EX-99.(C)(3) 4 dex99c3.htm PRESENTATION OF CASCADIA CAPITAL LLC TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF ZONES INC. Presentation of Cascadia Capital LLC to the board of directors of Zones Inc.
w w w . c a s c a d i a c a p i t a l . c o m
Expertise. Discipline. Results.
Seattle
701 5   Ave, Ste 2600
Seattle, WA 98104
Portland
351 NW 12   Ave
Portland, OR 97209
th
th
February 28, 2008
Exhibit (c)(3)


1
Table of Contents
Introduction
2
Valuation
5
Impact of MBE
25
Public Company Buyers
33
Minority Business Buyers                 
39
Financial Buyers
42
Section
Page #


2
INTRODUCTION
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


3
Presentation Overview
Introduction
Cascadia Capital (“Cascadia”) has been engaged by the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Zones,
Inc. (“Zones”, “ZONS”
or the “Company”) to evaluate potential sale alternatives for the Company
given its current Minority Business Enterprise (“MBE”) status
Cascadia
was
asked
to
assess
the
viability
of
three
distinct
buyer
populations
strategic
buyers,
MBE buyers (those that share the same minority status) and financial buyers
For each of the buyer populations, Cascadia was asked to assess the price and structure at which a
transaction could take place in light of current market conditions, and in some cases, identify
potential parties to a transaction
Relying on analysis provided to us by the Company, we estimated the impact of the MBE
structure on the potential transaction price in all scenarios
Cascadia acknowledges that transaction structures with third parties that might preserve the MBE
status of the Company may exist, but have not been explored in detail as part of our engagement
At the Board’s request, Cascadia has not engaged in any potential sale dialogues as a result of this
analysis, as it was outside the scope of the mandate


4
Executive Summary
Introduction
Based on current market conditions we estimate the enterprise value of Zones today to be between
$150M -
$180M based on projections prepared in consultation with the Company 
A loss of the Company’s MBE status would result in a decline of approximately $20M in value
Related to loss in enterprise sales, primarily at the field sales force level ($56M 2008 sales
budget)
Projections assume that, over time, the Company is able to develop other competitive
advantages
that
mitigate
some
of
the
account
loss
resulting
from
the
sunset
of
the
MBE
status
The two transaction structures that are most compelling for the preservation of the MBE status are a
sale to another MBE or take private involving a minority investment from a private equity firm or a
hedge fund
Potential MBE transaction partners are limited and present business model conflict
A take private/leverage buyout of the Company where the MBE status is compromised is less
feasible due to the implied valuation at which a transaction would need to take place given
IRR hurdles of potential investors
Market conditions are not currently optimized to facilitate a sale to a strategic party at a potentially
attractive valuation


5
VALUATION
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


6
Valuation Overview
Valuation
The purpose of our analysis was to establish a baseline valuation for the Company based on
standalone financial projections which assumes Zones remains a public entity
Financial projections were developed for the current period and forward four years based on
discussions with Company senior management
For the purpose of our analysis, we applied commonly accepted valuation techniques, including
comparable company analysis, precedent transaction analysis and discounted cash flow analysis, to
the historical financial results of the Company and the forward projections
Cascadia also took into account current industry and market conditions including the US economic
outlook,
the
condition
of
US
financial
and
M&A
markets,
the
2008
IT
spending
outlook
and
the
2008
PC demand outlook, and prevailing industry trends
As these analyses assume the Company is an on-going entity, no discount for the minority status is
applied


7
Technology distributors face an uncertain domestic economy
Valuation
US
Economic
Outlook
US economy faces a consumer confidence crisis, if not a recession, in 2008
High energy prices have cut heavily into consumer discretionary spend
Job creation is slowing visibly
Real estate deflation is impacting wealth at a personal level
Consumers face a credit crunch due to declining borrowing base
Risk of a decoupling of US economy from global markets
Global
markets
(ex-US)
expected
to
grow
5.0%
5.5%
vs.
US
at
1.0%
-
1.5%
Decoupling could lead to policy changes in order to support the dollar or stem inflation
Export related businesses expected to thrive in a low US rate environment
US dollar is expected to decline in 1H08 due to policy differences with foreign markets
While risks of a currency crisis are higher than in recent years, it is not an expected outcome
US
Financial
Markets
Treasury bonds outperformed stocks in 2007, and have extended lead in 1Q08
Large caps and growth outperformed midcaps and value and in 2007
Energy and materials were leaderships sectors, with financials as laggards
Significant market turbulence in 1Q08
Fed cuts seen as too little to late, investors are wary
Slowing service sector, job markets, consumer spending do not bode well for quick u-turn
Credit market concerns are likely to catch up to US financial markets in 2008
Oil prices have spiked over $100/barrel
Falling dollar could send investors on flight to quality towards
overseas markets
Lack of available debt will cool M&A, putting a further damper on markets
Debt is more widely available for sub-$15M EBITDA companies


8
However, IT budgets are expected to grow, albeit at a slower pace
Valuation
A
slow
down
in
IT
spending
is
expected
in
2008,
but
a
significant
contraction
is
not
anticipated
Economic uncertainty will fuel caution among purchasing organizations
Companies with large North American exposure expected to be hit hardest
4Q07 appeared to be in line with estimates for IT distributors, but stock prices reflect little upside
Potential for delays in enterprise rollouts has resulted in investor caution
Stocks have sold off significantly and trade well below historical multiples
Sentiment is that SMB growth is moderating
VAR surveys indicate caution on sequential growth in SMB for 1Q08 and 1H08
IT spending budgets are expected to rise, albeit at a slower pace
Demand will be driven by server consolidation/virtualization, applications and storage spend
Enterprise customers will also spend significantly on upgrades and business unit support
2008 IT
Spending
Outlook
Median IT Operational Budget Change: 2004-2008
0.0%
2.5%
4.1%
5.0%
2.5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008E
Expected 2008 Change in IT Spending by Organizaiton Size
10.0%
7.0%
16.0%
28.0%
10.0%
24.0%
63.0%
83.0%
60.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Small
Medium
Large
Budget Cut
Budget Flat
Budget Increase


9
The PC demand function looks more robust than previously anticipated
Valuation
2007
ended
with
a
flurry
of
stock
upgrades
on
the
back
of
higher
than
anticipated
PC
demand
Recent MSFT earning report indicates PC demand has been robust compared to estimates
Asia a key driver of growth for Lenovo and HP
Corporate
mix
shift
continues
as
companies
migrate
from
desktops
to
laptops
Laptop
CAGR
estimated
at
15%
-
20%
through
2009
Corporate buyers do not expect Vista to drive significant hardware upgrade cycle in the near term
Many corporations delaying Vista rollouts until 2009/2010
Corporate buyers are waiting for a host of compatibility issues to be resolved
Dual core processors and thin client solutions are increasing factors in upgrade decision
Dell US market share lead beginning to come under pressure from HP and Lenovo
Increasing interest on the thin client side
HP has passed Dell on a worldwide basis; service and support is thought of as superior
2008 PC
Demand
World Wide PC Demand
$232.5
$250.8
$268.4
$278.7
$287.2
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2006
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
($ in billions)


10
The end user technology distribution industry continues to evolve
Valuation
2007 was shaped by significant M&A events, earnings shortfalls and Dell’s channel expansion
Key M&A Events:
-
CDW take private for $6.8B (1.0x LTM Revenue / 13.9x LTM EBITDA)
-
Platinum Equity sale of CompuCom to Court Square Capital Partners for $628M
Earnings Announcements:
-
Insight Enterprises earnings shortfall trims 23% off its market cap
-
Office
Depot
earning
shortfall
trims
4%
off
market
cap
and
leads
to
delisting
-
Best Buy lowered sales and earnings guidance on February 15, 2008
Dell announced retail partnerships with Wal-Mart and Staples in the US
Tuck-in acquisitions have been largely focused on adding service capabilities
Insight Enterprises acquired network architecture solutions group Calence
Softchoice acquired IT infrastructure solutions group Optimus Solutions
PC Mall acquired technology service provider SARCOM
While consolidation will continue, several key players will remain on the sidelines
In
December,
CDW
announced
an
18
24
month
hiatus
from
acquisitions
>
$50M
Court Square anticipates CompuCom will not make a material acquisition in FTM
Equity prices of technology distributors are off 10%+ YTD reflecting economic concerns
Soft economic environment could hit earnings growth rates as companies delay spend
Company’s with EMEA and Asia exposure are likely to fair better than domestic only
Parties with software diversification are likely to maintain better margins
Industry
Conditions


11
CompuCom purchased by
Court Square Capital for
$628.0M
Insight Enterprises
announces $50M stock
buyback
CompUSA acquired by
Gordon Brothers Group
and wound down
Market Factors Impacting Valuation
Valuation
Office Depot reports a
9% decrease in earnings
resulting in a 4% stock
price decline
June
January
February
October
November
December
Insight Enterprises reports
a 47% decrease in EPS,
resulting in a 23% decline
in stock price, from $26.47
to $20.15
CDW Corp. purchased by
Madison Dearborn/
Providence Equity for $87.75
per share
EV: $6,827.7M
EV/Rev:
1.0x
EV/EBITDA:
13.9x
Office Depot delays third
quarter earnings release
due to internal review of
vendor program fund
recognitions
Softchoice acquires
Software Plus for
$45M
July
Office Depot dropped
from S&P 500
Insight Enterprises
acquires Calence, LLC
for $160M
PC Mall acquires
SARCOM for $54M
Softchoice acquires
Optimus Solutions for
$47M
Best Buy lowers sales and
earning guidance
resulting in a 6% stock
price decline before
recovering
Arrow Electronics
buys Logix SA
from Groupe
Open
EV:  $177.9 M
EV/Rev: 0.25x
Staples offers
€7.25 per share for
Corporate Express
EV: €
1,330.0 M
EV/Rev: 0.4x
EV/EBITDA: 8.3x


12
2
0
0
2
1
1
10
5
10
24
32
31
33
21
12
13
18
24
50
68
58
58
71
99
121
102
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2007 transaction volume points to further consolidation
Valuation
Total Transaction Value ($mm)
Number of Transactions
CDW/Madison Dearborn
Transaction Size: $6827.7M
EV / Rev:  1.0x
EV / EBITDA: 13.9x
Source: Capital IQ


13
Equity values of technology distributors have fallen 10%+ in last 45 days
Valuation
Relative Price (%)
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Russell 2000 Index
NASDAQ-100 Index
Technology Distributors Index
S&P 500 Index
Source: Capital IQ


14
The DMR sector has been hit the hardest
Valuation
Relative Price (%)
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
DMR
Components
Specialty
Broadline
Source: Capital IQ


15
Margins and EPS Growth By Category
Valuation
Gross Margin - By Category
5.1%
14.0%
13.1%
14.2%
5.0%
11.0%
12.9%
14.6%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Broadline
Specialty
DMR
Components
EBIT Margin - By Category
1.3%
1.2%
2.0%
3.4%
1.3%
0.1%
1.7%
3.3%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Broadline
Specialty
DMR
Components
EPS Growth - By Category
10.3%
19.1%
66.2%
22.0%
11.4%
118.1%
28.1%
-2.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
Broadline
Specialty
DMR
Components
Source: Capital IQ


16
ZONS has been a standout performer among DMR equities
Valuation
Relative Price (%)
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
GTSI
PC Mall
PC Connection
Insight
Systemax
Zones
Source: Capital IQ


17
Margins By Segment
Valuation
Gross Margin - DMR
13.8%
12.2%
14.1%
14.7%
11.8%
12.3%
12.4%
14.6%
13.0%
12.3%
12.2%
12.8%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Insight
PC
Connection
PC Mall
GTSI
Systemax
Zones
Gross Margin - Big Box
24.0%
21.8%
30.1%
28.7%
25.0%
24.4%
31.0%
28.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Best Buy
Circuit City
Office Depot
Staples
EBIT Margin - DMR
2.7%
2.1%
2.0%
-0.8%
2.9%
3.1%
3.0%
2.6%
2.8%
1.6%
1.2%
-0.8%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Insight
PC
Connection
PC Mall
GTSI
Systemax
Zones
EBIT Margin - Big Box
5.5%
-1.5%
4.5%
8.2%
5.3%
2.1%
5.1%
7.7%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Best Buy
Circuit City
Office Depot
Staples
Source: Capital IQ


18
EPS Growth By Segment
Valuation
EPS Growth - Big Box
21.0%
10.6%
11.8%
164.4%
101.5%
19.8%
NM
21.9%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
160.0%
180.0%
Best Buy
Circuit City
Office Depot
Staples
Source: Capital IQ
EPS Growth -
DMR
7.0%
58.9%
194.9%
33.4%
36.7%
38.2%
204.4%
290.4%
57.6%
NM
NM
NM
0.0%
50.0%
100.0%
150.0%
200.0%
250.0%
300.0%
350.0%
Insight
PC
Connection
PC Mall
GTSI
Systemax
Zones


19
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Company Factors Impacting Valuation
Valuation
4/26/07 –
Twilight
reports Q1 earnings
9/18/07 –
Twilight
amends loan
agreement with GE
10/25/07 –
Twilight
reports Q3 earnings
1/30/08 –
Twilight
announces 2007
financials
7/26/07 –
Twilight
reports Q2 earnings
Source: Capital IQ


20
Summary Financial Projections
Valuation
(1) Per management guidance
($ in millions)
Fiscal Years Ending
LTM
Projected
(1)
CAGR
December 31,
12/31/07
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2007–2012
Revenues
$679.5
$799.2
$943.1
$1,194.5
$1,424.5
$1,698.4
20.1%
% Growth
17.6%
18.0%
26.7%
19.3%
19.2%
Gross Profit
$80.3
$91.3
$108.4
$131.1
$147.4
$175.2
16.9%
% of Revenues
11.8%
11.4%
11.5%
11.0%
10.3%
10.3%
EBITDA
$22.9
$28.6
$39.8
$51.6
$58.2
$74.5
26.7%
% of Revenues
3.4%
3.6%
4.2%
4.3%
4.1%
4.4%
EBIT
$21.0
$27.0
$38.0
$49.5
$55.9
$72.0
27.9%
% of Revenues
3.1%
3.4%
4.0%
4.1%
3.9%
4.2%
Net Income
$13.1
$17.1
$24.1
$31.5
$35.7
$46.2
28.6%
% of Revenues
1.9%
2.1%
2.6%
2.6%
2.5%
2.7%
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
(1)
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
Earnings per Share
$0.89
$1.16
$1.64
$2.14
$2.43
$3.14
28.6%
Income
Statement


21
Valuation Summary
Valuation
($ in millions)
Selected
Publicly Traded
Companies
Selected
Precedent
Transactions
Discounted Cash Flows
Analysis
$180.0
$150.0
Current EV
$136.1
Summary Range
$130.0
$140.0
$230.0
$170.0
$180.0
$170.0
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
$240
$260


22
Public Company Comps
Valuation
(1) Source: Capital IQ
($ in millions, except per share data)
EV/LTM
EV/CY 2008
EV/CY 2009
Company
Ticker
Price as of:
2/27/08
Market
Cap.
Enterprise
Value (EV)
Revenue
EBITDA
LTM P/E
Revenue
#
EBITDA
CY 2008
P/E
Revenue
#
EBITDA
CY 2009
P/E
LT
Growth
Broadline
Ingram Micro Inc.
NYSE:IM
$16.42
$2,833.1
$2,776.6
0.1x
5.5x
10.5x
0.1x
4.8x
9.1x
0.1x
4.4x
8.1x
11.3%
SYNNEX Corp.
NYSE:SNX
21.54
686.1
1,015.6
0.1 
7.8 
11.1 
0.1 
6.9 
9.9 
0.1 
6.2 
9.0 
12.3%
Tech Data Corp.
NasdaqNM:TECD
34.09
1,890.6
1,788.3
0.1 
6.8 
20.0 
0.1 
5.7 
12.0 
0.1 
5.0 
9.9 
12.2%
Median
0.1x
6.8x
11.1x
0.1x
5.7x
9.9x
0.1x
5.0x
9.0x
12.2%
Mean
0.1x
6.7x
13.9x
0.1x
5.8x
10.3x
0.1x
5.2x
9.0x
11.9%
Specialty
Agilysys
Inc.
NasdaqNM:AGYS
$12.96
$304.9
$166.5
0.2x
NM  
NM  
0.2x
4.0x
26.4x
0.1x
2.9x
15.9x
16.0%
Bell Microproducts Inc.
NasdaqNM:BELM
3.48
105.8
425.6
0.1 
8.6 
NM  
0.1 
5.6 
4.7 
0.1 
5.7 
4.5 
18.8%
ScanSourceInc.
NasdaqNM:SCSC
35.85
930.2
977.7
0.5 
10.2 
18.3 
0.4 
NA 
16.1 
NA 
NA 
NA 
16.8%
Median
0.2x
9.4x
18.3x
0.2x
4.8x
16.1x
0.1x
4.3x
10.2x
16.8%
Mean
0.3x
9.4x
18.3x
0.2x
4.8x
15.7x
0.1x
4.3x
10.2x
17.2%
Direct Marketers
GTSI Corp.
NasdaqNM:GTSI
$8.91
$89.3
$126.3
0.2x
NM  
19.2x
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA
Insight Enterprises Inc.
NasdaqNM:NSIT
18.81
911.1
1,056.6
0.2 
6.5 
13.0 
0.2x
5.3x
10.3x
0.2x
4.8x
9.0x
14.7%
PC Connection Inc.
NasdaqNM:PCCC
10.15
273.0
264.0
0.1 
6.0 
11.9 
0.1 
NA 
10.6 
0.1 
NA 
9.7 
12.0%
PC Mall Inc.
NasdaqNM:MALL
8.90
118.0
170.7
0.1 
6.0 
9.8 
0.1 
NA 
8.1 
NA 
NA 
NA 
22.5%
Systemax Inc.
NYSE:SYX
11.53
416.1
319.1
0.1 
3.7 
8.0 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA 
NA
Median
0.1x
6.0x
11.9x
0.1x
5.3x
10.3x
0.2x
4.8x
9.4x
14.7%
Mean
0.2x
5.6x
12.4x
0.2x
5.3x
9.7x
0.2x
4.8x
9.4x
16.4%
Components
Arrow Electronics Inc.
NYSE:ARW
$34.52
$4,244.8
$5,033.3
0.3x
6.6x
10.5x
0.3x
6.3x
9.7x
0.3x
5.9x
8.9x
13.2%
Avnet Inc.
NYSE:AVT
35.57
5,348.3
6,211.4
0.4 
7.7 
11.3 
0.3 
6.7 
10.2 
0.3 
6.6 
9.7 
16.7%
Nu Horizons Electronics Corp.
NasdaqNM:NUHC
5.48
100.8
166.3
0.2 
13.3 
39.7 
0.2 
6.3 
11.2 
NA 
NA 
NA 
20.0%
Median
0.3x
7.7x
11.3x
0.3x
6.3x
10.2x
0.3x
6.2x
9.3x
16.7%
Mean
0.3x
9.2x
20.5x
0.3x
6.4x
10.4x
0.3x
6.2x
9.3x
16.6%
Aggregate Range:
High
0.5x
13.3x
39.7x
0.4x
6.9x
26.4x
0.3x
6.6x
15.9x
22.5%
Median
0.2x
6.7x
11.6x
0.2x
5.7x
10.3x
0.1x
5.3x
9.0x
15.3%
Mean
0.2x
7.4x
15.3x
0.2x
5.7x
11.5x
0.2x
5.2x
9.4x
15.5%
Low
0.1x
3.7x
8.0x
0.1x
4.0x
4.7x
0.1x
2.9x
4.5x
11.3%
Twilight
$9.72
$127.9
$136.1
0.2x
6.0x
10.8x
0.2x
4.8x
8.4x
0.1x
3.4x
5.9x
20.1%


23
Precedent Transactions
Valuation
($ in millions)
Date
Enterprise
EV/LTM
Announced
Acquiror Name
Target Name
Target Business Description
Value
Revenue
EBITDA
02/25/2008
Arrow Electronics
LOGIX France
Markets e-business and infrastructure solutions for the technology industry
$177.9
0.2x
NA 
01/24/2008
Insight Enterprises
Calence
Designs, implements, and manages network architecture solutions
160.0
0.5 
9.9 
(1)
01/02/2008
Softchoice
Optimus Solutions
Provides IT products and solutions
47.0
0.3 
NA 
(2)
12/11/2007
Softchoice
Software Plus
Reseller of computer software, software licensing, and accessories
45.0
0.2 
NA 
08/17/2007
PCMall
SARCOM
Provides IT services and solutions
142.1
0.5 
17.1 
08/02/2007
Dell Inc.
ASAP Software
Provides IT products and services to corporations and governments
340.0
0.3 
8.8 
07/09/2007
Court Square Capital Partners
CompuCom
Provides information technology managed services
628.0
0.4 
NA 
05/29/2007
Madison Dearborn Partners
CDW Corp.
Provides multi-branded information technology products
6,827.7
1.0 
13.9 
04/01/2007
Xerox Corporation
Global Imaging Systems
Provides office technology solutions to middle market businesses
1,666.9
1.5 
11.5 
(3)
02/27/2007
Westcon Group
NOXS
Distributor of security solutions for resellers and end users
70.2
0.3 
8.1 
02/27/2007
SYNNEX
PC Wholesale
Distributor of IT products
30.0
0.1 
6.7 
(4)
01/02/2007
Arrow Electronics
The Agilysys KeyLink Systems
Reseller of enterprise computer technology solutions
485.0
0.4 
NA 
11/06/2006
Avnet Inc.
GE Access Solutions
Distributes computer products, solutions, and services
412.5
0.2 
5.6 
10/17/2006
Esprinet SpA
UMD S.A.
Distributes IT products in Spain
98.8
0.3 
6.5 
09/18/2006
CDW Corp.
Berbee Information Networks
Provides information technology solutions
184.0
0.5 
8.4 
07/20/2006
Insight Enterprises
Software Spectrum
Global business-to-business software services provider
287.0
0.2 
11.0 
06/19/2006
Ementor ASA
Atea Holding AB
Distributor of IT products and infrastructure in Nordic countries
143.1
0.1 
6.7 
11/21/2005
Esprinet SpA
Memory Set, S.A.U.
Distributes IT products in Spain
218.8
0.3 
8.0 
10/27/2005
Arrow Electronics
Digital Network Services GmbH
Distributes IT products in Europe
155.0
0.4 
10.0 
09/29/2005
Fenway Partners
Targus Group International
Provides mobile accessory solutions and computing accessories
382.5
NA 
NA 
05/10/2005
Agilysys
Communication Technical Systems
Provides various IT solutions
27.5
0.8 
8.0 
04/26/2005
Avnet Inc.
Memec, Inc.
Engineering solutions
690.0
0.3 
11.0 
04/18/2005
Caxton-Iseman Capital, Inc.
Electrograph Technologies Corp.
Technology solutions for enterprises
66.5
0.2 
11.0 
04/12/2005
WinWholesale, Inc
Noland Co.
Engineering solutions
293.7
0.5 
9.2 
04/04/2005
eXpansys Limited
MobilePlanet, Inc.
Direct reseller of mobile computing and wireless products
3.8
0.2 
NA 
12/20/2004
Black Box Corp.
Norstan Inc.
Network security solutions
103.0
0.4 
5.9 
12/07/2004
Lenovo Group Limited
IBM's Personal Computing Division
Designs and develops desktop, laptop, and notebook computers
1,750.0
0.2 
NA 
09/26/2004
Ingram Micro
Tech Pacific Limited
Distributes IT products in the Asia Pacific region
545.0
0.2 
10.5 
11/23/2004
Getronics NV
PinkRoccade NV
IT infrastructure solutions
471.4
0.5 
7.6 
10/26/2004
Avaya Inc.
Tenovis
Telecommunications and Internet solutions
635.5
0.6 
NA 
09/06/2004
Telstra Corp. Ltd.
Damovo (Australia)
Network solutions for enterprises
44.5
NA 
NA 
06/22/2004
Bell Microproducts
OpenPSL
Value added distributor of enterprise, storage, and security products
35.8
0.2 
NA 
05/27/2004
Platinum Equity
CompuCom
Provides information technology managed services
161.1
0.1 
4.8 
Range:
High
$6,827.7
1.5x
17.1x
Median
177.9
0.3x
8.6x
Mean
525.1
0.4x
9.1x
Low
3.8
0.1x
4.8x
(1) Includes earnout of up to $35M
(2) Includes additional contingency payment of $9M
(3) LTM pro-forma for the Berbee transaction
(4) LTM EBIT used as proxy for LTM EBITDA


24
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Valuation
(1) Based on management projections
(2) Shares outstanding based on fully diluted estimates of 14.7M
($ in millions, except per share data)
($ in millions)
Projected
(1)
Projected
(1)
2008 -
2012
Fiscal Year ending December 31
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
CAGR
Revenues
$799.2
$943.1
$1,194.5
$1,424.5
$1,698.4
20.7%
EBITDA
28.6
39.8
51.6
58.2
74.5
27.0%
EBIT
Taxes
27.0
38.0
49.5
55.9
72.0
27.8%
Less: Taxes
37.9%
(10.2)
(14.4)
(18.8)
(21.2)
(27.3)
Tax-adjusted EBIT
$16.8
$23.6
$30.7
$34.7
$44.7
27.8%
Plus:  Depreciation & Amortization
1.5
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
Less:  Capital Expenditures
(2.0)
(2.6)
(2.6)
(2.8)
(2.8)
Less:  Change in Working Capital
(18.6)
(13.9)
(28.2)
(29.2)
(34.2)
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
($2.3)
$8.9
$2.0
$4.9
$10.1
Discount Rate
20.0%
22.5%
25.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
5.0x 
5.5x 
6.0x 
5.0x 
5.5x 
6.0x 
5.0x 
5.5x 
6.0x 
2012 EBITDA
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
Terminal Value
372.6
409.9
447.1
372.6
409.9
447.1
372.6
409.9
447.1
PV of Terminal Value
179.7
197.7
215.6
165.5
182.0
198.6
152.6
167.9
183.1
PV of Free Cash Flows  ('09 -
'12)
16.5
16.5
16.5
15.7
15.7
15.7
15.0
15.0
15.0
Implied Enterprise Value
$196.2
$214.1
$232.1
$181.2
$197.7
$214.3
$167.6
$182.9
$198.1
Plus:  Cash & Equivalents
(1)
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
12.2
Less:  Total Debt
(1)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
(22.0)
Implied Value of Equity
$186.5
$204.4
$222.4
$171.5
$188.0
$204.6
$157.9
$173.2
$188.4
Implied Share Price
(2)
$12.68
$13.91
$15.13
$11.66
$12.79
$13.92
$10.74
$11.78
$12.82


25
MBE
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
I
MPACT
OF


26
Overview
Impact of MBE
Zones is a certified minority-owned business
With
annual
Revenues
of
$679M,
the
Company
is
one
of
the
largest
MBEs
The benefit of this minority status is two fold:
Certain entities are required to procure, or derive social benefit from procuring, from an MBE
MBE
status
can,
at
times,
get
the
Company
a
“seat
at
the
table”
in
an
RFP
process
-
It is unclear, however, what percentage of these contracts are won directly as a result of the MBE
Estimating the impact of the MBE on the Company’s value is not a straight forward exercise
The theoretical impact on valuation should be the market value of earnings garnered solely as a function of the
MBE
-
Contracts directly won as a result of an MBE purchase requirement are more easily identified
-
Contracts won by utilizing the MBE to gain entrée to an RFP process, that are won as a result of the
MBE are not clear
-
Projecting impact into the future is very difficult due to the nature of the Company’s business
There are very limited valuation comps, publicly traded or precedent transaction, for MBEs from which to
glean
insight
no
statistical
similarities
exist
among
the
dataset
The feasibility of engaging in a transaction that preserves the MBE status is also murky
There may exist some transaction structures involving non-MBEs that enable the preservation of the status
-
This issue has not been explored in any detail by Cascadia
The number of MBEs who have the financial resources to purchase Zones is small
-
These corporations have limited acquisition histories, and lack transparency into capital availability


27
Impact of MBE on Company Financial Performance
Impact of MBE
Based on the Company’s 2007 sales records, there exist 39 accounts, among the top 100, where ZONS has completed
MBE registration
These accounts total nearly $254M in Revenues and over $13M in Gross Margin contribution
However, not all of these accounts were garnered directly as a result of the MBE status
Based on an account-by-account review, it appears 8 accounts, totaling approximately $87M in Revenues and $4M in
Gross Margin contribution in 2007, can be directly attributable to the MBE
Federal contract holders, parties who report to utility commissions, those active in diversity programs
Select local Fortune 1000 companies
Impact of MBE loss going forward would be felt most in the enterprise arena
Field sales force ($56M Revenue budget) trades heavily on MBE status, but often only as a door opener
Majority of SMB customers do not benefit from ZONS MBE status
Limited MBE options in technology distribution, so existing relationships are important
Realistic to assume that enterprise sales force would develop means to overcome loss of MBE status
Many customers have long tenures, are geographically proximate and have been satisfied with historical
service levels
Field sales force is characterized by senior professionals with significant sales history within the industry


28
High Level View of MBE Loss Impact
Impact of MBE
($ in millions)
($ in millions)
MBE Impact on Revenues
$679.5
$679.5
$679.5
$799.2
$709.6
$709.6
$943.1
$858.5
$837.4
$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
Base
Improving Function
Straight Line Loss
2007
2008
2009
MBE Impact on EBITDA
$22.9
$22.9
$22.9
$28.6
$21.1
$21.1
$39.8
$32.8
$31.0
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
Base
Improving Function
Straight Line Loss
2007
2008
2009
MBE Impact on EPS
$0.89
$0.89
$0.89
$1.16
$0.85
$0.85
$1.64
$1.34
$1.26
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
Base
Improving Function
Straight Line Loss
2007
2008
2009


29
Adjusted Projections –
Improving Function Over Time 
Impact of MBE
(1) Per management guidance and Cascadia assumptions
($ in millions)
Fiscal Years Ending
LTM
Projected
(1)
CAGR
December 31,
12/31/07
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2007–2012
Revenues
$679.5
$709.6
$858.5
$1,119.0
$1,366.9
$1,664.3
19.6%
% Growth
4.4%
21.0%
30.3%
22.1%
21.8%
Gross Profit
$80.3
$82.4
$100.0
$124.2
$142.5
$172.3
16.5%
% of Revenues
11.8%
11.6%
11.6%
11.1%
10.4%
10.4%
EBITDA
$22.9
$21.1
$32.8
$45.8
$54.2
$72.2
25.8%
% of Revenues
3.4%
3.0%
3.8%
4.1%
4.0%
4.3%
EBIT
$21.0
$19.5
$30.9
$43.7
$51.9
$69.7
27.1%
% of Revenues
3.1%
2.7%
3.6%
3.9%
3.8%
4.2%
Net Income
$13.1
$12.5
$19.7
$27.8
$33.0
$44.4
27.6%
% of Revenues
1.9%
1.8%
2.3%
2.5%
2.4%
2.7%
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
(1)
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
Earnings per Share
$0.89
$0.85
$1.34
$1.89
$2.25
$3.02
27.6%
Income
Statement


30
Valuation Summary Based on Adjusted Projections (Improving Function)
Impact of MBE
($ in millions)
Selected
Publicly Traded
Companies
Selected
Precedent
Transactions
Discounted Cash Flows
Analysis
$150.0
$130.0
Summary Range
$130.0
$110.0
$210.0
$170.0
$140.0
$150.0
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
Current EV
$136.1


31
Adjusted Projections –
Straight Line Loss Over Time
Impact of MBE
(1) Per management guidance and Cascadia assumptions
($ in millions)
Fiscal Years Ending
LTM
Projected
(1)
CAGR
December 31,
12/31/07
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2007–2012
Revenues
$679.5
$709.6
$837.4
$1,068.7
$1,280.4
$1,528.3
17.6%
% Growth
4.4%
18.0%
27.6%
19.8%
19.4%
Gross Profit
$80.3
$82.4
$97.9
$119.5
$135.3
$160.7
14.9%
% of Revenues
11.8%
11.6%
11.7%
11.2%
10.6%
10.5%
EBITDA
$22.9
$21.1
$31.0
$41.9
$48.3
$62.7
22.4%
% of Revenues
3.4%
3.0%
3.7%
3.9%
3.8%
4.1%
EBIT
$21.0
$19.5
$29.1
$39.8
$45.9
$60.2
23.4%
% of Revenues
3.1%
2.7%
3.5%
3.7%
3.6%
3.9%
Net Income
$13.1
$12.5
$18.6
$25.4
$29.4
$38.5
24.0%
% of Revenues
1.9%
1.8%
2.2%
2.4%
2.3%
2.5%
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
(1)
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
14.700
    
Earnings per Share
$0.89
$0.85
$1.26
$1.73
$2.00
$2.62
24.0%
Income
Statement


32
Valuation
($ in millions)
Selected
Publicly Traded
Companies
Selected
Precedent
Transactions
Discounted Cash Flows
Analysis
$140.0
$120.0
Current EV
$136.1
Summary Range
Valuation Summary Based on Adjusted Projections (Straight Line Loss)
$130.0
$110.0
$190.0
$170.0
$140.0
$130.0
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200


33
PUBLIC COMPANY BUYERS
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


34
Overview
Public Company Buyers
Cascadia had previously been engaged to seek a strategic buyer among a sub-set of public DMR
companies, software resellers and distributors in adjacent markets (office and consumer electronics)
Together with the management, Cascadia developed a list of potential buyers for the company, and
in consultation with the Zones’
CEO and CFO, a subset of that buyer list was selected for contact
During that process, the DMR channel underwent a major shift resulting from the take-private of
CDW
and
the
significant
negative
earnings
announcement
from
NSIT
on
November
1,
2007
Our analysis herein includes an assessment of remaining viable buyers from the prior sale process,
as well as parties either not identified and/or pursued during that market reachout


35
Overview
Public Company Buyers
Selected Potential Buyers
Brick & Mortar IT
Vendors
IT/Software
Distributors
CDW Corp.
CompuCom
Insight Enterprises
PC Connection
Best Buy
Office Depot
Staples
Software Resellers
Softchoice
Note: Excludes MBE buyers; Buyers whose names appear in bold type above remain potentially viable transaction partners


36
Summary of Historical M&A Dialogs
Public Company Buyers
Company
Contacts
Key Interactions
Feedback
Kuk Yi, SVP, Corporate Development
Fit and capabilities discussion with Yi
David Hemler, Pres., Best Buy For Business
Supply chain discussion with Hemler/Frenchu
Thomas Frenchu, Dir., Best Buy For Business
McFaddan, Jiwani
Ryan Robinson, SVP, Enterprise Services
John Edwardson, CEO
Discussed opportunity with Harczak and Ireland
Harry Harczak, EVP, Business Development
Lalji met with Edwardson and Harczak
Anne Ireland, VP, Business Development
Financial review discussion with Ireland
Luke Johnson, VP, Platinum Equity
Opportunity overview with Johnson
Andre Gessell, Partner, Court Square Capital
Opportunity overview with Gessell
Jeff Vogel, VP, Court Square Capital
Detailed business discussion with Vogel
Richard Fennessy, CEO
Lalji had direct conversations with Fennessy
Dave Roshak, SVP, Corporate Development
Opportunity overview with Roshak
 
Monica Leutchfeld, SVP, Corporate Development
Opportunity overview with Leutchfeld
Generally unresponsive.  Company announced negative
earnings event during the process.
Dave MacDonald, CEO
Lalji met with MacDonald
Anne Brace, CFO
Valuation discussions with Martin Wolf team
Martin Wolf, CEO, Martin Wolf Securities
Financials conversation with Anne Brace
Chris Covington, VP, Martin Wolf Securities
Jay Baitler, SVP, Contract Technology Solutions
Opportunity overview with Sallay
John Sallay, SVP, Strategy
Detailed business discussion with Murphy
Candace Murphy, VP, Contract Technology Solutions
Telephonic management team meeting
Platinum Equity expressed interest prior to selling
CompuCom to Court Square.  Court Square indicated an
M&A focus on services.
Shortly after engaging in discussions, Insight announced
a negative earnings event.  Company subsequently made
services acquisition.
Company was interested in a transaction, but was actively
closeing another deal.  Significant gap in valuation
expectations between the two sides.
Staples is interested in getting into the space, but was not
ready to commit the resources to an acquisition of this
size.  Team staffed to build Staples in the category had
only recently joined.
Concluded that there were significant systems
compatibility issues with respect to infrastructure
whereby investment necessary to converge supply chains
would undermine deal valuation.
Expressed interest in doing a deal, but timing was not
conducive given take private process.  Company appears
to be in near term acquisition holding pattern.


37
Company
Market 
Cap ($M)
Financial
Resources ($M)
Recent Acquisition
History ($M)
Rationale
Concerns
$263.3
$13.7
1/2/08 Optimus Solutions ($47.1)
$334.6
$11.2
12/11/07 Software Plus ($45.1)
10/7/07 NexInnovations ($10.2)
5/22/07 American Identity (NA)
$15662.3
$1032.2
1/24/07 Veripack/Chiswick (NA)
12/31/06 Thrive Networks (NA)
12/2/06 Kross Office Outfitters (NA)
Acquisition would make PC
Connection dominant technology
distributor in the SMB.
Would combined like size hardware
and software distribution capabilities. 
Foreign currency strength makes US
acquisitions attractive for Softchoice.
Technology distribution capability is
missing component in Staples arsenal
vis-a-vis Office Depot.
Company lacks financial resources
and cultural fit may be an issue
Company appears to be an
opportunistic buyer and is likely
out of the market until late 2Q08
An acquisition of Corporate
Express would serve as a material
distraction for Staples
Assessment of Potential Public Company Buyers
Public Company Buyers


38
A number of potential buyers were considered but not pursued
Public Company Buyers
Note: Excludes technology distribution related MBEs
Company
Primary Business
Rationale
Agilysys
IT solutions provider to corporations and public sector
Divested distribution business (KeyLink) in 2007
Arrow Electronics
Global distributor of electronic components and enterprise hardware
Business model conflict
ASAP Software
Provider of IT products to businesses
Acquired by Dell
Avnet
Global distributor of electronic components and enterprise hardware
Business model conflict
Bell Microproducts
Storage centric distributior of electronic components and computer products
Distribution business is product centric
Circuit City
Specialty retailer of consumer electronics
Bussiness model is not a fit
CompUSA
Specialty retailer of consumer electronics
Going out of business
GTSI
Vertically focused IT solutions provider
Size/vertical focus
Ingram Micro
Distributor of IT-related products
Business model conflict
INTCOMEX
Distributor of IT-related products
Geographic focus is not a fit
PC Mall
Direct marketer of computer hardware
Size, financial resources, recent services merger
Synnex
Distributor of IT-related products
Business model conflict
Tech Data
Distributor of IT-related products
Business model conflict


39
MINORITY BUSINESS BUYERS
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


40
Overview
Minority Business Buyers
One of the clearest ways for the Company to realize maximum value is to enter into a transaction
that preserves its minority status
A sale to another MBE is a clear way to achieve this end
A limited number of MBEs might be able to afford a ZONS transaction
Most MBEs have limited, if any, M&A history, and many lack financial resources/access to
capital
While Cascadia has identified three potential buyers with MBE status, all of these opportunities
appear unlikely
Newegg’s e-commerce business model conflicts with ZONS call center/field sales
force/extranet approach
Software House International’s business model is distinct from the ZONS go-to-market
strategy
World Wide Technology has a vertical market focus that does not overlap well with ZONS
existing customer base


41
Company
Revenues
($M)
Employees
Rationale
Concerns
Recent Acquisity History
NA
$1,500
1,500
NA
$2,230
1,000
NA
$2,100
1,050
An acquisition would only be logical is
WWT needed a large West Coast presence
or wanted to diversify into the SMB or pan-
industry.  Company has made no material
acquisitions.
Company competes on price and business
models appears to be in conflict. Company
has no acquisition history.
Would provide e-commerce company a call
center and sales force presence
Acquisition would preserve MBE status and
provide SHI a West Coast / SMB presence
from which to push its service offerings
An acquisition would only be logical if
WWT needed a large West Coast presence
or wanted to diversify into the SMB or pan-
industry
Business models are in direct conflict and
financial resources appear to be limited.
Company has no acquisition history.
Assessment of Minority Business Company Buyers
Minority Business Buyers


42
FINANCIAL BUYERS
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


43
Overview
Financial Buyers
Cascadia was asked to assess financial buyers as a distinct buyer set based on recent market activity
CDW/Madison Dearborn Partners; CompuCom/Court Square Capital Partners
Our analysis focused on not only on a full buyout, but also a minority supported deal
In order to determine the feasibility of a financial buyer (majority or minority) transaction Cascadia
conducted a debt capacity analysis on the business
Bank
of
America
and
JP
Morgan
chase
were
given
limited
access
to
due
diligence
under
NDA
Each debt provider was asked to provide guidance on structure and associated costs
Analysis assumes private company debt structure with a focus on total debt as opposed to
cost minimization
An imputed IRR analysis was completed in order to verify feasibility of a transaction at given debt
levels outlined by third parties
IRR analysis yields the conclusion that a full buyout that compromises the MBE status would result
in a loss of approximately $1/share


44
Debt Capacity Analysis Summary
Financial Buyers
Based on feedback from the potential lenders, they anticipated the requirement for an asset based facility, given
current debt market conditions and the nature of the Company’s business
Margins, cash flow, cyclicality, inventory requirements make a senior debt structure challenging
Higher cost due to departure from flooring structure, but greater availability day one
$50M
-
$60M
available
to
support
transaction
(higher
end
based
on
Mezzanine
availability)
General parameters were outlined as follows:
Structure.  Revolver, Stretch Loan, Mezzanine
Amounts.  $50M
-
$60M
Revolver,
$5
-
$10M
Stretch
Loan
Cost.  Revolver: LIBOR
+
200
250
bps,
Stretch
Loan:
LIBOR
+
275
300
bps
Other Considerations.  Stretch
Loan
amortization
of
18
24
months,
no
suppression
of
availability
on
the
Revolver, normal fees and expenses    
Loan
amount
and
associated
cost
for
mezzanine
debt
not
yet
clear
as
both
institutions
indicated
their
mezzanine
groups would not be interested in the paper
Analysis assumes $10M mezzanine piece as available


45
LBO Analysis –
Base Case
Financial Buyers
2) Shares outstanding based on fully diluted estimates of 14.7M
($ in millions)
Illustrative EBITDA Exit Multiple
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
2012 Projected EBITDA
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
Implied 2012 Enterprise Value
$372.6
$409.9
$447.1
Less: Net Debt & Preferred Equity in 2013
(37.8)
(37.8)
(37.8)
Less:  Sub Debt's 0.0% Ownership
0.0
0.0
0.0
Less:  Preferred Equity's 0.0% Ownership
0.0
0.0
0.0
Implied 2013 Equity Value
$334.7
$372.0
$409.3
Illustrative Required Return
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Implied Maximum Equity Contribution
$161.4
$137.1
$117.2
$179.4
$152.4
$130.2
$197.4
$167.6
$143.3
     Plus: Maximum Transaction Net Debt & Preferred
(1)
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
     Less:  Financing & Transaction Fees
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
Implied Transaction Value
$214.4
$190.1
$170.2
$232.4
$205.4
$183.2
$250.4
$220.6
$196.3
     Less:  Existing Net Debt, Preferred & Minority Int.
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
Implied Price Paid to Seller
$204.7
$180.4
$160.5
$222.7
$195.7
$173.5
$240.7
$210.9
$186.6
Implied Share Price
(2)
$13.93
$12.27
$10.92
$15.15
$13.31
$11.81
$16.37
$14.35
$12.69
Enterprise Value as a multiple of 2008 EBITDA
7.5x 
6.6x 
5.9x 
8.1x 
7.2x 
6.4x 
8.7x 
7.7x 
6.9x 
Equity Contribution as a % of Transaction Value
75.3%
72.1%
68.9%
77.2%
74.2%
71.1%
78.8%
76.0%
73.0%
1)
Maximum Transaction Net Debt & Preferred of $55.0 million is 1.9x LTM 2008 EBITDA of $28.6 million


46
IRR at Various Prices Analysis –
Base Case
Financial Buyers
1) Majority shareholder fully diluted share amount assumed at 7.4M
($ and shares in millions, except per share values)
Analysis at Various Prices
Price per Share
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
$12.00
$13.00
$14.00
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
Equity Value
$132.3
$147.0
$161.7
$176.4
$191.1
$205.8
  Plus:  Total Debt FY 2008
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
  Plus: Minority Int. & Pref. FY 2008
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
  Less:  Cash & Equivalents FY 2008
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
Enterprise Value
$142.0
$156.7
$171.4
$186.1
$200.8
$215.5
Twilight
Metric
(1)
Revenues
LTM 12/31/07
679.5
0.2x
0.2x
0.3x
0.3x
0.3x
0.3x
FY 2008E
799.2
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.3 
0.3 
Enterprise
FY 2009E
943.1
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
Value
Multiples
EBITDA
LTM 12/31/07
22.9
6.2x
6.9x
7.5x
8.1x
8.8x
9.4x
FY 2008E
28.6
5.0 
5.5 
6.0 
6.5 
7.0 
7.5 
FY 2009E
39.8
3.6 
3.9 
4.3 
4.7 
5.0 
5.4 
Equity
Net Income
LTM 12/31/07
13.1
10.1x
11.2x
12.3x
13.4x
14.6x
15.7x
Value
FY 2008E
17.1
7.7 
8.6 
9.5 
10.3 
11.2 
12.0 
Multiples
FY 2009E
24.1
5.5 
6.1 
6.7 
7.3 
7.9 
8.5 
Total Equity Value
$132.3
$147.0
$161.7
$176.4
$191.1
$205.8
Debt used for Purchase
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
Majority Shareholder Value
(1)
66.5
73.9
81.3
88.7
96.1
103.4
New Equity Value
22.8
30.1
37.4
44.7
52.0
59.3
Total Equity Invested
$89.3
$104.0
$118.7
$133.4
$148.1
$162.8
Equity
Illustrative EBITDA Exit Multiple
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
IRR
2012 Projected EBITDA
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
$74.5
Analysis
Exit Value
$372.6
$372.6
$372.6
$372.6
$372.6
$372.6
Less Net Debt
(37.8)
(37.8)
(37.8)
(37.8)
(37.8)
(37.8)
Equity Value
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
Equity % Ownership
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Equity Proceeds
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
$334.7
Total Equity IRR
39.2%
34.0%
29.6%
25.9%
22.6%
19.8%
Valuation


47
LBO Analysis –
Adjusted Projections (Improving Function)
Financial Buyers
2) Shares outstanding based on fully diluted estimates of 14.7M
($ in millions)
Illustrative EBITDA Exit Multiple
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
2012 Projected EBITDA
$72.2
$72.2
$72.2
Implied 2012 Enterprise Value
$360.8
$396.8
$432.9
Less: Net Debt & Preferred Equity in 2013
(56.4)
(56.4)
(56.4)
Less:  Sub Debt's 0.0% Ownership
0.0
0.0
0.0
Less:  Preferred Equity's 0.0% Ownership
0.0
0.0
0.0
Implied 2013 Equity Value
$304.4
$340.5
$376.6
Illustrative Required Return
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Implied Maximum Equity Contribution
$146.8
$124.7
$106.6
$164.2
$139.5
$119.2
$181.6
$154.2
$131.8
     Plus: Maximum Transaction Net Debt & Preferred
(1)
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
55.0
     Less:  Financing & Transaction Fees
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
(2.0)
Implied Transaction Value
$199.8
$177.7
$159.6
$217.2
$192.5
$172.2
$234.6
$207.2
$184.8
     Less:  Existing Net Debt, Preferred & Minority Int.
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
(9.7)
Implied Price Paid to Seller
$190.1
$168.0
$149.9
$207.5
$182.8
$162.5
$224.9
$197.5
$175.1
Implied Share Price
(3)
$12.93
$11.43
$10.20
$14.12
$12.43
$11.05
$15.30
$13.44
$11.91
Enterprise Value as a multiple of 2008 EBITDA
9.5x 
8.4x 
7.6x 
10.3x 
9.1x 
8.2x 
11.1x 
9.8x 
8.8x 
Equity Contribution as a % of Transaction Value
73.5%
70.2%
66.8%
75.6%
72.5%
69.2%
77.4%
74.4%
71.3%
1)
Maximum Transaction Net Debt & Preferred of $55.0 million is 2.6x LTM 2008 EBITDA of $21.1 million


48
IRR at Various Prices Analysis –
Adjusted Projections (Improving Function)
Financial Buyers
1) Majority shareholder fully diluted share amount assumed at 7.4M
($ and shares in millions, except per share values)
Analysis at Various Prices
Price per Share
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
$12.00
$13.00
$14.00
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
14.700
Equity Value
$132.3
$147.0
$161.7
$176.4
$191.1
$205.8
  Plus:  Total Debt FY 2008
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
  Plus: Minority Int. & Pref. FY 2008
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
  Less:  Cash & Equivalents FY 2008
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
(12.2)
Enterprise Value
$142.0
$156.7
$171.4
$186.1
$200.8
$215.5
Twilight
Metric
(1)
Revenues
LTM 12/31/07
679.5
0.2x
0.2x
0.3x
0.3x
0.3x
0.3x
FY 2008E
709.6
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.3 
0.3 
0.3 
Enterprise
FY 2009E
858.5
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.2 
0.3 
Value
Multiples
EBITDA
LTM 12/31/07
22.9
6.2x
6.9x
7.5x
8.1x
8.8x
9.4x
FY 2008E
21.1
6.7 
7.4 
8.1 
8.8 
9.5 
10.2 
FY 2009E
32.8
4.3 
4.8 
5.2 
5.7 
6.1 
6.6 
Equity
Net Income
LTM 12/31/07
13.1
10.1x
11.2x
12.3x
13.4x
14.6x
15.7x
Value
FY 2008E
12.5
10.6 
11.8 
12.9 
14.1 
15.3 
16.5 
Multiples
FY 2009E
19.7
6.7 
7.5 
8.2 
9.0 
9.7 
10.5 
Total Equity Value
$132.3
$147.0
$161.7
$176.4
$191.1
$205.8
Debt used for Purchase
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
43.0
Majority Shareholder Value
66.5
73.9
81.3
88.7
96.1
103.4
New Equity Value
22.8
30.1
37.4
44.7
52.0
59.3
Total Equity Invested
$89.3
$104.0
$118.7
$133.4
$148.1
$162.8
Equity
Illustrative EBITDA Exit Multiple
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
5.0x
IRR
2012 Projected EBITDA
$72.2
$72.2
$72.2
$72.2
$72.2
$72.2
Analysis
Exit Value
$360.8
$360.8
$360.8
$360.8
$360.8
$360.8
Less Net Debt
(56.4)
(56.4)
(56.4)
(56.4)
(56.4)
(56.4)
Equity Value
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
Equity % Ownership
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Equity Proceeds
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
$304.4
Total Equity IRR
35.9%
30.8%
26.6%
22.9%
19.7%
16.9%
Valuation