EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm UNSECURED CREDITORS ORGANIZATIONAL MEETING PRESENTATION Unsecured Creditors Organizational Meeting Presentation
Creditors Meeting
Exhibit 99.1


The
statements
in
this
presentation
relating
to
matters
that
are
not
historical
facts
are
forward-looking
statements.
These
forward-looking
statements
are
based
upon
assumptions
of
management
which
are
believed
to
be
reasonable
at
the
time
made,
and
are
subject
to
significant
risks
and
uncertainties.
Actual
results
could
differ
materially
based
on
factors
including,
but
not
limited
to,
the
ability
to
implement
business
strategies;
availability,
cost
and
price
volatility
of
raw
materials
and
utilities;
supply/demand
balances;
industry
production
capacities
and
operating
rates;
uncertainties
associated
with
the
U.S.
and
worldwide
economies;
legal,
tax
and
environmental
proceedings;
cyclical
nature
of
the
chemical
and
refining
industries;
operating
interruptions;
current
and
potential
governmental
regulatory
actions;
terrorist
acts;
international
political
unrest;
competitive
products
and
pricing;
technological
developments;
risks
of
doing
business
outside
of
the
U.S.;
access
to
capital
markets;
and
other
risk
factors.
Additional
factors
that
could
cause
results
to
differ
materially
from
those
described
in
the
forward-looking
statements
can
be
found
in
the
Lyondell,
Equistar
and
Millennium
Annual
Reports
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007,
the
LyondellBasell
Industries
AF
S.C.A.
Consolidated
Financial
Statements
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007
(U.S.
GAAP),
the
LyondellBasell
AF
S.C.A.
Management
Report
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007
and
the
LyondellBasell
Industries
AF
S.C.A.
(IFRS)
Financials
statements
for
the
year
ended
December
2007,
each
of
which
is
available
on
the
Investor
Relations
page
of
the
LyondellBasell
Industries'
website.
This
presentation
contains
time
sensitive
information
that
is
accurate
only
as
of
the
time
hereof.
We
undertake
no
obligation
to
update
the
information
presented
herein
except
to
the
extent
required
by
law.
Disclaimer


LyondellBasell Industries
LyondellBasell Industries created on Dec. 20, 2007
$44.7billion in annual revenues*
More than 60 manufacturing sites
Sales in more than 100 countries
More than 16,000 employees
*Combined pro forma 2007 revenues


Chemicals
Propylene Oxide
#1
Fuels
Oxy Fuels
#2
Polymers
Polyolefins
#1
Technology & R&D
Polyolefin Licensing
#1
Polyolefin Catalysts
#1
Leading Positions and Extended Geographic
Presence
Global geographic diversity
Significant presence in fast growing Asian markets
Well positioned to access cost advantaged feedstock in the Middle East
North
America
Europe
JVs
ROW
Source:
LyondellBasell Industries and CMAI
Based on 100% of JV capacity.  Rankings based on CMAI information except for Polyolefins ranking which is based on internal LyondellBasell Industries information
Global Rated
Capacity Position
Legacy Basell Manufacturing Sites and JVs
Legacy Lyondell Manufacturing Sites and JVs
2007 Revenues Including JVs


Diverse End Markets
Consumer
Refining /
Fuels
Building
& Construction
Transportation
Packaging
Textiles /
Furnishings
Other
Note:
Estimated based on 2006 revenues


An Integrated System
Olefins
Hydrogen
Olefins
C4s
Olefins Feed
Gasoline Components
Gasoline
Components
Propylene
Oxide Plants
Polymers
Plants
Refining
Olefins
Plants
Olefins


Near-Term Situation Overview
Since the completion of the LyondellBasell transaction, the Company has
experienced numerous challenges:
Economic Decline
Hurricane Ike
Volatility in Crude / Energy markets
Houston Refinery turnaround / crane accident
Situation
Significant order decline
Operating at significantly reduced
capacity
Significant spread compression
Negative margins experienced
Decline in borrowing base due to declining
commodity prices
Inventory
A/R
Extreme Q4 deterioration in profitability
3 week shut down of Houston operations
Significant unpredictability of expected
demand and pricing
Disrupted operations of refinery Q2 –
Dec. ‘08
Impact
Result
is
significantly
reduced
EBITDA,
cash
and
availability
of
working
capital
finance
facilities


Unprecedented Q4 Industry Conditions and Volatility
Chemicals / Polymers
Refining
Cost
Environment
Crude declines continued~$35/bbl
-
Ethane below fuel value
Naphtha below crude equivalent
Crude declines continue ~$35/bbl
-
Production cuts have not stopped decline
Demand
Environment
Continued
decline w/o visibility of bottom
across all products
Operating rates in 50% range
No
definitive indications of reversal
Gasoline very weak
Margin
Situation
Prices collapsed in Nov/Dec
Polymers–
EU significantly negative
Very volatile
($7.50/bbl) $2.25/bbl
-
Diesel–
$9.00/bbl -
$19.40/bbl
WTI 211
$1.80/bbl
-
$10.85/bbl
Hy/lt
spread–
$5.50/bbl
-
$19.00/bbl
Gasoline


LyondellBasell
Immediate Response
Olefins
La Porte and Chocolate Bayou idled
Operating Rates –
50% US; 60-65%
Europe
Propylene Oxide
2 POSM plants idled
Operating rates –
50-60%
Polymers
Numerous lines down
Operating rates –
50-55%
Refining
Operating issues continued through early
December
Full operating functionality for balance of
December
Liquidity Actions
Late Q4 Operating Actions
Multiple facility shutdowns
Accelerated receipts
Commercial dispute settlement
Hedge settlement
Prepayment discounts
Credit terms tightened
Capex reduced to absolute minimum
levels
Accelerated organizational restructuring
15% manpower reduction target
Eliminate contract personnel
Pursuing asset divestitures


2008 Historical Current Cost EBITDA and WTI
Crude Price
880
1,018
621
40
118
358
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Q108
Q208
Q308
Actual Current Cost EBITDA
Non Recurring Items
$920
$1,136
$979
2008 Current Cost EBITDA
($ in millions)
Source: Platts
(1)  Non recurring items include FCCU downtime in Q2 and Hurricane Ike, turnaround and crane incident in Q3
(1)
WTI Crude Price
($/bbl)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160


2-1-1 Crack and Maya Spreads ($/bbl)
Source:  Platts
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$75
2-1-1 Crack Spread
Maya 2-1-1 Spread


CMAI U.S. Ethylene Operating Rate
87%
89%
89%
88%
86%
88%
73%
41%
80%
73%
60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Source: CMAI


CMAI EU Polymer
€ 0
€ 500
€ 1,000
€ 1,500
€ 2,000
Polyethylene High Density
Ethylene
€ 0
€ 500
€ 1,000
€ 1,500
Polypropylene Homopolymer
Propylene Contained Value
EU PP-C3 (€/mt)
EU PE-C2 (€/mt)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Jan-
2008
Feb-
2008
Mar-
2008
Apr-
2008
May-
2008
Jun-
2008
Jul-
2008
Aug-
2008
Sep-
2008
Oct-
2008
Nov-
2008
Dec-
2008
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Jan-
2008
Feb-
2008
Mar-
2008
Apr-
2008
May-
2008
Jun-
2008
Jul-
2008
Aug-
2008
Sep-
2008
Oct-
2008
Nov-
2008
Dec-
2008
EU PP-C3 Margin (¢/lb)
EU PE-C2 Margin (¢/lb)
Source: CMAI


Key Q4 Impacts to Liquidity
Unprofitable
late
fourth-quarter
operations
as
Chemical
&
Polymer
operating
rates
and
sales
declined
to
approximately
50%
of
capacity
Losses created by the pass through of higher-priced inventory
Reduction
in
availability
of
Working
Capital
Facilities
-
$1B+
*Source:  Platts, CMAI
Change vs. September
Units
September
Price
December
Price
Unit
%
WTI Crude
$/bbl
103.60
41.50
(62.10)
(60)
NW Europe Naphtha
$/tonne
847
258
(589)
(70)
Gulf Coast Ethane
¢/gal
81
35
(46)
(57)
Gasoline
$/gal
3.12
0.93
(2.19)
(70)
Polypropylene
¢/
lb
85
46
(39)
(46)
Polyethylene
¢/lb
97
49
(48)
(49)