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Insurance (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Insurance [Abstract]  
Reconciliation of beginning and ending liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses over the past three years (in millions):
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Balance at beginning of period
$
8,127

 
$
7,872

 
$
6,410

Less reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,201

 
2,227

 
2,122

Net liability at beginning of period
5,926

 
5,645

 
4,288

Provision for losses and LAE occurring in the current year
2,730

 
2,662

 
2,488

Net increase (decrease) in the provision for claims of prior years:
 
 
 
 
 
Special A&E charges
36

 
67

 
24

Neon exited lines charge
57

 

 

Other
(61
)
 
(34
)
 
(18
)
Total losses and LAE incurred
2,762

 
2,695

 
2,494

Payments for losses and LAE of:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year
(841
)
 
(828
)
 
(789
)
Prior years
(1,512
)
 
(1,575
)
 
(1,340
)
Total payments
(2,353
)
 
(2,403
)
 
(2,129
)
Reserves of businesses acquired (disposed) (*)
(40
)
 

 
1,028

Foreign currency translation and other
(34
)
 
(11
)
 
(36
)
Net liability at end of period
6,261

 
5,926

 
5,645

Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,302

 
2,201

 
2,227

Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet
$
8,563

 
$
8,127

 
$
7,872


(*)
Reflects the November 2016 reinsurance to close transaction at Neon (discussed below) and the acquisition of Summit in April 2014 (discussed in Note B — “Acquisitions and Sale of Businesses).
Short-duration insurance contracts, reconciliation of claims development to liability
A reconciliation of incurred and paid claims development information to the aggregate carrying amount of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, with separate disclosure of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid claims is shown below (in millions):
 
2016
 
2015
Unpaid losses and allocated LAE, net of reinsurance:
 
 
 
Specialty
 
 
 
Property and transportation
$
1,020

 
$
971

Specialty casualty
3,356

 
3,170

Specialty financial
228

 
219

Other specialty
240

 
240

Total Specialty (excluding foreign reserves)
4,844

 
4,600

 
 
 
 
Other reserves
 
 
 
Reserves for foreign operations
710

 
648

A&E reserves
337

 
327

Unallocated LAE
310

 
296

Other
60

 
55

Total other reserves
1,417

 
1,326

Total reserves, net of reinsurance
6,261

 
5,926

 
 
 
 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,302

 
2,201

Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet
$
8,563

 
$
8,127

Short-duration insurance contracts, claims development
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.

Property and transportation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
657

 
$
595

 
$
577

 
$
572

 
$
572

 
$
569

 
$
569

 
$
568

 
$
568

 
$
568

 
$
1

 
126,900

2008
 
 
 
923

 
871

 
852

 
853

 
856

 
854

 
855

 
856

 
854

 
3

 
157,173

2009
 
 
 
 
 
526

 
506

 
523

 
516

 
511

 
511

 
508

 
508

 
4

 
140,530

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
702

 
662

 
668

 
676

 
679

 
679

 
683

 
10

 
140,614

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
830

 
816

 
831

 
845

 
856

 
868

 
16

 
140,408

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
890

 
884

 
897

 
909

 
922

 
27

 
146,584

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
911

 
898

 
902

 
908

 
40

 
142,139

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
868

 
852

 
841

 
67

 
137,214

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
840

 
802

 
106

 
134,407

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
760

 
250

 
109,187

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
7,714

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
284

 
$
450

 
$
492

 
$
523

 
$
539

 
$
553

 
$
559

 
$
562

 
$
563

 
$
564

 
99.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
352

 
706

 
761

 
799

 
824

 
835

 
846

 
846

 
847

 
99.2
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
229

 
348

 
413

 
456

 
479

 
493

 
497

 
499

 
98.2
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
328

 
505

 
556

 
618

 
649

 
660

 
665

 
97.4
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
373

 
679

 
742

 
787

 
821

 
840

 
96.8
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

 
725

 
793

 
841

 
868

 
94.1
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
449

 
721

 
784

 
831

 
91.5
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
337

 
646

 
711

 
84.5
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
367

 
594

 
74.1
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
296

 
38.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,715

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
999

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
21

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
1,020

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
46.5
%
 
29.5
%
 
7.9
%
 
6.1
%
 
3.6
%
 
2.1
%
 
1.0
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.1
%
 
0.2
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
46.5
%
 
76.0
%
 
83.9
%
 
90.0
%
 
93.6
%
 
95.7
%
 
96.7
%
 
97.0
%
 
97.1
%
 
97.3
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Specialty casualty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
1,036

 
$
957

 
$
892

 
$
852

 
$
828

 
$
821

 
$
818

 
$
794

 
$
802

 
$
803

 
$
40

 
62,676

2008
 
 
 
905

 
891

 
874

 
860

 
871

 
856

 
855

 
849

 
855

 
48

 
59,886

2009
 
 
 
 
 
864

 
867

 
845

 
826

 
816

 
811

 
812

 
807

 
58

 
53,097

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
847

 
863

 
864

 
842

 
856

 
846

 
845

 
74

 
52,771

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
831

 
831

 
819

 
828

 
814

 
808

 
89

 
50,635

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
874

 
865

 
859

 
859

 
855

 
124

 
49,732

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
938

 
921

 
915

 
910

 
159

 
49,239

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,011

 
984

 
984

 
263

 
51,808

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,057

 
1,023

 
380

 
52,001

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,105

 
636

 
47,436

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
8,995

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
166

 
$
357

 
$
477

 
$
563

 
$
623

 
$
664

 
$
692

 
$
708

 
$
724

 
$
733

 
91.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
162

 
355

 
490

 
588

 
653

 
702

 
727

 
751

 
768

 
89.8
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
160

 
366

 
494

 
575

 
636

 
673

 
698

 
713

 
88.4
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
393

 
539

 
623

 
676

 
712

 
734

 
86.9
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165

 
369

 
506

 
595

 
643

 
674

 
83.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
163

 
368

 
495

 
596

 
658

 
77.0
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
171

 
377

 
530

 
638

 
70.1
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
182

 
398

 
556

 
56.5
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
170

 
398

 
38.9
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
181

 
16.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,053

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
2,942

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
414

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
3,356

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.0
%
 
23.7
%
 
16.1
%
 
11.0
%
 
7.0
%
 
4.7
%
 
3.0
%
 
2.2
%
 
2.0
%
 
1.1
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.0
%
 
42.7
%
 
58.8
%
 
69.8
%
 
76.8
%
 
81.5
%
 
84.5
%
 
86.7
%
 
88.7
%
 
89.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Specialty financial
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
170

 
$
165

 
$
159

 
$
149

 
$
145

 
$
144

 
$
142

 
$
141

 
$
140

 
$
136

 
$
1

 
21,643

2008
 
 
 
190

 
207

 
212

 
209

 
203

 
199

 
198

 
197

 
198

 
1

 
27,287

2009
 
 
 
 
 
193

 
193

 
187

 
184

 
188

 
186

 
187

 
186

 
1

 
27,438

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
139

 
146

 
133

 
133

 
135

 
133

 
130

 
3

 
21,921

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
140

 
158

 
157

 
155

 
148

 
146

 
14

 
16,364

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
164

 
163

 
151

 
139

 
137

 
15

 
21,029

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
141

 
145

 
137

 
131

 
15

 
28,220

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146

 
157

 
156

 
22

 
28,814

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
156

 
159

 
36

 
35,880

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
75

 
29,464

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,558

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
82

 
$
114

 
$
126

 
$
133

 
$
134

 
$
135

 
$
135

 
$
135

 
$
136

 
$
135

 
99.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
103

 
153

 
185

 
189

 
189

 
191

 
193

 
194

 
194

 
98.0
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
112

 
145

 
157

 
166

 
171

 
182

 
185

 
186

 
100.0
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
93

 
104

 
122

 
133

 
131

 
128

 
98.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
113

 
116

 
124

 
131

 
132

 
90.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
71

 
104

 
109

 
117

 
121

 
88.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70

 
100

 
107

 
114

 
87.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

 
108

 
125

 
80.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
72

 
109

 
68.6
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87

 
48.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,331

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
227

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
228

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
49.9
%
 
25.3
%
 
7.7
%
 
6.1
%
 
3.3
%
 
1.4
%
 
0.1
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.4
%
 
(0.7
%)
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
49.9
%
 
75.2
%
 
82.9
%
 
89.0
%
 
92.3
%
 
93.7
%
 
93.8
%
 
94.1
%
 
94.5
%
 
93.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Other specialty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
45

 
$
42

 
$
42

 
$
42

 
$
40

 
$
39

 
$
36

 
$
36

 
$
33

 
$
30

 
$
10

 

2008
 
 
 
49

 
49

 
49

 
49

 
48

 
46

 
45

 
45

 
44

 
4

 

2009
 
 
 
 
 
41

 
41

 
41

 
40

 
37

 
37

 
36

 
38

 
11

 

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
36

 
39

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
4

 

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
39

 
43

 
42

 
43

 
43

 
44

 
5

 

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
41

 
10

 

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
47

 
46

 
47

 
6

 

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

 
57

 
59

 
21

 

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
60

 
27

 

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
44

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
464

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (b)
 
 
2007
 
$
6

 
$
10

 
$
12

 
$
15

 
$
17

 
$
18

 
$
19

 
$
20

 
$
21

 
$
21

 
70.0
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
10

 
16

 
23

 
31

 
35

 
37

 
37

 
37

 
38

 
86.4
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
12

 
15

 
19

 
22

 
22

 
24

 
26

 
68.4
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
14

 
21

 
24

 
27

 
33

 
35

 
87.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12

 
20

 
25

 
28

 
34

 
36

 
81.8
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
17

 
21

 
25

 
28

 
68.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
16

 
22

 
34

 
72.3
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13

 
21

 
30

 
50.8
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
26

 
43.3
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

 
14.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
283

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
181

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
59

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
240

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.9
%
 
16.9
%
 
12.1
%
 
12.6
%
 
8.7
%
 
5.5
%
 
3.4
%
 
2.9
%
 
2.8
%
 
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.9
%
 
36.8
%
 
48.9
%
 
61.5
%
 
70.2
%
 
75.7
%
 
79.1
%
 
82.0
%
 
84.8
%
 
84.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).


Total Specialty Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
1,908

 
$
1,759

 
$
1,670

 
$
1,615

 
$
1,585

 
$
1,573

 
$
1,565

 
$
1,539

 
$
1,543

 
$
1,537

 
$
52

 
211,219

2008
 
 
 
2,067

 
2,018

 
1,987

 
1,971

 
1,978

 
1,955

 
1,953

 
1,947

 
1,951

 
56

 
244,346

2009
 
 
 
 
 
1,624

 
1,607

 
1,596

 
1,566

 
1,552

 
1,545

 
1,543

 
1,539

 
74

 
221,065

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,724

 
1,710

 
1,705

 
1,690

 
1,710

 
1,698

 
1,698

 
91

 
215,306

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,840

 
1,848

 
1,849

 
1,871

 
1,861

 
1,866

 
124

 
207,407

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,970

 
1,952

 
1,946

 
1,947

 
1,955

 
176

 
217,345

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,036

 
2,011

 
2,000

 
1,996

 
220

 
219,598

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,083

 
2,050

 
2,040

 
373

 
217,836

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,112

 
2,044

 
549

 
222,288

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,105

 
1,005

 
186,087

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
18,731

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
538

 
$
931

 
$
1,107

 
$
1,234

 
$
1,313

 
$
1,370

 
$
1,405

 
$
1,425

 
$
1,444

 
$
1,453

 
94.5
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
627

 
1,230

 
1,459

 
1,607

 
1,701

 
1,765

 
1,803

 
1,828

 
1,847

 
94.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
509

 
871

 
1,079

 
1,216

 
1,308

 
1,370

 
1,404

 
1,424

 
92.5
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,005

 
1,220

 
1,387

 
1,485

 
1,536

 
1,562

 
92.0
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
609

 
1,181

 
1,389

 
1,534

 
1,629

 
1,682

 
90.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
824

 
1,214

 
1,418

 
1,579

 
1,675

 
85.7
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
697

 
1,214

 
1,443

 
1,617

 
81.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
594

 
1,173

 
1,422

 
69.7
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
619

 
1,127

 
55.1
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
573

 
27.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
14,382

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
4,349

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
495

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
4,844

 
 
 
 

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
33.0
%
 
26.1
%
 
11.8
%
 
8.5
%
 
5.3
%
 
3.4
%
 
2.0
%
 
1.3
%
 
1.1
%
 
0.6
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
33.0
%
 
59.1
%
 
70.9
%
 
79.4
%
 
84.7
%
 
88.1
%
 
90.1
%
 
91.4
%
 
92.5
%
 
93.1
%
 
 
 
 

(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).
Short-duration insurance contracts, schedule of historical claims duration
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.

Property and transportation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
657

 
$
595

 
$
577

 
$
572

 
$
572

 
$
569

 
$
569

 
$
568

 
$
568

 
$
568

 
$
1

 
126,900

2008
 
 
 
923

 
871

 
852

 
853

 
856

 
854

 
855

 
856

 
854

 
3

 
157,173

2009
 
 
 
 
 
526

 
506

 
523

 
516

 
511

 
511

 
508

 
508

 
4

 
140,530

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
702

 
662

 
668

 
676

 
679

 
679

 
683

 
10

 
140,614

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
830

 
816

 
831

 
845

 
856

 
868

 
16

 
140,408

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
890

 
884

 
897

 
909

 
922

 
27

 
146,584

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
911

 
898

 
902

 
908

 
40

 
142,139

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
868

 
852

 
841

 
67

 
137,214

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
840

 
802

 
106

 
134,407

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
760

 
250

 
109,187

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
7,714

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
284

 
$
450

 
$
492

 
$
523

 
$
539

 
$
553

 
$
559

 
$
562

 
$
563

 
$
564

 
99.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
352

 
706

 
761

 
799

 
824

 
835

 
846

 
846

 
847

 
99.2
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
229

 
348

 
413

 
456

 
479

 
493

 
497

 
499

 
98.2
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
328

 
505

 
556

 
618

 
649

 
660

 
665

 
97.4
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
373

 
679

 
742

 
787

 
821

 
840

 
96.8
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

 
725

 
793

 
841

 
868

 
94.1
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
449

 
721

 
784

 
831

 
91.5
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
337

 
646

 
711

 
84.5
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
367

 
594

 
74.1
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
296

 
38.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,715

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
999

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
21

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
1,020

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
46.5
%
 
29.5
%
 
7.9
%
 
6.1
%
 
3.6
%
 
2.1
%
 
1.0
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.1
%
 
0.2
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
46.5
%
 
76.0
%
 
83.9
%
 
90.0
%
 
93.6
%
 
95.7
%
 
96.7
%
 
97.0
%
 
97.1
%
 
97.3
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Specialty casualty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
1,036

 
$
957

 
$
892

 
$
852

 
$
828

 
$
821

 
$
818

 
$
794

 
$
802

 
$
803

 
$
40

 
62,676

2008
 
 
 
905

 
891

 
874

 
860

 
871

 
856

 
855

 
849

 
855

 
48

 
59,886

2009
 
 
 
 
 
864

 
867

 
845

 
826

 
816

 
811

 
812

 
807

 
58

 
53,097

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
847

 
863

 
864

 
842

 
856

 
846

 
845

 
74

 
52,771

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
831

 
831

 
819

 
828

 
814

 
808

 
89

 
50,635

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
874

 
865

 
859

 
859

 
855

 
124

 
49,732

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
938

 
921

 
915

 
910

 
159

 
49,239

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,011

 
984

 
984

 
263

 
51,808

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,057

 
1,023

 
380

 
52,001

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,105

 
636

 
47,436

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
8,995

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
166

 
$
357

 
$
477

 
$
563

 
$
623

 
$
664

 
$
692

 
$
708

 
$
724

 
$
733

 
91.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
162

 
355

 
490

 
588

 
653

 
702

 
727

 
751

 
768

 
89.8
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
160

 
366

 
494

 
575

 
636

 
673

 
698

 
713

 
88.4
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
393

 
539

 
623

 
676

 
712

 
734

 
86.9
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165

 
369

 
506

 
595

 
643

 
674

 
83.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
163

 
368

 
495

 
596

 
658

 
77.0
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
171

 
377

 
530

 
638

 
70.1
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
182

 
398

 
556

 
56.5
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
170

 
398

 
38.9
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
181

 
16.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,053

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
2,942

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
414

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
3,356

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.0
%
 
23.7
%
 
16.1
%
 
11.0
%
 
7.0
%
 
4.7
%
 
3.0
%
 
2.2
%
 
2.0
%
 
1.1
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.0
%
 
42.7
%
 
58.8
%
 
69.8
%
 
76.8
%
 
81.5
%
 
84.5
%
 
86.7
%
 
88.7
%
 
89.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Specialty financial
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
170

 
$
165

 
$
159

 
$
149

 
$
145

 
$
144

 
$
142

 
$
141

 
$
140

 
$
136

 
$
1

 
21,643

2008
 
 
 
190

 
207

 
212

 
209

 
203

 
199

 
198

 
197

 
198

 
1

 
27,287

2009
 
 
 
 
 
193

 
193

 
187

 
184

 
188

 
186

 
187

 
186

 
1

 
27,438

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
139

 
146

 
133

 
133

 
135

 
133

 
130

 
3

 
21,921

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
140

 
158

 
157

 
155

 
148

 
146

 
14

 
16,364

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
164

 
163

 
151

 
139

 
137

 
15

 
21,029

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
141

 
145

 
137

 
131

 
15

 
28,220

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146

 
157

 
156

 
22

 
28,814

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
156

 
159

 
36

 
35,880

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
75

 
29,464

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,558

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
82

 
$
114

 
$
126

 
$
133

 
$
134

 
$
135

 
$
135

 
$
135

 
$
136

 
$
135

 
99.3
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
103

 
153

 
185

 
189

 
189

 
191

 
193

 
194

 
194

 
98.0
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
112

 
145

 
157

 
166

 
171

 
182

 
185

 
186

 
100.0
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
93

 
104

 
122

 
133

 
131

 
128

 
98.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
113

 
116

 
124

 
131

 
132

 
90.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
71

 
104

 
109

 
117

 
121

 
88.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70

 
100

 
107

 
114

 
87.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

 
108

 
125

 
80.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
72

 
109

 
68.6
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87

 
48.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,331

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
227

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
1

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
228

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
49.9
%
 
25.3
%
 
7.7
%
 
6.1
%
 
3.3
%
 
1.4
%
 
0.1
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.4
%
 
(0.7
%)
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
49.9
%
 
75.2
%
 
82.9
%
 
89.0
%
 
92.3
%
 
93.7
%
 
93.8
%
 
94.1
%
 
94.5
%
 
93.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).

Other specialty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
45

 
$
42

 
$
42

 
$
42

 
$
40

 
$
39

 
$
36

 
$
36

 
$
33

 
$
30

 
$
10

 

2008
 
 
 
49

 
49

 
49

 
49

 
48

 
46

 
45

 
45

 
44

 
4

 

2009
 
 
 
 
 
41

 
41

 
41

 
40

 
37

 
37

 
36

 
38

 
11

 

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
36

 
39

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
4

 

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
39

 
43

 
42

 
43

 
43

 
44

 
5

 

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
41

 
10

 

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
47

 
46

 
47

 
6

 

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

 
57

 
59

 
21

 

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
60

 
27

 

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
44

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
464

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (b)
 
 
2007
 
$
6

 
$
10

 
$
12

 
$
15

 
$
17

 
$
18

 
$
19

 
$
20

 
$
21

 
$
21

 
70.0
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
10

 
16

 
23

 
31

 
35

 
37

 
37

 
37

 
38

 
86.4
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
12

 
15

 
19

 
22

 
22

 
24

 
26

 
68.4
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
14

 
21

 
24

 
27

 
33

 
35

 
87.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12

 
20

 
25

 
28

 
34

 
36

 
81.8
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
17

 
21

 
25

 
28

 
68.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
16

 
22

 
34

 
72.3
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13

 
21

 
30

 
50.8
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
26

 
43.3
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

 
14.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
283

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
181

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
59

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
240

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.9
%
 
16.9
%
 
12.1
%
 
12.6
%
 
8.7
%
 
5.5
%
 
3.4
%
 
2.9
%
 
2.8
%
 
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.9
%
 
36.8
%
 
48.9
%
 
61.5
%
 
70.2
%
 
75.7
%
 
79.1
%
 
82.0
%
 
84.8
%
 
84.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).


Total Specialty Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2016
 
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
 
2007
 
$
1,908

 
$
1,759

 
$
1,670

 
$
1,615

 
$
1,585

 
$
1,573

 
$
1,565

 
$
1,539

 
$
1,543

 
$
1,537

 
$
52

 
211,219

2008
 
 
 
2,067

 
2,018

 
1,987

 
1,971

 
1,978

 
1,955

 
1,953

 
1,947

 
1,951

 
56

 
244,346

2009
 
 
 
 
 
1,624

 
1,607

 
1,596

 
1,566

 
1,552

 
1,545

 
1,543

 
1,539

 
74

 
221,065

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,724

 
1,710

 
1,705

 
1,690

 
1,710

 
1,698

 
1,698

 
91

 
215,306

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,840

 
1,848

 
1,849

 
1,871

 
1,861

 
1,866

 
124

 
207,407

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,970

 
1,952

 
1,946

 
1,947

 
1,955

 
176

 
217,345

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,036

 
2,011

 
2,000

 
1,996

 
220

 
219,598

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,083

 
2,050

 
2,040

 
373

 
217,836

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,112

 
2,044

 
549

 
222,288

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,105

 
1,005

 
186,087

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
18,731

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2007–2015 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
% (a)
 
 
2007
 
$
538

 
$
931

 
$
1,107

 
$
1,234

 
$
1,313

 
$
1,370

 
$
1,405

 
$
1,425

 
$
1,444

 
$
1,453

 
94.5
%
 
 
2008
 
 
 
627

 
1,230

 
1,459

 
1,607

 
1,701

 
1,765

 
1,803

 
1,828

 
1,847

 
94.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
 
 
509

 
871

 
1,079

 
1,216

 
1,308

 
1,370

 
1,404

 
1,424

 
92.5
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,005

 
1,220

 
1,387

 
1,485

 
1,536

 
1,562

 
92.0
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
609

 
1,181

 
1,389

 
1,534

 
1,629

 
1,682

 
90.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
824

 
1,214

 
1,418

 
1,579

 
1,675

 
85.7
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
697

 
1,214

 
1,443

 
1,617

 
81.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
594

 
1,173

 
1,422

 
69.7
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
619

 
1,127

 
55.1
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
573

 
27.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
14,382

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2007 through 2016
 
 
4,349

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
495

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
4,844

 
 
 
 

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
33.0
%
 
26.1
%
 
11.8
%
 
8.5
%
 
5.3
%
 
3.4
%
 
2.0
%
 
1.3
%
 
1.1
%
 
0.6
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
33.0
%
 
59.1
%
 
70.9
%
 
79.4
%
 
84.7
%
 
88.1
%
 
90.1
%
 
91.4
%
 
92.5
%
 
93.1
%
 
 
 
 

(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2016).
Statutory information
Net earnings and capital and surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):
 
Net Earnings
 
Capital and Surplus
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
 
2016
 
2015
Property and casualty companies
$
461

 
$
408

 
$
318

 
$
2,939

 
$
2,488

Life insurance companies
167

 
399

 
349

 
1,976

 
1,721

Reinsurance information
The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from property and casualty written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries, which represent ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses.
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Direct premiums written
$
5,858

 
$
5,713

 
$
5,387

Reinsurance assumed
123

 
119

 
90

Reinsurance ceded
(1,595
)
 
(1,505
)
 
(1,457
)
Net written premiums
$
4,386

 
$
4,327

 
$
4,020

 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct premiums earned
$
5,745

 
$
5,613

 
$
5,195

Reinsurance assumed
118

 
105

 
75

Reinsurance ceded
(1,535
)
 
(1,494
)
 
(1,392
)
Net earned premiums
$
4,328

 
$
4,224

 
$
3,878

 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance recoveries
$
810

 
$
936

 
$
895

Schedule of reserve liabilities for annuity benefits accumulated
For certain products, the liability for “annuity benefits accumulated” includes reserves for excess benefits expected to be paid on future deaths and annuitizations (“EDAR”), guaranteed withdrawal benefits and accrued persistency and premium bonuses. The liabilities included in AFG’s Balance Sheet for these benefits, excluding the impact of unrealized gains on securities, were as follows at December 31 (in millions):
 
2016
 
2015
Expected death and annuitization
$
223

 
$
214

Guaranteed withdrawal benefits
278

 
203

Accrued persistency and premium bonuses
6

 
11