EX-99.1 2 b56459cfexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(MARTIN CURRIE LOGO)
     
THE CHINA FUND, INC. (CHN)   (ASIAN DIRECT LOGO)
IN BRIEF
 
         
Net asset value per share
  US$ 25.44  
Market price
  US$ 27.75  
Premium/(discount)
    9.08 %
Fund size
  US$ 257.9 m
Source: State Street Corporation
     
At July 31, 2005   US$ returns
     
                 
    China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*  
    %     %  
One month
    -0.2       4.2  
Year to date
    5.0       7.7  
One year
    16.4       29.2  
Three years %pa
    24.3       17.5  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. NAV-NAV performance.
*Source for index data: MSCI.
MANAGER’S COMMENTARY
 
The Hong Kong indices rose again, boosted by a strong performance from oil companies and telecom stocks. Just three companies — PetroChina, China Mobile and CNOOC — explain 105% of MSCI China’s 8.9% gain ytd. The smaller cap, management-owned companies, which the Fund continues to prefer, have been becalmed, despite good business fundamentals and low valuations. The managers feel unqualified to bet on the direction of the oil price, especially when all the major oil companies in China are state-owned and liable to act in national, rather than shareholder, interests. We therefore have no direct exposure to the sector.
The biggest news of the month was the People’s Bank of China’s announcement on July 21st that the Renminbi (Rmb) exchange rate was to move from being pegged to the US dollar to being linked to a basket of currencies. The Rmb exchange rate against the US dollar was adjusted from 8.28 to 8.11, a 2.1% revaluation. This was a small revaluation, which in itself will have a very limited effect on any Chinese company. Theoretically it is slightly bad news for exporters and commodity producers and good news for importers and those companies geared in US dollar. In our portfolio, the breakdown between domestic companies and exporters is roughly 70:30. Our portfolio companies are therefore, to a limited extent, net beneficiaries of this revaluation.
Note, though, that this is not a simple re-pegging: it is a move to a link to a basket of currencies (make-up unspecified). If the US dollar were to resume its rise against the euro and yen, therefore, based upon growing interest rate differentials, the Rmb might be expected to depreciate against the US dollar. The political effects of the revaluation are, perhaps, more important than the economic. Ahead of Hu Jin-tao’s state visit to the US in September, this move provides the proponents of free trade with some ammunition to use against growing US protectionist sentiment, showing that China is making gradual progress towards a more flexible currency regime.
We would like to thank investors in the Fund for their support of the rights offering completed on July 29th. 4,250,000 shares were issued at a price of US$26.27, which represented a premium to the net asset value of the Fund on the day of issue. The Fund received over US$110 million in additional investment opportunities. The main purpose of the rights offering was to increase the assets of the Fund available for investment opportunities, including, in particular, opportunities to invest in the A Share market in China. This market, in which foreign investors so far represent less than 1% of total market capitalization, started to rally from an eight-year low at the month end, following the Rmb revaluation. The radical share reform program now underway in the domestic market is making good progress. Our first A-share investment, the utility company Shenergy, is offering a compensation package of a number of bonus shares for every 10 held; we expect to receive these shares at the end of August.
Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
 
The Fund was 97.4% invested, ahead of the receipt of the proceeds from the rights offering, forecast for August 4th. Of the 59 stocks held in the portfolio, three are unlisted. There was little change to the portfolio in July. We added to our positions in the cheap, large coal producer, Shenhua Energy, and China’s leading IC fab, SMIC. We sold positions in Weichai, on signs of a slow down in heavy truck demand, and Guangshen Rail, where funding from an A-share has been delayed indefinitely.
Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc
DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY
 
The limited revaluation of the Rmb announced on July 21st will have a negligible immediate effect on the Fund’s private equity portfolio. We believe it to be a positive indication of the strength of the Chinese economy.
The main immediate influence on the private equity market has been a number of substantial regulatory changes announced in the first half of the year. Over time these will lead to a more transparent and attractive market which will benefit the Fund. In the short term, though, they are leading to some delays in getting the formal regulatory approvals needed to close deals.
teco Optronics has seen a significant diminution in profitability due to difficult trading conditions in the Organic light emitting diode (OLED) market. New capacity has come to the market ahead of demand, leading to severe margin erosion. Teco is considering a number of restructuring options. Consequently the book value of the Fund’s investment has been written down to US$150,000 from c. US$587,000 on July 8th.

 


 

FUND DETAILS
 
     
Market cap
  US$279.8m
Shares outstanding
  10,138,287
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management
Source: State Street Corporation.
ASSET ALLOCATION
 
(PAI CHART)
Source: State Street Corporation
SECTOR ALLOCATION
 
                 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
Industrials
    19.1 %     11.3 %
Information technology
    18.8 %     26.8 %
Consumer discretionary
    14.1 %     6.6 %
Utilities
    11.2 %     5.4 %
Consumer staples
    7.4 %     0.9 %
Materials
    7.1 %     6.4 %
Telecommunications
    6.2 %     7.5 %
Financials
    4.7 %     29.1 %
Healthcare
    3.4 %      
Energy
    2.5 %     6.0 %
A’ share access product
    2.9 %      
Other assets & liabilities
    2.6 %      
 
               
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %
Source: State Street Corporation. Source for index data: MSCI
     
PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)
 
                 
    NAV     Market price  
    %     %  
One month
    -0.2       -2.3  
Year to date
    5.0       -15.2  
Three years %pa
    24.3       38.4  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation
DIRECT INVESTMENTS (7.0%)
 
             
CDW Holdings Ltd
  Information technology     4.5 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.2 %
Global e Business
  Information technology     1.2 %
teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.1 %
15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (44.6%)
 
             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     5.2 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     4.3 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.8 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     3.2 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     3.1 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     3.0 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.9 %
Tripod Technology
  Information technology     2.6 %
BYD
  Industrials     2.6 %
Solomon Systech
  Information technology     2.6 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.6 %
China Netcom
  Telecommunications     2.5 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     2.2 %
Weichai Power
  Consumer discretionary     2.0 %
Zijin Mining
  Materials     2.0 %
Source: State Street Corporation
     
FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)
 
                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
The China Fund, Inc.
    -0.2       -0.4       5.0       16.4       24.3       16.1       8.1  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    4.2       9.8       7.7       29.2       17.5       -0.3       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    8.3       13.3       11.0       21.8       37.2       19.0       n/a  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.
Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2005 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE
 
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as of July 31, 2005.
THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT
 
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as of July 31, 2005.
DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART
 
(BAR CHART)
                                                                                                 
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78       3.57  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07       0.20  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67       3.27  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04       0.10  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT JULY 31, 2005
 
                                         
Sector Company (BBG ticker)   Price     Holding     Value $     % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    56.6 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$ 3.1       34,089,900       13,372,629       5.2 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$ 6.2       13,976,000       11,054,758       4.3 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$ 5.4       13,938,000       9,680,225       3.8 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$ 3.0       21,494,000       8,293,345       3.2 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$ 16.0       3,225,000       6,657,267       2.6 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$ 2.5       20,698,000       6,588,625       2.6 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$ 5.1       9,968,000       6,538,369       2.6 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$ 11.9       4,253,000       6,481,939       2.5 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$ 2.8       16,118,000       5,700,791       2.2 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$ 18.8       2,192,000       5,286,072       2.0 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$ 1.7       24,800,000       5,262,921       2.0 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$ 1.3       27,900,000       4,844,279       1.9 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK   HK 3.3       11,400,000       4,838,492       1.9 %
China Shenhua Energy
  1088 HK   HK$ 8.3       4,536,500       4,813,556       1.9 %
Semiconductor Manufacturing
  981 HK   HK$ 1.7       22,035,000       4,676,148       1.8 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$ 0.7       50,380,000       4,470,936       1.7 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$ 2.4       12,835,000       3,961,853       1.5 %
China Oilfield Services
  2883 HK   HK$ 3.0       9,546,000       3,621,885       1.4 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$ 3.9       6,714,000       3,324,553       1.3 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$ 2.4       10,000,000       3,118,911       1.2 %
TCL Multimedia Technology
  1070 HK   HK$ 1.4       15,988,000       2,961,064       1.1 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$ 0.9       23,250,000       2,631,460       1.0 %
FU JI Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$ 7.0       2,844,000       2,542,176       1.0 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$ 0.6       32,780,000       2,445,278       0.9 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$ 1.1       17,379,000       2,414,014       0.9 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$ 2.2       7,000,000       1,958,161       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$ 0.9       15,254,000       1,765,702       0.7 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$ 6.4       1,887,600       1,529,473       0.6 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$ 2.6       4,435,000       1,483,058       0.6 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$ 0.9       13,196,000       1,425,650       0.6 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$ 0.2       37,500,000       1,012,842       0.4 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$ 0.7       10,303,000       967,337       0.3 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$ 0.1       18,386,000       236,472       0.1 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    25.0 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$ 120.0       2,155,749       8,117,034       3.1 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$ 81.3       3,012,016       7,683,618       3.0 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$ 46.1       5,165,604       7,463,949       2.9 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$ 64.2       3,334,095       6,716,313       2.6 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$ 53.0       2,908,209       4,836,369       1.9 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$ 63.7       2,331,000       4,659,074       1.8 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$ 31.2       4,453,952       4,360,317       1.7 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$ 35.6       3,805,974       4,245,447       1.6 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$ 28.6       4,237,987       3,803,151       1.5 %
Radiant Opto-Electronics
  6176 TT   NT$ 104.0       1,021,000       3,331,786       1.3 %
Waffer Technology
  6235 TT   NT$ 41.3       2,090,000       2,708,409       1.1 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$ 51.5       1,645,592       2,659,178       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$ 29.8       2,697,367       2,522,169       1.0 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$ 12.9       3,500,000       1,419,987       0.5 %
 
                                       
Rights issue
                                     
Taiwan Green Point
          NT$ 22.0       2,155,749       122,770        
 
                                       
Singapore
                                    1.1 %
Bio-Treat Technology
  BIOT SP   SG$ 0.8       6,389,000       2,980,482       1.1 %
 
                                       
B shares
                                    1.9 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$ 7.9       4,754,190       4,842,760       1.9 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    2.9 %
China Techfaith Wireless
  CNFT US   US$ 18.7       197,700       3,693,036       1.5 %
The9
  NCTY US   US$ 22.8       146,571       3,347,682       1.3 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$ 4.7       69,987       330,339       0.1 %
 
                                       
A’ share access product
                                    2.9 %
Shenergy Access Product
          US$ 1.0       4,500,000       4,315,500       1.7 %
Shanghai Airlines Access Product
          US$ 0.4       7,350,000       3,101,700       1.2 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    7.0 %
CDW Holdings Ltd
                    60,000,000       11,796,484       4.5 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,043,727       1.2 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       150,000       0.1 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    2.6 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE
 
The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.
The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.
The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.
The Fund is subject to the Investment Companies Act of 1940 which limits the means in which it can access the ‘A’ share market. The Fund will continue to seek the most efficient way in which to increase its ‘A’ share exposure ensuring ongoing compliance with its legal and regulatory obligations.
CONTACTS
 
The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com
Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser of the listed portion of the China Fund Inc (the Fund). MC Inc is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter. It explicity does not accept responsibility for the views and opinions expressed by Asia Direct Capital Management.
China Fund Inc (the Fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closedended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the Fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the Fund.
Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.
This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.
The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.
It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.
Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements may cause the value of investments and income from them to fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your investments. There can be no assurance that you will receive comparable performance returns, or that investments will reflect the performance of the stock examples, contained in this presenter. Movements in foreign exchange rates may have a separate effect, unfavorable as well as favorable, on the gain or loss otherwise experienced on an investment.
It should be noted that investment in the Fund carries a higher degree of risks when investing in China and should be regarded as long term. Funds which invest in one country carry a higher degree of risk than those with portfolios diversified across a number of markets.
Investing in the Fund involves certain considerations in addition to the risks normally associated with making investments in securities. The value of the shares issued by the Fund, and the income from them, may go down as well as up and there can be no assurance that upon sale, or otherwise, investors will receive back the amount originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future returns. Accordingly, the Fund is only suitable for investment by investors who are able and willing to withstand the total loss of their investment. In particular, prospective investors should consider the following risks:
è   The companies quoted on Greater Chinese stock exchanges are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalization, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation, which may affect income and the value of investments.
 
è   At present, the securities market and the regulatory framework for the securities industry in China is at an early stage of development. The CSRC is responsible for supervising the national securities markets and producing relevant regulations. The Investment Regulations, under which the Fund invests in the People’s Republic of China (‘PRC’) and which regulate repatriation and currency conversion, are new. The Investment Regulations give CSRC and SAFE wide discretions and there is no precedent or certainty as to how these discretions might be exercised, either now or in the future. The Fund may, from time to time, obtain access to the securities markets in China via Access Products. Such products carry additional risk and may be less liquid than the underlying securities which they represent.
 
è   During the past 15 years, the PRC government has been reforming the economic and political systems of the PRC, and these reforms are expected to continue, as evidenced by the recently announced changes. The fund’s operations and financial results could be adversely affected by adjustments in the PRC’s state plans, political, economic and social conditions, changes in the policies of the PRC government such as changes in laws and regulations (or the interpretation thereof), measures which may be introduced to control inflation, changes in the rate or method of taxation, imposition of additional restrictions on currency conversion and the imposition of additional import restrictions.
 
è   PRC’s disclosure and regulatory standards are in many respects less stringent than standards in certain OECD countries, and there may be less publicly available or less reliable information about PRC companies than is regularly published by or about companies from OECD countries.
 
    The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange have lower trading volumes than most OECD exchanges and the market capitalisations of listed companies are small compared to those on more developed exchanges in developed markets. The listed equity securities of many companies in the PRC are accordingly materially less liquid, subject to greater dealing spreads and experience materially greater volatility than those of OECD countries. These factors could negatively affect the Fund’s NAV.
 
è   The Fund invests primarily in securities denominated in other currencies but its NAV will be quoted in US dollars. Accordingly, a change in the value of such securities against US dollars will result in a corresponding change in the US dollar NAV.
 
è   The marketability of quoted shares may be limited due to foreign investment restrictions, wide dealing spreads, exchange controls, foreign ownership restrictions, the restricted opening of stock exchanges and a narrow range of investors. Trading volume may be lower than on more developed stockmarkets, and equities are less liquid. Volatility of prices can also be greater than in more developed stockmarkets. The infrastructure for clearing, settlement and registration on the primary and secondary markets may be underdeveloped. Under certain circumstances, there may be delays in settling transactions in some of the markets.