. Recoveries from the catastrophe bond apply before calculating losses recoverable from this catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance.
Recoverables from Reinsurers and Premiums Receivable Progressions of the allowance for expected credit losses on recoverables from reinsurers and premiums receivable are shown below (in millions):
Recoverables from ReinsurersPremiums Receivable
202320222021202320222021
Balance at January 1$$$$$$10 
Increase in allowance from acquisition of CRS
— — — — — 
Provision for expected credit losses— — (2)
Write-offs charged against the allowance— — — — — — 
Balance at December 31$10 $$$15 $$