EX-99 2 d630969dex99.htm EX-99 EX-99
National Fuel Gas Company
Analyst Day Presentation
November 19, 2013
Exhibit 99


National Fuel Gas Company
Safe Harbor For Forward Looking Statements
2
This
presentation
may
contain
“forward-looking
statements”
as
defined
by
the
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995,
including
statements
regarding
future
prospects,
plans,
performance
and
capital
structure,
anticipated
capital
expenditures
and
completion
of
construction
projects,
as
well
as
statements
that
are
identified
by
the
use
of
the
words
“anticipates,”
“estimates,”
“expects,”
“forecasts,”
“intends,”
“plans,”
“predicts,”
“projects,”
“believes,”
“seeks,”
“will,”
“may,”
and
similar
expressions.
Forward-looking
statements
involve
risks
and
uncertainties,
which
could
cause
actual
results
or
outcomes
to
differ
materially
from
those
expressed
in
the
forward-looking
statements.
The
Company’s
expectations,
beliefs
and
projections
contained
herein
are
expressed
in
good
faith
and
are
believed
to
have
a
reasonable
basis,
but
there
can
be
no
assurance
that
such
expectations,
beliefs
or
projections
will
result
or
be
achieved
or
accomplished.
In
addition
to
other
factors,
the
following
are
important
factors
that
could
cause
actual
results
to
differ
materially
from
results
referred
to
in
the
forward-looking
statements: 
factors
affecting
the
Company’s
ability
to
successfully
identify,
drill
for
and
produce
economically
viable
natural
gas
and
oil
reserves,
including
among
others
geology,
lease
availability,
title
disputes,
weather
conditions,
shortages,
delays
or
unavailability
of
equipment
and
services
required
in
drilling
operations,
insufficient
gathering,
processing
and
transportation
capacity,
the
need
to
obtain
governmental
approvals
and
permits,
and
compliance
with
environmental
laws
and
regulations;
changes
in
laws,
regulations
or
judicial
interpretations
to
which
the
Company
is
subject,
including
those
involving
derivatives,
taxes,
safety,
employment,
climate
change,
other
environmental
matters,
real
property,
and
exploration
and
production
activities
such
as
hydraulic
fracturing;
changes
in
the
price
of
natural
gas
or
oil;
impairments
under
the
SEC’s
full
cost
ceiling
test
for
natural
gas
and
oil
reserves;
uncertainty
of
oil
and
gas
reserve
estimates;
significant
differences
between
the
Company’s
projected
and
actual
production
levels
for
natural
gas
or
oil;
changes
in
demographic
patterns
and
weather
conditions;
changes
in
the
availability,
price
or
accounting
treatment
of
derivative
financial
instruments;
governmental/regulatory
actions,
initiatives
and
proceedings,
including
those
involving
rate
cases
(which
address,
among
other
things,
allowed
rates
of
return,
rate
design
and
retained
natural
gas),
environmental/safety
requirements,
affiliate
relationships,
industry
structure,
and
franchise
renewal;
delays
or
changes
in
costs
or
plans
with
respect
to
Company
projects
or
related
projects
of
other
companies,
including
difficulties
or
delays
in
obtaining
necessary
governmental
approvals,
permits
or
orders
or
in
obtaining
the
cooperation
of
interconnecting
facility
operators;
financial
and
economic
conditions,
including
the
availability
of
credit,
and
occurrences
affecting
the
Company’s
ability
to
obtain
financing
on
acceptable
terms
for
working
capital,
capital
expenditures
and
other
investments,
including
any
downgrades
in
the
Company’s
credit
ratings
and
changes
in
interest
rates
and
other
capital
market
conditions;
changes
in
economic
conditions,
including
global,
national
or
regional
recessions,
and
their
effect
on
the
demand
for,
and
customers’
ability
to
pay
for,
the
Company’s
products
and
services;
the
creditworthiness
or
performance
of
the
Company’s
key
suppliers,
customers
and
counterparties;
economic
disruptions
or
uninsured
losses
resulting
from
major
accidents,
fires,
severe
weather,
natural
disasters,
terrorist
activities,
acts
of
war,
cyber
attacks
or
pest
infestation;
changes
in
price
differential
between
similar
quantities
of
natural
gas
at
different
geographic
locations,
and
the
effect
of
such
changes
on
the
demand
for
pipeline
transportation
capacity
to
or
from
such
locations;
other
changes
in
price
differentials
between
similar
quantities
of
oil
or
natural
gas
having
different
quality,
heating
value,
geographic
location
or
delivery
date;
significant
differences
between
the
Company’s
projected
and
actual
capital
expenditures
and
operating
expenses;
changes
in
laws,
actuarial
assumptions,
the
interest
rate
environment
and
the
return
on
plan/trust
assets
related
to
the
Company’s
pension
and
other
post-retirement
benefits,
which
can
affect
future
funding
obligations
and
costs
and
plan
liabilities;
the
cost
and
effects
of
legal
and
administrative
claims
against
the
Company
or
activist
shareholder
campaigns
to
effect
changes
at
the
Company;
increasing
health
care
costs
and
the
resulting
effect
on
health
insurance
premiums
and
on
the
obligation
to
provide
other
post-retirement
benefits;
or
increasing
costs
of
insurance,
changes
in
coverage
and
the
ability
to
obtain
insurance.
Forward-looking
statements
include
estimates
of
oil
and
gas
quantities.
Proved
oil
and
gas
reserves
are
those
quantities
of
oil
and
gas
which,
by
analysis
of
geoscience
and
engineering
data,
can
be
estimated
with
reasonable
certainty
to
be
economically
producible
under
existing
economic
conditions,
operating
methods
and
government
regulations
.
Other
estimates
of
oil
and
gas
quantities,
including
estimates
of
probable
reserves,
possible
reserves,
and
resource
potential,
are
by
their
nature
more
speculative
than
estimates
of
proved
reserves.
Accordingly,
estimates
other
than
proved
reserves
are
subject
to
substantially
greater
risk
of
being
actually
realized.
Investors
are
urged
to
consider
closely
the
disclosure
in
our
Form
10-K
available
at
www.nationalfuelgas.com.
You
can
also
obtain
this
form
on
the
SEC’s
website
at
www.sec.gov.
For
a
discussion
of
the
risks
set
forth
above
and
other
factors
that
could
cause
actual
results
to
differ
materially
from
results
referred
to
in
the
forward-looking
statements,
see
“Risk
Factors”
in
the
Company’s
Form
10-K
for
the
fiscal
year
ended
September
30,
2012
and
Forms
10-Q
for
the
periods
ended
December
31,
2012,
March
31,
2013
and
June
30,
2013.
The
Company
disclaims
any
obligation
to
update
any
forward-looking
statements
to
reflect
events
or
circumstances
after
the
date
thereof
or
to
reflect
the
occurrence
of
unanticipated
events.


National Fuel Gas Company
Analyst Day –
Schedule of Speakers
3
Presenter
Topic
Ron Tanski
President and Chief Executive Officer
Corporate
Overview
Matt Cabell
President of Seneca Resources Corporation
Exploration
&
Production
Overview
John McGinnis
Senior VP of Seneca Resources Corporation
Appraisal
&
Development
Barry McMahan
Senior VP of Seneca Resources Corporation
California
Marcellus
Operational
&
Environmental
Ron Kraemer
President of Empire Pipeline, Inc.
VP of National Fuel Gas Supply Corporation
Midstream Businesses
Dave Bauer
Treasurer and Principal Financial Officer
Utility
Overview
Hedging
Strategy
Financial
Wrap-Up


Corporate Overview


National Fuel Gas Company
Exceptional Assets, Focused on Execution
5
1.549 Tcfe of Proved Reserves
800,000 Net Acres in Pennsylvania
2.8 MMBbl of Crude Oil Production
$191 Million of Midstream EBITDA


National Fuel Gas Company
A History of Success & A Future of Opportunity
6
Recent Success
35% Production CAGR
Since 2010
Nearly $600 Million Invested
in New Pipeline Infrastructure
De-risked 2,000 Well
Locations in the Marcellus


Corporate Overview
Integrated Businesses Provide Complimentary Benefits
7


Corporate Overview
Consistent Growth in Low Natural Gas Price Environment
8
Fiscal
Year
Natural Gas
(1)
($/MMBtu)
2009
$4.68
2010
$4.49
2011
$4.10
2012
$2.83
2013
$3.60
Natural gas prices dropped
23% from 2009 to 2013


Corporate Overview
Still in the Early Stages of Our Marcellus Growth Story
9
2008-2009
2010-2011
2012-2013
2014-2015
2016+
Initial Delineation
Full Development
(200-220 Locations)
Initial Delineation
Full Development
(1,700-2,000 Locations)
Optimization & Enhancement
Optimization &
Enhancement
Delineation (New Areas/Depths)
Delineation
(New Areas/Depths)
Production
Decline


Corporate Overview
Formula to Grow Our Marcellus Development Program
10
High-Quality
Reservoir
Realized
Natural Gas
Price
?
Increased
Capital
Deployment
Operating
Efficiencies


Corporate Overview
Opportunities to Move Gas Out of the Northeast
11
The oversupply of natural gas in the Northeast is creating opportunities for
the midstream businesses to develop projects to deliver to higher-priced
markets such as Eastern Canada and the Southeast


Corporate Overview
Marcellus Infrastructure Growth Still Has Room to Run
12
Capacity Added
1,819 MDth per day
Capital Deployed
$422 million
2010 to 2013 Expansions
Capacity Planned
1,724 to 2,224 MDth per day
Capital Expenditures Planned
~$1.5 billion
2014+ Expansions
Plans are in place to deploy
significant capital to double
the expansion capacity
added since 2010


National Fuel Gas Company
A History of Success & A Future of Opportunity
13
10-15%
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
15-25%
Production Growth
$1.5 Billion of Midstream
Investment Over 5 Years
Future Goals


Strong Balance Sheet
Ability to modestly increase
leverage
1.89x Debt/Adjusted EBITDA
Balanced Business Mix
58% E&P
(1)
42% Midstream/Utility
(1)
Operational synergies
Investment Grade Credit
Diversification of businesses
provide credit support
Leverage is the cheapest cost of
capital today
Corporate Overview
Maintaining Our View on Corporate Structure
14
Today
Future (2015+)
More Aggressive Growth
Requires Capital
Goal is to accelerate value
creation
Need stronger natural gas prices
Additional leverage is limited
Result may lead to a shift in
business mix
Options to Consider
Midstream MLP
Upstream/Midstream JV
In today’s commodity price environment, our current structure
can handle near-term growth.  Look to accelerate development
when the economics of doing so are favorable.


Exploration & Production
Overview


Seneca Resources
Seneca’s Evolution
16


Total production increased 45% to 120.7 Bcfe
Seneca Resources
Fiscal 2013 Highlights
17
Replaced 351% of proved reserves
Finding & Development Cost: $1.31/Mcfe
Marcellus Finding & Development Cost: $0.99/Mcfe
351%
Achieved major breakthrough in the Marcellus
Shale Western Development Area (WDA)
De-risked 1,700 to 2,000 future drilling locations
WDA
Success


Seneca Resources
Disciplined Capital Spending
18


Seneca Resources
Proven Record of Growth
19
Fiscal
Years
3-Year
F&D Cost
(1)
($/Mcfe)
2006-2008
$7.63
2007-2009
$5.35
2008-2010
$2.37
2009-2011
$2.09
2010-2012
$1.87
2011-2013
$1.67
2013 F&D Cost = $1.31
Marcellus F&D: $0.99
Doubled Proved Reserves
Since 2010
71% Proved Developed


Seneca Resources
Best-In-Class Marcellus Shale Reserve Growth
20


Seneca Resources
Delivering Tremendous Production Growth
21


Seneca Resources
Delivering More than Just Absolute Growth
22


Marcellus Shale
Significant Position & Integral Part of Seneca’s Future
23
Company
Net Marcellus
Acreage
(1)
Enterprise
Value
(2)
($ Billions)
Acres per
$ Million of EV
NFG
780,000
$7.4
105.4
RRC
835,000
$15.5
53.9
EQT
560,000
$15.5
36.1
SWN
337,000
$14.6
23.0
AR
334,000
$17.2
19.4
COG
200,000
$15.2
13.1


Marcellus Shale
Factors for Success
Acreage Position –
Quantity & Quality
Operating Expertise
Control costs
Maximize production
Gathering, Transportation and Marketing
Financial Stability
Ability to withstand price swings and market dislocations
24


Marcellus Shale
Prolific Pennsylvania Acreage
25


Seneca Acreage
Huge Position –
Varies in Understanding
26
Understanding Seneca’s
780,000 Net Acres
Northeast Core
~30,000 acres in NE Core
Tier I Acres
~200,000 acres
Economic less than $4/Mcf
Awaiting Evaluation
~250,000 acres
Requires Gas Price Above $4/Mcf
~300,000 acres


Seneca Acreage
Fee Ownership & Contiguity are Beneficial
27
No Royalty
No Lease
Expiration
Contiguous
Acreage
Blocks
Seneca’s Tier I acreage is approaching
Northeast Core economics


28
Seneca Acreage
Seneca’s Marcellus Acreage Provides a Unique Advantage
Seneca Advantage #1
Fee Ownership
Position
28% IRR
Competitor
Advantage #1
Advantage #2
Seneca Advantage
Capital Expenditures
$9,000
$9,000
$7,000
$7,000
Multiple Pads
No
No
Yes
Yes
Working Interest
100%
100%
100%
100%
Revenue Interest
84%
100%
84%
100%
IRR
18%
28%
29%
43%
Seneca Advantage #2
Contiguous Acreage
for Multiple Pads
29% IRR
Seneca Advantage
Fee Ownership +
Contiguous Acreage
43% IRR
Competitor
Single Pad
Working Interest: 100%
Revenue Interest: 84%
18% IRR


Seneca’s Operations
Best-In-Class Operator in Lycoming County (EDA)
29


Seneca’s Operations
Top-Notch Lycoming Economics
30


Seneca’s Operations
Seneca’s Lycoming Economics are in the Top 3
31


Seneca’s Operations
Driving Down Well Costs
32
In 2014, total well costs are expected to be ~35-40% lower than 2012


Seneca’s Gathering & Marketing
Seneca’s Overall Marketing Strategy
33
Develop gathering
infrastructure with
NFG Midstream
Firm sales at
interstate pipeline
interconnects
Firm transport  (FT)
to major markets
Firm sales tied to
FT contracts
Financial hedges to
lock in benchmark
and basis risk
Financial hedges to
lock in benchmark
and basis risk
Historical Strategy
Current/Long-Term Strategy


National Fuel’s Financial Stability
Ability to Withstand Pricing Challenges
34


Marcellus Shale
Factors for Success
Acreage Position –
Quantity & Quality
Operating Expertise
Control costs
Maximize production
Gathering, Transportation and Marketing
Financial Stability
Ability to withstand price swings and market dislocations
35


California
Outstanding Cash Flow
(1)
36


California
Looking Back at the Successful Ivanhoe Acquisition
37


California
Looking Forward
38
1.
Manage decline of base
production
2.
Pursue and develop opportunities
for growth from current assets
Sespe
East Coalinga
South Midway Sunset
3.
Continue to pursue additional
acquisition and farm-in
opportunities


Seneca Resources
Key Metrics
39
Operational
Strategy
Metric
Fiscal 2009
Strategic
Improvements
Fiscal 2013
Focus on growth-
oriented Marcellus
Shale assets with
significant fee
acreage
Maintain and grow
strong cash flow
assets in California
East Division
Production
East Division
Proved Reserves
East Division
EBITDA
Operating Costs
(1)
West Division
EBITDA
Cash Margin
(2)
9 Bcfe
(21% of Total Production)
152 Bcfe
(29% of Proved Reserves)
$57 million
(20% of Total EBITDA)
$2.15 per Mcfe
$172 million
$52 per Bbl
101 Bcfe
(83% of Total Production)
1,240 Bcfe
(80% of Proved Reserves)
$284 million
(57% of Total EBITDA)
$1.09 per Mcfe
One of the lowest cost
producers in the region
$215 million
$66 per Bbl
12x Production
Growth
7x Reserve
Growth
5x EBITDA
Growth
49% Decrease
per Mcfe
25% EBITDA
Growth
28% Margin
Improvement


Seneca Resources
What Will Seneca Look Like Moving Forward?
40
Consistent Production Growth: 15-25% CAGR
Driven by a very large, high-quality Appalachian acreage position
Maintain Oil Production    
Expand When Possible
Excellent operator and significant cash flow generation
Disciplined Spending Driven by Rates of Return
Pace of development adapts to changing market dynamics
A Leader in Technology, Safety & Environmental Responsibility
Maintain a leadership role in using technology and developing best practices


41
Appraisal & Development
Overview


Marcellus Shale
WDA Is the Key to Seneca’s Long-Term Growth Outlook
42
Full Development Since 2010
~225 locations remaining
70-90 wells in Lycoming County
Near-term driver of growth
Full Development Started in 2013
1,700 to 2,000 locations de-risked
Long-term driver of growth
Seneca Lease
Seneca Fee
720,000 Acres
60,000 Acres


Marcellus Shale
Significantly Improved Understanding of the WDA
43
James City
Church Run
Owl’s Nest
Mt. Jewett
W. Branch
Clermont
St. Mary’s
Kyler’s Corner
Boone Mtn
Sulger Farm
Tionesta
Beechwood
Red Hill/
Leasgang
Punxy
Rich Valley
Ridgway
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
Key Statistics
Vertical
Wells:
30
Full
Core:
8
Sidewall
Core:
2
3D
Seismic:
432
sq
m
3D Seismic Outlines
EOG Earned Acreage


Marcellus Shale
Northwest PA Generalized Cross-Section
44
Transitional
Outer Shelf
CaCO
3
Sed. Rate
TOC
Platform
Basin
Rich Valley
Clermont
Beechwood
Owl’s Nest
James City
Leasgang
Punxy
Ridgway
High variability, very poor
rock quality in areas
High organics, great rock quality, less variability
Medium rock quality, high pressures


Marcellus Shale
WDA Log Summary Cross-Section
45
TOC/PHI/BWV
0        Wt%       50
0.2   v/v    0
0.2   v/v    0
Mineralogy
Volume %
Gas Resource
0   Mcf/ac-ft  1500
0  Bcf/mi  100
= 6.8 -
8.1%
Total GIP = ~70/sect
= 5.6 -
6.7%
Total GIP = ~75/sect
TOC/PHI/BWV
0        Wt%       50
0.2   v/v    0
0.2   v/v    0
Mineralogy
Volume %
Gas Resource
0   Mcf/ac-ft  1500
0  Bcf/mi  100
TOC/PHI/BWV
0        Wt%       50
0.2   v/v    0
0.2   v/v    0
Mineralogy
Volume %
Gas Resource
0   Mcf/ac-ft  1500
0  Bcf/mi  100
TOC/PHI/BWV
0        Wt%       50
0.2   v/v    0
0.2   v/v    0
Mineralogy
Volume %
Gas Resource
0   Mcf/ac-ft  1500
0  Bcf/mi  100
= 5.5 -
6.6%
Total GIP = ~60/sect
= 2.8 –
4.3%
Total GIP =  < 40/sect
Very poor rock quality.
Low gas in place.
Transitional Outer Shelf
Platform
Basin


SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
EOG Earned JV Acreage
Marcellus Shale
2013 & 2014 WDA Delineation Program
46
Owl’s Nest –
Delineating
2 High Btu Wells Completed
Rich Valley –
Full Development
2 Wells Completed
7-Day IP of 7.8 MMcf/d & EUR of 7.4 Bcf
2
Well 7-Day IP: 4.5 MMcf/d
Tionesta –
Delineating
1 Well Completed
Ridgway –
Delineating
1 Well Completed
2013 Drill Program
Seneca Operated
Heath –
Delineating
1 Well Planned
Sulger Farms –
Delineating
1 Well Planned
Hemlock –
Delineating
1 Well Planned
2014 Drill Program
Church Run –
Delineating
1 Well Completed
Clermont –
Full Development
2 Wells Completed
9H: 7-Day IP of 10 MMcf/d & EUR of 8.6 Bcf
10H: 7-Day IP of 7.4 MMcf/d & EUR of 6.6 Bcf
nd


Marcellus Shale
Rich Valley/Clermont is in Full Development Mode
47
Clermont
Rich Valley
Rich Valley 2
Well
7-day IP: 4.5 MMcf/d
Lateral Length: 4,492’
Marcellus Faults
Marcellus & Basement Faults
200-250 Horizontal Locations
Pad N: Spacing Test
JV Wells
Pad H
Pad D
Pad E
Pad O
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
Clermont
RCS: 9H 7-day IP:  10.0 MMcf/d (EUR: 8.6 Bcf)
Non-RCS: 10H 7-day IP:  7.4 MMcf/d
Rich Valley
7-day IP: 7.8 MMcf/d
EUR: 7.4 BCF
Lateral Length: 6,372’
nd


Marcellus Shale
Clermont Wells Improved from Early Non-Op JV Wells
48
Clermont 5H & 6H (Non-op wells)
Avg. lateral length: 3,344’
Small casing: 4.5”
Restricted pump rates
Wide stage spacing: 350’
No soaking, low Sw’s
Clermont 9H & 10H
(Seneca wells)
Avg. lateral length: >5,500’
Large casing: 5.5”
Increased pump rates
9H (RCS): 150’
spacing
10H (Standard): 240’
spacing
Soaked both wells: 30 Days


Marcellus Shale
Moving All Completions to Reduced Cluster Spacing (RCS)
49
RCS Design
Conventional Design
Twice the number of stages/perforations
Increases stimulated reservoir volume
Increased proppant near the wellbore improves fracture conductivity


Marcellus Shale
Consistently Improved Results in the Owl’s Nest Area
50
2013 Appraisal Program
Lateral length
>4,400’
to 6,200’
RCS completions
150’
spacing
Soaked wells
30 –
60 days
Target interval
Union Springs: 100% in
target


Marcellus Shale
Strong Wells Across WDA Acreage
51
Well Name
Completion
Design
Treatable
Lateral
Length
Stages
Peak
24-Hour
Rate
(MMcfd)
Peak
7-Day
Rate
(MMcfd)
EUR
(Bcf)
Status
Rich Valley 27H
RCS
1
6,372’
42
8.1
7.8
7.4
Producing
Clermont 9H
RCS
5,500’
37
11.4
10.0
8.6
Producing
Clermont 10H
Non-RCS
5,565’
23
8.1
7.3
6.6
Producing
Ridgway 19H
RCS
5,537’
37
7.1
6.4
5-8
Flowback
Test
Church Run 2H
RCS
4,435’
29
4.8
4.5
4-6
Flowback
Test
Owl’s Nest 54H
RCS
6,139’
41
6.1
5.8
4-7
Flowback
Test
Owl’s Nest 59H
RCS; Gel
2
5,371’
36
3.4
3.1
2-4
Flowback
Test


Marcellus Shale
Key Areas of Improvement in Recent Delineation Program
52
Areas of Improvement
2012-2013 Delineation Program
Target Selection (Landing Depth)
Identification of specific target interval is key
Target Execution
Percent of wellbore in target interval increased
from prior years
Completion Design
Reduced Cluster Spacing (RCS)
Shorter stages: From 240-350’
down to 150’
Increased volume of sand per foot
Lateral Length
Drilled laterals 15-45% longer than in prior years


Marcellus Shale
Selection of Target Interval is Critical
53
Previous programs spent a significant portion ( > 60% ) of the wellbore outside of
the current target interval, identified to have improved productivity


Marcellus Shale
Optimized Landing Depth
54
EDA Lycoming Type Log
160
140
120
100
80
40
20
60
ROP (ft/hr)
ROP vs Height Above Onondaga
Improved Target Zone Drivers
Best rock quality in terms of organic content,
brittleness, and porosity
Highest rate of penetration (ROP)


Marcellus Shale
Continued Improvement Staying within Targeted Interval
55
Reasons for Improvement
3D seismic acquisition
Improved communication between Geology, Drilling and Completion
teams
Geosteering technology (azimuthal GR)


Marcellus Shale
RCS
&
Increased
Sand
Volume
Generating
Better
Results
56
Improved near wellbore
fracture conductivity
Increases near wellbore fracturing
& stimulated  reservoir volume
Reducing stage length, increasing the number of stages, and increasing proppant
volume have been integral in improving well productivity


Marcellus Shale
Longer Laterals Drive Improved Economics
57
Lateral lengths have increased even as target
selection and execution have improved


Marcellus Shale
2013 Appraisal Program was a Success
58
50-hr Flowback Rate (Mcf/d/1000')
P10
P50
P90
Mean
StDev
FY13 Program
1,427
1,128
893
1,147
211
Previous Programs
1,002
519
270
589
329
Avg Rate. Peak 50 ht/1000’


Marcellus Shale
200,000 Acres With 6-8 Bcfe EUR Wells
59


Marcellus Shale
1,700 To 2,000 Economic WDA Locations Below $4/Mcfe
60
Prospect
County
Product
Approx.
Remaining
Locations
EUR
(Bcfe)
BTU
IRR
(1)
@
$4/MMBtu
15% IRR
(1)
Breakeven Price
($/Mcf)
Tract 100
Lycoming
Dry Gas
40
11.5
1,030
90%
$2.20
Gamble
Lycoming
Dry Gas
29
10-11
1,030
77%
$2.33
Tract 595
Tioga
Dry Gas
20
8.4
1,030
45%
$2.63
Clermont/Rich Valley
Elk/Cameron
Dry Gas
228
6-8
1,050
38%
$2.80
Ridgway
Elk
Dry Gas
450-570
6-8
1,111
26%
$3.30
Hemlock
Elk
Dry Gas
130-170
6-8
1,070
23%
$3.40
Church Run
Elk
Dry Gas
60-70
6-8
1,125
22%
$3.45
(W) West Branch
McKean
Dry Gas
47
6-8
1,050
22%
$3.48
Covington
Tioga
Dry Gas
Developed
5.7
1,030
22%
$3.49
Heath
Jefferson
Dry Gas
260-330
5-8
1,060
19%
$3.65
Sulger Farms
Jefferson
Dry Gas
170-210
5-8
1,020
19%
$3.66
Owl’s Nest/James City
Elk/Forest
Dry Gas
120-160
5-8
1,125
18%
$3.69
Boone Mt.
Elk
Dry Gas
230-290
4-6
1,020
18%
$3.76
Church Run
Elk
Wet Gas
40-50
2-4
1,140
13%
$4.32
Tionesta
Forest/Venango
Wet Gas/
Liquids
300-340
4-6
1,325
12%
$4.50
Owl’s Nest/James City
Elk/Forest
Wet Gas
150-180
4-6
1,140
11%
$4.51
Mt. Jewett
McKean
Wet Gas
90-110
2-4
1,140
6%
$5.50
Beechwood
Cameron
Dry Gas
210-280
2-4
1,030
2%
$7.14
Red Hill
Cameron
Dry Gas
150-200
2-4
1,030
2%
$7.14
2013 Appraisal prospects
2014 Appraisal prospects


Marcellus Shale Marketing
Intercompany Gathering Ensures Timely Gas Sales
61
Develop gathering
infrastructure with
NFG Midstream
Firm transport  (FT)
to major markets
Firm sales tied to
FT contracts
Financial hedges to
lock in benchmark
and basis risk
Financial hedges to
lock in benchmark
and basis risk
Historical Strategy
Current/Long-Term Strategy
Firm sales at
interstate pipeline
interconnects


Marcellus Shale Marketing
Securing Firm Transportation to Major Markets
62
Current Seneca
Development Areas
Firm transport to
Canada, Northeast
and Southeast
U.S. markets


Marcellus Shale Marketing
TGP 300 Production & Firm Sales Aligned Thru 2014
63


Marcellus Shale Marketing
Targeting Future Firm Sales on Transco
64


Point Pleasant & Utica Shale
Continuing to Delineate
65
Permitted
Drilled/Drilling
Completed
Producing
Mt. Jewett
Horizontal: completed September 2013
Peak 24-Hour Rate: 8.5 MMcf/d
Tionesta
Horizontal: Completed Fall 2012
Peak 24-Hour Rate: 3.9 MMcf/d
Rex
9.2 MMcf/d
Chesapeake
6.4 MMcf/d
Range Resources
4.4 MMcf/d
Range Resources
1.4 MMcf/d
“Not Effectively Stimulated”
Halcon
6.6 MMcf/d,
750 Bbls/d
Halcon
2.5 MMcf/d,
360 Bbls/d
Halcon
4.5 MMcf/d,
860 Bbls/d
Eastern Ohio
Point Pleasant Core
Point Pleasant
Northern Boundary


Mississippian Lime
Commencing Evaluation Program in Fiscal 2014
66
The initial entry into the Mississippian Lime play furthers the Company’s
goal of maintaining a significant contribution from oil-producing properties
Unit
30-day IP:
352 BOED
(92% Oil/NGLs)
Total Net Acres: 13,615
100% working interest in 4,400
gross acres
55% net working interest in 17,365
gross acres
Negotiated an increase in Seneca’s
working interest and have taken over
as operator
Currently
drilling first well
Will drill up to 5 evaluation wells in
2014


California
Update


California
Stable Production Fields; Modest Growth Potential
68
East Coalinga
Temblor Formation
Primary
North Lost Hills
Tulare & Etchegoin Formation
Primary/Steamflood
South Lost Hills
Monterey Shale
Primary
North Midway Sunset
Tulare & Potter Formation
Steamflood
South Midway Sunset
Antelope Formation
Steamflood
Sespe
Sespe Formation
Primary
Key Areas of Focus in 2014
1.
East Coalinga Evaluation
2.
South Midway Sunset Extensions
3.
Sespe Coldwater Evaluation


California
South Midway Sunset Has Delivered Significant Growth
69
Highlights Since Acquisition
Increased daily production by 130%
Drilled 80 new producers
Added 3.3 MMBO of proven reserves
Increased steam capacity by 280%
Identified opportunities for additional
pool development
Extended Pool Boundary
Original Pool Boundary
Existing Wells


California
South MWSS Growth Opportunities Continue into 2014
70


California
Early Success in Farm-In with Chevron at East Coalinga
71
1-Acre
Test
48 BOPD
5-Acre Test
54 BOPD
2-Acre Test
18 BOPD
2000’
Returned to Production
1-acre (~30 locations)
2-acre (~40 locations)
5-acre (~120 locations)
Downspacing Potential
2013 Evaluation Wells
Seneca Lease
Existing Wells
Highlights Since Acquisition
Achieved highest field production in 10
years
Production increased 130% since 1/2013
Drilled 12 evaluation wells that
confirmed downspacing potential
Returned 40 idle wells back to
production


California
Ramping Up the Coalinga Drill Program in Fiscal 2014
72
2014 Development Program
(Tentative)
Location Selection Criteria
2014 Locations (30)
2013 Locations (12)
2013 new well production
Reservoir pressure mapping
Historical production
Past EOR attempts


California
Ongoing Evaluation of Long-Term Sespe Potential
73
TC 524-28
IP: 100 BOEPD
1
Oil 10/13
“X”
SANDS ISOCHORE (Thickness)
1
Mile
2011 Wells (5)
2012 Wells (6)
2013 Wells (6)
2014 Wells (4)
TC 525-28
IP: 160 BOEPD
1
Oil 10/13
WS 525-33
1
Oil in 11/13
WS 535-33
1
Oil in 11/13
Year
Target
# of
Wells
Average IP
(BOEPD)
2011
Sespe (5-Acre Infill)
2
75
2011
Sespe (10-Acre)
3
90
2012
Sespe (5-Acre Infill)
2
70
2012
Coldwater
2
125
2012
Sespe (10 Acre)
2
110
2013
Sespe (5-Acre Infill)
2
NA
2013
Coldwater
2
130
2013
Sespe (10 Acre)
2
85
st
st
st
st


California
Evaluating the Monterey Shale at South Lost Hills
74


California
Limited Growth Opportunities, But Strong Economics
75
Field
Average
Well Cost
Average
EUR
(MBO)
Estimated
IRR
@$100/Bbl
Fiscal 2014
Locations
South Midway Sunset
$250,000
30
75%
23
East Coalinga
$400,000
40
50%
30
Sespe –
5 Acre Infill
$2,800,000
150
25%
0
Sespe -
Coldwater
$2,800,000
180
35%
4


California
Modest Growth Anticipated in 2014 and 2015
76


77
Marcellus Operational
& Environmental Overview


Marcellus Shale
Our Development Approach Drives Major Efficiencies
78
Multi-Well
Pads
Focused
Development
Areas
Faster Spud-to-Sales Timing
Economies of Scale Reduces Costs
Minimal Infrastructure Constraints & Well Backlog
Technical &
Operational
Expertise


Marcellus Shale
EDA Delivering Significant Growth
79
Covington –
Fully Developed
Gross Production: ~60 MMcf per Day
47 Wells Drilled and Producing
DCNR Tract 595
Gross Production: ~100 MMcf per Day
34 Wells Drilled (52 Total Locations)
26 Wells Producing
DCNR Tract 100
Gross Production:  ~220 MMcf per Day
40 Wells Drilled (70 Total Locations)
30 Wells Producing
Gamble
Recently, 30 to 50 future
locations were added in
Lycoming County


Marcellus Shale
EDA –
Historical Well Results Are Exceptional
80
Development Area
Producing
Well Count
Average
IP Rate
(MMcf/d)
Average
7-Day
(MMcf/d)
Average
30-Day
(MMcf/d)
Average
EUR
per Well
(Bcf)
Average
Lateral
Length
EUR per
1,000’
of
Lateral
(Bcfe)
Covington
Tioga
County
47
5.2
4.7
4.1
5.7
4,023’
1.42
Tract 595
Tioga
County
26
7.1
6.0
5.1
8.4
4,639’
1.81
Tract 100
Lycoming
County
30
16.1
14.2
11.9
11.5
5,210’
2.21
Seneca’s acreage in Lycoming County has consistently delivered some of
the most prolific wells in the Marcellus Shale


Marcellus Shale
Faster Spud-to-Sales: Drilling Efficiencies
81
How has this been accomplished?
Directional Plan Optimization
Minimize drilling path corrections
Bit Selection
Increases drilling rate and durability
Drill Top-hole Sections Deeper
with Water
More efficient and cost effective
Optimize Landing Depth
Improves production and rate of
penetration


Marcellus Shale
Faster Spud-to-Sales: Multi-Well Pads Are Key
82
Limiting the movement of rigs between pads allows for more drilling
Using LEAN practices has eliminated four days from each rig move
Staying in smaller regional areas further limits move time


Marcellus Shale
Drilling Efficiencies Allow for More Wells per Year
83
In spite of increasing the average lateral length, each
rig is drilling more wells per year


Marcellus Shale
Faster Spud-to-Sales: Completing More Stages per Day
84


Marcellus Shale
Faster Spud-to-Sales: The Overall Picture
85
(1)


Marcellus Shale
Faster Spud-to-Sales: More Lateral Feet Completed Yearly
86


Marcellus Shale
Drilling Cost Reductions: Several Contributing Factors
87
Improvements From 2012 to 2013 ($525,000 per well)
Shorter drilling days to TD: $300,000
Faster rig moves (2012: 8.5 Days
2013: 4.5 Days): $20,000 (6-well pad)
Procurement and supply chain initiatives: $120,000
Directional plan optimization: $60,000
Natural gas-powered rigs: $25,000


Marcellus Shale
Completion Cost Reductions: Ongoing Optimization
88


Marcellus Shale
Completion Cost Reductions: New Efficient Technologies
89
Toe Sub
$60,000 savings per well
Time Savings
Time Savings
Time Savings
Sleeve
$200,000 savings per well
Dissolvable Balls
$300,000 savings per well
$3.4 million saved on a 6-well pad from the utilization of new technologies


Marcellus Shale
Completion Cost Reductions: Water Infrastructure
90
System Cost: $8.5 million
8 miles of pipeline
43 million gallons of storage
Will serve at least 70 wells
Provides 75% of water needs, with
the remainder being recycled
production fluid
Environmental & Cost Benefits
Eliminated the need for 47,000
water trucks since February 2012
Saved more than $4 million on Tract
100 development to date
Improved Efficiencies
Trucking in water across this
challenging terrain would have
delayed completions and production
This model has been successful in Lycoming & Tioga counties and
will be utilized in the WDA as development progresses


Marcellus Shale
Minimizing Backlogs: Coordinated Development
91
Coordination with NFG Midstream to construct gathering systems
Development well backlog typically consists of wells on pads in either
the drill or complete phase
Regional development programs
Focus on multi-well pads in smaller geographic areas allows for efficient
gathering connectivity
Managing completion schedule
Ongoing monitoring of operations and maintaining the flexibility
to alter
completion schedules
Sales Lag (Months)
0
6
12
18
IRR
(1)
@ $4/Mcf Realized Pricing
90%
58%
46%
38%


Seneca Resources
Committed to Health, Safety, and the Environment
92
Seneca Resources Corporation –
Value Statement
“We ask that each employee share in our philosophy and unwavering
commitment to each other’s health and safety and the environment.”
“…creating a
systematically
integrated model
of EHS stewardship
beyond mere
compliance.”
Dedicated 24-Hour
EHS Hotline and
E-mail Address
Best Practices
Incorporating Lean
Process Strategies
Management team
dedicated to building
a culture of
continual EHS
improvement
Operating Excellence
Program
Compliance
Department


Midstream Businesses
Overview


Midstream Businesses
National Fuel’s Midstream Businesses
94
Reporting
Segments
Subsidiaries


Midstream Businesses
Positioned Well to Serve Appalachian Producers
95
National Fuel  Gas Supply
Corporation
System Length
~ 2,550 Miles
Storage Capacity
73.4 Bcf
Contracted Transport
2.58 MMDth/d
2013 Revenue
$191.2 Million
2010 –
2013
Capital Expenditures
$304.6 Million


Midstream Businesses
Positioned Well to Serve Appalachian Producers
96


Midstream Businesses
Positioned Well to Serve Appalachian Producers
97


Midstream Businesses
Long-Term Strategy Driven by Both Seneca & 3
rd
Parties
98
Develop strong partnerships with customers to help them
reach diverse, high-value markets


Midstream Businesses
Positioned to Serve Seneca’s Rapidly Growing Production
99


Gathering
Gathering is the Crucial First Step to Reaching a Market
100


Gathering
Existing Systems Supporting Seneca’s Near-Term Growth
101
Covington Gathering System
In-service date: November 2009
Capacity: 220,000 Dth per day
Interconnect: TGP 300
Capital expenditures (to date): $28.3 million
Capital expenditures (future): $7.5 million
Trout Run Gathering System
In-service date: May 2012
Capacity: 466,000 to 585,000 Dth per day
Interconnect:
Transco
Leidy
Lateral
Capital expenditures (to date): $128.0 million
Capital expenditures (future): $60 to $90 million


Gathering
Developing a 1+ Bcf/d Gathering System in the WDA
102
In-Service: August 2014
Initial Trunkline Capacity:
700 MMcf per day
Interconnect
TGP 300
Total Cost: $60-$92 Million
Major Facilities
24”
Pipeline –
6 Miles
8”-20”
Pipeline –
25+ Miles
Seneca Pads Producing
2 in Fiscal 2014 (15 Wells)


Gathering
Clermont Gathering System has Large Expandability
103
In-Service: Ongoing build-out
Ultimate Trunkline Capacity:
700 to 1,000 MMcf per day
Interconnects
TGP 300 and National Fuel
Gas Supply Corporation
(anticipated)
Total Cost:
$75 -
$125 million
Major Facilities
Additional Gathering
Clermont West, Clermont
East and Rich Valley
Compressor Stations
Seneca Pads Connected
Up to 25 pads connected
following the 2015
expansion


Gathering
A Number of Options to Serve 3
rd
Party Producers
104


Gathering
2014 Spending Driven by Seneca Development
105
$100 to $150 Million


Gathering
More than 1.5 Bcf per day of Gathering Capacity by 2015
106


Gathering
Capital Deployment Will Deliver Long-Term Growth
107
Revenue Growth (2013 to 2015): ~60%
CAGR
Capital Investment (2013 to 2015): ~60%
CAGR


Pipeline & Storage
Project Opportunities to Support WDA Growth
108
Develop multiple outlets
to high-value markets


Midstream Businesses
Providing Transportation to Higher-Priced Markets
109
Currently
Short Supply
Short Supply


Midstream Businesses
NE Supply Approaching NE Peak Demand
110
Forecasted
Actual
Peak Demand (24-25 Bcf per day)
Median Demand (11.5 Bcf per day)
Supply exceeds demand for
70% of the year by 2016


Midstream Businesses
Focusing on Projects to Non-Traditional Demand Markets
111
The markets of Eastern
Canada, the Mid-Atlantic
and Southeast look to be
the most desirable
markets for shippers to
reach over the long-term


Pipeline & Storage
Delivering Into the Eastern Canadian Market is Valuable
112


Pipeline & Storage
Northeast PA Spot Markets are Heavily Discounted
113


Pipeline & Storage
Major Expansion Designed for Canadian Deliveries
114
Northern
Access 2015
Niagara (TCPL)
Delivery Point
In-Service: November 2015
System: NFG Supply Corp.
Capacity: 140,000 Dth per day
Interconnect
Niagara (TransCanada)
Total Cost: $67 Million
Major Facilities
23,000 HP Compressor
Northern Access 2015
Canada &
Eastern
U.S.
Clermont


Pipeline & Storage
Clermont to Chippawa Provides Delivery Options
115
Delivery Point
Clermont to
Chippawa
Chippawa (TCPL)
Hopewell
(TGP 200)
Corning
(Millennium)
In-Service: 2016
System: Supply & Empire
Capacity
250,000+ Dth per day
Interconnects
Corning (Millennium)
Hopewell (TGP 200)
Chippawa (TransCanada)
Total Cost: ~$250 Million
Clermont to Chippawa
Canada &
Eastern U.S.
New
England
New York
City
Clermont


Pipeline & Storage
Longer-Term: Reaching Markets Along the Atlantic
116
Transco
In-Service: 2017
System: NFG Supply Corp.
Capacity
300,000 to 500,000 Dth per day
Interconnect
Transco Leidy Line
Total Cost: $100 to $150 Million
Clermont to Transco
To Mid-Atlantic
&
Southeast
Clermont to
Transco
Delivery Point
Clermont


Pipeline & Storage
Expansions to Move Gas from the WDA are Significant
117
Projects to Support WDA Growth
Project
Capacity (Dth/day)
Northern Access 2015
140,000
Clermont to Chippawa
250,000+
Clermont to Transco
300,000-500,000
Total New Capacity
690,000-890,000+
Project
Capital Cost
Northern Access 2015
$67 million
Clermont to Chippawa
$250 million
Clermont to Transco
$100-$150 million
Total Capital
Expenditures
$417-$467 million
Northern
Access 2015
Clermont to
Chippawa
Longer-Term
WDA Expansion
Clermont


Pipeline & Storage
Seneca Currently Represents a Small Portion of Capacity
118
Total Contracted Transportation Capacity (at 9/30/13): 3.6 MMDth
per Day


Pipeline & Storage
Recent 3
rd
Party Expansions Have Been Highly Successful
119
Projects to  Support 3
rd
Parties
Project
Capacity
(Dth/day)
Northern Access 2013
320,000
Tioga County Extension
350,000
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013)
353,000
Total New Capacity
1,023,000
Project
Capital Cost
Northern Access 2013
$72 million
Tioga County Extension
$58 million
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013)
$104 million
Total Capital Expenditures
$234 million
Northern
Access 2013
Tioga County
Extension
Line N Projects


Pipeline & Storage
NFGSC is Now a Net Exporter of Natural Gas to Canada
120
Northern Access project
was placed in-service
November 2011


Pipeline & Storage
National Fuel Becoming a Major SW PA Transporter
121
National Fuel Gas Supply Corp. went
from no SW Pennsylvania receipts in
2008 to nearly 40% of all volumes today


Pipeline & Storage
Additional Line N Expansions Planned for the Future
122
In-Service: November 2014
System: NFG Supply Corp.
Capacity: 105,000 Dth per day
Precedent agreements signed for all
available capacity
Interconnect
Mercer (TGP Station 219)
Total Cost: $30 Million
Expansion: $27 million
System Modernization: $3 million
Major Facilities
3,500 HP Compressor
2.1 miles –
24”
Replacement Pipeline
Mercer Expansion
Mercer
(TGP Station 219)
Mercer
Expansion


Mercer
(TGP Station 219)
Pipeline & Storage
Pairing Line N Expansions with System Modernization
123
In-Service: November 2015
System: NFG Supply Corp.
Capacity: 175,000 Dth per day
Precedent agreements signed for
145,000 Dth per day
Interconnect
Mercer (TGP Station 219)
Holbrook (TETCO)
Total Cost: $74 Million
Expansion: $39 million
System Modernization: $35 million
Major Facilities
3,600 HP Compressor
23.5 miles –
24”
Replacement Pipeline
Westside Expansion &
Modernization
Holbrook (TETCO)
Westside
Expansion &
Modernization


Pipeline & Storage
Developing Unique Solutions for Shippers
124
In-Service: November 2015
System: NFG Supply & Empire Pipeline
New No-Notice Services
Preserving 172,500 Dth per day (RG&E)
Preserving 20,000 Dth per day (NYSEG)
Precedent agreement executed with
RG&E
Capacity
Transportation: 69,000 Dth per day
Retained Storage: 3.3 Bcf
Interconnect
Tuscarora (NFG/Supply)
Total Cost: $56 Million
Major Facilities
1,500 HP Compressor
18 miles –
20”
Replacement Pipeline
Tuscarora Lateral
Tuscarora
Lateral


Pipeline & Storage
Significant Expansions Are Driving Growth
125
Completed Projects
Project
Capacity
(Dth/day)
Lamont Compressor Station
90,000
Line “N”
Expansion
160,000
Tioga County Extension
350,000
Northern Access Expansion
320,000
Line “N”
2012 Expansion
163,000
Line “N”
2013 Expansion
30,000
New Capacity Additions
1,113,000
Mercer Expansion Project
105,000
West Side Expansion
145,000
Northern Access 2015
140,000
Tuscarora Lateral
69,000
Planned Capacity Additions
459,000
Line N Corridor
Line “N”
Expansion
Line “N”
2012 Expansion
Line “N”
2013 Expansion
Mercer Expansion
West Side Expansion
Total Capacity
603 MDth/d
Delivering Gas North
Tioga County Extension
Northern Access
Northern Access 2015
Clermont to Chippawa
Total Capacity
1,060 MDth/d
Leaving the WDA
Lamont Compressor
Clermont to Transco
Total Capacity
390 to 590 MDth/d
Planned Projects
Clermont to Chippawa
~250,000
Clermont to Transco
300,000 –
500,000
Potential Capacity Additions
550,000 –
750,000
Potential Projects


Pipeline & Storage
Expansion Project Revenue Growth
126
Larger projects under consideration
for fiscal 2016 and 2017 will drive
significant revenue growth


Midstream Businesses
New Shale Production Driving Tremendous Growth
127


Utility
Overview


Utility
New York & Pennsylvania Service Territories
129
New York
Total Customers: 520,000
Rate Mechanisms:
Revenue Decoupling
Weather Normalization
Low Income Rates
Choice Program/Purchase of
Receivables
Merchant Function Charge
(Uncollectibles Adjustment)
90/10 Sharing (Large Customers)
Natural Gas Vehicle Pilot Program
ROE: 9.1% (Litigated -
2007)
Pennsylvania
Total Customers: 213,000
Rate Mechanisms:
Low Income Rates
Choice Program/Purchase of
Receivables
Merchant Function Charge
ROE: Black Box Settlement (2007)


Utility
Customer Usage
130
Residential Usage
Industrial Usage


Utility
Continued Cost Control Helps Provide Earnings Stability
131


Utility
Capital Spending Largely Focused on Maintenance
132
The Utility remains focused
on spending to maintain
the ongoing safety and
reliability of its system


Utility
Providing Predictability and Stability
133


Utility
Working Towards a Settlement in New York
134
March 27, 2013
Filed a plan with the NY PSC
to adopt an earnings
sharing and stabilization
mechanism on earnings
above a 9.96% ROE
April 19, 2013
NY PSC issued an Order
to Show Cause (OTSC)
commencing a
proceeding to establish
“temporary rates”
June 1, 2013
OTSC suggests
“temporary rates”
could
become effective
An agreement in principle has been
reached with five parties and the
litigation schedule has been extended
indefinitely to allow the settlement
process to move forward
May 8, 2013
Company responds to
OTSC
June 14, 2013
“Temporary rates”
become effective
July 26, 2013
Settlement discussions
commence for
permanent rates


Hedging
Overview


Hedging Overview
How Does Seneca Sell its Production?
136
Well Head
Interconnection
with Interstate
Pipeline Network
Gathering
System
3rd Party
Marketer
(or spot market)
Firm Transport
Demand Center
(firm sales or
spot market)
Contracted Basis
Differential
FT Rate
The 1,700 to 2,000 economic locations
at less than $4.00/Mcf are based on a
realized price after gathering
Spot Market


Hedging Overview
Firm Sales Provide a Market for Appalachian Production
52
Prices shown represent the sales (netback
price) at the first non-affiliated interstate
pipeline, including the cost of all related
downstream transportation.
137


Hedging Overview
Seneca Methodically Layers in Index Hedges Over Time
138


Hedging Overview
Current Hedge Book has Seneca Positioned Very Well
139


Commodity Risk Management
Oil & Natural Gas Hedges are Above the Current Strip
(1)
140


Hedging Overview
Determining Seneca’s Realized Price on Firm Sales
141
NYMEX & Dominion
Monthly Settlement Prices
Natural Gas Index Swaps
Negotiated at time of Agreement
Based on Current Market at Sales/Delivery Point


Hedging Overview
The Impact of Firm Sales on Realized Price
57
Determining the Price of a Firm Sales Contract
Contract Reference Point
NYMEX
Dominion
December Settlement
$4.000
$3.650
Less: Average Sales Basis Differential
($0.284)
($0.265)
Average Realized Price (Before Hedging)
$3.716
$3.235
142


Hedging Overview
Pairing Firm Sales with Hedges Leads to Price Certainty
58
Determining the Price of a Firm Sales Contract
With a $4.25/MMBtu Hedge at the Reference Point
Contract Reference Point
NYMEX
Dominion
December Settlement
$4.000
$3.650
Less: Average Sales Basis Differential
($0.284)
($0.265)
Average Realized Price (Before Hedging)
$3.716
$3.385
December Hedge
$4.250
$4.250
Less: December Settlement
$4.000
$3.650
Hedge Gain
$0.250
$0.600
Average Realized Price (After Hedging)
$3.966
$3.985
143


Hedging Overview
Price Certainty only if Firm Sales & Hedge Index Match
59
Hedging Dominion Firm Sales Contracts
With a $4.25/MMBtu Hedge at NYMEX vs. Dominion
Contract Reference Point
Dominion
Dominion
December Settlement
$3.650
$3.650
Less: Average Sales Basis Differential
($0.265)
($0.265)
Average Realized Price (Before Hedging)
$3.385
$3.385
Hedge Reference Point
NYMEX
Dominion
December Hedge
$4.250
$4.250
Less: December Settlement
$4.000
$3.650
Hedge Gain
$0.250
$0.600
Average Realized Price (After Hedging)
$3.635
$3.985
Dominion to NYMEX Basis
144
Difference: $0.35


Hedging Overview
FY 2014 Production –
Firm Sales & Hedge Composition
145
Price Certainty
100% Hedged
@ $4.24 /MMcf
Price Certainty
92% Hedged
@ $4.26/MMcf
Seneca has an additional 12.7
Bcf of NYMEX hedges to help
mitigate commodity exposure
on its WDA sales
EDA NYMEX
Firm Sales
EDA DOM
Firm Sales
EDA
Spot Sales
WDA      
Production
Total
East Division
Production


Financial
Overview


National Fuel Gas Company
Targeting Sustained Growth for the Next Five Years
147


National Fuel Gas Company
Capital Spending Adjusts to Capitalize on Opportunities
148


National Fuel Gas Company
Forecasting a Modest Outspend in 2014
2014
Forecast
149


National Fuel Gas Company
Maintaining a Strong Balance Sheet
150
Total Debt
(1)
43%
$3.843 Billion
As of September 30, 2013
Debt / Adjusted EBITDA
Capitalization


National Fuel Gas Company
Strong Liquidity with an Investment Grade Rating
151
5.58%
Embedded Cost of
Long-Term Debt
Liquidity ($Millions)
Cash and Temporary Investments
$     65
Available Short-Term Credit Facilities
$1,085
Total Short-term Liquidity
$1,150


National Fuel Gas Company
Focused on Delivering Strong Returns
152
2009-2011
2010-2012
2011-2013
NFG Percentile
81%
75%
88%


National Fuel Gas Company
Dividend Track Record
153
Current
Dividend Yield
(1)
2.1%
Dividend Consistency
Consecutive Dividend Payments
111 Years
Consecutive Dividend Increases
43 Years
Current Annualized Dividend Rate
$1.50 per Share


National Fuel Gas Company
A History of Success & A Future of Opportunity
154
30% CAGR
Since 2009
Adjusted
EBITDA
Growth
Production
Growth
Midstream
Businesses
EBITDA
10-15% CAGR
2014 to 2018
Adjusted
EBITDA
Growth
15-25% CAGR
2014 to 2018
Production
Growth
10-15% CAGR
2014 to 2018
Midstream
Businesses
EBITDA
A History of Success
10% CAGR
Since 2009
10% CAGR
Since 2009
A Future of Opportunity


Appendix


Gathering
Historical Financials –
2010 & 2011
156
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
12/31/2009
3/31/2010
6/30/2010
9/30/2010
FISCAL 2010
Operating Revenue
94
$                       
843
$                    
1,224
$                 
1,237
$                 
3,398
$                   
Operating Expenses:
Operation & Maintenance Expense
143
                       
344
                       
398
                       
484
                       
1,369
                     
Property, Franchise & Other Taxes
1
                           
7
                           
1
                           
-
                       
9
                              
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
-
                       
129
                       
153
                       
104
                       
386
                         
144
                       
480
                       
552
                       
588
                       
1,764
                     
Operating Income
(50)
$                     
363
$                    
672
$                    
649
$                    
1,634
$                   
Capital Expenditures
6,538
$                   
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
12/31/2010
3/31/2011
6/30/2011
9/30/2011
FISCAL 2011
Operating Revenue
1,999
$                 
2,974
$                 
3,043
$                 
3,235
$                 
11,251
$                 
Operating Expenses:
Operation & Maintenance Expense
437
                       
535
                       
435
                       
437
                       
1,844
                     
Property, Franchise & Other Taxes
8
                           
4
                           
8
                           
2
                           
22
                           
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
173
                       
159
                       
161
                       
168
                       
661
                         
618
                       
698
                       
604
                       
607
                       
2,527
                     
Operating Income
1,381
$                 
2,276
$                 
2,439
$                 
2,628
$                 
8,724
$                   
Capital Expenditures
17,021
$                 


Gathering
Historical Financials –
2012 & 2013
157
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
12/31/2011
3/31/2012
6/30/2012
9/30/2012
FISCAL 2012
Operating Revenue
3,565
$                 
3,346
$                 
4,494
$                 
6,069
$                 
17,474
$                 
Operating Expenses:
Operation & Maintenance Expense
493
                       
534
                       
633
                       
780
                       
2,440
                     
Property, Franchise & Other Taxes
25
                         
25
                         
4
                           
169
                       
223
                         
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
166
                       
167
                       
444
                       
913
                       
1,690
                     
684
                       
726
                       
1,081
                   
1,862
                   
4,353
                     
Operating Income
2,881
$                 
2,620
$                 
3,413
$                 
4,207
$                 
13,121
$                 
Capital Expenditures
80,012
$                 
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
QTD ended
12/31/2012
3/31/2013
6/30/2013
9/30/2013
FISCAL 2013
Operating Revenue
5,682
$                 
8,222
$                 
10,586
$             
10,291
$             
34,781
$                 
Operating Expenses:
Operation & Maintenance Expense
943
                       
1,027
                   
1,311
                   
1,447
                   
4,728
                     
Property, Franchise & Other Taxes
141
                       
51
                         
41
                         
44
                         
277
                         
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
680
                       
1,062
                   
1,064
                   
1,138
                   
3,944
                     
1,764
                   
2,140
                   
2,416
                   
2,629
                   
8,949
                     
Operating Income
3,918
$                 
6,082
$                 
8,170
$                 
7,662
$                 
25,832
$                 
Capital Expenditures
54,792
$                 


National Fuel Gas Company
Comparable GAAP Financial Measure Slides and Reconciliations
158
This
presentation
contains
certain
non-GAAP
financial
measures.
For
pages
that
contain
non-GAAP
financial
measures,
pages
containing
the
most
directly
comparable
GAAP
financial
measures
and
reconciliations
are
provided
in
the
slides
that
follow.
The
Company
believes
that
its
non-GAAP
financial
measures
are
useful
to
investors
because
they
provide
an
alternative
method
for
assessing
the
Company’s
ongoing
operating
results,
for
measuring
the
Company’s
cash
flow
and
liquidity,
and
for
comparing
the
Company’s
financial
performance
to
other
companies.
The
Company’s
management
uses
these
non-GAAP
financial
measures
for
the
same
purpose,
and
for
planning
and
forecasting
purposes. 
The
presentation
of
non-GAAP
financial
measures
is
not
meant
to
be
a
substitute
for
financial
measures
prepared
in
accordance
with
GAAP.


159
Reconciliation of Exploration & Production West Division Adjusted EBITDA
to Exploration & Production Segment Net Income
($ Thousands)
FY 2013
Exploration & Production - West Division Adjusted EBITDA
215,042
$        
Exploration & Production - All Other Divisions Adjusted EBITDA
277,341
          
Total Exploration & Production Adjusted EBITDA
492,383
$        
Minus: Exploration & Production Net Interest Expense
(38,244)
           
Minus: Exploration & Production Income Tax Expense
(95,317)
           
Minus: Exploration & Production Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
(243,431)
         
Exploration & Production Net Income
115,391
$        
Exploration & Production Net Income
115,391
$        
Pipeline & Storage Net Income
63,245
            
Gathering Net Income
13,321
            
Utility Net Income
65,686
         
Energy Marketing Net Income
4,589
           
Corporate & All Other Net Income
(2,231)
          
Consolidated Net Income
260,001
$     


160
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to Consolidated Net Income
($ Thousands)
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
Exploration & Production -
West Division Adjusted EBITDA
171,572
$          
187,838
$          
187,603
$          
226,897
$          
215,042
$             
Exploration & Production -
East Division Adjusted EBITDA
57,179
$            
75,098
$            
175,392
$          
167,806
$          
283,509
$             
Exploration & Production -
All Other Divisions Adjusted EBITDA
50,960
64,526
14,462
2,426
(6,168)
Total Exploration & Production Adjusted EBITDA
279,711
$          
327,462
$          
377,457
$          
397,129
$          
492,383
$             
Total Adjusted EBITDA
Exploration & Production Adjusted EBITDA
279,711
$          
327,462
$          
377,457
$          
397,129
$          
492,383
$             
Pipeline & Storage Adjusted EBITDA
130,857
120,858
111,474
136,914
161,226
Gathering Adjusted EBITDA
(141)
2,021
9,386
14,814
29,777
Utility Adjusted EBITDA
164,443
167,328
168,540
159,986
171,669
Energy Marketing Adjusted EBITDA
11,589
13,573
13,178
5,945
6,963
Corporate & All Other Adjusted EBITDA
(5,434)
408
(12,346)
(10,674)
(9,920)
Total Adjusted EBITDA
581,025
$          
631,650
$          
667,689
$          
704,114
$          
852,098
$             
Total Adjusted EBITDA
581,025
$          
631,650
$          
667,689
$          
704,114
$          
852,098
$             
Minus: Net Interest Expense
(81,013)
(90,217)
(75,205)
(82,551)
(89,776)
Plus:  Other Income
9,762
6,126
5,947
5,133
4,697
Minus: Income Tax Expense
(52,859)
(137,227)
(164,381)
(150,554)
(172,758)
Minus: Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
(170,620)
(191,199)
(226,527)
(271,530)
(326,760)
Minus: Impairment of Oil and Gas Properties (E&P)
(182,811)
-
-
-
-
Plus/Minus: Income/(Loss) from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax (Corp. & All Other)
(2,776)
6,780
-
-
-
Plus: Gain on Sale of Unconsolidated Subsidiaries (Corp. & All Other)
-
-
50,879
-
-
Plus: Elimination of Other Post-Retirement Regulatory Liability (P&S)
-
-
-
21,672
-
Minus: Pennsylvania Impact Fee Related to Prior Fiscal Years (E&P)
-
-
-
(6,206)
-
Minus: New York Regulatory Adjustment (Utility)
-
-
-
-
(7,500)
Rounding
-
-
-
(1)
-
Consolidated Net Income
100,708
$          
225,913
$          
258,402
$          
220,076
$          
260,001
$             
Consolidated Debt to Total Adjusted EBITDA
Long-Term Debt, Net of Current Portion (End of Period)
1,249,000
$       
1,049,000
$       
899,000
$          
1,149,000
$       
1,649,000
$         
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt (End of Period)
-
200,000
150,000
250,000
-
Notes Payable to Banks and Commercial Paper (End of Period)
-
-
40,000
171,000
-
Total Debt (End of Period)
1,249,000
$    
1,249,000
$    
1,089,000
$    
1,570,000
$    
1,649,000
$      
Long-Term Debt, Net of Current Portion (Start of Period)
999,000
1,249,000
1,049,000
899,000
1,149,000
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt (Start of Period)
100,000
-
200,000
150,000
250,000
Notes Payable to Banks and Commercial Paper (Start of Period)
-
-
-
40,000
171,000
Total Debt (Start of Period)
1,099,000
$    
1,249,000
$    
1,249,000
$    
1,089,000
$    
1,570,000
$      
Average Total Debt
1,174,000
$    
1,249,000
$    
1,169,000
$    
1,329,500
$    
1,609,500
$      
Average Total Debt to Total Adjusted EBITDA
2.02
1.98
1.75
1.89
1.89
FY 2013


161
Reconciliation of Segment Capital Expenditures to
Consolidated Capital Expenditures
($ Thousands)
FY 2014
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
Forecast
Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations
Exploration & Production Capital Expenditures
188,290
398,174
$       
648,815
$       
693,810
$       
533,129
$       
$550,000-650,000
Pipeline & Storage Capital Expenditures
52,504
37,894
129,206
144,167
56,144
$         
$115,000-135,000
Gathering Segment Capital Expenditures
9,433
6,538
17,021
80,012
54,792
$         
$100,000-150,000
Utility Capital Expenditures
56,178
57,973
58,398
58,284
71,970
$         
$80,000-90,000
Energy Marketing, Corporate & All Other Capital Expenditures
396
773
746
1,121
1,062
$           
-
Total Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations
306,801
501,352
$       
854,186
$       
977,394
$       
717,097
$       
$845,000-1,025,000
Capital Expenditures from Discountinued Operations
All Other Capital Expenditures
216
150
$                
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                                
Plus (Minus) Accrued Capital Expenditures
Exploration & Production FY 2013 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
$          
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                 
(58,478)
$        
-
$                                
Exploration & Production FY 2012 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
(38,861)
38,861
-
Exploration & Production FY 2011 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
(103,287)
103,287
-
-
Exploration & Production FY 2010 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
(78,633)
78,633
-
-
-
Exploration & Production FY 2009 Accrued Capital Expenditures
(9,093)
19,517
-
-
-
-
Pipeline & Storage FY 2013 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
-
(5,633)
-
Pipeline & Storage FY 2012 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
(12,699)
12,699
-
Pipeline & Storage FY 2011 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
(16,431)
16,431
-
-
Pipeline & Storage FY 2010 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
3,681
-
-
-
Pipeline & Storage FY 2008 Accrued Capital Expenditures
16,768
-
-
-
-
-
Gathering FY 2013 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
-
(6,700)
-
Gathering FY 2012 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
(12,690)
12,690
-
Gathering FY 2011 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
(3,079)
3,079
-
-
Gathering FY 2009 Accrued Capital Expenditures
(715)
715
-
-
-
-
Utility FY 2013 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
-
(10,328)
-
Utility FY 2012 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
-
(3,253)
3,253
-
Utility FY 2011 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
(2,319)
2,319
-
-
Utility FY 2010 Accrued Capital Expenditures
-
-
2,894
-
-
-
Total Accrued Capital Expenditures
6,960
$      
(58,401)
$        
(39,908)
$        
57,613
$         
(13,636)
$        
-
$                                
Eliminations
(344)
$        
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                 
-
$                                
Total Capital Expenditures per Statement of Cash Flows
313,633
443,101
$       
814,278
$       
1,035,007
$   
703,461
$       
$845,000-1,025,000