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Insurance (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Insurance [Abstract]  
Reconciliation of beginning and ending liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses over the past three years (in millions):
202020192018
Balance at beginning of period$10,232 $9,741 $9,678 
Less reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance3,024 2,942 2,957 
Net liability at beginning of period7,208 6,799 6,721 
Provision for losses and LAE occurring in the current year3,398 3,414 3,195 
Net increase (decrease) in the provision for claims of prior years:
Special A&E charges47 18 18 
Neon exited lines19 — 
Other(193)(168)(210)
Total losses and LAE incurred3,271 3,271 3,003 
Payments for losses and LAE of:
Current year(990)(1,076)(963)
Prior years(1,766)(1,790)(1,639)
Total payments(2,756)(2,866)(2,602)
Reserves of businesses disposed (*)(449)— (319)
Foreign currency translation and other(4)
Net liability at end of period7,275 7,208 6,799 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance3,117 3,024 2,942 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$10,392 $10,232 $9,741 
(*)Reflects the December 31, 2020 sale of Neon (see Note B — “Acquisitions and Sale of Businesses”) and the reinsurance to close transactions at Neon, which settled in early 2018 (discussed below).
Short-duration insurance contracts, reconciliation of claims development to liability
A reconciliation of incurred and paid claims development information to the aggregate carrying amount of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, with separate disclosure of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid claims is shown below (in millions):
2020
Unpaid losses and allocated LAE, net of reinsurance:
Specialty
Property and transportation$1,196 
Specialty casualty4,302 
Specialty financial247 
Other specialty377 
Total Specialty (excluding foreign reserves)6,122 
Other reserves
Reserves for foreign operations314 
A&E reserves422 
Unallocated LAE361 
Other56 
Total other reserves1,153 
Total reserves, net of reinsurance7,275 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance3,117 
Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet$10,392 
Short-duration insurance contracts, claims development
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.
Property and transportation
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$811 $799 $813 $827 $837 $850 $846 $844 $843 $843 $138,334 
2012864 857 871 883 894 890 886 881 879 143,151 
2013882 870 872 878 878 877 873 871 138,925 
2014844 828 817 820 815 808 804 133,182 
2015818 784 779 777 777 772 15 134,875 
2016746 716 714 706 694 25 121,116 
2017889 847 843 823 39 140,549 
2018932 902 886 69 129,891 
20191,111 1,058 125 152,304 
20201,043 349 109,446 
Total$8,673 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$365 $667 $727 $771 $803 $821 $829 $833 $834 $835 99.1 %
2012572 708 772 816 842 856 882 869 872 99.2 %
2013438 702 760 804 831 847 858 860 98.7 %
2014329 632 693 744 770 783 789 98.1 %
2015359 582 667 707 736 744 96.4 %
2016294 521 577 618 640 92.2 %
2017379 640 696 735 89.3 %
2018396 676 738 83.3 %
2019527 823 77.8 %
2020461 44.2 %
Total$7,497 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20201,176 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)20 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$1,196 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual47.3 %30.2 %7.7 %5.3 %3.3 %1.6 %1.5 %(0.3 %)0.2 %0.1 %
Cumulative47.3 %77.5 %85.2 %90.5 %93.8 %95.4 %96.9 %96.6 %96.8 %96.9 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Specialty casualty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$852 $849 $839 $848 $834 $828 $826 $817 $810 $808 $29 54,961 
2012901 892 885 885 883 877 849 842 833 35 54,752 
2013968 949 945 940 945 926 916 905 53 55,063 
20141,035 1,008 1,008 1,006 982 967 952 71 56,669 
20151,081 1,043 1,041 1,042 1,024 1,021 99 57,745 
20161,131 1,122 1,116 1,101 1,090 164 56,169 
20171,211 1,221 1,204 1,189 275 56,558 
20181,277 1,307 1,302 416 58,079 
20191,308 1,311 571 56,950 
20201,352 844 48,294 
Total$10,763 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$174 $383 $522 $612 $662 $694 $714 $731 $745 $755 93.4 %
2012173 385 516 621 684 723 745 761 775 93.0 %
2013182 396 554 666 729 766 797 820 90.6 %
2014190 412 574 680 755 801 829 87.1 %
2015178 411 577 702 792 844 82.7 %
2016186 418 584 713 806 73.9 %
2017200 422 612 755 63.5 %
2018210 475 649 49.8 %
2019212 455 34.7 %
2020188 13.9 %
Total$6,876 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20203,887 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)415 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$4,302 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual18.0 %22.2 %16.0 %11.9 %7.7 %4.5 %2.9 %2.2 %1.7 %1.2 %
Cumulative18.0 %40.2 %56.2 %68.1 %75.8 %80.3 %83.2 %85.4 %87.1 %88.3 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Specialty financial
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$138 $157 $155 $153 $147 $144 $143 $139 $137 $137 $— 16,371 
2012163 163 151 139 137 135 132 127 126 21,092 
2013140 145 137 131 127 126 122 122 28,475 
2014146 157 156 153 147 142 137 29,458 
2015156 160 158 153 145 138 37,615 
2016179 184 187 182 174 45,125 
2017212 215 212 208 15 48,692 
2018212 217 219 27 46,487 
2019194 198 37 41,175 
2020231 115 24,479 
Total$1,690 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$58 $111 $115 $123 $130 $131 $131 $132 $132 $133 97.1 %
201271 104 109 117 121 126 128 126 125 99.2 %
201370 100 107 113 117 117 118 118 96.7 %
201462 109 125 128 137 139 141 102.9 %
201572 110 129 133 132 134 97.1 %
201688 141 158 161 163 93.7 %
2017120 169 186 194 93.3 %
2018112 163 187 85.4 %
201999 146 73.7 %
2020100 43.3 %
Total$1,441 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 2020249 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)(2)
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$247 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual50.6 %28.0 %8.4 %4.0 %3.1 %1.5 %1.0 %(0.3 %)(0.4 %)0.7 %
Cumulative50.6 %78.6 %87.0 %91.0 %94.1 %95.6 %96.6 %96.3 %95.9 %96.6 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Other specialty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$39 $43 $42 $43 $43 $44 $44 $43 $42 $41 $— 
201242 40 39 40 41 39 39 36 37 — 
201346 47 46 47 50 53 58 58 — 
201458 57 59 59 60 61 64 — 
201559 60 63 66 76 82 — 
201661 61 65 71 76 16 — 
201763 65 70 81 13 — 
201886 90 92 40 — 
2019108 107 64 — 
2020122 102 — 
Total$760 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (b)
2011$12 $20 $25 $28 $34 $36 $37 $38 $39 $39 95.1 %
201217 21 25 28 30 30 32 33 89.2 %
201316 22 34 37 44 51 53 91.4 %
201413 21 30 36 43 50 53 82.8 %
201510 26 31 50 62 69 84.1 %
201619 31 47 53 69.7 %
201710 19 30 52 64.2 %
201812 23 32 34.8 %
201924 22.4 %
20207.4 %
Total$417 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 2020343 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)34 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$377 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual14.8 %15.7 %11.6 %17.1 %10.2 %8.4 %4.8 %3.8 %2.6 %— %
Cumulative14.8 %30.5 %42.1 %59.2 %69.4 %77.8 %82.6 %86.4 %89.0 %89.0 %
(a)The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Total Specialty Group
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$1,840 $1,848 $1,849 $1,871 $1,861 $1,866 $1,859 $1,843 $1,832 $1,829 $35 209,666 
20121,970 1,952 1,946 1,947 1,955 1,941 1,906 1,886 1,875 43 218,995 
20132,036 2,011 2,000 1,996 2,000 1,982 1,969 1,956 65 222,463 
20142,083 2,050 2,040 2,038 2,004 1,978 1,957 88 219,309 
20152,114 2,047 2,041 2,038 2,022 2,013 125 230,235 
20162,117 2,083 2,082 2,060 2,034 213 222,410 
20172,375 2,348 2,329 2,301 342 245,799 
20182,507 2,516 2,499 552 234,457 
20192,721 2,674 797 250,429 
20202,748 1,410 182,219 
Total$21,886 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$609 $1,181 $1,389 $1,534 $1,629 $1,682 $1,711 $1,734 $1,750 $1,762 96.3 %
2012824 1,214 1,418 1,579 1,675 1,735 1,785 1,788 1,805 96.3 %
2013697 1,214 1,443 1,617 1,714 1,774 1,824 1,851 94.6 %
2014594 1,174 1,422 1,588 1,705 1,773 1,812 92.6 %
2015619 1,129 1,404 1,592 1,722 1,791 89.0 %
2016577 1,099 1,350 1,539 1,662 81.7 %
2017709 1,250 1,524 1,736 75.4 %
2018730 1,337 1,606 64.3 %
2019847 1,448 54.2 %
2020758 27.6 %
Total$16,231 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20205,655 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)467 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$6,122 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual32.2 %25.5 %11.9 %8.8 %5.6 %3.2 %2.2 %0.9 %0.9 %0.7 %
Cumulative32.2 %57.7 %69.6 %78.4 %84.0 %87.2 %89.4 %90.3 %91.2 %91.9 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Short-duration insurance contracts, schedule of historical claims duration
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.
Property and transportation
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$811 $799 $813 $827 $837 $850 $846 $844 $843 $843 $138,334 
2012864 857 871 883 894 890 886 881 879 143,151 
2013882 870 872 878 878 877 873 871 138,925 
2014844 828 817 820 815 808 804 133,182 
2015818 784 779 777 777 772 15 134,875 
2016746 716 714 706 694 25 121,116 
2017889 847 843 823 39 140,549 
2018932 902 886 69 129,891 
20191,111 1,058 125 152,304 
20201,043 349 109,446 
Total$8,673 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$365 $667 $727 $771 $803 $821 $829 $833 $834 $835 99.1 %
2012572 708 772 816 842 856 882 869 872 99.2 %
2013438 702 760 804 831 847 858 860 98.7 %
2014329 632 693 744 770 783 789 98.1 %
2015359 582 667 707 736 744 96.4 %
2016294 521 577 618 640 92.2 %
2017379 640 696 735 89.3 %
2018396 676 738 83.3 %
2019527 823 77.8 %
2020461 44.2 %
Total$7,497 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20201,176 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)20 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$1,196 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual47.3 %30.2 %7.7 %5.3 %3.3 %1.6 %1.5 %(0.3 %)0.2 %0.1 %
Cumulative47.3 %77.5 %85.2 %90.5 %93.8 %95.4 %96.9 %96.6 %96.8 %96.9 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Specialty casualty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$852 $849 $839 $848 $834 $828 $826 $817 $810 $808 $29 54,961 
2012901 892 885 885 883 877 849 842 833 35 54,752 
2013968 949 945 940 945 926 916 905 53 55,063 
20141,035 1,008 1,008 1,006 982 967 952 71 56,669 
20151,081 1,043 1,041 1,042 1,024 1,021 99 57,745 
20161,131 1,122 1,116 1,101 1,090 164 56,169 
20171,211 1,221 1,204 1,189 275 56,558 
20181,277 1,307 1,302 416 58,079 
20191,308 1,311 571 56,950 
20201,352 844 48,294 
Total$10,763 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$174 $383 $522 $612 $662 $694 $714 $731 $745 $755 93.4 %
2012173 385 516 621 684 723 745 761 775 93.0 %
2013182 396 554 666 729 766 797 820 90.6 %
2014190 412 574 680 755 801 829 87.1 %
2015178 411 577 702 792 844 82.7 %
2016186 418 584 713 806 73.9 %
2017200 422 612 755 63.5 %
2018210 475 649 49.8 %
2019212 455 34.7 %
2020188 13.9 %
Total$6,876 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20203,887 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)415 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$4,302 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual18.0 %22.2 %16.0 %11.9 %7.7 %4.5 %2.9 %2.2 %1.7 %1.2 %
Cumulative18.0 %40.2 %56.2 %68.1 %75.8 %80.3 %83.2 %85.4 %87.1 %88.3 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Specialty financial
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$138 $157 $155 $153 $147 $144 $143 $139 $137 $137 $— 16,371 
2012163 163 151 139 137 135 132 127 126 21,092 
2013140 145 137 131 127 126 122 122 28,475 
2014146 157 156 153 147 142 137 29,458 
2015156 160 158 153 145 138 37,615 
2016179 184 187 182 174 45,125 
2017212 215 212 208 15 48,692 
2018212 217 219 27 46,487 
2019194 198 37 41,175 
2020231 115 24,479 
Total$1,690 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$58 $111 $115 $123 $130 $131 $131 $132 $132 $133 97.1 %
201271 104 109 117 121 126 128 126 125 99.2 %
201370 100 107 113 117 117 118 118 96.7 %
201462 109 125 128 137 139 141 102.9 %
201572 110 129 133 132 134 97.1 %
201688 141 158 161 163 93.7 %
2017120 169 186 194 93.3 %
2018112 163 187 85.4 %
201999 146 73.7 %
2020100 43.3 %
Total$1,441 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 2020249 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)(2)
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$247 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual50.6 %28.0 %8.4 %4.0 %3.1 %1.5 %1.0 %(0.3 %)(0.4 %)0.7 %
Cumulative50.6 %78.6 %87.0 %91.0 %94.1 %95.6 %96.6 %96.3 %95.9 %96.6 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Other specialty
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$39 $43 $42 $43 $43 $44 $44 $43 $42 $41 $— 
201242 40 39 40 41 39 39 36 37 — 
201346 47 46 47 50 53 58 58 — 
201458 57 59 59 60 61 64 — 
201559 60 63 66 76 82 — 
201661 61 65 71 76 16 — 
201763 65 70 81 13 — 
201886 90 92 40 — 
2019108 107 64 — 
2020122 102 — 
Total$760 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (b)
2011$12 $20 $25 $28 $34 $36 $37 $38 $39 $39 95.1 %
201217 21 25 28 30 30 32 33 89.2 %
201316 22 34 37 44 51 53 91.4 %
201413 21 30 36 43 50 53 82.8 %
201510 26 31 50 62 69 84.1 %
201619 31 47 53 69.7 %
201710 19 30 52 64.2 %
201812 23 32 34.8 %
201924 22.4 %
20207.4 %
Total$417 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 2020343 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)34 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$377 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual14.8 %15.7 %11.6 %17.1 %10.2 %8.4 %4.8 %3.8 %2.6 %— %
Cumulative14.8 %30.5 %42.1 %59.2 %69.4 %77.8 %82.6 %86.4 %89.0 %89.0 %
(a)The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Total Specialty Group
(Dollars in Millions)
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of ReinsuranceAs of December 31, 2020
For the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported ClaimsCumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
2011$1,840 $1,848 $1,849 $1,871 $1,861 $1,866 $1,859 $1,843 $1,832 $1,829 $35 209,666 
20121,970 1,952 1,946 1,947 1,955 1,941 1,906 1,886 1,875 43 218,995 
20132,036 2,011 2,000 1,996 2,000 1,982 1,969 1,956 65 222,463 
20142,083 2,050 2,040 2,038 2,004 1,978 1,957 88 219,309 
20152,114 2,047 2,041 2,038 2,022 2,013 125 230,235 
20162,117 2,083 2,082 2,060 2,034 213 222,410 
20172,375 2,348 2,329 2,301 342 245,799 
20182,507 2,516 2,499 552 234,457 
20192,721 2,674 797 250,429 
20202,748 1,410 182,219 
Total$21,886 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
Accident YearFor the Years Ended (2011–2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020% (a)
2011$609 $1,181 $1,389 $1,534 $1,629 $1,682 $1,711 $1,734 $1,750 $1,762 96.3 %
2012824 1,214 1,418 1,579 1,675 1,735 1,785 1,788 1,805 96.3 %
2013697 1,214 1,443 1,617 1,714 1,774 1,824 1,851 94.6 %
2014594 1,174 1,422 1,588 1,705 1,773 1,812 92.6 %
2015619 1,129 1,404 1,592 1,722 1,791 89.0 %
2016577 1,099 1,350 1,539 1,662 81.7 %
2017709 1,250 1,524 1,736 75.4 %
2018730 1,337 1,606 64.3 %
2019847 1,448 54.2 %
2020758 27.6 %
Total$16,231 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2011 through 20205,655 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)467 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)$6,122 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
Annual32.2 %25.5 %11.9 %8.8 %5.6 %3.2 %2.2 %0.9 %0.9 %0.7 %
Cumulative32.2 %57.7 %69.6 %78.4 %84.0 %87.2 %89.4 %90.3 %91.2 %91.9 %
(a)Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2020).
Statutory information Net earnings and capital and surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):
 Net EarningsCapital and Surplus
 20202019201820202019
Property and casualty companies$481 $584 $546 $3,643 $3,342 
Life (annuity) insurance companies209 34 802 2,897 2,868 
Reinsurance information The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from property and casualty written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries, which represent ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses.
202020192018
Direct premiums written$6,862 $7,044 $6,626 
Reinsurance assumed225 255 214 
Reinsurance ceded(2,074)(1,957)(1,817)
Net written premiums$5,013 $5,342 $5,023 
Direct premiums earned$6,846 $6,848 $6,472 
Reinsurance assumed237 226 204 
Reinsurance ceded(1,984)(1,889)(1,811)
Net earned premiums$5,099 $5,185 $4,865 
Reinsurance recoveries$1,522 $1,404 $1,249 
Reinsurance Recoverable and Premiums Receivable, Allowance for Credit Loss Progressions of the 2020 allowance for expected credit losses are shown below (in millions):
Recoverables from ReinsurersPremiums Receivable
Property and
Casualty
Fixed & Indexed AnnuitiesOtherTotalProperty and
Casualty
Balance at January 1$18 $— $— $18 $13 
Impact of adoption of new accounting policy(11)— (6)(3)
Provision for expected credit losses— — 
Write-offs charged against the allowance— — — — (1)
Businesses disposed(1)— — (1)— 
Balance at December 31$$— $$13 $10 
Schedule of reserve liabilities for annuity benefits accumulated The liabilities included in AFG’s Balance Sheet for these benefits, excluding the impact of unrealized gains on securities, were as follows at December 31 (in millions):
20202019
Expected death and annuitization$260 $232 
Guaranteed withdrawal benefits817 625 
Accrued persistency and premium bonuses—