EX-1 2 d806101dex1.htm EX-1 DESCRIPTION OF JAPAN, AUGUST 8, 2018 EX-1 Description of Japan, August 8, 2018

Exhibit 1

Japan

This description of Japan is dated August 8, 2018, and appears as Exhibit 1 to Japan’s Annual Report on Form 18-K to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2018.

 

1


THE DELIVERY OF THIS DOCUMENT AT ANY TIME DOES NOT IMPLY THAT THE INFORMATION IS CORRECT AS OF ANY TIME SUBSEQUENT TO ITS DATE. THIS DOCUMENT (OTHERWISE THAN AS PART OF A PROSPECTUS CONTAINED IN A REGISTRATION STATEMENT FILED UNDER THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT OF 1933) DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER TO SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY ANY SECURITIES OF OR GUARANTEED BY JAPAN.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

GENERAL

     4  

Area and Population

     4  

Government

     4  

Political Parties

     4  

Leadership

     5  

International Organizations

     5  

THE ECONOMY

     8  

General

     8  

Gross Domestic Product and National Income

     11  

Industry

     13  

Energy

     13  

Price Indices

     15  

Labor

     15  

Aging Workforce and Population Decrease

     18  

FOREIGN TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

     20  

Foreign Trade

     20  

Balance of Payments

     23  

Foreign Exchange Rates

     24  

FINANCIAL SYSTEM

     27  

The Bank of Japan and Monetary Policy

     27  

Government Financial Institutions

     28  

Private Financial Institutions

     29  

GOVERNMENT FINANCE

     30  

Revenues, Expenditures and Budgets

     30  

Tax Structure

     35  

Fiscal Investment and Loan Program

     35  

DEBT RECORD

     36  

JAPAN’S PUBLIC DEBT

     36  

INTERNAL DEBT

     38  

Direct Debt of the Japanese Government

     38  

EXTERNAL DEBT

     42  

Debt Guaranteed by the Japanese Government

     42  

SUBSCRIPTIONS TO INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ORGANIZATIONS

     43  

 

2


FURTHER INFORMATION

This document appears as an exhibit to Japan’s Annual Report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) on Form 18-K for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2018. Additional information with respect to Japan is available in such Annual Report, in the other exhibits to such Annual Report and in amendments thereto. Such Annual Report, exhibits and amendments may be inspected and copied at the public reference room maintained by the Commission at: 100 F Street, N.E., Washington, D.C. 20549. Information regarding the operations of the public reference room can be obtained by calling the Commission at 1-800-SEC-0330. The Annual Report and its exhibits and amendments are also available through the Commission’s Internet website at http://www.sec.gov.

In this document all amounts are expressed in Japanese Yen (“¥” or “yen”), except as otherwise specified. The spot buying rate quoted on the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market on July 31, 2018 as reported by The Bank of Japan at 5:00 p.m., Tokyo time, was ¥111.40=$1.00, and the noon buying rate on July 27, 2018 for cable transfers in New York City payable in yen, as reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was ¥110.94=$1.00. See “Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments — Foreign Exchange Rates”.

References herein to Japanese fiscal years (“JFYs”) are to 12-month periods commencing in each case on April 1 of the year indicated and ending on March 31 of the following year. References to years not specified as being JFYs are to calendar years.

 

3


Japan

GENERAL

Area and Population

Japan, an archipelago in the western Pacific, consists of four main islands (Hokkaido, Honshu, Kyushu and Shikoku) which are mostly mountainous located in the same approximate range of latitude as the east coast of the United States north of Florida. The total area of Japan is approximately 146,000 square miles, which is slightly less than that of California and about 4% of the United States. It is bordered by the Sea of Japan to the west and north, and by the Pacific Ocean to the east and south.

Japan has a total population of approximately 127 million (estimated as of July 1, 2018). It has one of the highest population densities in the world and approximately 23.7% of its people (estimated as of October 1, 2017) are concentrated in three metropolitan areas (Tokyo, Osaka and Nagoya). Japan’s rate of population decrease during the years 2013-2017 showed a decline rate of 0.6%. Japan’s population decreased 0.18% during the 12 months ended October  1, 2017.

Government

The legislative power in Japan is vested in the Diet, which currently consists of a House of Representatives having 465 members and a House of Councillors having 242 members. Members of both houses are elected by direct universal suffrage, except that some members of each house are elected by proportional representation. The power of the House of Representatives is superior to that of the House of Councillors in respect of approving certain matters including the national budget and electing the Prime Minister.

The executive power is vested in the Cabinet consisting of a Prime Minister, elected by the Diet from among its members, and other Ministers appointed by the Prime Minister, a majority of whom must be members of the Diet. The judicial power is vested in the Supreme Court and such lower courts as are established by law.

Japan’s 47 prefectures, and its cities, towns and villages, have a certain degree of local autonomy through popularly elected legislative bodies and chief executives. The central government exercises its influence on local governments indirectly through financial aid and prescribing standards of local administration.

Political Parties

Members of the House of Representatives are elected for four-year terms unless the House of Representatives is dissolved prior to expiration of their terms. The House of Representatives was dissolved on September 28, 2017 and an election was held on October 22, 2017. 289 members were elected from single-member districts and 176 members were elected through a proportional representation process from 11 regional districts. The House of Councillors currently consists of 242 members who are elected for six-year terms with one-half of the membership being elected every three years. In an election in July 2016, 121 members were elected, of which 48 members were elected through a proportional representation system and 73 members were elected from 45 districts that correspond to the 47 prefectures of Japan. Currently, the House of Councillors consists of 121 members whose term expires in July 2019 and 121 members whose term expires in July 2022.

 

4


The following tables set forth the membership by political party of the House of Representatives as of May 9, 2018 and the House of Councillors as of July 31, 2018.

 

     House of
    Representatives    
 

Liberal Democratic Party

     283              

The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan

     55              

Democratic Party For the People

     39              

Komeito

     29              

The Group of Independents

     13              

Japanese Communist Party

     12              

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party)

     11              

Liberal Party

     2              

Social Democratic Party

     2              

The Party of Hope

     2              

Independents

     17              

Vacancies

     0              
  

 

 

 

Total

     465              
  

 

 

 

Source: House of Representatives.

 

     House of
        Councillors        
 

Liberal Democratic Party and The Party for Japanese Kokoro

     125              

Komeito

     25              

Democratic Party For the People and The Shin-Ryokufukai

     24              

The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan and Minyukai

     23              

Japanese Communist Party

     14              

Nippon Ishin (Japan Innovation Party)

     11              

Hope Coalition (Kibou)

     6              

The Party of Hope

     3              

Independents Club

     2              

Okinawa Whirlwind

     2              

Voice of The People

     2              

Independents

     5              

Vacancies

     0              
  

 

 

 

Total

     242              
  

 

 

 

Source: House of Councillors.

Leadership

Japan’s current Prime Minister is Shinzo Abe, a member of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan and member of the House of Representatives in the Diet. As the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan took its position as the ruling party as a result of the House of Representatives election, Mr. Abe was formally appointed as Japan’s 96th Prime Minister by the Emperor on December 26, 2012 and succeeded the former Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, who is a member of the Democratic Party of Japan. After the Democratic Party of Japan became the ruling party in September 2009, Mr. Noda served as the last Prime Minister of the Democratic Party of Japan from September 2, 2011. Mr. Abe was re-elected as 97th and 98th Prime Minister after general elections after breakup of the House of Representatives in 2014 and 2017.

International Organizations

Japan is a member of the United Nations and other international organizations, including the International Monetary Fund, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Development Association, International Finance Corporation, International Fund for Agricultural Development, Multilateral Investment Fund, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, Asian Development Bank, African Development Bank, African Development Fund, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Inter-American Development Bank and Inter-American Investment Corporation. See “Subscriptions to International Financial Organizations”.

 

5


International Trade Agreements

Japan announced its intent to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP, in March 2013, and following negotiations with 11 other countries, signed the TPP Agreement on February 4, 2016. Upon the ratification of the TPP, Japan and the other participating countries planned to aim to not only eliminate tariffs on products but also liberalize services and investment, and establish rules in a wide range of fields, including intellectual property, e-commerce and the environment. Although Japan ratified the TPP on January 20, 2017, the United States announced its formal withdrawal from the TPP on January 23, 2017. On March 8, 2018, Japan and ten other countries excluding the United States signed the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, pursuant to which each signatory country agreed to start the necessary preparations for the implementation of the TPP.

Japan has also entered into Economic Partnership Agreements, or EPAs, with various countries, including Singapore, Mexico, Malaysia, Chile and Thailand. As of May 2017, Japan had entered into a total of 16 EPAs with 20 countries. Pursuant to the EPAs, Japan will collaborate comprehensively with the counterparties to, among other things, reduce or eliminate tariffs, grant most-favored-nation status in the fields of investment, services and government procurement and expedite patent review and enhance patent protection in the field of intellectual property.

Japan is also a member of international organizations which are based on international trade treaties and other agreements which seek to promote free trade in the international market, including the following: the World Trade Organization, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, the World Customs Organization and the International Trade Centre.

 

6


The following is a map of Japan, illustrating its location with respect to neighboring countries:

 

 

 

LOGO

 

7


THE ECONOMY

General

Japan has a highly advanced and diversified economy, which has developed in response to changing conditions in Japan and the world. During the era of high economic growth in the 1960s and the early 1970s, the expansion was based on the development of heavy industries consuming large quantities of resources. During the 1980s, there was rapid growth in high value-added industries, such as electronics and precision instruments, which employ high level technology and consume relatively low quantities of resources. The service sector of the economy grew significantly during the 1980s and 1990s.

While the Japanese economy expanded during the period from 2002 to 2007, amidst that expansion, and prior to the global economic crisis of 2008, Japan continued to face several domestic economic difficulties. Among other things, domestic consumption contributed to the economic recovery to a lesser degree than was the case in prior economic growth periods. Also, despite the improving employment environment at the time, the average wage failed to grow appreciably. While those Japanese manufacturing companies with a global competitive edge achieved growth on the back of the favorable world economy, small-to-medium enterprises and non-manufacturing sectors realized only limited productivity growth and profitability. This in turn caused imbalance in the level of economic recovery among the different regions in Japan. In the longer term, Japan faced a declining population, mass retirement of the baby boomer generation, environmental/energy conservation agenda, and fiscal deficit problem. Against this backdrop, the subprime loan crisis in the United States and increases in the prices of energy and raw materials precipitated weakness in the global economy, caused the Japanese economy to deteriorate. Throughout JFY 2008, the global economy continued to worsen, as the collapse of several major financial institutions in the United States and other factors contributed to a credit tightening, volatility in stock, currency and other markets, loss of consumer confidence and decrease in business and industrial activities on a global basis. The Japanese economy was also adversely affected by these factors, especially as Japan’s export sector was hit by the decline in global demand and appreciation of the yen against other major currencies. After February 2008, Japan had entered a recession. The Japanese economy in JFY 2010 picked up, despite a difficult situation where the unemployment rate remained at a high level.

On March 11, 2011, just as the Japanese economy was in a transition from the state of stagnation to recovery, the Great East Japan Earthquake (“Earthquake”) struck Japan. As a result, the Japanese economy posted negative growth for the first and second quarter in 2011. Unlike the cases of the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake in 1995 or Hurricane Katrina in 2005, personal consumption declined on a nationwide basis, with consumer sentiment deteriorating sharply after the Earthquake. The Earthquake had a severe impact on production in Japan through the shutdown of damaged factories, disruptions of the supply chains and power supply constraints. In particular, the Earthquake affected Japan’s auto industry which depends on the Tohoku region for the supply of key parts including semiconductors and other electronic components. The supply constraints and the slower growth in corporate earnings in the aftermath of the Earthquake also put downward pressure on capital investment activities. The Earthquake was accompanied by a nuclear power plant accident, which not only caused power supply constraints but also had a chilling effect on certain business activities, such as in the tourism and leisure sectors. Following the Earthquake, the number of visitors to Japan from foreign countries dropped by approximately half from the monthly averages in the prior year. The Earthquake and its aftermath prompted the Government of Japan to compile a series of supplementary budgets to support reconstruction efforts. On May 2, 2011, a first supplementary budget of approximately ¥4 trillion was approved by the Diet to finance reconstruction relating to damages from the Earthquake and tsunami. The budget was aimed at disaster relief, including providing temporary housing, rebuilding of facilities and disaster assistance loans. On July 25, 2011, the Japanese government approved a second supplementary budget of approximately ¥2 trillion aimed at further disaster relief, including increasing the Contingency Reserve for Recovery from the Great East Japan Earthquake. On November 21, 2011, the Japanese government approved the third supplementary budget of approximately ¥12 trillion aimed at disaster relief, including provision of emergency support to people affected by the disaster and reconstruction of public utilities and facilities. On February 8, 2012, the Japanese government approved the fourth supplementary budget including the establishment of a government guaranteed ¥500 billion credit facility in response to the so-called “Overlapping Debt Problem”, whereby the burden of existing debt makes it difficult to raise funds for victims of the Earthquake. Thereafter, the Japanese government approved budgets of approximately ¥4 trillion for JFY 2012, ¥5 trillion for JFY 2013 and ¥4 trillion for JFY 2014 to finance reconstruction efforts.

 

8


The Earthquake and the nuclear disaster in Fukushima were followed by severe flooding that occurred at the end of July 2012 in Thailand, one of Japan’s largest trading partners for both exports and imports. The suspended operations of the local factories in Thailand suppressed Japan’s Thailand bound exports of goods including intermediary materials for cars and electronics and thereby adversely affected the Japanese economy.

Thus, JFY 2011 started in a very challenging environment, with the Earthquake seriously crippling the economy, which posted negative growth for the first quarter. Over time, the government and the people joined forces in an all-out effort to rebuild the social and economic infrastructure, facilitating a rapid recovery of the supply chains and helping the economy on a track to a gradual recovery. Since the summer of 2011, however, the rapid appreciation of the yen, the reduced external demand due to the Thai flooding (as described above) and deceleration in the world economy stemming from the European sovereign debt crisis kept such recovery to a modest level.

In December 2012, the Cabinet Office of the Government of Japan announced “Abenomics” (named after the incumbent Prime Minister Shinzo Abe), an economic strategy of pursuing an expansionary monetary policy, a flexible fiscal policy and an economic growth agenda that promotes private investment, with the goal of achieving GDP growth and job creation. Pursuant to this strategy, specific measures to be implemented include accelerating reconstruction efforts in areas damaged by the Great East Japan Earthquake, increasing stimulus spending and subsidies aimed at strategically important sectors and utilizing a more flexible approach to economic and fiscal management. Other more recent Abenomics measures include the liberalization of electricity retail sales in April 2016 and the liberalization of gas retail sales in April 2017.

Additionally, in January 2013, the Government of Japan and the Bank of Japan issued a joint statement announcing measures to overcome deflation and achieve sustainable economic growth with price stability in order to establish a sustainable fiscal structure and sound fiscal management. In March 2013, Mr. Haruhiko Kuroda, former President of the Asian Development Bank, was appointed as governor of the Bank of Japan. In April 2013, the Bank of Japan announced its new quantitative and qualitative monetary easing policy, under which the Bank of Japan is aiming to achieve a price stability target of 2% in terms of the year-on-year rate of change in the consumer price index at the earliest possible time, with a time horizon of about two years. The real GDP marked an increase of 1.6% during JFY 2017, with the nominal GDP posting a positive growth by 1.7%. As of July 6, 2018, the Cabinet Office of the Government of Japan expected the Japanese economy to recover moderately during JFY 2018, posting real GDP growth of 1.5% and the nominal GDP growth of 1.7%. The Japanese Diet has passed comprehensive social security and tax reform, including an increase in the consumption tax rate from 5% to 8% in 2014, and from 8% to 10% in 2015, subject to certain conditions. Accordingly, the consumption tax rate was increased to 8% in April 2014. However, the planned increase in the consumption tax rate from 8% to 10% has been postponed to October 2019. In addition, the effective corporate tax rate was reduced from 34.62% to 32.11% for JFY 2015 and it was further reduced to 29.97% for JFY 2016 and to 29.74% for JFY 2018.

The Japanese economy faces certain challenges. Challenges for the Japanese economy include, as further described herein, an increased dependence on LNG and other energy imports as a result of the nuclear accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Plant and suspension of operations at other nuclear power plants and, over the long term, demographic challenges, such as an aging workforce and population decrease, and the high levels of public debt and associated debt servicing payments.

In addition, Japan’s economy continues to face challenges due to uncertainty about the economic prospects of China and other emerging countries, as well as the impact of the presidential administration in the United States since January 2017. The Japanese economy is also exposed to uncertainty in geopolitical conditions, including concerns over North Korea’s nuclear weapons program and continued instability in the Middle East.

 

9


Summary of Key Economic Indicators

The following table sets forth information regarding certain of Japan’s key economic indicators for the periods indicated:

 

    JFY 2012     JFY 2013     JFY 2014     JFY 2015     JFY 2016     JFY 2017  
    (yen amounts in billions, except percentages and index)  

Percentage Changes of GDP from Previous Year

           

At Nominal Prices

    0.1     2.6     2.2     3.0     1.0     1.7

At Real Prices(a)

    0.8       2.6       -0.3       1.4       1.2       1.6  

Total Revenues of Consolidated General and Special Accounts(b)

  ¥ 266,025     ¥ 271,710     ¥ 247,464     ¥ 247,917     ¥ 259,413       —    

Total Expenditures of Consolidated General and Special Accounts(b)

       221,853          227,684          226,756          228,749          241,061       —    

Surplus of Consolidated Revenues over Consolidated Expenditures(b)

    44,173       44,026       20,708       19,167       18,353       —    

Public Debt(b)

    785,723       823,367       851,097       880,335       908,093       —    

 

 

 

(a)

Real prices are based on calendar year 2011.

 

(b)

As of the date of this this Annual Report on Form 18-K, the data for JFY 2017 are not available.

Source: Economic and Social Research Institute; Cabinet Office; and Ministry of Finance.

 

    2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
    (yen amounts in billions, except percentages and index)  

Unemployment Rate

    4.0     3.6     3.4     3.1     2.8

Consumer Price Index(a)

    96.6       99.2       100.0       99.9       100.4  

Annual Change

    0.4     2.7     0.8     -0.1     0.5

Corporate Goods Price Index(b)

    99.2       102.3       100.0       96.5       98.7  

Annual Change

    1.3     3.1     -2.3     -3.5     2.3

Current Account regarding Balance of Payments

  ¥         4,457     ¥           3,922     ¥         16,519     ¥         21,062     ¥         21,951  

Official Reserve Assets

  $ 1,267     $ 1,261     $ 1,233     $ 1,217     $ 1,264  

 

 

 

(a)

Calendar year 2015=100.

 

(b)

Calendar year 2015=100. Indices are calculated using the monthly averages.

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”; Consumer Price Index, Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications; Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index, Bank of Japan; and Ministry of Finance.

 

10


Gross Domestic Product and National Income

In December 2016, the methodology of calculating Japan’s GDP was revised to implement the System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA), the latest version of the international statistics standard for the national accounts adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission, as well as other changes including revising the benchmark year for real prices from 2005 to 2011. Revised GDP figures based on this methodology were published for prior years starting from JFY 1994. The GDP figures set forth in the tables below reflect this revised methodology.

The following table sets forth information pertaining to Japan’s gross domestic product for JFY 2013 through JFY 2017. As a general matter, with respect to the private sector, companies were shipping their existing inventories pursuant to conservative production plans until the beginning of calendar year 2014. However, after the increase in the consumption tax rate in April 2014, recovery in demand has been delayed, causing increases in inventory and inhibiting production. As a result, there were fluctuations in “Additions to Business Inventories — Private Sectors” during the relevant period.

Gross Domestic Product(a)

 

     JFY 2013     JFY 2014     JFY 2015     JFY 2016     JFY 2017     Percentage
of

JFY 2017
GDP
 
     (yen amounts in billions)  

Total Consumption

            

Private sectors

   ¥ 299,809     ¥ 298,739     ¥ 300,949     ¥ 300,453     ¥ 304,034       55.4

Public sectors

     101,847       104,253       105,970       106,206       107,572       19.6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     401,656       402,993       406,919       406,659       411,606       75.0  

Total Gross Capital Formation

            

Private sectors

            

Producers’ Durable Equipment

     77,464       81,052       83,250       83,653       86,970       15.9  

Residential Construction

     16,627       15,518       16,066       17,017       17,285       3.2  

Public sectors

     26,897       27,141       26,833       26,990       27,848       5.1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     120,987       123,710       126,148       127,661       132,103       24.1  

Additions to Business Inventories

            

Private sectors

     -1,598       391       1,201       -314       140       0.0  

Public sectors

     39       89       21       -31       17       0.0  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     -1,559       480       1,222       -345       157       0.0  

Net Exports of Goods and Services

     -13,838       -8,714       -393       5,376       4,831       0.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Nominal Gross Domestic Expenditures

   ¥ 507,246     ¥ 518,469     ¥ 533,897     ¥ 539,351     ¥ 548,696       100.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Real Gross Domestic Expenditures(a)

   ¥ 512,523     ¥ 510,962     ¥ 518,321     ¥ 524,443     ¥ 533,013    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

Surplus of the Nation on Current Account

            

Exports of Goods and Services and Other Receipts from Abroad

     24,710       28,201       30,448       29,478       31,928    

Less: Imports of Goods and Services and Other Payments Abroad

     -7,260       -9,013       -10,035       -11,410       -12,542    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   
     17,450       19,188       20,413       18,067       19,386    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

Gross National Income

   ¥ 524,696     ¥ 537,657     ¥ 554,310     ¥ 557,418     ¥ 568,082    

Percentage Changes of GDP from Previous Year

            

At Nominal Prices

     2.6     2.2     3.0     1.0     1.7  

At Real Prices(b)

     2.6       -0.3       1.4       1.2       1.6    

Deflator

     -0.0       2.5       1.5       -0.2       0.1    

 

 

 

(a)

GDP financial data are subject to change.

 

(b)

Real prices are based on calendar year 2011.

 

(c)

Deflator is a price index used to convert nominal prices into real prices. Deflator is derived by dividing nominal GDP by real GDP.

Source: Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office

 

11


The following table sets forth information pertaining to Japan’s gross domestic product, as seasonally adjusted, for each of the eight quarters ended March 31, 2018.

 

     Quarterly Gross Domestic Product(a)  
     2016     2017     2018  
     Second
Quarter
    Third
Quarter
    Fourth
Quarter
    First
Quarter
    Second
Quarter
    Third
Quarter
    Fourth
Quarter
    First
Quarter
 
     (yen amounts in billions)  

Nominal Gross Domestic Expenditures(b)

     ¥ 538,585         ¥ 538,343         ¥ 539,746         ¥ 540,451         ¥ 545,531         ¥ 549,637         ¥ 550,869         ¥ 548,661    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Real Gross Domestic Expenditures(b)(c)

     ¥ 522,117         ¥ 523,102         ¥ 524,402         ¥ 527,938         ¥ 530,723         ¥ 533,355         ¥ 534,715         ¥ 533,911    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Percentage Changes of GDP from the Previous Quarter At Nominal Prices(d)

       0.2%       -0.0%         0.3%         0.1%         0.9%         0.8%         0.2%       -0.4%  

At Real Prices(c)(d)

       0.2           0.2            0.2           0.7            0.5            0.5            0.3          -0.2     

Deflator(d)

     -0.0          -0.2            0.0          -0.5            0.4            0.3           -0.0          -0.3     

 

 

(a)

Quarterly GDP financial data are subject to change.

 

(b)

Numbers are based on seasonally-adjusted GDP figures.

 

(c)

Real prices are based on calendar year 2011.

 

(d)

Percentage changes are based on seasonally-adjusted GDP figures.

 

(e)

Deflator is a price index used to convert nominal prices into real prices. Deflator is derived by dividing nominal GDP by real GDP.

Source: Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office.

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product

The following table indicates per capita gross domestic product for the last five years.

 

     Per Capita GDP

JFY

   Amount
  (in thousands of yen)  
     Year-on-year change (%)  

2012

   ¥3,876    0.3

2013

     3,982    2.7

2014

     4,075    2.3

2015

     4,201    3.1

2016

     4,249    1.1

National Income

The following table sets forth national income for calendar year 2012 through calendar year 2016.

 

     National Income  
     2012     2013     2014     2015     2016  
     (yen amounts in billions)  

Domestic Factor Income

   ¥ 346,958     ¥ 354,283     ¥ 357,468     ¥ 368,896     ¥ 374,306  

Net Income from Abroad

     13,258       16,892       18,494       20,296       17,213  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

National Income at Factor Cost

   ¥ 360,216     ¥ 371,175     ¥ 375,962     ¥ 389,192     ¥ 391,520  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Percentage Changes of Income at Factor Cost from Previous Year

     1.1     3.0     1.3     3.5     0.6

 

Source: Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office.

 

12


Industry

The following table sets forth the proportion of gross domestic product contributed by major industrial sectors of the economy for calendar year 2012 through calendar year 2016.

GDP by Industrial Sectors (at nominal prices)

 

         2012              2013              2014              2015              2016      

Industry

              

Agriculture, forestry and fishing

     1.1%         1.1%         1.1%         1.1%         1.2%   

Mining

     0.1            0.1            0.1            0.1            0.1      

Manufacturing

     19.7            19.4            19.7            20.7            21.0      

Electricity, gas and water supply and waste management service

     2.0            2.1            2.4            2.6            2.7      

Construction

     4.9            5.3            5.5            5.5            5.5      

Wholesale and retail trade

     14.7            14.8            14.2            13.9            13.7      

Transport and postal services

     5.1            5.0            5.2            5.1            5.0      

Accommodation and food service activities

     2.4            2.5            2.5            2.3            2.4      

Information and communications

     5.1            5.1            5.1            5.0            5.0      

Finance and insurance

     4.5            4.6            4.4            4.4            4.2      

Real estate

     12.0            11.9            11.7            11.4            11.4      

Professional, scientific and technical activities

     7.2            7.3            7.2            7.2            7.3      

Public administration

     5.3            5.1            5.1            5.0            5.0      

Education

     3.7            3.7            3.7            3.6            3.6      

Human health and social work activities

     6.9            6.9            6.8            6.8            7.0      

Other service activities

     4.7            4.5            4.5            4.4            4.3      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     99.5%         99.4%         99.2%         99.2%         99.2%   

 

 

Source: Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office, Annual Report on National Accounts.

Energy

The following table sets forth the total amounts of primary energy supplied and the percentages supplied by different sources for JFY 2012 through JFY 2016.

 

     Total
Primary
Energy
Supplied
    (peta-joules)     
   Sources of Primary Energy Supplied(a)  

JFY

       Oil              Coal              Nuclear          Natural
    Gas    
         Other      

2012

   20,715       44.5%         23.6%         0.7%         23.5%         7.8%  

2013(b)

   21,030      42.8           25.2           0.4           23.3           8.3     

2014(b)

   20,258      41.2           25.2           0.0           24.5           9.2     

2015(b)

   20,016      40.7           25.8           0.4           23.3           9.9     

2016(b)

   19,836      39.7           25.4           0.8           23.8           10.3     

 

 

 

(a)

Figures represent the proportion of each source as a share of the domestic primary energy supplied. Domestic primary energy supplied is total primary energy supplied less exports and inventory adjustments.

 

(b)

Standard heating value by energy source, which is used to create total primary energy supplied statistics, is revised every five years. Figures for 2013 through 2016 represent the revised standard heating value by energy source.

Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Report on Energy Supply and Demand.

 

13


Since JFY 2011, largely due to the effects of the Earthquake, the import of oil and natural gas as alternatives to nuclear energy increased significantly as the demand increased for power generation at thermal power stations. In JFY 2014, nuclear power facilities were not in operation and did not contribute to electric power generation during the fiscal year. See “Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments — Foreign Trade”.

The table below sets forth information regarding crude oil imports for JFY 2013 through JFY 2017.

 

     JFY 2013      JFY 2014      JFY 2015      JFY 2016      JFY 2017  

Volume of imports (thousand kilo-liters per day)

     587        530        545        521        501  

Cost of imports (c.i.f. in billions of yen)

   ¥ 14,826      ¥ 11,860      ¥ 7,368      ¥ 6,181      ¥ 7,282  

Average price (c.i.f. in yen kilo-liters)

   ¥ 69,224      ¥ 61,279      ¥ 37,026      ¥ 32,523      ¥ 39,825  

 

 

Source: Customs and Tariff Bureau, Ministry of Finance.

Japan has historically depended on oil for most of its energy requirements and almost all its oil is imported, mostly from the Middle East. Oil price movements thus have a major impact on the domestic economy. Oil price has fluctuated significantly in recent years, reaching approximately ¥75,000 yen per kilo-liter in January 2014, then dropping below ¥37,000 yen per kilo-liter in February 2015, and increasing again to approximately ¥50,000 yen per kilo-liter in June 2015. In the first quarter of 2016, oil price dropped below ¥30,000 yen per kilo-liter due to oversupply and uncertainties regarding the Chinese economy. After the first quarter, oil price began increasing due to the mild recovery of the world economy and the OPEC agreement to reduce production. In May 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States would withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal, contributing to increased volatility in the oil price.

Japan has worked to reduce its dependence on oil by encouraging energy conservation and the use of alternative fuels. In addition, a restructuring of industry, with emphasis shifting from primary industries to processing and assembly type industries and from manufacturing industry to service industry, has also contributed to the reduction of oil consumption.

The following table sets forth information relating to total electric power generating capacity and electric power generation for JFY 2012 through JFY 2016.

 

         JFY 2012              JFY 2013              JFY 2014              JFY 2015              JFY 2016      

Electric power generating capacity(a):

     (megawatts)  

Fossil Fuel

     188,904            191,258            193,356            190,805            193,910      

Hydro-electric

     48,934            48,932            49,597            50,035            50,058      

Nuclear

     46,148            44,264            44,264            42,048            41,482      

Other

     3,341            4,717            7,343            8,949            12,903      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     287,327            289,171            294,560            291,836            298,352      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Electric power generation:

     (gigawatt-hours)  

Fossil Fuel

     986,758            987,345            955,352            908,779            877,203      

Nuclear

     15,939            9,303            —  (b)        9,437            17,300      

Hydro-electric

     83,645            84,885            86,942            91,383            84,540      

Other

     7,607            8,949            11,423            14,580            19,012      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     1,093,950            1,090,482            1,053,717            1,024,179            998,055      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

At the end of fiscal year — March 31

 

(b)

No nuclear plants in Japan were in operation during JFY 2014, therefore the amount was zero.

Source: Handbook of Electric Power Industry, Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

 

14


Price Indices

The table below sets forth information concerning changes in Japan’s Corporate Goods and consumer price indices for the periods indicated.

 

     Corporate Goods Price
Index(a)
     Consumer Price
Index(b)
 
     Index(c)      Annual %
Change
     Index      Annual %
Change
 

2013

     99.2          1.3          96.6          0.4    

2014

     102.3          3.1          99.2          2.7    

2015

     100.0          -2.3          100.0          0.8    

2016

     96.5          -3.5          99.9          -0.1    

2017

     98.7          2.3          100.4          0.5    

 

 

 

(a)

All commodities. Calendar year 2015=100. Source: Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index, Bank of Japan.

 

(b)

General index. Calendar year 2015=100. Source: Consumer Price Index, Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications.

 

(c)

Indices are calculated using the monthly averages.

Labor

The number of employees was on an upward trend from 2004 to 2007, decreased from 2008 to 2012, recovered in 2013 and increased from 2014 to 2017. In 2016, the average employment was estimated at 64.7 million, of which 23.9% were employed in mining, manufacturing and construction, 3.5% were employed in agriculture, forestry and fisheries, and 72.7% in services and other sectors. In 2017, the average employment was estimated at 65.3 million, of which 23.8% were employed in mining, manufacturing and construction, 3.4% were employed in agriculture, forestry and fisheries, and 72.8% were employed in services and other sectors. The unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) in Japan gradually increased from 2008 to the middle of 2009, but has gradually decreased since the end of 2009. It ranged between 3.0% and 3.2% during 2016 and between 2.7% and 3.0% during 2017. (Note: Due to the impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake, it has become difficult to conduct a labor search in the following prefectures: Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima. For this reason, the nationwide unemployment rate for the period between March 2011 and August 2011 does not account for these three prefectures.) The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 2.5% for February, 2.5% for March, 2.5% for April, 2.2% for May and 2.4% for June in 2018, the most recent five months for which statistics are available.

The following table indicates unemployment statistics for Japan for each of the last five years:

 

Calendar Year

   Unemployment Rate (%)

2013

   4.0

2014

   3.6

2015

   3.4

2016

   3.1

2017

   2.8

 

 

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”.

 

15


The table below sets forth information regarding wage index (total cash earnings (nominal)) and industrial production index (manufacturing and mining) for the periods indicated.

 

    
Wage Index(a)
     Industrial
Production
Index(b)
 

Calendar Year

   Index(c)      Annual %
Change
     Index      Annual %
Change
 

2013

     99.6            -0.4            97.0            -0.8      

2014

     100.0            0.4            99.0            2.1      

2015

     100.0            0.1            97.8            -1.2      

2016

     100.6            0.5            97.7            -0.1      

2017

     101.0            0.4            102.0            4.4      

 

 

 

(a)

Calendar year 2015=100. Source: Monthly Labor Survey, Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare.

 

(b)

Calendar year 2010=100. Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

 

(c)

Indices are calculated using the monthly averages.

The following table shows selected employment information by industry.

 

                                                           
     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
     (all figures in percentages, except as indicated)  

Employed persons (in thousands of persons)

     63,260       63,710       64,010       64,650       65,300  

Employment by Industry:

          

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries

     3.70     3.63     3.58     3.45     3.38

Mining, manufacturing and construction

     24.41       24.38       24.12       23.87       23.78  

Services and other sectors

     71.89       72.00       72.30       72.68       72.83  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

       100.0       100.0       100.0       100.0     100.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”.

 

16


The following table shows employment rate by age and gender.

 

                                                           
     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
     (all figures in percentages, except as indicated)  

Total

     56.9     57.3     57.6     58.1     58.5

Employment rate by age:

          

15 – 64 years old

     71.7       72.7       73.3       74.3       75.3  

15 – 24 years old

     39.7       40.3       40.7       42.4       42.5  

25 – 34 years old

     80.2       81.0       81.2       82.5       83.6  

35 – 44 years old

     80.9       81.8       82.4       82.7       83.6  

45 – 54 years old

     82.9       83.3       83.8       84.6       85.1  

55 – 64 years old

     66.8       68.7       70.0       71.4       73.4  

55 – 59 years old

     76.8       78.1       78.7       79.9       81.0  

60 – 64 years old

     58.9       60.7       62.2       63.6       66.2  

65 and over

     20.1       20.8       21.7       22.3       23.0  

65 – 69 years old

     38.7       40.1       41.5       42.8       44.3  

70 – 74 years old

     23.3       24.0       24.9       25.0       27.2  

75 and over

     8.2       8.1       8.3       8.7       9.0  

25 – 44 years old

     80.6       81.5       81.9       82.6       83.6  

Employment rate by gender:

          

Male

     67.5       67.7       67.8       68.1       68.4  

Female

         47.1           47.6           48.0           48.9           49.8  

 

 

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”.

The following table shows employment data by type of employment.

 

     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
     (in thousands of persons)  

Employee (except for executive of company or corporation)

     52,220           52,660            53,140           54,000            54,690      

Regular employee

     33,110       32,980       33,270       33,760       34,320  

Non-regular employee

     19,110       19,680       19,870       20,230       20,360  

 

 

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”.

 

17


Aging Workforce and Population Decrease

One of the risks that the Japanese economy bears is the issue of the aging of the population accompanied with an overall population decrease. Aging and population decrease placed downward pressure on economic growth. The negative impact can be reduced by enhancing productivity and competitiveness through the further opening of the Japanese economy to the world. Aging and population decrease have an impact not only on the macro growth rate but also on spending patterns (such as the older generations spending more than younger generations on service consumption) and, consequently, the country’s economic structure.

The impact of the aging and shrinking population on Japan’s fiscal structure looms as a long-term risk. Social security benefit payments under the current system will increase. The ratio of pensions to national income are expected to remain at the same level, but that of welfare including medical benefits and nursing-care benefits is expected to increase. Aging and population decrease will thus modify the Japanese revenue structure. Furthermore, amid increasing capital mobility, it is imperative for Japan to foster an environment attractive to business enterprises. Under these circumstances, it has become more and more difficult to impose additional tax burdens on the income of individuals and corporations. The effects of the aging and shrinkage of the population would also be prominent in Japan’s regional economies.

The following table indicates the age distribution of Japan’s population:

Population and Percentage distribution by Age (5-Year Age Group)

 

     Both sex  

Age groups

   2005*      2014      2015*      2016      2017  
     Population (in thousands of persons)  

Total

     127,768        127,083        127,095        126,933        126,706  

0 – 4 years old

     5,599        5,213        5,006        4,963        4,909  

5 – 9

     5,950        5,307        5,319        5,303        5,251  

10 – 14

     6,036        5,713        5,620        5,514        5,432  

15 – 19

     6,593        6,005        6,054        6,040        5,995  

20 – 24

     7,381        6,203        6,091        6,150        6,228  

25 – 29

     8,314        6,678        6,532        6,393        6,291  

30 – 34

     9,795        7,466        7,396        7,257        7,112  

35 – 39

     8,772        8,670        8,417        8,117        7,884  

40 – 44

     8,113        9,793        9,847        9,713        9,443  

45 – 49

     7,755        8,608        8,766        9,282        9,457  

50 – 54

     8,828        7,791        8,024        7,904        8,156  

55 – 59

     10,294        7,654        7,601        7,546        7,592  

60 – 64

     8,577        8,980        8,552        8,160        7,804  

65 – 69

     7,460        9,154        9,759        10,275        9,921  

70 – 74

     6,661        7,928        7,787        7,408        7,749  

75 – 79

     5,280        6,269        6,354        6,526        6,738  

80 – 84

     3,423        4,869        5,026        5,181        5,293  

85 – 89

     1,855        3,063        3,156        3,275        3,396  

90 – 94

     843        1,305        1,363        1,479        1,582  

95 – 99

     212        352        362        383        405  

100 and over

     25        60        62        66        67  

Regrouped

              

0 – 14 years old

     17,585        16,233        15,945        15,780        15,592  

15 – 64

     84,422        77,850        77,282        76,562        75,962  

65 and over

     25,761        33,000        33,868        34,591        35,152  

65 – 74 years old

     14,122        17,082        17,546        17,683        17,670  

75 and over

     11,639        15,917        16,322        16,908        17,482  

 

18


     Both sex  

Age groups

   2005*      2014      2015*      2016      2017  
     Percentage Distribution (%)  

Total

       100.00          100.00          100.00          100.00          100.00  

0 – 4 years old

     4.38        4.10        3.94        3.91        3.87  

5 – 9

     4.66        4.18        4.19        4.18        4.14  

10 – 14

     4.72        4.50        4.42        4.34        4.29  

15 – 19

     5.16        4.73        4.76        4.76        4.73  

20 – 24

     5.78        4.88        4.79        4.85        4.92  

25 – 29

     6.51        5.25        5.14        5.04        4.97  

30 – 34

     7.67        5.88        5.82        5.72        5.61  

35 – 39

     6.87        6.82        6.62        6.39        6.22  

40 – 44

     6.35        7.71        7.75        7.65        7.45  

45 – 49

     6.07        6.77        6.90        7.31        7.46  

50 – 54

     6.91        6.13        6.31        6.23        6.44  

55 – 59

     8.06        6.02        5.98        5.94        5.99  

60 – 64

     6.71        7.07        6.73        6.43        6.16  

65 – 69

     5.84        7.20        7.68        8.09        7.83  

70 – 74

     5.21        6.24        6.13        5.84        6.12  

75 – 79

     4.13        4.93        5.00        5.14        5.32  

80 – 84

     2.68        3.83        3.95        4.08        4.18  

85 – 89

     1.45        2.41        2.48        2.58        2.68  

90 – 94

     0.66        1.03        1.07        1.17        1.25  

95 – 99

     0.17        0.28        0.28        0.30        0.32  

100 and over

     0.02        0.05        0.05        0.05        0.05  

Regrouped

              

0 – 14 years old

     13.76        12.77        12.55        12.43        12.31  

15 – 64

     66.07        61.26        60.81        60.32        59.95  

65 and over

     20.16        25.97        26.65        27.25        27.74  

65 – 74 years old

     11.05        13.44        13.81        13.93        13.95  

75 and over

     9.11        12.53        12.84        13.32        13.80  

 

 

 

(Note) *

 

Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, “Population Census”. (Unknown age population is included after being prorated to each age population.)

If the population of Japan continues to decrease, it may have a material adverse impact on Japan’s overall socioeconomics in the future, including with respect to economic scale, standard of living and sustainability of the social security system.

 

19


FOREIGN TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

Foreign Trade

Japan is one of the leading trading nations of the world, ranking fourth to China, United States and Germany in merchandise exports and ranking fourth to the United States, China and Germany in merchandise imports among the IMF member countries in 2017.

The trade deficit slightly increased from ¥2,565 billion in 2011 to ¥2,792 billion in 2015 despite an increase in exports for three consecutive years, meaning that Japan had a trade deficit for five consecutive years. The primary reasons for the trade deficit include increased imports of oil and natural gas as alternatives to nuclear energy. Imports of fossil fuels increased as the demand increased for power generation at thermal power stations after the nuclear accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Plant caused suspension of operations at other nuclear plants, resulting in reduced energy supply. Due to increased imports of fossil fuels, Japan’s trade balance in 2011 turned to a deficit for the first time in 31 years. In 2012, the trade deficit expanded and it hit a record high in 2014. In 2015, it decreased substantially again and back to the level of 2011. In 2016, the drop in total amount of imports was larger than the drop in total amount of exports, and as a result, Japan had a trade surplus of ¥3,994 billion, reversing a trend of five consecutive years of trade deficits since 2011. In 2017, although the increase in total amount of imports was larger than the increase in total amount of exports, Japan still had a trade surplus of ¥2,907 billion as an overall result. In 2018, total amount of exports is expected to increase 7.0% compared to 2017 in connection with mild recovery of the world economy and stabilized exchange rates, and total amount of imports is expected to increase 8.2% compared to 2017 due to recovery of internal demand and prices of resources.

The following tables set forth information relating to foreign trade for the years indicated. In these tables exports are stated on an f.o.b. basis and imports on a c.i.f. basis. Monetary figures are based on actual movements of goods as calculated by the Ministry of Finance. (This method of computation differs from that used in calculating balance of payments, in which both exports and imports are stated on an f.o.b. basis.)

Foreign Trade of Japan

 

     Value Index(a)      Quantum Index(a)      Unit Value Index(a)      Terms of
Trade(b)
 
           Exports                  Imports                  Exports                  Imports                  Exports                  Imports                  Index        

2013

     103.5              133.7              90.2              105.3              114.8              127.0              90.4        

2014

     108.4              141.4              90.7              106.0              119.6              133.4              89.7        

2015

     112.2              129.0              89.8              103.0              125.0              125.3              99.8        

2016

     103.9              108.7              90.0              102.6              115.5              105.9              109.1        

2017

     116.2              124.1              94.7              105.9              122.7              117.2              104.7        

 

 

 

(a)

Calendar year 2010=100.

 

(b)

Unit value index of exports divided by unit value index of imports, multiplied by 100.

Source: Japan Tariff Association, Ministry of Finance.

 

20


Composition of Japan’s Exports and Imports

 

     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
     (yen amounts in billions)  

JAPAN’S EXPORTS

                        

Textile Products

   ¥ 869        1.2   ¥ 928        1.3   ¥ 985        1.3   ¥ 863       1.2   ¥ 886        1.1

Metals and Metal Products

     6,352        9.1       6,598        9.0       6,315        8.4       5,219       7.5       5,907        7.5  

Machinery and Equipment:

                        

Ships

     1,452        2.1       1,299        1.8       1,334        1.8       1,325       1.9       1,322        1.7  

Motor Vehicles

     10,413        14.9       10,919        14.9       12,046        15.9       11,333       16.2       11,825        15.1  

TV and Radio Receivers

     111        0.2       128        0.2       142        0.2       120       0.2       107        0.1  

Motorcycles

     277        0.4       316        0.4       294        0.4       261       0.4       320        0.4  

Scientific and Optical Instruments

     2,223        3.2       2,436        3.3       2,376        3.1       2,046       2.9       2,416        3.1  

Other(a)

     29,594        42.4       31,227        42.7       32,155        42.5       30,336       43.3       34,143        43.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Machinery and Equipment

     44,069        63.2       46,327        63.4       48,347        63.9       45,421       64.9       50,133        64.0  

Chemicals

     7,507        10.8       7,818        10.7       7,759        10.3       7,123       10.2       8,192        10.5  

Foods and Beverages

     436        0.6       482        0.7       599        0.8       607       0.9       645        0.8  

Other Exports(b)

     10,540        15.1       10,941        15.0       11,609        15.4       10,802       15.4       12,524        16.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Grand Total

   ¥ 69,774        100.0   ¥ 73,093        100.0   ¥ 75,614        100.0   ¥ 70,036       100.0   ¥ 78,286        100.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

JAPAN’S IMPORTS

                        

Foods and Beverages

     6,473        8.0     6,732        7.8     7,002        8.9     6,363       9.6     7,018        9.3

Raw Materials

     5,358        6.6       5,590        6.5       4,853        6.2       4,012       6.1       4,725        6.3  

Chemicals

     6,464        8.0       6,864        8.0       7,748        9.9       7,111       10.8       7,567        10.0  

Mineral Fuels:

                        

Petroleum

     14,245        17.5       13,873        16.1       8,185        10.4       5,532       8.4       7,155        9.5  

Coal

     2,307        2.8       2,086        2.4       1,974        2.5       1,665       2.5       2,570        3.4  

Other(c)

     10,892        13.4       11,734        13.7       8,059        10.3       4,855       7.4       6,115        8.1  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mineral Fuel

     27,444        33.8       27,692        32.2       18,218        23.2       12,052       18.2       15,840        21.0  

Machinery and Equipment

     20,817        25.6       23,249        27.1       24,274        31.0       22,131       33.5       24,490        32.5  

Other Imports(d)

     14,687        18.1       15,782        18.4       16,310        20.8       14,373         21.8       15,740        20.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Grand Total

   ¥     81,243        100.0   ¥     85,909        100.0   ¥     78,406        100.0   ¥     66,042       100.0   ¥     75,379        100.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

This category includes general machinery, electronic components including semiconductors and electronic equipment including electronic circuit.

(b)

This category includes raw materials, mineral fuels and vehicle parts.

(c)

This category includes liquid natural gas and petroleum products.

(d)

This category includes clothing and accessories thereof, non-ferrous metal and scientific and optical instruments.

Source: The Summary Report on Trade of Japan, Japan Tariff Association, Ministry of Finance.

 

21


Geographic Distribution of Japan’s Exports and Imports

 

     2013     2014     2015     2016     2017  
     (yen amounts in billions)  

JAPAN’S EXPORTS

                        

Asia

      37,867        54.3      39,518        54.1      40,329        53.3      37,107       53.0      42,920        54.8

China

     12,625        18.1       13,381        18.3       13,223        17.5       12,361       17.7       14,890        19.0  

(Asia NIES)

     15,271        21.9       15,952        21.8       16,438        21.7       15,094       21.6       17,048        21.8  

(ASEAN)

     10,828        15.5       11,080        15.2       11,495        15.2       10,378       14.8       11,872        15.2  

Oceania

     2,029        2.9       1,958        2.7       2,099        2.8       2,010       2.9       2,301        2.9  

Australia

     1,656        2.4       1,501        2.1       1,555        2.1       1,532       2.2       1,796        2.3  

North America

     13,776        19.7       14,495        19.8       16,161        21.4       15,029       21.5       16,189        20.7  

U.S.A.

     12,928        18.5       13,649        18.7       15,225        20.1       14,143       20.2       15,113        19.3  

Canada

     848        1.2       846        1.2       936        1.2       886       1.3       1,076        1.4  

Central and South America

     3,560        5.1       3,563        4.9       3,375        4.5       3,002       4.3       3,154        4.0  

Western Europe

     7,140        10.2       7,745        10.6       8,102        10.7       8,179       11.7       9,053        11.6  

EU

     7,000        10.0       7,585        10.4       7,985        10.6       7,982       11.4       8,657        11.1  

Central and Eastern Europe, Russia etc.

     1,810        2.6       1,720        2.4       1,346        1.8       1,286       1.8       1,475        1.9  

Russia

     1,069        1.5       972        1.3       618        0.8       555       0.8       674        0.9  

Middle East

     2,478        3.6       2,988        4.1       3,167        4.2       2,585       3.7       2,350        3.0  

Africa

     1,115        1.6       1,107        1.5       1,036        1.4       839       1.2       843        1.1  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Grand Total

   ¥     69,774        100.0   ¥     73,093        100.0   ¥     75,614        100.0   ¥     70,036         100.0   ¥     78,286        100.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

JAPAN’S IMPORTS

                        

Asia

     35,972        44.3     38,618        45.0     38,358        48.9     33,199       50.3     37,026        49.1

China

     17,660        21.7       19,176        22.3       19,429        24.8       17,019       25.8       18,459        24.5  

(Asia NIES)

     6,692        8.2       7,109        8.3       7,245        9.2       6,241       9.4       7,162        9.5  

(ASEAN)

     11,486        14.1       12,252        14.3       11,843        15.1       10,047       15.2       11,545        15.3  

Oceania

     5,376        6.6       5,706        6.6       4,887        6.2       3,843       5.8       4,969        6.6  

Australia

     4,977        6.1       5,090        5.9       4,210        5.4       3,321       5.0       4,365        5.8  

North America

     7,993        9.8       8,741        10.2       9,178        11.7       8,331       12.6       9,325        12.4  

U.S.A.

     6,815        8.4       7,543        8.8       8,060        10.3       7,322       11.1       8,090        10.7  

Canada

     1,170        1.4       1,190        1.4       1,109        1.4       1,003       1.5       1,226        1.6  

Central and South America

     3,293        4.1       3,196        3.7       3,075        3.9       2,726       4.1       3,156        4.2  

Western Europe

     8,266        10.2       8,855        10.3       9,347        11.9       8,777       13.3       9,421        12.5  

EU

     7,649        9.4       8,169        9.5       8,625        11.0       8,152       12.3       8,757        11.6  

Central and Eastern Europe, Russia etc.

     2,811        3.5       3,183        3.7       2,593        3.3       1,868       2.8       2,308        3.1  

Russia

     2,308        2.8       2,619        3.0       1,905        2.4       1,227       1.9       1,551        2.1  

Middle East

     15,667        19.3       15,826        18.4       9,571        12.2       6,501       9.8       8,243        10.9  

Africa

     1,864        2.3       1,783        2.1       1,395        1.8       798       1.2       931        1.2  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Grand Total

   ¥ 81,243        100.0   ¥ 85,909        100.0   ¥ 78,406        100.0   ¥ 66,042       100.0   ¥ 75,379        100.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

Source: Press Release dated March 13, 2018, Ministry of Finance.

 

22


Balance of Payments

In 2013, Current Account surplus continued to significantly decrease to ¥4,457 billion due to a substantial decrease in the Trade Balance. In 2014, trade deficit hit a record high and Current Account surplus continued to decrease to ¥3,922 billion. In 2015, trade deficit significantly improved, and Current Account surplus increased to ¥16,519 billion. In 2016, trade deficit turned into trade surplus, and Current Account surplus increased to ¥21,062 billion. In 2017, Current Account surplus continued and increased to ¥21,951 billion with trade surplus.

In October 2013, Ministry of Finance and Bank of Japan announced that they will revise balance of payments statistics, to be based on IMF Balance of Payments Manual, 6th Edition, starting with transactions in January 2014. The information below reflects the updated statistics.

Balance of Payments of Japan

 

             2013              2014              2015              2016              2017      
     (in billions)  

Current Account

   ¥     4,457           ¥     3,922           ¥     16,519           ¥     21,062           ¥     21,951       

Balance on Goods and Services

     -12,252             -13,499             -2,817             4,389             4,230       

Trade Balance

     -8,773             -10,465             -886             5,518             4,955       

Exports (f.o.b.)

     67,829             74,075             75,274             69,093             77,286       

Imports (f.o.b.)

     76,602             84,540             76,160             63,575             72,330       

Services

     -3,479             -3,034             -1,931             -1,129             -726       

Primary Income

     17,698             19,415             21,303             18,818             19,837       

Secondary Income

     -989             -1,995             -1,967             -2,146             -2,116       

Capital Account

     -744             -209             -271             -743             -287       

Financial Account

     -409             6,278             21,876             28,276             17,664       

Assets

     8,526             2,393             33,669             10,638             11,808       

Liabilities

     8,935             -3,885             11,793             -17,639             -29,472       

Net Errors and Omissions

     -4,122             2,566             5,628             7,958             -4,000       

 

 

 

(a)

Positive figures (+) show increases in net assets, negative figures (-) show decreases in net assets in “Financial Account”.

 

(b)

Primary Income mainly shows balance of payments of interests and dividends from external financial credits and debts and includes such items as receipt and payment of dividends and interests between parent companies and their subsidiaries, receipt and payment of stock dividends and bond interests, and receipt and payment of interests related to loans, borrowings, and deposits.

 

(c)

Secondary Income shows balance of payments of provision of assets unaccompanied by consideration between residents and non-residents and includes such items as receipt and payment of financial support, donations, and gifts by the government or by the people.

Source: Balance of Payments, Ministry of Finance.

Official Reserve Assets

 

As of December 31,

       Gold(a)          Foreign
Currency
    Reserves    
     IMF
Reserve

    Position    
         SDRs (Special    
Drawing

Rights)
         Other Reserve    
Assets
         Total      
     (in millions of dollars)  

2013

     29,560        1,202,443        14,202        20,129        481        1,266,815  

2014

     29,504        1,199,651        11,993        18,895        505        1,260,548  

2015

     26,134        1,179,004        9,531        18,048        497        1,233,214  

2016

     28,516        1,157,790        12,019        18,087        491        1,216,903  

2017

     31,897        1,202,071        10,582        19,195        538        1,264,283  

 

 

 

(a)

The valuation of gold reflects marked-to-market values.

Source: International Reserves/Foreign Currency Liquidity, Ministry of Finance.

 

23


Foreign Exchange Rates

The following table sets forth the high, low and average daily interbank rate for the U.S. dollar against the yen in the Tokyo foreign exchange market for the years indicated.

 

     2013      2014      2015      2016      2017  

Average (Central Rate)

   ¥          97.71      ¥        105.79      ¥        121.09      ¥        108.77      ¥        112.13  

High

     105.41        121.86        125.66        121.49        118.18  

Low

     86.83        100.76        115.85        99.00        107.59  

 

 

Source: Status of Transactions on Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market, Bank of Japan.

Foreign Direct Investment

The following table sets forth information regarding annual foreign direct investment in Japan and annual foreign direct investment abroad for the periods indicated.

Foreign direct investment in Japan (by industry)(a)

 

     2013      2014      2015      2016      2017  
     (in billions of yen)  

Manufacturing (total)(b)

   ¥ 237.7      ¥ 446.0      ¥ 303.1      ¥ 1,220.7      ¥ 1,264.9  

Food

     -21.5        126.0        21.8        47.7        31.3  

Textile

     0.6        3.4        12.2        2.0        0.9  

Lumber and pulp

     0.9        2.0        2.2        1.9        1.7  

Chemicals and pharmaceuticals

     -32.8        -32.1        141.8        41.9        -57.2  

Petroleum

     -4.7        -73.9        -0.5        -162.5        -1.7  

Rubber and leather

     1.0        -10.6        0.0        0.1        0.2  

Glass and ceramics

     87.5        10.7        18.3        -1.1        10.7  

Iron, non-ferrous, and metals

     5.1        11.0        -8.7        6.0        -1.6  

General machinery

     12.8        65.5        54.2        129.7        250.8  

Electric machinery

     143.5        125.9        32.4        683.9        614.2  

Transportation equipment

     21.0        138.0        -125.7        408.0        433.1  

Precision machinery

     -21.3        46.1        -2.4        -10.9        -35.6  

Non-manufacturing (total)(c)

     -12.9        828.4        57.0        710.5        -95.1  

Farming and forestry

     0.4        -0.3        0.9        0.1        0.5  

Fishery and marine products

     —          0.2        0.4        —          —    

Mining

     0.6        1.1        1.8        1.7        18.5  

Construction

     -0.5        -1.6        7.6        14.8        20.7  

Transportation

     21.0        -90.4        71.0        165.5        81.2  

Communications

     -8.6        183.4        122.9        105.4        -112.3  

Wholesale and retail

     14.5        -259.0        -476.8        -262.4        -586.6  

Finance and insurance

     62.6        795.6        183.5        360.6        175.0  

Real estate

     24.3        23.8        -16.3        33.6        53.3  

Services

     -164.9        36.8        32.9        159.8        165.2  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥          224.8      ¥       1,274.5      ¥          360.2      ¥       1,931.2      ¥       1,169.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

Starting with transactions recognized in January 2014, Bank of Japan began using the Sixth Edition of “Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual” (BPM6) released by International Monetary Fund in 2008 to calculate the data provided in this table. With respect to transactions recognized before January 2014, Bank of Japan used the Fifth Edition of “Balance of Payments Manual” (BPM5) released by International Monetary Fund in 1993 to calculate the data provided in this table.

 

(b)

The total amounts for Manufacturing include other types of manufacturing not separately listed in the table and therefore are different from the sum of listed subcategories of manufacturing.

 

(c)

The total amounts for Non-manufacturing include other industries not separately listed in the table and therefore are different from the sum of listed subcategories of Non-manufacturing industries.

Source: Outward / Inward Direct Investment, Ministry of Finance.

 

24


Foreign direct investment in Japan (by region)(a)

 

     2013      2014      2015      2016      2017  
     (in billions of yen)  

North America

   ¥ 135.8      ¥ 722.2      ¥ 380.9      ¥ 425.0      ¥ 403.9  

Asia

     86.1        556.8        531.0        758.0        354.2  

Europe

     96.6        -178.9        -638.6        590.0        27.8  

Other regions

     -93.7        174.4        86.8        158.3        384.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥          224.8      ¥       1,274.5      ¥          360.2      ¥       1,931.2      ¥       1,169.9  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

Starting with transactions recognized in January 2014, Bank of Japan began using the Sixth Edition of “Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual” (BPM6) released by International Monetary Fund in 2008 to calculate the data provided in this table. With respect to transactions recognized before January 2014, Bank of Japan used the Fifth Edition of “Balance of Payments Manual” (BPM5) released by International Monetary Fund in 1993 to calculate the data provided in this table.

Source: Outward / Inward Direct Investment, Ministry of Finance.

Foreign direct investment abroad (by industry)(a)

 

     2013      2014      2015      2016      2017  
     (in billions of yen)  

Manufacturing (total)(b)

   ¥ 4,148.4      ¥ 6,933.7      ¥ 6,175.8      ¥ 5,755.6      ¥ 6,165.1  

Food

     361.1        1,992.2        431.4        323.9        986.8  

Textile

     46.4        130.3        48.8        171.3        77.4  

Lumber and pulp

     50.4        167.1        122.8        128.8        18.5  

Chemicals and pharmaceuticals

     564.6        692.1        1,068.7        766.8        1,182.3  

Petroleum

     79.5        53.9        -11.9        6.1        14.1  

Rubber and leather

     312.8        336.8        238.3        371.4        156.7  

Glass and ceramics

     201.1        196.5        189.8        114.0        176.4  

Iron, non-ferrous, and metals

     277.5        713.8        300.6        401.1        328.3  

General machinery

     378.3        771.1        963.7        737.7        1,034.1  

Electric machinery

     441.2        639.5        1,028.3        1,104.3        676.4  

Transportation equipment

     1,140.8        1,029.0        1,560.6        1,360.9        1,066.9  

Precision machinery

     157.3        73.5        105.9        136.7        327.9  

Non-manufacturing (total)(c)

     9,100.1        6,928.4        10,316.3        10,704.8        11,831.9  

Farming and forestry

     12.4        23.3        23.1        -12.8        -10.2  

Fishery and marine products

     0.7        153.1        11.0        18.6        0.4  

Mining

     1,273.4        572.3        582.4        440.2        -398.6  

Construction

     58.3        43.3        46.9        177.4        181.3  

Transportation

     148.2        166.8        980.1        249.3        205.7  

Communications

     2,316.7        820.6        1,428.9        1,839.0        2,306.4  

Wholesale and retail

     1,263.2        1,970.9        1,645.7        2,042.0        3,180.2  

Finance and insurance

     2,638.8        2,035.1        4,189.2        925.0        4,024.6  

Real estate

     305.9        161.9        449.7        557.0        694.1  

Services

     729.2        695.6        656.6        4,088.0        939.8  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥     13,248.5      ¥     13,862.2      ¥     16,492.1      ¥     16,460.4      ¥     17,997.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

Starting with transactions recognized in January 2014, Bank of Japan began using the Sixth Edition of “Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual” (BPM6) released by International Monetary Fund in 2008 to calculate the data provided in this table. With respect to transactions recognized before January 2014, Bank of Japan used the Fifth Edition of “Balance of Payments Manual” (BPM5) released by International Monetary Fund in 1993 to calculate the data provided in this table.

 

(b)

The total amounts for Manufacturing include other types of manufacturing not separately listed in the table and therefore are different from the sum of listed subcategories of manufacturing.

 

(c)

The total amounts for Non-manufacturing include other industries not separately listed in the table and therefore are different from the sum of listed subcategories of Non-manufacturing industries.

Source: Outward / Inward Direct Investment, Ministry of Finance.

 

25


Foreign direct investment abroad (by region)(a)

 

     2013      2014      2015      2016      2017  
     (in billions of yen)  

North America

   ¥ 4,573.0      ¥ 5,415.4      ¥ 6,076.6      ¥ 5,619.0      ¥ 5,690.4  

Asia

     3,977.5        4,492.5        4,098.0        1,472.8        4,013.2  

Europe

     3,159.6        2,410.2        4,021.2        5,849.9        6,215.7  

Other regions

     1,538.4        1,544.1        2,296.3        3,518.8        2,077.6  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥     13,248.5      ¥     13,862.2      ¥     16,492.1      ¥     16,460.4      ¥     17,997.0  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

Starting with transactions recognized in January 2014, Bank of Japan began using the Sixth Edition of “Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual” (BPM6) released by International Monetary Fund in 2008 to calculate the data provided in this table. With respect to transactions recognized before January 2014, Bank of Japan used the Fifth Edition of “Balance of Payments Manual” (BPM5) released by International Monetary Fund in 1993 to calculate the data provided in this table.

Source: Outward / Inward Direct Investment, Ministry of Finance.

 

26


FINANCIAL SYSTEM

The Bank of Japan and Monetary Policy

The Bank of Japan (“BOJ”), with 55% of its capital owned by the government, is the central bank and sole issuing bank, as well as the depository and fiscal agent for the government. As of the end of March, 2018, the BOJ had total assets of ¥528,286 billion.

One of the missions of the BOJ is to contribute to the sound development of the national economy, through the pursuit of price stability. In order to fulfill this mission, the BOJ controls the overall volume of money in the economy and through market operations, along with monetary policy decided at the Monetary Policy Meeting of the BOJ Policy Board. From March 2001 to March 2006, in order to fight deflation and revive the Japanese economy, the BOJ implemented a quantitative easing policy by conducting money market operations to adjust the outstanding balance of the current accounts at the BOJ. And in March 2006, the BOJ announced an exit from the quantitative easing policy and a return to monetary policy that targeted policy interest rate (uncollateralized overnight call rate). At the same time, the BOJ decided to encourage the rate to remain at effectively zero percent. Then, the BOJ increased the policy interest rate to 0.25% in July 2006, and to 0.5% in February 2007. From the fall of 2008, however, when the turmoil in global financial markets intensified, the BOJ implemented various monetary policy measures including reductions in the policy interest rate. It decreased the policy interest rate to 0.3% in October 2008, and further to 0.1% in December 2008. Furthermore, in October 2010, in order to further enhance monetary easing, the BOJ implemented a comprehensive monetary easing policy, which included the establishment of an Asset Purchase Program (APP) to purchase financial assets, including risk assets, as well as to provide loans. Since the APP’s introduction, the BOJ repeatedly and significantly increased the maximum amount outstanding of the APP, from about 35 trillion yen to about 101 trillion yen at the end of 2013. Moreover, in February 2012, the BOJ decided to pursue powerful monetary easing by conducting its virtually zero interest rate policy and by implementing the APP, with the aim of achieving the goal of 1% in terms of the year-on-year rate of change in the consumer price index (CPI). In order to state clearly the shared understanding concerning the roles of the government and the BOJ, the government and the BOJ decided to release “Measures Aimed at Overcoming Deflation” in October 2012. In January 2013, the BOJ introduced the “price stability target” of 2% in terms of the year-on-year rate of change in the CPI. The BOJ also introduced the “open-ended asset purchasing method”, aimed at achieving this target. The government and the BOJ released a joint statement to announce that in order to overcome deflation early and achieve sustainable economic growth with price stability, the government and the BOJ would strengthen their policy coordination and work together. Furthermore, in April 2013, the BOJ introduced a policy of “quantitative and qualitative monetary easing”, aimed at achieving this target at the earliest possible time. In order to do so, under this policy, the BOJ would enter a new phase of monetary easing both in terms of quantity and quality. The BOJ would double the monetary base in two years by conducting money market operations so that the monetary base would increase at an annual pace of about 60-70 trillion yen. The BOJ would also purchase Japanese government bonds (“JGBs”) so that their amount outstanding would increase at an annual pace of about 50 trillion yen, and the average remaining maturity of the BOJ’s JGB purchases would be extended from slightly less than three years at the time to about seven years, which was equivalent to the average maturity of the amount outstanding of JGBs issued. Additionally, the BOJ would purchase exchange-traded funds (“ETFs”) and Japan real estate investment trusts (“J-REITs”) so that their amounts outstanding would increase at an annual pace of about 1 trillion yen and about 30 billion yen, respectively. In October 2014, the BOJ expanded its quantitative and qualitative monetary easing measures to further increase its purchases of JGBs, ETFs and J-REITs to achieve an increase in its purchases of JGBs, ETFs and J-REITs at an annual pace of about 80 trillion yen, 3 trillion yen and 90 billion yen, respectively. In order to maintain momentum towards 2% “price stability target,” in January 2016, the BOJ adopted “quantitative and qualitative monetary easing with a negative interest rate,” under which (i) a negative interest rate of minus 0.1% is applied to a part of BOJ accounts held by financial institutions1 (if judged necessary by the BOJ, the rate will be lowered even further), (ii) the BOJ will conduct money market operations so that the monetary base will increase at an annual pace of about 80 trillion yen, and (iii) the BOJ will purchase assets as follows: (1) purchase JGBs so that their amount outstanding will increase at an annual pace of about 80 trillion yen, (2) purchase ETFs and J-REITs so that their amounts outstanding will increase at an annual pace of about 3 trillion yen (decided further expansion to about 3.3 trillion yen and to about 6 trillion yen in December 2015 and July 2016, respectively) and about 90 billion yen, respectively, and (3) maintain the amounts outstanding of commercial paper and corporate bonds at about 2.2 trillion yen and about 3.2 trillion yen, respectively. In September 2016, the BOJ announced a new framework for strengthening monetary easing by adopting a program of “quantitative and qualitative monetary easing with yield curve control”, or QQE with yield curve control, under which the BOJ (i) set guidelines for market operations that specify (1) a short-term policy interest rate (set at the minus 0.1% level adopted in January 2016) and (2) a target level of a long-term interest rate (target yield of the 10-year JGB set at around 0%, to be facilitated through continued BOJ purchases of JGBs) and (ii) introduced new tools of market operations so as to control the yield curve smoothly, consisting of (1) outright purchases of JGBs with yields designated by the BOJ and (2) fixed-rate funds-supplying operations for a period of up to ten years. With regard to asset purchase except for JGB purchases, the BOJ also set the following guidelines: (i) purchase ETFs and J-REITs so that their amounts outstanding will increase at an annual pace of about 6 trillion yen and about 90 billion yen, respectively, and (ii) maintain the amounts outstanding of commercial paper and corporate bonds at about 2.2 trillion yen and about 3.2 trillion yen, respectively. Finally, the BOJ announced its “inflation-overshooting commitment”. Under this policy, the BOJ will aim to realize the price stability target of 2%, and for as long as it is necessary to maintain the target in a stable manner, the BOJ will continue QQE with yield curve control. Also, until the year-on-year rate of increase in the observed CPI (excluding fresh food) consistently exceeds 2%, the BOJ will continue the expansion policy.

 

1 

More specifically, accounts held by financial institutions are divided into three levels referred to as “basic balance” (a positive interest rate of 0.1% is applied), “macro add-on balance” (a zero interest rate is applied), and “policy-rate balance” (a negative interest rate of minus 0.1% is applied). “Policy-rate balance” is the balance in excess of “basic balance” and “macro add-on balance.”

 

27


The following table sets forth the principal economic indicators relating to monetary policy from 2013 through 2017.

 

     Current
Account
Balances(a)
     Monetary Base    Money Stock    Loans and Bills
Discounts Domestically
Licensed Banks
              Total(a)        Annual %
Change
     Total(a)        Annual %
Change
     Total(a)        Annual %
Change
            (yen amounts in billions)

2013

     74,992            163,153           34.4      845,884          3.6          421,739          2.6

2014

     142,429            233,648           43.2      874,597          3.4      433,710          2.8

2015

     217,631            313,121           34.0      906,439          3.6      448,341          3.4

2016

     290,611            391,421           25.0      936,885          3.4      460,483          2.7

2017

     352,883            458,104           17.0          974,017          4.0      475,456          3.3

 

 

 

(a)

Average amounts outstanding.

Source: Bank of Japan Statistics, Bank of Japan.

Government Financial Institutions

The activities of private institutions are supplemented by a number of financial institutions under government supervision, the appointment of whose senior officials is subject to approval by the government and whose funds are supplied principally or partially by the government. Among these are Japan Finance Corporation (“JFC”), the successor to National Life Finance Corporation (“NLFC”), Japan Finance Corporation for Small and Medium Enterprise (“JASME”), and Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Finance Corporation (“AFC”), whose main purposes are to contribute to the improvement of the quality of the national life. They also include Japan Bank for International Cooperation (“JBIC”) and The Okinawa Development Finance Corporation (“ODFC”), whose purposes are to supplement private financing in their respective fields of activity, and Development Bank of Japan Inc. (“DBJ”) and The Shoko Chukin Bank (“SCB”), which will be privatized.

The central government has been steadily promoting reform of governmental financial institutions. The “Outline of Administrative Reforms” decided by the Cabinet on December 1, 2000, requires that the businesses and organizational forms of all special public institutions, which include governmental financial institutions, undergo a thorough review. Pursuant to the Act on Promotion of Administrative Reform for Realization of Small and Efficient Government (the “Administrative Reform Promotion Act”), which was enacted on May 26, 2006, (1) the former Development Bank of Japan was succeeded to by DBJ as of October 1, 2008, which is currently wholly owned by the Japanese government and will be privatized, (2) the international financial operations of JBIC, together with the functions of NLFC, JASME, AFC were transferred to JFC as of October 1, 2008, and the overseas economic cooperation operations of JBIC were transferred to the Japan International Cooperation Agency, and (3) as of October 1, 2008, Japan Finance Corporation for Municipal Enterprises was succeeded by Japan Finance Organization for Municipalities, which is funded by local governments. Each of these measures was implemented through individual laws that were enacted in 2007, pursuant to which these successor institutions were formed on October 1, 2008.

 

28


With regard to (1) above, as originally enacted, the Development Bank of Japan Inc. Act (Act No. 85 of 2007), as amended (the “DBJ Act”), contemplated full privatization of DBJ over a period of five to seven years from its establishment on October 1, 2008. During that time period, the DBJ Act (as originally enacted) provided that the Japanese government would dispose of all of the common stock of DBJ that it currently owns (the “full privatization”), and that steps would be taken to abolish the DBJ Act promptly after the full privatization. On June 26, 2009, the Japanese Diet approved the Act for Partial Amendment of the Development Bank of Japan Inc. Act (Act No. 67 of 2009) (the “2009 Amendment Act”), which, as part of the Japanese government’s response to economic and financial crises, enables the Japanese government to strengthen DBJ’s financial base through capital injections up to the end of March 2012. In addition, under the Amendment Act, the targeted timing for the full privatization of DBJ has been extended to approximately five to seven years from April 1, 2012. Further, the Amendment Act provides that the Japanese government is to review the organization of DBJ, including the way of the Japanese government’s holding of the DBJ shares, by the end of fiscal year 2011, and until such time, the Japanese government shall not be disposing of the DBJ’s shares held by it. Additionally, on May 2, 2011, in order to address the Great East Japan Earthquake of March 11, 2011, the Japanese Diet approved the Act for Extraordinary Expenditure and Assistance to Cope with the Great East Earthquake (Act No. 40 of 2011) (the “Extraordinary Expenditure Act”). The Extraordinary Expenditure Act enables to the Japanese government to strengthen DBJ’s financial base through capital injection through March 2015 so that DBJ can smoothly implement its crisis response operations. In addition, under Extraordinary Expenditure Act, the targeted timing for the full privatization of DBJ has been extended to approximately five to seven years from April 1, 2015. Further, the Extraordinary Expenditure Act provides that the Japanese government is to review the organization of DBJ, including the way of the Japanese government’s holding of the DBJ’s shares by the end of fiscal year 2014, and until such time, the Japanese government shall not dispose of the DBJ’s shares held by it. Furthermore, on May 13, 2015, the Japanese Diet approved the Act for Partial Amendment of the Development Bank of Japan Inc. Act (Act No. 23 of 2015) (the “2015 Amendment Act”), under which, in conjunction with DBJ’s full privatization, and taking into consideration the current business environment in the private financial sector, DBJ, utilizing its investment and loan functions, is to take measures necessary for implementing the its crisis response operations and supply of growth capital — that is, DBJ is to take all possible measures to supply funds to deal with large-scale disasters, economic crises and so forth, and to promote the supply of growth capital to revitalize regional economies and to reinforce the competitiveness of enterprises. In order to assure the sufficient implementation of the necessary operations, under the 2015 Amendment Act, the Japanese government shall maintain its stake in excess of one-third for DBJ’s crisis response operations, and one half or more for DBJ’s special investment operations, for as long as the government shall take such measures.

With regard to (2) above, The Japan Bank for International Cooperation Act (the “JBIC Act”) was passed into law on April 28, 2011 to spin off the Japan Bank for International Cooperation Operations from the domestic financial operations of the Japan Finance Corporation. Pursuant to the JBIC Act, Japan Bank for International Cooperation was newly established on April 1, 2012.

Private Financial Institutions

According to the Financial Services Agency, as of June 1, 2018, the private banking system included four city banks, 15 trust banks, and 13 other banks, as well as 105 local banks as of May 1, 2018 (including the Saitama Resona Bank). In addition, 56 foreign banks had branches in Japan as of April 1, 2018.

There are also credit associations, credit cooperative associations, labor credit associations and the national federations of each of such associations, which are engaged mainly in making small business loans. Agricultural cooperatives, prefectural credit federations of such cooperatives and The Norinchukin Bank operate in the field of agricultural credit.

 

29


GOVERNMENT FINANCE

Revenues, Expenditures and Budgets

The responsibility for the preparation of the budget and the administration of government finances rests with the Ministry of Finance. The fiscal year commences on April 1, and the Cabinet usually submits the budget to the Diet for its decision in the preceding January. Supplementary budgets revising the original budget may be submitted to the Diet from time to time during the fiscal year.

For advancing fiscal consolidation, the Cabinet approved the “Basic Framework for Fiscal Consolidation: Medium-term Fiscal Plan” on August 8, 2013. This plan provided the following targets for achieving fiscal consolidation.

 

   

Halving the primary deficit of the national and local governments to GDP ratio by JFY 2015 from the ratio in JFY 2010 (This target is achieved.);

 

   

Achieving a primary surplus of the national and local governments to GDP ratio by JFY 2020; and

 

   

Steadily reducing the public debt to GDP ratio.

These targets are firmly maintained in the “Basic Policies for the Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform 2015” decided by the Cabinet on June 30, 2015, including “The Plan to Advance Economic and Fiscal Consolidation” (hereafter, the fiscal consolidation plan) which is an effective and concrete plan for achieving primary surplus target by JFY2020, covering five year period (JFY2016-JFY2020). In the fiscal consolidation plan, the government will assess the progress of reforming expenditure and revenue measures by using several benchmarks.

In order to achieve the primary surplus target, the government will implement steadily the expenditure reforms on all fronts in parallel with economic revitalization.

The fiscal and financial operations of the government and its agencies are budgeted and recorded in the following three sets of accounts:

 

   

General Account.    The general account is used primarily to record operations in basic areas of governmental activity.

 

   

Special Accounts.    The accounts of the central government consist of the general account and special accounts. Special accounts can be set up to carry out specific projects, to manage specific funds, and for other purposes. Special accounts can be set up when the government (i) implements a specific program such as insurance and public works, (ii) possesses and manages special funds such as Fiscal Loan Program Funds and Foreign Exchange Funds, and (iii) uses a certain revenue to secure a special expenditure and thus needs to deal with such revenue and expenditure on a separate basis from the general revenue and expenditure such as Local Allocation and Local Transfer Tax and Government Bonds Consolidation Funds. As of October 13, 2017, the government had 13 special accounts.

 

   

Government-Affiliated Agencies.    The government-affiliated agencies are government-owned corporations which consist of three financial corporations.

 

30


The settlement of accounts for revenues and expenditures is made by the Ministry of Finance, based on reports submitted by the respective Ministers. The settlement of accounts is required by law to be audited annually in detail by the Board of Audit, an organ independent of the Cabinet, and submitted by the Cabinet to the Diet in the following fiscal year.

The following tables set forth information with respect to the General Account, the Special Accounts and the Government Affiliated Agencies for JFY 2012 through JFY 2017, and the budget for JFY 2018.

Summary of Consolidated General and Special Accounts(a)

 

                                                                                                                                    
     JFY
2012
     JFY
2013
     JFY
2014
     JFY
2015
     JFY
2016
     JFY 2017
(Provisional
results as of
December 31,
2016)
     JFY 2018
Initial
Budget
 
     (in billions)  

REVENUES

                    

Total Revenues, General Account

   ¥ 107,762      ¥ 106,045      ¥ 104,679      ¥ 102,175      ¥ 102,774      ¥ 103,970      ¥ 97,713  

Total Revenues, Special Accounts

     412,533        422,851        406,736        402,884        410,161        399,381        391,079  

Less: Inter-Account Transactions(b)

     254,270        257,185        263,951        257,143        253,522        252,723        249,043  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Consolidated Revenues

   ¥ 266,025      ¥ 271,710      ¥ 247,464      ¥ 247,917      ¥ 259,413      ¥ 250,628      ¥ 239,749  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

EXPENDITURES

                    

Total Expenditures, General Account

   ¥ 97,087      ¥ 100,189      ¥ 98,813      ¥ 98,230      ¥ 97,541      ¥ 103,426      ¥ 97,712  

Total Expenditures, Special Accounts

     377,012        382,717        390,202        386,214        395,361        391,445        388,496  

Less: Inter-Account Transactions(b)

     252,246        255,221        262,259        255,695        251,842        250,198        247,288  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Consolidated Expenditures

   ¥ 221,853      ¥ 227,684      ¥ 226,756      ¥ 228,749      ¥ 241,061      ¥ 244,673      ¥ 238,920  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Surplus of Consolidated Revenues over Consolidated Expenditures

   ¥ 44,173      ¥ 44,026      ¥ 20,708      ¥ 19,167      ¥ 18,353      ¥ 5,955      ¥ 828  

 

 

(a)

Because of the manner in which the government accounts are kept, it is not practicable to show a consolidation of the Government Affiliated Agencies with the General and Special Accounts.

 

(b)

Inter-Account Transactions include transfers between the General Account and the Special Accounts, transfers between the Special Accounts, and transfers between sub- accounts of the Special Accounts.

Source: Budget, Ministry of Finance.

 

31


General Account

 

                                                                                                                                    
     JFY
2012
     JFY
2013
     JFY
2014
     JFY
2015
     JFY
2016
        JFY 2017   
Revised
Budget(a)
     JFY 2018
Initial
Budget
 
     (in billions)  

REVENUES

                    

Tax and Stamp Revenues

   ¥ 43,931      ¥ 46,953      ¥ 53,971      ¥ 56,285      ¥ 55,469      ¥ 57,712      ¥ 59,079  

Carried-over Surplus

     9,264        10,675        5,836        5,866        3,945        430        63  

Government Bond Issues

     50,049        43,455        38,493        34,918        38,035          35,555          33,692  

Income from Operations

     16        44        45        45        47        44        46  

Gains from Deposition of Assets

     227        328        1,479        349        384        254        277  

Miscellaneous Receipts

     4,274        4,591        4,856        4,712        4,895        5,115        4,556  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Revenues

   ¥ 107,762      ¥ 106,045      ¥ 104,679      ¥ 102,175      ¥ 102,774      ¥ 99,109      ¥ 97,713  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

EXPENDITURES

                    

Local Allocation Tax Grants, etc.

   ¥ 16,885      ¥ 17,553      ¥ 17,096      ¥ 16,801      ¥ 15,339      ¥ 15,567      ¥ 15,515  

National Debt Service

     21,011        21,294        22,186        22,464        22,086        22,708        23,302  

Social Security

     29,214        29,249        30,190        31,401        32,208        32,536        32,973  

Public Works

     5,776        7,975        7,321        6,378        6,710        6,972        5,979  

Education and Science

     5,963        6,145        5,846        5,571        5,598        5,658        5,365  

National Defense

     4,762        4,792        5,063        5,130        5,150        5,352        5,191  

Former Military Personnel Pensions

     570        504        444        387        335        294        250  

Economic Assistance

     624        651        655        661        743        638        509  

Food Supply

     1,353        1,172        1,074        1,276        1,140        1,214        992  

Energy

     828        963        1,303        968        973        973        919  

Promotion of SMEs

     825        504        417        340        430        385        177  

Miscellaneous

     9,277        9,387        7,218        6,854        6,830        6,510        6,190  

Contingencies

     —          —          —          —          —          300        350  

Carryback of settlement deficit compensation
for JFY 2008

     —          —          —          —          —          —          —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Expenditures

   ¥ 97,087      ¥ 100,189      ¥ 98,813      ¥ 98,230      ¥ 97,542      ¥ 99,109      ¥ 97,713  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Surplus of Revenues over Expenditures

   ¥ 10,675      ¥ 5,856      ¥ 5,866      ¥ 3,945      ¥ 5,232      ¥ —        ¥ —    

 

 

 

(a)

As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 18-K, details for the provisional results for JFY 2017 General Accounts are not available.

 

32


Special Accounts

 

    JFY
2012
    JFY
2013
    JFY
2014
    JFY
2015
    JFY
2016
    JFY 2017
Revised Budget(a)
    JFY 2018
Initial Budget
 
    Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.  
    (in billions)  

Fiscal Investment and Loan Program

  ¥ 34,888     ¥ 33,935     ¥ 30,813     ¥ 30,043     ¥ 36,114     ¥ 35,052     ¥ 33,360     ¥ 32,503     ¥ 42,124     ¥ 41,166     ¥ 27,958     ¥ 27,825     ¥ 27,083     ¥ 26,939  

Government Bonds Consolidation Fund

    214,608       192,159       225,010       198,623       207,469       204,398       201,927       198,309       198,994       195,911       196,085       196,085       191,221       191,221  

Foreign Exchange Fund

    2,991       138       3,327       118       3,492       78       3,163       46       2,948       70       2,528       915       2,903       971  

Local Allocation and Local Transfer Tax

    55,720       54,328       56,131       53,815       55,959       53,903       55,638       53,398       53,577       52,590       52,222       52,082       51,922       51,711  

Measure for Energy

    5,243       4,451       7,437       6,343       8,542       7,650       8,993       8,363       9,608       9,082       15,362       15,362       14,871       14,871  

Seamen’s Insurances(b)

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

National Advanced Medical Center(c)

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

Pensions

    80,127       76,579       78,204       76,873       80,362       77,311       85,293       81,705       90,142       85,786       89,448       89,488       91,836       91,836  

Stable Supply of Foodstuff(d)

    1,895       1,675       1,650       1,434       1,187       978       1,095       975       940       820       1,266       1,255       1,285       1,274  

Agricultural Mutual Aid Reinsurance(d)

    95       44       95       42       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

National Forest Service(e)

    533       470       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

Debt Management of National Forest and Field Service(e)

    —         —         301       301       312       312       321       321       329       329       342       342       350       350  

Trade Reinsurance(f)

    78       9       48       15       81       3       59       21       37       12       —         —         —         —    

Automobile Safety

    118       47       121       47       544       394       567       403       606       426       515       448       556       484  

Infrastructure Development(g)

    4,173       3,690       5,729       4,380       —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

Labor Insurance

    6,561       6,183       6,714       6,145       6,863       6,209       6,880       6,330       6,296       5,941       6,246       6,095       6,233       6,138  

Reconstruction from the Great East Japan Earthquake

    5,022       3,152       6,770       4,407       5,357       3,792       5,134       3,710       4,105       2,961       2,166       2,166       2,359       2,359  

Others

    481       151       499       132       455       123       452       131       456       267       464       327       460       342  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Revenues and Expenditures(h)

  ¥ 412,533     ¥ 377,012     ¥ 422,851     ¥ 382,717     ¥ 406,736     ¥ 390,202     ¥ 402,884     ¥ 386,214     ¥ 410,162     ¥ 395,361     ¥ 394,643     ¥ 392,388     ¥ 391,079     ¥ 388,496  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 18-K, details for the provisional results for JFY 2017 Special Accounts are not available.

 

(b)

Account abolished as of January 1, 2010

 

(c)

Account abolished as of March 31, 2010.

 

(d)

The account of “Agricultural Mutual Aid Reinsurance” was integrated into the account of “Stable Supply of Foodstuff” effective JFY 2014.

 

(e)

The account of “National Forest Service” was abolished and a new account “Debt Management of National Forest and Field Service” was established effective JFY 2013.

 

(f)

Account abolished as of March 31, 2016.

 

(g)

Account abolished as of March 31, 2014.

 

(h)

Without adjustment for inter-account transactions. Total Revenues and Expenditures may differ from the actual totals of the listed accounts due to rounding.

Source: Budget, Ministry of Finance.

 

33


Government Affiliated Agencies

 

                                                                                                                                                                                                   
    JFY
2012
    JFY
2013
    JFY
2014
    JFY
2015
    JFY
2016
    JFY 2017
Revised Budget
    JFY 2018
Budget
 
    Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.     Rev.     Exp.  
    (in billions)  

Total

  ¥     1,183     ¥     1,216     ¥     1,147     ¥     1,133     ¥     1,129     ¥     1,000     ¥     1,092     ¥        920     ¥     1,065     ¥        906     ¥     1,604     ¥     1,845     ¥     1,652     ¥     1,727  

 

 

(a)

As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 18-K, details for the provisional results for JFY 2016 Government Affiliated Agencies are not available.

Source: Budget, Ministry of Finance.

 

34


Tax Structure

The central government derives tax revenues (including stamp revenues) through taxes on income, consumption and property, etc. The taxes on income, consumption and property (including stamp revenues, etc.) account for 54.5%, 40.2% and 5.2%, respectively, of the total central government taxes and stamp revenues in the JFY 2018 budget.

The individual national income tax is progressive, with rates currently ranging from 5% to 45% of taxable income, and the local taxes are a 10% single rate. Interest income is generally taxed at the rate of 20.315%, including both national and local taxes, separately from other types of income, and subject to certain exemptions. The corporate tax rate has been reduced from 23.4% in JFY 2016 to 23.2% for JFY 2018 (the effective corporate tax rate (national and local) was reduced from 29.97% in JFY 2016 to 29.74% in JFY 2018), except that, for small and medium corporations, the first ¥8 million of income is taxed at 15%. In addition, corporations are subject to local income taxation.

Comprehensive Reform of Social Security and Tax. Japan’s fiscal conditions face challenges, with its tax revenues covering about 60% of its expenditures, and with the ratio of long-term debt outstanding of central and local governments to gross domestic product expected to have reached 198% at the end of JFY 2017. The ratio is expected to be reduced to 196% at the end of JFY 2018. See also “Japan’s Public Debt” below. The Government of Japan seeks to tackle these fiscal challenges through the “comprehensive reform of social security and tax”, which was approved by the Diet in August 2012, and thereby maintain the market’s and the international community’s confidence in Japan and build the foundation for stable economic growth. In the reform, the government planned to set aside consumption tax revenues for social security payments, and, on the condition that the economic situation improves, gradually increase the consumption tax rate to 8% in April 2014 and to 10% in October 2015. In accordance with the plan, consumption tax rate was increased to 8% in April 2014. However, the government decided to postpone the implementation date of further consumption tax hike to 10% from October 1, 2015 to April 1, 2017, as a result of taking comprehensive account of the economic condition and other factors, and on June 1, 2016, Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a plan to further postpone the consumption tax hike to 10% from April 1, 2017, to October 1, 2019. The Diet enacted a bill on this postponement of the consumption tax hike to 10% on November 18, 2016.

Fiscal Investment and Loan Program

The Fiscal Investment and Loan Program (the “FILP”) plan is formulated at the same pace as the General Account budget. The FILP plan details the allocation of public funds to various special accounts, government affiliated agencies, local governments, public corporations and other public institutions.

Under the FILP plan, funds are supplied to government-related entities such as public corporations, government affiliated agencies, special accounts and local governments. The total amount of the initial plan for JFY 2018 is ¥14,463 billion. The sources of funds for the plan in JFY 2018 are Fiscal Loan* (¥10,854 billion), Industrial Investment (¥365 billion), Government-Guaranteed domestic bonds (¥2,154 billion) and Government-Guaranteed foreign bonds (¥1,066 billion) and Government-Guaranteed long-term borrowings in foreign currencies (¥25 billion).

* Fiscal Loan utilizes the Fiscal Loan Fund consisting of funds procured through the issuance of FILP bonds and reserves or surplus funds deposited from government special accounts to provide long-term, fixed and low-interest loans to such entities as special government accounts, local governments, government-affiliated agencies, incorporated administrative agencies, etc.

The following table (the “FILP Classification Table by Purpose”) shows the uses of funds allocated under the initial plan for the periods indicated.

 

(Note)

The FILP Classification Table by Purpose has been published to specify fields where FILP contributes to the national economy or livelihood. Classification of the table had been almost the same from JFY 1961 to JFY 2014. However, the classification became to be inappropriate for reflecting realities of recent FILP-target projects, it was revised in JFY 2015 by sorting out the classification or putting some classifications together.

 

35


Old classification

   JFY 2011      JFY 2012      JFY 2013      JFY 2014  
     (in billions)  

Housing

   ¥ 578      ¥ 923      ¥ 929      ¥ 942  

Living environment

     2,725        2,713        2,805        2,306  

Social welfare

     550        743        703        920  

Education

     1,176        1,232        1,522        1,278  

Small and medium enterprises

     3,627        4,323        4,197        3,861  

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries

     345        373        407        476  

National land conservation/disaster recovery

     180        645        348        477  

Road construction

     2,248        2,813        2,939        2,270  

Transportation/communications

     408        384        519        629  

Regional development

     467        447        372        259  

Industry/technology

     625        2,015        2,005        1,448  

Trade/economic cooperation

     1,978        1,039        1,644        1,313  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥ 14,906      ¥ 17,648      ¥ 18,390      ¥ 16,180  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

New classification

   JFY 2014      JFY 2015      JFY 2016      JFY 2017      JFY 2018  
     (in billions)  

SMEs and micro enterprises

   ¥ 3,750      ¥ 3,448      ¥ 3,182      ¥ 2,969      ¥ 2,912  

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries

     318        280        322        339        573  

Education

     1,134        1,038        1,055        932        943  

Welfare/medical care

     772        773        811        670        627  

Environment

     50        61        61        64        61  

Industry/innovation

     834        939        864        822        919  

Housing

     849        742        621        541        461  

Social capital(a)

     4,467        3,999        3,087        5,093        4,761  

Overseas investment and loans

     1,547        1,378        2,000        2,455        2,003  

Others

     2,460        1,964        1,477        1,243        1,204  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   ¥ 16,180      ¥ 14,622      ¥ 13,481      ¥ 15,128      ¥ 14,463  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

DEBT RECORD

There has been no default in the payment of interest or principal of any internal Japanese government obligation since the establishment of the modern Japanese state in 1868 or of any external Japanese government obligation within a period of 20 years prior hereto.

JAPAN’S PUBLIC DEBT

The following table summarizes, as of the dates indicated, the outstanding direct internal and external funded and floating debt of Japan. The term “floating debt” is used herein to mean all debt with maturities of one year or less from the date of issue. All other debt is classified as “funded debt.” Detailed debt tables are presented below.

The outstanding government bonds are expected to reach 883 trillion yen at the end of JFY 2018. The amount of public bonds issued by the Japanese government as a percentage of its general account total revenues was 35.3% under the initial budget for JFY 2017 and 34.5% under the initial budget for JFY 2018. The amount of the government bond issuances in the JFY 2018 initial budget is ¥33,692 billion and falls below the JFY 2017 revised budget level of ¥35,555 billion.

 

36


In order to reduce the outstanding government bonds, the Government approved the “Basic Framework for Fiscal Consolidation: Medium-term Fiscal Plan” on August 8, 2013. In this plan, the Government has established the following targets: halving the primary deficit of the national and local governments to GDP ratio by JFY 2015 from the ratio in JFY 2010 (-6.3%); achieving a primary surplus by JFY 2020; and steadily reducing the public debt to GDP ratio. In the fiscal consolidation plan, the government will firmly maintain these fiscal consolidation targets. According to the Cabinet Office’s projections, (i) the primary balance of national and local governments in JFY 2017 is projected to increase in deficit to -3.4 percentage points of GDP compared to -3.0 percentage points of GDP in JFY 2016, and (ii) the public debt-to-GDP ratio in JFY 2017 is projected to increase to 189.4% compared to 187.6% in JFY 2016. Debt-to-GDP ratio in JFY 2018 is projected to be 187.8%.

Summary of Japan’s Public Debt

 

     Funded      Floating
      Internal      
 

At the end of JFY

         Internal                  External        
     (in billions)      (in thousands)      (in billions)  

2013

     823,367            —            201,590      

2014

     851,097            —            202,261      

2015

     880,335            —            169,031      

2016

     908,093            —            163,467      

2017

     934,321            —            153,492      

As of March 31, 2018 Japan had guaranteed payment of principal and interest of various internal yen obligations in the aggregate principal amount of ¥33,970 billion and of various external obligations aggregating the equivalent of ¥5,926 billion.

The following table sets forth the aggregate annual payments of principal in respect of the direct internal funded debt of Japan outstanding as of March 31, 2018 for the periods indicated.

Principal Payments on Direct Funded Debt of Japan

 

JFY

             Internal            
     (in billions)  

2018

   ¥ 101,331        

2019

     104,270        

2020

     79,599        

2021

     72,999        

2022 to 2056

     576,081        
  

 

 

 

Total

   ¥ 934,280        
  

 

 

 

 

37


INTERNAL DEBT

Direct Debt of the Japanese Government

Funded Debt

 

                                                                                            

Title and Interest Rate

       Year of Issue              Year of Maturity          Principal Amounts
Outstanding as of
March 31, 2018
        (in millions)        
 

1. Bonds

        

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 40 years, 10 Series (0.4-2.4%)

     2007-2018            2048-2057          ¥ 20,283,700      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 30 years, 58 Series (0.3-2.9%)

     1999-2018            2029-2048            104,613,474      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 20 years, 125 Series (0.2-2.9%)

     1998-2018            2018-2038            230,546,960      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 15 years, 27 Series (variable rate)

     2003-2008            2018-2023            22,390,900      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 10 years, 58 Series (0.1-1.8%)

     2008-2018            2018-2028            308,203,795      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond for Individual Investors — 10 years, 78 Series (variable rate)

     2008-2018            2018-2028            8,520,562      

Inflation-Indexed Bonds —10 years, 7 Series (0.1-1.4%)

     2008-2018            2018-2027            8,473,565      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 5 years, 24 Series (0.1-0.4%)

     2013-2018            2018-2023            156,681,304      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond for Individual Investors — 5 years, 54 Series (0.05-0.3%)

     2013-2018            2018-2023            1,944,812      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond for Individual Investors — 3 years, 36 Series (0.05%)

     2015-2018            2018-2021            1,274,190      

Interest-Bearing Treasury Bond — 2 years, 24 Series (0.1%)

     2016-2018            2018-2020            57,975,364      

6% Bereaved Family Treasury Bond, 8 Series

     2009-2016            2018-2025            2      

6% Repatriation Treasury Bond, 3 Series

     2008-2014            2018-2024            0      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond, 1 Series

     2013            2023            3      

Non-interest Repatriation Special Benefit Treasury Bond, 1 Series

     2009            2019            0      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond IV, 2 Series

     2013-2016            2023-2026            12      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond X, 2 Series

     2013-2016            2023-2026            53      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XIII, 1 Series

     2016            2021            210      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XVII, 4 Series

     2010-2016            2020-2026            259      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXII, 9 Series(a)

     2009-2017            2019-2027            1,549      

 

38


Title and Interest Rate

       Year of Issue              Year of Maturity          Principal Amounts
Outstanding as of
March 31, 2018
        (in millions)        
 

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXVI, 1 Series

              2013                     2017                              —        

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXVII, 4 Series(a)

     2013-2017            2023-2027            56,112      

Non-interest Treasury Bond for Special Condolence X, 1 Series

     2015            2020            135,223      

Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXVIII, 1 Series

     2016            2021            699      
        

 

 

 

Total Bonds

         ¥ 921,102,747      
        

 

 

 

2. Borrowings

        

Former Temporary Military Expenditure(b)

     1943-1945             ¥ 41,422      

Allotment of Local Allocation and Local Transfer Tax

     2007            2037            11,093,748      

Former Government-Operated Land Improvement Project

     2008            2019-2026            18,714      

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

     2009            2017            —        

Former National Centers for Advanced and Specialized Medical Care

     2010            2018-2035            45,916      

Special Account for Fiscal Investment and Loan Program (0.1%)

     2015            2018            9,000      

Special Account for Energy Policy (0.04-1.9%)

     2005-2018            2018-2030            171,413      

Special Account for Stable Food Supply (0.06-1.3%)

     2009-2018            2022-2031            43,490      

Special Account for National Forest Debt Management (0.001-1.8%)

     1996-2018            2018-2033            1,222,611      

Special Account for Motor Vehicle Safety (0.0-1.5%)

     1999-2011            2019-2041            572,235      
        

 

 

 

Total Borrowings

         ¥ 13,218,549      
        

 

 

 

Total Direct Internal Funded Debt

         ¥ 934,321,297      
        

 

 

 

 

 

 

(a)

The amounts outstanding for Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXII, 9 Series and for Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond XXVII, 4 Series are higher than the amounts outstanding for the other Non-interest Special Benefit Treasury Bond series listed in this table because these bonds relate to “special benefit for the wives of the war dead, etc.”, for which benefit payments are high compared to other special benefits.

 

(b)

Represents borrowings by the government from special corporations of currencies of areas under Japanese control during World War II. The maturity of such borrowings and other matters relating to such borrowings remain undetermined.

 

39


Floating Debt

 

Title

   Interest     Year of
Maturity
     Principal Amounts
Outstanding as of
March 31, 2018

(in millions)
 

1. Bonds

       

Treasury Discount Bills

       

Food Financing Bills

     Non-interest bearing       2018        100,000  

Foreign Exchange Fund Financing Bills

     Non-interest bearing       2018-2019        73,363,230  

Petroleum Financing Bills

     Non-interest bearing       2018        1,185,700  

Treasury Bills, 12 Series

     Non-interest bearing       2018-2019        26,796,180  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the International Monetary Fund

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        4,160,245  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the International Development Association

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        25,737  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the Asian Development Bank

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        12,934  

Note for Contribution to the Special Funds of the Asian Development Bank

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        80,590  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the African Development Fund

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        50,654  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the Multilateral Investment Fund of the Inter-American Development Bank

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        —    

Note in Substitution for Currency of the International Fund for Agricultural Development

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        2,952  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the Global Environment Facility Trust Fund of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        47,080  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        721  

Note in Substitution for Currency of the Green Climate Fund

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        63,152  

Government Bonds issued to Development Bank of Japan

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        1,324,665  

Government Bonds issued to Nuclear Damage Liability Facilitation Fund

     Non-interest bearing       Payable on demand        5,473,600  
       

 

 

 

Total Bonds

        ¥ 112,687,439  

2. Borrowings

       

Special Account for Local Allocation Tax

     0.000-0.01     2018      ¥ 32,190,291  

Special Account of Pension

     0.01     2018        1,464,008  

Special Account for Energy Policy

     0.000     2018-2019        7,149,956  
       

 

 

 

Total Borrowings

        ¥ 40,804,255  

Total Direct Internal Floating Debt

        ¥ 153,491,694  
       

 

 

 

Total Direct Internal Debt

        ¥ 1,087,812,991  
       

 

 

 

 

40


Debt Guaranteed by the Japanese Government

 

                                                                                                                                           

Title

       Interest             Year of Issue          Year of
    Maturity    
     Principal Amounts
    Outstanding as of    
March 31, 2018

(in millions)
 

1. Bonds Issued by Government-Affiliated Corporations

          

Japan Finance Corporation

     0.001-1.500 %          2008-2018            2018-2028          ¥ 805,000      

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

     0.005-2.700 %          2005-2018            2018-2058            18,309,700      

New Kansai International Airport Co., Ltd.

     0.145-2.400 %          2007-2017            2019-2028            335,140      

Hanshin Expressway Co., Ltd.

     1.300 %          2010            2020            3,500      

Development Bank of Japan

     0.001-2.200 %          2006-2018            2018-2028            1,750,000      

Deposit Insurance Corporation of Japan

     0.100 %          2014-2018            2018-2022            1,780,000      

Banks’ Shareholdings Purchase Corporation

     0.100 %          2016-2018            2018-2020            850,000      

Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation

     0.001-0.117 %          2014-2017            2018-2021            800,000      

The Corporation for Revitalizing Earthquake-Affected Business

     0.001 %          2017            2021            20,000      

Private Finance Initiative Promotion Corporation of Japan

     0.145 %          2017            2027            5,000      

Organization for Promoting Urban Development

     0.020-0.699 %          2013-2018            2023-2028            36,800      

Central Japan International Airport Co., Ltd.

     0.001-1.300 %          2009-2018            2019-2028            149,600      

Japan Finance Organization for Municipalities

     0.001-2.200 %          2005-2018            2018-2028            7,512,820      
          

 

 

 

Total

           ¥ 32,357,560      
          

 

 

 

2. Borrowings of Government-Affiliated Corporations

          

Incorporated Administrative Agency — Farmers Pension Fund

     0.038-0.241 %          2013-2018            2018-2022          ¥ 352,900      

Incorporated Administrative Agency — Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Credit Foundations

     0.100 %          2015            2019            2,000      

Japan Railway Construction, Transport and Technology Agency

     0 %          2017            2018            16,510      

Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation

     0 %          2017-2018            2018-2019            424,233      

Deposit Insurance Corporation of Japan

     0 %          2017-2018            2018-2019            281,000      

Banks’ Shareholdings Purchase Corporation

     0 %          2018            2019            100,000      

Innovation Network Corporation of Japan

     0 %          2017            2018            197,800      

Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation

     0 %          2017            2018            200,000      

The Corporation for Revitalizing Earthquake-Affected Business

     0 %          2017            2018            17,500      

Private Finance Initiative Promotion Corporation of Japan

     0.066 %          2016            2020            15,000      

Organization for Promoting Urban Development

     0.081 %          2017            2021            5,800      
          

 

 

 

Total

           ¥ 1,612,743      

Total Internal Debt Guaranteed by the Japanese Government

           ¥             33,970,303      
          

 

 

 

 

41


EXTERNAL DEBT

Debt Guaranteed by the Japanese Government

 

                                                                                                                                           
         Interest             Year of Loan          Year of
    Maturity    
     Principal Amounts
    Outstanding as of    
March 31, 2018
(in thousands)
 

Japan Bank for International Cooperation

     1.500-3.375 %          2012-2017            2018-2027          $ 39,050,000      
     2.625 %          2014            2020          £ 425,000      
     2.300 %          2013            2018          CAD —        

Japan International Cooperation Agency

     1.875-2.750 %          2014-2017            2019-2027          $ 1,500,000      

Development Bank of Japan

     1.625-2.875 %          2012-2017            2018-2027          $ 7,505,000      
     4.750 %          2007            2027          700,000      
     1.050-2.300 %          1998-2006            2022-2028          ¥ 280,000,000      

Japan Finance Organization for Municipalities

     4.000 %          2011            2021          $ 1,000,000      
     5.750 %          1999            2019          £ 150,000      
     1.900 %          2008            2018          ¥ 75,000,000      
          

 

 

 
Totals by currency            $ 49,055,000      
           £ 575,000      
           700,000      
           CAD —        
           ¥ 355,000,000      

 

42


SUBSCRIPTIONS TO INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ORGANIZATIONS

The following table sets forth information relating to Japan’s obligations to contribute to the capital and financing requirements of international financing organizations in which it participates as of March 30, 2017.

 

Organization

       Subscription    
Amount
 
    

(in USD millions)

 

International Monetary Fund

   $  45,633(a)      

International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

     19,958(b)      

International Development Association

     43,620(c)      

International Finance Corporation

     163(d)      

Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency

     97(e)      

International Fund for Agricultural Development

     540(f)      

Asian Development Bank

     23,593(g)      

African Development Bank

     5,091(h)      

African Development Fund

     4,281(i)      

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

     3,068(j)      

Inter-American Development Bank

     8,878(k)      

Inter-American Investment Corporation

     50(l)      

Multilateral Investment Fund

     570(m)      

 

 

 

(a)

Equivalent of SDR 30,820.5 million as of April 30, 2017.

 

(b)

As stated in IBRD Financial Statements as of June 30, 2017.

 

(c)

As stated in IDA Financial Statements as of June 30, 2017.

 

(d)

As stated in IFC Financial Statements as of June 30, 2017.

 

(e)

As stated in MIGA Financial Statements as of June 30, 2017.

 

(f)

As stated in IFAD Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017.

 

(g)

As stated in ADB Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017.

 

(h)

As stated in AfDB Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017. Equivalent of UA 3,557 million.

 

(i)

As stated in AfDF Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017. Equivalent of UA 2,767 million.

 

(j)

As stated in EBRD Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017. Equivalent of € 2,557 million.

 

(k)

As stated in IDB Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017.

 

(l)

As stated in IIC Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017.

 

(m)

As stated in MIF Financial Statements as of December 31, 2017.

 

43